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GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?📉 GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN – RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND? Gold started the week with a sharp gap down, breaking below key levels after weekend developments signaled easing geopolitical tensions and positive progress in US-China trade talks. This calm has dampened safe-haven demand, triggering an aggressive selloff in early Asian hours. 🔍 Technical Outlook – M30 Parallel Channel Gold is currently respecting a descending parallel channel on the M30 chart. Price is pushing lower and has yet to fill the weekend’s gap around the 3326–3328 zone. This remains a critical Key Level for any potential short-term recovery. 🗓️ This Week’s Macro Focus Traders should brace for high volatility as the US economic calendar is packed with top-tier releases: Tuesday: CPI (Consumer Price Index) Thursday: PPI (Producer Price Index) Thursday Night: Fed Chair Powell speaks Meanwhile, ongoing tariff policy updates and geopolitical headlines will continue to stir price action unpredictably. 📌 Trading Bias For now, the dominant trend is bearish. Unless we see a strong bullish reversal pattern or key breakout confirmation, the preference remains selling on rallies. Only if buyers reclaim control around the gap zone (3326–3328) should we look for long setups. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3288 – 3308 – 3328 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3262 – 3246 – 3236 – 3200 🎯 Trade Setups 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3326 – 3328 SL: 3332 TP: 3322 → 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3306 – 3308 SL: 3312 TP: 3300 → 3296 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Thoughts Gold remains highly reactive to macro news and liquidity traps, especially with so many risk events this week. Trade with caution, follow your TP/SL rules, and stay flexible with your strategy. The market may deliver unexpected volatility—manage your risk smartly. 🟡 Let price guide you — not emotions. 🚨 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?📊 GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND? The gold market is showing significant liquidity sweeps this Friday. In the early Asian session, price pushed down to the 327x region, collecting liquidity, before swiftly rebounding. On the M30 chart, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed and been filled — signaling accumulation and potential setup for a major move. 📉 Technical Perspective: Gold has been moving within a parallel descending channel since yesterday. However, during the late Asian session, we saw the first signs of a possible breakout. If the candle closes above 3,324, this could confirm a breakout — at which point an early BUY entry on the retest would be ideal. 🔥 Fundamental Notes: The market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially tensions between nations and potential tariff announcements from Donald Trump regarding China. In this climate, trading based on key level reactions is safer than predicting direction. The zones 3,324 and 3,366 will be crucial decision points for bulls and bears. A breakout above 3,366 could shift the short-term trend bullish. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3,345 3,364 3,395 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3,280 3,270 3,256 3,244 3,225 📈 Trade Setup – Friday Strategy: 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3,280 – 3,278 Stop Loss: 3,274 Take Profits: 3,285 → 3,290 → 3,295 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,320 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3,364 – 3,366 Stop Loss: 3,370 Take Profits: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330 ✅ Final Note: Fridays often bring sharp liquidity grabs. Stay cautious, especially with heightened geopolitical tension and pending policy statements from global leaders. Always respect your TP/SL zones to protect your capital. 📌 Let price lead. React to structure. Avoid chasing noise. Wishing all traders a safe and profitable end of the week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?🟡 GOLD 08/05 – POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains? After last night’s FOMC meeting, the outcome came in line with expectations — the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% and maintained a hawkish tone. Powell reinforced that there is no urgency to cut rates and that future policy will depend on incoming economic data. Despite some dovish hopes from the market, the Fed remained cautious — no pivot, no surprises. 🔥 Geopolitical Tensions: Meanwhile, geopolitical stress between India and Pakistan is escalating again around the Jammu-Kashmir region. This could continue to act as a bullish driver for gold, especially in Asia where safe-haven demand is more sensitive to border conflicts. 🧠 Market View: BUY Setup Still Dominates Over the past few sessions, gold has shown strong accumulation followed by solid bullish momentum. As long as candle structure remains healthy, buying dips near 338x–336x remains the preferred strategy. However, if an unexpected catalyst drives a breakdown below 336x with confirmation from candle close, this could invalidate the short-term bullish bias and open the door for a sell setup, targeting the large liquidity gap between 3354 to 3340. Until then, trade the range — respect top and bottom of key intraday zones. 📉 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH: 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3396 3408 3430 3455 🔻 Support Levels: 3384 3366 3354 3334 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3430 – 3432 SL: 3436 TP: 3426 → 3422 → 3418 → 3414 → 3410 → 3400 ⚠️ Key Event Ahead: Today’s US session brings the Unemployment Claims report — known to trigger high volatility in precious metals. Stay alert, and always wait for confirmation candles before executing trades near critical zones. ✅ Follow for real-time updates and mid-session trade setups. 💬 Drop your view in the comments below – are we going to break higher or revisit liquidity zones?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Best Commodity layoutBest Commodity layout Crafting Your Optimal Commodity Technical Chart Layout in TradingView The "best" commodity technical chart layout in TradingView is highly personalized, depending on your trading style, strategy, and the specific commodities you're analyzing. However, a well-structured layout should provide a clear, comprehensive view of price action and key technical indicators to aid in decision-making. Here's a guide to creating an effective commodity technical chart layout in TradingView, incorporating common practices and versatile tools: 1. Choosing Your Main Chart Type: Candlestick Charts: This is the most popular choice for most traders. Candlesticks provide detailed information about the open, high, low, and close (OHLC) prices for a specific period, making it easier to identify patterns and market sentiment. Bar Charts: Similar to candlesticks, bar charts also display OHLC data but in a different visual format. Line Charts: Useful for a quick overview of the overall trend, typically plotting the closing prices. Heikin Ashi: These charts can help filter out market noise and make trends easier to identify by averaging price data. Renko or Kagi Charts: These focus solely on price movement, ignoring time, and can be useful for identifying support and resistance levels. Recommendation: Start with Candlestick charts for their detailed information. You can always switch to other types for different analytical perspectives. 2. Essential Technical Indicators for Commodities: While the "best" set of indicators is subjective, here are some widely used and effective ones for commodity analysis in TradingView: Moving Averages (MAs): Types: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are common. EMAs react faster to recent price changes. Use: Identify trend direction, support/resistance levels, and potential crossover signals. Common periods include 20, 50, 100, and 200. Layout: Add 2-3 MAs of different lengths directly onto your main price chart. For example, a 21-period EMA for short-term trends and a 50-period EMA for medium-term trends. Volume Indicators: Types: Volume (displays trading activity) and On-Balance Volume (OBV). Use: Confirm the strength of price movements. A significant price move accompanied by high volume is generally considered more valid. Layout: Typically displayed in a separate pane below the main price chart. Oscillators (for identifying overbought/oversold conditions and momentum): Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures the speed and change of price movements. Values above 70 often indicate overbought conditions, while below 30 suggest oversold conditions. Standard period is 14. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Shows the relationship between two moving averages of an asset's price. It consists of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram.1 Used for trend identification and momentum.   1. medium.com medium.com Stochastic Oscillator: Compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period. Also used to identify overbought/oversold conditions. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Identifies cyclical trends and can signal overbought/oversold levels. Layout: Oscillators are usually placed in separate panes below the main chart. You might choose 1 or 2 that best suit your strategy (e.g., RSI and MACD). Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands: Consist of a middle band (typically an SMA) and two outer bands representing standard deviations. They help identify volatility and potential price breakouts or mean reversion. Keltner Channels: Similar to Bollinger Bands but use Average True Range (ATR) for the outer bands. Can be used for breakout and trend-following strategies. Average True Range (ATR): Measures market volatility. Useful for setting stop-loss orders. Layout: Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels are overlaid on the main price chart. ATR is usually in a separate pane. Trend-Following Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo): A comprehensive indicator that defines support/resistance, identifies trend direction, and provides trading signals. It includes several components like the Kumo (Cloud), Tenkan-sen, and Kijun-sen. Donchian Channels: Plots the highest high and lowest low over a set period. Useful for identifying breakouts and trend direction. Layout: Ichimoku Cloud and Donchian Channels are overlaid on the main price chart. Recommendation for a Balanced Layout: Main Chart: Candlesticks, 2-3 EMAs (e.g., 21, 50, 200), Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels. Pane 1 (below main): Volume. Pane 2 (below main): RSI (14) or MACD. Pane 3 (optional): CCI or ATR if your strategy heavily relies on them. 3. Drawing Tools: Effective use of drawing tools is crucial for technical analysis: Trendlines: Connect swing highs or lows to identify the direction and strength of trends. Support and Resistance Levels: Horizontal lines drawn at key price levels where the price has historically struggled to break above (resistance) or fall below (support). Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels: Help identify potential support/resistance levels and price targets based on Fibonacci ratios. Channels: Parallel trendlines that can define a price range. Chart Patterns: Use tools to identify patterns like head and shoulders, triangles, flags, and pennants. Layout Tip: Keep your most frequently used drawing tools easily accessible in the TradingView drawing panel. 4. Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Multi-Chart Layouts: Analyzing commodities across different timeframes can provide a broader market perspective. TradingView allows you to set up multi-chart layouts (the number of charts available depends on your subscription plan). Common Setup: Chart 1 (Long-Term): Weekly or Daily chart to identify the major trend. Chart 2 (Medium-Term): 4-hour or Daily chart for more detailed trend analysis and identifying key levels. Chart 3 (Short-Term): 1-hour or 15-minute chart for entry and exit signals. Synchronization: TradingView allows you to synchronize symbols, crosshair, interval, and drawings across multiple charts in a layout, which can be very efficient. 5. Customization and Saving Your Layout: Appearance: Customize chart colors (background, candles, grids), scales, and lines to your preference for better visual clarity and reduced eye strain. Access these via Chart Settings (the gear icon). Saving Layouts: Once you have a setup you like, save it as a chart layout in TradingView. You can create multiple layouts for different commodities, strategies, or analytical purposes. Indicator Templates: Save combinations of indicators as templates for quick application to new charts. Tips for the "Best" Layout: Keep it Clean: Avoid cluttering your chart with too many indicators. Focus on a few that you understand well and that complement your strategy. Consistency: Use consistent settings for your indicators across different charts and timeframes. Practice: The "best" layout is one that works for you. Experiment with different indicators and setups on a demo account or through backtesting to see what yields the best results for your trading style. Stay Informed: Be aware that some commodities (e.g., agricultural products) can be influenced by seasonal patterns or specific reports (like USDA reports for crops, EIA for oil). While not a direct part of the "chart layout," integrating this knowledge with your technical analysis is crucial. TradingView has features to display key events like earnings reports or dividends, which can be relevant. Some community scripts on TradingView even offer overlays for planting and harvesting seasons for agricultural commodities. By following these guidelines and experimenting to find what suits your individual needs, you can create a powerful and effective commodity technical chart layout in TradingView. Remember to regularly review and refine your layout as your trading strategies evolve.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by appzandgame
1
Gold Bounced But Resistance Awaits....Gold has surprised many after last Friday’s session. I was initially expecting the correction to continue, but the reversal Doji that formed near support triggered a strong bounce, invalidating my short-term bearish outlook. Since then, price has shown decent strength on the daily timeframe, pushing higher toward a major resistance zone around 3434–3440. Now, this horizontal resistance is a key area to watch. It has previously acted as a supply zone, and price action around it will be crucial. Although the structure still looks strong, we’re entering a potential exhaustion zone, and I’m keeping an eye on the possibility of a double top forming near the all-time high at 3500. Today is a major fundamental day with the Fed’s rate decision and Powell’s speech lined up. I’m expecting volatility, and most likely, a clearer signal for the next big move in gold. My bias remains the same ,I’m waiting for bearish confirmation near this resistance area before entering fresh shorts. If we see rejection, I’ll target the 3200–3215 zone first, and if that breaks, the 3140–3160 zone comes into play next. In short, I’m staying patient and letting the chart do the talking. Price is approaching a critical area, and the next move could offer a high-probability setup. Waiting for confirmation is key.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut FOMC Storm Incoming?Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut – FOMC Storm Incoming? 📅 May 7, 2025 | XAU/USD Intraday Outlook Gold faced a sharp decline in early sessions today, dropping nearly 800 PIPS from 3,435 down to the 3,36x range. While the fall appeared aggressive, the macro backdrop may provide clues — especially ahead of tonight's high-stakes FOMC meeting. 🔍 What Triggered the Sell-off? 1️⃣ China Cuts Rates by 10bps Unexpectedly: Just ahead of U.S.–China trade talks, China slashed its benchmark interest rate by 10bps. While the move supports Chinese markets, it also boosts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), creating headwinds for gold. 2️⃣ Investors Awaiting FOMC Clarity: Traders are hesitant to buy gold near recent highs, especially with the Fed expected to signal rate direction tonight. There’s growing speculation that today's events are part of a broader setup for potential Fed easing. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions Not Helping Gold – Yet: Despite renewed tensions between India and Pakistan, and a volatile global climate, gold hasn't responded bullishly — a sign that technicals and macro shifts are temporarily outweighing news-based fear. 📈 Technical Analysis – Dual Scenarios in Play Gold is now moving in a wide, volatile range. Liquidity grabs at both ends are likely, and traders should adopt a flexible, confirmation-based approach rather than sticking to one directional bias. 🔺 Key Resistance Zones: 3,390 3,402 3,416 3,432 3,444 3,468 🔻 Key Support Zones: 3,365 3,356 3,332 3,314 🎯 Trade Plan – May 7, 2025 (Pre-FOMC Strategy) 🔵 BUY SCALP • Entry: 3,355 • SL: 3,350 • TP: 3,360 → 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,376 → 3,380 🔵 BUY ZONE • Entry: 3,332 – 3,330 • SL: 3,326 • TP: 3,336 → 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,358 → 3,365 📌 KEY BUY LEVEL to Watch: → 3,314 – 3,312 ⚠️ This is a critical Fibonacci zone. If broken, trend structure may be compromised. Use wide SL (~6 PIPS) with open TP structure. 🔴 SELL SCALP • Entry: 3,430 – 3,432 • SL: 3,436 • TP: 3,425 → 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410 → 3,400 🔴 SELL ZONE • Entry: 3,468 – 3,470 • SL: 3,474 • TP: 3,464 → 3,460 → 3,455 → 3,450 → 3,445 → 3,440 → 3,430 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Today’s FOMC statement will likely dominate market direction for the rest of the week. Volatility is expected to increase sharply. With both macro and geopolitical catalysts in play, risk management is non-negotiable. 🔐 Stick to key zones. Avoid trading the news blindly. Wait for price action confirmation — and remember: capital protection beats every setup. 📌 Follow this post to get real-time updates after FOMC and new breakout zones for Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup 📊 Chart Overview: Asset: Unspecified (likely XAUUSD or a crypto asset). Timeframe: Looks like 4H or Daily. Tools Used: EMA 50 (🔴 Red Line) — 3,283.978 EMA 200 (🔵 Blue Line) — 3,185.603 Resistance & Support Zones (🔴 Highlighted boxes) Price: 3,335.415 🔍 Technical Analysis: 🟩 Trend Direction: 📈 Uptrend Confirmed: Price is above both EMA 50 and EMA 200 → Strong bullish momentum. ✅ Golden Cross: EMA 50 is above EMA 200, confirming long-term bullish bias. 📌 Key Levels: 🧱 Main Support Zone (🟥 Bottom Box - ~2,950–3,050): Historical strong bounce zone. Acts as a bullish base in case of a deeper pullback. 🔄 Mid Resistance/Support (~3,180–3,260): Now acting as support after price bounced above it. Also aligns with EMA 200 ➕🟦 – adds confluence. 📌 Main Resistance Zone (~3,300–3,380): Current area of consolidation. If broken, price likely to retest upper resistance. 🚧 Top Resistance Zone (~3,450–3,500): Target area if bullish breakout continues. ✈️ Next take-profit zone for bulls. 🧭 Market Forecast: 🔁 Retest Expected: Price might pull back slightly to the main resistance area (~3,300), retesting previous resistance as support. 🚀 Upside Potential: Upon successful retest, price is projected to head toward the upper resistance (~3,480). 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks back below 3,260 and EMA 50, expect a dip toward 3,180 or even the main support zone. 📈 Summary: Bias: ✅ Bullish Watch for: 🔍 Retest of 3,300 zone ✅ Breakout above 3,380 ❌ Breakdown below 3,260 invalidates bullish scenario
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
3
Gold surges thanks to China buying goods, waiting for FED waveInternational gold prices jumped to 3,332 USD/ounce, up more than 72 USD compared to the bottom of last night's session. The main driving force came from the wave of gold buying in China, when concerns about the weakening economy caused people to massively turn to gold as a safe haven. The H4 chart shows a strong increase, EMA34 has crossed EMA89, establishing a clear short-term uptrend. If gold surpasses 3,340 USD, it is likely to head towards the old peak around 3,420–3,500 USD. Crude oil prices are still fluctuating strongly around 57.2 USD/barrel, creating an unstable foundation for the commodity market. The FED will announce its policy in the early morning of May 8. Although it is expected to not change interest rates, any statement can move the market. This will be the next big catalyst for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
2
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout with Retest & Rally Setup (1H Chart) Pair: XAUUSD (Gold vs US Dollar) Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) Market Bias: Bullish Strategy Type: Trendline Breakout + Order Block Retest + Liquidity Sweep + Momentum Continuation 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔹 1. Trendline Breakout: A major descending trendline (bearish structure) was cleanly broken with strong bullish momentum. This is a market structure shift and indicates potential trend reversal or at least a short-term bullish rally. 🔹 2. Break of Structure & Demand Zones: Price broke above a key resistance zone (previous supply) around 3360, turning it into support/demand. A new bullish order block (OB) is visible just below current price (~3340–3350), now acting as an entry zone. A lower OB zone (~3300–3320) has been left unmitigated, which could act as a second deeper entry point if price retraces further. 🔹 3. Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is a clean imbalance left between the current price and the lower OB. Price may wick into this zone before rallying. This imbalance is acting like a magnet and could invite a retracement into the 3340–3320 zone. 🔹 4. Liquidity Engineering: Buy-side liquidity was likely swept above the trendline break and recent highs. Sellers trapped above the trendline may give fuel for a deeper push toward the next supply zone. 🔹 5. Target Supply Zone: A clean and unmitigated supply zone lies between 3480–3500, the ultimate target for bulls if momentum sustains. 📍 Key Levels: Type Price Range (Approx) Current Price 3360.90 Entry Zone 1 (OB 1H) 3340 – 3350 Entry Zone 2 (OB 1H) 3300 – 3320 Target Supply Zone 3480 – 3500 Invalidation Below 3300 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry: On bullish confirmation at 3340–3350 or deeper at 3300–3320 Stop Loss: Below 3300 (structure break + OB invalidation) Target: 3480–3500 (clean supply zone above) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1:3 to 1:5 depending on entry zone ✅ Confluences Supporting This Setup: ✅ Trendline break + retest setup ✅ Price flipped previous resistance into support ✅ Strong bullish impulse breaking structure ✅ Bullish Order Block + Fair Value Gap (FVG) below price ✅ Clean upside liquidity pool in untested supply zone ✅ Momentum breakout candle confirms buyer strength ⚠️ Invalidation Criteria: Breakdown and 1H close below 3300 invalidates the OB and bullish structure. Be cautious around NFP or Fed-related news, which may spike volatility. 🔁 Potential Scenarios: 📈 Bullish Continuation: Price retests OB (3340–3350), finds support, and rallies directly to 3480–3500. 🔁 Deeper Retracement: Price may wick into the lower OB at 3300–3320 to grab liquidity, then rally. ❌ Invalidation: Breakdown below 3300 = bearish reversal or deeper correction incoming. 📘 Summary Table: Parameter Value Bias Bullish Entry Zone(s) 3340–3350 (primary), 3300–3320 Stop Loss Below 3300 Take Profit 3480–3500 Strategy Trendline Break + OB Retest + Imbalance Confluences Break of Structure, Demand Zones, FVG, Trendline Break
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_With_Niraj
4
Gold Surges Amid War Tensions Is This the Start of a New Bull 🟡 Gold Surges Amid War Tensions – Is This the Start of a New Bull Run? 📈 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025 Gold made a strong comeback this morning, jumping over 600 PIPS as investor demand surged in response to escalating geopolitical risks and massive physical demand in Asia — particularly from China and Japan. The current breakout momentum suggests a high probability of new ATHs if macro and political tensions continue. 🔥 Why is Gold Rising Again? 1️⃣ Geopolitical Flashpoint: 19+ Ukrainian UAVs struck Moscow overnight. The attack came just ahead of Russia's Victory Day (May 9) — a symbolic blow that rattled global markets. 2️⃣ China Ramping Up Gold Imports: Reports show China has been quietly stockpiling gold at aggressive levels. Institutional and retail demand has returned strongly to the Asian bullion market. 3️⃣ Fear and FOMO in the Market: Asian investors are driving early-session buying frenzies. Technical retracements are being ignored as price accelerates without respecting classic resistance zones. 📊 Technical Outlook – H4 + D1 Focus Gold has successfully defended the 3312 zone and surged past resistance zones with ease. Current MA13/MA34/MA89 crossovers on higher timeframes confirm a trend reversal and sustained bullish momentum. 🔑 Key Technical Zones to Watch: 🔻 Support Levels: 3355 3335 3313 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3380 3405 3443 3470 🎯 Trade Plan for May 6 – BUY Bias Dominant 🚫 Avoid SELL positions unless confirmed exhaustion appears — momentum is extremely bullish and politically driven. 🔵 BUY ZONE #1: Entry: 3314 – 3312 SL: 3308 TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE #2: Entry: 3335 – 3332 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360 🔴 SELL ZONE (High Risk): Entry: 3343 – 3345 SL: 3359 TP: 3339 → 3335 → 3330 → 3326 → 3320 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold is currently in hyper bullish mode. Key level 3313 is now confirmed as a volume-based support (VPOC + FIBO 0.5) and will likely be the base for the next wave. As global headlines point to uncertainty, investors are shifting capital back into gold, supported by physical buying from China. 💬 Patience and proper entry are key. Avoid early sell traps. Focus on the Asia-led FOMO rallies and align your strategy with safe-haven flows.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD - Will Geopolitical Shocks Fuel a Bigger Rally?🚨 GOLD SURGES IN ASIA OPEN – Will Geopolitical Shocks Fuel a Bigger Rally? Gold opened the week with a powerful bullish spike in the Asia session, rallying nearly $30/oz amid renewed global tensions and policy uncertainty. The strong upside momentum marks a potential shift in sentiment after recent corrections. 🌍 What’s Driving the Market? 🔺 Geopolitical Risks Back on the Radar: Tensions are rising again between Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan with no clear diplomatic resolution in sight. This reintroduces safe-haven demand for gold as global uncertainty climbs. 🔺 Trump’s Pressure on the Fed: Former President Trump has urged the Fed to cut interest rates sooner, adding further speculation ahead of the FOMC meeting this week. These combined factors have sparked strong buying interest right from the Asia open, with the yellow metal attempting to reclaim lost ground from previous sessions. 📈 Technical Overview (H1 – H2 Focus): 🟢 Key Support Zones: 3250 3246 3238 3224 3204 🔴 Key Resistance Zones: 3278 3288 3301 3314 🎯 Trade Setup for the Day: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302 SL: 3306 TP: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Notes: With the FOMC meeting ahead and geopolitical developments unfolding, traders should expect heightened volatility this week. Gold may continue to attract safe-haven flows if headlines escalate, but any dovish surprise from the Fed could accelerate the rally even further. 📌 Stay alert. Let price come to your zones. Trade the reaction, not the assumption.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold price suddenly accelerates, approaching the 3,300 USD/ounceAfter two consecutive weeks of decline, the world gold price is showing strong signs of recovery when it skyrocketed to 3,266 USD/ounce - an increase of 25 USD in just one session. Although still quite far from the peak of 3,500 USD/ounce, the increase this morning shows that investor sentiment has begun to change direction. The increase occurred at the beginning of the session despite previous negative forecasts, reflecting the sensitivity of gold to geopolitical and economic information such as US-China trade negotiations or the strength of the USD. The daily chart shows that gold has bounced strongly from the EMA34 support zone and returned to the resistance zone around 3,320–3,340 USD, opening up an opportunity to retest the 3,400 USD mark if the current increase is maintained.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily EMAs: 🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend) 🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend) 🧱 Key Zones 🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area) 📍 ~3,320–3,400 🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here. ⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone 📍 ~3,200–3,250 🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔 🟦 Main Support Zone 📍 ~2,980–3,030 🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound. 📉 EMA Analysis 🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅ 🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️ ⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️ 🔮 Scenarios 🐂 Bullish Path ✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA: 🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone 📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA 🐻 Bearish Path 🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA: 🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone 📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest ✅ Conclusion 📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200 ⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA 🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
1
GOLD - Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move?💥 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move? As we head into a critical trading week, gold is at a crossroads, navigating through conflicting macro signals and important structural levels. Last week’s developments — ranging from strong US NFP data to China’s unexpected SGX:40B tariff waiver — have significantly reshaped sentiment in the precious metals market. 🌐 Macro Backdrop – Shift in Global Risk Tone 🔹 China’s Tariff Waiver on selected US goods hints at improving trade ties. This eases geopolitical risks and reduces the urgency for safe-haven assets like gold. 🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) further solidifies a hawkish bias for the Fed. A robust labor market may push the Fed to maintain higher rates for longer. 🔹 DXY & Bond Yields are holding firm. A stronger USD and rising yields typically weigh on gold — unless major risks re-emerge. 📌 FOMC Meeting This Week – Traders are now watching the Fed’s next move closely. Any dovish tone could fuel gold’s rebound. A surprise hawkish tone? Expect further selloffs. 🔍 Technical Landscape (H4 + Daily Focus) Gold is currently forming a descending wedge pattern, with lower highs and solid support holding around the 3,224 – 3,204 zone. Last week’s rejection at the 3,277 resistance aligns with macro-driven selling pressure. However, price continues to respect key Fibonacci levels and internal trendline dynamics, suggesting a potential for large breakout movement after FOMC. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3,240 3,250 3,264 3,277 3,311 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3,224 3,210 3,204 🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th, 2025 🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3,204 – 3,202 SL: 3,198 TP: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240 ⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor This Week: 🏛 FOMC Statement & Powell’s Press Conference → Any hint of rate cuts = Gold bullish → Any reaffirmation of higher for longer = More downside 💼 Trade Developments (US–China) → Further easing of tariffs = Negative for gold → Any new friction = Potential rebound 📉 DXY & Bond Yields → Keep an eye on Dollar strength. If DXY breaks above 106.5, gold may face deeper pressure. 🧠 Final Thoughts: The gold market is no longer driven by one-sided risk-off flows. As macro tensions ease, gold is transitioning into a more range-bound, news-driven phase. This week is all about reaction, not prediction. Let the market come to your zone. Wait for confirmation before executing. The best trades come from discipline — not prediction. 📌 Follow this account for real-time updates during FOMC and Friday’s CPI preview.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold recovers after deep fallWorld gold prices recovered to 3,238 USD/ounce on the morning of May 2 after hitting a bottom of 3,205 USD/ounce last night. The reason came from the sell-off when the Chinese market was on a long holiday, causing a lack of physical buying power. However, investors quickly took advantage of this opportunity to buy, amid expectations that the FED would lower interest rates and central banks would continue to collect gold as a safe haven asset. The 4-hour chart shows that the price has bounced back from EMA89, heading towards the EMA34 resistance zone - a positive sign for a short-term recovery.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
Sellers Take Over as Gold Breaks ConsolidationGold is moving exactly as I mapped out in my previous updates,and Breaks Down from Consolidation following the path accurately that we discussed in last updates.... Yesterday’s monthly close gold closed below 3300 level, which gave sellers more confidence. As a result, we’ve seen a solid drop today, with the price now at 3132 on the daily chart, down 1.73% . The Price Action confirms the bearish momentum I’ve been talking about. We’re now approaching some key levels for intraday . The 3220-3225 HVN area and the 3200-3210 psychological support zone are spots where we might see a short-term bounce. However, the larger trend remains in correction mode, just as I projected earlier. For stronger support, I’m keeping an eye on the 3135-3150 zone, and if the decline continues, the 2980-3000 area could be a great spot for a potential swing buy, as marked on the chart.As of now I am still expecting the correction to play out toward 3000 in the bigger picture!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
NFP & White House Comments to Spark Heavy Volatility?🚨 Gold Pauses at Crossroads – NFP & White House Comments to Spark Heavy Volatility? Gold is entering the US session with a quiet rebound after an intense selloff phase. Following its historic rally to $3,500/oz, the yellow metal has come under significant pressure — not from fundamentals alone, but from massive profit-taking across Asia, especially from retail investors in China. Such sharp pullbacks are not abnormal after parabolic runs. Instead, this pullback seems like a healthy technical reset before the market processes two major catalysts later today: 1️⃣ The US Nonfarm Payrolls report (May edition) 2️⃣ Official White House comments on tariffs and trade direction Together, they’re likely to dictate where Gold is heading next — either a retracement deeper into the demand zones, or a renewed upside attempt toward recent resistance. 📊 DXY & Macro Lens: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly from its base near 98.xx, now reclaiming levels near 100.00. Whether it continues higher depends largely on labor data and economic signals from the White House tonight. For now, traders should remain neutral-biased but responsive — and treat every key level with surgical precision. Use the H1–H2 timeframe for intraday bias and structure-based execution. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3260 3275 3285 3312 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3244 3230 3215 3200 🎯 Trade Plan for Today – May 3rd, 2025: 🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3232 – 3230 SL: 3226 TP: 3236 → 3240 → 3244 → 3248 → 3252 → 3256 → 3260 🔵 BUY ZONE B: 3214 – 3212 SL: 3208 TP: 3218 → 3222 → 3226 → 3230 → 3235 → 3240 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3276 – 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 ⚠️ Final Notes: Volatility today could spike sharply during the US session. With nonfarm data + political headlines colliding at once, this is the kind of session where fortunes are made — or lost. 📌 Avoid emotional trades. Let price reach your zones, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL rules like a professional. 🚀 The real move hasn't happened yet — but it's coming. Be ready. Be sharp. Trade with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold’s Calm Before the US Data Storm – Are You Ready?Consolidation Continues Amid Global Holidays – Is Gold Gearing Up for Another Leg? 🌐 Fundamental Insight: After last week’s historic rally toward $3,500/oz, gold has entered a cooling phase as markets digest evolving geopolitical developments and economic signals. The recent de-escalation in US-China trade tensions, triggered by President Trump’s plan to ease tariffs on auto parts and imports, has reduced immediate risk sentiment. China’s response — lifting retaliatory duties on select US goods — further eased tensions, leading to a safe-haven selloff in precious metals. However, with uncertainty still looming ahead of this week’s US labour data (ADP + NFP), investors remain cautious. Adding to this, today’s Bank Holidays in parts of Asia and Europe are contributing to reduced trading volumes. A sideways market with erratic moves is likely until the US session opens, where higher volume and stronger direction may emerge. 🔍 Technical Picture (H1 – H4 Outlook): Gold is currently forming a compression pattern between the 3278 resistance zone and the 3196 demand area. Price is holding above key structure support near 3192, indicating buyer interest remains intact. The market may continue to oscillate in this tight intraday range before US traders step in. All eyes are now on upcoming ADP employment data — often a lead indicator for Friday’s NFP — which could provide the next directional push. 🔺 Key Resistance Zones: 3248 3260 3278 🔻 Key Support Zones: 3230 3225 3215 3196 🎯 Trade Strategy – April 30 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3198 – 3196 Stop-Loss: 3192 Take-Profits: 3202 → 3206 → 3210 → 3215 → 3220 → 3225 → 3230 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3276 – 3278 Stop-Loss: 3282 Take-Profits: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 🧠 Note: Short-term traders may consider scalping within the range, while swing traders can wait for a break and retest of either key zone before committing with volume. ⚠️ Things to Watch Today: Thin liquidity due to Labour Day holidays across Asia & Europe ADP report release in the US session (potential volatility spike) End-of-month candle close — watch out for liquidity grabs and false breakouts US 10Y bond yields and DXY movements will continue to influence gold sentiment 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is in pause mode, but not for long. The market is clearly building energy ahead of high-impact US data. With the broader trend still bullish and structure holding above 3190s, we stay cautiously optimistic — but flexible. Risk management will be critical today. Expect the unexpected during low-volume sessions and be prepared for sharp moves when the US opens. 📈 Stay disciplined. Respect your zones. And let the data lead the way.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold continues to lose value, pressured by USD and China dataWorld gold prices fell to $3,279/ounce, down $31 from the previous session's peak. The USD increased slightly along with the decline of crude oil and US stocks, making gold less attractive. In addition, weak economic data from China raised concerns about falling physical gold demand - contributing to the price decline. On the daily chart, gold is falling from the peak, approaching the EMA34, warning of the risk of a deeper correction if it fails to hold this support level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
2
Gold Still Dropping What I’m Watching This Week....Following my last update, gold price action continues to align with the bearish short-term outlook I projected. The weekly close on April 27, 2025, as seen in the chart, confirmed the bearish sentiment with a red candlestick, well below the recent highs and the golden Fibonacci zone (3380-3408). This reinforces that sellers remain in control. Today, gold is still trading , below the golden Fib zone, which continues to act as a resistance. The price has not yet tested the first support level at 3150-3165, but the downward trajectory suggests it may approach this zone soon. If this support holds, we might see a temporary bounce; however, a break below 3150-3165 could accelerate the decline toward my target of 3000, as indicated by the chart projected path. The weekly close below the recent swing highs and the failure to reclaim the golden Fib zone strengthen the bearish case. For the short term, I expect gold to continue its downward movement unless a significant reversal pattern emerges.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Gold weakens under pressure from USD and bonds On the morning of April 30, the world gold price fell to 3,318 USD/ounce, down 20 USD compared to the same time the previous day. The strong increase in USD and high US bond yields at 4.23% made gold lose its appeal in the eyes of investors. The recovery of US stocks and the decline in oil prices further depressed market sentiment. On the H4 chart, gold has not yet escaped the sideways zone around EMA34 - a sign that buying power is weakening.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by norbanpar
Gold Monthly Close Today : Range Bound and Ready for a Move...Since my last update, not much has changed, Gold is still stuck in that range-bound movement we’ve been watching. ,Price continuing to trade in triangle pattern I mentioned before. It’s definitely tightening up, which means we’re getting closer to a breakout. Right now, 3300 is holding strong as a good support level, while 3350 is acting as a major resistance, keeping the price in wide range. My view hasn’t shifted , I’m still leaning bearish for the short term, as the price remains below the golden Fibonacci zone (3380-3408), and the weekly close earlier this week already confirmed the sellers are in control. Today’s monthly close is important, and it could set the tone for what’s next. If gold closes below 3260-75, it’ll strengthen my case for a drop toward 3000. But if we see a surprise breakout above the triangle and 3350, we might need to rethink the short-term direction. For now, I’m sitting tight, waiting for the breakout from this range to get a clearer picture. Let’s see which way gold decides to go on month closing...
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle