XAUUSD : 07/25/24 first short and than long99% SUCCESSFUL TRADE.
FIRST TRADE:
SELL XAUUSD - profit upto $8USD
SECOND TRADE:
BUY at the bottom where you booked the profit and hold the position for the entire bullish price action.
Do your own analysis before taking a trade.
NOTE:
PRICES HAVE BEEN MARKED FOR YOUR REFERENCE. THIS IS WHAT I ANALYSE. PLEASE DO YOUR OWN ANALYSIS BEFORE TAKING A TRADE.
Goldprediction
Gold : Is the Bullish Story Over??Gold has had a very Bullish Momentum, and now the story seems to be over before the next leg of upside, if there is for next 1 year.
Technical Reasons for being Bearish :
1) Very High RSI on Daily Chart with a Deviation
2) Elliot Wave 5 is finished, and Sub-waves A & B are also finished.. Now Wave C is next, and that will be sharp downside.
3) Triple Top and Crown formation (But range bound), and a bigger fall is expected.
Economic Reasons
1) China the major factor for such Bullish run, has stopped buying gold from past 2 months, and after that this sideways crown is being observed
2) Powell (FoMC Chairman) spoke at Economic symposium yesterday on 15th July, and wasn't very Dovish on Rate Cuts.. He said 2 Quarters of In-line data is promising but need more such data to be really sure. If rate cuts are done in haste, then there would be Double Peak Inflation, with even bigger peak then this time. Feds know it and will be very cautious.
Fundamental Reasons
1) With US elections in 4 months, the interest in Bullion will shift to Bitcoin and Crypto, as they generally run for obvious reasons during Elections.
2) When whole world believes and there is news circulating everywhere that Rate cuts will let Bullion : Gold and Silver fly, but when it's put in news as Fact and everyone is buying, question is who is selling? Or who would sell : Retailers?
Past View : Around June 30 - July 1 : I gave successful view of Gold touching 2360, 2400, 2460, and it's touched those targets. XAUUSD was hovering around 2320 around that time, and everyone was in view that Gold will come down to 2280.
Gold Consolidating for a Robust UptrendOn Weekly Basis:
GOLD took a support at 1640 (inverted head) on weekly charts (October, 2022) after it made a peak at 2035 (August, 2020) and correcting nearly 50%. It tried to pierce the daily top of 2070 twice after peaking in August,2020. It means it made a triple top which could mean a bear market for GOLD instead it made an inverted head at 1640 and shoulder pattern between 2010 to 2035. 50% retracement has been completed 1640, starting from 1190 and completing at 2035. The year 2024 is the fourth year of consolidation in GOLD. The resistance at 2035 has been broken and remaining in medium term consolidation pattern between 1980 to 2075. Currently 200 DMA is at 1966 with an uptrend.
Fresh new Wave may start in near future by the time 200 DMA move above 2000 level. One can be optimistic and it provides a good choice to buy at current level with a minimum bold target of 2950, which becomes a strong buy from long term point of view. It has come out of oversold position to neutral zone. RSI was oversold in October, 2023. Now it has broken out of the long-term channel of 4 years and continuously trading above the upper line of the channel at an all-time high with minor blip down.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good BUYING setup detected on XAUUSD
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
4. also in day chat its showing its trying to break the 1d big trendline
it will consolidate here but after breakout the upcoming move will be OSM
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good buying setup detected on gold
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
Stay happy
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD
A good selling setup detected on XAUUSD
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
4. also in day chat its showing its trying to break the 1d big trendline
it will consolidate here but after breakout the upcoming move will be OSM
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:6 RISK REWARD
A good selling setup detected on BTCUSD
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amoun4. also in day chat its showing its trying to break the 1d big trendline
it will consolidate here but after breakout the upcoming move will be OSM
With a small amountt
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
12TH JULY GOLD PREDICTIONGold prices (XAUUSD) declined during the Asian trading session on Friday, eroding part of the strong upward move triggered by the weaker-than-expected U.S. CPI data from the previous day, down to the 2,424-2,425 dollar range. A modest increase in U.S. Treasury yields helped the U.S. dollar (DXY) attract some buyers. Gold is currently trading around the 2400 mark. Today, it is crucial to carefully consider entry points and ensure that signals are very reliable.
Key resistance levels: 2420 - 2428 - 2434
Strong support levels: 2394 - 2388 - 2375
BUY XAUUSD 2397-2394
SL 2390
TP 2318
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 15M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:5 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
4. a range breaking on 30m chat
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
LONGTERM GOLD BUY SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good selling setup detected on XAUUSD
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARD
A good selling setup detected on GOLD
It's showing a BULL MOVE due to these reason
1. It's following THE 60 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bullish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
3th JULY GOLD PREDICTIONTrading Strategy for Gold
Sell Entry Point:
Entry Range: 2336 - 2340
Stop Loss (SL):
Above: 2340 (suggested precise level: 2342 to give some buffer for volatility)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 2330
TP2: 2325
TP3: 2320
Execution Plan
Market Analysis:
Trend: Sideways movement between 2320 - 2340.
Catalyst: Awaiting nonfarm payroll news this week.
Entry Strategy:
Sell Orders: Place sell orders within the 2336 - 2340 range.
Volume Allocation: Consider splitting your position into smaller orders to average into the range.
Stop Loss Management:
SL Placement: Set your stop loss above the 2340 level. A precise level like 2342 ensures some buffer against minor price fluctuations.
Take Profit Strategy:
TP1: Set for 2330 to secure partial profit.
TP2: Set for 2325 for further profit taking if the price continues to move down.
TP3: Final TP at 2320 to maximize profit if the price reaches the lower end of the range.
Risk Management:
Ensure your position size respects your risk management rules.
Avoid over-leveraging to manage potential volatility around the nonfarm payroll announcement.
Monitoring:
Stay updated with news and market sentiment leading up to the nonfarm payroll release.
Be prepared to adjust your strategy if there are significant market movements or news developments.
Summary
Sell at 2336-2340
Stop Loss: 2342
Take Profits: 2330 (TP1), 2325 (TP2), 2320 (TP3)
28TH JUNE GOLD PREDICTIONAs of June 28, 2024, the spot price of gold is approximately $2,324.10 per ounce. This reflects a small decrease of 0.18% from the previous day
The gold market has been experiencing some fluctuations, but it remains above the $2,300 mark. Analysts suggest that while the market seems somewhat directionless at the moment, it is well-valued with limited downside.
HERE IS THE STRATEGY TODAY:
SELL XAUUSD 2330 - 2335
STOP LOSS 2338
TP 2317
27TH GOLD PREDICTION As of June 27, 2024, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is trading at about $2,299, showing a bearish trend. This recent decline in gold prices can be attributed to factors such as increased USD buying and the anticipation of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Despite this bearish momentum, key support levels remain at $2,300 and $2,287, while resistance is noted at $2,319.43. The 50-day and 200-day EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) at $2,319.43 and $2,331.28 are critical levels for a potential bullish reversal.
Here is the strategy signal today for selling:
SELL XAUUSD 2318-2325
SL 2327
TP 2300
21TH JUNE GOLD PREDICTIONHere are some factors that might explain the sharp rise in gold prices on June 20, 2024:
US Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Reserve announced that it would pause interest rate hikes for the foreseeable future, citing concerns over economic growth and inflation stability. This decision led to a drop in bond yields and a weaker US dollar.
Inflation Concerns: The latest CPI report showed inflation rising faster than expected, increasing demand for gold as an inflation hedge.
Geopolitical Tensions: Rising tensions between the US and China over trade policies created uncertainty in the markets, prompting a flight to safe-haven assets.
Stock Market Decline: The US stock market experienced a significant drop due to disappointing earnings reports from major companies, driving investors towards gold.
ETF Inflows: There was a notable increase in inflows into gold ETFs, reflecting heightened investor interest in gold.
Today we have strategy based on technical analysis
Sell zone: 2362- 2365
Stop Loss: above the zone
R:R = 1:3
Buy zone: 2330 - 2337
Stop Loss: Below the zone
R:R = 1:3
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:3 RISK REWARDGOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:3 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:3 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:10 RISK REWARDOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:3 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
GOLD SETUP TRADE WIH 1:3 RISK REWARD
A good falling detected on GOLD
It's showing a fall due to these reason
1. It's following THE 30 M trendline here
2. It's ready to break the neckline
3. In day chat it's showing the heavy bearish pressure
Just grab out will your own risk
With a small amount
Stay connected
Stay happy
Bande mataram
Follow for more
BUY GOLD 10 JUNE its showing a good upward momentum BUY GOLD 10 JUNE its showing a good upward momentum
with strong double confermation it will go up
first one technically showing a strong trendline faceing
secondly its faceing a stong support
volumes are also down
its a good one for buy
BUY GOLD 10 JUNE its showing a good upward momentum
with strong double confermation it will go up
first one technically showing a strong trendline faceing
secondly its faceing a stong support
volumes are also down
its a good one for buy
Gold bearish below 2315 and bullish above 2315 mostly consolidatGood Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving below 2315
we can see more low levels 2295 2285 and 2280.
If Gold will break 2315 and sustain above then only
we can see 2324 2330 and 2338
Our preference is buy from Dip and
sell from top
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading😉