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Gold Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone Targeting 4320 ResistanceGold has displayed a strong bullish rejection from the 4,220–4,240 demand zone, signaling that buyers are stepping back in after a brief corrective phase. The price has respected the previously broken ascending trendline, now acting as dynamic support, indicating that market sentiment remains positive. Key Observations: Trend Structure: The broader trend continues to favor the bulls, with higher highs and higher lows still valid. Demand Zone: Buyers defended the 4,220–4,240 area with stxrong volume, confirming institutional interest. Price Action: Recent bullish engulfing candles suggest renewed buying momentum. Next Resistance: The 4,310–4,330 region stands as a key resistance zone where partial profit-taking could occur. Volume: Noticeable increase in bullish volume near support adds confirmation to the move. Trading Outlook: If price sustains above 4,240, the bias remains bullish toward 4,320–4,340. A daily close below 4,220 would invalidate this setup and shift focus back to the 4,100 zone. Summary Gold is currently positioned for a potential continuation of its primary uptrend, with early signs of buyer strength re-emerging at major support. Momentum remains in favor of the bulls as long as the 4,220 base holds firm.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliteProFx
XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold?XAUUSD: Unstoppable Surge - Is Money Leaving Bitcoin for Gold? Hello traders community, XAUUSD (Gold) is showcasing extraordinary strength, continuously breaking records and reaching new heights. The upward momentum seems relentless, despite technical indicators entering the "overbought" zone. While Gold shines, the Crypto market is witnessing selling pressure, indicating a clear shift of safe-haven capital. This analysis will delve into the factors driving the market and outline a detailed trading strategy for this tidal wave. 📰 Macro Analysis & Capital Flow The market is being led by a very clear narrative: Capital is seeking the ultimate safe haven. Gold Ascends, Bitcoin Challenges: The contrasting movements between the two assets considered "digital gold" and "physical gold" is the most notable highlight. While XAUUSD continuously sets new peaks, Bitcoin has plummeted sharply after hitting a historic high, currently struggling at the critical support level of $107,000. If this level breaks, a new wave of selling could be triggered, further driving capital flow into Gold. "Doping Dose" from the US Economy: Gold's strength is bolstered by the weakening USD. Factors such as the potential US government shutdown and particularly the market betting that the Fed will continue cutting interest rates to support a slowing economy have reduced the allure of the greenback and interest-bearing assets. Global Uncertainty: Trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions cannot be overlooked. In a risk-laden environment, Gold remains the top choice for institutional investors and central banks to preserve value. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30 chart shows a perfect and sustainable bullish structure. Ascending Channel: The price is moving very disciplined within an upward sloping channel. The lower support line of the channel is an extremely important dynamic support area. Key Support Zone - "Buy Zone": The $4285 - $4287 area is a confluence of the lower channel line and the old structure zone. This is an ideal area for Buyers to wait, watching for corrections to join the main trend. Resistance and "Breakout": The price has formed a short-term sideways structure after forming a peak around $4380. A confirmed "breakout" through this area will open up the next upward space, targeting higher liquidity zones. Next Target - "Sell Liquidity": The liquidity zone of the Sellers and the extended target of this bullish wave lies at $4468 - $4470, corresponding to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level. This is where profit-taking pressure and sellers may appear. 🎯 Detailed Trading Plan The main strategy is "Buy the Dip" - Look to buy when the price corrects to key support areas. Sell orders should only be considered when there is a clear reversal signal at strong resistance zones. Scenario 1: Trend Following Buy (Priority) 📈 Entry Zone: $4285 - $4287. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4310 - $4355 - $4377 - $4400. Scenario 2: Counter-Trend Sell (High Risk) 📉 Entry Zone: Look to sell at the liquidity zone above $4468 - $4470. Stop Loss: $4476. Take Profit: $4453 - $4423 - $4410 - $4388. Conclusion Gold's upward momentum is supported by both technical factors and solid macro narratives. Although the price is in the overbought zone, the saying "never fight a strong trend" is absolutely true at this moment. Minor corrections, possibly to the EMA zone or the lower channel line, should be seen as opportunities to increase Buy positions. Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing everyone a successful trading day! Follow me to get the earliest strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD: Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far?XAUUSD: "No More Gold to Sell" - Prioritise Buying, Is the $5000 Target Still Far? Hello trading community, The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a state of "extreme euphoria", continuously setting new highs. The upward momentum is not only driven by technical charts but also bolstered by extremely strong macro factors. This article will analyse why the strategy "Prioritise Buying on Dips" is optimal, and the $4400 mark, though seemingly high, may not be the final stop. 📰 Macro Analysis: "No More Gold to Sell!" The market is witnessing a physical supply shock that we cannot ignore: Supply Shock: Japan's largest gold retailer had to temporarily halt gold bar sales due to overwhelming buying demand. This is a clear signal that physical gold demand is far outstripping available supply. When physical gold is scarce, the paper market price must rise to reflect true value. Falling Bond Yields: The 10-year German government bond yield (representing Europe) has fallen to its lowest since June. Lower yields make Gold (a non-yielding asset) significantly more attractive compared to holding bonds. Both these factors are creating a "perfect storm" supporting the price rise of XAUUSD. 📊 Technical Analysis The M30/H1 chart shows a very sustainable parabolic uptrend structure: Trend: The uptrend is undeniable. The price is moving within a steep upward channel, with all selling efforts quickly absorbed by buyers. Fibonacci Extension: The Fibonacci extension levels are acting as the next price targets: Zone $4382 (Fib 2.273): Conquered. Zone $4407 - $4410 (Fib 2.407): This is a potential "Sell Scalping" zone, where a short correction might occur. Zone $4480 - $4483 (Fib 2.618): This is a strong resistance "Sell Zone", the next target for buyers. Volume Profile (VPVR): Support "Buy Retest" ($4290 - $4300): This is an extremely important liquidity zone, a broken old peak and also an area with large accumulated trading volume. Buyers will strongly defend this zone. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy The main trend is to Buy. All sell orders (Sell) at this time carry high risk and should only be considered for short-term scalping to catch corrections. Scenario 1: Buy the Dip 📈 Entry Zone: Wait for a price correction to the "Buy retest" zone $4290. Stop Loss: $4280. Take Profit: $4312 - $4334 - $4372 - $4390. Scenario 2: Sell Scalping ⚡️ Entry Zone: Look to sell at the Fibo $4410 zone. Stop Loss: $4420. Take Profit: $4393 - $4380 - $4370. (Note: Counter-trend order, go small volume and take quick profit). Scenario 3: Sell at Strong Resistance Zone 📉 Entry Zone: $4480. Stop Loss: $4490. Take Profit: $4463 - $4442 - $4410. Summary The combination of a strong technical uptrend and a fundamental supply shock is pushing Gold into a new price cycle. The $4400 mark has been conquered, and with this momentum, the long-term target of $5000 is no longer a fantasy. The wisest strategy is to "go with the flow", looking to Buy at key support zones. Wishing traders a successful week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New HighsAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup. After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment. Technical Outlook: Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support) Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150 🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk 📈 Summary: As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold holds firm near ₹4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today. After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts. The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids. Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week. • Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement. • Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area. • If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249 SL: 4255 – 4257 TP targets: 4210 → 4195 🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186 SL: 4174 TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup. • Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen. • Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms. ✅ Summary XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186. Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment. The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges XAUUSD: Profit-Taking Pressure Emerges - Trading Strategy as Gold Adjusts Hello traders community, Today's trading session witnessed a strong "Price Rejection" of XAUUSD at the new peak, triggering a nearly $20 drop. Although the long-term bullish structure remains intact, the profit-taking signal from buyers is evident. This article will delve into the analysis of key price zones and outline a detailed trading strategy in the context of the adjusting market. 📊 Technical Analysis The H1 chart provides us with an overview of the current liquidity zones and price structure: Fibonacci Resistance Zone: The price reacted strongly at the confluence of the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension levels, around the $4240 area. A strong bearish candle emerged right after the price touched this zone, confirming it as an extremely potential "Sell zone." Sellers have officially stepped in. Point of Control (POC) and Liquidity: The Volume Profile (VPVR) indicator shows the area with the highest trading volume concentration (POC) is at $4196. This is the "magnet" zone attracting price in the short term. If the price recovers, this will be the decisive tug-of-war zone. Key Support Zones: $4196 (Buy Scalping): The POC zone acts as the first price support point. Scalping traders can look for short-term buying opportunities here. $4158 (Buy Zone): This is a stronger support zone, the bottom of the previous uptrend, and also an area with significant trading volume. Buyers are likely to return strongly if the price adjusts here. 📰 Market Sentiment Profit-Taking Pressure: After a hot growth streak, Gold's sharp drop of nearly $20 is a healthy adjustment move. The selling force mainly comes from short-term profit-taking traders. "Sharks" Still Accumulating: Notably, while the price adjusts, the world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its gold holdings by 1.15 tonnes. This move shows that large institutions remain optimistic about Gold's long-term prospects and are taking advantage of the dip to accumulate more. This is a signal contrary to short-term price action, which traders need to pay special attention to. 🎯 Actionable Trading Plan With the current technical signals and market sentiment, we prioritize the strategy of selling when the price recovers (Sell the Rally). Scenario 1: Sell on Downtrend (Sell) 📉 Entry Zone: Wait for the price to recover to the $4228 zone. This is the "retest" area of the liquidity zone previously controlled by sellers. Stop Loss: $4235, above the nearest minor peak. Take Profit: $4210 - $4188 - $4165 - $4133. Scenario 2: Buy at Strong Support (Buy) 📈 Entry Zone: If the price continues to drop, look to buy at the "Buy zone" $4158. Stop Loss: $4150, a safe level below the support zone. Take Profit: $4173 - $4190 - $4205 - $4230. Scenario 3: Short-Term Scalping (Scalping Buy) ⚡️ Entry Zone: Quick buy at the POC zone $4196. Stop Loss: $4188, a short and tight stop loss level. Take Profit: $4210 - $4228. Summary In the short term, sellers are temporarily dominant after Gold failed to conquer the $4240 resistance zone. The main strategy is to sell when the price recovers. However, the buying action of the SPDR fund indicates that the medium and long-term uptrend remains very solid. Therefore, buying orders at strong support zones like $4158 are also an opportunity not to be missed. Trade with discipline and manage your capital tightly. Wishing all traders an effective trading day! Note: This analysis is based on personal views and is for reference purposes only, not direct investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
BTC forming wonderful scenarioBTC is forming good scenarios for bullish and subsequently bearish trade. It has created ABC pattern and retracing back to bullish FVG. We need to wait for price getting into right zones. We may also see a sell side trade once reaches to bearish FVG. 1. Currently price has broken ABC pattern neckline and retracing towards 1h FVG. 2. We may also see a sell side trade once price tap into bearish FVG and shows reversal pattern. 3. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone. 5. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.PLong
by hari_log
Markets Brace for U.S. Retail Sales & Fed Volatility XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold prices hover near ₹4,190 after an early-week rally as traders brace for U.S. Retail Sales data and a new round of Federal Reserve speeches later today. Recent gains were fueled by softer inflation readings, yet the dollar remains resilient amid hawkish undertones from Fed officials. Markets are now balancing between expectations of slower growth and persistent rate-cut caution. A stronger-than-expected Retail Sales print could pressure gold temporarily, but any dovish signal from Fed speakers may quickly restore bullish momentum. Expect liquidity hunts on both sides before a confirmed direction forms. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure remains bullish after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmation. • Price is approaching the Premium Zone (4211–4209) — a potential liquidity sweep area where short-term sellers may react. • Below, the H1 FVG Buy Zone (4145–4149) offers a discount entry aligned with recent BOS support and previous mitigation points. • Maintaining a bullish bias while awaiting clean reaction within the FVG zone is key for continuation toward new highs. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4211 – 4209 SL: 4218 TP targets: 4190 → 4175 → 4155 🟢 Buy Setup: 4145 – 4147 SL: 4138 TP targets: 4170 → 4190 → 4220+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entry to avoid false breaks. • Expect high volatility around Retail Sales and Fed remarks — spread widening is likely. • Partial take-profits near intra-day liquidity points are recommended. ✅ Summary XAUUSD remains bullish on structure but faces a potential liquidity grab around 4211–4209 before retracing into the H1 FVG buy zone (4145–4149). Smart money may seek to accumulate long positions after a controlled pullback, especially if Fed commentary echoes a slower policy tightening path. Intraday bias leans Buy the Dip, with caution around macro-driven volatility spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Record Highs in Focus📈 Steven-GoldTrading – XAUUSD: Record Highs in Focus, Prudent Strategies Amidst Fed Uncertainty Good afternoon to the UK Trading Community, Spot Gold (XAUUSD) has delivered an exceptional performance, decisively clearing the $4,200/ounce hurdle and establishing an unprecedented All-Time High (ATH). While some inevitable profit-taking is surfacing, the fundamental bullish structure remains firmly in place. 🧭 Market Intelligence & Core Sentiment Momentum Check: Gold’s robust ascent, jumping nearly 1.4% today, suggests the asset has broken free from conventional price ceilings. This momentum is encouraging a significant inflow of capital from private retail investors. The Fed Factor: The primary short-term concern stems from the ambiguous "Hawkish" commentary emanating from the Federal Reserve Chairman. This lack of clarity is injecting substantial volatility and triggering sharp, localised selling pressure (profit-taking). Structural View: The overarching strong uptrend persists. Any recent dips should be viewed as natural profit-taking episodes and not yet a conclusive shift in the prevailing market direction. 📊 Technical Deep Dive (30m Chart – XAUUSD) Referring to the 30-minute time frame, the price action is clearly encapsulated within a strong near-term Uptrend Channel. However, the market is currently testing a crucial resistance barrier. Critical Resistance Zone: Located between 4206–4210. This area represents a clear confluence point—the apex of the rising channel and a strong technical ceiling—making it the immediate source of any potential selling interest. Demand Zone (Buyer's Territory): Settled around 4145–4150. This marks a vital support area, offering a preferable entry point for trend-following long positions once a clear retracement materialises. Price Forecast: Having seen rejection at the channel's high, we anticipate a likelihood of price continuing to correct back towards our identified Demand Zone before gathering sufficient momentum for another attempt at the ATH. 🎯 Calculated Trading Scenarios for the Session We present balanced strategies to effectively trade the current high-volatility environment. 📉 Tactical Sell (Scalping the Retracement) This strategy aims to capture the short-term pullback from the immediate supply zone. 📍 Sell Entry: 4206 – 4208 🛑 SL: 4214 (A notably tight Stop Loss is essential given the overwhelming bullish bias) 🎯 TP Targets: 4188 → 4162 → 4144 → 4123 📈 Strategic Buy (Riding the Primary Trend) The prudent approach: waiting for the market to offer a better price at key support. 📍 Buy Entry: 4145 – 4147 (The high-probability Demand Zone) 🛑 SL: 4138 🎯 TP Targets: 4167 → 4192 → 4204 (Aiming for a potential sustained breakout) 📌 Conclusion and Forward View Gold is undeniably on a formidable upward trajectory. Nonetheless, the influence of central bank rhetoric is causing significant market chop and potential corrections. Recommended Action: We favour a tactical Sell Scalp at the resistance zone 4206–4208 alongside preparing for a strategic Trend-Following Buy at the key support 4145–4147. Capital Preservation: Maintaining a disciplined, tight Stop Loss and ensuring prudent position sizing is paramount while navigating these record-high volatility levels. I shall provide continuous daily updates on Gold, drawn from my 8 years of trading expertise. 👉 Be sure to follow for timely, detailed trade analysis!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritise buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡 Gold continues to make higher highs after a strong rise in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support point; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240. Key levels Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid). Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone). Trading scenarios Buy 1 – POC pullback Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245. If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritise buying. Buy 2 – Shallow retest If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 then rebounds above POC, additional buying is possible with SL 4,152, TP as above. Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160. Only trigger when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade. Invalidation & management Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge. After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯 Quick context The upward momentum is maintained due to expectations of the Fed ending QT/looser conditions and safe haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create a short-term reaction before the uptrend continues. Trade well with this scenario!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by radingserver91
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading around the ₹4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision. After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum. Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg. • Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity. • The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone. • Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB. • Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215 SL: 4224 TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160 🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058 SL: 4050 TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup. • Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels. • If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored. • Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions. The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold remains steady near ₹4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook. The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty. If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend. • Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup. • A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997). • The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls. • Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078 SL: 4087 TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000 🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997 SL: 3990 TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels. • If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored. • Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion. ✅ Summary Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders. After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it. Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakoutXAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakout | European–American session scenario & detailed trading plan 🟡 Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within the rising price channel. The European–American session prioritises buying in line with the trend at confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak zone. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30) Market Structure Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks. Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135. Key Price Zones & Confluence Support: 4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest. 4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and thick volume cluster (VPVR). Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, note reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618). Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see short rejection before deciding the next direction. Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are levels to monitor price action. Structure Reading Suggestion: If a “buy test trend” occurs near the channel bottom, prioritise finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights) Imperial Bank of Commerce: concerns over long-term inflation support gold’s rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination. State Street: delayed rate cuts expectations keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase. Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to lower rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold. Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs is cautious with copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises. Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; as yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130. 🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then) Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority) Entry: 4057–4059 SL: 4052 TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125 Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim channel boundary, continue buying with the trend. Scenario 2 — DEEP BUY at buy zone Entry: 4022–4024 SL: 4016 TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090 Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 thereafter. Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary) Only consider short selling when clear rejection appears at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target to pull back to 4100/4088. Do not chase price. Invalidation & Risk Management If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stand aside and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC). Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL principles first, position later. 🛡️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130. Technical H4→H1 The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation. Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032. Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988. Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130. Trading Plan Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone) Entry: 4,030–4,032 SL: 4,025 TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Buy 2 (medium-term POC) Entry: 3,988 SL: 3,980 TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry: 4,130 SL: 4,140 TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears. Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980. Quick Notes Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130. When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position. Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management. I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks. Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style) • The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement. • The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse. • The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup. • The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875 SL: 3866 TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132 SL: 4141 TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions. • Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events. • Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation. • Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries. Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely. With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops. 🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering. Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEADGOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEAD 🔍 Technical Overview Current Price: Around $4,036 – $4,040 Trendline: A key uptrend line (blue) has been broken, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Resistance Zone: Between $4,058 – $4,062, marked by red arrows 🚫 Support Zone: Near $3,930 – $3,940, highlighted by the purple box 🟪 📊 Market Structure The market recently made a lower high formation after failing to break above $4,062, indicating bearish divergence. Multiple rejection candles at the resistance zone confirm selling pressure 💣. The blue projection lines suggest a potential bearish retracement back toward the support zone around $3,930. 🧭 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes 🔺 Resistance 4,058 – 4,062 Double top zone, strong sellers present ⚖️ Mid-Level 4,000 Psychological round number, interim support 🟣 Support 3,930 – 3,940 Major buying interest, possible reversal zone 📉 Expected Price Action 🔻 Scenario 1 (Primary): Price may retest $4,050 – $4,060 resistance area, form another rejection, and drop toward $3,940 support. Potential short entry near $4,050 – $4,060 Target $3,940 Stop loss above $4,070 🔄 Scenario 2 (Alternative): If the price holds above $4,060, a breakout could trigger a bullish continuation toward $4,100+. 🧠 Trader’s Insight ⚠️ Bearish bias remains valid while below $4,060. 🕒 Watch for price reaction around the trendline retest and confirmation candles (bearish engulfing or pin bars). 📈 Smart traders might wait for confirmation below $4,000 before adding short positions. 💬 Summary ➡️ Bias: Bearish below $4,060 ➡️ Target: $3,940 ➡️ Invalidation: Break and close above $4,070 📍 “Trendlines break fast, but support zones hold stronger — trade smart, not fast.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ali-Traders-Pro
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding Strong!Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. The setup highlights: Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area. Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $4,101 🎯 Target 2: $4,150 🎯 Target 3: $4,200 Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout. 📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
2
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to shine past the ₹4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point. • The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter. • Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation. • Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070 SL: 4077 TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in. • On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops. • Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure. 🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Small Account Challenge in TradingWhy Small Account Challenges Are Popular Several factors make small account challenges attractive to traders: Low Financial Risk: Trading with a small account reduces the exposure to catastrophic losses. This makes it ideal for beginners or those who want to learn without risking life-changing amounts. Skill Development: Success in trading is more about strategy and discipline than capital. A small account forces traders to refine their skills, including technical analysis, market timing, and psychological control. Motivation: Turning a small sum into a meaningful amount, even modestly, provides immense satisfaction and confidence. Accessibility: Many brokers now allow trading with minimal capital, often under $100, making this challenge feasible for almost anyone. Key Challenges of Small Accounts While small account trading has its benefits, it also comes with significant hurdles: Limited Position Size: Small accounts restrict the ability to diversify or take large positions. This limitation can make profits small and slow to accumulate. High Impact of Fees and Commissions: Brokerage fees, spreads, and slippage affect small accounts disproportionately. A single losing trade can wipe out a large portion of the account if fees are high. Emotional Pressure: Small accounts require precision. Every loss feels magnified, which can create emotional stress and lead to impulsive decisions. Leverage Temptation: Traders often turn to leverage to amplify returns. While leverage can increase gains, it also exponentially increases risk, potentially wiping out a small account in seconds. Scaling Profits: Compounding small profits into substantial growth is slower compared to larger accounts, testing patience and consistency. Psychology of Small Account Trading The mental aspect of trading a small account is crucial. Many traders fail not due to strategy flaws but psychological weaknesses. Fear of Loss: With limited capital, fear of losing even a small amount can paralyze decision-making or cause early exits from trades. Overtrading: Small accounts often tempt traders to overtrade, chasing every opportunity to “grow fast,” which usually leads to losses. Discipline and Patience: Successful small account traders develop strong discipline—sticking to strategies, following risk management rules, and avoiding emotional trading. Mindset Shift: Instead of seeking quick wins, the focus should be on consistent, small gains and learning from each trade. Strategies for Small Account Success To thrive with a small trading account, traders need robust strategies tailored for low capital: 1. Risk Management Risk only 1–2% of the account per trade. Avoid leverage unless necessary and manageable. Use stop-loss orders to protect capital. 2. Focused Markets Trade highly liquid assets to ensure tight spreads and easy entry/exit. Examples: major forex pairs, popular stocks, ETFs, or index options. 3. Scalping and Short-Term Trades Short-term trades can maximize small capital by exploiting small price movements. Scalping requires focus and discipline but can be effective for small accounts. 4. Position Sizing Use micro-lots or fractional shares if possible. Avoid large positions that could risk the entire account on a single trade. 5. Learning and Record-Keeping Maintain a trading journal to track strategies, outcomes, and mistakes. Continuously refine your strategy based on performance and market conditions. The Role of Leverage Leverage is a double-edged sword for small accounts. While it allows traders to control larger positions with limited capital, it significantly increases risk. Pros: Potential for higher returns, faster account growth. Cons: Risk of complete account wipeout, emotional stress, and overtrading. A conservative approach is to use leverage sparingly, ensuring losses are manageable. Advantages of the Small Account Challenge Skill Mastery: Small accounts force traders to master discipline, strategy, and risk management. Reduced Financial Pressure: Losses are smaller, making it easier to learn without catastrophic consequences. Foundation for Larger Accounts: Mastery of small account trading sets the stage for trading larger accounts confidently. Psychological Resilience: Learning to control emotions in a small account builds mental toughness for the long term. Common Mistakes to Avoid Chasing Quick Profits: Avoid impulsive trades to grow the account too quickly. Ignoring Risk Management: Never risk too much of your account in a single trade. Overleveraging: High leverage may be tempting but is often disastrous. Neglecting Education: Continuous learning is crucial; rely on strategy and analysis, not luck. Trading Too Many Markets: Focus on one or two markets to gain expertise. Examples of Small Account Challenges Many traders have successfully turned small accounts into substantial portfolios by applying discipline and consistency: A forex trader may start with $500, risking 1–2% per trade, and after a year of disciplined trading, grow the account to $5,000. A stock trader using fractional shares might start with $1,000 and focus on swing trades, gradually increasing account size while managing risk carefully. The key is consistency, risk management, and learning from every trade. Practical Tips for Small Account Trading Start with Education: Learn technical analysis, chart patterns, indicators, and market fundamentals. Use Demo Accounts First: Test strategies without risking real money. Set Realistic Goals: Aim for steady growth (e.g., 5–10% per month) instead of unrealistic gains. Track Every Trade: Analyze winners and losers to refine strategy. Avoid High-Fee Brokers: Fees can eat small accounts quickly, so choose low-cost brokers. Control Emotions: Avoid revenge trading and stick to your trading plan. Conclusion The small account challenge is more than a test of financial skill—it’s a test of discipline, patience, and emotional intelligence. While growing a small trading account is difficult, it teaches invaluable lessons about risk management, trading psychology, and strategic thinking. Success in small account trading doesn’t come from luck or high-risk gambles; it comes from consistent, disciplined efforts, a strong strategy, and a mindset focused on learning rather than immediate profit. Traders who master small accounts set themselves up for long-term success, eventually handling larger accounts with confidence and expertise. In essence, a small account challenge is not just a trading exercise—it is a bootcamp for professional traders, shaping skills, mindset, and habits that last a lifetime.
MCX:GOLD1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
BTC is developing ~4R down side tradeBTC has done MSS on 4h time frame and showing rejection at 4H FVG after displacement. We can see a good downside trade once below FVG is mitigated and changed to iFVG. We need to wait for price getting into right zones. 1. Currently price is moving inside 4H FVG after displacement and showing rejection as well. 2. Price should break below FVG and retest. 3. There are several SIBIs which may be target for it and further buy side reversal trade. 4. RSI has already shown bearish divergence. Which support coming down move. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear any of the entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.PShort
by hari_log