GOLD AT 60,000 , WHATS NEXT ??Short Recap - Gold had good rally from 6th oct , to the upside from 56500 to 61250
Currently - price is hovering around the higher time frame bearish order block which is resulting a resistance phase to gold price from (61500 to 60500 zone)
there is been a internal CHOC (trend change) from bullish to bearish
although the bearish continous will be confirmed if price breakdown and close below 60200 - 60,000
What to do -
after the break and close of 60,000 short trade can enter with quick targets
as this could be pullback on major time frame
where as those willing to go long will need to wait for specific levels
consider 58250-58000 zone as a value buying zone
this can be tracked based on price shifting the stucture from lower low and lower high towards higher high to higher low as Long Indication
Goldprediction
Turned down right from the opening of the new weekGold prices edged lower at the start of the week after posting solid gains from haven flows that were seen outperforming higher government bond yields across most of the globe. The price of precious metals decreased not because gold's upward momentum was over, but because the market needed to consolidate with resistance at 1,985 USD/ounce.
The geopolitical situation and macroeconomic factors of the Middle East may have contributed to the increase in gold prices. The decline in the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund ETF reflects the worsening outlook for corporate bonds. This credit squeeze also affected Wall Street stock indexes and increased risks to other assets.
The Middle East situation is unlikely to find a peaceful solution soon, which could maintain demand for gold despite higher Treasury yields. The 2-year Treasury note reached 5.25% last Thursday but fell to 5.10% over the weekend. The 10-year note also hit its highest level since 2007, briefly surpassing 5.0% before settling at 4.95%.
The chart shows that the rise in the 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index has not yet affected the price of gold, but it is worth keeping an eye on in case of sudden movements in those markets.
The sell-off of the iShares high-yield ETF could have broader consequences for stocks as companies face higher borrowing costs.
SELL zone 1982$ - 1980$ - stoploss: 1986$
Buy zone1945$ - 1947$ - stoploss: 1940$
gold next support level 57460 - 56300??* IM NOT IN FAVOUR TO SHORT INSTEAD WAIT FOR VALUE BUYING AREA*
gold has breached all of its recent support and this fall looks like free fall maybe because of dxy rising
57460 and 56300 will be very important level base on previous trend low to recent high fib retracement of 0.6 and 0.7 golden zones are appearing on exactly on our fair value area
WILL UPDATE FURTHER ON EVERY MAJOR MOVE
The return of GOLDGold price (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $1,885 region, or over a two-week high and settled near the lower end of its daily range on Thursday. Consumer prices in the United States (US) rose more than expected in September and lifted expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates higher for longer. This led to the sharp overnight rise in the US Treasury bond yields and triggered a massive US Dollar (USD) short-covering rally, which, in turn, was seen as a key factor exerting pressure on the precious metal.
GOLD MISS LEADING ? AND FOMOThis recent up move is just a pullback
which did not retested out ob
it is heading back to retracement area of 0.7 and 0.5 lvl
but for short time gold is like to hover within 0.5 - 0.7 level (59665 - 59385)
and there after there is resistance above at 60150
cant fit in with good risk to reward for investing or value buying
better to avoid fomo
59970 and 58000 remains out intact buying area with small after this trigger
will update further after new moves
U.S. stock futures slide as Treasury yields hit new cycle peakU.S. stock futures fell early Tuesday due to concerns over rising Treasury yields and the ongoing property sector crisis in China. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 43 points (0.13%), reaching 34007, while the S&P 500 increased by 17 points (0.4%) to 4337, and the Nasdaq Composite improved by 60 points (0.45%) to hit 13271.
The 10-year Treasury yield, an important benchmark, reached its highest level since 2007 at nearly 4.57% early Tuesday. This rise is driven by expectations of the Federal Reserve taking a more aggressive stance on interest rates. Some Fed officials have recently suggested the need for rate hikes and maintaining them at higher levels for a while.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned that if inflation isn't controlled, the market might not be prepared for potential interest rate hikes to 7%. The increase in Treasury yields has posed challenges for riskier assets, especially long-duration stocks.
The U.S. dollar index reached its highest point in about ten months, surpassing 106. This is due to higher Treasury yields compared to other countries, which could potentially impact U.S. equities by reducing the competitiveness of multinational companies.
The crisis in China's property sector is also causing global market unease. Shares in China Evergrande plummeted after the company failed to make a debt payment, leading to the arrest of former executives. As a result, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index dropped by 1.4%, reaching its lowest point since November.
Some economic data releases for Tuesday include the S&P Case-Shiller home price index for July at 9 a.m. Eastern, August's new home sales, and September's consumer confidence figures at 10 a.m. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman is also scheduled to deliver a speech at 1:30 p.m.
GOLD [XAUUSD] Long/Buy setup-Per last week's move, we can see the price is in respect to the deemand zone and try to test the supply zone
-Before reaching the supply zone, it should test the near deemand zone, which is 1913-1910
-Then expect to reach the supply zone, which is 1937-1937
And a minor retrace for a healthy upside.
-The recent low is near 1901-1899 to break down the price. Then, we can easily reach 1885 -1880.
-Moreover, it is just a buy setup until it does not break the recent low, so buy on dips.
GOLD long setup (check the description)we have captured the down trend since the beinginng on trend change
currently price has breached some fair value area and ob's from medium time frame
as i have captured the big trend personally i wont be shorting instead will wait for my buying zone
58810 and 58665 is new current resistace
58275 and 58120 is the level where price would like wick this level to sweep the liquidity and stop loss of remaining buyers
there after 58090 - 57970 would be the non mitigated old order block where there will be order and we can new buying from this level
57650 to 57875 will be last demand zone for gold where it will be value zone for buyers
GBP/USD struggles to reclaim 1.2500 ahead of the weekendGBP/USD clings to small daily gains but finds it difficult to surpass 1.2500 on Friday. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the USD to continue to outperform its rivals and helps the pair hold its ground heading into the weekend.
Non-Farm Employment Change trading planUS Dollar Index continues to recover while gold comes under some fundamental pressure holding back the upside as core US Personal Consumer Expenditure (PCE) Price Index (PCE) data for August improved a bit. little.
The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, due out today, is expected to bring huge volatility across the market as it will shape the Fed's capabilities going forward.
news trading strategy:
SELL GOLD 1955-1957
SL 1962
BUY GOLD 1924-1926
SL 1919
XAUUSD_ Analysis August 28, GOLD has vitality again⚡️In a speech at the central bank conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said inflation remains too high even with recent favorable figures and that the US central bank has room to substantial basis to regain price stability. But at the same time, Powell noted that economic uncertainty calls for "aggressive" monetary policymaking and that the Fed will proceed "with caution" when deciding on its next policy move.
⚡️Powell's message on Friday was in line with mixed signals from other Fed officials in the run-up to the meeting. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker told CNBC he doubted the central bank would need to raise rates again, but also said he wasn't ready to predict when rate cuts might begin. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said on Yahoo Finance's video channel that interest rates could be near or at their peak, "but could certainly increase further."
⚡️Plan: BUY XAUUSD price 1907-1909. SL 1903. TP 1915, 1920
What to do after sudden gold rise?🌸Hello everyone, it's a pleasure to share and explore the market with you today. Currently, the gold market (August 24) has increased significantly compared to the previous session. Gold has now far outstripped a dangerous $1,900 price point after economic data from Europe showed a less positive purchasing managers index (PMI), prompting investors to ramp up their purchases of gold to hedge risks. .
🌸Specifically, PMI in this region in August was 43.7 points, higher than 42.7 points in July and higher than the forecast level of 42.6 points. However, this is still far short of the 50-point expansion threshold for manufacturing.
🌸The best trend today you can wait for gold to test about one business and then buy.
🌸You can set up buy order at 1910-1908 SL 1903 TP 1920.1925
GOLD[XAUUSD] Analysis-The Price is between the Major supply zone and a small hidden demand zone.
-Once either side breaks out, it will move to a big one.
-Wait to break any one of the sides.
-Supply Zone: 1948-1956
-Hidden demand zone:1934-1936
-Below the hidden demand zone, can test 1900-1902 levels
GOLD - Quickly catch the rebound of goldThis morning's gold price continued to increase by 16.7 USD compared to yesterday's closing level to 1,936.5 USD/ounce, the gold price reached its highest level in three weeks.
The US Employment Turnover (JOLTS) report and consumer confidence index were much lower than expected, spurring fresh buying demand for the precious metal.
Gold prices continue to maintain a solid recovery but there is still a potential risk that it will be lower in the near future because this week there is still a lot of economic news that strongly affects Gold prices.
GOLD FUTURES (mcx) update price is in side ways phase on medium time frame
which mean on lower time frame price will react as buy on low and sell or rise
the range is 59050 resistance and 58280
currently the price is trading at resistance level
on 15m triangle pattern is forming , which is in between of medium time frame pattern , on medium time frame there is bearish flag so im keeping my bias on sell side
and predicting that price we make breakout from triangle pattern and then form a fake out
and price will try to go back at support of 58500-58250
this is my pov dont trade blindly on it use it as a confluence for your own analysis
Slight retracement before the uptrend ⚡️⚡️Gold continued to trade at a 5-month low after the minutes of the July monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) were released. The minutes showed that the majority of the bank's officials continued to prioritize fighting inflation, while only a few pointed to the risks to the economy by pushing interest rates too far.
⚡️Yields on 10-year US government bonds hit a 10-month high shortly after the release of Fed minutes, pushing the dollar to its highest level since mid-June, easing attractiveness, driving investors away from non-yielding assets like gold.
⚡️Experts said that the loosening monetary policy of the central bank will help the economy recover better, when consumers can easily access loans for shopping. Financial investors will gradually shift capital from capital-preserving assets such as gold to investing in production and business industries or other profitable assets. This has caused gold to lose its position in the market.
⚡️The gold market is oscillating around the critical level - $1,900, a level where neither the bulls nor the bears have been able to establish a clear direction.
⚡️You can set SELL around 1903-1905, SL 1910, TP 1895, 1890. Wish you successful trading.
Gold has found a bottom after a continuous decline of 1 month?⚡️Gold price today on August 21 continued to decline and reached 1891 due to the increase in USD and bond yields.
⚡️The gold market was under pressure as US Treasury yields and the dollar index rose. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries hit their highest level in 15 years. The USD index recorded a 9-week high, closing the session at 103 points.
⚡️Bond yields rose ahead of the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would maintain the current high interest rates, not to mention the Fed may continue to raise interest rates in September. That creates a challenging environment for gold, which means gold prices are unlikely to rise in the near ter
⚡️Trading plan you can watch to sell gold around the price zone 1903-1905. then the 1906 price zone will become a strong support zone. You can consider buying gold at this price range. expect gold to recover to 1911.
GOLD - Scalping StrategyGold prices slightly extended its gains and successfully continued a third day of gains.
TVC:GOLD hovers around $1,900/oz during the Asian session on Wednesday, showing signs of recovery from four consecutive weeks of losses despite a firmer US Dollar (USD).
However, a stronger recovery is unlikely at the moment.
After days of continuous decline, gold finally showed signs of changing the trend. At first, we can look at the problem as follows:
1. Economic data in the US is showing signs of getting better
2. Inflation may not reach the target of the Fed, but it can also be called cooled down
3. The economic data is giving clearer evidence of the US economic scenario will have a soft landing if the FED is ready to QE after this period.
=> From the above points, I think that Gold is still in a downtrend, and this rally may not be as strong as expected.
You can set up sell order at price zone 1905-1907 SL 1913 TP 1900,1895
Gold trading plan on 23/08/2023⚡️World gold price this morning continued to increase slightly with spot gold up 2.9 USD to 1,897.2 USD/ounce. December gold futures last traded at $1,926.0 per ounce, up $2.30 from dawn yesterday.
⚡️In yesterday's trading session, 8/22. Short-term offsets and some light bargain hunting are believed to have been the hallmarks of the precious metal's rally, after hitting a five-month low in recent times.
⚡️In the afternoon session on August 22, the world gold price once crossed the threshold of 1,900 USD/ounce. However, because the USD and US Treasury bond yields remained strong, attracting money flows, gold price turned back slightly below the threshold of 1,900 USD/ounce.
⚡️The market looks quieter as traders and investors alike turn their attention to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) annual economic symposium to be held this weekend in St. Jackson Hole, Wyoming. All are waiting for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech for clues on the interest rate outlook.
⚡️Trading strategy: You can set a sell order at 1907-1910. SL 1915 TP 1900,1895
Elliott Wave Analysis of GoldHello Friends
Welcome to our Elliott Wave analysis of the Gold chart! This analysis helps us make sense of Gold's price movements by spotting repeating patterns. Think of it like finding familiar footprints in the sand.
Imagine Gold's price as a series of waves. Elliott Wave theory suggests that these waves repeat in predictable patterns. We'll be looking for five main waves within an overall trend and smaller waves in between.
The goal is to figure out where Gold might be in its current wave pattern. This can give us clues about whether the price might go up or down in upcoming days.
Remember, no analysis is a crystal ball. While Elliott Wave can be helpful, it's just one piece of the puzzle. Market news and events also matter.
By understanding these wave patterns, we aim to predict potential future movements in Gold's price. So, let's ride the waves of analysis and see what they might tell us about Gold's journey ahead.
Overall it looks little down first, then little big contra trend upside near $ 1910 or more, and then again down continuation towards $1820 - $1850 might be.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
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The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.