Will GOLD Hold the Key Suppor? Watching for a Push Toward 4195Gold continues to trade within a tight intraday range. The 4180–4175 area is acting as a solid support zone, with buyers consistently stepping in on dips. On the upper side, supply remains active around 4200–4196, keeping price capped for now.
As long as Gold holds above the 4175–4180 support region, there is a reasonable probability of another attempt toward the 4195 level. A clean push above 4196 could open the door for buyers to retest 4200 and potentially higher. However, a breakdown below 4175 would invalidate this short-term bullish bias.
📌 Key Levels
Support: 4180–4175
Resistance / Supply: 4196–4200
Upside Target: 4195+
📈 Bias: Mildly bullish above 4175; neutral-to-bearish if broken.
⛔ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage risk and trade based on your own analysis.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold
Gold Stuck in Consolidation Ahead of FOMCGold just trading in sideways right now, stuck between 4,175 and 4,200 while everyone waits on tomorrow's FOMC. Current price around 4,194 is basically dead center of this range classic indecision. Nobody wants to make a move until Powell speaks.
Technically, it's pretty straightforward. If we push higher, there's resistance sitting at 4,240 4,255 that's been holding back rallies all week. On the flip side, a break below here targets the 4,100-4,120 support area .
The 25bp cut is basically a done deal. What traders actually care about is what Powell says about next year. Is the Fed done after this, or are more cuts coming? That's the real question, and nobody knows the answer yet.
So we're stuck in this boring chop. Volume's light, moves get faded quickly, and it's just back and forth noise. Honestly, it's the kind of price action that kills your soul if you're trying to trade it. Better to sit tight and wait for the Fed to give us some actual direction. Could rip through 4,240 if Powell's dovish, or dump to 4,100 if he sounds hawkish. Until then, it's just a waiting game.
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Trap Liquidity or 4170 Spark Expansion?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (08/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold trades inside politically-driven liquidity as Donald Trump signals that the current method of tariffing through the US Supreme Court is “more direct, less cumbersome, and much faster.”
This introduces fresh uncertainty for USD flows, increasing short-term volatility across commodities.
Expect engineered sweeps on both sides as institutions react to policy-sensitive sentiment shifts.
On H1, price compresses between premium supply (4230–4232) and discount demand (4170–4168).
A confirmed MSS + BOS + displacement is required before any directional leg becomes valid.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase: Liquidity-rich compression inside a minor bullish channel
Key Idea: Sweeps first, real move later
Liquidity Zones & Triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162
Bias shifts only via structural break + clean displacement.
Expected Institutional Sequence:
sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240
Rules:
✔ Price taps 4231–4232 → bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15
✔ BOS down + strong displacement candle
✔ Entry on bearish FVG fill / supply OB retest
Targets:
1. 4200
2. 4185
3. 4170
🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162
Rules:
✔ Sweep below 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH
✔ BOS up + displacement from discount
✔ Entry on FVG fill or refined OB retest
Targets:
1. 4186
2. 4210
3. 4230 – 4232
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Headlines may induce fake sweeps; do not pre-commit without BOS + displacement
• No averaging inside compression
• SLs must sit at structural invalidation
• Reduce risk during tariff-related spikes
📍 Summary
Today’s playbook offers two institutional paths:
• 4231 sweep → bearish MSS → BOS → retest → delivery into 4170
or
• 4169 sweep → bullish MSS → BOS → retest → expansion back toward 4230+
Trade confirmations only.
Let gold show its hand — patience is your edge. ⚡️
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
XAUUSD: The Bullish Pennant That Could Trigger the Next RallyHello everyone, what is your take on XAUUSD right now?
The 2 hour chart is becoming quite interesting. Price action is shaping a clean bullish pennant, a pattern that often suggests the market is building pressure for its next major move. After completing its corrective pullback, XAUUSD is beginning to show signs that buyers may be preparing to re-enter and push the trend higher again.
If momentum returns, my outlook targets a break above 4265, followed by an extension toward 4430. This zone aligns perfectly with the Fibonacci 1.618 projection, which adds strong confluence to the bullish scenario.
Share your thoughts and your targets in the comments. I would love to hear how you are interpreting this setup.
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed WeekXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed Week: prioritize Sell at VAH, Buy only when reaching discount price area
1. Market snapshot
On H1, gold retested last week's peak and then dropped immediately, indicating that buying pressure at high price levels remains cautious – investors are not ready to "chase the price."
The current structure does not clearly show a long-term trend, but in the short term, there are signs of distribution around high price levels, favorable for selling scenarios according to Volume Profile.
Today, Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell after the price fills the FVG and touches the VAH, while also preparing a Buy scenario at a lower area if the market sweeps liquidity strongly.
2. Volume Profile & price structure
The VAH area around 4,233–4,235 coincides with the FVG area above:
This is where large volumes were previously traded, making it easy for profit-taking/sell-off forces to appear.
Below, the sell-side liquidity levels are spread around 4,200 – 4,175 – 4,140, coinciding with the lows of previous sessions.
The area 4,172–4,175 is a good balance zone for the Buy scenario: below it is a cluster of liquidity and just above a broader Buy zone around 4,140 on the chart.
3. Trading plan for this week
Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority)
Entry Sell: 4,233–4,235 (VAH + FVG)
SL: 4,241
TP1: 4,215
TP2: 4,200
TP3: 4,175
TP4: 4,140
Idea: wait for the price to fill the FVG and touch the VAH, observe the H1/M15 candle reaction. If there is a clear rejection signal (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…), activate the Sell order. This is a short-term play, based on volume & liquidity, not a chase sell when the price is in the middle of the zone.
Scenario 2 – Buy when the price reaches the discount area
Entry Buy: 4,172–4,175
SL: 4,165
TP1: 4,195
TP2: 4,220
TP3: 4,245
TP4: 4,290
Idea: if the price is strongly sold off sweeping through the sell-side liquidity areas, the area 4,172–4,175 can become a good demand zone to catch the rebound, especially when a nice candle reaction appears on H1. This is a "catch the rebound" buy position in the context of this Fed week, requiring disciplined SL.
4. Macro context – Why is the market hesitant?
Last Friday, gold jumped to 4,260 USD and then quickly fell to 4,200 USD, mainly due to the sharp rise in US bond yields as the market awaited the Fed meeting.
Although the market still prices in a high probability of the Fed cutting 25 bps, sentiment is divided by the "hawkish rate cut" scenario:
The Fed cuts but maintains a tough tone on inflation → yields are unlikely to fall deeply, gold is easily sold at high levels.
USD maintains its range, US economic data is relatively stable, causing money flows to "not dare to all-in" on gold before the dot-plot and Powell's speech.
Therefore, this week is the Fed's week: the short-term direction of gold will depend heavily on the policy message, especially the expected reduction path for next year.
Follow to receive the earliest articles from Brian
Why Gold Hits Your SL🌟 Why Gold Hits Your SL 😭💛📈
Gold is one of the most aggressive and volatile assets in the market — and if you’ve ever wondered “Why does gold ALWAYS hit my stop-loss before moving in my direction?”, this post explains the real reason.
Let’s break it down clearly 👇
🔶 1. Gold Loves Liquidity — Not Levels 💦💰
Gold doesn’t move based on your support/resistance lines.
It moves based on liquidity, meaning:
Where traders place stop-losses ❌
Where pending orders sit 🎯
Where large institutions want to fill positions 🏦
Your SL is simply sitting where everyone else puts theirs, which makes it prime liquidity.
🔶 2. XAUUSD Spikes Are Designed to Collect Orders ⚡💥
Gold often creates sudden:
Wicks
Fake breakouts
Quick pumps or dumps
Sharp candle spikes
These moves are NOT random — they’re engineered to:
🔸 Trigger stop-losses
🔸 Activate pending buy/sell orders
🔸 Grab liquidity before the real move
This is why your SL gets hit by $1–$3 before price completely reverses.
🔶 3. Gold Moves Session-by-Session 🕒🌍
Gold behaves differently depending on the time of day:
Asia session → Slow, tight range
London session → First big manipulation
New York session → Volatility explosion + real direction
Most SL hunts take place when London opens or when NY session begins ⚠️🔥
🔶 4. Clean Highs & Lows = SL Magnets 🧲📌
Gold LOVES attacking:
Previous day’s high/low
Asian range high/low
London session extremes
Double tops & bottoms
Round numbers (like 4000 / 4050 / 4100)
These areas hold thousands of stop-losses.
So before gold takes a real direction — it sweeps them first. 🏹😈
🔶 5. The Classic Gold Pattern: Trap → Reversal → Expansion 🔁🚀
Most XAUUSD moves follow this sequence:
1️⃣ Sweep liquidity 😭
2️⃣ Fake breakout 😈
3️⃣ Sharp rejection 👋
4️⃣ Real trend begins 🚀
If you’ve ever seen price:
Break a level
Wick hard
Then reverse the entire move
That’s gold performing a liquidity grab.
🔶 6. How To Avoid Getting Stopped Out ✔️
Here’s what actually helps:
🌟 A. Don’t put SL exactly at obvious levels
Move it beyond common liquidity zones.
🌟 B. Wait for the sweep before entering
Let gold perform the trap first.
🌟 C. Trade reaction — not prediction
Look for re-entry after the wick forms.
🌟 D. Use sessions to your advantage
Avoid placing SL right before London/NY opens.
🌟 Final Words
Gold isn’t hunting you —
it’s hunting liquidity.
Your job is simple:
👉 Stop placing stops where everyone else does
👉 Let gold sweep liquidity first
👉 Then catch the real move
Trade smarter, not tighter. 💛⚡
Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent.
On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes
Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160
Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation.
Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252
Rules:
✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15)
✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement
✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement
Targets:
1. 4200 – 4190
2. 4182 – 4176
3. 4170 – 4168
🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160
Rules:
✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up
✔ Displacement candle away from discount
✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm
Targets:
1. 4186
2. 4210
3. 4242+
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent
• No averaging inside compression
• SL = structural invalidation only
• Reduce size during headline-driven spikes
📍 Summary
Two institutional paths today:
• 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170
or
• 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+
Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone
1. Market snapshot
On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur.
The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control.
In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points.
2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note
Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart):
This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest.
When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction.
Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move.
Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week.
3. Trading scenario for next week
Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area
Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys.
Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area.
Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below.
Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week.
Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement
If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure:
Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support).
The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend.
In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom.
4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold
Central banks are increasing gold purchases:
In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022.
This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed.
This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold.
Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions.
5. Risk management suggestions
Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy.
Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
Gold Market Flow Points Toward Higher LevelsGold Market Flow Points Toward Higher Levels
Gold continues to display a controlled upward trajectory characterized by steady accumulation and orderly price expansion. The recent sessions show a consistent pattern of demand absorption, where each corrective phase is met with renewed buyer engagement, preventing deeper retracements. This suggests that the market remains comfortably positioned within a bullish environment, supported by ongoing interest from medium-term participants.
Price flow has transitioned away from the aggressive liquidation seen earlier in the month and is now driven by a more balanced rotation between buyers and short-term profit-takers. Despite this rotation, the dominant pressure remains upward, as visible through the repeated failure of sellers to extend declines. Momentum flows indicate that buyers are gradually reclaiming lost ground after every corrective cycle, signaling stable confidence in higher valuations.
Market behavior also reflects a pattern where liquidity beneath short-term swing points is routinely harvested before upward expansion resumes. This action shows that deeper market participants continue to optimize entry points by collecting orders during brief moments of weakness. Once these orders are filled, price rapidly rotates back upward, revealing that underlying demand remains unshaken.
Current positioning suggests that Gold is in a preparation phase for another expansion leg. Price is stabilizing in a compression zone where volatility temporarily narrows before a directional drive. Historically, such compression within an established upward environment often precedes continuation, especially when buyers demonstrate willingness to defend even shallow pullbacks.
Gold 1H – 4262 Sweep Drop or 4188 Hold the Floor?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (03/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading into policy-driven liquidity engineering as former White House adviser Kevin Hassett gains renewed spotlight after public commentary from former U.S. President Donald Trump referencing potential Federal Reserve leadership influence. Expect sharp liquidity sweeps both sides before institutions commit.
Technically, H1 price coils between premium and discount extremes, and the next leg unlocks only after MSS (CHoCH) + BOS + displacement validation.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes
Liquidity zones & key triggers
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275
Institutional idea: sweep above premium → bearish MSS + valid BOS down → FVG/OB retest → delivery into discount.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176
Institutional idea: sweep below discount → bullish MSS + BOS up → FVG/OB retest → demand expansion.
• 🟡 Equilibrium / Chop: no trading unless structure proves intent.
Expected sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion
🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones)
🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275
Rules:
✔ Price taps 4266 zone → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15)
✔ Confirm clean bearish BOS down with displacement
✔ Enter on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement
Targets:
1. 4245 – 4240
2. 4225 – 4215
3. 4186 – 4184
🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176
Rules:
✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up
✔ Confirm displacement away from discount
✔ Enter on wick rejection + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation
Targets:
1. 4215
2. 4240
3. 4265+
⚠️ Risk Notes
• Both sweeps = traps until BOS + displacement proves intent.
• No averaging inside compression.
• SL = structure invalidation only.
• Reduce lot size during volatility spikes from headline risk.
📍 Summary
Two institutional routes today:
• 4266 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4185
or
• 4185 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into new 4266+
Trade the structure. Let price narrate intent. Patience = edge.
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+
Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry
Market snapshot
At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1.
The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area.
On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly.
Volume Profile & key price areas
The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys.
A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly.
Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term.
Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile)
Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend
Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile).
Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions.
Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order.
Immediate targets:
TP1: area 4,240–4,245
TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase".
If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle.
Defensive scenario – Deep support
If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch.
Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip".
Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported
Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave.
YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role.
Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening.
Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs.
The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.
Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened.
The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold.
Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel
Liquidity zones & key triggers
• Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone.
• Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone.
• Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks.
Expected Smart Money sequence
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288
• Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
• Price touches 4280 zone
• Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS
• Targets:
1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction)
2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest)
3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162
• Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
• Price dips into 4170 zone
• Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation
• Targets:
1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel)
2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel)
3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest)
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
• Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries.
• Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps.
• Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation.
• Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size.
Summary
Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg.
Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold 1H – Can 4265 Breakout or Trap Into 4185?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/12)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold recently surged — reflecting multi-week highs — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength and rate-cut odds have kept gold bid.
From a technical perspective, price sits compressed at the channel top, signaling liquidity plays before the next institutional leg. Macro tone from Powell’s opening remarks on ForexFactory adds volatility fuel.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel
Liquidity zones & key triggers
• Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~4265–4267 (upper-edge pool of liquidity)
• Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~4186–4184 (demand liquidity near prior displacement base)
• Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel compression → no blind trading unless structure validates direction
Expected Smart Money sequence
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → FVG/OB Retest → Expansion
Gold remains primed for a directional move only after structure confirms intent.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275
• Thesis: Liquidity sweep above equal highs at premium edge, followed by engineered bearish BOS confirming institutional selling intent.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
✔ Price pokes 4266 zone → bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down (M5–M15)
✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after BOS validation
• Targets:
1. 4245 – 4240 (first reaction)
2. 4225 – 4215 (channel EQ retest)
3. 4186 – 4184 (full delivery into discount)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176
• Thesis: Discount liquidity tap at institutional base, buy absorption after sweep + bullish BOS signaling new intraday demand.
• Entry rules (must wait for confirmation):
✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up (M5–M15)
✔ Entry on rejection wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation
• Targets:
4. 4215
5. 4240
6. 4265+
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
• Avoid trading inside mid-range without CHoCH/BOS validation — sweeps are traps until proven by MSS + BOS.
• Use SL for structure invalidation only — no averaging in compression.
• Reduce lot size during Powell’s delivery window; macro impulses can run both sides of liquidity fast.
📍 Summary
Gold is coiling at highs for liquidity. Either Powell triggers a 4266 sweep → bearish BOS → delivery, or price hunts 4185 discount → bullish BOS → continuation.
Trade the structure, not the narrative — wait for CHoCH & BOS + retest to unlock expansion.
📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – Daily & H4 Update | 03 Dec 2025Yesterday’s session delivered exactly the kind of two-way volatility we often see when a strong trend starts to lose momentum. Gold opened with early selling pressure, dropped sharply, and filled the bullish Fair Value Gap (between roughly 4170–4200 before finding buyers. The 4200 psychological round number held firm as dynamic support, and more importantly, yesterday’s daily candle closed comfortably above it, a clear sign that bulls are still defending this zone aggressively for now.However, the broader context remains cautionary. As highlighted yesterday, we printed a very narrow Central Pivot Range positioned near the top of the recent range. Price ultimately closed below this CPR, which is typically a bearish development and suggests the aggressive bullish momentum we saw through November is fading, at least in the short term.Current Technical Structure
Immediate resistance cluster sits at 4245-50. A convincing H4 close above 4230 (Fib level for recent drop) would be the first meaningful sign of renewed bullish strength.
The real confirmation of trend continuation comes only with a decisive break and daily close above 4245–4250 (R1 and the recent range high). Until that happens, the path of least resistance leans lower within this ascending channel.
Key Levels to Watch TodayBullish scenario Hold above 4230 → potential retest of 4250–60
H4 close > 4230 → opens 4245–4250 and possibly 4280 (R2)
Daily close > 4245 → resumes the broader uptrend targeting 4300+
Bearish scenario Failure to sustain today’s CPR (4198–4203) on an intraday basis increases downside risk
Break and close below 4198–4200 → high-probability move toward Previous Day Low ~4165
Loss of 4165 exposes S2 ~4130 and potentially the lower levels
Summary & Bias As long as 4200 hold, the structural uptrend remains valid . That said, the narrow-top CPR, repeated failure at 4245–4250, and yesterday’s close below CPR all point to waning momentum. base case for the next 24–48 hours is continued range-bound/two-way action between 4165–4250 unless we get a clear daily close outside of this zone. A sustained break below 4198–4200 would shift near-term bias to bearish with 4165 and 4130 as logical downside targets. Conversely, bulls need to reclaim and hold 4230+ quickly to keep the November uptrend alive.
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will Bulls Break Through or FadeGold is currently trading around 4,217, , as bulls continue to struggle with a persistent resistance zone that has proven difficult to crack. .
The $4,240-4,250 level has emerged as a significant ceiling for gold price, repeatedly rejecting bullish advances over recent sessions. Multiple attempts by buyers to establish a foothold above this area have been met with aggressive selling pressure, creating major resistance for the current rally.
The repeated failures at this level suggest strong conviction from bears defending this zone.
Today's Central Pivot Range (CPR) formation presents a narrow range, which historically signals an imminent volatility expansion.
A narrow CPR often acts as a coiled spring the tighter the compression, the more explosive the eventual breakout. This technical setup demands heightened attention to risk management and position sizing.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
The ascending trendline (black diagonal) provides dynamic support
Bullish Order Block: $4,170-4,200 zone
Bullish Case:
A convincing breakout and close above 4,250 would invalidate the recent resistance and likely trigger stops from short sellers, potentially fueling a rapid move toward the R2 level at $4,290. The key word here is "sustain" we need to see buyers hold gains above resistance, not just spike through momentarily.
Bearish/Consolidation Case:
Failure to breach 4,250 could lead to profit-taking and a drift back toward the $4,200 level. A break below the ascending trendline would be a more significant warning sign, potentially opening the door to a test of the $4,170-4,200 order block. Loss of this support zone could accelerate selling toward $4,150.
Breakout traders: Wait for a decisive close above $4,250 with strong volume before entering long positions, targeting $4,275-4,300
Range traders: Look for mean reversion plays within the $4,200-4,240 range
Trend followers: Watch for trendline support holds for continuation long entries
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it.
The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine."
On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine."
Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators.
This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Trying to catch TOP is like chasing your crush# Here are the key factors currently supporting gold:
Momentum remains bullish:
#GOLD has gained as markets increasingly price in a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Gold continues to be regarded as a safe-haven and hedge asset. Amid economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and sustained demand from central banks and investors, gold retains its primary drivers.
# Here are the key technical levels to watch over the next month:
According to recent chart data:
The immediate support region is approximately $4,110–$4,010, which serves as a pivot zone. A break below this level could lead to further downside toward $3,817–$3,683.
On the upside, a breakout above $4,282–$4,325 could pave the way for a move toward $4,450–$4,550.
Target-6
If the current bullish momentum persists and supportive fundamental conditions remain in place, gold may target the level marked as 6 on the chart.
#Here are the factors most likely to influence the movement of XAU/USD in the near future:
1. U.S. interest rates and Federal Reserve policy.
2. U.S. economic data and inflation figures.
3. Strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar: Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar typically supports higher gold prices.
4. Geopolitical risk and global uncertainty: Global instability, trade tensions, or major macroeconomic concerns often drive investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset.
Conclusion
Gold will remain strong as long as key support levels hold and market sentiment remains favorable. With momentum in its favor, any dips are likely to present buying opportunities, while a clean breakout could initiate the next leg higher.
~ Disclaimer ~
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context
Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory
4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion.
Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
SL: 4130
TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+
Rationale:
• Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf
• Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep
🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247
SL: 4255
TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning.
• Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers).
• Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed.
Summary
Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility.
Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins.
🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts.
Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity.
Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction.
Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020.
• The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops.
• A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution.
• The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation.
• Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction.
🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008
SL: 4000
TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220
Rationale:
• Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity
• Confluence of demand + structural mitigation
• High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion
🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227
SL: 4235
TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction
• Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries.
• Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop.
✅ Summary
Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion.
Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups.
Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation.
🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion.
What Smart Money desks are targeting today:
• Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias
• Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs
• Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning
• CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move
The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region).
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase
Liquidity map highlighted zones:
• Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap)
• Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry)
• Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced)
• Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation)
Expected sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222
Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS
Targets:
1. 4200 (first reaction)
2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone)
3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium)
4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143
Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price sweeps into 4163 pool
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation
Targets:
1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone
2. 4200+ institutional expansion target
3. 4212+ premium revisit
⚠️ Risk Management
• Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced
• Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps
• SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation
• Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms
📝 Summary
Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either:
• Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest,
or
• Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+
Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – Ascending Channel in Play, Upside Target Towards 4,240
Brian – Focusing on buying the dip, watching for short setups near upper resistance
Market overview & structure
On the H4 chart, gold is moving neatly inside a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. The current leg is pointing towards the 4,237–4,240 region, which aligns with:
The upper boundary of the channel.
A key resistance zone.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension and resting liquidity above recent highs.
This keeps the broader bias bullish, but as price approaches 4,240, the probability of profit-taking and short-term selling pressure naturally increases.
Wave & technical context
The current move is an extension of the previous bullish structure after price broke out of the old bearish channel and started to consolidate in a new bullish one.
Liquidity levels around 4,193 and above suggest that the market has been building positions and has room to drive price into higher resistance.
The buy zone highlighted near the lower boundary of the channel, around 4,154–4,157, is where buyers are likely to step back in to defend the trend.
As long as price holds above 4,150–4,154, the scenario of a continuation towards 4,240 remains the higher-probability path.
Key zones & trading plan
Primary scenario – Buy with the trend inside the channel
Buy zone: 4,154–4,157 (channel support + marked buy zone).
Idea: Wait for a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, or a brief liquidity sweep into this zone, followed by a clear rejection candle on H1/H4 before entering long.
Targets:
Short-term: 4,190–4,200 (mid-channel / interim liquidity).
Extended: 4,237–4,240 (major resistance + 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
This is a trend-following “buy the dip” setup suitable for swing or short-term positional traders.
Secondary scenario – Short-term sell from 4,237–4,240
Sell zone: 4,237–4,240 – the confluence of strong resistance and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Idea: If price tags this zone and shows clear rejection (long wicks, bearish reversal pattern on H1/M15), it may offer a counter-trend short back towards the mid-channel or 4,190–4,200 support.
This is a short-term, counter-trend idea, so:
Position size should be smaller than the main long setup.
Stop loss should be kept tight above 4,240 and not dragged wider out of emotion.
News & broader context
Liquidity conditions may thin out towards the end of the day due to the ongoing Thanksgiving holiday period in the US, which can lead to sudden spikes and stop hunts, especially around obvious liquidity pools.
On the political side, headlines such as Mr. Trump’s comments about “permanently suspending immigration from third-world countries” add to general policy uncertainty, but the impact on gold is mostly indirect through broader risk sentiment.
Another interesting point: silver has been rallying strongly, supported by solar-energy demand and supply concerns. It is acting like a “silent workhorse”, attracting fresh capital. This does not remove gold’s role, but shows that precious metals as a whole are gaining attention.
Strategy & risk management
For now, my focus remains on buying dips around 4,154–4,157 in line with the ascending channel, and only looking for short, tactical sell setups if price clearly rejects 4,237–4,240.
I prefer to avoid entering fresh trades when US liquidity is very thin or right into major holiday sessions, as spreads can widen and price action can become erratic.
Once price closes decisively below the buy zone and breaks the channel structure, this bullish plan loses validity, and it is better to step aside and reassess rather than forcing trades.
What do you think – does this channel still favour the bulls, or are you expecting a deeper correction from the 4,240 region? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
GOLD XAU/USD – Testing Supply Zone! Possible Pullback SetupGold extended its bullish momentum but is now showing signs of exhaustion as it tests the 4190–4200 supply zone, where price has reacted previously.
I’ll be watching for potential short opportunities near 4185, as long as 4194 remains a protective upside barrier.
If sellers step in, possible downside targets are:
🔽 4178
🔽 4172
🔽 4168
Structure remains valid as long as the 4194 zone holds. A breakout above may invalidate the pullback idea and open the door for further bullish continuation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan.
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