U.S. data storm ahead – Gold awaits its next breakout🟡 XAU/USD – Timing Reversal at 4188, FVG Retest Expected
🔍 Market Context
Gold is approaching a key timing zone near 4188–4190, which aligns with previous supply and structural rejection.
After a strong impulsive leg, liquidity resting above recent highs may be targeted before a deeper pullback into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
The structure remains bullish in the medium term, but short-term corrective moves are expected before continuation toward the 4212 liquidity objective.
📈 Key Trading Zones
🔻 SELL Setup
Entry: 4188 – 4190
Stop Loss: 4192
Target 1: 4090
Target 2: 4020
Expect rejection at timing zone — short-term bearish retracement into FVG.
🟢 BUY Setups
BUY GOLD 4090 – 4088 | SL 4085
→ Scalp long targeting 4140–4160 if price reacts strongly within FVG.
BUY GOLD 4022 – 4020 | SL 4017
→ Ideal deeper retracement buy zone aligning with structural liquidity & prior demand.
🧠 Trading Plan Logic
Wait for price sweep & rejection at 4188–4190 before confirming short.
Monitor FVG zone (~4090) for reaction to flip back long.
The higher-timeframe target sits near 4212, aligning with liquidity above prior highs.
⚙️ Bias
Short-term: Bearish correction from 4190 toward 4090.
Medium-term: Bullish continuation toward 4212 after retracement.
Goldshort
Gold Awaits PPI & GDP – Buy Dips, Sell Rallies🟡 XAU/USD – PPI & GDP Data to Define Range Expansion
🔍 Market Context
Gold remains range-bound between $4000–$4100, consolidating after last week’s liquidity sweep.
This week’s key U.S. data — Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE — will likely dictate the next major move.
Slight improvement in inflation and consumption data could strengthen the USD temporarily, but overall bias remains bullish mid-term as the Fed is expected to maintain a dovish stance into Q1.
📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart)
Main Sell Zone (Super OB): 4170–4200 → potential reversal supply zone.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4130–4160 → short-term reaction zone if price retraces.
Sell Zone: 4090–4095 → short opportunity aligned with intraday bearish structure.
Buy Zone 1: 4024–4025 → minor demand, expecting internal liquidity sweep.
Buy Zone 2 (Main OB): 4003–4001 → strong order block with multiple rejections; key liquidity pool.
Structure: H4 BOS (Bullish) intact, suggesting a liquidity sweep before next expansion upward.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Short-term reaction from FVG
Entry: 4090–4095
Stop Loss: 4100
Take Profit 1: 4055
Take Profit 2: 4040
Take Profit 3: 4025
➡️ Reasoning: Price is likely to tap the lower edge of FVG and sweep local liquidity before a downside reaction toward internal range demand.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – First demand zone test
Entry: 4024–4025
Stop Loss: 4022
Take Profit 1: 4065
Take Profit 2: 4080
➡️ Reasoning: Expecting a short-term liquidity grab below the mid-range before bullish continuation.
3️⃣ BUY Setup – Main OB accumulation zone
Entry: 4003–4001
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit 1: 4045
Take Profit 2: 4075
Take Profit 3: 4090
➡️ Reasoning: Deep liquidity zone aligning with higher-timeframe OB. If macro data disappoints, this area can trigger the next impulsive leg to retest 4170+.
🧭 Overall Bias
→ Ranging bias before Core PCE
→ Buy dips – Sell rallies within 4000–4100 until a clear breakout post-GDP/PCE data.
→ Watch for false breakouts around FVG and maintain risk control before U.S. session releases.
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025
Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further.
The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken.
📅 Key News Events Today:
🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
📉 US Unemployment Rate
🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes
🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams
🧾 Initial Jobless Claims
⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Analysis
🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority
✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032
🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027
🎯 Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 4039
TP2: 4047
TP3: 4059
💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend.
🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy
📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095
🛡 SL: 4098
🎯 TP:
TP1: 4088
TP2: 4077
TP3: 4060
TP4: 4033
💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news.
🔑 Key Price Zones
Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032
→ Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held.
Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111
→ The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise.
Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140
→ The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed.
✅ Strategy Conclusion
🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032.
🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone.
🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs.
Recent Drivers
USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve
Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning
Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures
Session Outlook
London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones
New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character)
Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence
Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085
Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081
Liquidity Levels
BSL: Above 4147 & 4081
SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993
Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders
Imbalances
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells
Minor imbalance: 4081
Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation)
4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone
This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity.
Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply.
4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected
A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts.
Often triggers sharp intraday reversals.
4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand
This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below.
Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys.
3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base
A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure.
Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell
Entry: 4148–4147
Stoploss: 4126
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4079–4081
Stoploss: 4087
TP1: 4065
TP2: 4048
TP3: 4033
Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stoploss: 4027
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4070
Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stoploss: 3987
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4040
TP3: 4070
Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities
Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY
Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones
Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081.
Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals.
Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes.
Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
XAUUSD – Battle Zones of the Day🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of compressed volatility, where price tapped both buy-side and sell-side liquidity several times without forming a decisive trend. On the M30 chart, the intraday structure remains bearish, with price consistently rejecting premium levels and forming lower highs.
Recent Catalysts:
USD holds mild strength following a slightly hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve
Market is awaiting mid-week economic releases → leading to a cautious sentiment
Risk appetite remains neutral with no strong safe-haven flows
Session Expectations:
London Session: Likely to generate early liquidity sweeps towards premium zones
New York Session: Higher probability of seeing genuine directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday unless price reaches discount zones and forms a CHoCH
Price is currently trading within mid-range levels, making the extreme liquidity zones the safest points for execution.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure
M30 structure: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4075–4085
Inducement layers accumulating above 4147 and 4070
Liquidity
BSL: Above 4147 & 4070
SSL: Below 4033 and the deeper pocket at 3993
Market forming engineered liquidity wicks on both sides
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → strong scalp sell zone
Minor imbalance: 4070–4071
Discount imbalances: 4033 and 3993 support buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Attractive Explanations)
4148–4147 → Premium Liquidity Trap – Ideal Scalp Sell
A premium zone combining an unmitigated bearish order block and BSL inducement.
This area often triggers breakout buyers before institutions reverse the move.
4071–4070 → Secondary Premium Liquidity – Fast Rejection Zone
A small liquidity pool above equilibrium designed to sweep early highs before price turns bearish again.
4035–4033 → Discount Reaction Zone – Scalping Demand
A micro order block aligned with a cluster of sell-side liquidity.
Provides clean, low-drawdown intraday rebounds.
3995–3993 → Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Value Reversal Zone
A major liquidity pocket aligned with higher-timeframe discounts.
If price reaches here, a strong reversal is highly probable.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven, High Precision)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Scalp
Entry: 4148–4147
Stop-loss: 4126
Targets: 4135 → 4120 → 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + FVG fill leading to strong bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4071–4070
Stop-loss: 4077
Targets: 4058 → 4043 → 4033
Logic: Sweep of mini BSL followed by downward displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stop-loss: 4027
Targets: 4048 → 4070
Logic: SSL sweep with potential for a micro CHoCH → clean bounce setup.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stop-loss: 3987
Targets: 4010 → 4040 → 4070
Logic: Strong higher-timeframe discount zone → excellent reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid trading in mid-range areas — only execute at the extreme liquidity zones
Expect fake movements during London open
New York session likely provides the main trend direction
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation signals (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying around premium levels to stay clear of liquidity traps
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium-zone sell opportunities at 4147 and 4070.
Discount-zone levels at 4033 and 3993 remain high-probability areas for intraday bounces or deeper reversals.
Trade only at liquidity extremes.
Be patient.
Let the market form the trap — and then strike with precision.
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines:
Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes.
This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones.
Key implications from the news:
• The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations.
• Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside.
• Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers.
• Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists.
Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs.
• Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep.
• Liquidity Map:
→ Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster).
→ Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4145 – 4147
• Stop-Loss: 4155
• Take-Profit:
→ 4085 (minor imbalance)
→ 4045 (range midpoint)
→ 4004 – 4002 (discount demand)
📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4004 – 4002
• Stop-Loss: 3997
• Take-Profit:
→ 4040 (short-term range high)
→ 4075 (inefficiency fill)
→ 4140 (premium retest)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations.
• Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs.
• Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves.
• Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken.
📝 Summary
Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply.
SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges:
• Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation)
Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure.
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GOLD H1 – Hawkish Fed Pressure Ahead of Key NFP Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (18/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a bearish corrective channel as markets react to hawkish Federal Reserve commentary and positioning ahead of this week’s U.S. NFP data.
• Fed officials signaled a stronger stance against premature rate cuts, keeping USD supported and limiting gold’s upside.
• Price continues to hover near $4,080, reflecting uncertainty as traders balance Fed tone with upcoming labour-market reports.
Institutional order flow shows controlled downside pressure, with engineered liquidity sweeps forming around both channel extremes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price remains inside a Bearish Correction Channel, creating consecutive BOS points, confirming distribution.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4107–4105 aligns with a previous mitigation block + internal liquidity.
• Discount Buy Zone: 3983–3985 sits at the lower boundary of the channel + liquidity sweep zone.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity above 4107 (clean equal-high pocket).
→ Sell-side liquidity resting around 3985–3976, where prior long positions were removed.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,107 – 4,105
• Stop-Loss: 4,117
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,060 (minor imbalance fill)
→ 4,030 (BOS retest)
→ 3,985 (discount zone)
📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 3,983 – 3,985
• Stop-Loss: 3,976
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,030 (short-term structure high)
→ 4,060 (inefficiency midpoint)
→ 4,105 (premium retest)
📌 Valid if price taps channel low + shows bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility as markets digest hawkish Fed remarks before NFP.
• Avoid entering trades inside the 4020–4070 chop region without clear BOS.
• Reduce position size during news hours.
• Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket.
📝 Summary
Gold remains pressured by Fed rhetoric, but liquidity is building at both extremes.
• Sell Zone: 4107–4105 (premium mitigation area)
• Buy Zone: 3983–3985 (discount liquidity sweep)
Price is likely to form a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern within the channel.
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Gold Futures – Bearish Continuation Developing 🟡⬇ Gap-down open = breakdown continuation
Price below 9 EMA and 21 EMA
Evening Star pattern confirmed
RSI falling → momentum weakening
MACD below signal → bearish pressure
📌 Short Setup:
Below 121,800–121,900
🎯 Targets: 117,500 → 116,000
🛑 Stoploss: 123,650
Weak trend until gold closes back above 21 EMA.
GOLD H1 – Will Retail Sales Trigger Gold’s Next Big Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (17/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside a corrective phase as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Retail Sales data and several Fed speeches — both crucial for assessing whether inflation momentum is slowing or rebounding.
• Weak retail numbers may hint at cooling consumer strength, supporting safe-haven bids in gold.
• Strong data could revive USD demand, prompting sell-side setups from premium zones.
Institutional flows show engineered pushes into inefficiency before a directional leg unfolds.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Gold is forming a short-term accumulation at the discount range after consecutive bearish candles and a deep liquidity sweep below 4030.
• FVG Sell Zone: 4140–4138 aligns with an unmitigated FVG + internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions.
• Discount Zone: 4008–4010 is the last clean demand zone + sweep area, matching the chart’s projected bullish inducement.
• Liquidity:
→ Buy-side liquidity rests above 4140.
→ Sell-side liquidity remains exposed near 4000–3995.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,140 – 4,138
• Stop-Loss: 4,150
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,095 (intra-day imbalance fill)
→ 4,060 (previous BOS block)
→ 4,010 (discount accumulation area)
📌 Trade only after a liquidity sweep into FVG + bearish BOS on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,008
• Stop-Loss: 4,000
• Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4,060 (short-term structure high)
→ 4,095 (mid-range inefficiency)
→ 4,138 (final premium reaction zone)
📌 Valid if price sweeps 4008 and shows bullish BOS + displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect volatility during the U.S. Retail Sales release.
• Avoid chasing price inside the 4060–4100 chop region.
• Lock profits at each liquidity level and trail stops.
• Keep total risk under 1–2% per setup.
📝 Summary
Gold remains in a engineered pullback phase with clear liquidity pockets at both extremes.
• Sell Zone: 4140–4138 (FVG / premium reaction zone)
• Buy Zone: 4008–4010 (discount accumulation zone)
A clean manipulation–reaction–continuation pattern is likely before the next intraday move.
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GOLD: Big Pullback Loading Before a 4400 Rally?Bias: Bullish – Buy-the-Dip Strategy
Approach: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🌐 Market Context
Gold continues to show a strong recovery, maintaining a clear bullish structure across the H1, H4, and Daily timeframes.
Institutional order flow remains firmly on the buy-side as:
Liquidity on H1/H4 highs is being swept consistently
Pullbacks are respecting Demand Order Blocks (OBs)
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish continuation
However, the region 4280 – 4330 (FVG + major trap zone) has historically triggered strong distribution – making it a likely area for liquidity hunts and fake breakouts before any corrective move.
🎯 Key Price Levels
🔴 Resistance Zones (Potential Distribution Areas)
4274 – 4295
4330 – 4345 (FVG + Biggest Trap Zone)
Expect volatility and sharp reactions here – suitable for partial profit-taking, not for chasing buy entries.
🟢 Support / Buy Zones (Institutional Demand Areas)
1️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Shallow Pullback (High Probability)
Entry: 4170 – 4190 (H4 OB + BOS retest)
SL: Below 4170
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
➡️ This is today’s primary setup. Requires clear bullish confirmation on entry.
2️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Deep Pullback (High R:R Setup)
Entry: 4100 – 4120 (Deep OB + liquidity sweep level)
SL: Below 4100
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
➡️ Best scenario if the market retraces deeply — exceptional Risk:Reward.
📉 Why Selling Is Not a Priority
Despite resistance overhead, the market remains:
Bullish in structure
Supported by demand zones
Without a confirmed Market Structure Shift (MSS) → Bearish BOS
Therefore, selling remains counter-trend and not part of the main trading plan today.
📈 Institutional Technical Outlook (H1/H4)
1. Price approaching 4280 – 4330 trap zone
Expect:
Liquidity sweeps
Wick-driven false breakouts
Short-term corrections back into OB before continuing upwards
2. Liquidity Map
4170 liquidity pool below current price → likely target for engineered pullback
4300 – 4350 equal highs → attractive upside draw for smart money
🧠 Professional Trade Plan Summary
✔️ Do not chase breakouts near resistance
✔️ Wait for price to retrace into:
4170 – 4190
4100 – 4120
✔️ Main targets:
TP1: 4275
TP2: 4360 – 4400
✔️ At TP1:
Secure 50%
Move SL to Break-Even
✔️ Plan invalidation if price closes below 4100
📌 Notes for Large-Capital Traders (UK/EU)
Today’s environment is ideal for high-quality, low-frequency entries at institutional demand zones.
Avoid buying at highs; patience will deliver the best setups.
This plan follows a clean institutional trend-following methodology — suitable for accounts prioritising consistency and low drawdown.
📊 Daily Bias: Strong BUY
⏳ Waiting for pullback towards 4170 – 4190 or 4100 – 4120
🚀 Targeting 4360 – 4400 over the next sessions
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations.
Mixed economic signals — including softer labour data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below.
Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favourable for SMC-style setups.
Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players.
• The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg.
• A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution.
• Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation.
• Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125
Rationale:
• Discount zone within the current 4H range
• Liquidity resting below the structure lows
• Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse
🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152
SL: 4161
TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920
Rationale:
• Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity
• Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside
• Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering.
• Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens.
• Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out.
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price.
Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction.
Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations.
Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure.
Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favoured at 3907–3909.
🔔 FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected as USD Softens After Jobless Claims🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading within a corrective structure today as the U.S. dollar weakens slightly following higher-than-expected Jobless Claims.
Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of upcoming Fed speeches, which could provide clues about December policy expectations.
• A more hawkish tone could trigger a deeper downside move toward unfilled discount zones.
• Conversely, any dovish signals may push gold into a short-term liquidity grab before resuming its corrective trend.
Liquidity remains concentrated near the $4,030 area, where price may tap into resting buy-side liquidity before forming the next bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: Current bias shows corrective bearish intent following recent ChoCH → BOS sequence on H1.
• Premium Zone: The 4030–4028 region aligns with an unmitigated H1 supply — ideal for continuation shorts.
• Liquidity Sweep: Price may reach 4030 to sweep early breakout buyers before confirming downside continuation.
• Discount Zone: Strong demand sits at 3932–3934, overlapping with previous bullish displacement and unmitigated demand.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4030 – 4028
• Stop-Loss: 4040
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3980 → 3964 → 3934 (major demand zone)
🟢 Buy Setup (Countertrend Reaction)
• Entry: 3932 – 3934
• Stop-Loss: 3925
• Take-Profit Targets: → 3964→ 3995 → 4020
(Only valid if liquidity sweep and bullish reaction occur at the demand zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation at both zones to avoid premature entries.
• Avoid trading directly at the minor support around 3964 — it is not a valid SMC entry zone.
• Prioritize the sell setup; intraday bias remains corrective-bearish within a broader range.
• Secure partial profits at the first liquidity target and trail stops according to structure.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to seek premium liquidity near 4030 before resuming its corrective move lower.
The 4030–4028 supply area offers a clean continuation-short entry, while 3932–3934 remains the strongest discount zone for reactive long setups.
Stay adaptable — the market maintains a mild bearish tone while waiting for further Fed guidance.
FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4000 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3990 – 3960, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 3990 – 4000.
📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers.
💡 Trading Plan:
🔸 Sell Zone: 4000 – 4003
🎯 Targets: 3990, 3980 and 3970
🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4012 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum.
📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4012
💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold Retracement After 200-Point Fall — Watch for a Rejection!Price Action in Focus | Short Setup on Key Resistance Zone
Gold (XAUUSD) posted a sharp 200-point drop from the all-time high at 4380 on Friday. The current move looks like a technical retracement, not a reversal — a classic dead-cat bounce scenario? 🐈📉
📍 Key Resistance Zone: 4280 – 4300
Price is now testing this zone, which previously acted as a breakdown level. If sellers step in here, we could see another leg lower.
🔍 Short Bias Setup (Not Financial Advice):
🧭 Sell Zone: 4280 – 4300
❌ Invalidation (SL): Above 4321
🎯 Targets: 4241 and 4221
💬 Watching for bearish confirmation before executing — candle wicks, volume spike, or RSI divergence could seal the deal.
⚠️ This is a technical idea, not financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm with your own strategy.
🔔 Follow for live chart updates, breakdowns & strategy threads!
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. CPI DataXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
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📈 Market Context
Gold prices remain steady around $3,975, as traders await the U.S. CPI data release later today — a key event that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
If inflation cools, the dovish sentiment may boost gold’s safe-haven appeal; however, a hotter CPI print could trigger renewed dollar strength and short-term pressure on XAUUSD.
Market volatility is expected to spike near the release, so liquidity grabs and false breaks are likely before the true direction forms.
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🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirms short-term bearish control after breaking the bullish structure near 4017.
• FVG Sell Zone (4015–4017) aligns with premium imbalance and prior liquidity — ideal for short setups if price retests that zone.
• BOS to the downside was confirmed at 3960, showing sellers in control.
• The discount zone 3908–3910 is a strong demand area where buyers may step in after liquidity sweep below 3910.
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🟢 Buy Zone: 3908–3910
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3920 → 3940 → 3960+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4015–4017
SL: 4022
TP targets: 4000 → 3985 → 3970
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⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entering either side.
• Use partial position sizing around CPI release — volatility may cause large wicks.
• Watch for liquidity hunts near 3980–3990 before CPI, then confirm structure direction.
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✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below key resistance while awaiting U.S. inflation data.
Smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep toward 4015–4017 (FVG) before resuming the bearish leg into 3910.
However, if CPI comes in softer than expected, buyers may defend 3908–3910, sparking a recovery back toward 3980+.
🔔 Stay alert around CPI release hours — expect manipulative price action and confirm structure breaks before committing to directional trades.
Gold 1H – Will Gold Correction Extend Toward Discount Zones?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading close to 3,745 after a series of bearish pushes, with premium resistance placed at 3,780–3,778 and another resistance pocket at 3,748–3,746. On the downside, discount demand is noted at 3,713–3,706, with a deeper support near 3,665. Recent CHoCH signals highlight short-term bearish bias, indicating that liquidity sweeps into resistance zones may occur before price retraces towards discount areas.
Today’s headlines around renewed U.S. inflation concerns and expectations of a slower Fed pivot are dampening sentiment, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to support safe-haven bids. This combination is likely to keep intraday volatility elevated, with liquidity grabs around resistance zones expected before a clearer directional move emerges.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,780–3,778 (SL 3,787): Premium resistance where sweeps may trigger rejection toward 3,760 → 3,740 → 3,730.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3,748–3,746 (SL 3,755): Intraday resistance aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement, targeting 3,730 → 3,720 → 3,715.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,697–3,699 (SL 3,692): Discount demand with liquidity confluence, offering upside targets at 3,715 → 3,730 → 3,745+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,780–3,778)
• Entry: 3,780–3,778
• Stop Loss: 3,787
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,760
TP2: 3,740
TP3: 3,730
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Rejection (3,748–3,746)
• Entry: 3,748–3,746
• Stop Loss: 3,755
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,730
TP2: 3,720
TP3: 3,715
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,697–3,699)
• Entry: 3,697–3,699
• Stop Loss: 3,692
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,715
TP2: 3,730
TP3: 3,745+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With U.S. inflation concerns and geopolitical risks creating mixed drivers for gold, intraday strategies can look to fade liquidity sweeps into premium resistance while keeping an eye on buy opportunities from well-defined discount demand zones. Expect sharp moves around 3,780 liquidity grabs before corrections extend down into the 3,713–3,706 area.
Gold 1H – Should We Hold or Fade Liquidity at 3800?On the 1-hour timeframe, gold is trading near 3,776 within a corrective channel. Premium liquidity remains clustered above 3,800–3,798, while discount demand is positioned at 3,725–3,727. Recent BOS (Break of Structure) signals confirm bullish intent, but engineered sweeps into premium zones are still likely before price retraces toward discount levels.
Today’s headlines on the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are reinforcing safe-haven demand. However, intraday volatility may continue to produce liquidity grabs before clear direction is established.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H)
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,800–3,798 (SL 3,807):
Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause rejections towards 3,770 → 3,760 → 3,755.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,727 (SL 3,720):
Discount demand in line with BOS, with upside targets at 3,740 → 3,760 → 3,775.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based)
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,800–3,798)
• Entry: 3,800–3,798
• Stop Loss: 3,807
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,770
o TP2: 3,760
o TP3: 3,755
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,725–3,727)
• Entry: 3,725–3,727
• Stop Loss: 3,720
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,740
o TP2: 3,760
o TP3: 3,775+
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🔑 Strategy Note
With the Fed’s cautious stance and geopolitical risks supporting gold, the broader bias remains buy-the-dip. At the same time, fading engineered sweeps into premium liquidity zones can offer tactical short-term opportunities. Expect volatility around 3,800 liquidity runs before retracements into well-defined discount zones.
Gold 1H – Risk of Premium Sweeps Before ReversalOn the 1H timeframe, gold is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. The market is oscillating between the fresh FVG sell zone at 3,673–3,671 and the deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains positioned above 3,705 and below 3,632, keeping scope for engineered sweeps before a clearer directional move emerges.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712)
Major premium liquidity trap, likely to precede continuation lower towards 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627)
Discount demand zone, aiming for recovery towards 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671)
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Targets:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into the FVG before downside extension.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703)
• Entry: 3,705 – 3,703
• Stop Loss: 3,712
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,675
TP3: 3,660
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636)
• Entry: 3,634 – 3,636
• Stop Loss: 3,627
• Targets:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,660
TP3: 3,670
👉 High risk-reward opportunity if gold defends discount demand; suitable for counter-trend scalps.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains under pressure below 3,673–3,705, favouring short setups into premium sweeps. However, close attention is needed at 3,634–3,636, as buyers may attempt to accumulate and reclaim structure. Best practice: trade smaller lots until the New York session provides confirmation of direction.
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply zones, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defence.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711)
Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610)
Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680)
• Entry: 3,678 – 3,680
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,675
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,665
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702)
• Entry: 3,704 – 3,702
• Stop Loss: 3,711
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,616–3,618)
• Entry: 3,616 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favourable risk/reward from deep demand.
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🔑 Strategy Note
With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favour short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade lighter size until direction clarifies post-news.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sell XAU/USD now at 3688.00 level and take a stop loss of 3703.00 and the targets will be as follows.
Entry range 3691.00 to 3687.00
Take Profit 1 = 3673.00
Take Profit 2 = 3665.00
Take Profit 3 = 3655.00
Take Profit 4 = 3645.00
Stock Loss 3703.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Entery = 3649.00
Stock Loss = 3657.00
Take profit 1 = 3643.00
Take profit 2 = 3639.00
Take profit 3 = 3634.00
Take profit 4 = 3628.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)






















