Gold price suddenly accelerates, approaching the 3,300 USD/ounceAfter two consecutive weeks of decline, the world gold price is showing strong signs of recovery when it skyrocketed to 3,266 USD/ounce - an increase of 25 USD in just one session. Although still quite far from the peak of 3,500 USD/ounce, the increase this morning shows that investor sentiment has begun to change direction.
The increase occurred at the beginning of the session despite previous negative forecasts, reflecting the sensitivity of gold to geopolitical and economic information such as US-China trade negotiations or the strength of the USD. The daily chart shows that gold has bounced strongly from the EMA34 support zone and returned to the resistance zone around 3,320–3,340 USD, opening up an opportunity to retest the 3,400 USD mark if the current increase is maintained.
Gold
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely
Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily
EMAs:
🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend)
🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend)
🧱 Key Zones
🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area)
📍 ~3,320–3,400
🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here.
⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone
📍 ~3,200–3,250
🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔
🟦 Main Support Zone
📍 ~2,980–3,030
🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound.
📉 EMA Analysis
🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅
🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️
⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️
🔮 Scenarios
🐂 Bullish Path
✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA:
🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone
📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA
🐻 Bearish Path
🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA:
🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone
📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest
✅ Conclusion
📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200
⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA
🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐
GOLD - Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move?💥 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move?
As we head into a critical trading week, gold is at a crossroads, navigating through conflicting macro signals and important structural levels. Last week’s developments — ranging from strong US NFP data to China’s unexpected SGX:40B tariff waiver — have significantly reshaped sentiment in the precious metals market.
🌐 Macro Backdrop – Shift in Global Risk Tone
🔹 China’s Tariff Waiver on selected US goods hints at improving trade ties. This eases geopolitical risks and reduces the urgency for safe-haven assets like gold.
🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) further solidifies a hawkish bias for the Fed. A robust labor market may push the Fed to maintain higher rates for longer.
🔹 DXY & Bond Yields are holding firm. A stronger USD and rising yields typically weigh on gold — unless major risks re-emerge.
📌 FOMC Meeting This Week – Traders are now watching the Fed’s next move closely. Any dovish tone could fuel gold’s rebound. A surprise hawkish tone? Expect further selloffs.
🔍 Technical Landscape (H4 + Daily Focus)
Gold is currently forming a descending wedge pattern, with lower highs and solid support holding around the 3,224 – 3,204 zone.
Last week’s rejection at the 3,277 resistance aligns with macro-driven selling pressure. However, price continues to respect key Fibonacci levels and internal trendline dynamics, suggesting a potential for large breakout movement after FOMC.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3,240
3,250
3,264
3,277
3,311
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3,224
3,210
3,204
🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th, 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3,204 – 3,202
SL: 3,198
TP: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,276 – 3,278
SL: 3,282
TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240
⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor This Week:
🏛 FOMC Statement & Powell’s Press Conference
→ Any hint of rate cuts = Gold bullish
→ Any reaffirmation of higher for longer = More downside
💼 Trade Developments (US–China)
→ Further easing of tariffs = Negative for gold
→ Any new friction = Potential rebound
📉 DXY & Bond Yields
→ Keep an eye on Dollar strength. If DXY breaks above 106.5, gold may face deeper pressure.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The gold market is no longer driven by one-sided risk-off flows. As macro tensions ease, gold is transitioning into a more range-bound, news-driven phase.
This week is all about reaction, not prediction.
Let the market come to your zone. Wait for confirmation before executing. The best trades come from discipline — not prediction.
📌 Follow this account for real-time updates during FOMC and Friday’s CPI preview.
Gold recovers after deep fallWorld gold prices recovered to 3,238 USD/ounce on the morning of May 2 after hitting a bottom of 3,205 USD/ounce last night. The reason came from the sell-off when the Chinese market was on a long holiday, causing a lack of physical buying power.
However, investors quickly took advantage of this opportunity to buy, amid expectations that the FED would lower interest rates and central banks would continue to collect gold as a safe haven asset. The 4-hour chart shows that the price has bounced back from EMA89, heading towards the EMA34 resistance zone - a positive sign for a short-term recovery.
Sellers Take Over as Gold Breaks ConsolidationGold is moving exactly as I mapped out in my previous updates,and Breaks Down from Consolidation following the path accurately that we discussed in last updates....
Yesterday’s monthly close gold closed below 3300 level, which gave sellers more confidence. As a result, we’ve seen a solid drop today, with the price now at 3132 on the daily chart, down 1.73% .
The Price Action confirms the bearish momentum I’ve been talking about. We’re now approaching some key levels for intraday . The 3220-3225 HVN area and the 3200-3210 psychological support zone are spots where we might see a short-term bounce. However, the larger trend remains in correction mode, just as I projected earlier.
For stronger support, I’m keeping an eye on the 3135-3150 zone, and if the decline continues, the 2980-3000 area could be a great spot for a potential swing buy, as marked on the chart.As of now I am still expecting the correction to play out toward 3000 in the bigger picture!
NFP & White House Comments to Spark Heavy Volatility?🚨 Gold Pauses at Crossroads – NFP & White House Comments to Spark Heavy Volatility?
Gold is entering the US session with a quiet rebound after an intense selloff phase. Following its historic rally to $3,500/oz, the yellow metal has come under significant pressure — not from fundamentals alone, but from massive profit-taking across Asia, especially from retail investors in China.
Such sharp pullbacks are not abnormal after parabolic runs. Instead, this pullback seems like a healthy technical reset before the market processes two major catalysts later today:
1️⃣ The US Nonfarm Payrolls report (May edition)
2️⃣ Official White House comments on tariffs and trade direction
Together, they’re likely to dictate where Gold is heading next — either a retracement deeper into the demand zones, or a renewed upside attempt toward recent resistance.
📊 DXY & Macro Lens:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly from its base near 98.xx, now reclaiming levels near 100.00. Whether it continues higher depends largely on labor data and economic signals from the White House tonight.
For now, traders should remain neutral-biased but responsive — and treat every key level with surgical precision. Use the H1–H2 timeframe for intraday bias and structure-based execution.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3260
3275
3285
3312
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3244
3230
3215
3200
🎯 Trade Plan for Today – May 3rd, 2025:
🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3232 – 3230
SL: 3226
TP: 3236 → 3240 → 3244 → 3248 → 3252 → 3256 → 3260
🔵 BUY ZONE B: 3214 – 3212
SL: 3208
TP: 3218 → 3222 → 3226 → 3230 → 3235 → 3240
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250
⚠️ Final Notes:
Volatility today could spike sharply during the US session. With nonfarm data + political headlines colliding at once, this is the kind of session where fortunes are made — or lost.
📌 Avoid emotional trades. Let price reach your zones, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL rules like a professional.
🚀 The real move hasn't happened yet — but it's coming.
Be ready. Be sharp. Trade with discipline.
Gold’s Calm Before the US Data Storm – Are You Ready?Consolidation Continues Amid Global Holidays – Is Gold Gearing Up for Another Leg?
🌐 Fundamental Insight:
After last week’s historic rally toward $3,500/oz, gold has entered a cooling phase as markets digest evolving geopolitical developments and economic signals. The recent de-escalation in US-China trade tensions, triggered by President Trump’s plan to ease tariffs on auto parts and imports, has reduced immediate risk sentiment.
China’s response — lifting retaliatory duties on select US goods — further eased tensions, leading to a safe-haven selloff in precious metals. However, with uncertainty still looming ahead of this week’s US labour data (ADP + NFP), investors remain cautious.
Adding to this, today’s Bank Holidays in parts of Asia and Europe are contributing to reduced trading volumes. A sideways market with erratic moves is likely until the US session opens, where higher volume and stronger direction may emerge.
🔍 Technical Picture (H1 – H4 Outlook):
Gold is currently forming a compression pattern between the 3278 resistance zone and the 3196 demand area. Price is holding above key structure support near 3192, indicating buyer interest remains intact.
The market may continue to oscillate in this tight intraday range before US traders step in. All eyes are now on upcoming ADP employment data — often a lead indicator for Friday’s NFP — which could provide the next directional push.
🔺 Key Resistance Zones:
3248
3260
3278
🔻 Key Support Zones:
3230
3225
3215
3196
🎯 Trade Strategy – April 30
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3198 – 3196
Stop-Loss: 3192
Take-Profits: 3202 → 3206 → 3210 → 3215 → 3220 → 3225 → 3230
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3276 – 3278
Stop-Loss: 3282
Take-Profits: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260
🧠 Note: Short-term traders may consider scalping within the range, while swing traders can wait for a break and retest of either key zone before committing with volume.
⚠️ Things to Watch Today:
Thin liquidity due to Labour Day holidays across Asia & Europe
ADP report release in the US session (potential volatility spike)
End-of-month candle close — watch out for liquidity grabs and false breakouts
US 10Y bond yields and DXY movements will continue to influence gold sentiment
📌 Final Thoughts:
Gold is in pause mode, but not for long. The market is clearly building energy ahead of high-impact US data. With the broader trend still bullish and structure holding above 3190s, we stay cautiously optimistic — but flexible.
Risk management will be critical today. Expect the unexpected during low-volume sessions and be prepared for sharp moves when the US opens.
📈 Stay disciplined. Respect your zones. And let the data lead the way.
Gold continues to lose value, pressured by USD and China dataWorld gold prices fell to $3,279/ounce, down $31 from the previous session's peak. The USD increased slightly along with the decline of crude oil and US stocks, making gold less attractive.
In addition, weak economic data from China raised concerns about falling physical gold demand - contributing to the price decline. On the daily chart, gold is falling from the peak, approaching the EMA34, warning of the risk of a deeper correction if it fails to hold this support level.
Gold Still Dropping What I’m Watching This Week....Following my last update, gold price action continues to align with the bearish short-term outlook I projected. The weekly close on April 27, 2025, as seen in the chart, confirmed the bearish sentiment with a red candlestick, well below the recent highs and the golden Fibonacci zone (3380-3408). This reinforces that sellers remain in control.
Today, gold is still trading , below the golden Fib zone, which continues to act as a resistance. The price has not yet tested the first support level at 3150-3165, but the downward trajectory suggests it may approach this zone soon. If this support holds, we might see a temporary bounce; however, a break below 3150-3165 could accelerate the decline toward my target of 3000, as indicated by the chart projected path.
The weekly close below the recent swing highs and the failure to reclaim the golden Fib zone strengthen the bearish case. For the short term, I expect gold to continue its downward movement unless a significant reversal pattern emerges.
Gold weakens under pressure from USD and bonds
On the morning of April 30, the world gold price fell to 3,318 USD/ounce, down 20 USD compared to the same time the previous day. The strong increase in USD and high US bond yields at 4.23% made gold lose its appeal in the eyes of investors.
The recovery of US stocks and the decline in oil prices further depressed market sentiment. On the H4 chart, gold has not yet escaped the sideways zone around EMA34 - a sign that buying power is weakening.
Gold Monthly Close Today : Range Bound and Ready for a Move...Since my last update, not much has changed, Gold is still stuck in that range-bound movement we’ve been watching. ,Price continuing to trade in triangle pattern I mentioned before. It’s definitely tightening up, which means we’re getting closer to a breakout.
Right now, 3300 is holding strong as a good support level, while 3350 is acting as a major resistance, keeping the price in wide range. My view hasn’t shifted , I’m still leaning bearish for the short term, as the price remains below the golden Fibonacci zone (3380-3408), and the weekly close earlier this week already confirmed the sellers are in control.
Today’s monthly close is important, and it could set the tone for what’s next. If gold closes below 3260-75, it’ll strengthen my case for a drop toward 3000. But if we see a surprise breakout above the triangle and 3350, we might need to rethink the short-term direction. For now, I’m sitting tight, waiting for the breakout from this range to get a clearer picture. Let’s see which way gold decides to go on month closing...
Gold forms a top patternOn the H4 chart, the gold price chart is forming a clear bearish structure after forming a three-peak pattern in a row around the $3,435–$3,470 range. Each time the price touches this range, it is strongly rejected, indicating that selling pressure controls the market. The fact that the price cannot maintain above the EMA34 and EMA9 at the same time is also a sign of confirmation of a weakening trend in the short term.
Although gold recovered slightly to the $3,365 range in the Asian session on April 25 thanks to news of PBOC money injection and a weakening USD, the buying pressure was not enough to break the bearish structure. The price quickly reversed and fell below the $3,300 mark, confirming the possibility of further correction in the near future.
Currently, the price has cut below the two EMAs and broken the nearest bottom at $3,290, triggering a bearish signal according to the “small head and shoulders” pattern on the H4. The next target is the strong support zone of $3,180–$3,220. If this zone is broken, the correction trend may extend deeper to the $3,100 area.
The appropriate short-term strategy at this time is to wait for the price to retrace to the $3,310–$3,330 area, cut losses above $3,350 and take profits around $3,200. The bullish scenario will only happen if the price breaks above $3,370 and closes above the old resistance – then the bearish structure will be broken.
XAU/USD Outlook – Will This Tight Range Explode Soon?🔥 XAU/USD Outlook – Will This Tight Range Explode Soon?
📊 Technical Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a consolidation phase after last week's sharp swings. The market is currently trapped within a tightening structure between 3,274 and 3,336, forming a potential wedge or triangle pattern. This type of structure often precedes a breakout.
Price is still hovering below the 200 EMA on the H1 timeframe, while key support zones are starting to show signs of buying interest. A hold above 3,301 could lead to a potential rally toward the upper resistance levels at 3,352 – 3,366.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3,336.767
3,352.159
3,357.689
3,366.067
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3,301.370
3,291.885
3,274.779
🎯 Trade Setups:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,274 – 3,276
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,284 – 3,291 – 3,301 – 3,336
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,357 – 3,366
SL: 3,370
TP: 3,336 – 3,301 – 3,291
📰 Today’s Market Focus:
No major economic data is expected today. However, markets may begin pricing in expectations ahead of this week’s key releases — ADP Employment Change and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).
Geopolitical tensions in South Asia and statements from FED officials may act as surprise catalysts for gold volatility.
🧭 Conclusion:
Gold remains stuck in a tight sideways channel. Traders should continue range trading while waiting for a confirmed breakout. A strong breakout above 3,366 or breakdown below 3,274 will set the tone for the next directional move.
👉 Trade smart and manage your risk. All eyes on U.S. data and geopolitical headlines!
Still Bearish on Gold – Watching Triangle Breakout Gold price continues to exhibit a bearish short-term outlook, with price action remaining range-bound. As observed on the 4-hour chart shared today, gold is currently forming a triangle pattern, indicating a consolidation phase. The price is trading at 3146.13, still well below the golden Fibonacci zone (3380-3408), reinforcing that sellers maintain control.
The triangle pattern suggests an impending breakout, and the direction of the breakout will likely dictate the next significant move. Given the bearish context from ,my previous analysis supported by the weekly close below recent swing highs and the failure to reclaim the Fib zonemy bias remains toward a downward breakout.
If the price breaks below the triangle's lower trendline, it could test the key support at 3150-3165. A break below this level would likely accelerate the decline toward my target of 3000, as previously projected.
However, if gold breaks above the triangle's upper trendline, it could signal a potential short-term reversal, possibly retesting resistance around 3380. For now, I lean toward the bearish scenario, expecting lower levels to be tested soon unless a strong bullish sign appear outside of this range formation .
Bearish Setup in Gold: Breakdown Confirmed with Strong Volume!Hey, what's up Traders! I’ve been watching Gold closely, and it seems like we’re seeing a descending channel setup. After hitting the top, it’s now testing the lower boundary. If Gold can't hold this support level, we could see a nice downward move. The entry range I’m eyeing is around 3275-3295 , with a stop loss just above at 3239 .
1st target : 3209
2nd target : 3160
Final target : 3120
The volume behind this move suggests we might see more selling pressure. If Gold breaks through the lower trendline, the downside move could gather more momentum. As always, let’s manage risk carefully, stay sharp, and watch the price action closely!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
If you found this helpful? Don’t forget to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments below.
DeGRAM | GOLD Held Support Level📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s slide paused at $3 315; holding here keeps $3 500 – 3 520 in play.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• PBoC has been buying for 5 months in a row.
• WGC expects strong demand from central banks in 2025.
• Trade wars, tensions in the Middle East and South Asia are causing risks that are increasing demand for gold.
• IMF warns new tariffs could slow growth, boosting safe-haven bids.
• Western ETFs had bought ≈240 t by mid-April.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
✨ Summary
Strong central-bank buying, renewed ETF inflows, softer USD yields and rising geopolitical risk align with chart support, favouring a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520 while $3 315 holds.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold falls below $3,300International gold prices are currently trading around $3,290/ounce, down $40 from last week and far from the record high of $3,500. The bearish structure still prevails as gold is below the EMA34 and EMA89, while failing many times to regain the $3,300 mark.
Strong profit-taking pressure, a recovering USD and rising bond yields are dragging gold prices down, despite the previous optimistic expectations from the Kitco survey. If gold continues to weaken below $3,300, it could head towards $3,250, deeper into the $3,200–$3,220 range. Conversely, only when it surpasses $3,320 will the downtrend be challenged.
Short-term strategy: Prioritize selling when gold recovers weakly.
Trading Plan – April 28, 2025: GOLD (XAU/USD) Strategy🌟 Daily Trading Plan – April 28, 2025: GOLD (XAU/USD) Strategy
📈 Technical Overview:
After the strong sell-off last week, gold is now consolidating around the key support zone 3260–3270.
Price action is tightening, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern on the M15 timeframe.
The MA 13 – 34 – 200 alignment suggests a short-term bearish trend, but selling momentum is weakening.
The chart indicates a potential retest towards resistance levels before deciding the next major move.
🎯 Key Price Zones to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313
Major Support: 3260 – 3268 – 3239
Potential Rebound Target: A retest towards 3299 – 3313 before a possible sell-off resumes.
📌 Trading Scenarios:
Primary Strategy: Look for short-term BUY setups near the 3260–3268 support zone, aiming for a corrective move towards resistance, then watch for SELL signals.
🎯 Detailed Plan:
🔵 BUY Zone: 3260 – 3258
Stop Loss: 3254
Take Profit: 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3276 – 3280 – 3290
🔴 SELL Zone: 3299 – 3301
Stop Loss: 3306
Take Profit: 3294 – 3290 – 3286 – 3282 – 3275
📢 Important Notes:
Today's price range could move between 60–80 pips, with no major economic events scheduled.
However, the market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially concerning India–Pakistan tensions and U.S.–China relations.
Always stick to your TP/SL plans and avoid FOMO during rapid price movements.
✅ Summary:
This is a high-sensitivity period for gold. Prioritize trading high-probability setups: BUY at support – SELL at resistance, and only scale in positions after clear confirmation!
Gold Under Pressure: Waiting for the Next Big MoveEarlier today, gold wrapped up the week around $3,320/ounce, falling about $53 from the previous night's peak at $3,373. This drop feels like a natural reaction as market flows begin to shift direction.
The main driver behind the pullback was a stronger U.S. dollar, fueled by easing concerns over the global economy. At the same time, rising U.S. bond yields made non-yielding assets like gold less attractive to investors.
Additionally, progress in U.S. trade talks with other nations further reduced the immediate demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
That said, I believe the market is now in a "holding pattern," awaiting key U.S. economic data — especially the upcoming inflation report from the Fed. If the numbers confirm economic stability, gold may face additional short-term selling pressure.
Bottom line: This is a time to trade cautiously. Focus on how gold reacts around major support zones and adjust strategies based on fresh economic data.
Wishing everyone safe and successful trading!
Gold Retreats as Trump’s Trade Talk Flip Sparks CautionGold Retreats as Trump’s Trade Talk Flip Sparks Caution – Friday Volatility Expected 💥📉
🟡 Market Recap & Sentiment
Gold prices jumped over 1% this week, reaching around $3,500/oz, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid a weakening USD and global uncertainty. However, analysts believe this Price surge is driven by greed and needs a healthy correction.
“Gold might consolidate in the near term, but we’re still in a bull market. Dips will be bought,” said analyst Wong.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar and equities are losing their appeal as investors digest contradictory signals from President Trump. He confirmed that US-China trade negotiations are ongoing, while China denied any talks – sending shockwaves across markets and triggering a sharp pullback in gold during the Asian session.
This political flip-flop is adding confusion, and traders are advised to stay cautious before jumping into any positions.
📉 Fundamental Triggers Today
Core Retail Sales (US) – releasing later today during the US session.
It’s also Friday – which means potential for weekly candle closure volatility and liquidity grabs.
Coupled with the ongoing tariff headlines and geopolitical drama, today could be extremely unpredictable.
📍 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 3366 – 3384 – 3406 – 3428 – 3445
Support: 3308 – 3288 – 3270
🔹 Trade Setup Suggestion
🔸 BUY ZONE: 3288 – 3286
SL: 3282
TP: 3292 – 3296 – 3300 – 3304 – 3310
🔸 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3268
SL: 3264
TP: 3274 – 3278 – 3282 – 3286 – 3290
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3384 – 3386
SL: 3390
TP: 3380 – 3376 – 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – ???
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3406 – 3408
SL: 3412
TP: 3400 – 3396 – 3392 – 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Be cautious today – it’s a Friday with major data and geopolitical uncertainty.
✅ Always respect TP/SL levels.
✅ Let the market show confirmation before entering positions.
Sit tight and let the market come to your zone – don’t rush in with FOMO during uncertain sentiment.
Gold Weekly Close Critical for Confirming correction PatternYesterday's slight price recovery(Green Closing) appears to be a normal bounce after the sharp two-day decline. This aligns with typical market behavior where prices don't move in straight lines, even during strong drop or rise.
The current price action (3349) is still trading well below to golden fib zone(3380-3408) , which suggests that price is still under sellers control as of now.
The key will be whether price respects the first support level around 3150-65 or breaks through it, potentially accelerating toward my 3000 target.
As today is the weekly close, this will be particularly important for setting the tone for next week trading. If gold closes significantly below recent highs, it would strengthen the bearish /correction case for the short-term outlook that I have projected.
Gold Rebounds Sharply After Steep DropAfter plunging $91 to close at $3,288 in yesterday’s session, gold staged an impressive comeback this morning, surging over 700 pips to reach the $3,360 area.
This sharp price swing was largely driven by a mix of news catalysts. U.S. President Donald Trump stated he has no plans to remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, but called for more aggressive rate cuts—boosting the U.S. dollar and putting short-term pressure on gold.
At the same time, the IMF released its latest global outlook, projecting elevated inflation through 2026. This raised expectations for prolonged monetary tightening from central banks, capping gold’s upside potential. Additionally, a wave of profit-taking after gold's recent rally added to the downward correction.