XAUUSD | Gold 4H Breakout Setup | Wait for Retest Before Long Gold is currently trading near the 4H resistance zone after a short-term recovery move. The price is approaching a key supply area where a breakout or rejection can decide the next direction. I am planning a long entry only after a proper retest to avoid chasing the move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 4045 – 4075
• Strong Support: 3955 – 3980 (200 EMA zone)
• Major Upside Target after breakout: 4210 – 4230
Trade Plan:
1. Let price approach the resistance zone
2. Wait for breakout and then retest near 4045 – 4075
3. Look for bullish rejection candle to confirm entry
4. If retest holds, next leg up toward 4210 is possible
Why Wait for Retest?
Retest reduces false breakout risk and improves risk to reward. Market is still recovering from a previous strong sell-off, so patience gives a more controlled entry.
Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Style: Swing / Position
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice, just my personal price structure view.
Goldlong
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Short-Term Reversal from ?Technical Overview:
Gold has recently rebounded from a High Demand Zone around the $3,900–$3,910 region, showing clear signs of buyer re-entry after a prolonged bearish correction. The candle structure suggests strong bullish intent, with higher lows forming and a potential continuation toward the next liquidity area.
Key Observations:
🔹 High Demand Zone: Price reacted strongly here, indicating institutional buying pressure.
🔹 High Prop POI (Point of Interest): Served as a key accumulation level before the breakout.
🔹 SMC Trap: Indicates a prior liquidity grab, trapping late sellers before the move up.
🔹 Bullish Momentum Building: Consecutive bullish candles after rejection from the demand zone strengthen the reversal bias.
Target Projection:
🎯 Immediate Target: $4,080 – $4,100 (aligned with local resistance and liquidity grab zone).
🛑 Support: $3,905 (must hold to maintain bullish structure).
💎 Extended Target (if momentum continues): $4,160 – $4,180 (previous major swing high zone).
Summary:
Gold is showing a short-term recovery phase within a broader bullish structure. A confirmed 4H close above $4,030 would likely propel price toward the $4,100 region, while a drop below $3,900 would invalidate the bullish setup.
📊 Suggested Title:
"Gold Rebounds from Key Demand Zone, Eyes $4,100 Resistance 🔥"
StevenTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias StrategyStevenTrading - XAUUSD: Mid-Term Buy Bias Strategy - Anticipating Wave 5 and Trendline Test at $3935
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with a detailed Gold analysis!
Gold is currently consolidating above the $3.950 mark, eagerly awaiting the FOMC interest rate decision for new momentum. Structurally, we anticipate Gold to follow the 5-wave structure of Elliot Wave Theory at this juncture. The Buy (Long) strategy remains the primary focus in the medium term, concentrating on a trendline retest for entry.
1. 📰 MACRO CONTEXT & FUNDAMENTAL FLOW
The Gold market is governed by anticipation:
Current Status: Gold is trading sideways above $3.950. Traders are keenly awaiting further signals regarding the Fed's future path for rate cuts.
Psychological Barrier: Gold needs to convincingly break the $4.000 psychological mark to solidify the case for a sustained rally. This hinges entirely on the outcome of the FOMC decision.
2. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: ELLIOTT WAVE SCENARIO
Based on the H1 chart analysis (referencing image_fa2a75.png):
Wave Structure: Gold appears to be in the consolidation phase after waves 3 and 4. The next step is the potential formation of Wave 5, aiming to complete the cycle or confirm a new bullish trend.
Ideal Buy Zone (High-Prob): The $3935 - 3937 zone is a crucial confluence. This area aligns perfectly with the "Buy test trendline" zone (see chart) and offers strong support to initiate the potential next bullish wave.
Scalping Sell Zone: The nearest resistance and potential short-term selling area is the Sell entry Liquidity zone around $4058 - 4060.
3. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
The primary focus is the Buy Continuation trade aligned with the expected mid-term correction.
🟢 Primary BUY Scenario (BUY Primary)
Entry Zone (Buy): $3935 - 3937
Stop Loss (SL): $3929 (Maintain tight SL)
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $3955 | TP2: $3978 | TP3: $3995 | TP4: $4022 | TP5: $4055
🔴 SELL Scalping/Hedge Scenario (SELL Secondary)
Entry Zone (Sell): $4058 - 4060
Stop Loss (SL): $4066
Take Profit (TP): TP1: $4045 | TP2: $4022 | TP3: $4005 | TP4: $3968
4. 🧠 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Steven's Note)
Gold is at a decisive point before the FOMC. The buying scenario is favoured, but discipline must be absolute.
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction.
The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill.
Outlook:
📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term)
🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880
🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
Sell Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) dated 28.10.25Market Structure
Price Action: The chart shows a sideways channel breakout followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle.
This indicates a shift from consolidation to bearish momentum.
📈 Entry Setup
Entry Zone: Around the retest area near 3,984 (highlighted in blue).
Price is expected to pull back to this zone before continuing downward.
The “ENTRY FOR SELLERS & RETEST ZONE” is marked clearly in the chart.
🛑 Stop Loss
Stop Loss Level: ~ 4,008.551
Positioned above day resistance, giving enough buffer to avoid fake breakouts.
🟢 Target
Target Price: ~ 3,950.397
This level aligns with monthly support, giving a clean RR (Risk-to-Reward) structure.
⚡ Additional Notes
Day Resistance: 3,984.320
Monthly Support: 3,950.397
Breaked the sideways channel: This is the key trigger zone that shows bearish pressure building.
If price rejects the retest zone strongly, it can accelerate toward the target quickly.
📊 Summary of the Trade Idea
Setup Element Details
Pair XAUUSD / Gold
Direction Sell
Entry Zone 3984
Stop Loss 4008.551
Target 3950.397
Structure Sideways Breakout → Retest → Sell
Confirmation Candle Bearish Engulfing
✅ Trading Tip: Wait for clear rejection or bearish confirmation at the entry zone (e.g., wick rejection or engulfing candle) before executing the sell.
XAUUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🔱 VALHALLA CORE — XAUUSD (1H) TRADE PLAN
Date: 24 Oct 2025
🧭 Market Outlook:
Gold dropped hard from the 4,150 area after rejecting the Golden Zone (50–61.8% retracement).
Now heading toward our main BUYING ZONE at 4,012–4,004 where we’ll look for a bullish setup.
📉 If Price Pulls Back Up:
Sell zone: 4,092–4,150 (Golden Area / Supply zone)
SL: Above 4,165
TP1: 4,035
TP2: 4,010 (Buying Zone)
📈 If Price Drops to Buying Zone:
Buy zone: 4,012–4,004
SL: Below 3,995
TP1: 4,092
TP2: 4,120–4,150
💡 Plan Summary:
Short from the Golden Area = continuation trade.
Buy from the Buying Zone = reversal setup.
Wait for 1H confirmation before entry (strong candle or rejection wick).
Always move SL to BE after TP1 hits.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold 1H – Bearish Reaction After Consecutive Gains🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
After several sessions of steady gains, gold is showing signs of exhaustion as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s next move.
The market’s focus today is on U.S. housing data and Fed officials’ remarks, which could shape expectations for the December policy outlook.
• A hawkish tone from policymakers may strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower.
• Conversely, softer remarks could briefly trigger buying around key discount zones, but the overall tone remains corrective after the recent rally.
Market liquidity is concentrated near the ₹4,230 area — where price may tap into unmitigated supply before continuing its bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: The overall bias has shifted bearish following consecutive ChoCH and BOS formations.
• Premium Zone: The 4,230–4,228 area aligns with an H1 order block and previous liquidity pool — a prime zone for short re-entry.
• Liquidity Sweep: The recent upside push toward 4,230 may sweep late buyers before the next bearish leg unfolds.
• Discount Zone: Short-term liquidity may rest around 4,080–4,100, which aligns with previous sell-side imbalance (SSI) and acts as an intraday reaction zone.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4,230 – 4,228
• Stop-Loss: 4,240
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,080 → 4,050+
🟢 Buy Scalp Setup (Short-Term Countermove)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,115
(Only valid if liquidity sweep confirms reaction within discount zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Confirm M15 BOS/ChoCH before entry — avoid blind orders during news.
• Reduce position size for scalp entries; primary directional bias remains bearish.
• Lock partial profits near first liquidity targets and trail stops as structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold faces near-term correction pressure after multiple bullish sessions.
The 4,230–4,228 zone offers a clean premium OB entry for continuation shorts, while reactive buyers may scalp intraday from 4,081 if liquidity sweeps occur.
Stay adaptive — today’s sentiment is short-term bearish within a larger range-bound structure.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold holds firm near ₹4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today.
After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts.
The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids.
Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week.
• Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement.
• Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area.
• If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249
SL: 4255 – 4257
TP targets: 4210 → 4195
🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186
SL: 4174
TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup.
• Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen.
• Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186.
Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment.
The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
Gold 1H – Bullish Rebound After Strong Correction🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is attempting to rebound near $4,320 after a sharp correction earlier this week, as traders weigh the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and renewed expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve tone.
Markets are now positioning ahead of key U.S. housing and manufacturing data, which could shape short-term sentiment for both the dollar and real yields.
• Softer economic numbers may reinforce the case for policy easing in early 2026, supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
• Conversely, stronger data could momentarily pressure XAUUSD, yet the broader uptrend remains intact amid central-bank accumulation and geopolitical tension.
Expect a liquidity-driven environment, with price potentially sweeping lower before reclaiming bullish momentum.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Overall bias remains bullish following consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCH) indicating corrective retracement.
• Discount Zone: The $4,270–$4,272 demand area sits within the discount zone of the recent range (swing low to 4454 high), ideal for re-accumulation.
• Liquidity Sweep: Recent wicks near $4,300 suggest liquidity has been collected, potentially setting up for another bullish push.
• Premium Zone: Upside liquidity clusters near $4,454–$4,452, aligning with a premium supply area where short-term selling may appear.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4454 – 4452
• Stop-Loss: 4463
• Take-Profit Targets: 4400 → 4330
🟢 Buy Setup
• Entry: 4270 – 4272
• Stop-Loss: 4260
• Take-Profit Targets: 4340 → 4380 → 4450 +
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid entries during high-volatility windows around U.S. data releases.
• Secure partial profits near intermediate liquidity zones, trail stops after BOS confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold maintains a bullish re-accumulation structure following a healthy correction.
A retest into the discount zone around $4,270 offers potential long entries targeting the premium zone near $4,450+.
Only a decisive break below $4,260 would invalidate the intraday bullish scenario.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for more SMC trading insights ⚡
Gold Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone Targeting 4320 ResistanceGold has displayed a strong bullish rejection from the 4,220–4,240 demand zone, signaling that buyers are stepping back in after a brief corrective phase. The price has respected the previously broken ascending trendline, now acting as dynamic support, indicating that market sentiment remains positive.
Key Observations:
Trend Structure: The broader trend continues to favor the bulls, with higher highs and higher lows still valid.
Demand Zone: Buyers defended the 4,220–4,240 area with stxrong volume, confirming institutional interest.
Price Action: Recent bullish engulfing candles suggest renewed buying momentum.
Next Resistance: The 4,310–4,330 region stands as a key resistance zone where partial profit-taking could occur.
Volume: Noticeable increase in bullish volume near support adds confirmation to the move.
Trading Outlook:
If price sustains above 4,240, the bias remains bullish toward 4,320–4,340.
A daily close below 4,220 would invalidate this setup and shift focus back to the 4,100 zone.
Summary
Gold is currently positioned for a potential continuation of its primary uptrend, with early signs of buyer strength re-emerging at major support. Momentum remains in favor of the bulls as long as the 4,220 base holds firm.
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?
Hello traders community,
XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems relentless, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital.
This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave.
📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow
The market is being led by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven.
Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" is the most notable highlight. While XAUUSD continuously sets new peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historic high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level breaks, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow into Gold.
"Doping Dose" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the potential US government shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue cutting interest rates to support a slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets.
Global Uncertainty: Trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions cannot be overlooked. In a risk-laden environment, Gold remains the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value.
📊 Technical Analysis
The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving very disciplined within an upward sloping channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area.
Key Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and the old structure zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for corrections to join the main trend.
Resistance and "Breakout": The price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up the next upward space, targeting higher liquidity zones.
Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone of the Sellers and the extended target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may appear.
🎯 Detailed Trading Plan
The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Look to buy when the price corrects to key support areas. Sell orders should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance zones.
Scenario 1: Trend Following Buy (Priority) 📈
Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287.
Stop Loss: $4280.
Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400.
Scenario 2: Counter-Trend Sell (High Risk) 📉
Entry Zone: Look to sell at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470.
Stop Loss: $4476.
Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388.
Conclusion
Gold's upward momentum is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although the price is in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is absolutely true at this moment. Minor corrections, possibly to the EMA zone or the lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions.
Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
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XAUUSD: Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far?XAUUSD: "No More Gold to Sell" - Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far?
Hello trading community,
The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a state of "extreme euphoria", continuously setting new highs. The upward momentum is not only driven by technical charts but also bolstered by extremely strong macro factors.
This article will analyse why the strategy "Prioritise Buying on Dips" is optimal, and the $4400 mark, though seemingly high, may not be the final stop.
📰 Macro Analysis: "No More Gold to Sell!"
The market is witnessing a physical supply shock that we cannot ignore:
Supply Shock: Japan's largest gold retailer had to temporarily halt gold bar sales due to overwhelming buying demand. This is a clear signal that physical gold demand is far outstripping available supply. When physical gold is scarce, the paper market price must rise to reflect true value.
Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year German government bond yield (representing Europe) has fallen to its lowest since June. Lower yields make Gold (a non-yielding asset) significantly more attractive compared to holding bonds.
Both these factors are creating a "perfect storm" supporting the price rise of XAUUSD.
📊 Technical Analysis
The M30/H1 chart shows a very sustainable parabolic uptrend structure:
Trend: The uptrend is undeniable. The price is moving within a steep upward channel, with all selling efforts quickly absorbed by buyers.
Fibonacci Extension: The Fibonacci extension levels are acting as the next price targets:
Zone $4382 (Fib 2.273): Conquered.
Zone $4407 - $4410 (Fib 2.407): This is a potential "Sell Scalping" zone, where a short correction might occur.
Zone $4480 - $4483 (Fib 2.618): This is a strong resistance "Sell Zone", the next target for buyers.
Volume Profile (VPVR):
Support "Buy Retest" ($4290 - $4300): This is an extremely important liquidity zone, a broken old peak and also an area with large accumulated trading volume. Buyers will strongly defend this zone.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
The main trend is to Buy. All sell orders (Sell) at this time carry high risk and should only be considered for short-term scalping to catch corrections.
Scenario 1: Buy the Dip 📈
Entry Zone: Wait for a price correction to the "Buy retest" zone $4290.
Stop Loss: $4280.
Take Profit: $4312 - $4334 - $4372 - $4390.
Scenario 2: Sell Scalping ⚡️
Entry Zone: Look to sell at the Fibo $4410 zone.
Stop Loss: $4420.
Take Profit: $4393 - $4380 - $4370. (Note: Counter-trend order, go small volume and take quick profit).
Scenario 3: Sell at Strong Resistance Zone 📉
Entry Zone: $4480.
Stop Loss: $4490.
Take Profit: $4463 - $4442 - $4410.
Summary
The combination of a strong technical uptrend and a fundamental supply shock is pushing Gold into a new price cycle. The $4400 mark has been conquered, and with this momentum, the long-term target of $5000 is no longer a fantasy.
The wisest strategy is to "go with the flow", looking to Buy at key support zones.
Wishing traders a successful week!
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New HighsAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup.
After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment.
Technical Outlook:
Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support)
Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support
Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150
🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk
📈 Summary:
As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges - Trading Strategy as Gold Adjusts
Hello traders community,
Today's trading session witnessed a strong "Price Rejection" of XAUUSD at the new peak, triggering a nearly $20 drop. Although the long-term bullish structure remains intact, the profit-taking signal from buyers is evident. This article will delve into the analysis of key price zones and outline a detailed trading strategy in the context of the adjusting market.
📊 Technical Analysis
The H1 chart provides us with an overview of the current liquidity zones and price structure:
Fibonacci Resistance Zone: The price reacted strongly at the confluence of the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension levels, around the $4240 area. A strong bearish candle emerged right after the price touched this zone, confirming it as an extremely potential "Sell zone." Sellers have officially stepped in.
Point of Control (POC) and Liquidity: The Volume Profile (VPVR) indicator shows the area with the highest trading volume concentration (POC) is at $4196. This is the "magnet" zone attracting price in the short term. If the price recovers, this will be the decisive tug-of-war zone.
Key Support Zones:
$4196 (Buy Scalping): The POC zone acts as the first price support point. Scalping traders can look for short-term buying opportunities here.
$4158 (Buy Zone): This is a stronger support zone, the bottom of the previous uptrend, and also an area with significant trading volume. Buyers are likely to return strongly if the price adjusts here.
📰 Market Sentiment
Profit-Taking Pressure: After a hot growth streak, Gold's sharp drop of nearly $20 is a healthy adjustment move. The selling force mainly comes from short-term profit-taking traders.
"Sharks" Still Accumulating: Notably, while the price adjusts, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 1.15 tonnes. This move shows that large institutions remain optimistic about Gold's long-term prospects and are taking advantage of the dip to accumulate more. This is a signal contrary to short-term price action, which traders need to pay special attention to.
🎯 Actionable Trading Plan
With the current technical signals and market sentiment, we prioritize the strategy of selling when the price recovers (Sell the Rally).
Scenario 1: Sell on Downtrend (Sell) 📉
Entry Zone: Wait for the price to recover to the $4228 zone. This is the "retest" area of the liquidity zone previously controlled by sellers.
Stop Loss: $4235, above the nearest minor peak.
Take Profit: $4210 - $4188 - $4165 - $4133.
Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support (Buy) 📈
Entry Zone: If the price continues to drop, look to buy at the "Buy zone" $4158.
Stop Loss: $4150, a safe level below the support zone.
Take Profit: $4173 - $4190 - $4205 - $4230.
Scenario 3: Short-Term Scalping (Scalping Buy) ⚡️
Entry Zone: Quick buy at the POC zone $4196.
Stop Loss: $4188, a short and tight stop loss level.
Take Profit: $4210 - $4228.
Summary
In the short term, sellers are temporarily dominant after Gold failed to conquer the $4240 resistance zone. The main strategy is to sell when the price recovers. However, the buying action of the SPDR fund indicates that the medium and long-term uptrend remains very solid. Therefore, buying orders at strong support zones like $4158 are also an opportunity not to be missed.
Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing all traders an effective trading day!
Note: This analysis is based on personal views and is for reference purposes only, not direct investment advice.
BTC forming wonderful scenarioBTC is forming good scenarios for bullish and subsequently bearish trade. It has created ABC pattern and retracing back to bullish FVG. We need to wait for price getting into right zones. We may also see a sell side trade once reaches to bearish FVG.
1. Currently price has broken ABC pattern neckline and retracing towards 1h FVG.
2. We may also see a sell side trade once price tap into bearish FVG and shows reversal pattern.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
5. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed Volatility XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold prices hover near ₹4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today.
Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution.
A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation.
• Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react.
• Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points.
• Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209
SL: 4218
TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155
🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147
SL: 4138
TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks.
• Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely.
• Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149).
Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path.
Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Record Highs in Focus📈 Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Record Highs in Focus, Prudent Strategies Amidst Fed Uncertainty
Good afternoon to the UK Trading Community,
Spot Gold (XAUUSD) has delivered an exceptional performance, decisively clearing the $4,200/ounce hurdle and establishing an unprecedented All-Time High (ATH). While some inevitable profit-taking is surfacing, the fundamental bullish structure remains firmly in place.
🧭 Market Intelligence & Core Sentiment
Momentum Check: Gold’s robust ascent, jumping nearly 1.4% today, suggests the asset has broken free from conventional price ceilings. This momentum is encouraging a significant inflow of capital from private retail investors.
The Fed Factor: The primary short-term concern stems from the ambiguous "Hawkish" commentary emanating from the Federal Reserve Chairman. This lack of clarity is injecting substantial volatility and triggering sharp, localised selling pressure (profit-taking).
Structural View: The overarching strong uptrend persists. Any recent dips should be viewed as natural profit-taking episodes and not yet a conclusive shift in the prevailing market direction.
📊 Technical Deep Dive (30m Chart – XAUUSD)
Referring to the 30-minute time frame, the price action is clearly encapsulated within a strong near-term Uptrend Channel. However, the market is currently testing a crucial resistance barrier.
Critical Resistance Zone: Located between 4206–4210. This area represents a clear confluence point—the apex of the rising channel and a strong technical ceiling—making it the immediate source of any potential selling interest.
Demand Zone (Buyer's Territory): Settled around 4145–4150. This marks a vital support area, offering a preferable entry point for trend-following long positions once a clear retracement materialises.
Price Forecast: Having seen rejection at the channel's high, we anticipate a likelihood of price continuing to correct back towards our identified Demand Zone before gathering sufficient momentum for another attempt at the ATH.
🎯 Calculated Trading Scenarios for the Session
We present balanced strategies to effectively trade the current high-volatility environment.
📉 Tactical Sell (Scalping the Retracement)
This strategy aims to capture the short-term pullback from the immediate supply zone.
📍 Sell Entry: 4206 – 4208
🛑 SL: 4214 (A notably tight Stop Loss is essential given the overwhelming bullish bias)
🎯 TP Targets: 4188 → 4162 → 4144 → 4123
📈 Strategic Buy (Riding the Primary Trend)
The prudent approach: waiting for the market to offer a better price at key support.
📍 Buy Entry: 4145 – 4147 (The high-probability Demand Zone)
🛑 SL: 4138
🎯 TP Targets: 4167 → 4192 → 4204 (Aiming for a potential sustained breakout)
📌 Conclusion and Forward View
Gold is undeniably on a formidable upward trajectory. Nonetheless, the influence of central bank rhetoric is causing significant market chop and potential corrections.
Recommended Action: We favour a tactical Sell Scalp at the resistance zone 4206–4208 alongside preparing for a strategic Trend-Following Buy at the key support 4145–4147.
Capital Preservation: Maintaining a disciplined, tight Stop Loss and ensuring prudent position sizing is paramount while navigating these record-high volatility levels.
I shall provide continuous daily updates on Gold, drawn from my 8 years of trading expertise.
👉 Be sure to follow for timely, detailed trade analysis!
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritise buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡
Gold continues to make higher highs after a strong rise in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support point; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240.
Key levels
Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid).
Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone).
Trading scenarios
Buy 1 – POC pullback
Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245.
If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritise buying.
Buy 2 – Shallow retest
If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 then rebounds above POC, additional buying is possible with SL 4,152, TP as above.
Sell reaction (higher risk)
Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160.
Only trigger when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade.
Invalidation & management
Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge.
After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯
Quick context
The upward momentum is maintained due to expectations of the Fed ending QT/looser conditions and safe haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create a short-term reaction before the uptrend continues.
Trade well with this scenario!
This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading around the ₹4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week.
Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision.
After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum.
Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg.
• Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity.
• The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone.
• Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB.
• Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215
SL: 4224
TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160
🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058
SL: 4050
TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup.
• Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels.
• If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored.
• Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions.
The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold remains steady near ₹4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook.
The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend.
• Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup.
• A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997).
• The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls.
• Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078
SL: 4087
TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000
🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997
SL: 3990
TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels.
• If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored.
• Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion.
✅ Summary
Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders.
After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it.
Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.






















