Brent Oil buyers need validation from $92.50Brent oil buyers take a breather after posting the biggest daily jump in six months as the overbought RSI (14) line prods the energy bulls below a three-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding $92.50. However, a clear upside break of the 200-SMA and bullish MACD signals suggest further upside of the black gold price. Hence, the quote is likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding $92.50, which in turn will allow bulls to challenge the monthly high of around $94.30. In that case, September’s peak of near $96.50 and the $100.00 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, Brent Oil’s pullback remains elusive beyond the 200-SMA support of $90.80, quickly followed by the $90.00 threshold. Following that, a broad horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early September, close to $89.00-50, will challenge the energy sellers. Should the Oil bears manage to conquer the $89.00 support, its fall to the previous weekly low of $85.76 becomes imminent. However, the monthly low of $84.17 and the previous monthly trough surrounding $82.00 will test the south-run afterward.
Overall, Brent Oil price stays on the way to refreshing the monthly high unless it breaks the $89.00 support.
GAZA
USDJPY retreats within two-month-old rising wedgeUSDJPY began the trading week on a back foot within a two-month-old rising wedge bearish chart formation. That said, the Yen pair snapped a four-week uptrend in the last but failed to confirm the rising wedge, neither it could break the 200-SMA support. However, the RSI conditions and the MACD conditions join the quote’s failure to cross the 50-SMA immediate resistance to keep the sellers hopeful. With this, the bears await a clear downside break of the aforementioned wedge’s bottom line, close to 148.30 by the press time, as well as a break of the 200-SMA support surrounding 147.70, to tighten the grip. It’s worth noting that the monthly low of around 147.30 could act as the final defense of the pair buyers before signaling the theoretical target of the rising wedge breakdown, around the 140.00 threshold.
On the contrary, the USDJPY pair buyers need to cross the 50-SMA upside hurdle, near 149.20 at the latest, to retake control. Even so, the 150.00 psychological magnet can test the Yen pair bulls. Following that, the latest peak of around 150.20 and the wedge’s top line of near 150.80 will challenge the upside momentum ahead of directing the buyers toward the previous yearly high of around 152.00.
Overall, the USDJPY pair teases the sellers but a downside break of the 147.30 becomes necessary for the bearish confirmation.
USDCAD bears attack resistance-turned-support near 1.3650USDCAD remains pressured for the third consecutive day after reversing from a 6.5-month high marked last week. In doing so, the Loonie pair struggles to justify the recent run-up of the US Dollar, mainly due to the risk-off mood, as Canada’s main export item, namely WTI crude oil, jumps 4.0% on geopolitical fears surrounding the Israel war. Apart from the strength of the Greenback and the WTI, a one-year-old previous resistance line surrounding 1.3650 also challenges the pair sellers. Should the quote break the 1.3650 support, sellers could rush toward the mid-January swing high near 1.3520. However, a convergence of the 200-day SMA and a three-month-old rising support line, close to 1.3460, will be a tough nut to crack for the pair bears.
Meanwhile, the 1.3700 threshold guards the immediate upside of the USDCAD pair ahead of the latest swing surrounding 1.3785. Following that, the yearly high marked in March around 1.3865 and the 1.3900 round figure could lure the Loonie pair buyers. It’s worth noting that the previous yearly peak of near 1.3980 and the 1.4000 psychological magnet will challenge the pair’s upside past 1.3900 before giving a free hand to the bulls.
Overall, USDCAD remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest retreat from the multi-month high.