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GOLD Possible Elliott wave countsHere we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of GOLD chart in which weekly, daily, 4 hourly and hourly all these time frames counts are aligned with each others. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Disclaimer. I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
GLong
by RK_Chaarts
Determining trend and consolidation through wave cycles.MCX:GOLD1! In past, we have discussed how to know the quality of a trend and how to know a chart pattern's extrinsic nature according to the market phase. If you haven't read that then I want you to read that before to have a better understanding of this idea. Let's get started!! How to determine the trend or consolidation through the wave cycles and degrees. The trend moves in 3 different wave degrees:- For example , think of it like a multi-timeframe analysis. 1. Higher wave cycle (HWC) - This is a 1-month time frame trend. 2. Medium wave cycle (MWC) - This is a 1-day time frame trend. 3. Lower wave cycle (LWC) - This is 30 min time frame trend. So Without knowing which wave cycle is being traded one can encounter these problems:- 1. Inability to select consistent breakout levels. 2. Inability to select effective stop loss levels. 3. Inability to apply effective stop sizing. 4. Inability to distinguish between trend and consolidation mode. 5. Inability to determine the direction of the predominant trend. How can we eliminate these complications? 1. Consolidation and Trend Action in Terms of Wave Cycles and Degrees. A market may be both in trend and consolidation modes at the same time, depending on the wave cycle being observed. 2. We may also define breakouts via the degree of the wave cycles. Different degrees of waves help in determining whether a breakout will gonna be valid or not as a range formation near the higher wave cycle resistance zone will likely fail. In the above figure:- we have breakouts based on waves of lower, medium, and higher degrees. In other words, the breakout level will depend on the wave degree being traded. Being aware of the wave degree being traded will allow the trader to size the stop-loss effectively, according to the average wave amplitude and volatility associated with that particular wave degree. 3. Significance of higher wave degree reversals When big market trends change direction, it affects smaller trends as well. This is because all the smaller trends are part of the bigger trend. So, when the big trend changes, the smaller trends also change in the same direction. This is important to understand because it means that when you see a change in a big trend, it's a sign that many smaller trends are also changing. However, smaller trends changing doesn't necessarily mean the big trend will change too. Conclusion:- Always know which wave cycle you are trading and at what point you stand in that wave cycle. Note: In upcoming Ideas, we will cover how Waves are used in the Elliott Wave concept. I hope this short idea on trend or consolidation determination has added some knowledge and helped in improving your trading. please like and comment with your views on this idea. Keep learning, Happy trading. Thank you for reading.
MCX:GOLD1!Education
by SANJAYPATIDAR_
6
Has Gold (XAUUUSD) Topped out? Gold Price May FallOn Friday, 5 May 2023, Gold price got rejected from the All-time high levels of 2050-2070. The drop resulted in formation of a DAILY BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLESTICK PATTERN as well as an EVENING STAR CANDLESTICK PATTERN at the ATH resistance levels, which shows sellers are active at this level. Checking out previous price action, the GOLD Price is trading in a rising channel making HIGHER HIGHS & HIGHER LOWS which signifies the uptrend. However, checking the RSI indicator which shows the momentum in the uptrend, RSI is making LOWER HIGHS. This results in BEARISH DIVERGENCE! A Bearish Divergence is a sign of loss of strength in uptrend which means bulls are getting weak and may signal profit booking & trend reversal. But this does not means to get Bearish on GOLD as of now. We need further confirmations for that. If Daily candle closes below the rising channel as well as 1968, price may drop till 1940. Area between 1915-1940 is the must hold level for BULLS. If price closes below 1915 we can then expect beginning of downtrend in GOLD BUT, since price is still in uptrend and we must follow the trend untill it ends. If daily closes above 1970, price may continue to go high. CONCLUSION 1. Price is still in uptrend. 2. If daily closes below 1968, price may drop till 1940 3. Area between 1915-1940 is a must hold levels for bullis. If price closes below 1915, a new downtrend may begin. Let me know in the comments section if you want me to analyse any other financial instrument. WARNING:- ALWAYS FOLLOW RISK MANAGEMENT AND POSITION SIZING WHILE TAKING ANY TRADE.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by rohitkukreja
Gold price signals pullback on US NFP dayHaving refreshed a multi-month high on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish rate hike, the Gold buyers appear running out of steam as markets await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. That said, the quote’s repeated failure to provide a daily closing beyond an upward-sloping resistance line from late January 2023, close to $2,068 by the press time, teases the XAUUSD bears. Adding strength to the hopes of a pullback is the overbought RSI line. However, the metal price needs to provide a daily close below $2,040 to facilitate the profit-booking move. In that case, the $2,000 round figure and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around $1,970 could act as immediate targets ahead of February’s top surrounding $1,960. Though, the quote is less likely to drop past $1,960 as 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 200-EMA, respectively near $1,900 and $1,863 appear tough nuts to crack for bullion sellers. Meanwhile, the metal’s sustained trading beyond $2,040 can keep grinding its higher and mark another attempt in breaking the multi-day-old resistance line near $2,068. In that case, the highs marked in 2022 and 2020, around $2,070 and $2,075, may act as intermediate halts for the Gold buyers before directing them to the $2,100 round figures. Overall, Gold price remains bullish but a short-term pullback seems brewing as the key US data looms.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Gold sellers eye consecutive third weekly loss, $1,935 in focusRepeated attempts to mark a downside break of the HKEX:1 ,980-79 support confluence comprising a fortnight-old symmetrical triangle, as well as the 200-SMA, keep Gold bears hopeful of posting a third weekly loss in a row. However, a six-week-long horizontal support zone around HKEX:1 ,935 appears a tough nut to crack for the XAUUSD sellers, especially amid the downbeat RSI (14) line. Should the metal prices remain weak past HKEX:1 ,935, the HKEX:1 ,900 round figure and the mid-March swing low of around HKEX:1 ,885 will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce in the bullion price needs to stay beyond the 100-SMA and top line of the stated triangle, respectively near HKEX:2 ,003 and HKEX:2 ,010, may gold the Gold buyers. It’s worth noting that the quote’s successful trading past HKEX:2 ,010 enables it to challenge the YTD peak of near HKEX:2 ,050 whereas any further advances could aim for the HKEX:2 ,070 key hurdle comprising the previous yearly top and the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the metal’s March 15 to April 19 moves. Overall, Gold stays on the bear’s table after an initial attempt to lure the bulls. However, the next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting outcome will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD (Gold) Latest Analysis LONG or Short . Find out Gold latest move in 1 hr time frame may breakout from symmetrical triangle and reach to 2005- 2012 📈 range before falling down . But if broken previous week high at 2015 may lead to test resistance at 2020. If not broken symmetrical triangle can lead to 1950-1960 📉 support range and will also broke the daily bear flag which will give the confirmation for further down levels . Enjoy trading Be cautious of sudden moves and stop loss hunt.🥇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Johnwick_forex
Gold needs to break $1,980 support for short-term downsideGold price grinds lower between a three-month-old ascending resistance line and an upward-sloping trend line from late March. That said, the quote recently bounced off a convergence of the 21-day EMA and an upward-sloping support line from March 22, close to HKEX:1 ,980, which in turn suggests the commodity’s further recovery towards the HKEX:2 ,020 immediate hurdle. However, nearly overbought RSI and nearness to the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line, currently around HKEX:2 ,045, could challenge the XAUUSD bulls. Meanwhile, a downside break of the HKEX:1 ,980 support confluence could quickly drag the Gold price toward February’s high of around HKEX:1 ,960. Following that, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its late November 2022 to early April 2023 upside, near HKEX:1 ,890 and HKEX:1 ,853 in that order, could test the Gold sellers. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD remains on the buyer’s radar unless it offers a daily closing below the 200-day EMA level of around HKEX:1 ,845. Overall, the Gold price is likely to grind higher unless breaking the HKEX:1 ,845 level. That said, a downside break of HKEX:1 ,980 can trigger the metal’s short-term fall.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD (Gold ) Analysis for next week 17 April - 21 AprilWe can see the gold the retesting the yesterday high's again , it may be just a bull trap before dropping to test the HKEX:2000 on the daily bear flag or dropping below that can swing the reversal to supports at TSE:1980 and then $1950. It can form the M here or if it broken can test ath of TSE:2070 which is much less likely as it may go to test TADAWUL:2100 psychological levels . If you see rejection here around TADAWUL:2050 - TSE:2055 , then definitely it may retest at HKEX:2007 or HKEX:2000 today . Trade accordingly
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnwick_forex
Gold buyers run out of steam before final dose of US dataGold price seesaws near the highest levels since March 2022 inside a one-month-old bullish channel. The bullion recently makes rounds to the upper line of the stated bullish formation amid overbought RSI (14), which in turn suggests that the buyers are running out of steam and a pullback is in the offing. The same highlights the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of the metal’s moves between March 22 and April 10, around HKEX:2 ,041, as the immediate support. Following that, the previous weekly top surrounding HKEX:2 ,031 and the HKEX:2 ,000 round figure could lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth noting, however, that a convergence of the 100-EMA and the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to HKEX:1 ,980-78, as the key support to watch during the quote’s further downside. Above all, the metal’s bearish trend remains elusive unless it trades beyond the 200-EMA level surrounding HKEX:1 ,947. On the contrary, a successful upside break of the HKEX:2 ,050 defies the expectations of witnessing a pullback in the Gold price. Even so, the 78.6% FE level of around HKEX:2 ,057 can test the bulls before directing them to the previous yearly high of near HKEX:2 ,070. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past HKEX:2 ,070, the record high of HKEX:2 ,075, marked in 2020, will precede the 100% FE level of HKEX:2 ,078 to act as the final defense of the short-term sellers prior to propelling the quote towards the HKEX:2 ,100 round figure. Overall, Gold price appears to have had enough of a run-up in the week and may witness a retreat. In doing so, the lower high on RSI and higher high of prices, known as bearish divergence, may play its role, if not the US Dollar.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GDX- Cup & Handle BREAKOUT BUY!Attached: GDX Daily Chart as of 7th April 2023 Price has given a Classic Cup & Handle Breakout Buy Signal on the Charts What do Technical Indicators say on the Daily Chart? - RSI is in overbought zone ( > 70) and confirming a Bullish Regime✅ - MACD is trending up and in buy mode, confirming Momentum✅ - DMI is in buy mode and ADX is above 25, confirming a Strong Up Trend✅ Going by Pure Price Action too and especially if you go on the Weekly Chart, you can see last Week put in a Clear Bull Power Candle which is our Breakout Candle The Green Trend Line serves as the Neckline for the Cup & Handle Pattern Trade Plan as follows: Current Market Price= 34.43 Upside Target🎯= 40 to 42 zone Stop Loss⚠️ can be < 32 This is our Swing/ Positional Trade Call ............................................... Note: Not only is GDX Bullish for the IMMEDIATE Short Term (Daily Time Frame as I have put out in this Idea), but it is also Bullish on the Higher Time Frames like the Monthly and the Weekly as well, so there is a Multi Time Frame Alignment too✅ Lastly, Refer to my Related Ideas to see my GDX Analysis on the Monthly Time Frame to get my Long Term View for an INVESTMENT CALL👍
AMEX:GDXLong
by T_Harth
GDX- BIG BULL OPPORTUNITY!GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) INVESTMENT CALL📈 Attached: Monthly Chart as of 7th April 2023 (Technical Analysis self explanatory as annotated✍️ in the Chart) CMP= ~34 Upside Targets🎯: T1= 40 + T2= 60 + T3= $100... Stop Loss: SL is Not Needed but just for the sake of it one can keep it below Last Month's (March) Candle Low so < 26.50 Upside Potential is almost 3x🚀 and that too in an ETF (not an individual stock) With Risk⚠️ of just 25% at Max The Risk Reward for this Investment is FABULOUS😮✅ And it is on the same thesis of the Bull Run in Gold & Silver 🥇🥈 .............................. Check out my Related Ideas for the Bullish Call that I had put out for Silver and how it met its Target
AMEX:GDXLong
by T_Harth
SILVER- Inverted Head and Shoulders Breakout BUY!Attached: XAGUSD Daily Chart as of 17th March 2023 Price closed up 4.20% on Friday with a Bullish Marubozu Candle At the same time also triggering a Bullish Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern Breakout Action Plan as follows: Buy triggered with Friday's Closing✅ Stop Loss⚠️ below 21.25 Upside Target🎯= 25 + (which is also the measured move of the IHNS Pattern) Silver has to catch up📈 with Gold as the Precious Metals Bull Run unfolds amidst a Banking Crisis, High Inflation and Rising Interest Rates
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by T_Harth
Gold buyers run out of fuel ahead of US NFPBe it the Doji candlestick just beneath the 10-week-old ascending resistance line or the overbought RSI (14), Gold Price flashes clear signs of bullish exhaustion. The bears, however, need validation from the monthly support line, close to $1,981, as well as the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Also acting as the downside filter is February’s high of around $1,960 and the late March swing low of around $1,938. Following that, the metal’s south run towards the 100-DMA and the 200-DMA, respectively near $1,861 and $1,787, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, Gold price recovery needs a successful break of the aforementioned multi-day-old resistance line, close to $2,035. In a case where the bullion manages to cross the $2,035 hurdle and gains support from downbeat US employment numbers, its run-up towards the previous yearly high surrounding $2,070 can’t be ruled out. Should the quote remains strong past $2,070, the record high marked in 2020 around $2,075 appears the last defense of the bears. Overall, Gold losses bullish momentum ahead of the key event, suggesting a notable pullback in prices should the scheduled US employment numbers trigger the US Dollar run-up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal