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XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4312, Supply 4436XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, yet short-term price action shows pullback pressure after premium liquidity was elected near 4440. As markets brace for ongoing USD direction from macro catalysts (Fed commentary, U.S. jobs data, Treasury yields), institutional participation is oscillating between liquidity hunts and controlled re-accumulation. Global risk sentiment and safe-haven bids are intensifying as traders weigh inflation trajectory with central bank pivot expectations — leading Gold to exhibit rotational distribution behavior rather than clean continuation. Controlled swings and sweep-driven moves dominate price progression. This environment favors engineered liquidity access and inducement, not blind breakout chasing. Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish bias with short-term corrective displacement. Key Idea: Expect structural engagement near HTF demand (~4312–4314) or internal supply liquidity (~4434–4436) before meaningful displacement sequences. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains intact • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective leg • Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is targeted • Supply cluster near 4436 acts as engineered lure • Demand confluence aligns with institutional accumulation Liquidity Zones & Triggers • BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 • SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → internal supply retest → expansion Execution Rules BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulse candles ✔ Entry via refined demand OB or FVG fill Targets: • 4370 — initial displacement • 4410 — internal supply test • 4440+ — extended run if USD weakens SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply cluster ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH confluence ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4390 — first discount zone • 4350 — deeper pullback • 4314 — HTF demand scan Risk Notes • False breaks favored near thin Asian session volume • Macro catalysts (U.S. data, Fed speakers) may spike volatility • Avoid entries without MSS + BOS confirmations • Stops triggered by engineered liquidity hunts Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in disciplined entries and liquidity awareness: • A sweep into 4312–4314 may reload longs with targets up to 4410–4440, or • A reaction near 4434–4436 provides a fade opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity initiate the move. Let structure confirm. Smart Money sets traps — retail chases them. Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4325, Supply 4494🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects a premium-side liquidity operation rather than clean continuation. After a strong upside leg, price is now rotating inside premium where Smart Money typically distributes positions before initiating corrective delivery. Today’s focus revolves around USD strength, U.S. yield sensitivity, and ongoing Fed rate path speculation, with traders positioning ahead of upcoming U.S. macro releases and Fed commentary. As real yields fluctuate and risk sentiment remains fragile, Gold continues to attract safe-haven flows — but not without engineered pullbacks. This environment favors liquidity sweeps, false continuation, and inducement above highs, rather than impulsive breakout buying. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish structure with an active short-term corrective leg from premium. Key Idea: Expect Smart Money interaction either at internal supply (4492–4494) for distribution, or HTF demand (4327–4325) for re-accumulation before the next expansion. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains valid • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective rotation • Buy-side liquidity above highs has been partially tapped • Supply cluster at 4492–4494 acts as distribution zone • Demand zone at 4327–4325 aligns with OB + liquidity pool 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4327 – 4325 | SL 4317 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4492 – 4494 | SL 4500 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → OB/FVG retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4327 – 4325 | SL 4317 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Strong upside BOS with impulsive candles ✔ Entry via refined bullish OB or FVG mitigation Targets: • 4390 — initial displacement • 4450 — internal liquidity • 4490+ — premium retest if USD weakens 🔴 SELL GOLD 4492 – 4494 | SL 4500 Rules: ✔ Reaction into premium supply zone ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on lower timeframe ✔ Clear downside BOS confirming distribution ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4455 — first imbalance fill • 4395 — internal discount • 4327 — HTF demand sweep ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium zones favor fake breakouts and stop hunts • Volatility may spike around U.S. data and Fed remarks • No entries without MSS + BOS confirmation • Stops often triggered before real displacement 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in trading Smart Money’s range: • A sweep into 4327–4325 may reload longs toward 4450–4490, or • A reaction at 4492–4494 offers a sell opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm second. Smart Money engineers — patience profits. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD Range Market – Sell from PremiumGold is currently trading in a clear ranging (TR) environment after the recent bullish expansion. On the H1 timeframe, price has reacted from the premium zone near the previous highs, while liquidity remains stacked below the range. 🔻 Sell Scenario: Price is expected to react from the 4303 – 4306 resistance zone, aligned with prior distribution and rejection. This area favors short-term sell opportunities while the market remains inside the range. 🔺 Buy Scenario: The 4247 – 4245 zone represents a liquidity pocket below the major value area, offering a favorable risk-to-reward setup. With a tight stop-loss, buy limit orders are valid if price sweeps liquidity and shows reaction. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 4303 – 4306 Support / Liquidity: 4247 – 4245 As long as price stays within the range, sell from premium and buy from discount remains the primary strategy. Always respect stop-loss levels and manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sophia_Taylor
Smart Money reloading Gold after liquidity sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally supported on higher timeframes, but current price action reflects controlled volatility and liquidity engineering rather than trend continuation. With markets reacting to fresh U.S. data expectations, USD yield fluctuations, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, Gold continues to attract safe-haven interest — yet extended intraday ranges suggest Smart Money is actively positioning rather than chasing price. Recent headlines around Fed rate path uncertainty and mixed U.S. macro signals keep Gold bid on pullbacks, while thinning liquidity into the year-end session increases the likelihood of stop hunts and engineered traps on both sides of the range. Smart Money behavior favors drawing liquidity first, confirming structure later — not clean breakouts. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: HTF bullish structure with short-term corrective compression Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at discount (4320–4318) or reaction from internal supply (4465–4467) before any sustained displacement. Structural Notes: HTF bullish BOS remains valid Prior CHoCH triggered a corrective leg Price is compressing under bearish trendline Discount zone aligns with potential accumulation Buy-side liquidity rests above internal highs Sell-side liquidity recently probed and absorbed 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310 • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules 🟢 BUY GOLD 4320 – 4318 | SL 4310 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount zone ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or refined demand OB Targets: 4360 4400 4465 – extension if USD weakens and risk sentiment deteriorates 🔴 SELL GOLD 4465 – 4467 | SL 4475 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply / premium imbalance ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on LTF ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: 4430 4385 4320 – extension if USD strengthens or yields rise ⚠️ Risk Notes Compression favors false breakouts No execution without MSS + BOS confirmation Expect volatility during U.S. session Reduce risk around USD yield spikes or Fed-related headlines Thin liquidity amplifies stop hunts 📍 Summary Gold remains bullish by structure, but today’s edge lies in patience, not prediction. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before committing: • A sweep into 4320–4318 may reload longs toward 4400–4465, or • A reaction near 4465–4467 could fade price back into discount. Let liquidity move first. Let structure confirm. Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold 1H – Smart Money targets 4040 liquidity🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (30/12) 📈 Market Context Gold has suffered a sharp breakdown following year-end positioning flows, marking its largest single-day drop in weeks. According to today’s hot ForexFactory update, bearish momentum is accelerating as price decisively breaks below key technical levels, with downside targets now aligning toward the $4040–4050 liquidity zone. This move appears driven less by fresh macro catalysts and more by portfolio rebalancing, profit-taking, and thin liquidity conditions, typical of late-December trading. Despite some dip-buying interest emerging intraday, the broader flow suggests distribution rather than accumulation, keeping Gold vulnerable to further downside sweeps before any sustainable recovery. Smart Money behavior in this environment favors selling continuation with corrective pullbacks, rather than impulsive trend reversals. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bearish displacement after HTF distribution Key Idea: Sell premium pullbacks; buy only at deep discount liquidity Structural Notes: • Clear CHoCH confirmed after loss of prior bullish structure • Strong bearish displacement created inefficiencies below • Previous bullish trendline invalidated • Price trading below equilibrium, attempting weak corrective retrace • Internal liquidity partially cleared; external selling liquidity rests below • Resistance zone aligns with prior supply and breakdown origin 💧 Liquidity Zones & Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → continuation 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4480 – 4490 | SL 4500 Rules: ✔ Pullback into premium resistance / supply ✔ Bearish MSS or CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 4420 4370 4310 – extension if bearish momentum persists 🟢 BUY GOLD 4310 – 4320 | SL 4300 Rules: ✔ Selling liquidity sweep into deep discount ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms absorption ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 4370 4420 4480 – only if structure flips bullish ⚠️ Risk Notes • Bearish momentum dominates after structural breakdown • Year-end liquidity increases fake pullbacks and stop hunts • No trade without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and around USD yield headlines • Reduce position size if volatility expands unexpectedly 📍 Summary Gold has transitioned from accumulation to distribution, with Smart Money now favoring downside continuation toward deeper liquidity pools. The plan is clear: • Sell premium pullbacks at 4480–4490, or • Buy only at deep discount 4310–4320 after confirmation Let liquidity be engineered. Let structure confirm intent. Smart Money waits — retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold (XAU/USD) — Bullish Continuation Setup on 1H📊 Technical Analysis 1. Overall Trend The market remains in an uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows. A trend line drawn from lower left is supporting price structure nicely. Price is above both the 9 EMA and 15 EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum. 2. Key Levels Resistance Zones Immediate resistance (red box): Currently challenging this level — price is struggling to break above. Larger supply area above: A wider grey zone above the immediate resistance — likely the next target once cleared. Major target: ~4580 — marked as the next significant upside. Support Zones Minor support (thin horizontal): Around ~4510, could act as intraday support. Strong demand zone: Around ~4475–4490 — significant buyers previously entered here. Trend line support beneath the candles — dynamic support reinforcing bullish bias. 3. Price Action & Structure Recent Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside indicates buyers are in control. After the BOS, price retraced slightly then resumed higher, a sign of healthy bullish behavior. Current consolidation at resistance suggests a potential shakeout / liquidity hunt before continuation. 4. Possible Scenarios (as annotated) Bullish Scenario (favored): Price consolidates slightly, retests support ~4510–trendline zone, Then breaks above the red resistance box, Targets the larger grey supply zone and then ~4580+. Alternative Short Pullback: Minor pullback into support, Then bounce for continuation. The dotted projected line on your chart reflects this potential pullback → rally sequence. 📉 Volume Context Buying volume tends to increase on bullish moves, Showing participation from demand zones — supportive of upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD H1 – Trading Liquidity During the Year-End SessionXAUUSD H1 – Trading Liquidity During the Year-End Session Gold remains in a bullish structure, but this is a holiday market with weaker liquidity as many banks are closed. The best approach here is to trade around liquidity and value areas, rather than chasing price during extended moves. TECHNICAL OVERVIEW On H1, price continues to respect an ascending channel, moving through expansion and pullback phases. After the latest strong push, the market is now consolidating and rotating, which typically favours level-based execution. Momentum remains positive overall, but it is not accelerating aggressively, suggesting selective buying and a higher probability of liquidity sweeps during thin conditions. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN Buy the pullback at key liquidity zones inside the bullish channel Buy liquidity zone: 4475 – 4478 Buy POC zone: 4409 – 4412 Technical rationale: The 4475–4478 area is a near-term liquidity pocket within the channel where buyers often step in during technical pullbacks. The 4409–4412 region aligns with the Volume Profile POC, a value area where price frequently stabilises and rebalances supply and demand. Expected price behaviour: A corrective move into these liquidity zones, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel structure. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN Short-term sell only at the upper boundary as a scalp Sell zone: 4565 – 4469 Context: This zone sits near the upper channel boundary where profit-taking is common, especially when liquidity is thin. Any sell idea should be treated as a short-term scalp rather than a trend reversal. WHY LIQUIDITY-BASED TRADING MATTERS HERE Holiday sessions can produce irregular flows, sharp spikes, and stop runs Volume Profile helps define higher-probability execution areas instead of emotional entries Trading around value and liquidity improves consistency when price action becomes less reliable FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP AND MARKET SENTIMENT OANDA traders highlight multiple drivers behind the strength in precious metals, with longer-term projections pointing to further upside for gold and silver next year. The narrative remains supported by safe-haven demand, expectations of easier monetary conditions, and a softer USD tone. Still, in the short term, the holiday environment can distort price action, making liquidity zones even more important for execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H – Smart Money Traps Near 4540–4450 Range🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on the higher timeframes, but price is now trading inside a compression zone after a clear impulsive expansion. With year-end liquidity thinning and traders positioning ahead of fresh Fed rate expectations and USD yield fluctuations, Gold is vulnerable to liquidity manipulation rather than clean continuation. Recent USD softness and mixed macro headlines keep Gold supported, yet extended pricing near highs increases the probability of stop hunts on both sides before the next decisive move. Smart Money behavior here favors range engineering — drawing in breakout traders above highs and shaking out impatient long positions below key demand — before revealing true intent. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish HTF structure with short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at premium (4540–4542) or discount (4450–4448) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Recent CHoCH signals short-term distribution risk • Price is trading in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg left unmitigated inefficiencies below • A defined scalping range has formed between premium and discount • Liquidity rests clearly above 4540 and below 4450 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4540 – 4542 | SL 4560 Rules: ✔ Sweep above premium buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4510 2. 4485 3. 4450 – extension if USD strengthens or yields push higher 🟢 BUY GOLD 4450 – 4448 | SL 4440 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and prior demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FGV fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4480 2. 4510 3. 4540 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Premium trading increases fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session and thin year-end liquidity • Reduce risk around Fed-driven or USD yield headlines 📍 Summary Gold is still bullish by structure, but current price action signals liquidity games inside a defined range. Smart Money is likely to engineer stops before expansion: • A sweep above 4540 may fade back toward 4485–4450, or • A liquidity grab near 4450 could reload long positions toward 4510–4540+ Let price show intent — Smart Money waits, retail reacts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Traps form near 4500–4420.Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420 🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation. CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation. Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price • Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk • Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4470 2. 4450 3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4450 2. 4475 3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion: • A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or • A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+ Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD (Gold) 15TF Technical Outlook - 22/12/2025 XAU/USD (Gold) maintains a strong bullish structure, with price trading near 4415–4420 and holding firmly above all major moving averages, confirming trend continuation. The primary BUY zone lies at 4410–4408, which is the key pivot, EMA cluster, and decision level for intraday and positional bulls. As long as price sustains above this buy zone, upside momentum remains intact, opening targets toward 4425, 4440, and the extended resistance area of 4460–4480. On the bearish side, short-term selling pressure or profit booking may emerge near 4425–4440, but this remains corrective in nature. The key BEAR trigger level is below 4400, and stronger bearish confirmation appears only if gold breaks and sustains below 4385–4380, where the bullish structure weakens. A decisive breakdown below these levels could drag price toward 4360–4350, while a complete trend reversal is expected only below 4300. Overall, the market favors buy-on-dips above 4408, with bears gaining control strictly below 4380.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
XAUUSD H1 Trading with Volume Profile Ahead of CPI RiskXAUUSD H1 Trading with Volume Profile Ahead of CPI Risk Gold is slowing down as the market awaits news and liquidity is fragmented, so prioritize trading according to Volume Profile zones to choose advantageous entry points instead of chasing prices. PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to buy at POC and VAL zones according to Volume Profile, suitable for a medium-term perspective. Buy zone: 4314 – 4317 SL: 4307 TP: 4328 – 4345 – 4363 – 4370 Technical context: On H1, the price is accumulating and reacting around the value area. The 4314–4317 area is the POC and VAL zone, often a liquidity attraction point and likely to see buying pressure if the structure maintains support. Expected movement: Price holds the 4314–4317 zone, absorbs short-term selling pressure, then rebounds to the above TP levels. When approaching 4345, monitor reactions as this is an area prone to selling pressure. Position management: If the price quickly rises but fails to hold above 4328, consider reducing risk. If the price clearly breaks below 4307, prioritize stopping the buy scenario and wait for a deeper zone. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Sell scalping strategy at short-term resistance zone, higher risk as the larger trend still favors buying. Sell scalping zone: 4343 – 4346 SL: 4353 TP: 4325 – 4310 – 4290 Technical context: The 4343–4346 area is a sell scalping zone on the chart, suitable for short-term trading when the price rebounds to resistance and clear rejection signals appear. Note: Sell should only be a scalping order. Do not prioritize holding long sell positions if the market is still in an accumulation phase awaiting news. MAIN REASON Volume Profile shows that POC and VAL zones are advantageous entry points during a sideways market lacking a clear trend. The 4314–4317 zone acts as a value support area for finding buy points, while 4343–4346 is suitable for sell scalping when the price rebounds to resistance. When the market awaits news, the likelihood of liquidity sweeps increases, so trading by zones will be more effective than chasing candles. MACRO CONTEXT AND CPI DATA The upcoming US CPI release during the North American session will be the main variable guiding Fed policy expectations, directly impacting USD and gold. Ahead of data risk, dovish expectations from the Fed are causing USD to lack strong upward momentum, but volatility may spike suddenly at the time of the news release, creating spikes and sweeping SL on both ends. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Do not open orders when the price is between zones and has not reached the exact levels of 4314–4317 or 4343–4346. Prioritize reducing volume before CPI or only maintain positions that are already profitable and manage tightly. Focus on observing price reactions at POC VAL and sell scalping zones, as these are decisive points for short-term direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Technical Outlook - 17/12/2025XAU/USD – Technical Update Gold trades near $4,332 and remains in a strong bullish trend across all timeframes, supported by price holding well above key moving averages. Momentum is strong, though short-term indicators are overbought, hinting at minor pullbacks. Key Levels: Support: 4300–4305 | 4290 | 4270 Resistance: 4335 | 4367 | 4400 Intraday Strategy: Buy dips: 4300–4310 Targets: 4335 → 4365 SL: Below 4270 Fundamentals: US macro data & Fed expectations keep gold supported amid cautious risk sentiment. Bias: 📈 Bullish trend | Buy on dips Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Trading in Forex, Gold, Crypto, and markets involves high risk. Do your own research and trade at your own risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tradewith_ritik
2
Gold 1H – Fed Chair Speculation Drives Smart Money Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a liquidity-driven range as markets focus on today’s hot topic: NFP expectations and Fed rate-path uncertainty. Recent NFP previews highlight divergence between slowing headline job growth and still-sticky wage components, keeping DXY flows unstable. This environment typically favors stop-hunts and liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional moves ahead of confirmation. As a result, Smart Money is likely to engineer price into clear premium and discount zones before committing to expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, consolidating after a CHoCH within a broader bullish context Key Idea: Expect a sweep into premium (4352–4354) or discount (4272–4270) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe BOS keeps bullish bias intact • Recent pullback reflects distribution/profit-taking, not a confirmed reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4270 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / dynamic support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4285 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect higher spreads and volatility during the U.S. session • Reduce risk if entering close to major data releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is defined by NFP-driven rate uncertainty: • A sweep into 4354 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4270 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
XAUUSD – Structure Delivered | Buy Complete Sell Phase InitiateThis chart was shared on 12-12-2025 when Gold was holding previous high → flipped support. That level did exactly what it was supposed to do. 🔹 Buy Logic (12-12-2025): Previous highs tapped → support confirmed Strong displacement from the level Clean bullish structure continuation Price respected demand and delivered full upside move 🎯 Buy target hit cleanly, no drawdown drama. Now fast forward ⏩ After the expansion, price reached premium supply / distribution zone, failed to continue higher, and started forming lower highs. 🔻 Current Sell Bias: Rejection from supply Bullish structure weakened Market shifting into retracement / distribution phase Expecting continuation towards lower imbalance / support zones This is how the market works: ➡️ Expansion ➡️ Target delivery ➡️ Distribution ➡️ Reversal / retracement Same chart. Same plan. Bias changes when structure changes, not when emotions do. #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #TradingView #ValhallaCore
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by VALHALLA-FX
2
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Based on Volume ProfileXAUUSD H1 Analysis Based on Volume Profile Gold is moving sideways and consolidating around the 4,300 USD/oz area. The short-term direction remains unconfirmed and requires clear reactions at key liquidity zones. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN SCENARIO Medium-term trend-following buy strategy at price areas with Volume Profile advantage Primary buy zone: around 4284 based on VAL Technical context: this is the lower value area where buying interest is likely to appear as the market continues to consolidate Price expectation: price holds above VAL, absorbs short-term selling pressure, and gradually rotates back toward the upper balance area Position management: If price reacts positively and H1 candles hold above the 4284 level, a medium-term bullish bias in line with the main trend can be maintained. If price breaks clearly below VAL, caution is required and deeper reaction zones should be monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SCENARIO Deeper buy opportunity in the event of additional liquidity sweep Alternative buy zone: around 4242, based on the VAH of the previous value area Technical context: this area represents the upper value zone of the prior consolidation and may act as strong support during a deeper pullback Price expectation: downside liquidity sweep followed by a recovery, restoring market balance SELL SCENARIO – HIGH RISK Sell positions should only be considered as short-term trades, not a primary strategy Short-term sell zone: around 4378, based on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension Note: sells should only be considered if clear price rejection signals appear. Avoid holding short positions for extended periods while the broader trend remains bullish. KEY REASONS On the H1 timeframe, price is consolidating, indicating the market needs additional liquidity before confirming the next directional move Volume Profile clearly highlights high-probability trading zones, particularly VAL at 4284 and VAH at 4242 The 4378 level represents an extended resistance zone suitable for profit-taking or short-term countertrend sells MACRO CONTEXT AND MARKET SENTIMENT Gold continues to hold strong near the 4,300 USD/oz level, supported by expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and rising safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, silver has faced short-term profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs, reflecting a more cautious market tone. This week’s focus is on the US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Weak data may reinforce gold’s bullish trend, while strong data could trigger a short-term correction amid ongoing policy uncertainty within the Fed. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid trading while price remains in the middle of the consolidation range and away from key Volume Profile levels. The medium-term buy strategy loses its edge if price breaks clearly below 4242 and fails to reclaim the level. Closely monitor volatility around the Nonfarm release, as sharp spikes and liquidity sweeps are highly likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD BIAS BULLISH as long as we stay above 4279 4268 zone Previous High Taken – Now Acting as Support That red zone you marked? Price tapped it 3 times, failed to break down, and finally broke above → instant SR flip. That’s bullish pressure showing its teeth. Clean Liquidity Grab Below Range Price took liquidity under the blue range, launched, and never looked back. Smart money behavior 101. Market Structure = BULLISH Higher-highs Higher-lows Clear displacement candle Imbalance/FVG on the way up And now consolidation just above the breakout zone = bullish continuation vibes.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by VALHALLA-FX
XAUUSD H1 Volume Profile and Key Price AreasXAUUSD H1 – Volume Profile and Key Price Areas Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with the primary strategy focused on buying pullbacks PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Buy-the-dip approach aligned with the dominant trend using Volume Profile levels Expected buy zone: around 4253 based on VAH Short-term range to monitor: 4263 – 4285 Price expectation: rebound from VAH toward the upper range before further expansion Position management: If price holds above the 4263 area and shows clear bullish reaction, maintaining long exposure remains favorable. If price is strongly rejected near 4285, risk should be reduced as this zone represents an important short-term resistance. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SETUP Short-term countertrend opportunity at an extended resistance level Sell zone for the alternative scenario: around 4310 at the Fibonacci extension This setup is only considered if clear rejection signals appear at the level KEY REASONS The bullish structure on the H1 timeframe remains intact Volume Profile highlights the VAH near 4253 as a high-probability reaction zone The 4310 area represents an extended resistance suitable for profit-taking or short-term pullback reactions MACRO CONTEXT The Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle and maintains a dovish stance, putting pressure on the US dollar and supporting gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and concerns about US economic slowdown further reinforce safe-haven demand. Markets are now focused on the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report, where weaker data could drive further upside, while stronger data may trigger a short-term correction. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price while gold trades within the 4263 – 4285 range. The bullish scenario becomes invalid if price breaks clearly below the support area beneath the VAH. Expect increased volatility around major economic data releases and manage exposure accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H - Will 4287 Liquidity Cap Price or 4248 Reload Demand?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains highly sensitive to political and inflation narratives after former U.S. President Donald Trump stated he “inherited the worst inflation in history” but now sees prices cooling rapidly. This rhetoric adds uncertainty to inflation expectations and future rate paths, keeping USD flows unstable intraday. For gold, this environment favors engineered liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional continuation, as institutions exploit both inflation hedging demand and short-term USD strength. On H1, price is trading inside a rising structure with clear liquidity resting above recent highs and demand stacked below the mid-range — a textbook Smart Money setup. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Expansion after BOS, now pausing into premium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4285–4287) or discount (4250–4248) before true displacement Structural Notes: • Prior BOS + CHoCH confirms bullish context • Price currently reacting inside a rising channel • Liquidity is clearly defined on both edges Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4270 2. 4258 3. 4250 – 4248 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below channel support / equal lows ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4265 2. 4280 3. 4287 – extension if momentum holds ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s inflation comments can trigger sharp sentiment flips → wait for structure, not headlines • Avoid entries without clear BOS + displacement • Don’t trade mid-range noise inside compression • Reduce size if volatility spikes during U.S. news hours 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is pure liquidity engineering: • A 4287 sweep may trigger bearish structure back into 4250 or • A 4248 liquidity grab could reload bullish flow toward 4280–4287 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2