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GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK Continuation of Bearish Structure Ahead FOMC🟡 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Continuation of Bearish Structure Ahead of FOMC The market continues to follow the bearish view we’ve held since the start of the week. As of today, price action is forming a descending triangle pattern toward the tip on M30–H1, within a compression zone between a declining trendline and a minor rising trendline. 🔍 Zooming out, the broader chart context shows a clear bear flag formation, and I remain biased toward a further drop into the 294x–293x zone in the coming sessions. ⚠️ Tonight’s US session brings the FOMC meeting, which may trigger high volatility and liquidity sweeps toward unfilled zones below current price. Be cautious! 📌 As long as price fails to break above 3075, there’s no confirmed shift in trend. The 307x zone remains a key level for sellers — if unbroken, panic selling may intensify and buyers will remain sidelined. 🧠 Global equities are seeing a light rebound — led by late US session gains and some recovery in Asia & India today — but this seems more like a dead-cat bounce than true capital inflow. → Remember: CPI & PPI data are still due this week, so don’t rush to FOMO. 🧭 Key Technical Zones: 🔺 Resistance: 3026 – 3045 – 3074 🔻 Support: 2974 – 2957 – 2944 – 2930 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3044 – 3046 SL: 3050 TP: 3040 – 3036 – 3032 – 3028 – 3024 – 3020 – 3010 – 3000 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2976 – 2974 SL: 2970 TP: 2980 – 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000 💡 The market remains sensitive — stick with the dominant trend and don’t chase emotional trades. Always follow your TP/SL rules and be patient — let the market come to you. Stay safe & trade smart, — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFFGOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET, INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFF Plan: Rejection + BIGSHORT scenario still in play 📉 U.S. Session Recap Gold tanked aggressively during yesterday’s New York session after markets reacted to a “Fake News” headline suggesting a delay in the U.S. tariff policy. While the rumor was quickly denied by the White House, the psychological damage had already been done — triggering a sharp sell-off that sent Gold plunging back into the 295x zone, exactly as forecasted in AD’s earlier plan. Meanwhile, U.S. equities stayed deep in the red, and the uncertainty continues to weigh on global markets. 🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash Is King” Reignites Investor sentiment is now fully fear-driven. Without a major calming headline or shift in macro tone, we’re likely to see more risk-off behavior and capital flight into cash and U.S. Treasuries. 📌 This shift may be strategic: if investors increasingly hoard USD and rotate into government bonds (currently more attractive than risk assets), it may signal a coordinated squeeze — possibly part of Trump’s broader economic maneuvering. 🔮 AD's Strategy Until sentiment changes, we remain in SELL mode. → Look to short rallies until at least Wednesday, then reassess. 🧭 Key Technical Zones 🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076 🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928 SL: 2924 TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036 SL: 3040 TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ???? 📌 DXY Watch Dollar Index looks to be forming a base and could rally strongly if U.S. equities continue to slide. BIGSHORT across assets remains a real possibility. ⚠️ Final Reminder We’re in a highly volatile and fragile market phase. Trade with discipline. Always secure your TP/SL. Let price come to you — don’t chase. 📌 If you find value in these market insights and real-time trade zones — make sure to follow for more daily updates and clean chart breakdowns. Let’s navigate this market together — structure, strategy & execution. 💬 Got a similar view or a different angle? Drop a comment — I’m always open to smart discussion! — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
DXY Building Momentum — "Cash is King" Narrative Returns?📌 DXY is showing clear signs of recovery on the H4 timeframe — and that tells us something deeper: risk sentiment is shifting. Investors are pulling capital from risk-on assets and moving to cash. Yes, "Cash is King" might be making a comeback. 🔍 What’s Driving the Move? As fear ripples through global markets: 📉 Equities are shaky. 🟡 Gold dropped sharply under profit-taking pressure. 🪙 Crypto lacks new capital. Now, capital is rotating back into USD — not necessarily because of strong fundamentals, but due to defensive positioning. 🔺 On the geopolitical side, Trump’s aggressive tariff threats are shaking confidence. As import/export tension rises, the global appetite for USD-denominated assets (especially U.S. bonds) is also climbing. 🧭 Key Technical Levels (4H Chart) Support Zones: 🟦 101.467 – historical structure low 🟦 102.113 – minor intraday demand 🟦 102.660 – neckline & retest zone (key area to hold) Resistance Zones: 🟧 103.803 – consolidation top 🟥 104.506 – key resistance and EMA crossover zone 🟥 105.632 / 106.157 / 106.622 – higher-timeframe targets if momentum continues 🔮 Outlook by AD | Money Market Flow The market is on the edge right now. If U.S. equities fail to bounce and global risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, we could see: ✅ A strong USD breakout ✅ DXY bottoming and reclaiming the 104–106 zone ✅ Major asset correction across risk-on markets (Gold, Stocks, Crypto) “When markets panic, smart money rotates to USD. It’s not bullishness — it’s protection.” — AD | Money Market Flow 🔁 What to Watch: Fed’s next steps (Will they ignore Trump’s tariffs and focus on growth?) Global equity market reactions Bond yields (demand for U.S. debt could rise again) 📌 Stay sharp and follow the money. DXY is giving early signals — don’t ignore the shift. 🧠 Manage risk. Protect capital. Let the market come to you.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sellers Hit Early, But Market Psychology🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sellers Hit Early, But Market Psychology Will Lead the Way Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the Asian session, falling over 40 points from the previous highs (around 3018) down into the 297x zone. This reflects lingering sell pressure from the previous week’s volume. However, gold quickly bounced back by nearly 40 points, confirming strong buy interest around 297x — a key level on the higher timeframes. 📌 This 297x zone is a critical support on H4/D1. A confirmed break below it could open the door for a deeper sell-off into 295x and beyond. 🔍 Technical Overview: The broader trend on H4 and D1 still leans bullish. However, psychological reactions from market participants are currently stronger than clean technical patterns. On H1 and H2, price is now reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. A close below 3030 could trigger a renewed bearish move toward the 295x target. 🧠 Sentiment Will Drive Direction: So far, only Asian and Australian sessions have participated. We’ll need to monitor the London & US sessions closely to confirm directional conviction. This is a sentiment-led market, not one purely ruled by structure → only trade from key zones with clean reaction signals. 🧭 KEY PRICE LEVELS: 🔺 Resistance: 3055 – 3076 – 3107 🔻 Support: 3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952 🎯 TRADE PLAN 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978 SL: 2974 TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078 SL: 3082 TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050 📅 Important this week: Major data coming: CPI – PPI – FOMC Speeches → Expect potential spikes midweek. Stay alert, and I’ll update key reaction zones as the sessions unfold. Stick to clear plans and always use TP/SL — capital protection comes first. Good luck team, — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY 🟡 GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY IN PLAY Gold dropped — and dropped even harder than expected. But for those following closely, this wasn’t a surprise. From the start of April, we had been watching for signs of reversal after gold kept printing new ATHs. The candlestick behavior on the higher timeframes was already hinting at exhaustion — and today’s move validated that broader view. 🔍 Why I’ve Been Calling for a BIG SHORT — Not Just in Gold This isn’t just about XAUUSD. Zoom out and you’ll see the signs across the board: US, EU, and Asian stock markets are in a steep decline Crypto is stagnant, with no new capital inflow and little investor interest And gold — after a historic run — is now facing intense profit-taking pressure, especially under growing geopolitical and global trade risks In this environment, many investors are moving to cash and staying on the sidelines. 📉 DXY: A Potential Comeback? The USD Index (DXY) has been heavily sold off in recent months. But if you look closely — it's now testing a multi-year support zone that's held strong for nearly 3 years. AD’s view? If this level holds — and if recent tariff policies + international pressure from Trump continue — we could see a real USD recovery in the coming weeks. Trump appears to be playing hardball — not just for his own benefit, but strategically for the U.S. His aggressive trade moves are forcing nations to reconsider tariff terms. And in the short term, that puts Trump in a position of power — globally. 🤔 The Fed’s Dilemma Even as Trump escalates trade pressure, the Fed remains cautious. They’ve held back from rate cuts — waiting for clearer outcomes from these global negotiations. All eyes are now on Trump’s next moves — and how other major economies will respond. 🔮 Strategy Moving Forward Many investors are still in risk-off mode, hoarding cash and waiting for further declines. AD still expects further downside in gold next week, alongside a potential short-term bounce in DXY. → After that, once the trade talk dust settles, we could very well see Gold resume its climb, while USD retests major supports on the D1 timeframe. 📌 I’ll be back with a full weekly outlook tomorrow, but for now — absorb this Gold/USD landscape and build your strategy for the new week. Stay sharp & protect your capital. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading