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Gold Holds Rising Channel – Upside Targets Still OpenGold is trading inside a clean rising channel, forming clear higher highs and higher lows, which confirms that the overall trend remains bullish. Instead of chasing breakouts, price is now doing what strong trends usually do, pause and consolidate before the next move. The marked buying zone sits perfectly inside the rising channel and has already acted as a strong demand area. As long as Gold holds above this zone, buyers remain in control and upside continuation remains the higher probability scenario. Upside targets are aligned with the channel resistance, which adds further confidence to this setup. These types of structures often reward traders who wait for pullbacks rather than reacting emotionally to fast candles. A breakdown below the marked invalidation level would weaken this bullish view, but until then, the structure favors patience and trend-following. Key Levels to Watch Best Buying Range: 4519–4515 1st Target: 4535 2nd Target: 4553 Final Target: 4570 Structure Invalidation: Below 4497 Trend Bias: Bullish above support Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Gold in Final Bullish Wave – Last Push Higher ExpectedGold (XAU/USD 4H) is in a strong bullish trend and is currently moving in the last part of Wave (5). The clear breakout above the previous resistance shows that buyers are in control, and the bullish structure is still valid. As long as the price stays above the main support area, the outlook remains positive, with the next target around 4,580–4,650 , where this upward move is likely to finish. For short-term trades, a sensible stop-loss can be placed below 4,420 , while the bullish view becomes invalid if the price falls below 4,360 . If everything goes as expected, Gold should make one final move higher and then take a normal corrective pullback (A-B-C) after the strong rally. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Money_Dictators
XAU/USD – Bullish trend, focus on Buying the DipMarket Context Gold remains in a bullish environment, trading within an ascending structure. The recent pullback appears to be a technical retracement after an impulsive move, not a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed continue to weigh on the USD, keeping gold supported on dips. This backdrop favors trend-following BUY strategies rather than aggressive SELLs. Technical Structure (H1) Overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low Price is holding above the ascending trendline No confirmed bearish Break of Structure Current phase = rebalancing / pullback within uptrend Key Zones on Chart OBS BUY Zone: 4,483 – 4,475 Deeper Support: 4,457 Near Resistance: 4,515 Upper Resistance / Target: 4,534 Major Supply: 4,566 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation BUY Wait for price to pull back into the OBS BUY zone (4,483 – 4,475) Look for bullish reaction / structure hold on lower timeframes This zone aligns with demand + trend support Targets TP1: 4,515 TP2: 4,534 TP3: 4,566 (expect reaction / profit-taking) Alternative Scenario If price breaks above 4,534 with acceptance → Expect a push toward 4,566, but avoid chasing at premium Invalidation A H1 close below 4,457 would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias to neutral. Summary Gold remains bullish as long as structure support holds. The priority is to buy pullbacks at key demand zones, manage risk near resistance, and avoid emotional entries at the highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation. Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move. Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient long positions below key demand — before revealing true intent. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk • Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below • A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount • Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 Rules: ✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4510 2. 4485 3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FGV fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4480 2. 4510 3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium trading increases fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity • Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines 📍 Summary Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion: • A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or • A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload long positions toward 4510–4540+ Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Outlook - 24/12/2025XAUUSD – Gold Technical Snapshot (Intraday) Gold remains bullish across higher timeframes (Daily–Monthly). Price is trading near 4,492, close to the day’s high, with all major moving averages aligned upward. Momentum indicators support the uptrend, though overbought conditions suggest possible short-term pullbacks. Key_Levels Support: 4,480 / 4,465 Pivot: 4,495 Resistance: 4,520 → 4,550 → 4,575 Outlook & Strategy Bias stays bullish above 4,480 Buy pullbacks near support or breakouts above 4,520 Below 4,465, expect a corrective move toward 4,440–4,410 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk—always manage your risk and do your own research.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
Gold 1H – Traps form near 4500–4420.Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420 🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation. CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation. Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price • Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk • Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4470 2. 4450 3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4450 2. 4475 3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion: • A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or • A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+ Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – CPI Ambiguity Sets Liquidity Traps Near 4400🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (22/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined bullish channel as markets react to renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. inflation data and the Fed’s policy outlook. Recent CPI-related commentary has reignited debate over whether inflation is cooling fast enough to justify near-term easing, keeping USD flows unstable and risk sentiment mixed. This macro backdrop favors liquidity engineering over clean continuation, with Smart Money likely targeting both premium and discount extremes to induce breakout traders before the next directional expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure approaching premium exhaustion Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4400–4402 (premium) or 4340–4338 (discount) before meaningful displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid • Price is pressing into buy-side liquidity near channel highs • Clear impulsive leg up created an unmitigated FVG above 4370 • Rising structure shows signs of short-term distribution, not confirmed reversal • Liquidity rests clearly above 4400 and below 4340 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4400 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4370 2. 4350 3. 4340 – extension if USD strengthens on CPI reassessment 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4360 2. 4385 3. 4400 – extension if USD weakens amid CPI doubt ⚠️ Risk Notes • CPI-driven uncertainty increases fake breakouts • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around unexpected Fed or inflation headlines 📍 Summary Gold is trading at a decisive premium within a bullish structure, but CPI ambiguity keeps conviction fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity at the extremes before committing: • A sweep above 4400 may fade toward 4350–4340, or • A liquidity grab near 4340 could reload bullish flow toward 4385–4400+ Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders 🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained Most traders don’t fail because of strategy. They fail because they can’t control emotions. Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇 😨 Fear: The Profit Killer Fear appears after losses or during volatility. What fear causes: Closing trades too early Missing high-probability setups Moving stop losses emotionally 📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets. Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out. 😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer Greed appears after wins. What greed causes: Overleveraging Ignoring risk management Holding trades too long 📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything. Greed turns discipline into gambling. 😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly. Revenge trading leads to: Random entries No confirmations Breaking trading rules 🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades. 🤯 Overconfidence After Wins Winning streaks create false confidence. Overconfidence causes: Larger position sizes Ignoring market context Believing losses “won’t happen” Markets punish ego — always. 😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer Good trades require waiting. Impatience leads to: Forcing setups Trading low-quality zones Entering without confirmation ⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed. 🧘‍♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them. Key habits: Fixed risk per trade Pre-planned entries & exits Accepting losses as part of business Waiting for confirmation Trading less, not more 🧠 Discipline > Emotion 📊 Process > Outcome 📌 Final Thought If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money. Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work. Trade the plan. Respect risk. Stay patient.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
Gold 1H – Fed Chair Speculation Drives Smart Money Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a liquidity-driven range as markets focus on today’s hot topic: NFP expectations and Fed rate-path uncertainty. Recent NFP previews highlight divergence between slowing headline job growth and still-sticky wage components, keeping DXY flows unstable. This environment typically favors stop-hunts and liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional moves ahead of confirmation. As a result, Smart Money is likely to engineer price into clear premium and discount zones before committing to expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, consolidating after a CHoCH within a broader bullish context Key Idea: Expect a sweep into premium (4352–4354) or discount (4272–4270) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe BOS keeps bullish bias intact • Recent pullback reflects distribution/profit-taking, not a confirmed reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4270 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / dynamic support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4285 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect higher spreads and volatility during the U.S. session • Reduce risk if entering close to major data releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is defined by NFP-driven rate uncertainty: • A sweep into 4354 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4270 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold Bulls Eye Major Resistance – Can They Break Through?Gold continues to trade in an upward trend, recovering strongly from recent lows. On the 4-hour chart, price is moving closer to a falling resistance trendline, which has acted as a major barrier in the past. This makes the upcoming resistance zone very important for short-term traders. The next key resistance lies between $4250–$4265, where profit booking can be expected. This area has multiple technical confluences, and traders should monitor how price reacts here. A successful breakout and close above this zone could lead to an extended rally toward $4320–$4350. However, if price faces rejection from this trendline, a short-term pullback toward the $4120–$4080 support zone would be normal and healthy for the trend. Despite the short-term caution, the overall market structure for Gold remains bullish as long as the price stays above support. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLD
by TraderRahulPal
4
Gold 1H – NFP in Control: 4355 Cap or 4260 Hold?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a high-volatility liquidity environment as markets digest the NFP Preview: Rate Path Divergence & Implications for DXY and Gold. With the upcoming U.S. labor data set to shape expectations for the Fed’s 2026 rate path, USD flows remain unstable. Any surprise in employment or wage components could trigger sharp repricing in rate-cut expectations, directly impacting gold through DXY volatility. In this context, institutions are unlikely to commit direction early. Instead, liquidity engineering and stop-hunts around key premium/discount zones are favored ahead of true displacement. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, now rotating inside a rising channel and pausing near equilibrium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4353–4355) or discount (4262–4260) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Prior BOS confirms bullish higher-timeframe context • Recent pullback signals profit-taking, not full reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4260 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4280 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect spreads and volatility to expand during U.S. sessions • Reduce risk if entering close to news releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold narrative is driven by NFP-led rate path uncertainty: • A sweep into 4355 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4260 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Strengthening as Bullish Structure FormsOANDA:XAUUSD is beginning to present a noticeably stronger bullish tone as the underlying price structure shifts upward. The most recent market interaction is particularly noteworthy as an early recovery phase has emerged, bearish momentum has weakened, and a series of low-volume candles highlights clear seller exhaustion. These characteristics often signal the early stages of a new bullish movement. From the current structure, my upside target remains the 4,330 region, a logical and well-aligned level within this developing trend. If price continues to build on this momentum, the next leg could become a clean and convincing extension of the broader bullish narrative we have been following on Gold. This setup stands out as highly compelling. The story is unfolding, yet it still requires patience and a confirmed signal to validate the upward potential. Although a deeper pullback cannot be completely ruled out due to the defined support zone below, I continue to favor bullish continuation as the forming structure clearly supports the upside scenario. Wishing you a strong and profitable trading session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
1
Gold’s Next Move: 4,350 Within Reach – Are You Ready?Hello everyone, it's Luiss_Miguel here! Gold is looking pretty interesting right now. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price has shot up. But guess what? Right now, it's slightly pulling back, moving in the opposite direction to the previous uptrend, which looks like a familiar bullish flag pattern. In this case, there’s only one scenario that could play out, and when the price breaks out from the top of the bullish flag, it’s usually a buy signal, and the price could continue to rise. My target is 4,350. Do you agree? Leave a comment below. Joining the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and develop your trading skills.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
Gold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to SurgeGold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to Surge Gold closes the week with a steady bullish profile, maintaining a structure that reflects strong positioning from larger market participants. The weekly flow shows a market that continues to rotate upward through liquidity pockets while holding firm during corrective phases. This week’s behavior indicates that buyers remain active on every controlled retracement, keeping the overall structure balanced and directional. The price continues to move in a sequence of expansion → stabilisation → renewed expansion, which is a common pattern when the market is preparing for sustained upside development. Underlying order flow suggests that Gold is still within a broad accumulation cycle at higher levels, where the market repeatedly absorbs sell-side attempts and transitions back into bullish pressure. The consistency of this pattern signals confidence from long-term participants and reduces the probability of a structural shift at this stage. As the week closes, the overall environment remains favorable for continued appreciation. Price is advancing in a measured, orderly fashion rather than showing signs of exhaustion. This steady progression typically precedes multi-week continuation phases, especially when liquidity objectives remain active above current trading levels.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
Gold 1H - Will 4287 Liquidity Cap Price or 4248 Reload Demand?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains highly sensitive to political and inflation narratives after former U.S. President Donald Trump stated he “inherited the worst inflation in history” but now sees prices cooling rapidly. This rhetoric adds uncertainty to inflation expectations and future rate paths, keeping USD flows unstable intraday. For gold, this environment favors engineered liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional continuation, as institutions exploit both inflation hedging demand and short-term USD strength. On H1, price is trading inside a rising structure with clear liquidity resting above recent highs and demand stacked below the mid-range — a textbook Smart Money setup. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Expansion after BOS, now pausing into premium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4285–4287) or discount (4250–4248) before true displacement Structural Notes: • Prior BOS + CHoCH confirms bullish context • Price currently reacting inside a rising channel • Liquidity is clearly defined on both edges Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4270 2. 4258 3. 4250 – 4248 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below channel support / equal lows ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4265 2. 4280 3. 4287 – extension if momentum holds ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s inflation comments can trigger sharp sentiment flips → wait for structure, not headlines • Avoid entries without clear BOS + displacement • Don’t trade mid-range noise inside compression • Reduce size if volatility spikes during U.S. news hours 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is pure liquidity engineering: • A 4287 sweep may trigger bearish structure back into 4250 or • A 4248 liquidity grab could reload bullish flow toward 4280–4287 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2
Gold Breaks Key Resistance Bulls Take ControlGold has finally punched through the critical $4,240-4,250 resistance zone, now trading comfortably above this level. The breakout comes after a period of consolidation, which typically signals strong underlying momentum. This is a textbook technical setup where previous resistance should now flip to support. Key Levels to Watch: The path forward looks clear toward the psychological $4,300 level, followed by the all-time high at $4,380. As long as price holds above the $4,240 area, the bias remains bullish. A breakdown and close below this zone would be needed to invalidate the bullish structure and signal a potential reversal. Outlook: The technical picture favors continuation to the upside. Bulls are in control here, and any pullbacks toward the $4,240-4,250 zone could offer buying opportunities for those looking to join the trend.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Bullish Structure Locked In — Gold Eyes 4,405Hello everyone, this is Luiss_Miguel! At the moment, XAUUSD is a textbook example of a market moving within a well-defined ascending channel, with price consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the structure. Recently, we observed a clear breakout above a key resistance zone, followed by a high-quality retest. This area aligns perfectly with the Golden Pocket of the previous bullish leg, making it a highly significant level to watch. If this zone continues to hold as support, it would provide a strong structural confirmation of the bullish trend, increasing the likelihood of price extending toward 4,405, which represents the upper boundary of the channel. As long as price remains above this supportive region, the bullish scenario remains intact. However, if price dips below it, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, potentially opening the door to a deeper corrective move. Always remember to apply strict risk management to protect your capital. Wishing you all the best — and trade wisely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
2
XAUUSD – Brian | After the rate cutXAUUSD – Brian | After the rate cut, Volume Profile still favours further downside 1. Market snapshot After the rate cut, gold saw a bounce but failed to sustain the upside and is still hovering below last week’s highs. In the Asian session, price only ticked up slightly before being sold off again – a sign that buying pressure is not particularly strong at these levels. Risk-on sentiment has returned and the USD is seeing a modest recovery, which is weighing on XAU/USD. That said, expectations for the Fed to maintain a dovish tone could still cap USD strength in the medium term. Overall, in the short term Brian still leans towards a downside move, preferring to sell into liquidity above rather than chase buys. 2. Volume Profile view – Key levels to watch On the H1 chart, Volume Profile highlights three main areas: VAL – Buy scalping zone: around 4,207 → Current lower value area, where a short technical bounce may appear. Liquidity / Sell zone: around 4,222 → Liquidity pocket above, lining up with VAH and a volume cluster – an attractive area to look for sells if price is pushed back up for a retest. Deeper buy zone: around 4,166 → Broader demand area below; if price flushes lower after sweeping liquidity, this is where dip-buying interest may show up. 3. Trade scenarios (for reference) Scenario 1 – Sell at the 4,222 liquidity zone (primary idea) Idea: Wait for price to retrace into the 4,222 liquidity zone and then look for rejection signals on H1/M15. Sell zone: 4,220–4,223 Suggested SL: Above 4,230 Targets: TP1: 4,207 (VAL) TP2: 4,190–4,185 TP3: 4,170–4,166 (deeper buy zone) This setup follows the current bearish bias, using the logic of “sell the rally into high-volume + liquidity zones”. Scenario 2 – Light buys at VAL 4,207 & buy zone 4,166 Scalp buy at VAL: Entry zone: 4,204–4,207 Target: bounce back towards 4,217–4,220 and then exit, not a long hold. Buy at the deeper 4,166 zone (cleaner level): Entry zone: 4,164–4,168 SL: Below 4,158 TP: 4,190 → 4,210 if a clear bullish candle reaction forms and the Fed does not turn overly hawkish. Both buy scenarios are purely short-term corrective plays, so position size should be kept modest as the main bias remains to the downside. Be patient and only start thinking about sells once price tags the 4,222 area – avoid forcing entries when price is stuck in the middle of the range. In summary: Selling around 4,222 is the primary plan, while buys at 4,207 and 4,166 are secondary strategies that only come into play if there is a clear reaction from Volume Profile and price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair. This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance. Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges. On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230 ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement ✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4212 2. 4200 3. 4190 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188 ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4205 2. 4220 3. 4230–4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel • SL placement must respect structural invalidation • Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines 📍 Summary Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios: • A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190 or • A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232 Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before FedXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before Fed: watch for a rebound to sell down Market snapshot Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction. In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome. Volume Profile – Key price areas Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support. Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap. Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart. Trading scenario according to Volume Profile Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197 If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered: Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long. Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario) After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell: Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212 TP1: 4.185–4.180 TP2: 4.165–4.160 TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far. Fed context – Why trade cautiously? The focus this week is the FOMC meeting: The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut. If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep. If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD/GOLD JOLTS Job Openings News Projection 09.12.25Main Idea Gold is currently ranging between 4,191 – 4,210 zones. During JOLTS news volatility, price may either break upward or break downward from this zone. Your plan is a breakout + retest entry with a 1:3 Risk–Reward Ratio. 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup) Conditions to Buy: Price breaks above 4,210 zone Retests the same zone and holds as support Enter after bullish confirmation Target: 4,250 zone Stoploss: Below 4,191 zone 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup) Conditions to Sell: Price breaks below 4,191 zone Retests the level as resistance Enter after bearish confirmation Target: 4,163 zone Stoploss: Above 4,210 zone 🎯 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3 Both setups aim for a low-risk and high-reward breakout trade using news momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
3
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume ProfileXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume Profile: risk of deep decline as market awaits PCE data Market snapshot On H1, gold is declining in a rather "clean" structure, continuously creating lower highs and lower lows. The 4.175 area is currently the nearest support – if breached, the decline could extend another 50–60 points to lower areas. Price remains below 4.250 USD, as the market awaits PCE data (Fed's preferred inflation measure) to find a clearer direction. Technical map – Volume Profile & price areas Important areas today: 4.210 – 4.200 – 4.175 – 4.164 – 4.133 4.210–4.200: upper area, coinciding with the nearest POC/VAH cluster – selling pressure likely when price retraces here. 4.175: short-term support + area with sell-side liquidity; if this area is lost, price could be pulled to a deeper demand cluster. 4.164–4.133: potential Buy zone in a deep decline scenario – Volume Profile shows significant buying occurred around this area previously. In short: on H1, the trend is down, prioritize selling according to volume; consider buying only when price falls to a lower discount area. Trading scenario reference (Not personalized advice – adjust volume & SL according to your account) Scenario 1 – Sell following the downtrend structure (priority) Sell area: 4.210–4.200 (POC/VAH + technical retracement area) Idea: Wait for price to retrace to this area, observe H1/M15 for rejection candles (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) before activating a Sell order. Suggested take profit areas: TP1: 4.175 TP2: 4.164 TP3: 4.133 (in case of a strong 50–60 point decline) Scenario 2 – Buy at deep discount area Buy area: 4.164–4.133 Idea: Only consider buying when price has "dumped" deeply enough into the buy zone, with clear reversal candles on H1. At that point, this is a technical retracement play, not trying to catch the bottom of a major trend. Suggested take profit areas: TP1: return to 4.175 TP2: 4.200 Macroeconomic context – Why is gold still hesitant? Gold recorded a slight increase on Friday, but remains within the narrow trading range of the week. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to pressure the USD, generally supporting gold in the medium term. However, buyers are waiting for US PCE data before taking larger positions: If PCE cools significantly → reinforces the story of an early Fed rate cut → gold could easily rebound. If PCE remains stubborn → market fears a "hawkish rate cut" scenario from the Fed → yields may rise, adding selling pressure on gold. Risk management For the Sell scenario, avoid chasing price in the middle of the area – prioritize waiting for a retracement to POC/VAH before entering, with a tight SL above the 4.210–4.215 area. If participating in the Buy play at 4.164–4.133, consider splitting TP and moving SL to breakeven as soon as TP1 is reached to avoid constant chart monitoring.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital