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Gold Rejection at 3500 :Signals Potential Top FormationGold finally showing strong signs of a potential top formation after an extended bullish run. After weeks of anticipation, yesterday's price action finally delivered a significant rejection candle at the psychologically important 3500 level, which could be the reversal signal we've been waiting for . It's worth noting that in such strongly bullish rally, tops often take longer to form than expected (Which we already seen last week and this week), with both time and price extensions being normal market behavior. However, the rejection at 3500 combined with the current technical setup suggests we may finally be seeing the reversal pattern developing. From a trading perspective, I'm now waiting for a confirmation candle(Follow up from last day candle) to validate that the top is in place. If we see follow-through selling pressure today or tomorrow, this could present an excellent swing short opportunity. The target remains the psychological support level at 3000.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
2
Gold Faces 200 Pips Drop – Will It Recover or Continue Falling?Gold Faces 200 Pips Drop – Will It Recover or Continue Falling? 🔥📉 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp drop of nearly 200 pips yesterday, falling from the historic high of around $3500 to $3318. This marks the strongest correction in the recent bullish trend. The market is currently volatile, and the question is whether gold will find support at lower levels or continue its downward movement. What’s Causing the Drop?: Fed Rate News: The latest news from the Federal Reserve triggered strong profit-taking, which resulted in the sharp decline. USD Technical Rebound: The USD has rebounded after significant losses, putting pressure on gold. Market Sentiment Shift: Investor sentiment changed rapidly, leading to mass sell-offs. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 3300-3320 (Critical level for a potential bounce) Resistance: 3378-3380 (Key resistance area) Next Steps for Gold: Support at 3300-3320: If gold holds above this range, a strong recovery could follow. Break below 3300: A breakdown below 3300 may lead to further declines, potentially towards the next support at 3250. Trading Strategy: SELL ZONE: 3378 - 3380 SL: 3384 TP: 3374 - 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3350 SELL ZONE: 3408 - 3410 SL: 3414 TP: 3404 - 3400 - 3396 - 3392 - 3386 - 3380 BUY ZONE: 3292 - 3290 SL: 3286 TP: 3296 - 3300 - 3304 - 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 Important Notes: Risk Management: Due to high volatility, make sure to use appropriate stop losses (SL) and take profits (TP). Watch for Key Levels: Pay close attention to the 3300-3320 zone for signs of a potential bounce or further breakdown. Adapt to Market Movement: Given the uncertainty, stay flexible and adjust your strategy accordingly. Conclusion: Gold’s market is in a highly volatile phase. Key support and resistance levels will determine the next move. Keep a close eye on market reactions and act accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAU/USD) orderblok key Support Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Gold Spot against USD (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented: Chart Analysis Summary: 1. Price Zones: Supply Zone (Resistance): Around the 3,355–3,365 level. Demand/Support Zone (Doer Block Support Level): Around 3,282–3,291. 2. Current Price Action: Price is currently at $3,331.96, close to the supply zone, and bouncing between the zones. There’s a sharp downtrend, which seems to be slowing down near the support level. 3. Projected Move: The chart suggests a short-term dip back into the demand/support zone, followed by a bullish reversal. Target Point: A move back up toward $3,498.36, which is marked as a significant resistance. 4. Technical Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 36.64 and recovering, suggesting potential bullish divergence or an oversold condition. 200 EMA: Around $3,291.52, providing dynamic support — aligning with the lower demand zone. Mr SMC Trading point Trade Idea: Buy Setup (Long Trade): Entry: Near 3,282–3,291 (support zone). Target: 3,498.36. Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~3,270). Overall Idea: This is a reversal-based setup. The price is expected to retest the support before launching a bullish leg toward the target. The confluence of the EMA, support zone, and RSI near oversold adds weight to the potential for a bounce. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
EUR/USD Holding Key Support – Eyes Set on 1.1555?Today, EUR/USD remains steady around the 1.1280–1.1300 support zone after a mild pullback. This area aligns with the EMA89 and an ascending trendline, suggesting that the risk of a deeper decline is limited for now. ✅ Key news: The USD is under pressure as markets expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged or pivot toward a more dovish stance. This supports the euro and helps maintain the pair’s upward momentum. As long as the price holds above this support, a move back toward 1.1420 – 1.1555 remains very much on the table.
Long
by Malloriee
Gold Slides on Trump Remarks — But Trading Opportunities RemainGold (XAU/USD) fell over 1% in early Asian trading on Wednesday, currently hovering around $3,333. The drop came after U.S. President Donald Trump clarified that he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Trump stated, "The media tends to exaggerate things. No, I’m not planning to fire him. I just want to see him take a more active stance in cutting interest rates." This comment signaled reduced pressure on the Fed, which weakened gold's safe-haven appeal for the short term. Gold also showed signs of pullback due to developments around Russia-Ukraine peace talks and U.S.-China tariff negotiations. While the long-term bullish trend has paused, the current dip presents new trading setups worth considering. 💡 Suggested Trade Ideas: SELL XAU/USD: Zone: 3432–3435 🎯 Take Profit: 3405 / 50–300 pips 🛑 Stop Loss: 3440 BUY XAU/USD: Zone: 3286–3283 🎯 Take Profit: 3323 / 50–400 pips 🛑 Stop Loss: 3278 Stay calm, read the price action, and make your move when the market enters key zones. Happy trading and good luck out there! 💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Malloriee
Gold Elliot Wave Counts - Possibility 2 (Weekly 3rd done)There are two possibilities in Gold. Possibility 1 shared in another post (Targets of Possibility 1: 0.236: $2056, 0.382: $2781) As per Possibility 2 the spike move up was 5th of 3 and hence we have just completed a 3rd Wave in weekly time frame - ending the move from Oct 2023 lows. In this case also, we can expect 0.382: 2850, 0.5: 2650. Gold went up on account of multiple reasons, key of which being de-dollarization and buying by non US countries. However, my sense is that the spike in price was on account of trades from institutions, which will get unwound when price starts correcting and fuel the correction on the way down. The move in last 2 weeks was a typical parabolic move, which should mark the capitulation. Probable Risk: The last move from April lows was just 1 of 5. Hence keeping SL of current high is important. Breaking 3150 (0.618 of the move from April) should give us more confident that 5 is done.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by pankajarora232
Gold May Be Entering a New Era — Are You Ready?Last week, gold extended its historic rally once again. As trade tensions between the U.S. and China escalated and the Fed signaled a possible policy shift, the yellow metal regained strong momentum, pushing to new highs around $3,380, gaining over 500 pips from the week’s opening. What’s most notable is that despite these record levels, market sentiment remains clearly optimistic — and in my view, that optimism is well-founded. We’re seeing capital flow into gold from all directions: speculators, institutional funds, and even central banks. In today’s uncertain climate, gold isn’t just an option — it’s the market’s natural reaction to instability. This isn’t only about tariffs or geopolitics. What truly fuels the move is the Fed’s increasingly dovish tone. And every time monetary policy softens, gold steps back into the spotlight as a defensive anchor. Unless we see a major surprise — such as a sudden trade resolution or a sharp policy pivot — there’s little reason to expect the uptrend to end here. In fact, any short-term correction could serve as a healthier entry point rather than a reversal signal. So the real question right now isn’t “Has gold gone too far?” It’s: “Are we ready for a much longer bullish cycle?”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Malloriee
2
GOLD SMASHES $3,450 – THE FINANCIAL RESET IS HERE! GOLD SMASHES $3,450 – THE FINANCIAL RESET IS HERE! 🔥 The Unstoppable Surge 🔥 Gold explodes past $3,450 as Chinese markets open – a $100/day spike! In just 2 weeks, gold has soared $500 – this isn’t a rally, it’s a SUPERCHARGE! Chinese capital is flooding into gold – they’re the Big Boy driving this wave. 💵 USD in Freefall – The Great Escape 💵 DXY crashes hard – the USD is bleeding value. Money is fleeing the U.S. – investors are ditching the old system. Gold isn’t just rising – it’s a signal of retreat from the USD and the legacy financial order. 📈 Technical Breakdown 📈 Gold is testing $3,519.546 – a critical resistance (see chart). Next support at $3,210.631 if we see a pullback. Fibonacci levels highlight key zones – $3,416.132 as a potential retest. Momentum is insane – this could be the start of a global market reset. 🌍 What’s Next? 🌍 If gold holds above $3,450, we’re looking at $3,600+ soon. A financial game reset is looming – are you ready? Chart Analysis: Gold’s 2H chart shows a parabolic move with heavy volume from Chinese buyers. The trend is clear – this is a structural shift, not a blip. ⚠️ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $3,519, $3,601 Support: $3,416, $3,210 Breakout Target: $3,600+ BUY ZONE 3424 - 3422 SL: 3418 TP: 3428 - 3432 - 3436 - 3440 - 3450 SELL ZONE: 3604 - 3606 SL: 3610 TP: 3600 - 3596 - 3592 - 3588 - 3584 - 3580
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Holds Steady — Is Another Rally Brewing?Gold prices are holding firm above the key zone around $3,330/oz, showing resilience despite the market slowing down for the Easter holiday. While price action is currently sideways, the bullish momentum hasn't faded. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and U.S. trade policy shifts continue to fuel safe-haven demand for gold. For now, resistance stands near $3,353, with a solid support base forming around $3,300. After a strong rally, gold may enter a brief phase of consolidation before building fresh momentum. The ideal approach? Watch for pullbacks to key areas like the EMA 34 or support zones — or wait for a clean breakout above resistance to jump in once the market regains full liquidity. Stick with the trend, traders — and don’t forget to secure your trades with proper TP and SL. Stay sharp!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Malloriee
17
Buying Opportunities Based on Key Support and Resistance LevelsGold Strategy for Today: Buying and Selling Opportunities Based on Key Support and Resistance Levels 📈💰 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading in a narrow range, with slight pullbacks but maintaining its upward trend. Below are the key levels that traders should pay attention to today: Key Support Levels: 3,353.708: A strong support level, potentially a good buy entry if gold pulls back to this level. 3,334.067: Another support zone to keep an eye on for potential bounce if buying pressure remains strong. Key Resistance Levels: 3,412.327: The primary resistance level; if gold breaks above this, it could continue pushing upwards. 3,419.386: The next significant resistance zone; watch for price action around this level. Trading Strategy: BUY ZONE: 3,353 - 3,334 SL: 3,328 (Stop loss to ensure protection) TP: 3,368 - 3,380 - 3,390 - 3,400 - 3,420 SELL ZONE: 3,412 - 3,420 SL: 3,430 (Stop loss to ensure protection) TP: 3,400 - 3,390 - 3,380 - 3,370 - 3,360 Outlook: Gold is still in a strong uptrend, with key support levels at 3,353 and 3,334 providing good buying opportunities. However, as the price approaches resistance levels at 3,412 and 3,419, caution is advised when selling if the price fails to break through and continues higher. Short-Term Strategy: During the Asian and European sessions, traders can look for buy opportunities at the nearest support levels if the price pulls back while maintaining its upward momentum. If the price reaches key resistance zones, consider selling with clear reversal signals. Important Reminder: Always stick to your TP/SL levels to ensure risk management and avoid large losses during volatile market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Is Back in the SpotlightGold has been drawing renewed attention lately, fueled by the weakening U.S. dollar — a consequence of increasingly erratic U.S. trade policies. While the dollar remains the world’s dominant reserve currency, more and more signs suggest that gold is quietly reclaiming its role as a reliable hedge in an uncertain global environment. One of the biggest catalysts is China’s recent move allowing insurance companies to increase their allocation into gold. That decision alone could generate hundreds of tons in new annual demand — a game-changer in a market where global supply remains tight. At the same time, major institutions like Citi, UBS, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America have all raised their gold forecasts for 2025–2026. Some now see gold reaching as high as $3,500/ounce, signaling growing confidence that we’re entering a long-term bullish cycle — not just a short-term surge. From my perspective, this isn’t just a reaction to news headlines. It feels like a deep, structural shift in how institutions are approaching gold. Last Wednesday’s $100 spike wasn’t random — it marked a clear surge in momentum and sentiment. Looking ahead, we might see short-term pullbacks, but the overall trend remains unmistakably bullish. If gold does break into new territory in the coming quarters, this could be a crucial phase for planning, observing, and positioning smart Buy entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Malloriee
Trump’s Trade Tensions Fuel Safe Haven Demand Amid USD WeaknessGold Analysis: Trump’s Trade Tensions Fuel Safe Haven Demand Amid USD Weakness 💰📈 On April 15, U.S. President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into potential tariffs on critical mineral imports, marking a further escalation in the trade dispute with global partners, especially China. This new wave of tension between the world's two largest economies has caused market sentiment to weaken, pushing investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar (USD) has weakened, dropping to its lowest level in three years last week, making gold more attractive for holders of other currencies. Fed's Stance on Market Volatility: Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Federal Reserve will not intervene to "rescue" markets amid heavy volatility, emphasizing that the market is reacting to several uncertainties, particularly the ever-changing trade policies under Trump. Powell believes it's too early to determine what is really causing the volatility, and in the short term, instability could persist, partly driven by hedge funds reducing leverage. Gold Outlook: Bullish Trend Continues: Given the current market conditions, it’s evident that gold is likely to continue its upward momentum and reach new all-time highs (ATH). With global financial markets offering little hope for immediate monetary stimulus, as announced by the Fed, gold remains an appealing choice. Trading Strategy: Current View: Focus on BUY positions as the market continues to push higher. While we’re trading at ATH levels, sharp pullbacks are normal and can be expected without major news triggers. Trade Plan: We won’t look for SELL entries at this point, but instead wait for strong market pullbacks to buy. If significant drops occur, we’ll enter BUY positions based on continuation patterns (CP) and key support levels on M15 and M30 charts. Expected Pullback: After a strong push early in the Asian session today, the price is expected to return to the 331x - 3300 range for potential buy entries. Key Support Levels: 3314, 3300, 3284, 3266 Key Resistance Levels: 3380, 3396, 3410 Trade Zones: BUY ZONE: 3300 - 3298 SL: 3264 TP: 3304 - 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 - 3324 - 3330 - ??? SELL ZONE: 3396 - 3398 SL: 3402 TP: 3392 - 3388 - 3384 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370 Important Reminder: Focus on securing BUY entries today. Although there could be sudden drops for potential SELL opportunities, they aren’t part of the plan for now. Wait for key resistance levels or psychological barriers set by other traders for potential shorting. Always adhere to TP/SL levels to ensure your account remains safe. 🛡️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Points from the Chart: 1. Rising Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel. After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern. 2. Correction Zone: The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag. This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse. 3. Support Zone: A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern. This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce. 4. Target Point: The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds. 5. RSI Indicator: RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory. A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce. 6. EMA 200: The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend. Mr SMC Trading point Possible Trade Idea: Entry: Around the 3,301–3,305 support area. Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce). Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone). Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Extreme Sentiment in Metals: Gold & Silver Correction Ahead?In my previous update for this week , Despite my expectation of a correction beginning this week, Gold closed with a 3% gain yesterday, showing amazing strength . The daily chart still reflects an overbought RSI on monthly (85) and weekly (80) timeframes, reinforcing my view that a correction phase is imminent. While Gold has soared, Silver has lagged, failing to reclaim its late March high. I expect Silver to follow gold during this correction, potentially pushing the Gold/Silver ratio higher to a target of 110-114. The recent upside move in Silver formed an ending diagonal with a powerful throw-over, suggesting exhaustion. For Silver to confirm an uptrend and invalidate the corrective count, it must break above 33.45. Sentiment levels are at extremes, with the Daily Sentiment Index hitting 83 for Gold and 87 for Silver, indicating overbought conditions that often precede reversals. A major concern is the Dollar Index (DXY), which looks set to make a lower low after forming an triangle on the 1-hour chart. When DXY turns up, metals are likely to face heavy pressure. I believe better entry points for bullish metals positions will emerge after this correction, especially as DXY bottoming process nears. Despite Gold recent strength, my view remains unchanged —both metals are due for a correction. Gold rally off the April 7 low appears corrective (wave iv) compared to the impulsive wave iii sell-off, and Silver ending diagonal adds to the bearish case. The lack of daily close confirmation for a correction in Gold hasn’t altered my stance, but I’m watching closely. The DXY anticipated rally could be the catalyst to push metals lower. I’m targeting Gold support at 3,150-3,168 and then 3000 for this correction and Silver critical level at 30.50 as key areas to monitor.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US-China Tensions Gold Hits New ATH Amid Escalating US-China Tensions 💰📈 The market has become more sensitive than ever as investors are deeply influenced by decisions from the world’s most powerful leaders. The ongoing tensions between Trump and Xi Jinping are causing uncertainty, making gold the natural safe-haven asset for investors seeking refuge. At this point, the question is no longer whether gold will rise or fall, but rather how far it can go with geopolitical tensions still high and escalating daily. A retaliatory decision could cause gold to spike by dozens of points, while a temporary halt in tariffs could lead to a sharp drop. The market is incredibly sensitive to economic policy decisions and political developments right now. Currently, candle confirmations are less reliable, as bullish confirmations are often followed by sudden reversals. This makes it crucial to focus on key levels and avoid rushing into trades. Scalping should be done with caution, and identifying clear entry points is vital. Key Support Levels: 3280, 3268, 3258, 3240, 3230 Key Resistance Levels: 3292, 3302, 3310 Trade Strategy: SELL ZONE: 3302 - 3304 SL: 3308 TP: 3298 - 3294 - 3290 - 3286 - 3280 BUY ZONE: 3270 - 3268 SL: 3264 TP: 3274 - 3278 - 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3300 BUY ZONE: 3240 - 3238 SL: 3234 TP: 3245 - 3250 - 3255 - 3260 - 3264 - 3268 - 3274 - 3280 - OPEN Risk Management: As mentioned above, the market is extremely sensitive and unpredictable right now. Please remain cautious, and always adhere to your TP/SL levels to protect your account. 🛡️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Strong Breakout and Continuation Within Sideways RangeGold Analysis: Strong Breakout and Continuation Within Sideways Range 💰📈 Gold (XAU/USD) made a strong move within its sideways range after breaking down below the 3215 level. At the start of the Asian session, gold bounced back and is now maintaining an upward movement within the range from 3245 to 3215, forming a small upward channel on the M15 timeframe. This is a clear continuation of the bullish trend. Key Support Levels: 3215, 3204, 3195, 3188, 3178, 3168 Key Resistance Levels: 3235, 3245, 3257, 3272 The buying pressure remains strong, especially at the recent support level of 3196, where we saw a quick response of 30 pips back up. There is still significant buying interest below these levels, just waiting for the right opportunity for another entry. Today's Strategy: With no major U.S. news expected today, the price range is likely to be similar to yesterday, with a move of about 30-40 pips. We are waiting for a pullback to buy again, and will avoid sell signals in the current market environment. Even if we anticipate a drop, the focus should be on buying at good support levels rather than selling too early. Trade Setup: BUY ZONE: 3196 - 3194 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 - 3204 - 3208 - 3212 - 3216 - 3220 - 3225 - 3230 SELL ZONE: 3244 - 3246 SL: 3250 TP: 3240 - 3236 - 3232 - 3228 - 3224 - 3220 Important Reminder: If gold fails to break the 3135 level, consider selling back to the 311x zone. If the price reaches 3135 and continues to show strong buying pressure, wait for a potential push towards 3145 and consider selling if the previous resistance holds. Always stick to your TP/SL levels to ensure risk management. Final Thoughts: AD expects a pullback or correction during the end of the Asian session or at the beginning of the European session, providing an opportunity to buy at better levels. Avoid buying at uncertain levels and wait for the ideal pullback. Trade Safely and manage your positions with clear TP/SL targets. Always prioritize risk management to protect your account.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
5
Gold Update: Rejection at 3245, Support at 3200—More Downside ?As anticipated, we’ve seen some rejection around the "New Swing High?" zone , and Gold has pulled back to find support around the 3,200 level. This aligns with the price action we discussed, and the market behaving as expected so far. 🔍 Monday Price Action : In my last post, I highlighted that Gold was overextended after hitting an all-time high near, with overbought RSI readings on the monthly (84) and weekly (77) timeframes. I expected a correction, and we’ve now seen the price drop from that high to test the 3,200 level, which has acted as short-term support. This pullback reinforces the idea that the rally needed to cool off, and we’re seeing that play out. View Remains the Same: Correction Still in Play My view hasn’t changed—I’m still leaning towards a deeper correction in the near term. While the 3200 level has provided some support, it’s not a major support zone yet. The first significant support remains at the previous swing high of 3,150-3,168, which I expect Gold to test soon. The overbought conditions on higher timeframes still suggest more downside potential before the uptrend can resume. If we break below 3,150, the next support zone between 3,040-3,050 could come into play, where I’d expect stronger buying interest for Intra day. What to Watch For -Resistance at last week high: The recent high remains a key resistance. Any rally back towards this level could face rejection again, offering another shorting opportunity. - Support at 3,150-3,168: This is the next major level to watch. A break below 3,200 could see Gold head straight for this zone, Final Thoughts : Gold is playing out as expected, with the rejection from from the zone marked on chart leading to a pullback that found support at 3,200. However, I believe this correction has more room to run, and I’m still targeting the 3,150-3,168 zone as the next key level.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Sideways Action Awaiting Liquidity Pullback Before Push to $3300Gold Price Strategy for the Week: Sideways Action Awaiting Liquidity Pullback Before Push to $3300 💰📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently moving sideways within a wide range of 30 price levels, from 3246 to 3216, and is showing hesitation at these levels. There is no clear indication yet if gold will continue to rise or if we’ll see a corrective phase to gather liquidity. Currently, indicators are showing that gold is overbought, and a strong pullback to gather liquidity could happen anytime. The buying pressure has decreased compared to last week, and FOMO seems to have faded, so we may watch for an entry point during the European session today. If gold fails to push higher, we could consider a potential sell entry. Key Resistance: 3246 (ATH), 3255, 3268, 3285, 3302 Key Support: 3216, 3195, 3172, 3152, 3120 Buy Zone 📈: 3172 - 3170, SL: 3166, TP: 3176 - 3180 - 3184 - 3188 - 3192 - 3196 - 3200 Sell Zone 🔽: 3268 - 3270, SL: 3274, TP: 3264 - 3260 - 3256 - 3252 - 3248 - 3244 - 3240 Market Outlook: This week, there are no major news events to focus on, so the strategy will primarily revolve around observing the market volume for clues on the next move. The key focus will be on the European and U.S. sessions to determine the market direction more clearly. With the current market volatility, it’s essential to stick to your TP/SL levels for risk management and to protect your account. Important Reminder: Despite the lack of news, the market remains extremely unpredictable, and large price movements are likely. Always adhere to your TP/SL and manage your trades carefully. 🛡
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Hits All-Time High: Is a Correction Coming? Recent Price Action Recap Gold has been in a strong uptrend, as evidenced by the series of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Last week, it broke above the previous swing high around the 3,150-3,168 zone, which I had initially flagged as a possible top in previous posts. However, the bulls showing amazing strenght again, pushing the price to a new all-time high near 3,240-45 area, as indicated by the "New Swing High?" zone on the chart. This breakout above the prior swing high confirms the continuation of the bullish momentum, but there are signs that this rally might be overextended. Overbought Conditions on Higher Timeframes While I’m not a huge fan of the RSI, I do pay attention to it on larger timeframes to gauge potential overbought or oversold conditions. On the monthly timeframe, Gold’s RSI is sitting at 84, which is significantly overbought. On the weekly chart, the RSI is at 77, also indicating overbought territory. These elevated RSI levels suggest that the market may need to cool off before resuming its upward trajectory. Historically, such high RSI readings often precede a consolidation or correction phase , as the market takes a breather after a strong rally. First Major Support (3,150-3,168) : This zone, previously a swing high, should now act as support on any pullback. It’s a key area where buyers might step in to defend the uptrend. This level also aligns with the upper boundary of the support zone marked on the chart. My View: A Correction Is Likely Given the overbought RSI readings on the monthly and weekly timeframes, combined with the overextended rally on the daily chart, I’m leaning towards a correction phase in the near term. The price action around the "New Swing High?" zone at shows signs of hesitation as we have seen week open with a gap down, with a sharp drop following the peak, suggesting potential exhaustion among buyers. While the uptrend remains intact, I expect Gold to roll back this week to test the first major support at 3,150-3,168 or lower zone as marked on chart.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. DollarTechnical and Fundamental Analysis: A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. Dollar 1. Technical Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD): Current Price: Gold is currently trading around the 3,219.39 level, marking a significant high compared to recent price levels. This is seen as a major resistance point that could limit the price in the short term. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 3,164.62, 3,190.48, 3,219.39 Support: 3,118.98, 3,069.60 Moving Averages (MA): MA 13 (Short-Term) and MA 34 (Medium-Term) both lie below the current price, indicating a bullish trend in the short to medium term. MA 200 (Long-Term) shows that the long-term trend for gold remains strong and stable, with the price currently trading above all these moving averages. Current Situation: Gold is on a strong upward trajectory, supported by economic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and overall monetary policies. The current price suggests that gold could continue to rise in the short term, particularly if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. Long-Term Outlook: If the resistance level of 3,219.39 is breached, gold could potentially move towards the 3,250 level and beyond. However, caution should be exercised as profit-taking may occur towards the end of the week. Avoid FOMO and buying at the peak. 2. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Dollar (DXY Index): The DXY Index is currently in a strong downward trend, trading below 100.554. It may continue to fall towards 99.783 in the upcoming months. Key Support Levels for USD: 99.783 and 97.500. If the DXY continues to drop and breaks these levels, it would put additional pressure on the USD and be supportive for gold. Impact of Monetary Policies: The Federal Reserve has indicated a potential interest rate cut in the future, which would continue to pressure the U.S. Dollar and support gold, especially amid global economic concerns. Economic Situation in the U.S.: With some economic indicators such as CPI and PPI showing weakness, the U.S. economy is facing challenges. This adds further pressure to the U.S. Dollar and provides an advantage to gold. 3. Long-Term Perspective: Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. In the short term, gold may continue to rise as long as the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be exercised toward the end of the week due to potential profit-taking. For Gold (XAU/USD): If gold breaks key resistance levels, it could continue to rise in the long term, especially if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be taken at the peaks. As for the U.S. Dollar: The DXY is expected to continue its decline in the short term, which would further support gold. However, if the DXY starts to recover, gold might face some pressure. Trading Strategy: Preferred Buy Zones for gold: 3,118.98 and 3,069.60. But be cautious as profit-taking could occur toward the end of the week. Avoid selling gold unless the major resistance levels are broken and clear signals emerge from the market. Conclusion: With gold continuing its upward trend, supported by favorable monetary policies and economic expectations, gold remains a strong opportunity for both short and long-term investors. However, investors should be cautious about profit-taking towards the weekend. Monitoring future performance of the U.S. Dollar and any changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy will be crucial.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading