Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Outlook: Key Levels to WatchBuddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 🗺️
This chart represents the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing potential areas of resistance, support, and liquidity zones. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
Analysis of the Chart:
1. Resistance Level (3,023-3,030 zone)
The price has reacted multiple times (red arrows), indicating strong selling pressure.
A fair value gap (FVG) is present, suggesting potential mitigation before further movement.
2. Current Price (3,011.76)
The price is trending downward after rejecting the resistance level.
It is approaching the diamond zone, a potential short-term support before continuation.
3. Key Support Levels:
Diamond Zone (~3,000 region)
Could cause a temporary bounce before further decline.
Order Block (~2,952-2,938 zone)
This is a strong demand zone and a potential target area for price action.
4. Target Levels:
The analyst expects a downward move toward 2,952, aligning with a liquidity grab scenario.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 44.27, suggesting bearish momentum, with the possibility of further downside.
A break below 40 RSI may confirm more selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risk Management Considerations:
Entry: A possible short entry could be around the FVG level (~3,020-3,030) if price retraces.
Stop Loss: Above 3,035 to avoid being trapped in a fake breakout.
Take Profit: Around 2,952-2,938 as per the target point.
USD Update & Impact on Gold:
If USD strengthens, gold may drop further due to their inverse correlation.
Key upcoming economic data (interest rate decisions, inflation reports) could increase volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Goldprediction
Gold- 45 min Time Frame Gold Trade Setup (Based on Trendline, EMA & Order Block Analysis)
1. Trendline Analysis
The chart shows a descending trendline connecting multiple lower highs (highlighted with red arrows). The price is respecting this trendline, indicating a downtrend. The most recent price action shows a rejection from this trendline, which strengthens the bearish outlook unless the price can break above it with strong momentum.
2. EMA (Exponential Moving Averages) Analysis
EMA 10 (red) and EMA 20 (blue): EMA 10 is below EMA 20, which confirms a bearish short-term trend. The price is currently attempting to trade above these EMAs, suggesting a possible short-term bullish push. A bullish crossover (if EMA 10 crosses above EMA 20) could signal a trend reversal.
EMA 200 (purple):
The price is trading below the EMA 200, confirming that the overall trend remains bearish. EMA 200 is acting as a strong dynamic resistance, so any upside will face pressure around that level.
3. Order Block Analysis
Bearish Order Block:
Marked at the top around $3,030–$3,040. The price recently touched this zone and got rejected, reinforcing bearish pressure. If the price breaks above this order block with strong volume, it could shift the trend bullish.
Bullish Order Block:
Marked around $2,990–$3,000.
This zone acted as support during the recent sell-off, indicating that buyers are stepping in at this level. If the price retests this zone and holds, it could lead to a bullish reversal.
Summary & Trade Bias
Bearish Bias:
The downtrend is intact with the trendline and EMA positioning confirming bearish momentum. A shorting opportunity could arise at the bearish order block if the price rejects from the trendline again.
Bullish Reversal Potential:
If the price closes above the bearish order block and the EMA 10 crosses above EMA 20, a bullish reversal could unfold. The bullish order block at $2,990–$3,000 is critical for holding bullish momentum.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Near the Bearish Order Block at $3,030–$3,035 (after price shows rejection at the trendline).
Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high at $3,042.
Target 1: $3,010 (near EMA 200).
Target 2: $3,000 (Bullish Order Block zone).
Risk-to-Reward: ~2:1
Bullish Setup:
Entry: On a confirmed breakout above $3,035 with volume and bullish candle close.
Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle low or $3,020.
Target 1: $3,050 (next resistance zone).
Target 2: $3,060 (upper resistance).
Risk-to-Reward: ~2:1
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are responsible for your trading decisions—always manage your risk carefully.
Gold Outlook – Breakout or Pullback in the Final Week of March?🧠 Final Week of March: Will Gold Break Out or Pull Back? Complete Market Outlook + Trade Plan for XAUUSD
🌐 1. Fundamental Overview – Macro Factors Driving Gold
Gold experienced a sharp $50+ correction last week after printing new all-time highs. The recent price action was shaped by several key macroeconomic factors:
🔸 The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and delivered a more cautious tone — suggesting no immediate rate cuts, which strengthened the USD and put pressure on gold.
🔸 US Dollar Index (DXY) recovered above the 104 mark, adding bearish momentum for XAUUSD.
🔸 Upcoming US inflation data (PCE this Friday) is the main event of the week — market participants are positioning cautiously ahead of this.
🔸 End-of-quarter fund flows may trigger erratic moves and profit-taking, especially as institutions rebalance portfolios.
Despite this pullback, late-week buying activity suggests that buyers are still defending key zones, and the medium- to long-term bullish structure remains intact.
📈 2. Technical Analysis – Chart Structure & Price Action
✅ Market Context:
Price broke out of the short-term ascending channel but is still respecting the major uptrend structure
Currently testing support zones with potential for either continuation or deeper correction
Key zone around 3,013.67 is holding for now, but volatility is expected
🆕 Monday Opening (March 25, 2025) Update:
Gold opened with weakness after a brief end-of-week bounce
Price is currently stalling at a key Fibonacci retracement area (0.5–0.618) on H1/H2
Buyers have lost momentum, suggesting a consolidation or second leg down may be forming
🔁 Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Price holds above 3,000 / 2,987 zone
Rebound to test 3,031.80 → breakout → targets 3,046.38 and 3,057.58
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold 3,000 → break below 2,987 → opens downside continuation
Price could revisit deeper demand zones below (e.g., 2,970–2,950)
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,031- 3,046 - 3,057
Support: 3,013 - 3,000.33 - 2,987
🎯 TRADE PLAN – XAUUSD
BUY ZONE: 3000 – 2998
SL: 2994
TP: 3004 – 3008 – 3012 – 3016 – 3020
SELL ZONE: 3030 – 3032
SL: 3036
TP: 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – 3000
Trade within reaction zones. Prioritize partial profits and always protect your capital with tight SLs.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is still technically bullish but in a corrective phase
Market awaits confirmation from either bulls or bears before a clean breakout
News flow + macro data (PCE) will be key catalysts this week
Stay patient, trade the levels, and let price action lead
— AD | Money Market Flow
WEEKLY GOLD OUTLOOK – BIG PICTURE VIEW FOR THE HOMIES!🔍 Let’s take a quick look at Gold on the higher timeframes (W1 & D1) —
The weekly and daily candles are showing long upper wicks, indicating strong rejections from the highs due to last Friday’s correction.
📉 Gold dropped more than 50 points toward the end of the week, but later bounced back with a late-session recovery.
Looking at the W1 and D1 candles, there are early signs of a possible reversal, but momentum still seems not strong enough, as prices retraced over 20 points into the close, making the candle bodies close above 50% of the full D1/W1 range.
🧭 From AD’s perspective, price has now reacted at the all-time high zone, and we need to wait for Monday to confirm whether the bulls can push higher again — only then can we establish a full directional bias for the upcoming week.
We're now stepping back to get a broader view of price action and macro sentiment, reviewing all the latest news & market developments before entering the final week of the month...
📈 Current View from AD:
Gold is still moving inside its main bullish channel on the higher timeframes. However, in order for a true reversal to form, strong selling pressure must come in, triggering larger volumes and pushing price down into low-liquidity zones.
That said, buyers stepped back in near the weekly close, so we’ll need to closely watch:
Possible weekend gaps
Price action around the Sunday night open
This will help us determine the most accurate direction heading into Monday.
⚠️ There’s a chance we’ll see another drop, as this current bullish retracement is reaching the 0.5 – 0.618 zones on H1 and H2.
But like AD said, the real story unfolds on Monday once the leftover weekend volume gets absorbed and clean market structure reveals itself.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
📊 Based on the MA indicators AD uses, short-term moving averages are starting to cross over mid- and long-term MAs, indicating a potential major trend shift on higher timeframes.
💡 If this structure holds into early next week, we might get early SELL opportunities, so stay alert and stick close to candle structure.
📍AD has already marked the key levels on the chart —
These are high-probability zones for entry or breakout traps, so don’t miss out on golden opportunities. Save them. Watch them.
💬 Wishing everyone a warm and joyful weekend with your family and loved ones.
AD will drop a post tomorrow on market psychology — if you’re interested, drop a boost and leave a comment!
GOOD WEEKEND HOMIES! 💛
XAUUSD - GOLD - Weakly Analysis #GOLD 🪙 prices have recently shown significant strength, with the precious metal surpassing the $3,000 per troy ounce mark earlier this month. As of today, prices are hovering around this psychological level, reflecting a robust upward trend that began in late 2023. This performance aligns with gold's historical role as a safe-haven asset amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties
📉📈Chart for your reference
GOLD TRDAING POINT UPDTAE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list time post signals 💯 reached target point 3059. ). Analysis update on gold. Gold look 👀 patterns chart 📉 sellers recover and strong 💪. 30M time frame 🖼️ looking short trend 📉 target 🎯 point 3001 that entry buying said good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 3042 + 3046
Key Support level 3006 - 3001
Mr SMC Trading point
Palee support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 Update Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders. ) a little. Analysis setup for buying said FVG level support level 🎚️. Fisrt entry 3037 + 3060 next entry level support level 3025. Target point 3060 ) that is rejected point below 👇 trend 📉 update you next analysis) good luck 💯💯🤞
Key Resistance level 3055+ 3060
Key Support 3025 - 3019
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold (XAUUSD) Going Parabolic ?The chart suggests that Gold (XAUUSD) has been rising steadily in the past year.
Gold in general acts as hedge against inflation and uncertainty.
There can be further upthrust due to some catalyst. In general one should not short a parabolic move prematurely as it can keep moving upwards. Only with defined signals one must try that. Shorting in general is very difficult. Nevertheless if one wants to trade a parabolic move, they can long it with a small position so that the risk reward is great. Commit only that much which you are ready to lose with appropriate stop loss.
What effects the price of Gold in general -
1. Geopolitical events - e.g.
Ukraine War
Gaza War
Tariff Wars
2. Dollar Index - Post election DXY rose steadily causing selloff in emerging markets. Though Gold fell initially but it steadied and started moving upwards later. Since gold correlates negatively in general with DXY, it's important to keep a tab on it.
3. Demand and supply of physical gold.
Buying and selling by Central Banks around the world
Mining output
Demand by consumers
4. Monetary policies of Central Banks of USA, China, Japan etc
5. Trading in derivatives
PS - This is not an exhaustive list of course.
So in order to understand and speculate on Gold one must have an updated macro view and chart reading capacity.
Trade Safe
Gold uptrend movement expected , may hit upto 3022/3040 Symbol Gold or XAUUSD
Timeframe 30 Minutes
Analysis uptrend movement pole flag pattern creation.
Expected targets is 3022/ 3040
We hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey.
Please note: Published ideas are for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Also, please respect the risk - stop loss (SL) should not be more than 2% of the capital.
DISCLAIMER: We are not SEBI registered. All the videos uploaded in this channel are solely for educational purposes."
GOLD EA MAN UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIAN Key Observations:
Support Zone: The price has respected the marked support area and is showing bullish momentum.
EMA Confluence: The price is currently below the 30 EMA (red), but if it crosses above, it could signal stronger bullish momentum.
Target Point: The projection anticipates a move towards 3,052.357, possibly after a minor pullback.
If price sustains above the 30 EMA and breaks through the minor resistance, your bullish target seems achievable. Are you already in a long position, or waiting for further confirmation?
XAU/USD | 4H | Elliott wave | Long for 3030-3070Gold is wave iv of wave (iii) of wave 5 as shown in chart.
Current wave 4 can be completed anywhere near 2980- 2955 Zone. 2955 if seen would be golden entry, but i am expecting reversal ( start of wave 5 ) before that due to highly bullish momentum.
Wait for reversal confirmation.
Sl would be low of wave 4 and target would 3030.
High probability trade. A perfect execution can be very rewarding. Look for MaCD, RSI and candle sticks patterns for reversal confirmation.
After 3030 wave (iv) of 5 may again take us to the low levels of wave iv of (iii) i.e., 2980-2955 zone before going to 3070+ levels.
Gold - Sell !!!!Gold is trying to cross the resistance line and its too much of bullishness could be easy bull trap. Technically Fib levels are indicating possibility of a correction now. Entering after a correction is safer now. This could be off man out opinion. But as per chart its resistance area now.
"Gold Price Analysis: Supply Zone Rejection & Potential Drop Key Technical Levels:
Supply Zone Resistance (~3,004.973): Price is currently testing this resistance area, which could lead to a potential rejection.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Support Level (~2,949.378 - 2,945.323): This area is marked as a potential support zone where price might find buying interest.
EMA 200 Support (2,945.323): A critical dynamic support level that aligns with the FVG zone.
Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red Line - 2,990.457): Short-term trend indicator.
EMA 200 (Blue Line - 2,945.323): Long-term trend indicator.
Price Action & Prediction:
The price is in the supply zone resistance and could potentially reject downwards.
The blue projected path suggests a pullback to the FVG support zone before a possible rebound.
If price breaks below this support, further downside could be expected.
Potential Trade Idea:
Short Setup: If rejection occurs at resistance, a short trade targeting the FVG/EMA 200 support could be considered.
Long Setup: If price reaches the FVG zone and finds support, a long position targeting previous highs could be a strategy.
Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Analysis – Bearish Reversal from ResistThis chart is a 15-minute timeframe analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) using TradingView. Here's the breakdown of the analysis:
Key Levels & Setup:
Entry Zone (ENTRE): Around 3,004.172 - 3,003.999
Stop Loss (SL): 3,010.919 - 3,010.746 (Above the resistance zone)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2,995.869
TP2: 2,987.219
TP3: 2,980.646
Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
EMA 30 (Red Line): 2,992.313 (Short-term trend)
EMA 200 (Blue Line): 2,978.242 (Long-term trend)
Market Structure & Trade Idea:
The price is near a resistance zone (purple area), indicating a potential short-selling opportunity.
If the price fails to break above the resistance and reverses, it could drop toward the take profit levels.
The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable, with the stop loss set just above resistance.
A break below the 30 EMA could further confirm bearish momentum toward 200 EMA.
Trade Execution Plan:
Short Entry: If the price respects the resistance area and starts to reject downward.
Stop Loss: Above the resistance at 3,010.919.
Take Profits: TP1, TP2, and TP3 as per the marked levels.
Conclusion:
Bearish Setup: If price rejects resistance.
Bullish Risk: If price breaks above resistance and holds, the trade setup is invalid.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Analysis Bearish Breakdown Towards Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Analysis – Bearish Setup📉
Key Observations:
1.Rising Wedge Breakdown:
- The price has been moving within an ascending channel(EA TRADE LINE).
- A potential breakdown is forming as the price approaches resistance.
EMA Levels:
-30 EMA (Red, 2,986.22: The price is hovering near this level, showing potential weakness.
-200 EMA (Blue, 2,950.00) This is the first major support level in case of a decline.
3. Bearish Projection:
- A break below current leve could trigger a sharp drop.
- The **target zone is around 2,902.73 – 2,902.41, aligning with prior support.
4. Risk Management:
Stop-loss (Red Zone): Placed above 2,990.86 to protect against invalidation.
Take-Profit (Green Zone):Set near 2,902, offering a strong risk-to-reward ratio
Conclusion:
-Bearish Bias: A drop seems likely if the price fails to reclaim higher levels.
Confirmation Needed A clean break of 2,980 could accelerate the move.
-Risk Facto If price reclaims 2,990+, the bearish setup might be invalid.
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHPATIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006
Key Support level 2832 - 2818
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋.
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold 1H time. Look 👀 first take FVG level that take entry buying said target point 2959 New ATH wait for FVG level good luck 🤞
Key Resistance level 2930 + 2959
Key Support level 2909 - 2902 - 2896
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:9 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:9RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
GOLD VIEW 3H READ THE CAPTAINHello 👋 gold traders
3-hour timeframe of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with technical analysis levels and moving averages. Here’s a breakdown of the key points:
Key Observations:
1. Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Level: Around 2,909.870 - 2,902.340 (marked as the buying zone).
Resistance Level: 2,930.173.
Target Point: 2,960.607.
2. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
30 EMA (Red Line): 2,909.870 (Short-term trend).
200 EMA (Blue Line): 2,884.578 (Long-term trend, acting as strong support).
3. Price Action:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase around the resistance zone.
If the price breaks above 2,930, we might see a bullish move toward the target at 2,960.
If the price fails to break resistance, a pullback to the buying zone (support level at 2,909-2,902) is possible.
Trading Strategy Ideas:
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above 2,930): Look for long positions targeting 2,960.
Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance): A retest of the buying zone (2,909 - 2,902) before another push higher.
GOLD MCX OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2025GOLD MCX:
After a smart rally Seen in Gold MCX from 79,600/- levels in JAN 2025 we have seen gold accelerating towards Highs of 86,592/-. Approximately 7,000 Points mammoth rally)
What's Next:
If we analyze the technical chart on daily and weekly time frame. Observed a "Flag Pattern Formation" has been witnessed. If GOLD MCX closes above or sustains above 86400 (Flag Pattern Breakout levels) another leg of rally can be seen on the upside.
Any correction towards 84000-84200 (Flag Pattern Support) it will be best buying opportunity for the short term investors, If Gold MCX closes below 83800 then there can be correction in the yellow metal. So we suggest continue to HOLD long positions with Stop loss of 83800 and accumulate GOLD MCX on correction till 84000- 84200 Levels. (Do not forget the Stop loss)
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders list time post signals Hit sucksfully My target point ) Now Gold making choch FVG level) FVG level 2897 + 2906 down 👇 👎 trend 📉 point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2868- 2859 first. Hit sucksfully FVG level that take entry ☺️ 🥂 good luck 🤞
Key Resistance level 2897 + 2906
Key Support level 2868- 2859
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold On Monday💡Gold could breach $3,000 level soon, analyst says
💡Trumpdeclinedto predict if U.S. could face a recession
💡U.S. CPI data on Wednesday, PPI data on Thursday
15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Zones:
Order Block (OB) at $2,895 - $2,900 – Strong demand zone
Order Block (OB) at $2,925 - $2,930 – Strong supply zone
Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $2,918 - $2,922 – Potential retracement area
📊Price Behavior:
Price is currently consolidating below the FVG area, which often acts as a magnet for price action.
📊 Conclusion: A potential bullish move may occur if price reclaims the FVG zone, targeting the OB at $2,925. Conversely, a break below $2,895 may trigger further downside pressure.
🔍1-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,924 – Immediate resistance zone
$2,942 – Strong resistance with previous rejection
Key Support Levels:
$2,879 – Key support zone
$2,863 – Critical support below
Price Behavior: The market is moving in a consolidation phase, with multiple rejections from the resistance at $2,924.
Conclusion: The market is currently indecisive, consolidating between $2,900 and $2,924. A breakout in either direction may signal the next move.
🔍 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,954 – Significant resistance zone
Key Support Levels:
$2,880 – Intermediate support
$2,846 – Major support zone
Market Condition: The market is clearly in a ranging phase between $2,880 and $2,925. This suggests indecision and a potential breakout on either side.
Conclusion: The range-bound structure favors breakout strategies. Monitoring volume and price action near these levels is crucial.
Trading Strategy Considerations
📌 Bullish Scenario
✅Wait for a breakout above $2,924 with strong volume confirmation.
📍Target: $2,942 or higher.
❌Stop Loss: Below $2,911 to manage risk.
📌 Bearish Scenario
✅Watch for a rejection at $2,924 or a breakdown below $2,900.
📍Target: $2,880 or lower.
❌Stop Loss: Above $2,924 for protection.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
Stay tuned for updates once the confirmations are in place!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
📢Best Regards , Silver Wolf Traders Community
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only.
Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold 3 time frame 🖼️ looking FVG rejected point below 👇 2929+ 29209. Technical patterns). Weekly basis setup. )
Key Resistance level 2929 + 2957
Key Support level 2891 - 2848
2832
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)