XAUUSD June 21, 2024 Is the rising wave over?Our wave C target has been achieved, looking at the price we see
- Yesterday after the news of unemployment benefits was announced, the price increased sharply to our target area of 2364 and is currently correcting. So the price increased sharply and quickly, which is the characteristic of wave 3, then the price decreased and adjusted until now, so it is likely that the price is in wave 4.
- So we may have wave 5 to end this wave C and from current price data we can measure the target area for this wave C from 2364 to 2374.
We will consider the price range from 2364 to 2374, this is a very good price range to sell down.
After the price reaches the target of wave C as above, if the price breaks the 2387.5 zone, then our trading plan must change.
In case the price drops, we have the goal of completing the big wave 5 as shown on the chart at area 2256 and area 2210.
Gold
Evaluate the strategy and outlook for gold prices today!Current Trend: The 4-hour chart shows gold in a short-term uptrend. The price is above the EMA 34 and EMA 89, showing that the upward momentum is still strong.
Critical Support Zone: 2,335 USD - 2,333 USD, coincident with the EMAs, acting as a strong support zone.
Key Resistance: $2,387 is the resistance to watch out for. If the price breaks this level, the uptrend could be further strengthened.
Trading strategies:
Buy: When the price adjusts to the support area around 2,335 USD and shows signs of rebounding.
Sell: When the price approaches the resistance level of 2,387 USD and shows signs of strong rejection.
Gold price creates new breakthrough!At the start of the trading session on June 21st, gold prices saw an uptick, spurred by market anticipations of an impending rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve, following weaker-than-expected retail sales data earlier in the week.
While gold may have lost some of its upward momentum, the overall market sentiment remains largely optimistic. Numerous hedge funds have pivoted towards gold, which has helped maintain a solid support level at $2,300 per ounce.
A significant pillar bolstering the gold market is its status as a safe-haven asset, providing a hedge against risk amid ongoing global geopolitical instability.
Gold Price Forecast
The gold market is poised for a resurgence as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy becomes more defined. With an expected shift in policy direction, investment demand from the West is likely to increase, potentially setting the stage for gold to soar.
XAUUSD 21 juin 2024 La vague montante est-elle terminée ?Notre objectif de vague C a été atteint, au vu du prix que nous observons
- Hier, après l'annonce de la nouvelle des allocations de chômage, le prix a fortement augmenté jusqu'à notre zone cible de 2364 et est actuellement en train de se corriger. Le prix a donc augmenté fortement et rapidement, ce qui est la caractéristique de la vague 3, puis le prix a diminué et s'est ajusté jusqu'à présent, il est donc probable que le prix soit dans la vague 4.
- Nous pourrions donc avoir la vague 5 pour mettre fin à cette vague C et à partir des données de prix actuelles, nous pouvons mesurer la zone cible de cette vague C de 2364 à 2374.
Nous considérerons la fourchette de prix de 2364 à 2374, c'est une très bonne fourchette de prix à vendre.
Une fois que le prix a atteint l'objectif de la vague C comme ci-dessus, si le prix franchit la zone 2387,5, alors notre plan de trading doit changer.
En cas de baisse des prix, nous avons pour objectif de compléter la grande vague 5 comme indiqué sur le graphique dans les zones 2256 et 2210.
Gold braces for consecutive second weekly gain, focus on $2,390Gold price seesaws at the highest level in a fortnight early Friday, after rising the most in five weeks the previous day. That said, a successful breakout of the 50-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from May 20 backed the precious metal’s run-up on Thursday. Apart from that, upbeat RSI and bullish MACD signals also keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful of witnessing the second consecutive weekly gain. With this, a two-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $2,390 gains major attention, a break of which will allow bulls to aim for the $2,400 and the $2,410 levels ahead of challenging the record high of around $2,450.
Meanwhile, a convergence of the 50-SMA and aforementioned trend line stretched from May, close to $2,344 at the latest, appears the key support to watch during the Gold price decline. Following that, the $2,300 threshold and an 11-week-long rising support line of near $2,293 will be the last defense of the XAUUSD buyers. It’s worth noting that the monthly of $2,286 and May’s low surrounding $2,277 will act as additional downside filters before giving control to the bears.
To sum up, the Gold buyers are well in control but the upside room appears limited.
Gold buying strategy is preferredDear traders!
Gold price today recorded a slight recovery, the price moved to 2337 USD and in the short term is still supporting this upward movement when from the precious metal analysis chart, it has reached an important resistance level and Get momentum when breaking the trendline.
It is expected that after the trend adjustment, the price will continue to go up, the Buy target and strategy are prioritized in that case.
Plan transaction on June 20
👨💻 XAUUSD BUY zone 2328 - 2325
🔹SL 2322
🔹TP 2334 - 2340 - 2350
Wishing you Full City 💵💵
XAUUSD on June 20, 2024 after bank holiday
Today will be announced the number of applications for unemployment benefits. This index will tell us how the current economic situation is affected by the Fed's policy on interest rates.
If these indexes decrease, it will tell us that the Fed's recent policies have not had a large impact on the economic situation, which will create conditions for the Fed to maintain its hawkish policy and then the USD will increase. and XAU will decrease
If this policy increases compared to the previous period, this signals that the Fed's policies are negatively impacting the economy, affecting all classes of people, creating pressure for the Fed to relax interest rates in the future. in the near future and this will cause the USD to decrease and XAU to increase.
Price broke out of the triangle wedge this morning with a strong candle. So we are leaning towards the ABC correction model
- So the price target of wave C as last time we measured at 2 price zones 2350 and 2365 price zone.
- After the price reaches this target, the price will continue to trend down to complete the large wave C in the D1 time frame.
- Our current trading plan is to wait until the wave C target at 2350 or 2364 to find a selling point or we can go to smaller time frames for scalping trading.
Silver at Strong Support Level: Ideal Buy with Targets up to 12Silver has a level that is a strong potential support. Personally, I have been waiting for a retest of this level (87580) for quite some time. It is advisable to buy at this level.
From here, potential targets appear to be 96400, 100900, 102700, 106500, 120000, and 125000.
"Gold Slips as USD Rallies, Investors Eye Fed's Next Move"Key Points:
USD and Bond Yields Impact: Gold prices edged lower at the start of the week, influenced by a strengthening USD and rising bond yields.
Awaiting Economic Data: Investors are keenly awaiting economic data and commentary from Federal Reserve officials for clearer guidance on interest rate cuts.
Price Range Forecast: In this environment, gold is expected to trade sideways between $2,300 and $2,335.
Upcoming U.S. Economic Reports: Key U.S. data this week, including retail sales figures, weekly jobless claims, and PMI indices, are anticipated to shed light on the Fed's rate direction.
Support from Fed Policy Expectations: Despite the lack of major movements, gold remains supported by expectations that the Fed will eventually pivot its policy stance.
Global Political Uncertainty: Additionally, political unrest in France is heightening global risk aversion, boosting the demand for gold as a safe haven.
Gold price today still increased above 2300 USDGold prices have surged on weaker-than-expected US retail sales and expectations of lower interest rates. Here are the key factors:
Weak retail sales:
US retail sales report was lower than expected, suggesting a decline in consumer spending.
This raises concerns about economic growth, which could lead to economic stimulus or looser monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
As a result, gold becomes more attractive as a safe haven asset.
Expect lower interest rates:
With retail sales weak, the Fed could keep interest rates low or even cut them to support the economy.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which provides no interest or dividends.
A weaker US dollar due to lower interest rates also increases the value of dollar-denominated gold in international markets.
XAUUSD Trading strategy for complex corrections
Look at H1
- We see that currently the price is tending to form a triangle correction pattern.
- As I said before, the price is currently in a complicated adjustment process, we can only wait for the model to complete to determine the next trend.
- And I am also predicting an ABC correction model with the target wave C on the chart with 2 price ranges 2350 and 2365. However, currently we see that the price is in a position where it can form a triangle correction model and ABC correction pattern may continue. So at the present time we wait at the price of 2341.8 to confirm any model.
- If the price breaks 2341.8, the targets of wave C continue to be completed. Then we wait for the target levels of wave C, i.e. area 2350 or area 2365, to sell down.
- If the price cannot break the 2341.8 area, the price may form a triangle correction pattern abcde. Then we wait for the price to break the lower boundary of the triangle pattern to sell to the target area of wave 5.
In general, in a complex adjustment process, it is not feasible to conduct many transactions in this area, so we should patiently wait for the target areas. In this process we will prioritize Scalping
GOLD IS BULLISH ABOVE 2325 till 2335 2340 2345.Good Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving above 2325
we can see more up levels 2335 22340 and 2345.
If Gold will break 2325 and sustain below then only
we can see 2310 2302 and 2298
Our preference is sell from high
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading 😉
XAUUSD June 18, 2024 a potential sharp declineGold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off as the US economy forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. Weak manufacturer inflation data and a rise in initial jobless claims supported lower interest rates. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions, such as increased attacks by Hezbollah on Israel and more Russian warships in the Caribbean, have contributed to this rebound.
Looking at the adjustment process from June 8 to the present time, we can see that this is a complicated adjustment process.
- Trading in a complex correction is not recommended. We watch for this adjustment process to complete
- During this process we can scalp in short price ranges in smaller frames.
- When the price reaches the expected targets, we will consider placing an order.
Looking at H1, we see that the wave C correction process is still continuing. We observe the price reaching the target price zones 2350 and 2356.
- The price will confirm the target areas of wave C when it breaks out of the 2341.8 area, then we focus on observing the chart to find a Sell order.
- In case the price breaks out of the 2296 price range, it is likely that the adjustment process has been completed and if the price also breaks out of the 2287 area, then the target price area for wave 5 is 2256 and 2210 will be the areas we focus on. closely to find Buy orders.
XAUUSD After a week of volatile news from the Fed
Last week we observed that US inflation indicators showed signs of cooling down.
- Wednesday's CPI dropped from 3.45 to 3.3%
- PPI index decreased -0.2%
Inflation indicators decreased while economic indicators were negative
- As the unemployment rate and unemployment benefit application rate increase
This shows that the Fed's monetary policy is effectively reducing inflation, specifically consumer price CPI and production costs, while also reflecting the negative economic impact of the policy. this book. This requires that the Fed may begin to loosen monetary policy in the near future
Look at D1
- We see that the correction has completed wave B and is continuing wave C of wave 4.
- We can measure the target of wave C at 2 price zones 2256 and 2210 price zones.
- We have a price zone confirming the final wave 4 which is the 2150 price zone. If the price breaks through this zone, our ABC wave counting process is no longer correct, then we have to re-plan a new plan based on new data.
Look at H1
- The price has broken out through the 2323 zone and is testing this zone again. Looking at the reversing momentum in the oversold area, it is likely that the price has successfully tested and continues to rise to the target areas of wave C above.
- Yesterday we measured the target wave C which is 2 areas 2354 and 2360
- The target area of wave C is a very good area for us to look for Sell down orders
- Combined with chart D1, we will have the price range where this decrease will end at 2256 or 2210.
- We also have a zone that denies this wave counting process when the price surpasses the 2388 zone, then the price has entered an uptrend and we are forced to change our trading strategy at that time (I will update later if that happens).
What's changed in the gold price in the new week?Hello, let's analyze today's gold price!
In the chart, although gold on Friday had a strong recovery of nearly 300 pips, in the long term it is still in a downtrend with the price channel remaining stable.
Regarding the target and upcoming direction: From technical analysis, I expect the price to decrease more after the adjustment reaches the upper limit of the price channel.
The target is 2280 USD.
And you, what are your thoughts, do you think gold will increase or decrease this week?
Update the latest gold price today!Today, gold has decreased slightly by 10 USD, currently trading around 2315 USD. This comes as the US Dollar tumbled following the release of much-anticipated economic data. Gold's short-term downtrend continues.
Technical analysis:
Trendline Break: From a technical standpoint, gold has broken above its trendline, signaling continued bearish momentum.
EMA Confirmation: The bearish outlook is further supported by gold trading below the 34 EMA and 89 EMA.
Price Target: The next important level to watch is $2300, which remains the desired target in this downtrend.
What do you think about gold's movement? Are you expecting the next decline or do you see a potential turnaround? Let's discuss!
GOLD is Bullish above 2315 till 2330 2340 2345 Good Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving above 2315
we can see more up levels 2330 22335 and 2345.
If Gold will break 2315 and sustain below then only
we can see 2310 2302 and 2290
Our preference is buy from Dip and
sell from top
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading 😉
EURAUD - 15M (LONG)FOREXCOM:EURAUD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold price today: Continuous increase of nearly 300 pipsHello everyone, yesterday gold experienced a quite significant recovery. At the beginning of the session, gold traded stably, but near the end of the session, this metal quickly increased and recovered more than 280 pips. Currently, gold temporarily closed at 2332 USD and increased about 1.24% during the day.
Accordingly, gold prices increased despite the USD index anchoring at a high threshold. Although under some pressure, the fact that gold is still above 2,300 USD/ounce proves that buyers still actively consider the adjustment and price decrease as Good opportunity to increase gold holdings.
Gold price today: Recover more than 100 pipsHello everyone! What do you think, where will gold close today?
In this analysis, I'll be focusing on gold's recent recovery. The precious metal recently broke out of its short-term upward trend after surpassing the trendline. Despite this, it has found new momentum and is currently hovering around the psychological level of $2300.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, I’ve observed that gold has rebounded over 140 pips. It seems to be targeting the $2323 level, with the next resistance around $2338.
That's my take. What about you? Do you think gold can reach these targets, or will it pull back again? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Xauusd after a series of important news from the Fed
Yesterday's news announced to us
First, the ppi decrease combined with the unemployment benefits application index increased. Combined with a decrease in CPI, this is beneficial for Gold to increase because the economic situation seems to be weakening, putting pressure on the Fed to reduce interest rates. However, Nonfarm data, specifically the employment index, has increased sharply in the recent period, which is the motivation for the Fed to keep the current interest rate at 5.9%. This is the reason why PPI news, although beneficial for Gold, cannot last long.
Look at H1
- We are having the idea of an abc correction model. In which we expect wave c to complete
- In front of us we have 2 important price zones: 2307 and 2287, these are 2 price zones that help us determine the direction of the price.
- If the price breaks out at 2307, this is a necessary condition for the orange wave c to complete. Then we have 2 target price zones of wave c: 2350.4 and 2364.6. These are 2 areas where we can look for Sell orders
- If the price breaks out below 2287, this is a necessary condition for the price to fall to the target zone of wave 5, which is 2264. This is the area where we look for a Buy order.
Gold Price reduced at the end of the trading session!Hello everyone, today the price of gold continues to trade around the psychological level of 2300 USD.
Accordingly, gold was not beyond my prediction when it approached 2300 USD to receive new resources around this support area. After the Fed's above announcement, gold lost its inherent momentum, causing the number of investors buying to decrease significantly.
Not only that, the gold market also witnessed strong selling momentum after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the consumer price index (CPI) in May remained high, the main reason why the Fed extended the Delay interest rate cuts.
Gold price forecast:
-In terms of market psychology as well as news: negative reaction to monetary policy and pressure from the rising USD, weaker buying demand from China makes it difficult for gold to increase in price during this time.
- Technically: Gold is in a downtrend, the price moves below the resistance level and the Trendline line decreases. The price is affected by the EMA 34, 89 which is still beneficial for selling momentum. The reduction target to the support level of 2288 USD is again targeted in the short term.
XAUUSD June 13, 2024 After news of CPI and Fed interest ratesYesterday we had the Fed's announcement about the CPI index, we saw that this index was 0.3 to 0.4 lower than the previous period. This is the result when the Fed implemented tightening monetary policy in the past.
After that, the FOMC meeting announced that interest rates would continue to remain at 5.5%.
- This made gold yesterday, after the announcement of CPI increased to 2340, then the news that interest rates remained high at 5.5% continued to push gold prices down.
Look at the H1 chart
- Yesterday's pullback to the 2340 price range reached the 50% Fibo level, which is a level that has surpassed the usual 38% level of wave 4. This suggests to us a more complex wave model
- For now, at this position, we observe the price zones to confirm the formation model, which are the price zone 2307 and the price zone 2287.
- If the price holds above the 2307 area, then we will have wave 5 formed at the 2287 area, meaning wave C during the ABC correction looks like D1 has completed. Then we have wave C higher than bottom B. Looking at D1, we see that a new complex correction model can form (I will update later).
- If the price breaks through the 2287 area, we have wave 5 targets as on the chart we mentioned before.