EURUSD: buy or sell?EUR/USD continued its recovery on Thursday, rising sharply above 1.0400 as the US Dollar (USD) took a hit.
The pair surged amid mixed market sentiment. A major correction in US bond yields, rising trade tensions and a cautious tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his recent testimony added to the complexity of the story.
The current trend, coupled with the support of the 34 and 89 EMAs, gives us a bullish outlook for EURUSD. Current resistance is at 1.046 with support at 1.042 and 1.038. A break above the 1.046 resistance would open the way for further upside, as seen on the 1-hour chart. Traders can consider taking long positions.
Forex
Gold price trend on February 14, 2025Hello everyone, let's find out how the gold price is doing!
Yesterday, gold regained its bullish momentum as predicted and in line with the long-term trend, with the price reaching $2,934 at one point. The main reason for this increase is that the market has almost brushed aside the pessimistic fluctuations from the currency market, stocks, crude oil, etc... and negative economic reports. This is a sign that the demand for safe-haven gold is still strong, possibly including some central banks for gold, amid the uncertainty and concerns about new US trade tariffs, which could slow down global economic growth, supporting gold.
As observed closely on the 1-hour chart, we can see that gold is moving above the 34 and 89 EMAs, plus the trend has not been broken yet, giving us a bullish outlook for gold. Gold is trading near the resistance level of 2934 with support near the 34 EMA at 2908. A break above the resistance level of 2934 will open the doors for further upside. Consider taking a long position.
Wishing you a profitable trading day!
What is option chain pcr ?The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
The Put Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular metric traders use to gauge market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the number of put options by the number of call options. A high PCR indicates a bearish sentiment, as more traders buy puts, expecting the market to decline
An options chain displays all available option contracts for a security, organized by expiration date and strike price. Options chains typically show each contract's bid price, ask price, volume, open interest, and implied volatility.
What is option trading and how it can be done profitably ?Options traders can profit by being option buyers or option writers. Options allow for potential profit during volatile times, regardless of which direction the market is moving. This is possible because you can use an options trading platform to trade in anticipation of market appreciation or depreciation
Also called the 1-3-2 butterfly spread, it is a common variation if the butterfly spread involving buying one option at a lower strike, selling three at a middle strike, and buying two at a higher strike. This advanced options trading strategy offers more flexibility.
If you think the stock price will stay stable: sell a call option or sell a put option. If you think the stock price will go down: buy a put option, sell a call option. Frederick says to think of options like an insurance policy: You don't get car insurance hoping that you crash your car.
GOLD → Trading strategy for 500 PipsHello dear traders, let's discuss and plan our gold trading strategy for today together!
Currently, gold is trading around $2913 and performing well within the 1-hour upward channel.
The main reason for this price increase is market sentiment, as Trump's tariff policies could potentially trigger a trade war. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is in crisis, causing investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. Furthermore, strong gold buying pressure from Asian countries at the start of the year is also driving demand.
As shown on the 1-hour chart, gold remains above the EMA 34, 89 lines, confirming a strong bullish trend. Despite positive CPI data for currencies, gold's strong recovery signals that buying pressure has returned.
In the short term, we continue to prioritize buy-on-dip strategies :)
BUY zones to watch:
2875 - 2880
2850 - 2855
2830 - 2835
what is support and resistance and how to use it ?The support and resistance (S&R) are specific price points on a chart expected to attract the maximum amount of either buying or selling. The support price is a price at which one can expect more buyers than sellers. Likewise, the resistance price is a price at which one can expect more sellers than buyers.
Using Support and Resistance After a Breakout
Old Resistance Becomes New Support – If the price breaks above resistance, that resistance level may now act as support.
Old Support Becomes New Resistance – If the price breaks below support, that support level may now act as resistance.
Support and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis. They refer to price levels acting as barriers, guiding market direction. These levels help traders make informed decisions on entry/exit points.
How to use indicators in trading ?Indicators do not specifically provide any buy and sell signals; a trader must interpret the signals to determine trade entry and exit points that conform to his or her own unique trading style. Several different types of indicators exist, including those that interpret trend, momentum, volatility, and volume.
Traders will plot a MACD line on a chart. This is the distance between two moving averages. A signal line, which is the moving average of the MACD line, is then added to the mix. If the MACD line cuts through the signal line from below, it can be used as a buy signal.
The strategy is named after its three key components: 5 (five currency pairs to focus on), 3 (only three trading strategies), and 1 (pick one time to trade). The main goal of this forex algo trading strategy is to maintain consistency, minimize risks, and maximize the traders' overall returns.
Sbicard long#Bullish setup for 14-Feb-2025
#SBICARD BUY ABOVE 870
SL 855
TGT 885 912
SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd. has an average target of 785.20. The consensus estimate represents a downside of -4.52% from the last price of 822.40. View 10 reports from 6 analysts offering long-term price targets for SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd..
Growth Ratio: In the last 6 years, the revenues of SBI card have grown at a CAGR of 36% and profits have grown at a CAGR of 27%. That's phenomenal performance. Hence, on growth ratio, I would rate it 10/10.
Bajaj holding and invst
#BAJAJHLDNG
Weekly chart..
Keep an eye on it..
Bajaj Holdings & Investment has demonstrated strong performance, gaining 5.41% on January 31, 2025, and outperforming its sector. The stock is trading above key moving averages, indicating a positive trend, despite a slight decline over the past month. Its resilience in the finance sector is noteworthy.
#BAJFINANCEBajaj Finance breaks out of a multi-year consolidation!
May see a Bullish momentum ahead.
The Bajaj Finance FD has one of the highest AAA(Stable) and CRISIL AAA/STABLE ratings to ensure that your deposits are secured with us and safely invested.
Bajaj Finance Ltd. has an average target of 8511.82. The consensus estimate represents an upside of 0.44% from the last price of 8474.25. View 40 reports from 13 analysts offering long-term price targets for Bajaj Finance Ltd.. Reco - This broker has downgraded this stock from it's previous report.
how to use AI in trading ?In stock trading, AI algorithms can process millions of transactions and analyze this historical data to predict stock market behavior based on previous scenarios. Investors can leverage this knowledge to plan accordingly while taking market volatility into account.
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EURUSD - 15M [SHORT TRADE IDEA]FX:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
XAU#16: Higher-than-expected CPI Will Gold Continue?🔥🔥
💎 💎 💎 Gold has corrected to the 286x area after last night's CPI data. Today we continue to plan for gold. 💎 💎 💎
————————————————————————
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
🔴Higher-than-expected US Inflation, Short-term Gold Volatility
————
1️⃣ January CPI increased by 3%, Core CPI increased by 3.3%, higher than forecast, reducing expectations of Fed rate cuts this year.
2️⃣ USD and bond yields increased (10-year: 4.62%), putting pressure on gold.
3️⃣ Markets cut interest rate cut expectations from 3 to 1, may not cut if PPI remains high.
4️⃣ Gold fluctuates but still has long-term prospects
⚫Gold prices fell after CPI data, but quickly recovered thanks to safe-haven demand.
⚫Bond yields and a stronger USD put pressure on gold, but if the economy weakens, gold could find long-term support.
⚫Factors such as persistent inflation, economic recession and geopolitical instability could still push gold higher in the future.
————————————————————————
Conclusion
Higher-than-expected CPI data reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts, sending US stocks tumbling and the USD soaring. Powell stressed the need to assess further factors before changing monetary policy. Investors need to keep an eye on the upcoming PPI and PCE data for a clearer view of inflation.
—————————————————————————
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: As you can see yesterday closed with a long-legged pinbar. The uptrend of gold is still holding
🔹 **H4 frame**: The uptrend structure on H4 frame is also holding. You can see the price touching the H4 trendline and reacting strongly
🔹 **H1 frame**: You can see H1 is at the old resistance zone. We can wait for the price reaction here to consider setting up a position.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ Gold is currently still in a multi-frame uptrend and still has the basis to set a new peak. However, the price has gone all day and there has been no significant correction. The SELL option will not be considered unless there is a clearer price reaction at the current resistance area.
✅ The current priority is still looking for opportunities to BUY in line with the main trend. You can refer to the plan in the H1 frame plan.
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
Gold Price Today: Sharp Drop Followed by a Sudden SurgeLast night, the global gold price briefly dropped to 2,865 USD/ounce, but it quickly surged back to 2,905 USD/ounce by the morning of February 13, 2025, driven by an increase in demand for safe-haven assets. The initial drop in gold prices was triggered by inflation data from the U.S., with the January 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 0.5%, higher than the expected 0.3%, sparking concerns about the FED's ability to maintain low interest rates. This information dampened expectations of a rate cut, putting pressure on the gold market. However, despite a slight sell-off, concerns about rising inflation and geopolitical tensions continue to fuel strong demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
The recovery in gold prices indicates that investors still trust the value of this precious metal as a hedge against global economic instability. From a technical chart perspective, gold is currently supported by the 2,879 USD/ounce level, setting the stage for a potential upward trend. The next target is to challenge the resistance level of 2,933 USD/ounce. If gold surpasses this level, it could quickly move toward the 2,950 USD/ounce mark. Breaking through the 2,933 USD/ounce resistance would open the door for a stronger rally in the short term, pushing gold toward higher levels and solidifying its position as an essential safe-haven asset in investment portfolios.
How to make a diverse portfolio in the stock market?How to create a diversified stock portfolio?
A diversified portfolio starts with the understanding that you'll have a variety of asset classes. The percentage you invest in each asset class depends on your risk tolerance, time horizon, and goals. A common guideline is a 60/40 split between stocks and bonds, but other model allocations include: Aggressive.The 5% rule of diversification states that one stock should not make up more than 5% of the investor's overall portfolio. Every investor's financial goals will differ as well as their analysis, so this rule may not matter to certain investors and in fact, some investors may want a large concentration in one stock.
what is the use of candlestick patterns in trading ?What is a candlestick? A candlestick is a way of displaying information about an asset's price movement. Candlestick charts are one of the most popular components of technical analysis, enabling traders to interpret price information quickly and from just a few price bars.
Traders use candlestick charts to determine possible price movement based on past patterns. Candlesticks are useful when trading as they show four price points - open, close, high, and low - throughout the period the trader specifies. Many algorithms are based on the price information shown in candlestick charts.
What is the role of timeframes in trading?A general rule is that the longer the time frame, the more reliable the signals being given. As you drill down in time frames, the charts become more polluted with false moves and noise. Ideally, traders should use a longer time frame to define the primary trend of whatever they are trading
The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.
how to trade profitably in volitaile market ?Common strategies to trade volatility include going long puts, shorting calls, shorting straddles or strangles, ratio writing, and iron condors.
When volatility spikes, you have the opportunity to generate an above-average profit, but you also run the risk of losing a great deal of capital in a relatively short period of time. With a disciplined approach, you can learn to manage volatility for your benefit—while minimizing risks.
There are two main methods for trading:
Contracts for Difference (CFDs): This is like predicting whether the price will go up or down. You don't actually own the index, you're just speculating on its movements. ...
Options: Options let you speculate on price movements without risking more than your initial stake.
Best Statergies to do Database trading ?9 data-driven strategies for improved trading decisions
Volatility graphs. Volatility surface mapping is one method that helps decide the best approach in any given market. ...
Moving averages and regression analysis. ...
Machine learning. ...
Computer simulations. ...
The Bollinger Bands. ...
AI investing. ...
Unconventional data. ...
Using new data.
A trader needs to collect three types of market data for algo trading; real-time data, delayed data, and historical data. Real-time data is used while a trader executes an order, it is taken into account at the time of the trade.
How to Use chart patterns in technical analysis ?Setting Entry and Exit Points: Chart patterns enable day traders to set precise entry and exit points. For example, a trader might enter a long position when the price breaks above the upper trendline of a symmetrical triangle and set a stop-loss order below the pattern's lower trendline.
The 123 pattern reversal strategy is a three-swing price formation indicating a potential trend reversal. It consists of three price swings with three swing points, suggesting a change in market direction.
how to do analysis of banknifty?Check Bank Nifty's average daily movement by tracking historical volatility, examining daily price changes, and considering derivative indicators such as option open interest, call/put ratios, and cost-of-carry movements
Technical indicators are key to analysing Bank Nifty movements. Investors can keep an eye on moving averages, option activity, and PCR to analyse Bank Nifty movements. High put-call ratios or short build-up may be signs of a bearish trend, while positive derivative indicators may signal a bullish trend.
To predict the trend of Bank Nifty, traders often combine indicators like Moving Averages, MACD, and RSI. Analysing these indicators together provides insights into potential trend directions.
Option chain pcr and its relevanceThe Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a useful indicator to understand the market sentiment at any given time. A high PCR suggests a bearish market, while a low PCR signals bullish tendencies. It helps investors assess whether the market is leaning towards optimism or pessimism, which can shape investment strategies.
BTC#15: BTC Bottomed Out or Still Falling? Detailed Plan💎 💎 💎 So BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to return to the 96K support zone. However, the price reaction this time is different. We continue to plan for BINANCE:BTCUSDT 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ Macro Perspective
🔹Oklahoma Bitcoin Reserve Bill: If passed, this could be a big step towards legitimizing Bitcoin as a reserve asset, especially in the context of the US's still hesitant attitude towards crypto.
🔹Former Treasury Secretary Summers warns of inflation: This means the Fed could keep interest rates high longer or even increase them again. High interest rate environments are generally not favorable for risky assets like crypto.
🔹Hong Kong confirms BTC & ETH as investment-proof assets: This is a bullish signal as it promotes legitimate investment flows into crypto.
2️⃣ BTC Technical Analysis
🔹 **D Frame** (Daily)
The bears control the SW (supply zone) area, which confirms the short-term downtrend.
Yesterday's candle closed strongly bearish, showing that selling pressure is still strong.
🔹 **H4 Frame**:
The price is retesting the support zone but the buying force is weakening, confirming that the market sentiment is no longer in favor of continuing to pump up.
It is likely that if BTC has a recovery, it will only be a recovery wave to create momentum to break the support zone below.
🔹 **H1 Frame**:
- The price returns to the downtrend channel → the SELL strategy has an advantage in the short term.
- The 94~96K zone may be broken soon, so it is necessary to monitor the price reaction when the price approaches this zone.
3️⃣ Trading strategy
✅ Priority plan: Look for SELL opportunities
Potential entry zone: 94K - 96K (there may be a slight rebound to clear stop loss before breaking down).
Target: 89K - 90K (next strong support).
Stop-loss: Above 97K (if the price breaks up strongly, the bearish scenario will be negated).
⛔ Do not prioritize BUY at this time
The market structure does not support the bulls.
If you want to BUY, you need to wait for a clearer reversal confirmation signal at the 89K support zone
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**💪