PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP
Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones.
The selling pressure came from:
Profit-taking after the recent strong rally.
USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading).
Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment.
🧐 WHAT’S NEXT?
If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x.
If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction.
🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN
1️⃣ BUY SCALP
📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329
📌 SL: 3325
📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
2️⃣ BUY ZONE
📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308
📌 SL: 3304
📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ???
3️⃣ SELL SCALP
📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365
📌 SL: 3370
📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340
4️⃣ SELL ZONE
📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378
📌 SL: 3382
📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
⚠️ RISK NOTE
CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts.
Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
Goldplan
XAUUSD Weekly Plan Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?XAUUSD Weekly Plan – Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?
1. Market Context
Last week, Gold kept moving inside the H2–H4 bullish channel, pushing into the FVG High Zone and approaching the major resistance at 3426–3428 (OBS Sell Zone).
Momentum is fading – candles are compressing, and volume is dropping – signaling potential distribution.
2. Macro Outlook (High-Impact USD Data Ahead)
CPI – Aug 12 → Primary driver.
PPI – Aug 14 → Usually a leading signal for CPI.
Unemployment Claims – Aug 14 → Short-term impact.
Expectations:
CPI & PPI likely better than previous month → USD strength → Gold correction (liquidity sweep to the downside).
Weaker-than-expected CPI/PPI → USD weakness → Gold could spike for one last bullish leg before reversing.
3. Technical Overview
H2 bullish channel top aligns with FVG High Zone → big players’ sell limit & profit-taking area.
Main scenario: Test 3426–3428 → Bearish reaction → Channel breakdown → Retest 3395–3400 (VPOC) → Drop toward liquidity pools below.
4. Key Levels
SELL Zone: 3426 – 3428
SL: 3434
TP: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
BUY Zone: 3330 – 3328
SL: 3322
TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380
5. Trading Plan
🔹 Primary SELL Setup:
Wait for price to reach 3426–3428 with H1/H2 bearish candle confirmation.
Take profits gradually at each downside target.
🔹 Counter-trend BUY:
Enter only if price sweeps liquidity into 3330–3328 with strong bullish reaction.
6. Trader’s Notes
Gold may still push $30–$40 higher early next week before hitting OBS Sell Zone.
Expect large SELL volume once in this zone (profit-taking + top-picking by big players).
This should be a short-term correction, not a full trend reversal.
Best to SELL from highs and hold after a confirmed channel breakdown.
7. Risk Note
High-impact week → Possible false breaks before/after CPI & PPI.
Avoid oversized positions during news releases.
A break & hold above 3434 with strong volume invalidates SELL scenario → wait for new structure.
📌 Summary:
Bias: SELL from 3426–3428 → Target liquidity pools down to 3360.
Backup Plan: BUY from 3330–3328 if liquidity grab confirmed.
Manage risk tightly, especially during high-volatility events.
— MMFlow Trading
GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave – GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave
Gold is currently trading inside a large sideways triangle pattern, with price compressing toward the apex. However, based on recent candle structure and yesterday’s reaction at the key level, there’s strong momentum building for bullish continuation—likely forming a Wave 3 breakout if price can decisively break above the current descending trendline.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
✅ BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 (confluence of CP ZONE + GAP + OBS BUY from yesterday)
📈 Price already reacted with +160 PIPS profit from this zone, confirming buyer control
⛓️ Descending trendline is compressing price – a breakout above it could unleash strong bullish momentum
🔄 SELL ZONE: 3339 – 3341 marked by OBS SELL ZONE + liquidity layer
📰 Fundamental Focus:
Today is Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. With current forecasts pointing toward weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, the dollar could face pressure—creating the perfect scenario for gold to spike higher on BUY-side FOMO.
📌 Trade Plan:
🎯 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274
❌ Stop Loss: 3270
🎯 Take Profits:
3280 – 3284 – 3290 – 3294 – 3300 – 3305 – 3310 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350
⚠️ SELL ZONE (counter-trend): 3339 – 3341
❌ Stop Loss: 3345
🎯 Take Profits:
3335 – 3330 – 3325 – 3320 – 3315 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
📌 Key Notes:
Favor BUY setups in line with the trend—focus on reaction zones outlined on the chart.
If NFP data is bearish for the dollar, wait for strong confluences before entering any SELL, and avoid shorting prematurely against bullish momentum.
GOLD: Is This a Bottom or the Calm Before the Storm?🌐 Fundamental & Macro Landscape
The recent US–EU trade and defense pact has temporarily reduced gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
The US Dollar and stock markets remain strong thanks to positive macroeconomic data.
Current sentiment is risk-on, which typically shifts capital away from metals and into riskier assets.
But the real volatility could come later this week:
📅 High-Impact Events to Watch:
US ADP Employment Report
FOMC Statement + Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
These will likely decide whether gold resumes its uptrend or continues sliding lower.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold is currently trading within a parallel bullish channel after rebounding from local lows.
However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone around 3342, where we might see either a breakout or a rejection, depending on market sentiment during the upcoming data releases.
🔍 Key Price Zones
🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342
🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618)
🔻 High-Liquidity Demand Area: 3293–3290
🔻 Deep Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273
🔺 Long-Term Resistance Target: 3416
📈 Trade Plan – Based on Price Reaction, Not Prediction
The best trades come from waiting for the right reaction at key zones. No chasing. No guessing.
✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup)
Entry: 3293 – 3291
Stop Loss: 3286
Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
🟢 Works well in high-liquidity zones for quick short-term gains.
✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deeper Support (Swing Setup)
Entry: 3275 – 3273
Stop Loss: 3269
Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330
🟢 Great setup if price absorbs selling pressure and reverses from FVG demand.
❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Short-Term Resistance
Entry: 3340 – 3342
Stop Loss: 3346
Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 Valid only if price fails to reclaim above 3342.
❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone
Entry: 3369 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3376
Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320
🔴 Higher risk – only act after confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks or bearish candle pattern).
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
Avoid entering right at London or New York opens – too much volatility and false breakouts.
Always wait for confirmation (candle rejection, pin bars, engulfing, etc.).
Use strict stop-loss rules – FOMC + NFP can spike price in both directions.
💡 Final Tips for Indian Traders
Trade with patience – the best setups often appear when others are panicking.
Respect your capital – don’t overleverage during high-volatility news events.
Focus on price action – not emotions or fixed bias.
📌 If you found this gold analysis helpful, feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments or follow for daily updates on XAU/USD.
Let’s grow and trade smarter, one setup at a time.
Namaste 🙏 | Trade safe, trade with clarity.
GOLD: Is This Just the Calm Before a Bigger Move? – GOLD: Is This Just the Calm Before a Bigger Move?
Gold has dropped nearly $50 in the last 4 sessions — showing strong bearish momentum, but is the downside exhausted? Or is this just a pause before continuation?
🔍 Macro Drivers:
Recent US–EU defense and trade agreements have weighed on gold's safe-haven appeal.
Strong US economic data has pushed USD and equities higher, redirecting flows out of precious metals.
Market sentiment is leaning short-term risk-on, which is bearish for gold – but key technical levels are approaching.
📊 Technical Context – H12 Structure:
Price broke below 3,342 key support, retested it and rejected — validating short-term supply zone.
Price is now consolidating between Sell-side liquidity (3,301–3,292) and deeper FVG/OBS zone around 3,270.
Above, multiple sell zones align at Fib 0.5–0.618 retracement with order blocks and fair value gaps.
🔧 Trade Scenarios (Plan for Reaction – Not Prediction):
🟢 BUY SCALP – Quick bounce off demand zone
Entry: 3,292 – 3,290
SL: 3,285
TPs: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,315 → 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330
📍Low-risk intraday bounce play from liquidity pocket
🟢 BUY SWING – Deeper test of FVG/OBS zone
Entry: 3,272 – 3,270
SL: 3,265
TPs: 3,276 → 3,280 → 3,284 → 3,288 → 3,292 → 3,294 → 3,300 → open
📍Higher R:R setup if price sweeps final liquidity zone
🔴 SELL SCALP – Rejection from short-term resistance
Entry: 3,340 – 3,342
SL: 3,346
TPs: 3,335 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310
📍Reaction-based trade if price fails to reclaim the zone
🔴 SELL SWING – Deeper pullback into macro zone
Entry: 3,370 – 3,372
SL: 3,376
TPs: 3,365 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320
📍FVG + CP zone overlap with strong OB; ideal for patient sellers
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch for false breakouts/liquidity traps near session opens.
Wait for price confirmation; reaction over prediction.
Maintain disciplined risk management – this is a volatile area.
🧭 I’ll be tracking price behavior at these zones closely.
If this approach to mapping price action resonates with you —
Feel free to stay connected or share your bias in the comments.
Watch for a Potential Pullback (July 23) - GOLD PLAN XAUUSD – Is the Bullish Wave Losing Steam? Watch for a Potential Pullback (July 23)
📰 Market Overview
Gold made a strong rally last night, fueled by:
Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which avoided any controversial remarks or hints about stepping down.
Rising geopolitical tensions between the US, China, and the EU, with August 1st looming as a critical deadline.
A dip in US bond yields and the dollar, giving risk assets — including gold — room to rise.
While there’s no major news on today’s calendar, the market could remain volatile within a wide range.
📉 Technical Outlook
Gold seems to be wrapping up its bullish wave as seen on the H4 chart. On the H1 and M30 timeframes, reversal candles are starting to form — an early signal of potential correction.
The short-term support at 3412 – 3410 is the key zone to watch. If that breaks and we get a clean breakdown from the trendline, a deeper pullback could be underway — possibly heading toward liquidity zones lower down.
Two main Fair Value Gap (FVG) areas on H1 are also in play as high-probability liquidity targets.
Down at the 335x region, we have a confluence of FIB 0.618 retracement and historical buying interest — making it an attractive zone for long setups if the price reacts properly.
📌 Trade Setups for Today
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3469 – 3471
Stop Loss: 3475
Take Profits: 3465, 3460, 3455, 3450, 3445, 3440, 3430, 3420
→ Ideal zone to look for bearish setups after a retest.
🔸 BUY SCALP: 3385 – 3383
Stop Loss: 3379
Take Profits: 3390, 3394, 3398, 3402, 3406, 3410
→ Short-term buy for intraday traders catching the pullback.
🔹 LONG-TERM BUY ZONE: 3356 – 3354
Stop Loss: 3350
Take Profits: 3360, 3364, 3368, 3372, 3376, 3380, 3390, 3400
→ This is the deep liquidity zone worth watching for high-conviction buy entries.
⚠️ Risk Reminder
With fewer news catalysts, gold may trap traders by sweeping liquidity in both directions.
Stick to your plan, follow TP/SL strictly, and avoid chasing price. Let the market come to you.
💬 Sometimes the best trade is waiting for the right level. Stay patient, stay sharp.
GOLD PLAN 21/07 – START OF THE WEEK FACES STRONG RESISTANCE GOLD PLAN 21/07 – START OF THE WEEK FACES STRONG RESISTANCE – WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION!
Market Overview:
Gold rebounded swiftly after a minor correction late last week, mainly fueled by ongoing geopolitical tensions. While there are no major economic events scheduled this week, macro headlines and global conflicts will likely drive volatility and direction for gold prices in the coming sessions.
Technical Outlook:
Price is quickly approaching a key resistance zone and may retest the Buy Side Liquidity area around 3377 – 3380.
A short-term reaction from sellers is possible, aiming to fill the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) below.
⚠️ Selling at current levels carries higher risk unless clear reversal signals appear. Patience is key!
Trading Plan for Today:
🔹 BUY ZONE: 3331 – 3329
SL: 3325
TP Targets:
3335 – 3340 – 3344 – 3348 – 3352 – 3358 – 3364 – 3370
🔹 SELL ZONE (risky – confirmation needed): 3377 – 3379
SL: 3383
TP Targets:
3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3350
Key Notes:
The 3347 zone currently acts as short-term support for bulls. If this breaks, gold may slide back to fill lower FVG zones.
Watch closely for volume activity during the London session to confirm intraday bias.
Always respect your SL/TP levels to protect your capital, especially early in the week when volatility can spike unpredictably.
💬 Stay patient, trust the structure, and let price come to your zones. Trading is a game of waiting, not chasing!
Good luck, traders!
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK | JULY 21–25 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK | JULY 21–25
Get Ready for a New Trading Week 🇮🇳
🔍 Market Recap:
Gold showed a strong bullish reversal late last week after sweeping liquidity around the FVG ZONE near 3310. Price quickly surged toward the OBS SELL ZONE around 335x–336x.
By Friday’s close, however, price reacted sharply to a confluence of technical zones (OBS + FIBO) and settled below the VPOC, hinting at a potential short-term top.
📉 Outlook for July 21–25:
📌 No major economic events are lined up next week.
⚠️ However, geopolitical tensions, global trade policies, and military news could bring sudden volatility.
Stay alert for unexpected liquidity spikes!
🧠 Technical Setup – H1 Mid-Term View:
Gold has been forming multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) due to aggressive bullish moves.
While price has reached new highs, lower FVG zones remain unfilled – creating a strong possibility of a retracement.
🔁 Expected Scenario:
We may see price retrace to the 3310–3305 zone to fill these gaps, then potentially resume bullish movement.
📍 Trading Strategy for the Week:
🔸 Wait for price to enter lower FVG zones
🔸 Look for early BUY signals at key confluence areas such as:
CP zones
Fibonacci retracement levels
Volume/price reaction levels
🎯 Bullish Target Zones:
Primary target remains: 333x – 336x
If momentum continues after the pullback, we could see a move toward the Buy Side Liquidity near 3371.749
✅ Key Reminders for Indian Traders:
🚫 Avoid emotional buying at highs (no FOMO!)
📏 Stick to your TP/SL rules – risk management is critical, especially during uncertain global headlines
📊 Stay focused and trade with a plan
🌟 Wishing you a restful weekend. Come back refreshed and ready to dominate the charts next week!
🚀 Good luck & happy trading
GOLD 16/07 Minor Pullback Before PPI? Bears May Reclaim Control!GOLD 16/07 – Minor Pullback Before PPI? Bears May Reclaim Control!
🌍 Market Overview: Inflation Softens, But Risk Remains
Gold is currently trading around $3,334 after a sharp correction earlier this week. While core US CPI data for June came in lower than expected, institutions like BlackRock are signaling concerns:
The impact of new tariffs is only starting to show.
Consumer prices on appliances and electronics are rising.
As inventories shrink, businesses may pass on costs directly to consumers.
➡️ This reinforces Gold’s long-term value as a safe-haven asset, especially with rising macroeconomic risks and uncertainty around the Fed's next move.
📉 Technical Insight: Pullback or Trend Continuation?
Yesterday’s CPI release triggered a sharp drop, pushing price back to the 332x zone.
This created a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the H1 chart.
Around the 3347–3349 level, we see a Continuation Pattern (CP) forming, hinting that the main downtrend might resume after a temporary bounce.
💡 If price returns to the 334x–336x supply zones during the London or New York session, these will be critical SELL zones. Expect price to potentially target the FVG liquidity area below 329x if bears regain control.
📊 Key Trade Setups
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,296 – 3,294 (Liquidity Trap Zone)
SL: 3,290
TP: 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,330
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,347 – 3,349 (CP Reaction Area)
SL: 3,353
TP: 3,343 → 3,340 → 3,336 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 → 3,300
🚨 SELL ZONE: 3,358 – 3,360 (VPOC Zone)
SL: 3,364
TP: 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 → 3,300
⚠️ Strategy Note:
With the PPI data release expected to move markets today, price may spike upward in early sessions. Watch closely for bearish rejection candles around CP and VPOC zones before entering. Use proper SL and TP levels to protect capital.
💬 What’s Your Outlook Today?
Do you see gold breaking below 329x to fill deeper liquidity, or will macro risks support a fresh rally?
👇 Drop your thoughts and let’s discuss trade ideas in the comments!