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Gold Major Support in Focus: Will It Hold or Slide Further?Gold is testing a major support zone around 3260–3280 after breaking down from trendline support and following up with another red candle. This breakdown suggests that the recent bullish momentum has faded, and now we have to wait to see if this support can hold. If it doesn’t, the next downside target looks to be around 3130–3155, with even 3000 as a longer-term possibility if the pressure continues. Right now, I’m staying out of any trades, preferring to wait and see if this support zone can provide a bounce or if we’re heading for deeper levels. The price action isn’t giving any clear reversal signs at current area as of now and wee have to assess this on week closing basis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
1
GOLD TRADING INSIDE COMPRESSION ZONE WAITING FOR A CLEAR BREAK XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 27 | GOLD TRADING INSIDE A COMPRESSION ZONE – WAITING FOR A CLEAR BREAKOUT Gold continues to consolidate below the 3,364 resistance zone after a rejection late last week. The market is currently trading within a compression range, preparing for a breakout – but direction still depends heavily on macro triggers and technical structure. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: U.S. 10-year yields remain above 4.5%, keeping the dollar stable and applying short-term pressure on precious metals. The Fed’s cost-cutting moves and operational losses are raising deeper concerns about long-term monetary stability. Risk sentiment is mixed, and institutional money continues to flow cautiously into gold as a long-term value hedge, especially with equities showing signs of exhaustion. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): Price failed to break through the 3,345–3,364 resistance zone, triggering a pullback toward the mid-range. Key support around 3,311 is now being tested – a decisive level that could determine whether bulls can regain momentum or bears take control. If price breaks below 3,311, we could see a deeper dip toward the 3,298–3,288 demand zone, which may offer a better re-entry for buyers. On the upside, a confirmed break above 3,364 could open the door for a move into the Fair Value Gap toward 3,407. 🔹 TRADE SETUPS: 🔵 BUY SCALP Entry: 3,314 – 3,312 Stop Loss: 3,308 Take Profit Targets: 3,318 – 3,322 – 3,326 – 3,330 – 3,340 – 3,350 🔵 BUY ZONE Entry: 3,298 – 3,296 Stop Loss: 3,292 Take Profit Targets: 3,302 – 3,306 – 3,310 – 3,314 – 3,320 – 3,330 🔻 SELL SCALP Entry: 3,346 – 3,348 Stop Loss: 3,350 Take Profit Targets: 3,342 – 3,338 – 3,334 – 3,330 – 3,320 – 3,310 🔻 SELL ZONE Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 Stop Loss: 3,370 Take Profit Targets: 3,360 – 3,356 – 3,352 – 3,348 – 3,344 – 3,340 – 3,330 📌 Note: Price is trading in the mid-range of a larger structure. Best opportunities remain near the edges of support/resistance with confirmation. Avoid overtrading in the middle zone. Let the market come to your areas of value. 💬 If you found this plan helpful, Like + Comment + Follow for daily GOLD strategies from the MMF Team.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Analysis Update: Bulls Holding Strong Above 3330Gold has been holding steady above the major pivot level at 3330, with price action continuing to create higher highs and showing strong respect for the ascending trendline support. This tells us that the bulls remain firmly in control. Currently, there’s no major rejection around these levels, and the volume is still supportive of the move higher, with no clear signs of exhaustion yet. I’m also keeping an eye on the Fibonacci retracement levels visible on the chart: price is above the 0.786 mark at 3369 and could push towards the 1.0 level at 3436 if momentum remains strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Chart Overview🔍 Current Market Position Price: $3,358.125 Currently near resistance zone ($3,420–$3,470) Historical reaction in this zone shows multiple rejections 🛑 📌 Key Levels 🔺 Resistance Point: ~$3,420–$3,470 Rejected here 3 times ➡️ strong supply zone 🔻 Support Level: ~$3,150 Past price bounced here multiple times 🟠 💪 Strong Support: ~$2,950 Major bounce seen in early May 👊 🧭 Pattern Outlook Repeated resistance test 🔁 ➡️ potential double/triple top 📉 Blue arrow suggests bearish projection towards $3,050–$2,950 If support at $3,150 fails 🔓, expect deeper drop to strong support 🔮 Forecast 🔽 Bearish Bias High chance of reversal from resistance Target: $3,050 and possibly $2,950 🎯 ⚠️ Watch for Price Action at Resistance: Rejection = short opportunity 🔧 Break of $3,150 Support: May accelerate bearish move 🧨 📌 Summary: Market shows clear resistance rejection history. If it plays out again, we may see a strong drop toward lower support zones. Ideal for short setups 📉💼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VikingFx-Community
GOLD PLAN 23/05–YIELD CURVE FLIPS Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off🔥 GOLD PLAN 23/05 – YIELD CURVE FLIPS | Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off at 3360? Global markets are heating up again as risk sentiment shifts. A major alert comes from the U.S. bond market: For the first time since October 2021, the yield curve between the 5-year and 30-year treasuries inverted to +1.00%, signaling strong expectations for inflation and future growth concerns. 🌍 MACRO CATALYSTS DRIVING GOLD: Iran warns the U.S.: “Leash your mad dog!” – escalating rhetoric as Israel is rumored to be preparing a strike on Iran's nuclear sites. Tehran vows to retaliate and holds the U.S. accountable. Goldman Sachs says: “Only one way – BUY GOLD!” Following the failed 20-year bond auction, rising deficits, and fiscal stress, GS urges investors to move into gold and crypto. The return of risk-off sentiment makes Gold the #1 safe haven asset, attracting global institutional flow. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart): Critical resistance at 3358–3360 is a key decision zone. A breakout here may trigger a strong move toward previous highs (ATH zone: 3390–3400). Major support lies around 3276–3274. A breakdown here may expose gold to deeper pullbacks below the 3200 handle, revisiting the FVG zone. 📌 TRADE PLAN FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3274 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3304 – 3302 SL: 3298 TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 🔻 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3376 – 3378 SL: 3382 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3350 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3344 – 3346 SL: 3350 TP: 3340 – 3336 – 3332 – 3328 – 3324 – 3320 ⚠️ Caution: With geopolitical risk and bond market stress rising, volatility is expected to spike. Be patient and trade only on confirmation from key zones. 🎯 Stick to the plan. Don't chase the price. Protect your capital.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold What’s Happening on Monthly Price Action:What’s Happening on Monthly Price Action: Parabolic rally: Gold has gone nearly vertical since mid-2023 a textbook parabolic curve. Zero rejection wicks: Current and previous candles show strong-bodied closes near the highs, suggesting very little distribution. RSI is overbought: Hovering well above 70, but still rising, meaning the momentum is intact and buyers are still in full control. This move still has no exhaustion signal on the monthly. No long upper wicks No bearish engulfing No divergence on RSI yet We are likely in Phase 2 of the bull run where price accelerates with institutional momentum, not retail euphoria. We are due for a healthy correction, but calling a top here is premature. A market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. "Overbought and staying overbought” is a sign of strength, not weakness. Until price shows a rejection the bulls are driving this train. We ride the wave, not fight it
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Holding Strong New Highs Loading? After a solid rejection from the 3130–3160 major support zone, gold has shown real strength and bounced back above the 3280–3300 region, which was a key retracement level (0.5–0.618 Fib zone). Initially, I was expecting a deeper correction possibly towards the 3000 area, but price action has flipped the script. Bulls have stepped in strongly. With the updated projection, we’re now looking at the following bullish path: Updated Bullish Projection Path Immediate resistance at 3436-40 (100% Fib extension) Next targets: ATH :3500 3520 – 1.272 Fib 3565 – 1.414 Fib 3628 – 1.618 Fib (Major extension target) Major support to watch 3260-75 area If price continues to respect the trendline and higher lows, this bullish momentum could stretch further....
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
The uptrend is being tested at the resistance of 3,305 USDAfter a strong recovery from the bottom around 3,140 USD, the world gold price is touching the important resistance zone at 3,305 USD/ounce in the trading session on May 21. On the 4H chart, the short-term uptrend is reinforced when the price breaks above the EMA 34 and EMA 89, creating a golden cross pattern - a sign that often signals the continuation of the uptrend. However, the 3,305–3,325 area is currently acting as a short-term resistance - where many reversals have been recorded in the past. The price is showing signs of slowing down when approaching this area, with small candles and narrow bodies, indicating that buying power is temporarily slowing down. If gold breaks and closes clearly above 3,325, the price will likely continue to move towards 3,375 and further to 3,400 USD. On the contrary, if the price fails to break above the current resistance zone and reverses, the support zone to watch is the confluence between EMA34 and EMA89 around 3,250–3,260. With market sentiment still dominated by geopolitical factors and US credit risks, gold continues to maintain its safe-haven role. However, investors should monitor the price reaction at the 3,305 area to confirm the next momentum – whether it is a breakout or a technical correction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING? The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally. 📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story. ⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity? On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs. 🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand. Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels. 💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3252–3250 Stop Loss: 3246 Take Profit Targets: 3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3277–3275 Stop Loss: 3272 Take Profit Targets: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300 🔻 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3354–3356 Stop Loss: 3360 Take Profit Targets: 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320 🔻 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3334 Take Profit Targets: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 🌍 MACRO INSIGHT: Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends. China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact. Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts. 📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing. 👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
No trades for now… letting gold show its next moveYesterday, gold closed above 3282 level, which we’ve been tracking closely as the 0.50 Fibonacci level from the 3440–3120 decline. This was a key technical level and with that break, I’ve closed all my short positions initiated from the 3385 area(with a good profit overall), as shared earlier. With that exit, I’m currently flat and not holding any active positions. From an intraday perspective, price is now inching toward the next resistance at 3319, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fib retracement a typical zone where reactions or pullbacks possible. The trend has shifted from a clean corrective phase into a potential BIG RANGE CONSOLIDATION structure(for range we have to wait for weekly close confirmations) I’ll wait for more clarity in price action near 3319–3345, and reassess if fresh selling opportunities or continuation setups emerge.I prefer to stay on the sidelines and observe how price behaves around the next resistance cluster before jumping into the next move.
TVC:GOLD
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Key Rejection Zone Approaching – Bearish Setup in PlayChart Summary: Asset: Unspecified (USD-based) Timeframe: Short-term (likely 1H or 4H) Indicators: EMA 50 (red): 3,245.772 EMA 200 (blue): 3,223.635 Key Zones: Resistance Zone (Red box): ~3,310–3,360 Target/Support Zone (Red box): ~3,110–3,160 Mid Support Zone (Blue box): ~3,200–3,230 Trendline: Downward sloping resistance connecting major highs --- Technical Breakdown: Trend Analysis: Primary Trend: Bearish ⬇️ Confirmed by the downtrend line (black) which has been respected multiple times (3 clear touches). Current Price: 3,290.090 Price is approaching a key confluence zone: resistance area + trendline. This area has previously acted as strong supply. Moving Averages: EMA 50 > EMA 200: Minor bullish signal (Golden Cross), but price action is still below major resistance. However, this cross may be a false signal if price gets rejected here. --- Price Action: Current Move: Strong bullish push toward resistance after rebounding from the target zone ✅ The resistance zone and trendline are likely to act as a rejection point unless broken decisively. --- Bearish Scenario (High Probability): If price fails to break above the resistance zone: Expect a rejection and move back toward: Blue mid-support: ~3,220 Target zone: ~3,130 (major demand area) Confirmation: Bearish candlestick pattern or strong wick rejections near resistance. 🔵 Entry Idea: Short near 3,310–3,350 🎯 Target: 3,130 zone ✋ Stop-Loss: Above 3,360 (above trendline + resistance) --- Bullish Scenario (Less Likely): If price breaks above the resistance zone with strong volume: Could signal trend reversal Next target levels: ~3,400+ --- Conclusion: Bias: Bearish near resistance zone Key Level to Watch: 3,310–3,360 (critical for direction) Trading Approach: Wait for confirmation, don't preemptively short without rejection signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
Gold breaks out of triangle patternThe world gold price has increased to 3,222 USD/ounce, continuing the strong recovery thanks to supportive factors from safe-haven sentiment. Moody's downgrade of the US long-term credit rating has fueled concerns about financial risks, while trade tensions due to the US Treasury Secretary's statement have further strengthened gold's position as a safe haven. On the 1H chart, the price has just broken out of the ascending symmetrical triangle pattern - a technical structure that often signals the continuation of an uptrend. The breakout zone around 3,235 is currently acting as support. As long as the price holds above this zone, the possibility of gold continuing to move towards the target of 3,270–3,280 is quite high. In particular, the EMA34 and EMA89 lines are converging and preparing to create a short-term bullish crossover. However, investors should note that if the price reverses and breaks through the bottom of the triangle (below 3,220), the bullish pattern will be negated, and the possibility of a bearish reversal will return. With the geopolitical and economic context still having many uncertainties, gold is holding the upper hand but still needs solid confirmation from price action after the breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
GOLD MARKET UPDATE - BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!🔥 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE SHAKES INVESTORS | BE READY FOR BIG MOVES! Gold experienced a sharp drop following the latest hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, as they reaffirmed that current monetary conditions remain stable and tight. This has caused confusion and panic among many investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs during the U.S. and early Asia sessions. 📉 On the higher timeframes, Gold appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern – a classic consolidation structure before a potential continuation move. Despite the strong bullish momentum seen during the Asian and European sessions yesterday, the key resistance near 325x held firm, preventing any major breakout. For now, Gold seems to be trapped in a new sideways range, and unless price decisively breaks above 325x, we may continue to see choppy price action within this zone. ⚠️ However, if the current selling momentum persists and the price breaks down below the lower trendline support, the bearish flag setup could play out, with up to 80% probability, signaling a potential strong continuation of the downtrend. Traders should stay extremely alert – a major price movement could happen at any moment! 🔑 Key Support Levels: 3205 3294 3280 3262 🔑 Key Resistance Levels: 3244 3262 3278 3286 💹 Scalping Setup – BUY: Entry: 3294–3292 Stop Loss: 3288 Take Profit Targets: 3298 – 3302 – 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3272–3270 Stop Loss: 3266 Take Profit Targets: 3276 – 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3330 🔻 Scalping Setup – SELL: Entry: 3242–3244 Stop Loss: 3248 Take Profit Targets: 3238 – 3234 – 3230 – 3226 – 3220 – 3210 🔻 SELL Zone: Entry: 3276–3278 Stop Loss: 3282 Take Profit Targets: 3272 – 3268 – 3264 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240 📌 Remember to always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Beware of short-term bull trapsOn the H4 chart, gold is testing an important resistance zone around EMA89 (purple) after a rebound from the bottom of 3,120. However, both EMA34 and EMA89 are sloping down, indicating that the short-term trend is still bearish. The current rebound is not strong enough to confirm a reversal. The most recent candle also has a long upper shadow, indicating that selling pressure is waiting above. If the price is rejected at the 3,250–3,260 zone and turns around to break down to 3,220, there is a high possibility that gold will retest the old bottom around 3,120. The strategy at this time is to stay out or wait to sell lightly if a clear reversal signal appears near the resistance zone. Avoid FOMO because the rebound has not been confirmed by volume or trend structure.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
Gold Holding Above 3200… But Is the Rebound Real?Gold followed through on our previous expectation, bouncing from the 3140–3160 support zone after briefly tagging a low near 3120. From there, bulls regained some control and managed to reclaim the 3200 level, which we’ve been watching closely. Although last week’s close was above 3200, I still consider this move a corrective bounce, not a confirmed reversal. The key level I’m watching now is 3282, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline from 3440 to 3120. Until price decisively closes above this zone, I’ll continue to treat this as a pullback within a broader correection/downtrend and hold onto a portion of my short positions. If bulls manage to break and hold above 3282, we could start seeing signs of a short-term trend shift toward higher resistance zones like 3350 or beyond. However, as long as price stays below 3282, the risk remains for another move back below 3200 and if that happens, a revisit of the 3140–3120 support zone is very much on the table. and if that support break, our previous bearish targets come back into focus. So for now, I’m still leaning toward downside continuation unless the market proves otherwise by reclaiming key resistance with strength.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN? Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders. 🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally: 1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal. 2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold. 3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge. ➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500. 🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation. The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone. Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend. 📌 Key Price Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3254 – 3277 – 3288 (If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.) 🔻 Support Zones: 3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163 (Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.) 🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas: BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180 Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192 Stop-loss: 3189 Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220 SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones Stop-Loss (SL): 3293 Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270 (Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.) ⚠️ Trading Notes: Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes. No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations. 📌 Summary: ✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4. ✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength. ✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure. 📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session! Good luck & stay disciplined.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Critical Reversal or Breakdown? | XAU/USD at Make-or-Break Zone 📉 Chart Overview: Instrument: XAU/USD (assumed from chart context) Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on candlestick size) Indicators Used: 📏 EMA 50 (Red): 3,247.86 📏 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,221.42 🔍 RSI (14): Currently at 45.90 (below midline, showing weak momentum) 🔎 Key Zones: 🧱 Support Zone: ~3,180 – 3,220 Price is currently sitting on this key demand zone. Price previously bounced here sharply ➡️ indicating buyer interest. 📦 Resistance Block: ~3,260 – 3,280 Short-term resistance, price has been repeatedly rejected from here. 🎯 Target Zone: ~3,420 – 3,460 If price breaks out from the support-resistance squeeze, this is the potential bullish target 🎯. 🧭 EMA Analysis: EMA 50 is still above EMA 200 ➡️ Golden Cross formation (medium-term bullish bias) ✅ However, price is currently below both EMAs, signaling short-term weakness ❌ 📉 Bearish Scenario (📍Blue Arrow Down): If price breaks below the support zone at ~3,180, we could see a sharp drop toward the next support at ~3,032 🔻. RSI is trending down near 40, close to oversold territory ⚠️ 🚀 Bullish Scenario (📈 Blue Arrow Up): A successful retest and bounce from this support area (currently forming a rounded bottom 🥄) could lead to a bullish move toward the target zone. This is further supported by the potential RSI bounce from the 40 area, signaling renewed momentum 🔋. ✅ Bias & Conclusion: Neutral-to-Bullish Bias 🤝: As long as the price holds above the major support zone (~3,180), buyers have a chance to reclaim higher levels. Look for confirmation breakout above the local resistance (~3,260) for a move toward 3,400+ 🚀. A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish thesis and target 3,030 instead 📉. 🛠️ Trading Plan (not financial advice!): Long Entry: On bullish breakout & retest of ~3,260 ✅ Stop-Loss: Below ~3,180 ⚠️ Target: ~3,420 – 3,460 🎯
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
GOLD Pullback or Bull Trap? This Move for the WEEK⚡️Will the Recovery Hold or Just a Retest Before Another Drop? 🧠 Macro Backdrop: Geopolitical tension: US-China trade headlines and Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to stir uncertainty, but risk appetite is still cautious. US CPI and PPI data this week came in weaker than expected → inflation remains soft, but no signal yet for immediate rate cuts from the Fed. Gold has been under pressure for 2 weeks but may be stabilizing as DXY loses steam and equity markets show hesitation. 🔍 Technical Outlook (Chart: M30–H1): Gold is forming a rising wedge within a broader corrective pattern. Yesterday’s rebound from the 3,163 zone has pushed price back above the 20 EMA (black) and is testing the 3,208–3,210 zone. This area is key for today: breakout or rejection? 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance: 3,221 → Local structure neckline 3,235 → Previous supply + Fibo confluence 3,251 → Strong upper bound resistance 🔻 Support: 3,184 → Minor support (demand block) 3,173 → Swing low (key reaction zone) 3,163 → Final line of defense 📈 Trade Scenarios: ⚠️ Scenario A – Bullish Push Above 3,221: If price breaks and holds above 3,221, we may see a bullish continuation to 3,235 and even 3,251. Momentum confirmation: Price must stay above 3,210 on pullbacks. 🔹 Entry: 3,222 – 3,224 🔹 SL: 3,216 🔹 TP: 3,235 → 3,251 ⚠️ Scenario B – False Break & Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,221 and reverses below 3,208 → potential short opportunity targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻 Entry: 3,220 – 3,218 (after rejection) 🔻 SL: 3,228 🔻 TP: 3,184 → 3,173 → 3,163 ⚠️ Scenario C – Range Play: If price remains between 3,208 and 3,184, scalp inside the range and wait for breakout confirmation. 💬 Follow for real-time setups and live strategy updates during major market sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 16: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 17: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY? Gold is closing out the week with unpredictable volatility, following two extreme sessions where prices dropped over 100 pips, only to rebound aggressively. Are recent news headlines just justifying the price action, or is this a well-orchestrated market trap? 🔍 Technical Breakdown (D1 & H4) On the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a sharp breakdown, followed by an immediate rebound into the 325x area. 🎯 Key Level to Watch: 3254 – 3256 If price remains below 3256, sellers continue to dominate. If 3256 is broken to the upside, we could see a quick move toward 327x–328x. This zone acts as a decisive barrier between continuation and reversal. 🌐 Macro Perspective – Market Triggers US inflation data continues to disappoint, weakening the USD and halting DXY recovery. US-China tensions flare up again after short-lived optimism, especially around tariff talks and rare earth restrictions. With mixed geopolitical cues, this market is prone to fakeouts and liquidity sweeps, especially ahead of the weekend. 📌 Key Levels to Monitor 🔺 Resistance Zones: 3237 – 3251 – 3261 – 3276 – 3287 🔻 Support Zones: 3205 – 3188 – 3170 – 3143 🎯 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3172 – 3170 SL: 3166 TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3200 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3142 – 3140 SL: 3136 TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190 🔴 SELL SCALP: Entry: 3160 – 3162 SL: 3166 TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3240 ⚠️ Key Notes: Friday sessions often bring major liquidity grabs and false breakouts. Be disciplined with SL/TP management – especially in such volatile conditions. Wait for candle confirmation before reacting — don’t trade emotionally.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Reclaims 3200 What’s Next?Yesterday, gold dipped into the 3140–3160 support zone, even tagging a low near 3120 and from there, buyers stepped in with a decent bounce. That was expected. Now, price has reclaimed the 3200 level and this is the key zone to watch today. ⚠️ Above 3200? Bulls might get some room to test the next resistance around 3265–3275. This is a short-term target if the upside continues. Back below 3200? Bears may take control again, with potential continuation toward yesterday’s lows. If that breaks, our previous downside projection remains in play. Also, from the Fibonacci retracement of this recent down leg (from 3440 to 3120) the 3282 level is a major Fib level (0.5) to watch, Unless we close above that, I’ll continue holding part of my short positions, aiming for lower levels as marked on the chart.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold breaks EMA34 – Trend is weakeningOn the D1 chart, gold has just closed below EMA34 for the first time since February. Although the price bounced back slightly from the 3,120 area today, I see that the recovery force is still weak and not enough to reverse the trend. EMA34 has started to curve down, warning that the medium-term uptrend is weakening. If the next few sessions cannot surpass 3,240, I am inclined to the scenario that the price will continue to fall to EMA89 around 3,050–3,070. I will temporarily stay out of this area, waiting for a clearer signal before deciding to follow the buying or selling side.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar