Futurestrading
Gold, Silver & Commodity Trading (MCX)What is MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)?
The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is a government-regulated commodity derivatives exchange, launched in 2003. It is regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and allows traders to buy and sell commodity futures contracts across various categories like:
Bullion: Gold, Silver
Energy: Crude oil, Natural gas
Base Metals: Copper, Zinc, Lead, Aluminum, Nickel
Agricultural commodities: Cotton, Cardamom, Mentha Oil
MCX operates similarly to stock exchanges like NSE or BSE but deals in commodity contracts rather than equities.
Factors That Influence Gold & Silver Prices
Understanding price drivers helps traders anticipate market movement:
🏦 1. Global Economic Conditions
Inflation
Recession fears
GDP data
🪙 2. Currency Movements
Gold is priced in USD globally. The USD-INR exchange rate significantly impacts domestic prices.
📉 3. Interest Rates
Rising interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, pushing prices lower, and vice versa.
💥 4. Geopolitical Tensions
War, political instability, or crisis (Middle East conflict, Ukraine war, etc.) often boost gold/silver prices.
🛢️ 5. Crude Oil Prices
High oil prices can lead to inflation, making gold more attractive as a hedge.
💼 6. Central Bank Policies
Actions by RBI or Federal Reserve (US) in terms of gold reserves, rate hikes, or monetary policy changes affect sentiment.
Nifty 50 Intraday Plan for July 23, 2025📌 For more insights & live explanations,
👉 Visit my YouTube channel – Click the icon above ☝️
🔺 Bullish Zones (Call Side - CE):
25,138 – Positive Trade View Start
If the market sustains above this level for 10 minutes, the sentiment turns positive.
Possible intraday up-move.
Look for CE entries.
25,260 – CE Entry Level
Strong confirmation of bullish breakout.
Entry point for aggressive CE buyers.
25,380 – Short Covering Zone
If price closes above this, short-sellers may exit in panic.
Expect a sharp up-move / breakout.
24,960 & 25,040 – CE Hold Zones
If holding CE positions, monitor these levels.
Supportive price areas where bulls may defend.
24,760 – Safe CE Zone
A very strong support zone.
If price bounces from here, good for fresh CE trades.
🔻 Bearish Zones (Put Side - PE):
25,120 – Negative Trade View
If price breaks this level and stays below 10 mins, bias turns bearish.
25,018 – Opening R1 PE Hold
Below this, market may gain bearish strength.
Short trades may get active.
24,938 – PE Hold Level
Important support zone.
Break here can give aggressive PE momentum.
24,700 – Unwinding Level
If price sustains below this, it can trigger long unwinding.
Strong bearish continuation expected.
Nifty 50 Intraday Plan for July 22, 2025🔼 Bullish Levels (Call Side - CE):
Above 25,038 : If the market opens and sustains above this level for 10 minutes, you can consider buying CE. This is the first breakout point, indicating possible upward movement.
Above 25,128: Holding above this level indicates a positive trade view. Momentum is expected to increase, and buyers may become more aggressive. Good zone to initiate or add to CE positions.
Above 25,260 : This is the CE entry level where breakout confirmation happens. If price reaches and sustains this zone, it signals strong bullish strength.
Above 25,380 : This is marked as the short-covering zone. If the price reaches here, it means many short traders may exit, creating a spike. Ideal for booking profits on CE trades.
🔽 Bearish Levels (Put Side - PE):
Below 25,038 : If the price fails to sustain above this level and breaks down with 10-minute candle confirmation, it indicates weakness. PE trades can be considered from here.
Below 24,938 : This level is a clear PE entry level. Sustained trading below this suggests downward continuation.
Below 24,920 : This is the risky PE zone. If the market trades here, PE positions should be handled with caution unless strong selling pressure is seen.
Below 24,800 : This is a safe PE zone. Breakdown below this signals confirmed bearish sentiment, and you can aggressively hold PE options.
Below 24,780 : This is the unwinding level, meaning big players may start exiting their positions, possibly triggering sharp declines. Ideal for booking PE profits or trailing stop-loss tightly.
Monday Trade Plan (Nifty 50) 🔼 Bullish Levels (Call Side Entry):
Above 25,008
🔹 Hold CE (Call) — Positive trade view.
Above 25,118
🔹 Hold CE by Entry Level
🚨 Below this: Risky Zone for PE (Put)
Above 25,218
🔹 10 min Closing Short Cover Level
✅ Strong momentum expected above this zone
🔽 Bearish Levels (Put Side Entry):
Below 25,000
🔻 Hold PE — Negative trade view.
Below 24,888
🔻 Opening R1 10m — Hold PE by level
Below 24,788
🔻 Hold PE by level
Below 24,688
🔻 Hold PE by Safe Zone level
Below 24,600 (Approx)
🧯 UNWINDING ZONE
🔻 Strong downward momentum expected
⚠️ Mid-Zone / Risk Areas:
Between 25,000 – 25,008: No clear direction
Between 25,088 – 25,118: Risky Zone for PE
Between 24,788 – 24,888: Rangebound area, watch for breakout
Advance Option Trading Why Institutions Prefer Options
Leverage – Control large positions with small capital
Risk Management – Protect portfolios
Cash Flow – Earn premium income
Volatility Play – Earn from IV rise/fall
Customization – Tailored exposure using exotic options
Core Strategies Used by Institutions
1. Protective Puts
Buy puts to insure large stock holdings against downside risk.
2. Covered Calls
Earn premium income on long-term stock holdings.
3. Calendar Spreads
Take advantage of time decay and volatility differences.
4. Straddles & Strangles
Bet on volatility movement, not direction.
Tools Used by Institutional Option Traders
Bloomberg Terminal – Real-time data, pricing models
Quantitative Models – Black-Scholes, Binomial Trees
Algo Execution – Smart order routing
Risk Management Software – VaR, Greeks analysis
Option Analytics Platforms – Orats, Trade Alert
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan 11 july 2025🔴 Resistance & Shorting Zones:
25,620.00
🔹 Above 10m Closing = Short Cover level
🔹 Below 10m = PE by Safe Zone
25,518.00
🔹 Above 10m = Hold CE by Entry level
🔹 Below 10m = PE by Risky Zone
25,420.00
🔹 Above 10m = Hold Positive Trade View
🔹 Below 10m = Negative Trade View
⚖️ Neutral / Opening Zone:
25,348.25 (CMP)
🔸 Above Opening S1 = Hold CE by Level
🔸 Below Opening R1 = Hold PE by Level
🟠 Intermediate Support/Resistance:
25,260.00
🔸 Above 10m = Hold CE by Level
🔸 Below 10m = Hold PE by Level
🟢 Support & Unwinding Zones:
25,178.00
🔹 Above 10m = CE by Safe Zone
🔹 Below 10m = Unwinding Level
📌 Summary:
A move above 25,420 may shift view to bullish/intraday CE hold.
Below 25,260 suggests weakness, possible PE play.
Major support at 25,178, breakdown below this might trigger heavy unwinding.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan 10 july 2025🟣 1. Trend Confirmation Zone (Level: 25,562.00)
Above 25,562.00 → Positive View Active
If Nifty sustains above this level for more than 10 minutes, it indicates bullish momentum. Call Option (CE) traders can stay in the trade or consider new entries.
Below 25,562.00 → Negative View Active
If Nifty stays below this level, bearish momentum is likely. Put Option (PE) trades are favorable.
⚫ 2. Opening Range Levels
Above 25,467.10 (Opening S1) → Hold CE (Call Option)
If the market holds above this after the opening 10-minute candle, you can go long (buy CE).
Below 25,418.00 (Opening R1) → Hold PE (Put Option)
If Nifty breaks this level on the downside, and sustains for 10 mins, it suggests weakness – PE trade is favorable.
🟠 3. Entry-Level Zone
Above 25,682.00 → Entry for CE (Call Option)
Bullish breakout level – good for fresh buying positions if sustained above.
Below 25,682.00 → Risky PE (Put Option) Zone
Aggressive traders may consider short trades, but this is a risky area.
🔴 4. Safe Zone for Positional Traders
Above 25,782.00 → Closing Shot / Cover Level
Indicates overbought or strong bullish continuation – exit PE positions if short.
Below 25,760.00 → Safe Zone for PE
A good place to hold PE (put) positions, as the market is weak below this.
🟠 5. Support Resistance Flip Zone
Above 25,280.00 → CE Hold Level
Support for intraday buyers. A bounce from here can give a CE opportunity.
Below 25,280.00 → PE Hold Level
Breaking this means more downside is likely – favorable for PE.
🟢 6. Strong Support / Breakdown Level
Above 25,158.00 → CE Safe Zone Level
Indicates strong buying support. If held, expect intraday recovery.
Below 25,158.00 → Unwinding Level
Panic selling or unwinding of long positions may start. Avoid CE, prefer PE.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan for July 9, 2025🔴 Upper Resistance Zones (Short Covering Area)
🔺 25,738.00 – Shot Cover Level
If a 10-minute candle closes above this level, expect short covering – bullish breakout.
If price comes below this after testing, it's a safe zone to hold PE (puts).
🟧 25,640.00 – CE Entry Zone
Above this: Call options (CE) can be held.
Below this: Risky zone for holding PE, volatility may increase.
🟪 25,573.00 – Sentiment Zone
Above this: Positive trade bias.
Below this: Negative trade bias, indicating weakness.
⚫ Midpoint Zone (Opening & Pivot-Based Decision Area)
⚫ 25,465.65 – Opening + S1/R1 Zone
Above this level: Hold CE positions (bullish intraday setup).
Below this level: Hold PE positions (bearish setup).
🟠 Lower Mid-Level (Support/Breakdown Test)
🟠 25,380.00
Above: Intraday buy CE zone.
Below: PE can be held for more downside.
🟢 Bottom Support Zone (Safe Zone / Unwinding Zone)
🟢 25,292.00 – Safe CE Hold Zone
If the price holds above this level after 10 min: safe to hold CE.
🟢 25,282.00 – Unwinding Zone
Below this level: Risk of unwinding and larger sell-off increases.
📌 How to Use This Plan (Summary)
Wait for 10-minute candle confirmations near these levels.
Follow directional bias: CE (calls) if price sustains above levels, PE (puts) if price remains below.
Trade only after confirmation, not just touch.
Trading Master ClassPost-Trade Processing
Clearing and Settlement: Trades are cleared by clearing houses and settled typically on T+1 or T+2 basis.
Regulatory Reporting: All trades must be reported for transparency and compliance.
Performance Review and Compliance
Evaluation: Execution quality, cost efficiency, and market impact are reviewed.
Audit Trails: Maintain detailed records for regulatory bodies like SEBI, SEC, etc.
Continuous Improvement: Algorithms and strategies are refined based on trade performance.
Key Components in Institutional Trading
Liquidity Management: Large trades need sufficient liquidity to avoid market disruption.
Algorithmic Support: Automated systems manage trade slicing and timing.
Risk Control: Continuous monitoring of exposure, slippage, and adverse market moves.
MARUTI – Strong Call Long Build-Up Dominance________________________________________
📈 MARUTI – Strong Call Long Build-Up Dominance | OI + Price Action Analysis
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Minute
📆 Date: July 3, 2025
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🔍 What’s Catching Our Eye:
MARUTI closed around ₹12,752, and the entire Call side up to 13,500 is showing strong Long Build-Up, indicating aggressive bullish sentiment from option buyers. Meanwhile, the Put side is displaying Short Build-Up, further confirming bullish undertones. The price is steadily climbing, supported by strong institutional participation.
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📌 What We’re Watching For:
If MARUTI sustains above ₹12,800, bullish continuation looks likely. Watch for follow-through toward ₹13,000 and 13,200+ if momentum persists. However, a drop below ₹12,500 could temporarily halt this upward bias.
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📊 Volume Footprint:
Options activity is backed by strong volume — over 17k+ contracts at ₹13,000 CE and 15k+ at ₹12,800 CE — showing traders are betting big on further upside.
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📈 Option Chain Highlights:
The OI data is highly supportive of the bulls:
• Calls (Long Build-Up):
o ₹13,000 CE: +104,450 OI | Price ↑ 8.6%
o ₹12,800 CE: +101,800 OI | Price ↑ 12.04%
o ₹12,900 CE: +95,650 OI | Price ↑ 10.07%
o Even OTM CE like ₹13,500 is active → trend belief is strong
• Puts:
o ₹12,800 PE & ₹12,700 PE both showing Short Build-Up, i.e., buyers believe downside is limited
Inference: Bulls are clearly in control, with both Call buyers active and Put sellers stepping in. This aligns with the broader bullish trend seen in the stock.
________________________________________
🔁 Trend Bias:
🟢 Bullish – Confirmed via price action and derivative sentiment
________________________________________
🧠 Trade Logic / Reasoning:
Strong accumulation is seen at every major Call level, from ATM to slightly OTM strikes. Short covering at ₹12,500 CE and long build-up in higher CE strikes confirms that the bulls are expecting a continuation rally. PE writers are unwinding or adding shorts – classic sign of strength.
________________________________________
📍 Important Levels to Mark:
🔺 Top Range (Resistance): ₹13,200 – ₹13,500
🔻 Bottom Range (Support): ₹12,500
________________________________________
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
✅ Best Buy (Equity): Above ₹12,800 with strong bullish candle
✅ Best Sell (Equity): Avoid unless ₹12,500 is broken
✅ Best CE to Long: ₹13,000 CE – Strongest long build-up with momentum
✅ Best PE to Long: Avoid PE long – sentiment doesn’t support bearish bets
🟢 Demand Zone: NA
🔴 Supply Zone: NA
⚠️ Invalidation Below:
Bullish bias is invalidated below ₹12,500 with high volume selling
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
No buy/sell recommendations are made.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
STWP is not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
________________________________________
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________________________________________
DMART – Mixed Signals with Option Chain Clues________________________________________________________________________________📈 DMART – Mixed Signals with Option Chain Clues | Option Chain + Price Action Analysis
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Minute
📆 Date: July 3, 2025
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 What’s Catching Our Eye:
DMART is displaying notable volatility near its technical range. While the option chain reveals contrasting setups across strikes—with several Calls showing short build-ups and some Puts indicating long build-ups—the overall price action remains undecided. The current equity price (spot at 4348.70) is being carefully watched in relation to its normalized chart range.
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 What We’re Watching For:
We’re monitoring for a decisive move beyond the established range. A sustained move above the Top Range of 2464.4 (normalized chart level) could validate a bullish reversal; conversely, a breakdown below the Bottom Range of 2326.1 might trigger a bearish slide. Given the option chain dynamics, any clear directional breakout—supported by volume—will be key to shaping our view.
________________________________________________________________________________
📊 Volume Footprint:
Today’s volume is recorded at 1.83M, significantly higher than the previous 836.47k, indicating an active session. A continued high volume reading on a breakout or breakdown from our range will be critical for confirmation.
________________________________________________________________________________
📈 Option Chain Highlights:
• On the Call side, the 4,500 CE and 4,300 CE are showing strong short build-ups, while the 4,400 CE stands out with a long build-up—hinting at an emerging bullish bias if the price rallies. Additionally, the 4,600 CE continues to exhibit short build-up pressure.
• On the Put side, the 4,200 PE displays a strong long build-up, suggesting downside protection, and the 4,000 PE also shows long build-up. A notable short covering is observed in the 4,300 PE and the 4,250 PE shows additional long build-up.
These option-chain cues—combined with the volatility in the underlying—highlight the market’s mixed expectations.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔁 Trend Bias:
The bias remains directionally dependent—bullish if a reversal above the top range is confirmed, or bearish if the price falls below the bottom range.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 Trade Logic / Reasoning:
DMART’s price action is teetering near its critical range. The normalized technical levels (Top Range: 2464.4, Bottom Range: 2326.1) serve as key decision zones. On the options side, the presence of long build-up in the 4,400 CE suggests that, if the price reverses, buyers could step in. In contrast, the strong long build-up on the 4,200 PE underlines the protective positions if the price breaks lower. With a higher session volume amplifying the move’s significance, caution is warranted until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
________________________________________________________________________________
📍 Important Levels to Mark:
🔺 Top Range: 2464.4 – Look for a breakout or a reversal candlestick pattern with confirmatory volume
🔻 Bottom Range: 2326.1 – Watch for a breakdown or a bullish reversal pattern with volume support
________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
✅ Best Buy (Equity): Enter long on DMART if a robust bullish reversal is confirmed—ideally when the price reclaims above the top range (2464.4) with strong volume and supportive candlestick action.
✅ Best Sell (Equity): Take short positions if the price decisively breaks and holds below the bottom range (2326.1) on high volume.
✅ Best CE to Long: Opt for the 4,400 CE when the reversal is underway; its long build-up in the option chain signals the initiation of bullish interest.
✅ Best PE to Long: In a bearish scenario, consider the 4,200 PE—its long build-up indicates traders are positioning for a downside move.
🟢 Demand Zone: NA
🔴 Supply Zone: NA
⚠️ Invalidation Below:
Any bullish setup becomes invalid if DMART breaks and holds below the bottom range of 2326.1 (normalized level) with strong volume.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only.
STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
This is not a buy/sell recommendation.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
STWP is not responsible for any trading outcomes.
________________________________________________________________________________
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________________________________________________________________________________
Advantages of Institutional Option TradingAdvantages of Institutional Option Trading
Institutional Investing
Institutional investing is the process of managing large-scale investment portfolios with long-term goals.
Investment Objectives
Capital Preservation: Maintaining the value of assets.
Capital Appreciation: Growing the portfolio over time.
Income Generation: Providing steady returns through dividends or interest.
Institutional Option Trading Part -2Disadvantages
Regulatory scrutiny.
Complexity and need for highly skilled traders.
Potential market impact.
Institutional Investing
Institutional investing is the process of managing large-scale investment portfolios with long-term goals.
Investment Objectives
Capital Preservation: Maintaining the value of assets.
Capital Appreciation: Growing the portfolio over time.
Income Generation: Providing steady returns through dividends or interest.
Asset Classes Used
Equities: Shares of publicly traded companies.
Fixed Income: Bonds and other debt instruments.
Real Estate: Direct investments or REITs.
Commodities: Such as gold, oil, or agricultural products.
Derivatives: Options, futures, and swaps.
Learn Institutional Trading Pros and Cons
Pros: Early signals, useful for reversals.
Cons: Requires confirmation, may produce false signals.
Technical Trading
What is Technical Trading?
Technical trading focuses on using historical price data, volume, and technical indicators to predict future price movements. Traders use charts and patterns instead of company fundamentals.
Key Tools in Technical Trading
Price Charts: Candlestick, line, bar charts.
Indicators: Moving averages, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands.
Chart Patterns: Head and Shoulders, Triangles, Double Tops, Flags.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key price points where stocks reverse.
Learn Institutional Trading Part-10What is Divergence?
Divergence occurs when the price of a stock and an indicator (like RSI, MACD, or momentum indicators) move in opposite directions. It is often considered a warning that the current trend may be losing strength.
Types of Divergence
Regular Divergence:
Indicates potential trend reversal.
Example: Price makes a new high, but RSI makes a lower high.
Hidden Divergence:
Indicates trend continuation.
Example: Price makes a higher low, but RSI makes a lower low.
How to Use Divergence
Combine with support and resistance levels.
Confirm with volume and candlestick patte
Learn Option TradingOption trading is buying and selling contracts that give you the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a stock at a specific price before a certain date.
There are two types:
Call Option: You expect the stock price to go up.
Put Option: You expect the stock price to go down.
It’s like booking a movie ticket in advance—you can go if you want, but you don’t have to.
Learn Institutional Option Trading Part-5Stock Market Investing:
Stock investing involves buying shares of publicly traded companies listed on NSE or BSE.
Why Indians Invest in Stocks:
Potential for higher returns.
Dividend income.
Portfolio diversification.
Approaches to Investing:
Fundamental Analysis: Based on financial health, growth potential, and management quality.
Technical Analysis: Based on price patterns, volumes, and charts.
Long-Term Investing: Holding stocks for years to build wealth.
Short-Term Trading: Buying and selling stocks within days or weeks.
Learn Institutional Option Trading Part-2Option Greeks in India:
Delta: Measures sensitivity to price changes.
Theta: Measures time decay.
Vega: Measures sensitivity to volatility.
Gamma: Measures change in Delta.
Indian traders use these Greeks to manage risk and optimize strategies.
Risks in Indian Option Trading:
Premium Decay: Loss in value as expiry approaches.
High Volatility: Can cause sudden losses.
Liquidity Risk: Some options have low trading volume.
Complexity: Requires deep market knowledge.
Institutions Option Database Trading Part-6Deep Dive into Options Basics (For Data Traders)
Options are contracts giving the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an asset at a certain price before a set date. They are used for hedging, speculation, and generating income.
🛠️ Two Types:
Call Option: Right to buy an asset.
Put Option: Right to sell an asset.
Backtesting means testing a strategy using past data to check performance. Key for data-driven option trading.
Example:
Load 1-year option chain data for BANKNIFTY.
Apply rules: Buy Call when IV drops by 10% & PCR < 0.8.
Check PnL for each trade.
Filter for success rate > 65%.
Institutions Option Database TradingDatabase Option Trading is a powerful blend of market logic and data science. With structured data, intelligent scanning, and strategic execution, traders gain a massive edge over emotional/manual decisions. This approach is ideal for traders aiming for consistent performance, lower drawdowns, and systematic growth. The more you code, automate, and analyze—the better you trade.
Sample Strategy - PCR + OI Spike
Strategy Logic:
If PCR > 1.3 and Call OI Spike at ATM > 15%, initiate a Put Sell.
Exit when PCR drops below 1.1 or OI unwinds.
Backtest Results (NIFTY Options):
Win Rate: 72%
Avg Profit per Trade: ₹4800
Max Drawdown: ₹9800
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 8Institutional Option Trading Strategies
Let’s dive deeper into how big players operate:
🔶 Volatility Arbitrage:
Take advantage of IV mispricing across strikes/months.
Long low IV, short high IV – Net neutral delta.
🔶 Dispersion Trading:
Buy individual stock options, short index options.
Profit from correlation divergence.
🔶 Box Spread (Synthetic Arbitrage):
Arbitrage between synthetic long/short positions.
Very low risk, used by HFT desks.
Institutions use algorithms to run thousands of such strategies in real time.
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 7Time Decay (Theta) Strategies
Options lose value over time due to Theta Decay.
Strategies to Take Advantage of Theta:
Selling options (Covered Calls, Naked Puts)
Calendar Spreads
Iron Butterflies
Caution:
Theta decay accelerates as expiry nears. Option sellers must hedge their deltas to stay safe.
Risk Management in Options
Institutions and pro traders always focus on capital protection.
🔐 Techniques:
Position sizing (no more than 2-3% risk per trade)
Hedging with opposite legs or underlying
Stop-loss on premium or delta exposure
Use of Greeks for real-time adjustment
Risk management > Strategy in the long run.