Continue sales strategy and long-term goalsHello dear friends, let's explore USDJPY together!
Regarding the impact of news: The US dollar (USD), up until now, is struggling to gain any meaningful traction amid speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin an interest rate cut cycle in June, supported by US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE). The index on Friday. This may contribute to preventing any significant upward movement of the USD/JPY pair. Currently, traders are awaiting the release of important US macroeconomic data expected at the beginning of the new month, starting with the ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday to set the tone ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday.
Conclusion on USDJPY and trend: Ahead of the expected news today, as this factor could bring unpredictable declines, we need to understand that maintaining stability within the range of the bullish channel could provide an advantage for bears participating in the market.
In the short term, from a technical analysis perspective: With the current trend, a decline is possible. There is evidence to suggest that once the resistance level is touched, it will continue to move downwards, as indicated by RSI divergence remaining unchanged.
Forex
Gold price continues to adjust after increasing sequentially!Hello dear friends, today gold continues to hold its ground at a high level despite some slight adjustments, but overall the price increase shows no signs of cooling down.
Currently, the price of gold is trading around $2250, down 150 pips from yesterday as precious metals undergo a correction after a strong surge.
Looking ahead, gold continues to be supported by the safe-haven demand due to the early rate cuts by the Fed. The ongoing war is causing economic downturn in some countries, leading investors to flock to gold. However, in the short term, the price is forming a new peak at high levels and a downward trendline is emerging. Following the principle, gold is expected to retrace back to the EMA 89 after breaking the support level at $2235.
Today, let's continue to look for selling opportunities. Wishing everyone happy trading and profitable outcomes!
Trading plan for April 2nd:
👨💻 XAUUSD BUY zone 2231 - 2229 🔹SL 2225 🔹TP 2240 - 2250 - 2260
Wishing you all full TP 💵💵💵
What's interesting about gold today? Up or down?
Welcome, everyone! Last week was nothing short of a gold fever, as the precious metal reached unprecedented heights. Fast forward to today, gold has once again soared, hitting $2265, marking a notable increase of $25 in the early hours of Monday's trading session.
This surge in gold's value is primarily driven by declining treasury bond yields and a weakening USD, with anticipated Fed rate cuts serving as a potent catalyst for this splendid revival.
Looking into today's trajectory and the week ahead, the outlook on gold remains positive. However, we might witness a slight consolidation following the recent explosive recovery as the metal seeks a healthy correction to bolster its upward journey, alongside a reevaluation of its EMA line.
The support zone to watch ranges from $2225 to $2235, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 - 0.618.
If you find this detailed insight intriguing, don't hesitate to hit like and share your thoughts in the comments section!
EURUSD ANALYSISFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
GBPUSD: Trend still mysterious!GBP/USD held steady today, hovering slightly up around 1.2630 during Asian hours on Monday. The US dollar's daily losses recover somewhat amid risk aversion ahead of the release of US ISM Manufacturing PMI data expected later in the North American session, capping levels increase of this currency pair.
Looking at the short-term outlook: The pair appears to be navigating a sideways trend with the 34 and 89 EMAs in line with the current price action, suggesting minimal fluctuations until the end of the day.
EURUSD: Downtrend is still strongThe EURUSD continues to maintain a price below the 1.0800 level after facing significant downward pressure last week. The current trading level is 1.078, with a slight recovery indicated by a green candle at the beginning of the week. However, this increase has yet to be confirmed as safe, as technical analysis on the daily chart shows a convergence between price and EMA, creating a barrier and challenge to the potential continuation of the EURUSD's recovery.
The outlook remains bearish for this currency pair in the coming period, with a defensive target at the 1.070 level.
AUDUSD rebound remains elusive below 0.6500AUDUSD portrays a corrective bounce from the lowest level in a month, snapping a three-day downtrend, amid mixed data/events from Australia. Also allowing the Aussie pair to consolidate recent losses is the market’s reaction to the upbeat data from China, Australia’s biggest customer, as well as the below 50 levels of the RSI line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 0.6500 support confluence, comprising an ascending trend line from early November and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s late 2023 moves, challenge the bullish bias. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.6500 support-turned-resistance, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA near 0.6545-50 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Following that, the 0.6600 threshold and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since January, near 0.6635-40, will be the last defenses of the pair sellers before giving control to the bulls.
On the contrary, a two-month-old horizontal support around 0.6475 restricts the immediate downside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the yearly low marked in February around 0.6445. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6445, the early November swing lows surrounding 0.6340 and 0.6320 could test the sellers before directing them to the previous yearly low of 0.6270. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 0.6270 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the year 2022 bottom around 0.6170.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to remain bearish and the latest recovery appears less convincing.
April 2, 2024 trading strategyThe record rise in gold prices is a sign that investors are worried that the Fed will not be able to control inflation when it starts cutting interest rates.
Investors should wait for a pullback before buying. Gold may return to the price of 2,150 USD and will attract a number of new investors. The upward trend of world gold prices continues as the market is witnessing that central banks of countries are selling off the USD. to buy gold.
If the US job market is stronger than expected, combined with "persistent" inflation, it may force the Fed to delay the start of the monetary policy loosening cycle. This will negatively impact precious metals.
Update the latest gold price today!Warm greetings, beloved traders! Let's strategize for the gold market this week!
Last week, gold experienced an impressive and strong upward trend, reaching its all-time high. Today, we see this precious metal surging to $2,263, marking a $31 increase in the early hours of Monday's trading session.
The rise in gold is primarily driven by lower bond yields and a weakened US dollar, along with anticipated interest rate cuts by the Fed, which serve as strong catalysts for this vibrant recovery.
Looking at the trajectory of gold today and this week, the long-term prospects remain optimistic. However, a slight consolidation may occur after the recent sharp increase as the metal seeks a healthy correction to solidify its upward journey. The support zone to monitor fluctuates between $2,200 - $2,215.
Wishing you a prosperous and exciting trading week ahead!
XAU price today April 1, 2024 reached a historic peakCME's FedWatch probability indicator shows that there is a 62% chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in June. Lower interest rates often weaken the USD, making gold more attractive for investors holding other currencies.
Another important factor contributing to the rise in gold prices is the continued purchase of physical gold by central banks around the world. Increased demand will directly impact prices, pushing gold prices to record highs.
ECB policy planning member Francois Villeroy said that achieving the ECB's 2% inflation target is feasible. At the same time, he also warned about potential risks if the ECB does not cut interest rates. ECB executive board member Fabio Panetta hinted on Thursday that "the conditions for launching an easy monetary policy are gradually emerging."
According to experts, central banks' gold purchases, impending interest rate cuts and concerns about inflation are the driving forces for gold prices to continue to increase in the short term.
Bob Haberkorn, an expert at RJO Futures, said that closer to June, the market will see gold prices rise higher due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Fed.
USDJPY : The trend is not clear yet!Hello dear friends! Today, USDJPY continued a series of lackluster trading days, with prices stagnant compared to last week, fluctuating around the 151,300 mark due to lack of momentum and dependence on market news.
Short-term expectations suggest stable volatility within a range, with little intraday volatility expected as EMA indicators remain inconclusive. Waiting for a breakout from this consolidation to identify a more favorable entry point. The luckiest!
Gold prices continue to receive supportOpening the new week, gold witnessed a strong breakthrough, with a sudden increase of nearly 25 USD, reaching a record high of 2265 USD in just the first hours of Monday. This growth marks a historic turning point, clearly reflecting investors' preference for gold - a safe haven option amid growing economic instability concerns and forecasts. interest rates.
Another factor driving up gold prices is the fact that central banks around the world are constantly increasing physical gold reserves. This accumulation not only reflects confidence in the sustainable value of gold but also creates strong demand pressure, pushing the price of this precious metal to unprecedented levels.
With current developments, gold is still forecast to maintain a positive growth momentum. However, a slight correction may be necessary to further consolidate this bullish trend. In the short-term scenario, a slight retracement is expected to occur, with support expected to be around 0.5 to 0.618 according to the Fibonacci ratio, opening up opportunities for flexible traders to seize. Wishing all investors a successful and exciting trading week!
EURUSD: End of stable trading session!Hello EURUSD observers!
The currency pair ended the week on a gentle note, hovering around the 1.0789 level with a strong downward trend. It seems unaffected by the US PCE inflation data and maintains a stable trajectory.
Looking ahead, I predict that the EURUSD exchange rate will continue to decline, with an immediate stop at 1.076. The EMA lines at 34 and 89 indicate a trend for further downturns!
USDJPY grinds within immediate range amid holiday-shortened weekUSDJPY registered the first weekly loss in three amid mixed concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) next move, especially when the policymakers hesitated to stick to the hawkish plan after the first rate hike in 17 years. However, the broad US Dollar strength and an upbeat performance of the yields put a floor under the prices. Apart from the mixed fundamentals, the Yen pair’s inability to break the seven-week-old horizontal support zone surrounding 150.75-90, as well as cross an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from March 20, close to the 152.00 threshold, restrict short-term moves of the pair. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 100 and 200 SMA join steady oscillators to keep the buyers hopeful. That said, an upside clearance of the 152.00 immediate resistance could quickly propel the prices toward a three-week-old support-turned-resistance, around 152.90. Following that, the June 1990 high of 155.80 will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, a downside break of the seven-week-old horizontal support of 150.75-90 will direct the USDJPY sellers toward the 200 and 100 SMA levels, respectively near 150.00 and 149.75 at the latest. In a case where the Yen pair sellers keep the reins past 149.75, the March 18 swing high of 149.30 and the 149.00 round figure will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the sellers toward the previous monthly high of near 146.50.
Overall, the mixed catalysts join the Easter Monday holiday in major markets and a light calendar to restrict the USDJPY pair’s moves. However, the quote remains on the bull’s radar.
Gold ends Q1 2024 at record high, what's next?Gold has surged to an all-time high of $2,233, surpassing the quiet trading atmosphere during the Easter holiday, which reduced market activity. The global pause on Good Friday, particularly in major markets including the US, has significantly eased the usual chaos surrounding the price of gold.
Despite the temporary lull, the trajectory of gold seems poised to rise even higher, propelled by the ambitious target set by the Bull Flag at $2,251, enticing buyers to push up the price. For gold traders, surpassing the historical milestone of $2,236 is crucial to maintain the upward momentum.
Now, all attention is focused on the round figure of $2,300 as the next milestone for gold enthusiasts. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently in overbought territory, suggests a potential retracement before the next price increase.
However, any expected pullback is likely to find solid support at the previous all-time high of $2,223, with the $2,200 level considered an important test for gold's recovery potential.
XAUUSD - Trading in the green!Hello dear friends, let's explore the gold market over the past week!
The previous week was particularly significant for gold, as it experienced a strong surge in price, reaching its all-time high of around $2,237. This increase in price was driven by market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Fed, prompting investors to flock towards gold and driving its value up in a sea of green.
Looking ahead, I remain optimistic about the price hike. Based on technical analysis, gold has yet to show signs of forming a peak, indicating that there is still an opportunity for further upward movement. The trading price is above the EMA 34 and 89 lines, and by utilizing the Fibonacci method, gold is aiming for an initial profit target at 1.618, equivalent to $2,533.
However, before reaching this first profit target, gold will likely undergo some corrections.
What are your thoughts on the future price of gold?
Gold price today: Continuously increasing!The global price of gold has seen an impressive increase, rising by $38.8 to $2,233 per ounce, marking its strongest month of activity in over 3 years. This surge has been driven by expectations of interest rate cuts in the US and strong demand for safe-haven assets. Spot gold has risen nearly 2%, reaching its highest point since July 2020 with a 9% increase, ensuring a second consecutive quarter of growth.
The future of gold appears bright, with potential for further gains if the market predicts deeper interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. This precious metal is poised to maintain its high levels in the short term until buying momentum begins to weaken.
GBPUSD trading strategyHello dear trading community! Today, let's explore the GBPUSD pair together!
Currently, GBPUSD is moving steadily, fluctuating around the 1.263 level, with minimal changes compared to yesterday's session. It seems that today, with the world on holiday, there won't be many significant fluctuations affecting our trading strategy.
In the short term, the range between 1.264 and 1.259 is the battleground for GBPUSD. Any violation at these levels could signal a breakthrough, setting the stage for the next wave of buying or selling action!
GBPUSDWelcome investors,
As we close this weekly trade, our attention is directed towards the GBP/USD currency pair. What is worth noting is the stability, with price fluctuating around the 1.261 unit, accurately reflecting our draw forecast of a sideways trend from today past.
During the second half of the week, we found the US Dollar exerting pressure on the GBP/USD pair. Comments from midweek by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated that the Fed has no end in sight to reducing interest rates amid the excess formula. He emphasized that a precise stretch knot may be required to provide the desired 2% stability.
In the current situation, the GBP/USD pair maintains its hardware unchanged, continuing to forecast a slight downtrend by correcting downwards towards the 1.267 area. Looking ahead to next week, sellers may look for opportunities to strengthen around 1,251 support.
EURUSD: Bears continue to dominate the market!Hey there, forex family! Today, EURUSD takes a momentary pause as the global market enters a holiday period. However, looking ahead, the US dollar is strengthening, influenced by hawkish sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve and expectations of higher interest rates.
Technical analysis adds to the story, as the price breaks below the 1.0800 support level and trades below both the EMA 34 and 89, currently favoring the sellers. Our preferred move is to target a decline to the 1.0700 level.
USDJPY : Continues to move sideways above the high price range !The USDJPY pair continues to trade quietly and seemingly stagnant at record highs, lacking upward momentum. The prevailing trend favors a sideways movement despite signals from the EMA 34 and 89 continuing to support an upward bias.
From a technical standpoint, any further price increase may encounter strong resistance and remain limited near the 152.00 level. The mentioned barrier will act as a key pivot point, and if decisively broken, it would be considered a new catalyst for bullish traders. With oscillators on the daily chart holding in positive territory, the USD/JPY pair could extend the well-established uptrend since January 2023 and climb further towards the psychological level of 153.00.
On the other hand, the overnight low volatility around the 151.00 level seems to be protecting the immediate downside. Any further decline is likely to attract new buyers and still be limited near the support area of 150.25. Keeping an eye on the psychological level of 150.00, a decisive break below it could potentially accelerate the downward correction process for the USD/JPY pair towards the region of 149.35-149.30 en route to the round number of 149.00.
USDJPY: Price continues to stand still!Today, USDJPY concluded its trading activities around the level of 151.35, with little change due to continued subdued trading throughout the past week. The strength of the US dollar, reinforced by hawkish statements from Fed officials, has not yet provided enough motivation for a significant increase in this currency pair.
In the short term, the trend remains uncertain as USDJPY moves steadily within a range. The EMA lines also do not indicate a clear trend direction, so we will wait for a breakout from the current pattern to determine a more strategic and secure entry point!