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XAUUSD SELL CONTINUATION 30.07.23Reason Behind XAUUSD/GOLD Sell 1. Last Week Rejection Over the Resistance @1980 which make the Formation of Clear Neew Downtrend Channel 2. Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern Make positive for the Sell Movement Over the last week Support over 1940 which is our support and make lower as per our expectation to 1910 3.Continuation of Last W pattern still Valid and smoothen teh downtrend Over all Possible Outcomes XAUUSD SELL @ 1965-73 SL 2000 TP 1940 TP 2 1910
FX:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
Gold Bullish Neowave Cycle Started, have fun !Hello Everyone welcome to Trading Idea, today we are updating chart of gold or XAUUSD for traders. Here are the details Gold is moving Up in Correction, So this is an Zig-Zag pattern Currently we are in Wave-E which is moving Up as price progressed, it will be clear where it will end. Well there can be further up Long Term cycle zig-zag wave in form of ((f)), ((g)) and ((h))or this can be the last so do the partial profit booking Any way trade here with sl near invalidation level. If you like the idea, than kindly boost and share it with others and help us. Also if you have any query than don't hesitate to ask us. Thank You Manish Singh Neowave Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Neowave-forecast
2
Gold buyers still occupy driver’s seat after Fed, eyes on ECB noDespite the Fed-inflicted volatility, the Gold price remains bullish as markets brace for the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting. That said, successful trading beyond the 50-EMA and 200-EMA, respectively near $1,950 and $1,904, keeps the buyers hopeful. Also acting as short-term support is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s February-May upside, near $1,935. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level adds strength to the $1,904 support while the $1,900 round figure and June’s low of $1,893 are some extra downside filters that can defend the XAUUSD bulls if they’re on the verge of losing the throne. In a case where the quote remains bearish past $1,893, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the early March swing high of around $1,854 and then to February’s bottom of $1,804 can’t be ruled out. Even so, the Gold buyers need to provide a successful upside break of the 10-week-old horizontal resistance area around $1,985 to tighten their grip. That said, the $2,000 psychological magnet and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of around $2,005 may act as additional resistances to test the XAUUSD bulls before directing them to April’s peak of around $2,050. Following that, the yearly high of around $2,067 will regain the market’s attention. Overall, the Gold Price remains on the bull’s radar unless declining below $1,893.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
HTF - GOLD - HAS LOST ITS SHINE?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular precious metal "GOLD / XAU" could look like. For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month - week - day) and thus makes the big picture visible. Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing. > We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. . table of contents 1st part = INTRODUCTION 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame = Dayly - Time frame 3rd part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "INTRODUCTION" After "XAU/USD" formed a double top between 2020-2022, a strong sell-off has been unleashed thereafter. > This sell-off paused in October this year to test the strength of it. > With a subsequent bullish monthly candle, many retail investors now feel on the safe side that new highs will be reached. > Here I do not want to take away the joy, but the big picture does not suggest anything like that. > Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher timeframes, the following sell-off in gold is "indirectly" confirmed. (My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.) GOLD SAFE HARBOUR . If you follow popular wisdom, GOLD is classified as a safe and reliable haven. SPEAKING LIKE ... > "All that glitters is not gold." > "Talk is silver, silence is gold." > "Much gold, much future." That, the precious metal gold got such a high value awarded - HAD - its reasons. > Inflation protection and security - are definitely the two most associated words with this precious metal. Unfortunately, at the latest, since the year 2021, this no longer seems to apply. > If one compares the loss of inflation and the gain in value of gold, a significant gap can be seen, at which there can no longer be any talk of "inflation compensation". > Gold will therefore no longer live up to its reputation and a rethinking of its value will have to take place in the future. SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels, I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTH - level > WEEK - level > DAY - level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS The charts are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way. 1st MONTH – Time frame SUMMARY The trend channel plotted on the chart formed in March|2007 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market. > Price is in the area below the mean line and had last touched the channel in 2018. > September|2020 the price ran into the mid-line but was not strong enough. This becomes very clear when looking at the moving away middle line despite the "double top". > The trend arc is another resistance, which should be taken into account for a future downward movement. If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two zones in the chart. > The "SUPPLY" zone is VERY STRONG because it is a RBD (Rally Base Drop). > The "DEMAND" zone is VERY WEAK, as it is a DBD (Drop-Base-Drop). > If we get another rise in the DXY, the drawn "DEMAND" zone will break and the sell-off will continue. The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation, and have been proved in past moves (last decades) . > Should the price rise even further, FIB (1) will serve as a Strong Resistance Zone, although the "FIB Zone = 0.75-0.88 - is the Strongest Resistance. (1) > If the sell-off continues, FIB (2) cannot do much in the monthly chart, but if necessary there will be a reaction on the "smaller" time levels. > The FIB (3) = 1.618 level, will resemble a large magnet and in combination with the FIB (4), will trigger a large resistance reaction in the market. Past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, of which we have three. > HIGH | 08/20 - Already showed a reaction (double top). > HIGH | 09/11 - Point of Control > LOW | 03/21 - Broken and recaptured Points and levels of interest are in front of us, which have played a strong role for the market since 2011 . > The most significant resistance, represents the plotted - POI (1800 USD), which is still contested at the time of this analysis. > The other POIs have non-negligible resistance and support characteristics and should be kept in mind. CHARTS XAU - Overall picture XAU - Trend lines XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Market Structure Break XAU - Fibonacci XAU - POI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. . 2nd WEEK – Time frame SUMMARY In addition to the already mentioned trend channel, now three more become visible, which may have escaped the one or the other. > The "Purple" trend channel formed at the same time as its big brother (monthly channel) and thus represents a major significance for the market. We are at the middle line of the channel and the market seems to have used it as support. > The "Turquoise" trend channel accompanies us since the last high and has a big say with its many interactions. My guess is that its resistance line will decide whether the sell-off will continue or be broken with confirmation. > The "Earth-colored" trend channel is a small sideways accumulation and accompanies us in this area. Currently, the price has fought its way back into the channel, confirmed it and is now targeting the top of the sideways channel. > The "Orange colored" trend line , has been respected since 2018, 07|2022 broken. The price suggests that the trend line is approaching for a final retest. The additional "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched. As additional Fibonacci additions, we have: > The 0.88 FIB (1), combined with the levels from the FIB (2). This represents with the 0.88 levels from FIB (2) - two very relevant resistance ranges. > FIB (3) is only valid if the price does not rise further and therefore the input values do not change. Should this be the case, the 0.786 + 0.88 area is the most important to watch out for. CHARTS XAU - Overall picture XAU - Overall picture + Month XAU - Trend Channels + Trend Lines XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES XAU - Fibonacci ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. . 3rd DAY – Time frame SUMMARY The chart shows a falling triangle which has been broken . > As a result, the price has confirmed this break, with a close at the break point. > At this time level, there will be a sell-off, especially if the DXY rises. To give a little comment on the "Supply & Demand" zones: > The upper two "SUPPLY" zones are definitely very strong. 1800 + 1980. > The bottom "DEMAND" zone is very strong, as it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) zone. (ca. 1640 - ca. 1615) > The "DEMAND" zones in between are incidental, will trigger small reactions on the lower time frames, but nothing significant. (ca. 1760 - ca. 1660) CHARTS XAU - Overall picture + Month + Week XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Trend Lines THIRD PART CONCLUSION "The central banks, themselves, are behind the gold price manipulation. What should you get out of it?" Run this question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely. > Another sell-off or a positive gold price for now? In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a weak GOLD price . > If you look at the area between 1,950 USD - 1,840 USD, it almost seems like an arm guarding the upper levels. > To bring down this defense, I think, needs more momentum than what we have and are getting right now. (Christmas, New Year, Chinese New Year) For this reason, I expect a weak gold rate and a strong USD, and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT . If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive an evaluation of the idea. Thank you and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
Gold price on the first day of the weekWorld gold price on the first day of the week tended to decrease with spot gold down 1 USD compared to last week's closing level to 1,953.4 USD/ounce. Last week, the world gold had a 2nd consecutive week of gains when the published inflation reports reduced expectations of interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Kitco's recent survey results show that optimism continues to return to the gold market with the forecast that prices may move higher this week. Even so, neither Wall Street analysts nor Main Street retail investors are expecting a major breakout.
TVC:GOLD
by SupperTrading-FX
14
Gold price pullback remains unimpressive beyond $1,900Gold price reverses the previous week’s retreat from an eight-week-old descending resistance line, grinding higher past the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the nearly overbought RSI (14) suggests another pullback from the aforementioned immediate resistance line, near $1,962 at the latest. With this, the XAUUSD is likely to break the immediate support surrounding $1,935, comprising the 100-EMA. However, the 200-EMA, close to $1,900 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the metal bears to break before retaking control. In a case where the price remains bearish below the $1,900 mark, the odds of witnessing a quick slump toward the early March high of around $1,858 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, a daily closing beyond the aforementioned descending resistance line, close to $1,962, could renew the Gold Price upside towards challenging the previous monthly high of around $1,983. Following that, the $2,000 round figure and April’s peak of around $2,048 will be in the spotlight before directing the XAUUSD bulls toward the yearly high of near $2,067. Overall, multiple hurdles toward the north and the latest retreat from the key resistance line teases the Gold sellers but crucial EMAs stand tall to challenge the commodity bears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers appear well-set to visit $1,985 hurdleGold price rises to the highest level in a month after crossing a convergence of the 200-SMA and a six-week-old descending trend line, around $1,940 by the press time. The breakout joins bullish MACD signals to keep XAUUSD buyers hopeful. However, the overbought RSI (14) conditions suggest limited upside room, which in turn highlights a horizontal resistance area comprising multiple tops marked since May 18, close to $1,985. It’s worth noting that the metal’s upside past $1,985 appears difficult as the $2,000 psychological magnet and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-June downside, near $2,030, could challenge the bulls before directing them to the yearly top marked in May around $2,067. On the contrary, Gold price pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the $1,940 resistance-turned-support comprising the 200-SMA and a 1.5-month-long falling trend line. Following that, the early-month swing high of around $1,934 and the previous resistance line stretched from May 04, close to 1,916, at the latest, will challenge the XAUUSD sellers. In a case where the bullion bears keep the reins past $1,916, the $1,900 will act as the last defense of the bulls. Overall, Gold Price is likely to rise further towards the short-term key resistance as the US Dollar drops heavily.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold price rising? Only to plunge again! ICT Approach To XAUUSD.Hello Traders! We see a test of the 2080 resistance level once again. Weekly and daily ranges are marked on the chart. The market is in premium zone on the weekly and Lower High (LH) picture is maintained on the daily. Also, we're in a discount zone on the daily . Hence some retracement to equilibrium and the daily bearish order block (OB) is expected. The daily OB is also overlapping with a weekly bearish OB . That makes the 1940-1945 zone an extremely important resistance. Strong selling is expected from the said level. The quarter has just ended on 30th June 2023 and this quarter is expected to be bearish as well. Although the seasonal tendency of XAUUSD in July is bullish, the same may not be expected this time but could be a cause for deeper retracements. Do use proper risk management. Happy Trading! Profits, Market's Mechanic.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn27677748
Gold sellers must break $1,895 to show dominance on NFP dayWith a clear U-turn from the 100-EMA, Gold price again hits the key support around $1,895 comprising the 200-EMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late November 2022. That said, bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI join the market’s risk-off mood to offer extra incentives for the XAUUSD bears. With this, the Gold sellers are more likely to take out the $1,895 support, which in turn could direct the prices toward the early March swing high of around $1,858. However, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to May 2023 upside, near $1,845, will precede the yearly low marked in February around $1,805 and the $1,800 round figure to limit the metal’s further downside. On the contrary, a successful daily closing beyond the 100-EMA level of around $1,935 needs support from the downbeat US jobs report to recall the Gold buyers. In that case, February’s peak of around $1,960 and the previous monthly high surrounding $1,983 could check the XAUUSD bulls before allowing them to visit the $2,000 psychological magnet. It’s worth noting that the bullion remains on the front foot once it closes beyond the $2,000 mark, which in turn helps it challenge the tops marked in April and the multi-year high registered in May, respectively near $2,050 and $2,070. Overall, the Gold price is all set to break the key support and recall the bears but the short positions should be taken with care ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GOLD MONTH TIME FRAMEAll time Low @20.540 All time High @2075.282 03Aug2020 in Black color. There's a pullback on 07March2022 in Red color. We can see here a Extrem POI on XAUUSD @438.184 - 410.486 is not mitigate yet but sooner or later price will come down to mitigate. I have marked five POI the last POI is @1226.477 - 1161.197 on 01Aug2018 01Sep1999 we saw a Bull Run {Bullmarket} till 01Sep2011 @1921.070 we thought that's a all time high @1921.070 because price started to drop. And price drop! till 01Dec2015 On 03Aug2020 Gold created new high @2075.282 and that's a all time HIGH again price come down to pushup to create new high but markets fuel tank get low and there we get a Rejection price failed to touch the all time high on 07March2022 Another Rejection on 07May2023 I THINK SOON WE CAN SEE A NEW HIGH ON GOLD. If.... price cross @1618.025 this level then we can see a mitigation @1226.477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VIJETEJBHIMRAOTAMBARE
Gold sellers are ready to break $1,900 but road to the south is Gold stays on the way to post the third consecutive weekly loss even as the one-month-old falling trend line prod XAUUSD sellers around $1,900 of late. Also challenging the quote’s further downside is the nearly oversold RSI (14) line. However, the bullion’s sustained trading beneath the fortnight-long falling trend line and the 200-SMA, respectively near $1,918 and $1,956, joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the sellers hopeful of witnessing further downside. In a case where the quote crosses these hurdles, the monthly top will join the late May’s swing high, around $1,983-85, to act as the last defense of the bears. Meanwhile, the Gold seller’s dominance past the $1,900 round figure will need validation from the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of its June 09-23 moves, near $1,898. Following that, the 78.6% and 100% FE, close to $1,887 and $1,873, should be quick to lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth observing that the precious metal’s weakness past $1,873 will have the early March high of $1,856 as an intermediate halt before dragging prices toward the yearly low marked in February around $,804. Overall, Gold price is likely to remain bearish but the south run is less likely to be smooth.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal