Silver Bullish Breakout on Monthly & Weekly CharPattern Formed: Symmetrical Triangle (Long-Term Consolidation)
Breakout Type: Bullish Breakout on Monthly & Weekly Chart
Volume Confirmation: Strength in breakout with price expansion
Measured Move Target: ~$44 (based on triangle height projection)
Immediate Resistance Zone: $44.11 (Historical supply zone)
Support Levels Post-Breakout:
Immediate Support: $34.78
Strong Support: $33.28
Goldlong
Back to 4H Frame – Fed & Inflation Shape Gold PathGold on the 4H timeframe is consolidating near premium supply after multiple liquidity sweeps. Recent U.S. inflation data kept the dollar resilient, while traders anticipate upcoming Fed commentary for clearer policy direction. Price rejected from the 3,795 supply pocket and is now retracing toward discount demand zones. Market structure suggests engineered sweeps below support before bullish continuation into Q4.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,692 – 3,694 (SL 3,685): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab, ideal for continuation longs.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,795 – 3,797 (SL 3,804): Premium supply pocket where liquidity sweeps may trigger short-term rejections.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,692 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,715
TP2: 3,740
TP3: 3,760+
👉 Smart money may engineer a sweep below 3,694 before reversing higher. Watch for bullish rejection patterns at demand.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Supply Reaction
• Entry: 3,795 – 3,797
• Stop Loss: 3,804
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,780
TP2: 3,765
TP3: 3,750
👉 Short-term liquidity scalp opportunity against trend. Valid if price fails to break above breakout point.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish medium-term, but intraday sweeps into demand zones are expected as Fed officials continue to push cautious monetary guidance. Liquidity hunts around 3,795 supply and 3,694 demand will likely define the week’s volatility before a decisive breakout.
Traders Watch Gold Surge Ahead of Fed’s Next MoveGold 1H – Consolidation Before Fed Clarity
Gold on the 1H timeframe is currently trading around 3,746, moving within a well-defined consolidation range. Price action highlights a premium supply zone at 3,775–3,773 and a discount demand zone at 3,723–3,725. The market structure shows earlier signs of BOS and ChoCH, with engineered liquidity sweeps becoming evident. A potential Mitigation → Expansion sequence is in play, where a liquidity grab near discount demand could fuel a bullish leg toward premium supply.
From a macro perspective, today’s headlines underscore the cautious stance across financial markets as investors await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming guidance. Lingering inflationary concerns, coupled with speculation around the timing of future rate cuts, have kept volatility elevated. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks continue to underpin safe-haven demand for gold, adding an extra layer of support at discount levels.
This combination of technical liquidity zones and macro uncertainty sets the stage for tactical plays: fading moves into the supply zone while remaining prepared for dip-buying opportunities at defined demand areas.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,775–3,773 (SL 3,782): Supply zone coinciding with a buy-side liquidity pool above 3,780, offering downside targets at 3,760 → 3,745 → 3,730.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD 3,723–3,725 (SL 3,718): Discount demand aligned with liquidity grab potential, with upside targets at 3,745 → 3,760 → 3,775+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3,775–3,773)
• Entry: 3,775–3,773
• Stop Loss: 3,782
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,760
TP2: 3,745
TP3: 3,730
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3,723–3,725)
• Entry: 3,723–3,725
• Stop Loss: 3,718
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,745
TP2: 3,760
TP3: 3,775+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With the Fed’s next move looming, traders should anticipate engineered sweeps into both premium and discount liquidity pools before the market establishes clearer direction. The tactical edge comes from aligning intraday setups with liquidity hunts:
• Fade supply at 3,775–3,773 if rejection confirms.
• Buy dips into 3,723–3,725 if liquidity is swept cleanly.
The broader narrative of inflation concerns, dollar sensitivity, and safe-haven flows reinforces the case for two-sided opportunities. Expect gold to remain volatile within this consolidation range, with sharp moves likely as liquidity is targeted ahead of Fed clarity.
Wave 5 is about to start – today just time your Buy right!📊 Wave Perspective
The market is still following the scenario of one more wave 5 increase.
It is expected that on Friday morning, the price may move around 3765 to confirm the continuation trend.
After confirmation, there will be 2 important zones to time your Buy for the big wave.
✅ Trading Plan
Zone 1: High Entry – Main Priority
Entry: 3749 – 3751
SL: 3746
TP: 3792
This is the first buying point, suitable for those who want to enter the wave early following the trend.
Zone 2: Backup Entry – Last Support
Entry: 3738 – 3736
Maximum SL: 3730
TP: 3792
This is a strong support zone, if the price breaks zone 1, this will be the "timing" zone to re-enter.
Note: Since this is a backup entry, reduce Lot size, widen SL a bit, and tighten SL when the price matches to optimize risk.
📌 Capital Management Note
Every order must comply with SL to avoid risks.
Prioritize entering orders according to the big wave plan, avoid FOMO.
EA setup: should be set to Only Buy according to the upward wave perspective.
Analysis perspective is for reference only, combine with personal view before entering orders.
🎯 Expectation
If the scenario is correct, the price may complete wave 5 at target 3792.
Upon reaching TP, partial take profit can be done to secure profits.
GOLD TREND TODAY - Support and Resistance - Simple Analysis📈 Trend & Market Structure
XAUUSD
Gold is still in a clear uptrend, respecting higher highs and higher lows on H4.
Recent breakout structures (BOS) confirm bullish order flow, but price is approaching a liquidity zone near $3,800.
On the downside, unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and Order Blocks (OB) remain potential buy zones if price retraces.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3800 – 3830
Support: 3765 – 3760 – 3755
Liquidity Buy Zone: 3715 – 3712
📌 Trade Ideas
🔴 SELL Setup (Countertrend / Scalping)
Entry: 3855 – 3858
Stop Loss: 3863
Take Profit:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3840
TP3: 3820
TP4: 3800
Open TP: 3780
🟢 BUY Setup (Trend-following / SMC zones)
Entry: 3715 – 3712 (Liquidity + Strong OB)
Stop Loss: 3705
Take Profit:
TP1: 3725
TP2: 3735
TP3: 3755
TP4: 3775
Open TP: 3800
🎯 Strategy Note
Main bias: Look for buys on retracements in line with the uptrend.
Shorts at 3855 – 3858 are countertrend scalps only; use tight stops.
Apply scalping entries once price reacts at the defined S/R levels with confirmation (candlestick rejection, BOS, or volume shift).
Always use SL/TP for risk management.
⚡ Gold remains bullish overall; the plan favors buy opportunities from demand zones, while countertrend shorts should be quick and managed tightly.
Gold 1H – Inflation Worries & Risk Sentiment Guide MovesGold on the 1H chart is hovering near 3,753 after multiple BOS confirmations, holding a firm bullish bias yet approaching premium resistance. Liquidity sits above 3,787–3,785, while fresh demand zones are placed at 3,725–3,723 and deeper at 3,688–3,686.
Today’s narrative around sticky U.S. inflation expectations and renewed geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe is boosting safe-haven appetite. Still, intraday price action suggests possible liquidity sweeps into resistance before price retraces back towards demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,787–3,785 (SL 3,794): Premium resistance where liquidity runs may spark short-term selling towards 3,780 → 3,775 → 3,770.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,723 (SL 3,718): Pullback demand aligned with structure, favouring longs towards 3,740 → 3,755 → 3,770+.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,688–3,686 (SL 3,680): Deeper discount demand area, attractive for positional buys targeting 3,700 → 3,715 → 3,730+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback Demand (3,725–3,723)
• Entry: 3,725–3,723
• Stop Loss: 3,718
• Targets:
TP1: 3,740
TP2: 3,755
TP3: 3,770+
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,688–3,686)
• Entry: 3,688–3,686
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Targets:
TP1: 3,700
TP2: 3,715
TP3: 3,730+
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep (3,787–3,785)
• Entry: 3,787–3,785
• Stop Loss: 3,794
• Targets:
TP1: 3,780
TP2: 3,775
TP3: 3,770
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🔑 Strategy Note
Rising inflation concerns and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are keeping gold buyers in play. However, smart money could drive engineered stop-hunts near premium resistance before retracements set in. The bias remains buy-on-dips around key supports, while short-term scalps against liquidity sweeps near 3,787–3,785 should be approached with caution. Volatility is expected as markets digest U.S. inflation updates and risk headlines.
BUYER FOMO: BREAK ALL THE RULES📌 GOLD – Trading Plan OANDA:XAUUSD
Follow Signals On weekend Linda published you got SELL PLAN 3720 +120PIPS
Absolutely that up first down after:
1. Market Context (H1)
Main trend: Bullish (following several upward BOS).
The price has just broken the peak and created new liquidity above the 3715 – 3720 zone.
Below, there are CP Orders + FVG at 3693 / 3669 / 3650 → the price may retrace to test demand before continuing to rise.
Above: the 3749 – 3750 zone is a strong resistance, likely to see liquidity sweeps.
2. Main Scenario – BUY with the trend
Entry 1: CP ORDER + Trend Timing
Zone: 3693 – 3695.
Stoploss: 3685.
TP1: 3715.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R ratio: ~1:3.
Entry 2: Deeper CP ORDER
Zone: 3669 – 3670.
Stoploss: 3660.
TP1: 3710.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R: ~1:4.
Entry 3: Final FVG
Zone: 3650 – 3655.
Stoploss: 3640.
TP: 3710 – 3720.
This is the final entry; if it breaks, consider the trend reversed.
3. Alternative Scenario – SELL counter-trend (scalp)
Entry Sell
Zone: 3749 – 3750 (resistance + liquidity).
Stoploss: 3757.
TP1: 3730 – 3735.
TP2: 3695 – 3670 (if selling pressure is strong).
Confirmation required on M5/M15:
MSS down.
Bearish engulfing.
Long wick rejection.
4. Capital Management
Total risk for the day: max 3 – 4% of the account.
Each trade risk 1 – 1.5%.
Prioritize Buy, Sell is just a small scalp.
If the price hits TP1 → move SL to entry, let the rest run.
5. Notes
Main trend: Bullish, don't attempt too many counter-sells.
Only sell when clear signals appear at 3749 – 3750.
The 3693/3669 mark is a key zone → if it breaks strongly, wait for trend confirmation.
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase.
Trading Scenario
Buy aligned with the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689)
• Entry: 3,687–3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,695
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,715+.
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656)
• Entry: 3,654–3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,647
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,685
TP3: 3,700+
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718)
• Entry: 3,718–3,716
• Stop Loss: 3,725
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,710
TP2: 3,700
TP3: 3,690.
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🔑 Strategy Note
The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction.
The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs.
A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'.
If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618).
Trading Scenarios
Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery.
The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions.
Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities.
Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
XAUUSD - Flag PatternWhats your take on Guys.
#Institutions Consolidation going on - #Accumulation or #Distribution.
Kind of #Triangle #pattern in formation, ##Flagpattern. DO your analysis, Enter trade on Breakout and confirmation side. Trade with #confluence. i would say accumulate at bottom of pattern with SL and Participate in full swing before #Breakout.
GOLD – Breakout / Swept High – Where to BUY?1. Market Overview
Gold prices are consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after showing a short-term bearish structure.
On the H1 chart, we can see clear supply and demand zones:
• Liquidity Buy Zone near 3640 (potential demand area).
• Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The broader higher-timeframe trend is still bullish, but in the near term the market is retesting liquidity levels.
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2. Key Levels & Zones
• Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → important support.
• Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
• Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
• Long-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
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3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (with trend)
• Wait for price to revisit the Liquidity Buy Zone (3640 – 3645).
• If bullish reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing candle, etc.), consider entering a Long position.
🎯 Targets:
• Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
• Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (higher high).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
• If price pushes into the Sell Scalp Zone (3670 – 3680) and faces strong rejection → take a Short scalp.
• 🎯 Target: 3640 – 3645.
⚠ Note: Shorts go against the main bullish trend, so they should be managed quickly and not held for long.
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4. Trade Management Notes
• Focus on Long trades near support, as higher timeframe bias is still bullish.
• Short positions should only be taken as scalp setups near resistance.
• Risk control: limit risk to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding trades against the main trend.
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📌 Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance zone.
• A successful breakout may lead price towards 3700+.
• Otherwise, the market is likely to dip back into 3640 before starting the next bullish leg.
GOLD - Breakout / Swept High appear - Where to BUY ? 🟡 OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Daily Plan – September 19, 2025
1. Market Overview
Price is consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after forming a short-term bearish structure.
On H1, several supply & demand zones are highlighted:
Liquidity Buy Zone around 3640 (potential demand).
Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The overall higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, but in the short term, the market is retesting liquidity areas.
2. Key Levels & Zones
Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → key support.
Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
Longer-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (trend-aligned)
Wait for price to retest Liquidity Buy zone 3640 – 3645.
If reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing, etc.), consider opening Long.
Targets:
Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (HH).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
If price retraces into Sell Scalp Zone 3670 – 3680 and shows strong rejection → Short scalp opportunity.
Target: 3640 – 3645.
Note: Short trades are counter-trend, so manage quickly.
4. Trade Management Notes
Prioritize Longs from support zones since the higher-timeframe trend is still bullish.
Shorts should only be seen as short-term scalp opportunities near resistance.
Risk management: limit to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding against the main trend.
📌 Conclusion: XAUUSD is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance area. A successful breakout could target 3700+. Otherwise, the market is likely to revisit 3640 before launching the next bullish leg.
Gold Chart Analysis and Price PredictioinGold Chart Analysis and Price Prediction
The Gold Chart is seen to to making Cup and Handle pattern which indicates a bullish sign. Market completely absorbed FED interest cut decisions. Even though in the FED press meet he signed uncertainty in further anticipated rate cuts, Gold is showing bullish sign. A probable break out could be witness after 23 Sepetember'2025.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
“XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659.
Current Setup:
The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward.
A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709.
Bias:
As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored.
If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
Gold – Reversals to TrendsOur system thrives on dual strength — catching reversals at the turn and riding the trend that follows.
MCX:GOLDM1! has been the perfect example.
Precision entries on reversals, disciplined trailing on momentum.
This edge has delivered multiple double-digit “R” trades.
Risk stays small, reward compounds big.
That’s the power of rules executed with patience.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend EmergingHello traders, gold has just formed a new structure as it began a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a clear bearish Dow structure is developing, indicating potential medium-term sustainability.
Most buy-side liquidity has already been cleared, which makes the chances of a strong recovery quite low – except for a brief FVG right after the news. However, given overall market sentiment, trading activity in that phase was not significant. The gap formation signals that sellers are now confident in taking control after the Fed’s statement.
The current decline could push gold towards the 363x region, and possibly as far as 361x. A key confirmation level remains at the strong support of 3651, where price previously bounced more than 20 dollars immediately after the news.
Trading plan for today:
Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615
Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660
Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660
This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD for today – use it as a reference for your own trading decisions. If you find this analysis helpful, do follow me for more gold trading scenarios and daily insights.
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H)
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703)
Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660)
Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630)
Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based)
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665)
• Entry: 3,674 – 3,665
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,685
o TP2: 3,695
o TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638)
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,638
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,655
o TP2: 3,670
o TP3: 3,680+
👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694)
• Entry: 3,696 – 3,694
• Stop Loss: 3,703
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,690
o TP2: 3,685
o TP3: 3,680
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.