NZDJPY SELLSNZDJPY tapped the top of daily supply, aligning with the 88.0 region. While 4H structure is bullish, higher timeframes take priority. Price already flipped 15M structure, giving early bearish confirmation. Short makes sense here with a conservative stop above the daily high. And also if you look at the daily timeframe you can see how bears are in control, 3 times stronger.
Couple of downside targets so let's see.
Forex
Bulls Back in Action Next Stop 3700?Gold finally waking up after a quick nap and it’s breaking out of triangle it was stuck in. Eyes on 3650, the key level to watch. A strong higher-timeframe (H4 or daily) close above this level can open doors for the next leg up, with this week’s high around 3675 as the first target or higher 3700 for main target. Support at 3620–3625 looks solid, giving bulls a strong base to defend. No rejection signals yet, trend still looks healthy and bulls clearly aren’t ready to let go of control just yet.
Gold Breaks Out: Rising Buying Power Amid USD WeaknessMarket Context:
The higher-than-expected Unemployment Claims data (263K vs 235K) has weakened the USD, providing favorable conditions for gold to rise. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations remain stable, but they do not significantly impact gold’s trend.
XAUUSD is showing a strong upward trend, with gold trading within a solid ascending channel. The support at 3,615.000 USD has been tested and confirmed, providing a stable foundation for further gains. After breaking the 3,650.000 USD resistance, gold has the potential to continue its breakout towards 3,700.000 USD, supported by strong buying sentiment and technical indicators backing the bullish trend.
We continue to see strong investor preference for gold as the USD weakens, especially amid expectations of economic stability.
TCS 1H Time frameTCS 1-Hour Snapshot
Price is around ₹3,110
Showing small gains in recent sessions
Has been under pressure from broader IT sector weakness, but holding above some short-term support
🔎 Technical Indicators & Trend
Moving Averages (short-term hourly) are slightly below current price → providing support
Medium-term MAs (50-hour etc.) are above → resistance overhead
RSI (hourly) is moderately neutral—neither strongly overbought nor oversold
Trend strength appears modest; no sharp momentum bars or volume spikes indicating breakout
🔧 Support & Resistance Levels (1H)
Support: ~₹3,080–₹3,090 first support zone
Resistance: ~₹3,130–₹3,140 nearby resistance
🧭 Short-Term Outlook
Bullish Case: A break above ~₹3,130-3,140 with volume could push toward ~₹3,160
Bearish Case: If it fails to break resistance and drops below ~₹3,090, possible move toward ~₹3,060
Overall Bias: Slightly bullish to neutral; waiting for confirmation from resistance breakout
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone,
The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand.
On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge.
My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone.
In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region.
What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
Bulls Pausing, Bears Hopeless? Gold Awaits CPI TriggerGold is currently taking a breather after its strong bull run, just as highlighted in the last couple of updates. On the daily chart, price action is consolidating within the 3620–3650/55 zone, and with CPI data lined up today, a breakout from this range could set the next decisive move.
Sentiment-wise, bulls remain in full control, while bears look like they’re running out of steam. Still, a healthy reset is overdue after such an extended rally. From a price action perspective, there are no clear signs of reversal on any major timeframe yet. The key support to watch remains 3600 on a daily closing basis. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure is safe.
If 3600 gives way, we could see a deeper pullback toward 3589 (Fib 0.236 support) and then into the 3550–55 zone, which stands as the next strong secondary support. Until then, consolidation here should be treated as part of the ongoing bullish cycle rather than a trend reversal.
XAUUSD: Breaking Through ResistanceXAUUSD is currently trading within a clear uptrend channel, with strong support at 3,620. The 1-hour chart shows that gold has bounced strongly from this support level, confirming that the uptrend remains intact. With support from EMA 34 and EMA 89, XAUUSD is likely to continue its upward momentum and target higher levels.
The current uptrend channel shows the price is moving within a clearly defined range, with higher lows consecutively forming. The next resistance is at 3,680, and if gold breaks through this level, it could extend its rise toward higher targets. The 3,620 level remains a crucial support, and as long as the price stays above this level, the chances of further increases are high.
Impact of News
With the forecasted PPI dropping from 0.9% to 0.3%, this could reduce inflation expectations and weaken the USD, providing favorable conditions for gold to continue rising.
NIFTY 1D Time frame📍 NIFTY – 1D Important Levels
🔹 Support Zones
22,200 – 22,300 → Immediate daily support
21,900 – 22,000 → Strong support zone; buyers likely to step in here
21,500 – 21,600 → Major support; breakdown may shift trend to bearish
🔹 Resistance Zones
22,700 – 22,800 → Immediate daily resistance
23,000 – 23,100 → Strong resistance; breakout may fuel next leg higher
23,400 – 23,500 → Major resistance; if crossed, long-term bullish momentum strengthens
⚖️ Daily Trend Outlook
Nifty is currently in a bullish trend on the daily chart, making higher lows and sustaining above key moving averages.
Momentum remains strong as long as price holds above 22,200.
A breakout above 22,800 will likely push the index toward 23,000 – 23,500.
A breakdown below 22,200 could invite selling pressure toward 22,000 – 21,600.
BAJAJ_AUTO 1D Time frame📍 BAJAJ_AUTO – 1D Important Levels (Current)
🔹 Support Zones
9,050 – 9,100 → Immediate daily support
8,800 – 8,900 → Strong support; buyers likely to defend this zone
8,500 – 8,600 → Major support; breakdown here may shift trend bearish
🔹 Resistance Zones
9,300 – 9,400 → Immediate daily resistance
9,550 – 9,650 → Strong resistance zone; breakout may extend upside momentum
9,800 – 10,000 → Major psychological resistance; if crossed, bullish trend strengthens further
⚖️ Daily Trend Outlook
Bajaj Auto is in a bullish structure on the daily chart, forming higher lows.
As long as price stays above 9,050, the stock remains positive.
A breakout above 9,400 – 9,650 can take it towards 9,800 – 10,000.
A breakdown below 9,050 could drag it towards 8,900 – 8,600.
TATAMOTOR 1H Tata Motors – 1 Hour Chart Analysis
🔹 Trend Overview
On the 1-hour chart, Tata Motors is currently showing bullish momentum with higher highs and higher lows.
However, price is also facing some resistance near the upper range, so intraday swings are possible.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support Zone: around ₹706 – ₹709
Stronger Support: near ₹700
Immediate Resistance Zone: around ₹717 – ₹721
Major Resistance: around ₹734 – ₹735
🔹 Intraday Trading View
If price holds above ₹709, bulls may push towards ₹721 – ₹734.
If price slips below ₹706, a retest of ₹700 – ₹695 is possible.
Consolidation is likely in the ₹709 – ₹721 range before any major breakout.
🔹 Indicators (1-Hour Chart)
Moving Averages → Price trading above 20 EMA and 50 EMA, showing short-term strength.
RSI → Near the 60–65 zone, still bullish but close to overbought.
Volume → Slightly increasing on up-moves, showing buyers are active.
🔹 Summary
Bias: Bullish to range-bound
Support Levels: ₹706 / ₹700
Resistance Levels: ₹721 / ₹734
Intraday traders should watch the ₹709 – ₹721 band for breakout or breakdown trades.
XAUUSD 1H📍 XAUUSD – 1H Key Levels
🔹 Support Zones
$1925 – $1927 → Immediate intraday support
$1918 – $1920 → Stronger short-term support
$1910 – $1912 → Major support zone, breakdown could trigger deeper fall
🔹 Resistance Zones
$1935 – $1937 → First intraday resistance
$1945 – $1947 → Strong resistance area where sellers may re-enter
$1955 – $1960 → Major resistance; breakout above this can fuel a larger rally
⚖️ Quick Summary
Above $1935, bulls may push toward $1945 – $1960.
Below $1920, bears could drag price back to $1910 – $1900.
Range to monitor: $1920 – $1935 (decisive breakout will set next trend).
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis
🔹 Trend Overview
On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is currently showing short-term bullish bias but with nearby resistance.
Price action is making higher lows, but upside moves are facing supply zones.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support Zone: $1918 – $1922
Major Support: $1910 – $1912
Immediate Resistance Zone: $1935 – $1940
Stronger Resistance: $1950
🔹 Indicators (1H Chart)
Moving Averages → Price trading above 20 EMA and near 50 EMA, showing short-term strength.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) → Around 60–65, leaning bullish but not overbought.
MACD → Positive crossover, momentum favoring buyers.
Volume → Buying volume spikes at dips, showing accumulation.
🔹 Intraday Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case
If price sustains above $1935, upside can extend to $1945 – $1950.
Breakout above $1950 opens path toward $1960+.
Bearish Case
If price drops below $1922, retracement towards $1912 – $1910 is possible.
Strong breakdown below $1910 may test $1900.
🔹 Summary
Bias: Mildly Bullish (as long as above $1920 support)
Support Levels: $1922 / $1910
Resistance Levels: $1935 / $1950
Traders should watch the $1920 – $1935 zone for the next decisive move.
NIFTY1!📍 NIFTY1! – 1H Key Levels
🔹 Support Zones
22,450 – 22,500 → Immediate intraday support
22,350 – 22,400 → Stronger support, buyers likely active here
22,200 – 22,250 → Major support zone, breakdown can invite selling pressure
🔹 Resistance Zones
22,650 – 22,700 → Immediate resistance on 1H chart
22,800 – 22,850 → Strong resistance area, breakout may fuel rally
23,000 → Psychological and major resistance zone
⚖️ Quick Summary
Above 22,700, momentum may push Nifty Futures towards 22,850 – 23,000.
Below 22,450, weakness could drag price back to 22,350 – 22,200.
Current 1H trend bias is mildly bullish, but range-bound moves are possible between 22,450 – 22,700 before a breakout.
BTCUSD📍 BTCUSD – 1H Key Levels
🔹 Support Zones
$55,200 – $55,500 → Immediate intraday support
$54,500 – $54,800 → Strong support zone, buyers likely to defend here
$53,800 – $54,000 → Major support, breakdown here could trigger deeper correction
🔹 Resistance Zones
$56,800 – $57,000 → Immediate 1H resistance
$57,800 – $58,200 → Strong resistance, breakout can fuel further upside
$59,000 – $59,500 → Major resistance, likely to act as a supply zone
⚖️ Quick Summary
As long as BTCUSD trades above $55,500, short-term bias remains bullish.
Breakout above $57,000 may push price towards $58,200 – $59,500.
Breakdown below $54,800 may drag price back towards $54,000 – $53,800.
Current 1H bias: Range-bound to bullish, waiting for a breakout from $55,500 – $57,000 zone.
BANKNIFTY 1Hour Time frame📍 Bank Nifty – 1H Important Levels (Current)
🔹 Support Zones
47,800 – 47,900 → Immediate intraday support
47,400 – 47,500 → Strong support; buyers expected to defend here
47,000 – 47,100 → Major support; breakdown here can invite heavy selling
🔹 Resistance Zones
48,400 – 48,500 → Immediate 1H resistance
48,800 – 48,900 → Strong resistance zone
49,200 – 49,300 → Major resistance; breakout here may fuel a rally
⚖️ Quick Summary
Bias: Range-bound with a bullish tilt as long as Bank Nifty trades above 47,800.
Breakout above 48,500 can push towards 48,900 – 49,300.
Breakdown below 47,800 can drag the index to 47,400 – 47,000.
Current watch zone: 47,800 – 48,500.
USDJPY 1H📍 USDJPY – 1H
🔹 Support Zones
147.80 – 148.00 → Immediate intraday support
147.30 – 147.50 → Strong support; buyers likely active
146.80 – 147.00 → Major support; breakdown here may extend bearish momentum
🔹 Resistance Zones
148.50 – 148.70 → Immediate intraday resistance
149.00 – 149.20 → Strong resistance; breakout can trigger further rally
149.70 – 150.00 → Major psychological resistance
⚖️ Quick Summary
Bias: Currently range-bound with a bullish tilt as long as price stays above 147.80.
Breakout above 148.70 may open the way towards 149.20 – 150.00.
Breakdown below 147.80 may drag price back to 147.30 – 147.00.
Current watch zone: 147.80 – 148.70.
NIFTY 1H Important Levels 📍 NIFTY – 1H Important Levels
🔹 Support Zones
22,350 – 22,400 → Immediate intraday support
22,200 – 22,250 → Strong support zone
22,000 – 22,050 → Major support; breakdown here may trigger deeper selling
🔹 Resistance Zones
22,600 – 22,650 → Immediate resistance on 1H chart
22,800 – 22,850 → Strong resistance; breakout can push momentum higher
23,000 → Major psychological resistance
⚖️ Quick Summary
Bias: Mildly bullish as long as Nifty trades above 22,350.
Breakout above 22,650 may extend the rally towards 22,850 – 23,000.
Breakdown below 22,350 may drag it towards 22,200 – 22,000.
Current watch zone: 22,350 – 22,650.
Gold: Eyeing a Break Above 3,600Hello everyone, gold is approaching a critical juncture where both fundamentals and technicals appear aligned in favour of further upside.
Weak US labour data combined with growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in September have weighed on yields and the dollar, creating a supportive backdrop for gold. The next key catalysts lie in US inflation prints (CPI/PPI). As long as easing expectations dominate, the metal enjoys a clear tailwind.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud with solid demand layers at 3,565–3,555 and 3,545–3,535. The 3,595–3,600 zone is the immediate psychological barrier, yet selling pressure looks insufficient to derail the trend.
My view: gold is likely to push through 3,600 soon, extending towards 3,615–3,630, with potential to reach 3,650 if momentum holds.
Do you think gold will clear 3,600 decisively this week? Share your thoughts below.
Gold Cooling Off After ATH Consolidation or Correction?Gold cooled off a bit after hitting a fresh ATH around 3675, right near the monthly R3 level. This pullback, however, looks more like a healthy breather than any real weakness, since the key 3600 support is still holding strong. Right now, price is taking support around 3620–25, and bulls are doing a good job defending this zone. As long as this area stays intact(H4 close), the higher-high structure remains valid, meaning gold can easily revisit 3650 or even push back toward the highs.
For now, we can say this as a normal pullback within the trend rather than a reversal. To call it a reversal, we need to see a lower high form on the higher timeframes. Until that happens, some sideways consolidation here makes sense, with 3600 being the big level to keep an eye on for any breakdown.
SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital SEBI Expedites IPO Approvals: A Deep Dive into India’s Capital Market Shift
1. Introduction
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has recently undertaken a significant step—fast-tracking Initial Public Offering (IPO) approvals. Traditionally, IPO approval in India has been a lengthy process, often stretching to six months. But SEBI’s new measures aim to cut this time nearly in half, potentially bringing it down to three months or less.
This shift comes at a time when India’s equity markets are booming, with record levels of fundraising expected in 2025. After raising around $20.5 billion through IPOs in 2024, analysts predict that 2025 could surpass this figure. According to reports, $8.2 billion has already been raised so far in 2025, with an additional $13 billion in IPOs already approved and nearly ₹18.7 billion pending approval.
2. Why SEBI is Expediting IPO Approvals
Several factors are driving SEBI to accelerate the IPO pipeline:
Surging Investor Appetite
Indian retail participation in stock markets has seen an explosion in recent years.
Over 11 crore Demat accounts are active as of 2025, compared to just 3.6 crore in 2019.
More retail investors mean more demand for IPOs, making faster approvals essential.
Global Capital Flows
India is seen as one of the fastest-growing large economies.
With global investors diversifying away from China, India is attracting billions in Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs).
A streamlined IPO process will help India capture this liquidity flow before it moves elsewhere.
Boosting Startup Ecosystem
Unicorns like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, and WeWork India are preparing for listings.
Startups require quicker capital-raising routes to compete globally.
Regulatory Efficiency and AI Adoption
SEBI is now deploying AI-powered document screening tools to check IPO filings.
This reduces human delays and allows faster compliance checks.
Collaboration with merchant bankers and exchanges has also been strengthened.
Record Fundraising Target
SEBI expects India to break the $20B mark again in 2025, possibly setting an all-time record.
Expedited approvals are central to making this happen.
3. How the New Approval System Works
Traditionally, IPO approvals involved multiple manual steps:
Filing of Draft Red Herring Prospectus (DRHP).
SEBI reviews disclosures, company financials, risk factors, and governance.
Queries are raised with the company, leading to back-and-forth communication.
Final approval takes 4–6 months.
Now under the fast-track mechanism:
AI Pre-Screening: Automated checks scan filings for missing data, compliance issues, and inconsistencies.
Concurrent Review: Instead of sequential reviews, SEBI, merchant bankers, and exchanges review documents simultaneously.
Time-Bound Queries: Companies are given strict deadlines to respond to SEBI’s queries.
Standardization: Risk disclosure formats and governance checks are now standardized across sectors.
This is expected to cut approval timelines by 40–50%.
4. IPO Pipeline for 2025
Some big-ticket IPOs in the pipeline include:
PhysicsWallah (₹3,820 crore) – Edtech unicorn expanding into AI-driven education.
Urban Company – Already raised ₹854 crore from anchor investors; IPO opening soon.
LG Electronics India – Large consumer electronics brand targeting India’s growing tech-savvy population.
WeWork India – Despite global challenges, the Indian arm remains profitable and expansion-focused.
Credila Financial Services – Education loan subsidiary of HDFC, a high-demand financial segment.
The SME IPO market is equally hot with listings like Goel Construction debuting at a 15% premium and Prozeal Green Energy getting SEBI approval.
5. Benefits of Faster IPO Approvals
For Companies
Quicker access to capital for expansion.
Ability to capitalize on favorable market sentiment without delays.
Reduced costs of prolonged regulatory processes.
For Investors
More frequent and diverse IPO opportunities.
Increased transparency due to standardized disclosures.
Higher liquidity as more firms enter the public market.
For Indian Markets
Strengthened image of India as an investment hub.
Alignment with global best practices (US SEC and Hong Kong’s IPO process are faster).
Improved global competitiveness for Indian startups.
6. Risks and Challenges
Speed vs. Quality
Faster approvals must not compromise on due diligence.
Weak companies slipping through could hurt investor trust.
Market Saturation
Too many IPOs in a short span could lead to oversupply, reducing listing gains.
Retail Investor Overexposure
Retail investors may flock to IPOs without understanding fundamentals, increasing risk of losses.
Global Volatility
Geopolitical tensions, US interest rate decisions, or oil price shocks can derail IPO plans.
7. Global Context
Globally, IPO markets have been mixed:
US Markets: Tech IPOs are recovering but still face valuation pressure.
China: Tighter regulations have slowed down IPO fundraising.
Middle East: Saudi Arabia and UAE continue to see large IPOs in energy and infrastructure.
In this scenario, India is positioning itself as a global IPO leader, especially in the tech and services sector.
8. Investor Strategy for 2025 IPOs
For investors, the IPO rush creates both opportunities and challenges. Some strategies include:
Focus on Fundamentals
Look for companies with strong financials, governance, and growth potential.
Avoid IPOs driven purely by hype.
Anchor Investor Signals
Strong anchor participation (like Urban Company’s ₹854 Cr funding) signals institutional confidence.
Sector Plays
Edtech, Renewable Energy, Fintech, and Consumer Services are hot sectors.
Traditional sectors like construction and manufacturing are also showing resilience.
Listing Gains vs. Long-Term Holding
Some IPOs (like Goel Construction SME) deliver quick listing pops.
Larger IPOs (like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company) may be better for long-term growth.
9. Case Study: Urban Company IPO
Urban Company is a prime example of SEBI’s faster approval ecosystem.
Filed DRHP earlier in 2025.
Received SEBI approval within 12 weeks.
Raised ₹854 crore from anchors before IPO launch.
Price band set at the higher end, reflecting strong demand.
Market analysts project strong long-term growth given India’s rising demand for home services.
This showcases how SEBI’s new process benefits both issuers and investors.
10. Conclusion
SEBI’s decision to expedite IPO approvals is a game-changer for India’s financial markets. By cutting approval times, using AI-driven compliance, and standardizing processes, SEBI is creating a faster, more transparent, and investor-friendly IPO environment.
With major companies like PhysicsWallah, Urban Company, Neilsoft, and Prozeal entering the market, and regulatory support from SEBI, 2025 is poised to be a record-breaking year for IPO fundraising in India.
However, investors must balance enthusiasm with caution—choosing fundamentally strong IPOs, monitoring global market conditions, and avoiding blind bets driven by hype.
In essence, SEBI’s move reflects India’s ambition to emerge as a global capital-raising hub, connecting domestic growth stories with global capital at unprecedented speed and scale.
NIFTY50 index levelsKey Levels & Swing Trade Outlook (1-Hour Timeframe)
Resistance & Support (Broader Technical View)
Key Resistance Zones:
24,900–25,000 range (daily level)—a critical breakout area
Slightly higher potential if breakout occurs, toward 25,200+
Immediate Support Zones:
24,750–24,800 level
Broader range support at 24,620–24,700
More defensive base near 24,400 (longer-term)
Intraday Pivot Levels (Based on latest derived pivots)
From Moneycontrol, for the current trading session:
Classic Pivot R1: 24,855 | R2: 24,937 | R3: 24,989
Classic Pivot S1: 24,721 | S2: 24,669 | S3: 24,587
1-Hour Swing Trading Perspective
Although explicit 1-hour pivot data is not readily available, we can infer swing strategies using the broader technical context and typical indicators:
1-Hour Swing Fundamentals:
Use short-term moving averages (e.g., 20/50 EMA) to gauge trend direction. The index is trading above these on shorter timeframes, suggesting intraday bullish bias
Common indicators: RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD, etc.
Gold: Positive Momentum with Room Towards 3,700Gold continues to draw strength from supportive fundamentals. Rate cut expectations in the US remain strong, while steady inflows into low-cost ETFs are reinforcing the longer-term bullish case. In Asia, weaker GDP data from Japan and disappointing trade numbers from China have added to safe-haven demand.
On the 2H chart, the uptrend is visible: price trades above the rising Ichimoku cloud, with successive FVG blocks offering a “ladder” of support. The nearest resistance stands around 3,645–3,650. Below, support is layered at 3,628–3,618, 3,605–3,595, and further down at 3,580–3,565.
The likely path is sideways accumulation below 3,650 before another push higher towards 3,670–3,685. If momentum persists, 3,700–3,715 becomes achievable. Weakness would only show if the 2H candle closes under 3,595, and a decisive break of 3,565 would expose 3,540–3,525. CPI and PPI prints from the US, alongside 10Y yield movements, remain the key variables to watch.
Gold (XAUUSD) 1:4 intraday buy scenario.Gold is in up move and forming a good buy scenario on 30/15-minute chart. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan.
1. 30/15m bullish FVG is pending and price is showing pull back towards it.
2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF.
3. Order flow confirming bullish bias.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:4) trade scenario.
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Gold Stretched but Strong Waiting for PullbackGold is moving aggressively and relentlessly, day by day, with no signs of exhaustion. The price has once again printed a fresh all-time high and is now trading around 3650, pushing higher without any meaningful rejection on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Momentum remains strong, but the rally is clearly stretched, and chasing buys at these levels looks more like FOMO than a high-probability setup. On the Fibonacci extension, the next major resistance is seen at 3681, which also aligns with the monthly R3 level, making it a critical zone to watch. Buying directly into this resistance is risky, and the better approach is to wait for a healthy pullback before looking for new longs. On the downside, 3600 now acts as immediate support, followed by 3550 as the secondary support level. As long as these supports hold, the broader structure remains bullish, but patience will be key for catching the next move.