XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
Golddaily
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025
Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further.
The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken.
📅 Key News Events Today:
🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
📉 US Unemployment Rate
🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes
🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams
🧾 Initial Jobless Claims
⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis
🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority
✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032
🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027
🎯 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 4039
TP2: 4047
TP3: 4059
💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend.
🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy
📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095
🛡 SL: 4098
🎯 TP:
TP1: 4088
TP2: 4077
TP3: 4060
TP4: 4033
💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news.
🔑 Key Price Zones
Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032
→ Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held.
Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111
→ The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise.
Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140
→ The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed.
✅ Strategy Conclusion
🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032.
🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone.
🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs.
Recent Drivers
USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve
Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning
Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures
Session Outlook
London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones
New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character)
Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence
Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085
Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081
Liquidity Levels
BSL: Above 4147 & 4081
SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993
Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders
Imbalances
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells
Minor imbalance: 4081
Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation)
4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone
This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity.
Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply.
4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected
A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts.
Often triggers sharp intraday reversals.
4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand
This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below.
Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys.
3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base
A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure.
Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell
Entry: 4148–4147
Stoploss: 4126
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4079–4081
Stoploss: 4087
TP1: 4065
TP2: 4048
TP3: 4033
Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stoploss: 4027
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4070
Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stoploss: 3987
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4070
Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities
Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY
Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones
Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081.
Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals.
Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes.
Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
XAUUSD – Battle Zones of the Day🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of compressed volatility, where price tapped both buy-side and sell-side liquidity several times without forming a decisive trend. On the M30 chart, the intraday structure remains bearish, with price consistently rejecting premium levels and forming lower highs.
Recent Catalysts:
USD holds mild strength following a slightly hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve
Market is awaiting mid-week economic releases → leading to a cautious sentiment
Risk appetite remains neutral with no strong safe-haven flows
Session Expectations:
London Session: Likely to generate early liquidity sweeps towards premium zones
New York Session: Higher probability of seeing genuine directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday unless price reaches discount zones and forms a CHoCH
Price is currently trading within mid-range levels, making the extreme liquidity zones the safest points for execution.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure
M30 structure: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4075–4085
Inducement layers accumulating above 4147 and 4070
Liquidity
BSL: Above 4147 & 4070
SSL: Below 4033 and the deeper pocket at 3993
Market forming engineered liquidity wicks on both sides
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → strong scalp sell zone
Minor imbalance: 4070–4071
Discount imbalances: 4033 and 3993 support buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Attractive Explanations)
4148–4147 → Premium Liquidity Trap – Ideal Scalp Sell
A premium zone combining an unmitigated bearish order block and BSL inducement.
This area often triggers breakout buyers before institutions reverse the move.
4071–4070 → Secondary Premium Liquidity – Fast Rejection Zone
A small liquidity pool above equilibrium designed to sweep early highs before price turns bearish again.
4035–4033 → Discount Reaction Zone – Scalping Demand
A micro order block aligned with a cluster of sell-side liquidity.
Provides clean, low-drawdown intraday rebounds.
3995–3993 → Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Value Reversal Zone
A major liquidity pocket aligned with higher-timeframe discounts.
If price reaches here, a strong reversal is highly probable.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven, High Precision)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Scalp
Entry: 4148–4147
Stop-loss: 4126
Targets: 4135 → 4120 → 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + FVG fill leading to strong bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4071–4070
Stop-loss: 4077
Targets: 4058 → 4043 → 4033
Logic: Sweep of mini BSL followed by downward displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stop-loss: 4027
Targets: 4048 → 4070
Logic: SSL sweep with potential for a micro CHoCH → clean bounce setup.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stop-loss: 3987
Targets: 4010 → 4040 → 4070
Logic: Strong higher-timeframe discount zone → excellent reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid trading in mid-range areas — only execute at the extreme liquidity zones
Expect fake movements during London open
New York session likely provides the main trend direction
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation signals (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying around premium levels to stay clear of liquidity traps
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium-zone sell opportunities at 4147 and 4070.
Discount-zone levels at 4033 and 3993 remain high-probability areas for intraday bounces or deeper reversals.
Trade only at liquidity extremes.
Be patient.
Let the market form the trap — and then strike with precision.
GOLD: Big Pullback Loading Before a 4400 Rally?Bias: Bullish – Buy-the-Dip Strategy
Approach: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🌐 Market Context
Gold continues to show a strong recovery, maintaining a clear bullish structure across the H1, H4, and Daily timeframes.
Institutional order flow remains firmly on the buy-side as:
Liquidity on H1/H4 highs is being swept consistently
Pullbacks are respecting Demand Order Blocks (OBs)
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish continuation
However, the region 4280 – 4330 (FVG + major trap zone) has historically triggered strong distribution – making it a likely area for liquidity hunts and fake breakouts before any corrective move.
🎯 Key Price Levels
🔴 Resistance Zones (Potential Distribution Areas)
4274 – 4295
4330 – 4345 (FVG + Biggest Trap Zone)
Expect volatility and sharp reactions here – suitable for partial profit-taking, not for chasing buy entries.
🟢 Support / Buy Zones (Institutional Demand Areas)
1️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Shallow Pullback (High Probability)
Entry: 4170 – 4190 (H4 OB + BOS retest)
SL: Below 4170
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
➡️ This is today’s primary setup. Requires clear bullish confirmation on entry.
2️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Deep Pullback (High R:R Setup)
Entry: 4100 – 4120 (Deep OB + liquidity sweep level)
SL: Below 4100
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
➡️ Best scenario if the market retraces deeply — exceptional Risk:Reward.
📉 Why Selling Is Not a Priority
Despite resistance overhead, the market remains:
Bullish in structure
Supported by demand zones
Without a confirmed Market Structure Shift (MSS) → Bearish BOS
Therefore, selling remains counter-trend and not part of the main trading plan today.
📈 Institutional Technical Outlook (H1/H4)
1. Price approaching 4280 – 4330 trap zone
Expect:
Liquidity sweeps
Wick-driven false breakouts
Short-term corrections back into OB before continuing upwards
2. Liquidity Map
4170 liquidity pool below current price → likely target for engineered pullback
4300 – 4350 equal highs → attractive upside draw for smart money
🧠 Professional Trade Plan Summary
✔️ Do not chase breakouts near resistance
✔️ Wait for price to retrace into:
4170 – 4190
4100 – 4120
✔️ Main targets:
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
✔️ At TP1:
Secure 50%
Move SL to Break-Even
✔️ Plan invalidation if price closes below 4100
📌 Notes for Large-Capital Traders (UK/EU)
Today’s environment is ideal for high-quality, low-frequency entries at institutional demand zones.
Avoid buying at highs; patience will deliver the best setups.
This plan follows a clean institutional trend-following methodology — suitable for accounts prioritising consistency and low drawdown.
📊 Daily Bias: Strong BUY
⏳ Waiting for pullback towards 4170 – 4190 or 4100 – 4120
🚀 Targeting 4360 – 4400 over the next sessions
GOLD - Breakout / Swept High appear - Where to BUY ? 🟡 OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Daily Plan – September 19, 2025
1. Market Overview
Price is consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after forming a short-term bearish structure.
On H1, several supply & demand zones are highlighted:
Liquidity Buy Zone around 3640 (potential demand).
Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The overall higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, but in the short term, the market is retesting liquidity areas.
2. Key Levels & Zones
Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → key support.
Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
Longer-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (trend-aligned)
Wait for price to retest Liquidity Buy zone 3640 – 3645.
If reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing, etc.), consider opening Long.
Targets:
Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (HH).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
If price retraces into Sell Scalp Zone 3670 – 3680 and shows strong rejection → Short scalp opportunity.
Target: 3640 – 3645.
Note: Short trades are counter-trend, so manage quickly.
4. Trade Management Notes
Prioritize Longs from support zones since the higher-timeframe trend is still bullish.
Shorts should only be seen as short-term scalp opportunities near resistance.
Risk management: limit to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding against the main trend.
📌 Conclusion: XAUUSD is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance area. A successful breakout could target 3700+. Otherwise, the market is likely to revisit 3640 before launching the next bullish leg.





