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EURUSD – Euro tumbles under strong dollar pressureAfter a brief uptick following the US–EU trade agreement, EUR/USD quickly sank under a wave of strong US economic data. While import tariffs on EU goods were reduced to 15%, the US dollar gained more as capital kept flowing into the US thanks to a Q2 GDP growth above 3%, steady PCE, and a strong ADP report. On the H4 chart, the bearish structure is clear: EUR/USD broke below key support and formed a series of unfilled FVGs, signaling sellers are still in control. The current pullback towards the 1.14300 resistance zone could act as a bull trap, with the next target eyed near 1.12300 — a likely liquidity zone. If this area breaks, the 1.1200 mark may be triggered next. Meanwhile, USD strength shows no signs of fading — especially as the Fed maintains a cautious stance with no easing in sight. The euro is no longer seen as a safe haven, and investors are gradually pulling out.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
2
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Count Signals Downside TargetsThe EUR/USD chart is displaying a completed 5-wave Elliott impulse structure, suggesting the potential start of a larger corrective move to the downside. Wave 5 appears to have finished after a classic ending diagonal pattern, with price now breaking below the wave 4 support trendline — a strong confirmation of trend exhaustion. Currently, price is retracing upward towards the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone of the last impulsive leg, around 1.15912–1.16383, which may serve as the final rejection zone for bears to re-enter. This area aligns perfectly with prior support-turned-resistance and is considered the potential reversal pocket. If price holds below the 1.17869 invalidation level, the structure supports the beginning of an ABC correction or a larger bearish impulse. Target 1 (T1): 1.14800 Target 2 (T2): 1.13915 Stop Loss (SL): 1.17869 This scenario remains valid as long as the price does not break above 1.17869. A clean break and close above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a possible wave extension.
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD – Gold jumps as weak US job data boosts bullish sentimentGold prices reacted positively after the US Non-Farm Payrolls came in at only 106K and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, signaling a cooling labor market. This weak data has lowered expectations of further rate hikes from the Fed, offering strong support for gold. On the H4 chart, XAUUSD has formed a bottom around the 3,247 area and is now rebounding within a descending channel. A slight trendline break and a W-pattern near the bottom further reinforce the potential for a continued upward move. Technical view: XAUUSD is approaching a key resistance zone around 3,313 – a crucial level that could trigger a breakout. If gold breaks above it with strong buying pressure, it may head toward the upper boundary of the channel. The RSI is recovering from oversold levels, while EMA34 and EMA89 are starting to converge – suggesting a possible trend reversal ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
4
Gold weakens further – is 3250 next?Hello traders, take a look at the chart — what do you see? Here’s my perspective: Recently, gold has shown signs of weakness as the U.S. dollar strengthens amid expectations that the Fed will delay interest rate cuts. In response to this, gold continues to trend lower and is currently hovering around the 3,289 USD mark. The previous ascending trendline has been broken, and both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 have turned downward, fueling bearish momentum. The 3,320 support level has also failed, and the latest bullish correction was rejected — reinforcing the downtrend. Given these clear fundamentals and technical confirmations, I expect the bearish momentum to accelerate, at least in the short term. My immediate target for this move is 3,250 USD. What about you — where’s your target?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Gold Recovery Fails at 3300 - Bearish Bias ContinuesBased on the gold chart analysis, here's a simplified price action breakdown: Gold attempted a decent recovery and pullback yesterday, but the price is still struggling to sustain above the crucial 3300-3305 area. This inability to hold above key support levels is concerning for bullish sentiment. Additionally, gold has failed to break above the resistance trendline (black line on the chart), which further weakens the bull case. For any meaningful upward movement, gold needs to generate at least one higher low formation, which hasn't printed yet. The immediate support zone lies at 3267-3275, and if this level breaks down, we could see further decline toward lower price levels. From a price action perspective, sellers are still in control of the market despite yesterday's recovery attempt. The key levels to watch are the 3300-3305 resistance above and 3267-3275 support below. Until gold can break and sustain above the resistance trendline while forming higher lows, the overall sentiment remains bearish.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD – Gold may plunge if key support failsHello traders! Gold continues to move within a clear descending channel and is currently retesting the previous support zone around 3,295.600. The RSI remains weak, and the EMA 34 stays below the EMA 89, confirming that the bearish trend is still dominant. On the news front, U.S. labor costs have exceeded expectations, the Fed held rates steady, and there’s no sign of a dovish shift. This continues to strengthen the USD and puts pressure on gold. Investors are now awaiting Powell’s speech at tonight’s FOMC meeting—if his tone remains hawkish, gold is likely to face further downside. Trading strategy: If price retraces to the 3,350 – 3,371 zone and shows rejection or reversal signals, SELL remains the preferred option.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
2
Gold dips again – is the bounce just a trap?Hello traders! After a quiet start to the day, gold has turned lower and is now hovering around the $3,300 mark. The decline in OANDA:XAUUSD came as U.S. Treasury yields rose in response to strong U.S. economic data. The Fed is widely expected to maintain its current monetary policy stance during today’s session. From a technical perspective, XAUUSD continues to form bearish structures and breakdowns. While a short-term bullish correction is currently underway, the bears still hold the upper hand — and selling opportunities remain the preferred strategy. I’ll be focusing on two key entry zones marked on the chart, with a short-term bias favoring sell setups. Do you agree with this approach? ⚠️ Please remember: This is just a trading idea — make sure to manage your risk properly with defined TP and SL levels. Good luck and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
EURUSD at risk of reversal: will sellers take control?Hello everyone! What are your thoughts on EURUSD? Lately, the euro has been under pressure due to growing weakness in the Eurozone economy. The European Central Bank (ECB) has sent out more cautious signals in response to rising recession risks and cooling inflation. This increases the likelihood that the ECB may wrap up its tightening cycle earlier than the Fed – a shift that could weigh heavily on EURUSD. From a technical standpoint, EURUSD recently hit a peak around 1.1766 after several attempts, and a CHOCH (Change of Character) reversal pattern may be forming. If the pair fails to reclaim the 1.1766 zone, a deeper downside scenario is likely to unfold. As for me, I’m currently favoring short setups, especially around supply zones or after failed retests. Discipline and solid risk management remain my top priorities. How about you? What’s your take on this pair?
Short
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
XAUUSD – The Weakness of Gold – Are Investors Ready?Gold is being heavily impacted by the strengthening of the US dollar, driven by recently released economic data from the US. A strong increase in employment and a 2.5% GDP growth show that the US economy is growing stronger than expected, pushing the US dollar higher and creating downward pressure on gold. The chart shows that gold is trading within a downward price channel, with key support and resistance levels already identified. The strong resistance at 3,345 USD continues to be a major challenge for any upward movement in gold. If gold cannot break through these resistance levels and continues to decline below 3,310 USD, we may see a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
2
Gold price analysis before FOMC Looking at current price action, after sharp decline we witnessed earlier. Gold has found support around the monthly open level between 3300-3310, which is acting as a solid support zone right now. now price is attempting to climb higher with the help of ascending trendline, but it's running into resistance at the weekly open around 3329-31. If we can see a clean breakout above this weekly resistance, I'd expect gold to make a move toward the 3350 level as the next logical target. Beyond that, we've got the pivot at 3367 which will likely serve as a stronger resistance barrier. On the downside, our immediate support remains at that trendline, with the major support zone at 3300 acting as our safety net. Today's Fed interest rate decision is the major market mover event;;that could dictate gold next directional move. Personally, I'm leaning toward seeing some upward momentum today, but the real test will be whether price can hold those higher levels or if we'll see rejection and another leg down. The key is watching how gold reacts to whatever the Fed delivers and whether buyers can step in with conviction at these elevated levels. It's definitely a day to stay alert and let the market show its hand before making any big moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
EURUSD: Short-term rebound signals after sharp dropEURUSD has just reacted to a key demand zone and is showing signs of a technical rebound. A small double bottom pattern is forming on the 3H chart, indicating that buyers are starting to return. If the price holds above this recent low, the short-term bullish scenario could continue. On the news front, the US JOLTS data came in lower than expected, reflecting a cooling labor market. This reduces the likelihood of further Fed tightening, creating room for the euro to recover slightly. Strategy: Favor buying if price remains above the support zone, with a potential move to retest the upper FVG area before the market makes its next decision.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Gold rebounds – Enough to shift the trend?Gold is trading within an ascending channel, recently bouncing modestly from the trendline after a series of declines. The structure suggests XAUUSD could continue a technical rebound toward the resistance zone near 3,374 before a new trend is confirmed. On the news front, JOLTS job openings came in slightly below expectations, indicating a cooling U.S. labor market. This offers mild support for gold, as the Fed may consider easing policy sooner. However, with the figure still above 7 million, the impact remains short-term. Strategy: Watch price reaction near the 3,374 zone. If it fails to break through, the bearish scenario remains dominant. Short-term buying may be considered as long as the trendline holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
7
GBPJPY Short Setup- Momentum Rejection from ResistanceThis chart explores a potential short opportunity in GBPJPY on the 15-minute timeframe following a visible loss of bullish momentum near the upper structure. 🔍 Key Observations: Sell Labels appeared after a strong upside move, near a key resistance zone. A Caution Marker was triggered near the high — typically indicates a potential trend exhaustion. Price lost support from short-term moving averages and began to trade below them. A downside continuation setup is now active with price targeting prior demand levels. 🎯 Target Area: A previous structure low and untested support zone around 197.699 is being monitored as a potential target, pending continued bearish momentum. 🧠 Educational Notes: This idea highlights how momentum-based tools can help identify potential intraday turning points. The confluence of resistance rejection, caution labeling, and sell signals offers a clean example of short-term reversal structure. ⏱ Timeframe: 15-Minute (Intraday)
Short
by LEOLALENS-OFFICIAL
Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy July 29, 2025Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy July 29, 2025: Yesterday's trading session, gold prices continued to fall as expected. After approaching the resistance area of 3300, gold prices are recovering. Basic news: The market is almost unlikely to see the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in July and about 40% chance that the FED will continue to keep interest rates unchanged in September, up from about 10% the previous month. US non-farm payrolls are likely to continue to increase rapidly, showing a rapid recovery in the labor market. Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to stick with the MA lines, the downtrend channel has not been broken. Currently, the 3280 - 3285 area may be a support area for gold prices to recover after the previous sharp decline. We will mainly trade according to the short-term trend and wait for a long-term buying point. Important price zones today: 3330 - 3335, 3350 - 3355 and 3280 - 3285. Today's trading trend: SELL. Recommended orders: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3333 - 3335 SL 3338 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3300 - 3280. Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355 SL 3358 TP 3350 - 3340 - 3320 - 3300. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285 SL 3280 TP 3288 - 3300 - 3320 - 3340 - Open. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ryemud
Gold dives toward 3,320 as Fed decision loomsHello everyone, what are your thoughts on gold prices? Gold's decline is accelerating, dragging the precious metal down toward the 3,320 USD mark. A stronger U.S. dollar and further developments on the trade front following the U.S.-EU agreement have significantly impacted demand for safe-haven assets. From a technical perspective, the break below the rising price channel could mark the beginning of a deeper correction. Oscillators on the chart have just started turning negative, suggesting that the path of least resistance for gold is now downward. Looking ahead, Wednesday’s key FOMC decision—along with the accompanying policy statement and Powell’s press conference—will be closely scrutinized for clues on the Fed’s interest rate cut roadmap. Additionally, investors will face several important U.S. macroeconomic data releases this week, which will play a vital role in shaping the USD’s trajectory and provide new momentum for XAUUSD. What do you think about the precious metal? Share your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
2
Gold plunges as Fed stays firm, war fails to boost XAUUSD is showing clear signs of weakness after peaking at 3,375 and consistently forming lower highs. On the H2 chart, the price action confirms a completed distribution pattern and is now consolidating ahead of a potential breakdown below 3,283. News highlights: The US ADP and GDP reports exceeded expectations, strengthening the case for the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer – putting significant pressure on gold. Although the JOLTS job openings dipped slightly, the figure remains above 7 million, offering little support for gold recovery. Conflict news between Thailand and Cambodia might offer some support, but the impact is limited due to the small regional scale. Trading strategy: Prioritize SELL if price pulls back to 3,339 and fails to hold. The next target is around 3,252. The main trend remains bearish unless XAUUSD breaks above 3,360. Do you think XAUUSD will break the bottom this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
7
EUR/USD Under Pressure : Sell or Buy ? The EUR/USD pair remains under mild bearish pressure, hovering around the 1.1700 mark and extending its Thursday downtrend. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) stays firm despite growing optimism over improving US-China relations. However, the ongoing tension between Trump and Powell continues to capture market attention. In response to these developments, EUR/USD has stalled its previous rally. On the chart, the pair is forming a series of lower highs, moving within a narrowing wedge pattern. The 1.1600 level now emerges as the critical battleground between bulls and bears. Do you think EUR/USD can successfully defend this support zone? Let us know your thoughts!
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Gold, Silver & Commodity Trading (MCX)What is MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)? The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is a government-regulated commodity derivatives exchange, launched in 2003. It is regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and allows traders to buy and sell commodity futures contracts across various categories like: Bullion: Gold, Silver Energy: Crude oil, Natural gas Base Metals: Copper, Zinc, Lead, Aluminum, Nickel Agricultural commodities: Cotton, Cardamom, Mentha Oil MCX operates similarly to stock exchanges like NSE or BSE but deals in commodity contracts rather than equities. Factors That Influence Gold & Silver Prices Understanding price drivers helps traders anticipate market movement: 🏦 1. Global Economic Conditions Inflation Recession fears GDP data 🪙 2. Currency Movements Gold is priced in USD globally. The USD-INR exchange rate significantly impacts domestic prices. 📉 3. Interest Rates Rising interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, pushing prices lower, and vice versa. 💥 4. Geopolitical Tensions War, political instability, or crisis (Middle East conflict, Ukraine war, etc.) often boost gold/silver prices. 🛢️ 5. Crude Oil Prices High oil prices can lead to inflation, making gold more attractive as a hedge. 💼 6. Central Bank Policies Actions by RBI or Federal Reserve (US) in terms of gold reserves, rate hikes, or monetary policy changes affect sentiment.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by TechnicalExpress
4
EURUSD – Bullish momentum fades, signs of a reversal emergeEURUSD is approaching the key resistance zone at 1.1780, a level that has been rejected multiple times in the past. On the H4 chart, the pair remains firmly within a descending channel since early July, with several FVG zones stacked above—indicating growing selling pressure. The recent upside momentum is clearly weakening, raising the risk of a deeper pullback. Market context: – The US dollar continues to gain support from strong economic data, while the Eurozone lacks clear signs of recovery. – Traders are holding their breath ahead of upcoming Eurozone inflation data and the US PCE report—events that could trigger significant moves. Trade setup: If EURUSD fails to break above 1.1780, a drop toward the 1.1610 support zone becomes increasingly likely.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD – final bounce before the drop?Gold is trapped in a sideways box, and the bounce from the $3,330 zone looks like nothing more than a technical reaction – with no strong buying momentum. The dense cluster of FVGs signals that selling pressure hasn’t been fully absorbed yet. Fresh data from the U.S. strengthens the bearish case: jobless claims have hit a 3-month low, indicating a resilient labor market. This paves the way for the Fed to keep rates steady at 4.25–4.50%. Meanwhile, Trump’s tariff policies are stoking inflation risks. If gold fails to break above $3,437 in the next few sessions, sellers may step in aggressively. In that case, the next target could be $3,280.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
6
Latest Gold Price Update TodayIn the most recent trading session, global gold prices dropped over 31 USD per ounce, closing at 3,337 USD. This sharp decline follows a three-day rally and reflects profit-taking by investors and a shift in capital flow. Newly released economic indicators show that the U.S. labor market remains strong, with jobless claims falling for the sixth consecutive week — the longest streak since 2022. This helped the U.S. dollar rebound slightly, putting pressure on gold, a non-yielding asset. At the same time, investor sentiment has tilted toward riskier assets like equities, as trade talks between the U.S., EU, and Japan show positive progress. Stock markets in the U.S. and Europe surged, drawing capital away from gold. Although expectations remain for a potential Fed rate cut in September, gold faces short-term headwinds. The 3,300 USD zone is now a key level to watch. Traders should look for reversal signals and volume confirmation before considering long entries. Personal view: USD strength, rising stock markets, and profit-taking are creating a short-term correction for gold. However, in the longer term, there is still upside potential if the Fed signals a policy shift in the coming months. And you — what’s your take on gold prices today?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
Technical Analysis Mastery🧠 What is Technical Analysis? Technical Analysis (TA) is the skill of analyzing price charts and patterns to predict future movements of stocks, indices, commodities, forex, or cryptocurrencies. It’s like reading the mood and psychology of the market by observing price and volume. Instead of studying company balance sheets or industry trends (that’s fundamental analysis), technical analysis assumes that everything important is already reflected in the price. It’s used by intraday traders, swing traders, and even investors to make smarter entries and exits. 📚 The Core Principle of Technical Analysis There are three main beliefs that form the base of technical analysis: Price Discounts Everything All news, emotions, expectations, and fundamentals are already priced into the chart. So, instead of worrying about inflation or earnings, a technical analyst looks at price action. Price Moves in Trends Markets don’t move randomly. They trend – either up, down, or sideways. TA helps you identify the direction of the trend and when it might be changing. History Repeats Itself Market behavior is repetitive because human psychology is repetitive. Fear and greed create familiar patterns. Candlestick patterns, chart patterns, and indicators are all built on this belief. 🧭 Types of Market Trends To master technical analysis, you need to understand trends first: 📈 Uptrend (Bullish): Higher highs and higher lows. 📉 Downtrend (Bearish): Lower highs and lower lows. ➡️ Sideways (Range-bound): Price moves within a horizontal range. Your first job as a technical analyst is to identify the current trend. Once you know this, your job becomes easier: Buy in an uptrend, sell in a downtrend, stay cautious in a sideways market. 📊 Reading Price Charts (The Visual Language) The chart is your battlefield. Let’s break down the types: 1. Line Chart Shows the closing price over time. Clean and simple, but lacks detail. 2. Bar Chart Shows open, high, low, close (OHLC). More informative than a line chart. 3. Candlestick Chart (Most Popular) Shows OHLC in a visually rich format. Green (or white) candles = price went up. Red (or black) candles = price went down. Candlesticks reveal trader emotions and help spot patterns like Doji, Hammer, Engulfing, etc. 🔍 Support & Resistance – The Foundation Support = A price level where demand is strong enough to stop the price from falling further. Resistance = A level where selling pressure prevents the price from rising. Imagine support as a floor and resistance as a ceiling. Once broken, these levels often flip roles (old resistance becomes new support). Example: If Nifty keeps bouncing back from 21,000 – it’s a support zone. If it keeps failing near 22,000 – that’s resistance. ✍️ Chart Patterns – Visual Clues to Price Moves Chart patterns are shapes formed by price on a chart, often signaling upcoming moves. ✅ Continuation Patterns Price will likely continue in the same direction. 🔺 Flag & Pennant 🔻 Triangle (Symmetrical, Ascending, Descending) 📦 Rectangle 🔄 Reversal Patterns Suggests trend may reverse. 👨‍🦲 Head and Shoulders 🧍‍♂️ Double Top / Bottom 🛑 Rounding Top / Bottom These patterns help you plan trades with entry, stop loss, and target. 🧠 Candlestick Patterns – Market Psychology in Action Candlestick patterns show short-term momentum and emotion. 🔥 Bullish Candles Hammer: Long wick at bottom – buyers stepping in. Bullish Engulfing: Green candle swallows previous red one. Morning Star: A 3-candle reversal pattern. 🧊 Bearish Candles Shooting Star: Long wick at top – sellers taking over. Bearish Engulfing: Red candle engulfs previous green one. Evening Star: Opposite of Morning Star. Candlestick mastery = understanding buyer vs seller fight in every candle. 🧰 Indicators & Oscillators – Your Technical Tools Indicators are formulas applied to price data to give more insight. 🛣️ Trend Indicators Moving Averages (MA): SMA: Simple Moving Average. EMA: Exponential (gives more weight to recent price). Used to identify and confirm trends. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Measures momentum and crossover signals. Parabolic SAR: Gives entry/exit dots on chart. 📉 Momentum Indicators (Oscillators) RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures overbought (>70) or oversold (<30). Stochastic Oscillator: Shows momentum, good for spotting reversal zones. CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Helps detect cyclical trends. These are tools to confirm what you see on price action – never trade based on indicators alone. 🧪 Volume – The Fuel Behind Moves Volume tells you how strong or weak a price move is. Rising volume + rising price = strong uptrend. Low volume + breakout = fakeout risk. Volume spike at support/resistance = possible reversal or breakout. Smart traders always watch volume with price action. It shows institutional interest. 🧱 Building a Trading Setup (Strategy Framework) A solid technical trading setup has: Market Context (Trend, Sentiment) Entry Trigger (Pattern, Indicator, Breakout) Stop Loss Level (Support/Resistance, ATR, Swing High/Low) Target (Risk:Reward ratio, Resistance/Support, Fibonacci) Volume Confirmation Risk Management Plan 🧠 Psychological Mastery in TA Even the best technical setup can fail without the right mindset. Stick to Plan: Don’t react emotionally. Accept Losses: TA gives probabilities, not guarantees. Avoid Overtrading: Quality > Quantity. Backtest Your Strategies: Practice builds confidence. Mastering TA is not just about charts – it’s about mastering yourself. 🧪 Advanced Concepts in Technical Analysis Once you’re comfortable with the basics, explore: 🔁 Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions 📏 Average True Range (ATR) for volatility 📈 Ichimoku Cloud for trend + momentum 🔎 Multi-Time Frame Analysis 🔄 Divergence (RSI/Price divergence for reversal signals) These tools help fine-tune entries and exits. 🧩 Common Mistakes in Technical Analysis Avoid these traps: Trading every breakout – wait for confirmation. Ignoring the trend – don’t go against it. Using too many indicators – analysis paralysis. Revenge trading – leads to big losses. Disrespecting stop loss – small loss can become disaster. ✅ How to Master Technical Analysis? Learn from real charts – theory alone won’t help. Practice Daily – track 1-2 instruments closely. Journal Your Trades – analyze what worked/failed. Backtest Setups – check success over historical data. Follow Experts – learn from professional TA traders. Join Communities – share and get feedback. Consistency is the key to mastery. 📈 🧠 Final Thoughts: Why Technical Analysis Works Because humans behave in predictable patterns, and TA captures those behaviors in charts. Whether it’s fear of missing out or panic selling, the psychology leaves footprints on price action. You don’t need to predict the future. You need to react smartly to what the chart is telling you. Mastering technical analysis takes time, patience, and lots of screen time – but once you get it, it becomes a powerful edge in the market.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by TechnicalExpress