XAUUSD H4 – Gold Trading Strategy Next Week(Liquidity-Based Levels)
Gold is heading into a key decision week as price returns to a major reaction area. The market is currently best traded by waiting for liquidity reactions at the highlighted zones, rather than chasing moves in the middle of the range.
1) H4 Technical Context
Price has recovered and is now retesting a key pivot region around the 4.45xx area.
The chart shows clear supply zones overhead, while the 4445–4449 zone stands out as the highest-probability buying reaction area.
If price holds this buying zone, the preferred path is continuation higher toward the upper supply region near 4632–4637.
2) Key Levels to Watch
Main BUY zone: 4445 – 4449
Liquidity confluence area with strong probability of bullish reaction if structure remains intact.
Mid resistance: 4550 – 4560
A reaction zone where buyers may take partial profits and where price behavior matters.
Target SELL zone (scalping): 4632 – 4637
Strong overhead supply. Ideal for short-term selling reactions if price rallies sharply and shows rejection.
Strong support: around 4408
If the main buying zone fails, this level becomes the next key area that defines whether the pullback deepens.
3) PRIORITY SCENARIO – Main Plan (Buy with Structure)
Next week’s primary strategy remains trend-following, but execution should be level-based.
Buy area: 4445–4449
Best confirmation: H4/H1 candles hold the zone and close back above it without a strong breakdown.
Upside expectations: push toward 4550–4560 first, then extend toward 4632–4637.
4) ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – If the Buy Zone Fails
If price breaks 4445–4449 cleanly and accepts below it:
A deeper correction can develop toward 4408 and potentially lower.
In that case, the plan is to wait for a clear reaction at support before looking for the next long setup.
5) SELL Scenario – Short-Term Only
Selling is not the primary strategy. It is only considered as a short-term scalp at premium supply.
Sell zone: 4632–4637
Only sell on clear rejection signals such as strong wicks, failed breakout, or a lower-timeframe structure shift.
6) Weekly Summary
Focus zone: 4445–4449 is the key decision area
Hold above it → prefer BUY toward 4550–4560 and 4632–4637
Lose it → watch 4408 for deeper correction reaction
Sell ideas are scalps only at the upper supply zone
