GOLD before FOMC - Waiting for a nice BreakNow, the focus is entirely on the minutes of the Fed's June meeting, for any further signals on the direction of US interest rates.
This trend indicates that gold will come under more pressure in the coming months, although expectations of a potential recession in the US have also boosted some safe-haven demand for the yellow metal.
Gold is waiting for a break out of the 1931.5$ price zone to break out to find the target of 1940$ and 1950$ in the near term. If implementing Break out strategy. Pay attention to the nearest resistance around 1924$
SELL GOLD zone at: $1937 - $1940 - $ SL $1945
SELL GOLD zone at: $1925 - $1928 SL - $1932 (small lot)
Based on technical analysis indicators EMA 34, EMA 89 with strong resistance zone $1940 - $1943
Goldlong
GOLD 3/7: Gold price in early June before a slight recoveryThe gold price might not suffer significant losses due to the current economic challenges. The concerns about a global economic downturn, especially in China, could provide some support to the safe-haven precious metal and prevent more significant declines, at least for now. Market worries persist even after the release of a slightly better-than-expected Chinese Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June, which recorded a reading of 50.5, slightly lower than the previous month's reading of 50.9. This could discourage traders from making new pessimistic bets on the gold price before important macroeconomic data is released in the US at the beginning of the next month.
Gold price today is fluctuating at $1910 - $1920. A slight rally is forming
SET up BUY GOLD at zone : $1910 - $1912 sl 1902
Based on EMA 34, EMA 89 moving average technical analysis indicator to trend on 7/3/2023
GOLD BUY IDEAGOLD ANALYSIS:
GOLD has been one of the most considered safe haven against the fall of USD.
Most investors turned to consider GOLD as a safe haven due to following factors:
The CORE PCE fall as expected on Friday where this indicates that FED will not out more efforts for tightening since the stubborn inflation is coming close to target.
FED may pause rate hikes this year (2023) because inflation is on hand and coming closely to target which is 2%.
Technically and for longer term GOLD is bearish however the current bullish waves gave room for us to closely look at important zones where we have 1893.
The price has bounced from the area level now 1893 and 1911.722 because traders found the area as 61.8 Retracement of current high around 1922.689, hence there may be correction from this level back to 1904.293 which will definitely be our entry zone.
Technically GOLD turns bullish for the short term where an inverted H&S formed and its neckline was broken above, our entry for the broken neckline of inverted H&S will exactly be the same level of 61.8 Retracement level of the current high which is 1904.770.
GOLD 1908$ - 1900$. The bulls are activating the guard forceGold traders are closely watching the potential Bear Cross on the daily chart, which is responsible for the recent decline in the price of Gold.
To confirm the bearish momentum, the Gold price needs to close below the downward-sloping EMA34 and cut through the EMA89 from above.
At the moment, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the midline, indicating that there are still downward risks for the Gold price.
If the price continues to drop, it is expected to find immediate support at the low of $1,908 on March 16. If this level is breached, the price could further decline towards the $1,900 mark. The March 15 low of $1,886 will be a crucial level for Gold buyers.
On the other hand, if the price starts to rise, it will face strong resistance around the $1,930 region. Breaking above this level will challenge the bearish trend and test the confluence of the 21 and 100 DMAs at $1,944. The next significant target for the upward movement is the psychological level of $1,950.
BUY GOLD zone at: $1904 - $1900
SL $1895
SELL GOLD zone at : $1926 - $1928 - $ SL $1934 (It is best to carefully review the FOMC news before entering the order)
GOLD 29/6 ? Gold has collapsed below $1900Gold price prediction: XAU/USD is facing difficulties near its lowest point in several months and appears to be at risk of further decline.
The price of Gold is being negatively influenced by central banks taking a more aggressive stance. Major central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE), have indicated the possibility of further interest rate hikes. ECB President Christine Lagarde recently commented that inflation in the Eurozone is entering a new phase that could persist for some time. Lagarde also mentioned that the central bank is unlikely to confidently say that peak rates have been reached in the near future. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, speaking at the ECB conference, suggested that interest rates could remain at their peak levels for a longer period than what traders currently anticipate.
Gold price today is approaching the price range $1900-$1903
BUY zone at: $1900 - $1903
Based on technical analysis indicators EMA 34, EMA 89 , strong support zone 1900
GOLD 30/6 $$ Gold price continues to be limited, difficultThe USD is being supported by higher US bond yields, which is limiting the upside potential of XAU/USD.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has restated that the Fed is likely to raise interest rates twice this year and does not expect inflation to reach the target of 2% until 2025. These statements, combined with positive US macro data released on Thursday, have reinforced expectations for a 25bps rate hike at the upcoming FOMC policy meeting on July 25-26. As a result, US Treasury bond yields have remained high and the USD bulls are benefiting. This suggests that the Gold price is more likely to decrease than increase.
Gold price prediction at the end of June has not yet prospered, it can be kept at $1900 1 for a short time
BUY GOLD zone at: $1895 - $1898 sl $1888
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA 89 and US political economic news, buy BUY gold as the plan above
GOLD 29/6 $$ Gold's power is limited by the dollarThe XAU/USD pair is being negatively affected by the moderate strength of the US Dollar. The Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, has stated that there may be two rate increases this year, and it is possible that the next policy meeting on July 25-26 could result in a lift-off. Powell also mentioned that he does not expect inflation to reach the Fed's 2% target until 2025. As a result, the US Dollar remains strong, reaching a two-week high, which in turn puts pressure on the price of Gold. However, concerns about economic headwinds caused by rapidly increasing borrowing costs could prevent traders from taking aggressive bearish positions on the safe-haven precious metal. This could help limit any further losses, at least for now.
Today, gold price still tends to recover slightly, but still can't go up and down is still the main thing
Set up BUY GOLD zone $1900 -$1903
Based on technical analysis indicators EMA 34, EMA 89 , strong support zone $1900
Powell hints at 2 more hikes, sends gold lower Powell hints at 2 more hikes, sends gold lower
The US dollar rose on Wednesday after the gathering of central bank leaders worldwide, which included Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. During the meeting, Powell left open the possibility of the Federal Reserve implementing two more rate hikes this year. Furthermore, Powell stated that he does not anticipate inflation reaching the Federal Reserve's target of 2% until the year 2025.
However, investors might be hanging onto the words of Powell a little too tightly considering his central bank counterparts in the ECB and BoE presented more hawkish remarks (natural for the stickiness of inflation that these regions are facing). Christine Lagarde emphasized that the European Central Bank (ECB) remains unconvinced by the available evidence inflation is falling in the Euro Area. A revision by investors might be in order.
With the rise in the USD, we are also seeing selling pressure in the XAU/USD for a third straight day.
Currently, gold is hovering around $1,909 and maintaining a bearish outlook, with the potential to breach the $1,900 level. The daily chart reveals that the precious metal has dropped further below both the 20 and 100 Simple Moving Averages, which are currently converging at $1,943.
Among the current levels, $1,875 perhaps stands out as the most significant support level. Despite previously acting as a resistance point, it has served as a pivot on multiple occasions.
GOLD 27/6 $$$ Will the bears prevail now?Investors will be closely watching speeches by top central bank officials this week, including ECB President Christine Lagarde, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. These speeches will be given at a panel discussion in Sintra on Wednesday. Additionally, Tuesday's US economic releases, such as Durable Goods Orders, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, New Home Sales, and Richmond Manufacturing Index, will also be important in influencing the price of Gold. Despite concerns of a potential recession, the downside for Gold is expected to be limited due to its status as a safe-haven asset.
Gold price is currently trading around the $1927 mark, the momentary downtrend is taking up the majority
Can buy zone at:
BUY ZONE : $1910 - $1913
AND BIG BUY zone : $1903 - $1900 sl 1890
Analysis of moving averages EMA 34, EMA 89 with stiff support at $1900 to BUY
Buy GoldIn one day time frame we can see a w pattern is forming and trading.
My view on Gold is trading at a fare value my view is to buy some quantity.
After breaking the neckline of w enter as your risk.
With a small stoploss.
Buying zone Target and stop loss everything is mentioned in chart.
It will take around 1 to 2 months to reach Target 🎯
GOLD 08/06/2023 Bears have the upper handTVC:GOLD price seesaws around the intraday high as it prints slight gains after dropping the most in a week the previous day. Even so, TVC:GOLD remains indecisive on a weekly basis as markets struggle to find clear direction amid a blackout ahead of the Fed and mixed feelings on growth concerns Global.
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) flagged concerns about a weak global economic transition amid higher interest rates and spurred buyers of TVC:GOLD , especially after a rate hike surprise rates from central banks in Australia and Canada. However, the easing of concerns about the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike by 0.25% in June contrasts with the possibility of a rate hike in July to underpin the Gold Price rally towards the end. year.
SELL GOLD zone 1953 - 1955
Stop Loss : 1958
Take profit1 : 1948
Take profit 2: 1940
Take profit 3: 1935
Note: Installing TP SL fully wins the market and is safe in trading
GOLD is stuck in the price zone 1950$-1955$Gold price in a three-day rally near $1965 as the US Dollar remained bearish early Wednesday. In doing so, the precious metal also cheered hopes for more China stimulus and cautious optimism in the market amid the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policymakers' disapproval. any speech due to a power outage before the FOMC, as well as due to a light schedule.
That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses the previous day's corrective recovery while taking offers around 104.00, down 0.10% on a day-to-day basis by press time. In doing so, the greenback's measure against six major currencies suffers from a market that bets on the Fed's next move.
I expect gold to return to the 1965-1964 price range and then continue the uptrend that was formed earlier. My expectation is that gold will reach the 1976 zone.
Stoploss will be around 5 prices per order.
Make sure you have TP, SL to win the market.
Do you think gold will rise today?The price of gold rebounded after hitting a low point not seen in over two months.
This was due to the recent data showing that the US services sector had experienced minimal growth in May, which halted several months of strong market growth.
The weakened dollar was also beneficial to metal markets, with gold being a safe-haven asset.
However, it is expected that US interest rates will remain high this year, limiting the potential for significant gains in metal prices.
Despite this, it is possible that the value of gold will increase later in the year as the US economy weakens.
In general, in the short term, Gold can still maintain its upward momentum, if the 1950-1940 price zone can still hold the bears. Then it's not a difficult thing to crawl back to 1975 or even 1985
NFP report: How Will it Shape the Gold Trend?NFP report: How Will it Shape the Gold Trend?
Gold prices experienced a rise on Tuesday and Thursday (sideways on Wednesday), driven by traders' expectations of another interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve. But is the medium-term downtrend really over?
One fundamental indicator that can help answer this question is the nonfarm payrolls, due to be released this Friday (US time). Any unexpected outcomes could lead to heightened volatility in rate-sensitive assets such as gold.
Market projections indicate that the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will show a slowdown in job additions to the economy, with 190,000 jobs compared to the 253,000 jobs added in April. Interestingly, the forecast for the previous month was also around 190,000 jobs.
The nonfarm payroll data serves as the final key indicator ahead of the release of inflation data on June 14 and the concurrent interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.
Market sentiment currently suggests a 60% probability of a 25 basis-point interest rate hike during the Federal Reserve's upcoming June meeting, compared to a 26% chance observed a week earlier. If implemented, this would mark the central bank's 11th consecutive rate increase.
Gold was trading around $1,932, reaching its lowest level since March 17 before its incline began on Tuesday. While Thursday was a positive day for the metal, it still retraced about half of its gains on the day and now trades at approximately $1,960. It peaked at $1,974, which is the most immediate resistance level but without much historical precedence. Considering the NFP is still two days away, this level might become irrelevant.
$1,985 is a level with more medium-term precedence but will have to wait until closer to the release of the data to tell if this level is something that needs to be watched. If gold turns to the downside, it might pay to keep an eye on $1,938 as a support level.