Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
1. Market Context 🌍
Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role .
FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold .
👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return.
Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab .
Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support.
3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙
Resistance:
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400)
3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction)
Support:
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342)
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326)
SL: 3318
TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx
Higher Low – 3323
Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups.
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx
🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding
Entry: 3340 – 3342
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx
🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326)
SL: 3318
TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
Gold
Gold Plan 22/08 – Captain Vincent ( IN )Background
On the H1 timeframe , Gold continues to move sideways within the 3328 – 3350 range, sweeping liquidity again and again, making it difficult for retail traders to spot a clear trend.
Currently, Gold has absorbed almost all liquidity from the Nonfarm FVG .
Therefore, the next price action will largely depend on smart money moves and upcoming news catalysts .
Even though the overall trend is still unclear, we can still build trading setups around these key levels .
🪙 Key Levels
🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3368 – 3370)
SL: 3376
TP: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 33xx
🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3313 – 3315)
SL: 3305
TP: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 33xx
📌 Trading Outlook
On higher timeframes, sellers still hold the advantage .
However, Gold may need to test resistance zones again to confirm.
If price reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 → Watch for reaction and prepare to Sell.
If price drops to Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Strong support remains for short-term Buy opportunities.
⚓ Captain Vincent’s Note
"When the sharks sweep the waves, retail traders panic. But those holding the key level map will always know where the safe harbor lies."
Gold ....Powell Speech to Break the Range?Gold held steady after yesterday’s pullback, but the 3350 zone continues to act as a strong resistance. Despite multiple bullish attempts, price has failed to break through this ceiling, keeping the upside capped. On the lower side, immediate support stands at the previous weekly low (3330), followed by the recent swing low near 3310. These levels are key for buyers to defend.
For now, price action has compressed further into a tight range, and there hasn’t been any major development since the last session. With Powell speech lined up today, the market is likely to stay cautious and range-bound until then. Once the event is out, we could see a clearer short-term direction, either a breakout above 3350 opening room for recovery, or a breakdown below 3310 tilting bias back in favor of sellers.
Gold after FOMC: Just a pullback or the start of a new wave?[Background
After the early morning FOMC session , Gold is showing signs of a sell-side pullback to gain momentum.
On higher timeframes (H4–D1), the structure remains bearish with lower highs .
However, consistent buying pressure around 3320 – 3330 keeps this zone as the key battlefield .
🪙 Key Levels Today
🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3357 – 3355)
SL: 3362
TP: 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 33xx
🔹 Tidal Rebound 🌊⚡ (Sell Scalp 3349 – 3347)
SL: 3353
TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3335 → 33xx
🔹 Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3330 – 3328)
SL: 3322
TP: 3335 → 3337 → 3339 → 3341
🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3320)
SL: 3313
TP: 3325 → 3330 → extend further
📌 Trading Scenarios
After FOMC, the market may show rebound waves .
During Asia–Europe, price may consolidate between 3345 – 3357 .
If price tests Storm Breaker 🌊 → Prioritise Sell setups in line with the main bearish trend.
If price drops to Quick Boarding 🚤 or Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Short-term Buy scalps on pullback moves.
📰 Market Context
FED remains dovish leaning , with high probability of a rate cut in September (~82%, CME FedWatch) .
Geopolitical variables (Trump–Putin, Ukraine) remain unpredictable and may spark sudden volatility.
⚓ Captain’s Note
"Let Storm Breaker 🌊 test the buyers’ strength. Those who board at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will be lifted by the waves, but those who drift into the storm will soon feel the sea’s fury."
GOLD PLAN – Captain Vincent🏴☠️ GOLD PLAN – Captain Vincent ⚓
Background
After the Nonfarm payrolls, Gold created a Captain’s Liquidity Void (large imbalance zone). Price has now almost completely filled this gap.
On higher timeframes, Gold still maintains a Lower High – Lower Low structure, confirming that sellers remain in control .
However, during the Asian & European sessions, we usually see technical pullbacks to collect liquidity – those moves will be our chance to enter in line with the main direction.
📍 Key Levels for Today
🔹 Captain’s Trap Zone (3330 – 3332)
Confluence of Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 and trendline breakout.
Main SELL setup at this zone.
SL: 3336 – 3338
TP: 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 33xx
🔹 Captain’s Quick Shot (3313)
Nonfarm breakout zone , heavy SELL volume.
Suitable for short BUY scalp if price reacts strongly.
SL: 3308
TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326
🔹 Captain’s Safe Harbor (3300 – 3302)
Start of previous bullish leg, strongest support of the day .
If Quick Shot breaks, this becomes the main BUY accumulation zone .
SL: 3293
TP: 3305 → 3310 → 3315 → 33xx
🔹 Captain’s Shield (3313)
If held multiple times → becomes a short-term key support .
⚡ Trading Scenarios
Sell Priority : Short at Captain’s Trap Zone.
Quick Buy : Scalp around Captain’s Quick Shot if sharp reaction.
Breakdown : If 3313 fails → Buy at Safe Harbor (3300 – 3302).
📌 Captain’s Reminder
SELL bias is still dominant → Do not FOMO buy without clear signals.
The US session may bring high volatility from geopolitical headlines. Manage your capital with discipline.
Gold Faces Resistance, Buyers Should Stay Alert near Key SupportGold Futures (MCX) Analysis: Key Points to Watch
Current Price Range: Gold Futures are trading around ₹98,700 to ₹98,750.
Resistance Zone: Gold has been repeatedly rejected near its high around ₹101,500, showing strong selling pressure at this level.
Trendline Broken: Recently, gold broke an important upward trendline that had acted as a reliable bounce-back support.
Key Support Emerging: After this break, a key support level has appeared around ₹97,700 to ₹97,750. This zone will be important to watch for potential price stabilization.
Additional Support Levels: The chart also highlights other support zones that could provide buying interest if prices decline further.
Trader Outlook: Buyers need to remain cautious and vigilant at these levels. The market shows signs of short-term weakness, and how gold behaves around these supports will be crucial for the next move.
Gold is at a critical juncture where it faces both selling pressure and key supports. Watching the reaction around ₹97,700-₹97,750 will help gauge whether bulls regain control or further correction unfolds. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025:
Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine.
Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330
SL 3325
TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025:
Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine.
Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330
SL 3325
TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold Outlook – Buying as the Main ThemeGold Outlook – Buying as the Main Theme
Gold continues to move in line with previous analyses. Earlier today in the Asian session, the market saw a quick dip due to liquidity being cleared during the daily one-hour break. However, price quickly recovered, broke through the 3339 resistance, and confirmed that buying momentum has returned, strengthening the short-term bullish trend.
Expectations for a new Elliott wave cycle are gradually taking shape. At this point, wave 3 is considered to have begun — typically the strongest phase with greater momentum and wider price swings. This supports the scenario of a medium-term bullish outlook.
Price remains above the key EMA levels, confirming that the long-term trend is intact. The breakout above 3339 reinforces buyer strength and opens the way towards Fibonacci extension targets at 2.618 and 3.618. MACD also maintains positive momentum, while Elliott structure suggests that wave 3 still has room to extend further.
As long as gold holds above the 3336–3338 zone, this remains a reasonable area to consider buying. A minor pullback around this level would offer an even better opportunity to join the trend, with a stop-loss of about 6 dollars to manage risk effectively.
When price approaches Fibonacci extension targets, traders may consider partial profit-taking or look for short-term selling opportunities. This approach will be suitable given how far wave 3 has already extended.
It is important to monitor price reactions around the extension zones. Higher timeframes such as H1–H4 should be prioritised to capture the broader structure and avoid market noise.
A strong trend never moves in a straight line; it always comes with pauses and retracements. Staying patient and riding with the main trend is often the best way to maximise profits in the medium term.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #MACD #Forex #IndiaTrading
Gold Update: Range Trading with Bearish UndertoneAfter last week decline,gold has entered a consolidation phase within a well-defined range. The current support is at around 3330, which coincides with last week's low and also serves as the monthly pivot point, providing a strong foundation for short term. On the upside, resistance is at 3350-3355, which aligns with the current week's pivot level, creating a ceiling that sellers are defending.
The price action within this tight range suggests that market participants are taking a breather after the recent selling pressure, with both bulls and bears showing restraint as they assess the next move. The way gold is trading within these boundaries gives the impression that energy is building up, much like a coiled spring ready to release. This type of consolidation pattern often precedes a significant directional move, as market forces accumulate before choosing their next path.
The technical setup indicates that we're likely approaching a critical range where gold will need to make a decisive break either above or below this range. A breakout above the 3350-3355 resistance zone could signal renewed bullish momentum and attract fresh buying interest, while a breakdown below the 3330 support level might open the door for further downside pressure.Looking at the weekly and daily price action, the bears seem to have the upper hand in the current scenario. The recent decline from higher levels has created a bearish tone, and importantly, we haven't seen any major reversal signals that would suggest a strong buying opportunity at these current range levels
Red CHoCH Confirms the Bears – Sell at Premium Zone📌 Gold Plan – M30 Timeframe | Captain Vincent ⚓
Background
On the D1 chart, the candle closed lower, showing bearish pressure still dominates.
On H4, the bearish structure continues.
However, Gold is currently stuck around 3345/oz, unable to make a clear breakout.
The 3323 – 3335 zone remains strong support – a level where Vincent has bought multiple times before with solid profits. But with the current structure, today’s priority will be Sell in line with the main trend.
Sell Zone – Premium 🎯
Entry: 3345 – 3347
SL: 3352
TP: 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 33xx
SMC Note (CHoCH 🔴)
On the M30 timeframe, a recent red CHoCH has appeared – a signal confirming that sellers have regained control.
This strengthens the case for selling at upper resistance zones.
Today’s Scenarios
If price holds below 3345 – 3347 → Prioritise short setups, selling in line with the downtrend.
If price breaks below current support → High chance the market will move to fill the previous FVG. In that case, wait for a Breakout Down retest to enter safer.
Consider entering one small probe trade first, then go in stronger once a reversal candle confirmation appears.
Resistance to watch: 3337 – 3345
Support to watch: 3323 – 3335
⚠️ Captain’s Note:
"SMC structure with a red CHoCH has confirmed that the bears are steering the market. We will flow with the main current – Sell at the Premium Zone – but always with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before taking action."
Gold - Bearish ? Double Top with RSI DivergenceGold was bullish only due to empty words from Trump saying no gold in US, its missing, no one audited for 40 years, no doors and no windows in the store house etc etc. He never took efforts to go and check it or ask for audit report. so in my view its empty words from Trump. It must have helped Russia to offload its tons and tons of Gold accumulated long before the war, Thats the biggest gift Trump given to Putin to book profits in Gold. It has formed double top with clear Bearish Divergence in RSI. In my view its a Sell now and many be buy at lower levels later. No war, no covid and why any one hold Gold at these very high price ?
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 18, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 18, 2025:
Gold prices fell 1.79% last week, although Trump and Putin failed to reach an agreement on the key issue, with the focus this week on the Jackson Hole conference.
Basic news: Gold traders are closely watching the developments of the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart Zelensky today to set the terms of a potential peace deal that Trump agreed with Putin in Alaska on Friday. CME's "Fed Watch" report released today, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 15.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84.6%.
Technical analysis: Gold prices have rebounded after approaching the support zone of 3325 - 3330. Currently, the bullish pattern of gold prices has not been broken, the possibility of gold prices having a strong increase in the near future. RSI on H1 and H4 frames is showing signs of entering the buying zone, combined with MA tending to expand after the previous sideways movement. Liquidity zones such as 3375 - 3380 and 3395 - 3400 could be profit-taking zones for this growth.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330 and 3300 - 3305.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3326 - 3328
SL 3323
TP 3331 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3365 - Open.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300.
Wish you a new week of safe, successful and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Plan 18/08 – Captain VincentBackground
For the past two days, Gold has repeatedly tested the 3332 – 3334 zone and slipped down to 3323, showing that buyers at this level are losing strength.
The broader trend still leans bullish, but the market is heavily influenced by geopolitics and news events:
📰 US–Russia preparing for a new round of Ukraine talks (15 Aug, Alaska).
🌐 Trump’s tariff stance remains unclear, adding volatility to Gold.
💵 Fed is likely to cut 25bps in September, keeping Gold in “defensive but ready to break out” mode.
➡ With this backdrop, today’s plan requires flexibility: Buy with trend, Sell scalp at key resistances.
1. Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3324 – 3326
SL: 3320
TP: 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 33xx
Note: Only suitable for quick scalps, avoid holding longer.
2. Main Buy Zone – Safe Harbor ⚓
Entry: 3313 – 3311
SL: 3304
TP: 3314 → 3319 → 3325 → 3330
Meaning: This is the main launchpad for buyers if price corrects deeper.
3. Sell Scalp Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3366 – 3377
SL: 3383
TP: 3362 → 3355 → 33xx
Meaning: Short-term resistance, ideal for quick reaction sells.
4. Main Sell Zone – Watchtower ⛩
Entry: 3396 – 3394
SL: 3402
TP: 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 33xx
Meaning: Strong resistance zone, highly likely to trigger a bearish reaction.
If broken, Gold may extend further into 34xx.
Today’s Scenarios
If price dips to 3324 – 3326 → Quick Buy Scalp.
If price drops deeper → Prefer to Buy at Safe Harbor (3313 – 3311).
If price rises to 3366 – 3377 → Short-term Sell Scalp.
If price tests 3396 – 3394 → Stronger Sell, this is the main resistance.
Captain’s Note:
"The Gold ship still sails North ⚓ today, but each time it hits Storm Breaker 🌊 or Watchtower ⛩, the sails will drop for a quick strike before retreating. Waves from Trump–Putin headlines and the Fed’s next move may stir up rough seas. Remember, mates: better to miss one trade than let the waves sink the ship." 🏴☠️
Gold Plan 15/08 – Captain VincentBackground
Yesterday, Gold revisited the BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 (3332 – 3334) zone and bounced 140 pips.
This is the second consecutive day the zone has shown strong reaction, but today its support strength may weaken.
The main H1 trend is leaning bearish , so the priority is to look for sell setups at major resistance zones.
Zone 1 – Storm Gate 🚪 (Main Sell Zone – SMC Supply)
Entry: 3,355 – 3,357
SL: 3,361
TP: 3,351 → 3,347 → 3,342 → 33xx
Note: SMC Supply zone confluenced with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618. Wait for strong price reaction before entry.
Zone 2 – BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry : 3,332 – 3,334
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 33xx
Note: This zone has reacted twice in a row. Today, only use for quick scalps, avoid holding for long.
Zone 3 – Deep Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand)
Entry: 3,290 – 3,292
SL : 3,284
TP: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,304 → 33xx
Note: Deepest support of the day. Buy only if price drops sharply and clear reversal signals appear.
Today’s Scenarios
If price tests Storm Gate → Look for short-term sells in line with the downtrend.
If price breaks below BUY Scalp → Wait for a retest to sell further, as there’s a high chance of filling the previous Fair Value Gap.
If price reaches Deep Harbor → Attempt a bottom buy, but keep profit expectations short since the overall trend is bearish.
Captain’s Note:
"Today, the golden sea has strong waves and heavy winds. The captain will set sails at Storm Gate to catch the downwind move. Deep Harbor stays open, but will only anchor if the skies are clear. BUY Scalp is like a speedboat – fast, sharp, decisive." 🏴☠️📉
Captain’s Friday Warning ⚠️
"It’s Friday – the wildest day of the week. Trade carefully, manage capital tightly, and protect your treasure chest. The weekend is long; don’t let one impulsive move sink the ship." ⛵💰
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025:
Gold prices continued to rise in the European session on August 13, 2025 as mild US inflation data raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, while a weaker US dollar also boosted demand for gold.
Fundamental news: The US labor market report earlier this month initially weighed on the greenback, but the latest US CPI data added pressure as it did not show a clear acceleration in inflation due to tariffs in July. The inflation data reinforced the possibility that the Fed will take a more dovish stance in September, which is what the market is expecting.
Technical analysis: After a deep correction to the 3330 area, gold prices showed signs of increasing again. On the H1 frame, an upward price channel has been formed, but the current MA lines are still moving sideways, not showing a clear trend. The 3350 - 3355 area will be the important area to decide whether this uptrend channel can hold or not. RSI on H1 and H4 timeframes has entered the buy zone, this is a very good condition for us to trade. We will trade at the support zones and large liquidity zones of gold prices.
Important price zones today: 3350 - 3355, 3335 - 3340.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3350 - 3352
SL 3347
TP 3355 - 3365 - 3375 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3335 - 3337
SL 3332
TP 3340 - 3350 - 3370 - 3390.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3388 - 3390
SL 3393
TP 3385 - 3375 - 3365 - 3355 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Plan 14/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 14/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
Background
Yesterday, Gold touched the Sell Scalp zone and cruised smoothly for 220 pips 🎯.
However, it failed to break the previous Buy Zone and is now maintaining a bullish structure on the H1 chart, with higher lows forming.
Today, the market may move slower as traders await the US PPI data , so each entry point must be taken with caution.
Zone 1 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand)
Entry: 3,334 – 3,332
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,338 → 3,342 → 3,346 → 33xx
Note: This is the main buy zone, aligned with the SMC Demand Zone. Enter only if there’s a clear reversal signal (Pin Bar / Engulfing) on M15/H1.
Zone 2 – Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone – SMC Supply)
Entry: 3,398 – 3,400
SL: 3,407
TP: 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 33xx
Note: Strong sell zone. Watch price reaction before entry. Prefer partial profit-taking along the way.
Today’s Scenarios
If price tests Golden Harbor → Wait for pin bar or engulfing, then Buy in line with the uptrend.
If price approaches Storm Breaker → Look for short-term sell setups on reversal signals.
If price stays in the mid-range → Stay on the shore, save energy for the golden moment.
Captain’s Note:
"Today, the golden sea still rides the bullish tide, but the PPI winds may shift without warning. Keep the helm steady, and anchor only at safe harbors." 🏴☠️📈
Gold Recovery Stalls at Fibonacci Resistance - Key Levels to WatWe have seen a strong recovery from the monthly pivot point, which acted as solid support. However, the price is now facing significant resistance in the Fibonacci golden zone between 3,370-3,379, based on the recent decline from 3,409 to 3,331. This resistance level presents the main challenge for bulls at this point.
For the bullish momentum to continue, buyers need to push the price above 3,379, which would confirm the upward trend and signal further strength. The positive sign is that gold has been holding steady above the 3,350 level, showing some underlying support at this price point.
Looking at key levels to watch, 3,350 serves as the immediate support level . If this level fails to hold, the next major support comes in at 3,331. A breakdown below these support levels could trigger further selling pressure and lead to additional declines in gold price.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025:
Gold prices recovered slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in September, while a weaker US dollar has boosted gold's appeal.
Fundamental news: Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year in July, lower than the expected 2.8% and unchanged from June. Core CPI increased 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months.
Technical analysis: The sideways range of 3,340 - 3,360 has not been broken yet. The MAs are showing signs of moving sideways, showing the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. RSI H1 has started to move towards the buy zone, RSI H4 is heading towards the average line. There is a high possibility that gold price will have a correction according to RSI of H4 and increase strongly again.
Important price zones today: 3340 - 3345, 3365 - 3370 and 3385 - 3390.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3367 - 3369
SL 3372
TP 3364 - 3355 - 3345.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3387 - 3389
SL 3392
TP 3384 - 3374 - 3364 - 3345.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342
SL 3337
TP 3345 - 3355 - 3365 - 3385 - OPEN.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
Gold Plan 13/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 13/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
News Background
📊 Gold is holding steady near $3,350/oz after the US July CPI release.
Headline CPI : 2.7% (below forecast of 2.8%) 📉
Core CPI: 3.1% (up from 2.9%) 📈
➡ This cools down inflation fears from tariffs and increases the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September , which is bullish for Gold.
Key factors to watch:
💼 Market awaiting more data: PPI, jobless claims, retail sales.
🔍 Tariff drama: Trump says no tariffs, but US Customs just listed 1kg & 100oz gold bars under taxable imports.
🌐 US extends the trade truce with China for another 90 days.
🕊 US–Russia talks on Ukraine scheduled for 15 Aug in Alaska.
News conclusion:
Lower-than-expected CPI + higher Fed cut chances = Gold remains positive.
But tariff and geopolitical risks must be tracked closely.
Yesterday’s Action (12/08)
Gold tapped the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 zone and bounced ~290 pips .
However, it failed to break decisively above the zone and moved sideways around support.
Technical Plan – 13/08
1. Sell Scalp – Quick Boarding Reverse ⚓
Entry: 3,374 – 3,376
SL: 3,382
TP: 3,368 → 3,362 → 3,355 → 3,3xx
Reason: Short-term resistance, suitable for quick sell scalps when price retests higher.
2. Sell Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3,405 – 3,406
SL: 3,411
TP: 3,395 → 3,385 → 3,375 → 3,365
Reason: Major resistance zone aligned with previous highs and trend channel.
Scenarios:
Price likely to rise from current sideways range to test either Sell Scalp or Storm Breaker.
Priority: Sell if reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing) appear on M15/H1 at these zones.
If price breaks above Storm Breaker and holds above 3,411 → cancel sell plan, wait for new structure.
Captain’s Note:
"The CPI wave has anchored the Gold ship near 3,350. Today, the crew is ready to set sail towards Sell Scalp and Storm Breaker, waiting for the winds to shift for a profitable turn." ⚓🌊
Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
Background:
After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock.
Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters.
Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp)
Entry: 3,333 – 3,331
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx
Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit.
Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone)
Entry: 3,311 – 3,309
SL: 3,305
TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx
Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong.
Today’s Scenarios:
If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering.
If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation.
If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage.
Captain’s Note:
“The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
Gold Retreats to Range Zone: CPI Data Could Spark Next MoveGold has encountered strong resistance around the 3400 level and pulled back. The price has now re-entered the range zone again.
The technical picture shows gold ltaking support at 3340 support, while the 3400 level continues to act as a concrete resistance barrier above.
Yesterday's correction saw prices close below 3350, which raises some concern about near-term weakness. Today's CPI data release is expected to inject significant volatility into the market. For gold price structure, a pullback would be healthy to establish a lower high pattern as indicated on the chart, particularly if the gold intends to move lower.
On the upside, the weekly pivot at 3384 now is critical level to monitor, followed by the 3400 resistance zone. To the downside, we have to watch the 3330-3335 support area as the next key level that could determine golds immediate direction.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 8, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 8, 2025:
Gold prices have approached the 340x area and have fallen sharply to the 338x support area at the beginning of today's trading session.
Basic news: President Trump announced to double tariffs on Indian goods to 50% in response to continued oil imports from Russia. Reports show that Trump may meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin as early as next week.
Technical analysis: Gold prices are currently in an uptrend channel, but the trading range is showing signs of narrowing. The possibility that the price will correct at this 340x area is very high; if the gold price creates a double peak pattern in the H1 frame, the price range of 3375 - 3380 will confirm the pattern and create a strong downward force for the gold price. If gold forms a double top pattern here, this correction could take gold to the 3350 or even 3330 area.
Important price zones today: 3375 - 3380, 3405 - 3410 and 3420 - 3425.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3407 - 3409
SL 3412
TP 3404 - 3394 - 3374 - 3354.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3423 - 3425
SL 3428
TP 3420 - 3410 - 3390 - 3370.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3375 - 3377
SL 3372
TP 3380 - 3390 - 3400.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading weekend.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟






















