Get started

Goldprediction

“XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone Key Observations: Uptrend Structure: Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure. Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659. Current Setup: The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward. A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709. Bias: As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored. If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply zones, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defence. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685) Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711) Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610) Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680) • Entry: 3,678 – 3,680 • Stop Loss: 3,685 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,675  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,665 👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702) • Entry: 3,704 – 3,702 • Stop Loss: 3,711 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,670  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,640 👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,616–3,618) • Entry: 3,616 – 3,618 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favourable risk/reward from deep demand. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favour short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade lighter size until direction clarifies post-news.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sell ​​XAU/USD now at 3688.00 level and take a stop loss of 3703.00 and the targets will be as follows. Entry range 3691.00 to 3687.00 Take Profit 1 = 3673.00 Take Profit 2 = 3665.00 Take Profit 3 = 3655.00 Take Profit 4 = 3645.00 Stock Loss 3703.00 Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone. Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3. Conclusion Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaviPips
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H) • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703) Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660) Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630) Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based) 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665) • Entry: 3,674 – 3,665 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,685 o TP2: 3,695 o TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638) • Entry: 3,636 – 3,638 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,655 o TP2: 3,670 o TP3: 3,680+ 👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694) • Entry: 3,696 – 3,694 • Stop Loss: 3,703 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,690 o TP2: 3,685 o TP3: 3,680 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC 📊 Market Context Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range. The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS). Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation. Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC. 🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective) Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS. Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited). Liquidity Pools: Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone). Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone). 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones 3,686.88 (Immediate resistance) 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone) Support / Buy Zones 3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest) 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone) ✅ Priority Scenario – BUY Entry 1 Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest) SL: 3,661 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 2 Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) SL: 3,648 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 3 Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity) SL: 3,618 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade) If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns. Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears. SL: 3,730 TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676 ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely. Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk. Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells). Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H): 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level. 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens. 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction Entry: 3,572 – 3,574 Stop Loss: 3,565 Take Profits: TP1: 3,585 TP2: 3,595 TP3: 3,605 👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction Entry: 3,530 – 3,528 Stop Loss: 3,537 Take Profits: TP1: 3,520 TP2: 3,510 TP3: 3,500 👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
GOLD Bullish continuation (new highs, momentum sustain) : Probability: around 60–65% The breakout has strong support from macro conditions. Real yields look like they are peaking, inflation expectations remain sticky, and the Fed is leaning toward easing. On top of that, the US dollar is softening and central banks are continuing to add gold to reserves. These combined factors increase the odds that the breakout holds and the trend continues higher. Sideways consolidation or retest of breakout : Probability: about 25–30% A pullback or cnsolidation wouldn’t be surprising, especially if the Fed sounds less dovish or if inflation data cools faster than expected. In that case, gold could spend some time chopping between support and resistance before deciding its next big move. Major correction or deep mean reversion : A deep selloff looks like the least likely path right now. Real yields aren’t rising sharply, inflation isn’t collapsing, and the dollar is still under pressure. But nothing is guaranteed. A surprise hawkish turn from the Fed or a sudden global disinflation shock could knock gold back toward old structural levels.but this remains the least likely scenario in the near to medium term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ard-komercisto
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
1
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sorry I am late in giving the signal but I will say that manipulation in XAU/USD is at extreme level. Keep portfolio at least $1000. Take buy position in XAU/USD as much as possible. Not more than $3630.00. Target 1 3353.00 Target 2 3358.00 Target 3 3365.00 Target 4 3372.00 SL 3630.00 Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone. Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3. Conclusion Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NaviPips
2
XAUUSD – Breakout Confirmed & Macro Outlook📊 Market Context & Macro View Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out above its short-term descending trendline, signalling renewed bullish momentum after several sessions of consolidation. This breakout aligns with traders pricing in slower US inflation and growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may pause or ease monetary policy in the coming months. 🔹 Macro Drivers Supporting Gold: Soft US CPI & PPI → Cooling inflation strengthens expectations for stable or lower rates. Steady Treasury yields and a weaker USD continue to fuel gold’s upside. Geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation remain long-term bullish factors. ⚠ Risk: Liquidity sweeps remain possible before the Fed meeting—watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals. 🔑 Key Technical Levels (H1) Immediate Resistance: 3,654.17 (React Zone FIB) OBS Sell Zone: 3,664.52 Upper Liquidity Target: 3,679.31 Major Sell Liquidity: 3,709.85 Supports / Buy Liquidity Zones: • 3,637.91 – Breakout Retest • 3,631.63 – CP Support • 3,622.41 – Deeper Liquidity Layer • 3,584.78 – END Liquidity BUY ZONE 📈 Scenario & Outlook London Session: Possible retest at 3,638–3,632 for liquidity collection before the next leg higher. A clean break through 3,654 → 3,664 could spark strong buying toward 3,679–3,709. Losing 3,622 would expose 3,584 as the next major support. 📌 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY ZONE 1: 3,635 – 3,633 SL: 3,629 TP: 3,640 → 3,645 → 3,650 → 3,660 → 3,670 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE 2: 3,621 – 3,619 SL: 3,615 TP: 3,625 → 3,630 → 3,635 → 3,640 → 3,650 → 3,660 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,708 – 3,710 SL: 3,715 TP: 3,704 → 3,700 → 3,695 → 3,690 → 3,680 → ??? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,679 – 3,681 SL: 3,685 TP: 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665 → 3,660 → ??? ✅ Summary Gold is maintaining its breakout, supported by softer US inflation and a weaker USD. While liquidity sweeps may occur, the overall trend remains bullish above 3,622. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity plays, and BIGWIN setups as gold reacts to key macro drivers and price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold - Buy near 3640, target 3657-3674Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, gold prices saw a wild swing throughout the day due to the CPI. Gold initially fell, breaking support at a low near 3613. Buying activity took off immediately on the data. Today, we're still looking for volatility. Keeping in mind the broader trend, buying into volatility is more likely to follow a pullback. Furthermore, this volatility has broken through the previous downtrend channel. Today marks the weekly close, and barring any major surprises, the weekly chart will likely close positive. Next week, gold will continue to reach new highs, and a break of 3700 is imminent. The daily moving average has already crossed the K-line, making further volatility less likely. Focus on buying into the upside today. Consider buying opportunities in the Asian session first. The chart shows support near 3640, the primary support level for the day. Today, we'll target 3640 for buy orders, keeping an eye on resistance at 3657. If it breaks through and then retraces in the Asian session, we can buy directly. The recent trend in gold requires aggressive buying, otherwise it's often difficult to find significant support. Since it's Friday, gold is unlikely to behave normally, so we must be wary of unusual fluctuations. Support is at 3640 and 3629, while resistance is at 3657 and 3674. 3640 is the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Analysis: The CPI estimate was 2.7%, while the market expected 2.9%, and the price also reached 2.9%. Both market expectations and results were higher than the estimate, which would have weighed on gold in the long term. However, gold did not fall, but instead surged. Trading Recommendations: Gold - Buy near 3640, target 3657-3674
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
How long can the gold "carnival" last?Market News: Spot gold maintained its overnight volatile trend in early Asian trading on Friday (September 12), currently trading around $3,636/oz. International gold prices fluctuated sharply due to the impact of US CPI and initial jobless claims data. London gold prices rebounded sharply after a sharp drop, paring most of the day's losses and ultimately closing slightly lower. Weak employment and a decline in the PPI have reinforced market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. With interest rate expectations shifting toward easing, gold is expected to maintain its strength, but key factors remain in the Fed's policy stance following the meeting. The Fed's monetary policy direction remains the strongest indicator for the gold market, and current market consensus sees a rate cut next week as a certainty. Focus on the UK's July GDP data and the US University of Michigan's preliminary September Consumer Confidence Index on August 8 this trading day, and monitor geopolitical developments. Technical Analysis: Weaker-than-expected inflation and initial jobless claims data reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut. The US dollar index fell in response, ultimately closing down 0.31. Technically, the daily chart showed alternating bearish and bearish trends, with the price closing above the 5-day moving average. Yesterday, support was found again after testing 3612/15. The 10/7-day moving averages moved up to 3690/16, and the RSI indicator was converging above the 70 level. From a 4-hour perspective, support is currently focused around 3610-15. Buying on intraday dips to this level will continue to support the bullish trend. The short-term buying barrier remains at 3600. If the daily chart stabilizes above this level, continue buying on dips. On the 4-hour chart, the price has retreated to the middle Bollinger Band at 3630, converging with the moving average. The RSI indicator is trading above its mid-axis. On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing, the RSI is flattening, and the moving averages are converging. The main trading strategy for Friday's pullback remains to buy at low prices. The weekly chart forecasts another bullish candlestick pattern. However, gold prices are trapped within a wide, volatile short-term structural channel, with high-priced selling participating. Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3620-3623, stop loss at 3612, target at 3640-3660; Short-term gold: Sell at 3657-3660, stop loss at 3669, target at 3630-3610; Key points: First support level: 3628, second support level: 3615, third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3658, second resistance level: 3667, third resistance level: 3680
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow. • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,620 – 3,618 • Stop Loss: 3,613 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,635  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,665+ 👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep • Entry: 3,593 – 3,591 • Stop Loss: 3,596 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,610  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,645+ 👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,673 – 3,671 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,635 👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday) • Entry: 3,643 – 3,645 • Stop Loss: 3,650 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,620  TP3: 3,600 👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone. 🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,688 – 3,691 • Stop Loss: 3,696 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,660  TP4: 3,650  Open: 3,625 👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep • Entry: 3,595 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,615  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,635  TP4: 3,645  Open: 3,685 👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645 • Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691 • High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592 Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep & Trading Plan📊 Market View Gold (XAUUSD) is moving under short-term resistance (descending trendline), indicating sellers still dominate in the short term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity zones are clearly stacked at 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586. 👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction. 📈 CPI View – US Session Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold could bounce sharply from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance. Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover. ⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly—wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering. 🔑 Key Levels Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646 React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654 OBS Sell Zone: 3,665 Support / Liquidity Zones: 3,624.36 (Key Zone Support BUY) 3,612.60 (CP/React FIB) 3,599.31 (BUY ZONE) 3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE) 📌 Trading Plan 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648 SL: 3,652 TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ??? 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610 SL: 3,605 TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598 SL: 3,592 TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ??? 🛡️ Backup BUY: (If liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x Hard SL: 3,578 ❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t re-enter immediately—CPI volatility can extend the move further. ⚠️ Notes & Risk Reduce position size near the CPI release. Wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering trades. Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early. An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665. ✅ Summary Gold may sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on a clean bounce, and hold a backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold: Buy around 3624, target 3660-3674Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we placed a sell order at 3655, then sold all our profits at 3646 in the US market. Yesterday's market saw a surge followed by a decline. The market fluctuations we predicted in yesterday's blog post were all correct. Gold is currently fluctuating at a high level in the short term. In this market, there are opportunities for buying and selling if you capitalize on the market's rhythm. Today, I predict gold will continue to fluctuate and correct before the CPI data is released. Capitalizing on this rhythm, both buying and selling are possible. Today, we are focusing on 3620. If this level breaks, we will consider a short position. Otherwise, we are looking for high-level fluctuations. The long-term trend is still a buy. We made it clear yesterday that long-term trends require time and space to develop. Yesterday's small positive close on the daily chart confirms our analysis. The 5-day moving average is beginning to rise. The volatility will not last long, and results will be seen soon. During the Asian session, we're focusing on the strong support band of 3620-3625. This level is also a buying opportunity for a rebound. Resistance is at 3657, yesterday's rebound high. We anticipate the market to fluctuate within this range. A break above 3657 will open up further upside, and a pullback could be considered a buying opportunity. Volatility occurs when a surge reaches resistance, and further gains are more likely after the volatility ends. Support is 3620-3625, with strong support at 3600. Resistance is at 3647 and 3657, with 3647 being the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Analysis: The most important CPI data this week will be released today. The recent surge in gold prices is driven by increased market expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This CPI may be the final reference data the Fed uses. Trading Recommendation: Gold: Buy around 3624, target 3660-3674
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Analysis of subsequent gold price trendsMarket News: Spot gold saw slight gains in early Asian trading on Thursday (September 11th), currently trading around $3,545 per ounce. International gold prices continued their strong performance. Amidst softening US inflation data and widespread market bets that the Federal Reserve will initiate an interest rate cut next week, spot gold prices are approaching all-time highs, with related gold stocks and mining company indices simultaneously reaching record closing highs. The current strength in the gold market stems from a combination of weak US economic data, geopolitical risks, and the Federal Reserve's policy shift. While gold prices may fluctuate in the short term due to CPI data, the overall bull market is firmly in place, with a year-to-date gain of over 39% suggesting further upside potential. Gold prices continue to approach record highs, driven by unexpectedly weak inflation data, market confidence in an imminent Fed rate cut, and increased safe-haven demand. Industry analysts predict that if the Federal Reserve embarks on an easing cycle, gold will likely continue to attract investors, potentially reaching $3,900 per ounce by the end of the year. Technical Analysis: Gold has entered a period of volatile adjustment. Yesterday, it fell before rising, consolidating in a wide range around 3620/3660. Technically, the weekly and daily charts remain within a buying trend channel. The daily chart retraced its course below 3620 before stabilizing and rising strongly above 3658, closing above 3640. The daily chart closed with another positive candlestick pattern. The moving averages remain upward, with the 5-day MA moving average moving up to 3626. The hourly Bollinger Bands are converging, with the moving averages converging. The RSI indicator is retracing to its mid-50 level. On the four-hour chart, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. Technically, gold trading continues to see wide range-bound adjustments, with buyers buying at low prices and selling high. Fundamentals: Today's US PPI inflation data will be a key focus! Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3627-3630, stop loss at 3618, target at 3660-3680; Short-term gold: Sell at 3660-3663, stop loss at 3672, target at 3630-3610; Key points: First support level: 3626, Second support level: 3612, Third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3666, Second resistance level: 3680, Third resistance level: 3696
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing