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GBPUSD fades bounce off 200-SMA after three-week uptrendGBPUSD prints mild losses around 1.2700 early Monday, after snapping a three-week uptrend in the last. In doing so, the Cable pair justifies the previous week’s downside break of a two-month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance around 1.2765, as well as fades the bounce off a 200-SMA level surrounding 1.2635. However, the upbeat conditions of the RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals keep the buyers hopeful unless the quote slips beneath the stated key SMA, a break of which could quickly drag the quote toward December’s low of 1.2500. It should be noted that the Pound Sterling’s weakness past 1.2500 will have the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of near 1.2375 as the last defense of the buyers. On the flip side, the GBPUSD pair buyers can regain control by crossing the support-turned-resistance line of around 1.2765. Following that, the recent peak surrounding 1.2830 and an ascending trend line from late November, close to 1.2860 at the latest, could check the Pound Sterling’s upside momentum ahead of directing the bulls toward the 1.3000 psychological magnet. Should the quote remain firmer past the 1.3000 threshold, the previous yearly high of nearly 1.3145 will be in the spotlight. To sum up, the GBPUSD pair buyers are likely losing control the sellers need validation from the 200-SMA breakdown to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price decreased but the upward momentum remained the sameIn general, the main trend of gold in the past week has been a decline, with a decrease of over $40 during the week. However, when looking at the long term on a daily chart, gold still maintains a strong upward trend with a stable ascending trendline. Gold has experienced a week of price decline as a corrective wave, testing the EMA 34 line at $2045 and the upcoming prospects are expected to test the EMA 89 line at around $2019. We can expect gold to recover from this point as it touches the trendline and finds support at that level (as marked on the chart).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
USDJPY: achieved impressive gainsDear friends, the Japanese yen has been trading negatively against the US dollar for the fourth consecutive day on Friday, with the USD/JPY pair reaching its highest level in two weeks around the 144.85 area during the Asian trading session. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 144.70, indicating that USDJPY has previously escaped a prolonged downward channel and is stabilizing with a good recovery trend on the 12-hour timeframe. With the US dollar showing signs of a rebound, the bullish camp continues to push prices higher, with a target of 147.3 being highlighted. From an analytical perspective, I still expect prices to increase further using the breakout trading method. Using the excellent tool from Tradingview, Fibonacci suggests that prices may retreat to the 0.5 and 0.618 levels to correct the previous strong upward momentum before any catalyst causes prices to bounce back. A breakthrough above 144.90 will accelerate the UJ price to 147.34. Wishing you successful and lucky trades!
Long
by RKarina
Gold price todayDear friend, Today, the price of gold in the market has fallen after reaching its highest level in the overnight trading session at $2,050 per ounce, marking the most significant decline in three weeks. The drop in gold prices is due to a sharp decrease in the number of US workers filing for unemployment benefits for the first time in the last week of 2023. On the other hand, gold prices are at risk of further declines as the US Federal Reserve recently signaled its readiness to cut interest rates at the end of the new year. The minutes of this meeting indicate that the rate-cutting cycle is likely to be longer than expected. This is putting significant pressure on the gold market. Furthermore, gold prices are under pressure due to the upward trend of the US dollar. However, analysts believe that while the strength of the US dollar today is partly responsible for the decline in gold prices, it is not the main factor. Therefore, it is crucial to closely monitor important market news to grasp the trends of this precious metal in the coming period.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
Gold eyes first weekly loss in four ahead of NFP, $2,010 eyedGold price stays defensive while keeping the previous day’s recovery within a seven-week-old ascending triangle, floating above 100-SMA during early Friday. In doing so, XAUUSD braces for the first weekly loss in four. However, a steady RSI (14) line and an impending bull cross on the MACD suggest a continuation of the latest rebound, which in turn highlights a one-week-old falling resistance line, around $2,067 at the latest. Following that, the $2,090 level comprising the stated triangle’s top line will be crucial to watch as the metal’s sustained trading beyond the same will allow the metal buyers to challenge the all-time high marked during late 2023. On the contrary, the 100-SMA level surrounding $2,040 restricts the immediate downside of the Gold Price. However, the XAUUSD sellers remain off that table unless the commodity slides beneath the aforementioned triangle’s bottom line, close to $2,010 at the latest. Should the quote remain bearish past $2,010, the $2,000 threshold may test the sellers before directing them to the previous monthly low of around $1,973. In a case where the bears keep the reins past $1,973, the mid-November swing low of nearly $1,931 should gain the market’s attention. Overall, the Gold price is likely to remain sluggish, slightly positive, but a surprise fall beneath the $2,010 won’t hesitate to welcome bears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD licks its wounds at fortnight-low ahead of Fed MinutesEURUSD dropped the most in three weeks on Tuesday after a downside break of an ascending trend line from mid-November and the 50-SMA. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line joins the 100-SMA support of 1.0935 to restrict short-term declines of the Euro pair. Even if the pair slides beneath 1.0935, the bottom line of a two-month-long bullish channel, close to 1.0840 at the latest, acts as the last defense of the pair buyers. Following that, the bears will be able to aim for the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0725. Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s recovery hinges on the quote’s ability to stay beyond the 1.1020-25 resistance confluence comprising the 50-SMA and previous support line stretched from December 18. In a case where the Euro bulls keep the reins past 1.1025, the previous monthly high near 1.1140 and the aforementioned channel’s top line, around 1.1160 by the press time, will gain the market’s attention ahead of the year 2023 peak surrounding 1.1275. Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to recover unless the Fed Minutes bolster the US Dollar strength, which is least expected. It’s worth noting, however, that the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY stays pressured toward 141.00 on last trading day of 2023USDJPY fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off a five-month low amid sluggish markets on the final trading day of 2023. In doing so, the Yen pair extends the mid-week pullback from 200-SMA even as the oversold RSI (14) and the sluggish MACD signals challenge bears. Also putting a floor under the risk-barometer pair is a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-November upside, as well as May’s peak, surrounding 140.80. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading below 140.80 makes it vulnerable to drop toward a broad horizontal support zone comprising levels marked since early March, between 137.90-70. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce could aim for the 200-SMA level of 143.00 whereas a seven-week-old descending trend line, close to 143.40 at the latest, will test the USDJPY buyers afterwards. Should the Yen pair manage to defend the recovery moves past 143.40, June’s peak of around 145.10 will be on the bull’s radar. Following that, a gradual run-up toward 148.00 and the 150.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY pair appears bearish even if a corrective bounce appears imminent.
by MTradingGlobal
Foreign currencies increased sharply at the same timeThe USD decreased in the last trading session The US Federal Reserve (Fed) may begin cutting interest rates when inflation falls closer to the US Central Bank's 2% target. However, trading volumes fell after Christmas as some markets remained closed for the holidays. Many traders globally also take a holiday until Tet. The greenback is on track for its worst performance since 2020 against other currencies, as market expectations of a Fed rate cut have dented the dollar's appeal against peers. other currency. Many analysts expect the US economy to slow markedly in 2024, but the Fed is also expected to take action to ensure that the gap between the federal funds rate and actual inflation is not too wide. . If inflation falls much faster than target, the Fed may tighten monetary conditions more than policymakers intended.
Short
by TrategySherpa
EURUSD justifies key resistance break at multi-day topEURUSD remains firmer at the highest level since late July while justifying the previous day’s upside break of a four-month-long previous key resistance line, now support around 1.1040. Adding strength to the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals and broad fundamental weakness of the US Dollar, especially amid the Fed rate cut concerns. The same suggests the quote’s further advances toward the late July swing high surrounding 1.1150 and then to 1.1200. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI (14) line and an upward-sloping trend line stretched from early February, close to 1.1260 by the press time, could challenge the Euro pair buyers afterward. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.1260, the odds of witnessing a fresh yearly high, currently around 1.1275-80, can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside near 1.1100 puts a floor under the EURUSD prices ahead of the resistance-turned-support line of around 1.1040. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio and the late August peak, respectively near 1.0960 and 1.0945, will test the bears before giving them control. However, the pair buyers remain hopeful unless they witness a daily closing beneath the 1.0840 support confluence comprising the 200-SMA and an ascending trend line from early November. Overall, the EURUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins even if the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal