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Gold : Still Sideways Gold is stuck in sideways range this week, Price wants to go in higher side and getting help from the middle east war but DXY limiting the upside potential and currently running with good pullback and seems like going to close the week with good gain and targeting 103 now.....gold also extends its sideways consolidative price move in a familiar range held since the beginning of the current week and trading with no clear direction ... Today is week closing and we have High impact data (NFP) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report might influence expectations about the pace of the Fed rate-cutting cycle. This, in turn, will play a key role in driving the US Dollar demand in the near term and provide some meaningful impetus to the gold price ; and with the continues war news gold price remains within striking distance of the all-time peak touched last week. From a technical perspective, the range-bound price action might still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase against the backdrop of the recent strong runup to the record peak.On the flip side, the weekly low, around the 2,630-2,624 area, which coincides with a short-term ascending channel resistance breakpoint, might continue to offer support and act as a key pivotal point. A convincing break below might prompt aggressive technical selling and drag the Gold price below the 2,600 mark : For today it's better to wait and watch till we see a range breakout (Broad range 2630-2670-72) after data and then we can open position accordingly.
FX:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold: “Bullish Pennant” lures XAUUSD buyers on US NFP DayGold prices are starting to rise, reducing weekly losses on the first positive day in three. This reflects a market shift toward the traditional safe-haven asset as investors remain cautious ahead of the US employment report for September, particularly the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Buyers remain in control Even though gold has lacked momentum over the past two weeks, it is holding above the late September breakout from a four-month trend line resistance, which now acts as support. The XAUUSD also forms a “Bullish Pennant” pattern, attracting buyers. The rising RSI (14) indicates strength, but the sluggish MACD and pre-NFP jitters are holding back immediate movement in the precious metal. Key technical levels to watch Gold's immediate focus is on the bullish pennant's resistance line, currently near $2,665, which poses a challenge for intraday buyers. Above that, the recent all-time high of $2,685 and the $2,700 mark will attract bulls. If gold trades successfully above $2,700, it could target around $2,735, which is the theoretical goal of the pennant. On the downside, support levels are set at $2,638 and $2,635, thanks to the pennant's bottom line and a long-term resistance-turned-support. Further down, an upward-sloping support line from early August and the 200-SMA will provide additional support for XAUUSD near $2,580 and $2,560, respectively. Gold bulls can overlook pullbacks Although US employment data may pose challenges for gold buyers, several strong support levels make it tough for sellers to regain control. This suggests that bulls can stay confident, even if prices experience a pullback—unless there’s a significant drop below the 200-SMA.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold remains close to record high Gold remains close to record high and yesterday gold price rallied over 1% and the main reason for this rise is geopolitical uncertainty, driving risk aversion and boosting safe-haven demand for OANDA:XAUUSD ongoing tensions keep bullish momentum alive for new record highs, An escalation of the Middle East conflict could pave the way for higher prices. Although momentum favors buyers, also daily CPR moving into ascending side and also price trading above weekly pivot: but the Higher Time frame looks like in Sideways (2685-2630). 🔵 For Intra day Buy : Wait for breakout on 2670-72 area towards 2685 or higher level if breakout from recent ATH level. 🔵 For Intra day sell : Very risky to sell as due to geopolitical scenario but technically if price drops below 2,652-50 (breakdown CPR on H1 or H4) , the door opened to testing the recent low around 2630. 🔵 For Swing trade : Buy the dip is still valid
FX:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Real Reason of gold spike by 18 $ pre USA news release.As the news broke out by American new agencies, that Iran might be planning to strike down ISRAEL with ballistic missile, this led to investor hussle and seek either hedge their investments or seek alternative investments rather than being invested in dollars. Also NFP strikes up coming friday... so we need to keep our buy positions in line with current development. currently Gold is very high, so we need to wait for gold for seek a v shape depth fall and we should seek buying at lower lows. Gold clinched its third consecutive week of gains, reaching a fresh all-time high on Thursday. If bullish momentum persists, immediately to the upside emerges the $2,700 mark. Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical tensions continue to support the yellow metal. Gold (XAU/USD) extended its positive performance this week, hitting all-time tops in levels just shy of the $2,700 mark per ounce troy on Thursday. The rally in the precious metal remained propped up by, firstly, steady expectations of extra interest rate reductions by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the upcoming couple of meetings and well into 2025, and secondly, incessant geopolitical concerns stemming mainly from the Middle East, while the Russia-Ukraine conflict also adds to the matter. Last but not least, contributing to the uptrend in bullion, also emerged the equally persevering offered stance of the US Dollar (USD). Next on tap… $3,000? As the US Dollar approaches its third consecutive week of losses, Gold prices are set to mark their third straight week of gains. Since late June, traders have continued to shift towards the non-yielding metal pari passu growing expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, which culminated in a significant 50-basis-point (bps) reduction at the Fed’s meeting on September 18. However, market participants did not seem quite satisfied with the Fed's outsized move. That said, investors still expect around 75 bps of easing by the central bank for the remainder of the year, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Looking at the longer run, investors expect between 100 and 125 bps of interest rate reductions by the end of 2025. Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that the yellow metal could have already embarked on a probable visit to the key $3,000 level, which will apparently hit sooner rather than later. However, the current overbought market conditions might call for some common sense, allowing some short-term corrective decline. At this point, and in light of the strong rally observed in Gold prices, a “purge” would be more than welcomed by those afraid of entering the market at current levels, at the same time giving another chance to those part of the fear of missing out (FOMO) space. Geopolitical effervescence continues to support the uptrend Another driver of the important move higher in the precious metal is the unabated geopolitical jitters surrounding the Israel-Hamas crisis, as well as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which will likely enter its third year in February. The flight-to-safety adage comes to the fore every time news hits the wires about the deterioration of any of these scenarios, which unfortunately do not appear to be over any time soon. And the US Dollar? The Greenback has been on a firm bearish leg since July, accompanied by increasing speculation of extra monetary policy easing by the Fed. Now that the central bank has started its rate cut cycle, and with inflation kind of firmly navigating towards the 2% target, hopes for a sustained recovery of the US Dollar seem to dim on a daily basis, at least in the near future. Gold technical outlook As we mentioned above, Gold’s current overbought conditions, as per the daily RSI around 75, leave the door open for a near-term correction. However, the constructive outlook appears to be everything but abated. That said, there is an immediate up-barrier at the record peak of $2,685 (Thursday’s high) and the round-level of $2,700. Once this level is surpassed, the Fibonacci extensions of the 2024 uptrend emerge at $2,876, seconded by $2,975 and then $3,119. Let’s say sellers regain some initiative. In this scenario, there is an initial contention at the weekly low of $2,546 (September 18), which comes ahead of the September low of $2,471 (September 4) and precedes the transitory 100-day SMA at $2,428. From a technical perspective, the metal’s positive outlook should remain unchanged as long as it trades above the key 200-day SMA at $2,288. Economic Indicator Nonfarm Payrolls The Nonfarm Payrolls release presents the number of new jobs created in the US during the previous month in all non-agricultural businesses; it is released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile. The number is also subject to strong reviews, which can also trigger volatility in the Forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is seen as bearish, although previous months' reviews ​and the Unemployment Rate are as relevant as the headline figure. The market's reaction, therefore, depends on how the market assesses all the data contained in the BLS report as a whole. Next release: Fri Oct 04, 2024 12:30 Frequency: Monthly Consensus: 145K Previous: 142K Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by XAUUSDANALYST
2
Gold Still Holding the Ground Gold return/Bounced from the first Re-loading area that I Marked in Monday update , the recent bounce also triggered due to war news: In today's morning update I was expecting more correction but bulls getting help from ongoing war news: Now if we watch the H4 timeframe we can see that the current correction is turning the chart into sideways range (2685-2630) and we have to wait for breakout from this range for clear direction : Shorting on war news can be dangerous so we have to wait for a breakout from support area or resistance area for next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Price Drops as Investors Take ProfitsThe XAU/USD chart presents an interesting market scenario, with gold currently hovering around $2,636.120. Key support levels at $2,613.983 and $2,607.217 act as a "shield" for buyers, preventing deeper declines. The strong resistance at $2,677.741 has become the primary target. If gold surpasses this level, a continued upward momentum could occur, aiming for new highs. The breakdown of Middle East peace talks, weakening U.S. job market, a potential 0.5% rate cut by the Fed, and China's stimulus boost – these factors may drive gold prices higher in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
Gold : More room for correction/ DeclineSo finally gold entered into correction phase and seems like there is more room for decline in this correction cycle : Today CPR is descending and the last day candle is a good bearish candle and as discussed in yesterdays update the area around 2620-30 is a support zone with high volume and price is currently tested this zone and bouncing on Intra day but in Higher side we have descending CPR + Dynamic Trend Line resistance + FIB Resistance zone (2655-2662 for current cycle till last day), so under these resistance we can still look for sell opportunities towards weekly S1(2616) or low near 2600. Currently I am watching chart on FXCM data feed and there maybe difference in levels that I am sharing : Let me know in if you see some changes /difference.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU/USD: Break Through $2,683 or Correct Down to $2,644?The XAU/USD chart reveals a critical situation as gold prices hover around $2,659.915. Currently, strong support at $2,644.626 is helping to prevent a deeper decline. The EMA 34 and 89 lines at $2,652.357 and $2,618.574, respectively, are also playing a role in supporting the uptrend. The key resistance level to break is $2,683.746. If the price can breach this level, the potential for continued upward momentum to higher levels will open up. However, if it fails, the likelihood of a downward correction becomes clearer, with the target being the lower support zone. Additionally, hot economic news from the U.S. and significant updates from the Fed could strongly influence gold price movements in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
Gold due for correctionGold price is currently due for correction , Friday closing was bearish but still need more confirmation to see possible correction (Need one more day to close under PDL (2658 ) , On price action it is clear that price is currently forming head and shoulder pattern and to validated this pattern price need to breakdown at least 2650 level , In Higher side price also facing resistance on trend line ; CPR is also in descending formation compared to last day; In lower side we have to watch weekly Support (2616.18); As everyone knows that the current bullish rally is supported by the middle east war so we have to keep eye on the development of any war related news, if we consider the war factor and higher TF then overall the price is still maintaining the bullish structure so correction side is limited but we can consider this correction as per current PA .
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Gold due for correctionGold price is currently due for correction , Friday closing was bearish but still need more confirmation to see possible correction (Need one more day to close under PDL (2658 ) , On price action it is clear that price is currently forming head and shoulder pattern and to validated this pattern price need to breakdown at least 2650 level , In Higher side price also facing resistance on trend line ; CPR is also in descending formation compared to last day; In lower side if we have watch weekly Support (2616.18); As everyone knows that the current bullish rally is supported by the middle east war so we have to keep eye on the development of any war related news, if we consider the war factor and higher TF then overall the price is still maintaining the bullish structure so correction side is limited but we can consider this correction as per current PA .
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
1
XAU/USD: Break Resistance at $2,680 or Correct to $2,645?The analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows that gold is currently priced at $2,658.550, with strong support at $2,645.331. From the chart, it is clear that the upward trend is still being maintained, thanks to the support of the EMA 34 and EMA 89 levels at $2,658 and $2,633.502, respectively. The key resistance at $2,680.809 is the barrier that the price needs to break through if it is to continue reaching higher levels, with the next target at $2,697.070. However, if the price fails to maintain its upward momentum and drops below the $2,645.331 support level, a deeper correction may occur. In the current market context, important economic news from the U.S. and statements from Fed officials will be key factors that could significantly impact gold price movements in the coming days.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
3
XAU/USD: Ready for a Breakout or Awaiting a Pullback?The XAU/USD chart is revealing a dramatic story. Gold prices are currently fluctuating around $2,669.635 after touching a strong resistance at $2,685.180. The bulls are defending the critical support level at $2,649.955, with two solid defensive shields — the EMA 34 and EMA 89 positioned at $2,639.497 and $2,594.206 — keeping the upward momentum intact for gold. However, the real challenge lies at the $2,685.180 resistance level. Should the price break through, the door will open to new highs, with the next target set at $2,699.470 — a crucial resistance zone. As waves of economic news from the U.S. and key statements from the Fed roll in, this is the moment for savvy and alert traders to take action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
1
GOLD - LongThe chart analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, US$/Oz) shows a breakout pattern indicating a strong upward movement. Key observations include: Long-term Ascending Triangle: The chart depicts a long-term ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern, indicating a potential further rise. Breakout and Target: A breakout from the triangle suggests a target price of approximately $3,142.47, which represents a move of about 45.60% from the recent level of $2,648.66. Support Levels: Historical support levels are clearly visible, with $720.67 and $250.23 as key areas where price consolidated in past decades. This suggests that gold is in a strong upward trend with bullish sentiment, especially following the breakout from the long-term triangle. The price target and volume indicate possible further gains. For deeper analysis, one could evaluate macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, central bank policies, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Vem_TA_Charts
SONACOMS (TF|W|) Bullish view .SONACOMS stock analysis Potential breakout opportunity Chart Analysis : SONACOMS is displaying a strong breakout chart , indicating the upward movement in it's stock price. CUP & HANDLE Pattern : The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. VOLUME BUILDUP: volume buildup near the breakout zone . Increased trading volume is a positive indicator, suggesting more interest in stock and potential momentum
NSE:SONACOMSLong
by fzxzz
Gold approaches key upside hurdle ahead of US PCE InflationAfter hitting an all-time high, gold prices are losing momentum as buyers await the US September Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation. Bulls may slow down, but are still in the game On Thursday, FOMC Chair Jerome Powell's reluctance to discuss monetary policy joined the market’s dovish bets on the US central bank to propel the Gold price, especially amid the rush for a haven amid uncertain markets. Technically, the bullish MACD signals add strength to the upside bias for the precious metal. However, the overbought RSI (14) and nearness to an upward-sloping resistance line from December 2023, close to $2,695 at the latest, challenge the bullion’s further advances. Technical levels to watch With the overbought RSI indicating a $2,695 hurdle for gold buyers, the $2,700 level serves as an additional barrier to monitor for better trading opportunities. Beyond that, a potential surge toward the 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of February-June moves, near $2,757, can’t be ruled out. Gold sellers should watch for a clear break below the four-month resistance line at $2,620. If this occurs, the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,578 and $2,522 could draw in bears. Key targets below $2,522 include $2,467 and $2,399. That said, a break below the convergence of the 200-SMA and a year-long support line at $2,288 could signal a trend change for traders. What next? A positive surprise from the US Core PCE Price Index could spark the anticipated pullback in gold prices. However, the dovish Fed stance and strong technical support may prevent XAUUSD bears from gaining control.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAU/USD: Awaiting a Breakthrough at $2,720 or Correction?The XAU/USD chart on September 26 tells an exciting story of gold's bullish momentum. After hitting $2,661, gold is steadily advancing, shielded by two strong supports—EMA 34 at $2,540 and EMA 89 at $2,448. These support levels act as fortresses, holding buyers firm and allowing gold to continue climbing. However, all eyes are now on the key psychological resistance near $2,720, a critical barrier that, if broken, could pave the way for new highs. Upcoming FOMC statements could significantly impact XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher. Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alexander_FXTrading
Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah. At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in. Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alexander_FXTrading
Historic Turning Point: Gold Takes New HighGold has continued to rally, hitting new highs on the back of the Fed’s rate cut, which has weakened the US dollar and lowered bond yields. Gold is currently trading at $2,625.00, up slightly by 0.14%. Markets are expecting another rate cut by the Fed later this year, which continues to support gold prices. Technically, gold is currently above both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating a clear bullish bias. Traders should keep an eye on the next resistance level at $2,630. A successful break above this level could pave the way for further gains. However, if a correction occurs, the key support level to watch is $2,590. A pullback could be an opportunity for investors to buy, especially if the fundamentals remain bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alexander_FXTrading
XAU/USD: Climbing Ahead of Psychological Resistance at $2661XAU/USD is climbing strongly, holding steady at $2619 with support from EMA 34 and EMA 89. The biggest challenge lies at the psychological resistance of $2661.470 – if broken, the next target could reach $2683.706. Traders can buy if the price breaks resistance or sell if it pulls back to support. Currently, the USD is struggling due to increased risk appetite and dovish expectations from the Fed. Traders are awaiting PMI data from both Europe and the US for new direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Romio_pro
Weekend #btc & #gold Price Action Analysis | Market Insights &📈 Welcome to Alzubair FX! In this video, we dive into the latest price action for Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold, analyzing key levels, market trends, and potential movements for the upcoming week. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, our insights will help you stay ahead in the market. 🔔 Don't forget to subscribe for daily Forex analysis and price action insights! 💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below! What are your predictions for BTC and Gold? #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoAnalysis #ForexTrading #MarketTrends #PriceAction
by Alzubair_fx
1