Gold Prices Surge, Eyeing the $2,800 MilestoneToday, global gold prices have continued their impressive rally, with spot gold reaching $2,716.33/ounce, up nearly $46.7 (+1.75%) compared to the previous day. This marks one of the strongest gains in recent weeks, pushing gold to its highest level since early November.
Key Drivers Behind Gold's Rally
Safe-Haven Demand:
Heightened global economic uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions have driven investors toward gold as a reliable store of value. The renewed optimism around gold's role as a safe haven has significantly boosted demand.
Loose Monetary Policies:
Central banks, especially the Federal Reserve (Fed), are maintaining low interest rates, reducing the appeal of yield-based assets such as bonds while enhancing gold's attractiveness.
Weakening US Dollar:
A softer US Dollar has made gold more appealing to investors using other currencies, further driving its upward momentum.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, gold has broken through the key resistance zone at $2,660-$2,670/ounce and is now targeting the next level at $2,787/ounce. This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, with potential for further gains if the price sustains its upward trajectory. The nearest support zone lies around $2,656-$2,660/ounce, which could act as a retest level before another potential push higher.
Should gold surpass the $2,787/ounce mark, it may move toward $2,800/ounce and beyond, signaling the start of a new bullish cycle. However, a minor correction could occur as the price approaches key resistance zones.
Outlook
Backed by strong fundamental and technical factors, gold appears poised for continued growth. However, traders should closely monitor the $2,787/ounce level, as it serves as a critical resistance point that could determine the next direction for prices.
As gold shines brighter on the financial markets toward the year’s end, will it break the $2,800/ounce milestone and carve its place in history? Stay tuned!
Goldidea
Gold Rally Nears Key ResistanceSpot gold rose by $21.1 to $2,669.5/ounce, while gold futures climbed $23.5 to $2,672.5/ounce. This marks the fourth consecutive session of gains, reaching its highest level in over a week, driven by strong safe-haven demand.
Key drivers include Nvidia's gloomy revenue forecast, escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and the U.S. veto of a UN Security Council resolution on a ceasefire in Gaza. These factors have shifted investor interest towards gold as a safe-haven asset amidst growing uncertainties.
Notably, gold prices have surged by 4% this week, the best weekly performance since April, rebounding from the sharpest drop in three years. Personally, I believe the next target is breaking the $2,700/ounce resistance level, potentially paving the way for further gains.
What about you? Do you think gold will conquer this critical milestone?
Gold Faces Steady Decline Amid USD Strength and Fed ExpectationsGold closed the week with relatively stable movements, trading around $2,563 with a slight recovery, though the overall trend remains bearish. Despite minimal changes in price, gold stayed near its two-month low as the U.S. dollar continued its strong rally.
The robust performance of the dollar and reduced expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have pressured gold, leading to its worst weekly performance in over three years. The precious metal struggled to gain traction amidst these headwinds.
Looking ahead, the gold market could face further challenges. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs may drive inflation higher, potentially slowing down the Fed's rate-cutting cycle. Rising interest rates make gold less attractive as investors turn to higher-yielding assets, leaving the metal at a disadvantage.
Gold Takes a Breather.. Retracement or Reversal?Price action between 2600 and 2750 will decide future of Gold, Whether it will continue to remain bullish or Witness a healthy correction.
Below 2750, 2600 will remain a decent possibility.
Sustaining Below 2600 will open Doors to 2400.
See You out of the Range Again
Gold Price Tests Key Support Amid Downward MomentumThe current gold price is testing support around $2,560, reflecting a downward trend that began after reaching recent highs. The resistance at $2,607 has proven resilient, contributing to the bearish sentiment as prices struggle to regain momentum.
If gold fails to establish a reversal pattern above this support level, we could see further declines toward the next key support zone around $2,480. This area is highlighted as a potential bounce-back region, where buyers might re-enter the market. However, any recovery will need to break above the previous resistance to shift the trend back to a bullish stance.
Gold Prices Drop Amid Strong Dollar SurgeGlobal gold prices have seen a sharp decline, with spot gold dropping by $24.7 to $2,597.9 per ounce, marking the lowest level in nearly two months.
This downward trend reflects the pressure from a robust recovery of the US dollar, as the US Dollar Index has climbed to its highest level in four months. This strength in the dollar makes gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.
In my view, the strengthening USD is a primary factor putting pressure on gold prices, especially as the inverse relationship between gold and the dollar has re-emerged strongly following the US presidential election. Potential policies from President-elect Donald Trump could benefit the USD, with US interest rates likely remaining high for an extended period—a scenario that is generally unfavorable for gold.
Gold Analysis October 10Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers on Thursday and now appear to have snapped a six-day losing streak to a near three-week low around the $2,605-2,604 region tested the previous day. However, the rally lacked bullish conviction and is likely to run out of steam amid growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong gains to an eight-week high and will act as a drag on the non-yielding yellow metal.
Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of key US consumer inflation figures later in the North American session. The important US CPI report could influence expectations for the size of the Fed rate cut next month, which would boost demand for USD and provide some meaningful impetus to Gold prices. In addition, developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East will be looked at to capture short-term opportunities around the safe-haven precious metal.
Technical Analysis
The price range to watch for CPI trading strategies. The upper price range of 2626 and 2638 became one of the first major SELL zones in the Asian session yesterday. The 2638-2640 area is the critical zone of the EMA.
The lower price range is focused on the US session around 2605 and the important breakout zone of 2594 will be notable in today's US session. This short-term downtrend is not over yet as the gold price has not been able to close the day above the 263x area. Wishing everyone a successful trading.
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal.
With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal.
Technical analysis
Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545
SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618
BUY attention zone 2565-2545
Gold analysis September 11Fundamental Analysis The steady rise continued throughout the early part of the European session and took the commodity to a fresh weekly high, with buyers now looking to build on the upside momentum beyond the $2,525-2,526 supply zone. The US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on the gains recorded over the past three days and withdrawn from the monthly top amid dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a weaker risk-on sentiment in general has prompted some safe-haven flows and lifted Gold closer to its all-time high in the last hour. However, bulls may refrain from positioning for any further upside moves and prefer to pause ahead of the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The key US CPI report will play a key role in investigating market expectations on the size of the Fed's September rate cut and determine the next leg of the directional move for the precious metal.
Technical Analysis Gold's push to 2529 in European trading promises a breakout of all-time highs early today. The current key zone around 2529 in European trading could push prices back to 2540. The top is a push to the psychological port zone which is also the Fibonacci level of 2555. Contrary, if 2029 fails to break, prices could soon push to the 2517 zone before the CPI data and also the US session. and revisit the 2495 support zone and 2555 resistance when the news is released. because if the news pushes up, there will be no good entry to sell until the 2540 and 2555 areas.
Resistance above: 2535 - 2540 - 2550-2555…
Support: 2512 - 2506 - 2499 - 2493 - 2485
SELL 2537 - 2529 Stoploss 2442
SELL 2554 - 2556 Stoploss 2559
BUY 2508 - 2506 Stoploss 2503
BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 2491
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks.
Technical Analysis
Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold.
Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x.
Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555
Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440
SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536
BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492
BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
Gold price fluctuation analysisFundamental Analysis
Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims have pushed back expectations of a deeper Federal Reserve rate cut in September, weighing on non-yielding gold. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal.
Investors will be closely watching US inflation data for further insight into the potential size of the Fed’s rate cut. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is estimated to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in July, up from 2.6% in June. A weaker-than-expected PCE reading could prompt the Fed to start a rate-cutting cycle, acting as a bullish catalyst for XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold is pushing higher in the European session ahead of an all-time high. If the resistance at 2525 is broken before the US session starts, we will see a new ATH around 2450. In the event that gold is pushed below 2525 and the US enters, it could push gold deeper into the current support at 2503-2494 as a hurdle ahead before heading towards 2485 to end a volatile Friday for gold.
Resistance: 2530 - 2535 - 2543 - 2550 - 2558 - 2568
Support: 2513 - 2505 - 2500 - 2494 - 2485 - 2472
SELL zone 2541 - 2543 stoploss 2547
SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554
BUY zone 2509 - 2507 stoploss 2503
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
GOLD UPDATE INTRADAY TODAY
#Gold Range Prediction from Today 23/08/2024 is as under.
Gold Spot : 2480$-2530$
Gold INR : 71200-72250
It must be remembered that price of precious metal depends on so many world wide factors like inflation, Fed interest rate, trade barrier, geopolitical tension, demand, supply, bond yield, dollar index , GDP, payroll data, CPI, currency fluctuation, debt ceiling , expected tax & duty changes, other commodity price crude oil etc. etc. and hence there can not be any accurate barometer of predicting precious metal price.
Gold INR has been calculated taking Gold Spot international price and converting the same assuming fixed Indian rupee rate. However, this is not accurate method as change in rupee value to dollar can substantially impact Gold INR price. Pl. note that price of commodity doesn't depend upon performence of company but depend upon performence of world economy, hence it is extremely risky to trade in commodities. Commodities market also become more volatile during contract expiry.
These are not a recommendation for buy or sell. This view is only for educational purpose. You are requested to consult your financial advisor before entering in to any trade.
GOLD INTRADAY UPDATE Gold Intraday buy / sell Startegi......
Buy near 71480 stop loss 71250
Target 71950......
Sell Startegi
Sell near 72200 stop loss 72370
Target 71900
Please Noted This market movement according Startegi update if full fil your range you can play ▶️ otherwise ignored...
Not important entry in rendomly.....
3th JULY GOLD PREDICTIONTrading Strategy for Gold
Sell Entry Point:
Entry Range: 2336 - 2340
Stop Loss (SL):
Above: 2340 (suggested precise level: 2342 to give some buffer for volatility)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 2330
TP2: 2325
TP3: 2320
Execution Plan
Market Analysis:
Trend: Sideways movement between 2320 - 2340.
Catalyst: Awaiting nonfarm payroll news this week.
Entry Strategy:
Sell Orders: Place sell orders within the 2336 - 2340 range.
Volume Allocation: Consider splitting your position into smaller orders to average into the range.
Stop Loss Management:
SL Placement: Set your stop loss above the 2340 level. A precise level like 2342 ensures some buffer against minor price fluctuations.
Take Profit Strategy:
TP1: Set for 2330 to secure partial profit.
TP2: Set for 2325 for further profit taking if the price continues to move down.
TP3: Final TP at 2320 to maximize profit if the price reaches the lower end of the range.
Risk Management:
Ensure your position size respects your risk management rules.
Avoid over-leveraging to manage potential volatility around the nonfarm payroll announcement.
Monitoring:
Stay updated with news and market sentiment leading up to the nonfarm payroll release.
Be prepared to adjust your strategy if there are significant market movements or news developments.
Summary
Sell at 2336-2340
Stop Loss: 2342
Take Profits: 2330 (TP1), 2325 (TP2), 2320 (TP3)
Gold price at the beginning of the week is very strong or riskyXauUSD is stronger on the weekend and closed higher than the opening day. BUT! The dollar is also strongly looking at the technical picture on the chart, we can see that some main factors are forming and an important area that can give us strong signals.
But, it is worth noting that the 1D chart. A discounted candle is formed on the chart, but a large candle has been formed on Friday, in which gold has very little chance to overcome this area and along with the price increase of the dollar. It is likely that adjustment will begin when we see the price breaking of strong resistance on the hourly time frame.
GOLD 08/06/2023 Bears have the upper handTVC:GOLD price seesaws around the intraday high as it prints slight gains after dropping the most in a week the previous day. Even so, TVC:GOLD remains indecisive on a weekly basis as markets struggle to find clear direction amid a blackout ahead of the Fed and mixed feelings on growth concerns Global.
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) flagged concerns about a weak global economic transition amid higher interest rates and spurred buyers of TVC:GOLD , especially after a rate hike surprise rates from central banks in Australia and Canada. However, the easing of concerns about the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike by 0.25% in June contrasts with the possibility of a rate hike in July to underpin the Gold Price rally towards the end. year.
SELL GOLD zone 1953 - 1955
Stop Loss : 1958
Take profit1 : 1948
Take profit 2: 1940
Take profit 3: 1935
Note: Installing TP SL fully wins the market and is safe in trading