This Year Didn’t Make Me Rich–It Made Me Better, & Consistent :)Hello Traders!
As 2025 comes to an end, I want to share something real. Not a highlight reel. Not a perfect equity curve. Just an honest story from the start of this year to where I stand today.
The beginning of 2025 was not good for me as a trader.
The ending feels very different.
And that difference is not because of a new strategy.
It is because of a new mindset.
How 2025 Actually Started for Me
The year began with confusion.
I was trading regularly, posting analysis, reading charts correctly, but results were inconsistent.
Many trades looked perfect on the chart.
Structure was clean.
Direction was right.
Still, something was missing.
Some days I booked profits too early.
Some days I held losses longer than planned.
Sometimes I entered again just to recover a previous trade.
At that time, I thought the problem was execution speed or market conditions.
Later, I understood the problem was deeper.
Right Analysis Was Never the Problem
One thing became very clear as months passed.
My analysis was rarely wrong.
Gold respected levels.
Market structure behaved as expected.
Liquidity did what liquidity always does.
But my reactions were not stable.
A small pullback felt like danger.
A quick profit felt like relief.
A losing trade felt personal.
That is when I realised something important.
Execution Is Emotional, Not Technical
Execution does not fail because charts change.
Execution fails because emotions take control.
Fear made me exit good trades early.
Ego made me hold bad trades longer.
Overconfidence made me increase size when I should not have.
And hesitation made me miss the best entries.
The market was doing its job.
I was not doing mine properly.
The Turning Point of 2025
Mid-year, I stopped trying to trade more.
I started trying to understand myself more.
I reduced position size.
I focused on calm execution, not fast execution.
I accepted that missing a trade is better than forcing one.
I stopped trying to prove I was right and started trying to trade well.
Slowly, results changed.
Not suddenly.
Not magically.
But steadily.
What Improved in the Second Half of the Year
• My trades became fewer but cleaner.
• My drawdowns became smaller.
• My exits became calmer.
• My mindset became more patient.
• My confidence became quiet, not loud.
I was no longer chasing the market.
I was waiting for it.
The Biggest Lesson of 2025
Psychology is more important than setup.
Anyone can learn a strategy.
Anyone can mark support and resistance.
But staying calm when price goes against you.
Following rules after two losses.
Keeping size under control when confidence is high.
That is the real edge.
Self-Awareness Is the Real Profit
This year taught me when I become impulsive.
It taught me when fear controls my decisions.
It taught me when ego tries to interfere.
And once you see these patterns in yourself,
you stop fighting the market and start managing yourself.
That is when consistency begins.
Why I Am Ending 2025 Confident
Not because I won every trade.
Not because every month was green.
But because I understand myself better as a trader.
I trust my process more.
I respect risk more.
I react less and think more.
That is real growth.
As we step into a new year, I wish you clarity in your decisions, discipline in your execution, and patience in your journey.
Happy New Year to everyone who chose growth over shortcuts and learning over ego.
Conclusion from overall this
If your 2025 was difficult, it was not wasted.
If you learned about yourself, you moved forward.
I am entering the next year calmer, clearer, and more consistent.
And if this journey feels similar to yours, feel free to connect, comment, or share your experience.
Goldtrading
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam View: Strong Bullish Breakout→ short-term bearish shift, prefer selling the pullback | Quick reaction buy at 4330–4333
Quick summary
Gold just printed a very aggressive dump with clear BOS (Break of Structure) — a short-term bearish shift is now in play. Price is currently in a technical rebound, so the cleaner plan is:
Don’t chase shorts at the lows
Wait for a pullback into 4458–4462 to sell from a premium supply zone
If price sweeps back down, look for a quick reaction buy at 4330–4333
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
The sell-off looks like a classic liquidity dump: large bearish candles, multiple supports broken → confirms bearish pressure intraday.
After a dump, the market often retraces into supply (re-distribution) before the next leg.
The 4330–4333 area is marked as a support that already “tested liquidity” — it can still provide a bounce, but it’s more of a scalp zone, not a full reversal yet.
2) Key Levels
✅ Sell zone: 4458 – 4462 (supply / pullback short)
✅ Buy zone: 4330 – 4333 (support / quick reaction)
3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): SELL the pullback
✅ Sell: 4458 – 4462
SL guide: 4470 (or above the most recent lower-TF swing high)
TP1: 4400 – 4390
TP2: 4333
TP3: extension lower if structure continues to break down
Logic: After a strong BOS, 4458–4462 is where you get a better short entry — avoid selling late.
Scenario B: BUY reaction at support (scalp only)
✅ Buy: 4330 – 4333
SL guide: 4322–4325
TP: 4370 → 4400 (scale out)
Logic: This zone can spark a technical bounce. Only buy with clear holding signals on lower timeframes (M5–M15) — no catching falling knives.
4) Confirmation rules (avoid noise)
If price reaches 4458–4462 and fails to reclaim above → SELL bias stays strong.
If 4330 breaks and closes below → stop looking for buys and focus on pullback sells.
5) Risk notes
No mid-range entries — only act at 4330–4333 or 4458–4462.
Risk per trade: max 1–2%.
After a dump, spreads and wicks can expand — reduce size.
Which side are you leaning today: selling 4458–4462, or waiting for 4330–4333 to buy the reaction bounce?
XAUUSD liquidity grab done, awaiting next move.Market Context (Intraday)
Gold has just completed a sharp sell-off, breaking below the previous structure and sweeping sell-side liquidity. The strong bearish displacement suggests a stop-hunt and rebalancing phase, not a clean trend continuation yet. Current price action shows consolidation after liquidity absorption.
Technical Structure
Market is trading below the descending trendline, keeping short-term pressure bearish.
A clear liquidity sweep occurred below 4,321, followed by a weak rebound.
Price is now reacting inside a key rebalancing zone, where both buyers and sellers may reposition.
Key Levels to Watch
Sell Reaction Zone: 4,455 – 4,460
→ Strong supply + trendline resistance. Expect rejection if price rallies here.
Mid Resistance / Decision Zone: 4,390 – 4,395
→ Intraday flip zone. Failure here keeps bearish bias intact.
Buy Zone (Liquidity): 4,245 – 4,255
→ Major demand + sell-side liquidity. Area to watch for potential bullish reaction.
Scenarios
Bearish Scenario:
If price fails below 4,390, expect continuation toward 4,320 → 4,250 to complete liquidity collection.
Bullish Recovery Scenario:
A strong reaction from 4,245–4,255 followed by acceptance above 4,395 could open a recovery move toward 4,455+.
Macro Notes
With year-end positioning and lower liquidity conditions, price is likely to be driven by liquidity hunts rather than clean trends. Avoid chasing moves; focus on reactions at key zones.
Bias
Neutral to bearish intraday, until price shows a clear acceptance above resistance.
XAUUSD (H1) – Early-week Selling biasSharp drop from ATH, look to sell the pullback into resistance & liquidity
Strategy summary
Gold opened the week with a fast sell-off (roughly a $20 drop intraday), signalling strong profit-taking after the All-Time High sweep. With the current structure, my focus is SELL on pullbacks, using the trendline / resistance zones and nearby liquidity clusters as execution areas.
1) Technical read (H1 – based on your chart)
All-Time High remains a major psychological ceiling. After an ATH sweep, a corrective leg is common.
Price is trading below the Buyside Liquidity band, which often gets retested before the next directional move.
Key levels on your chart:
Sell zone: 4494 – 4497 (main pullback sell area)
Strong Liquidity: around 4474 (reaction / decision point)
Lower liquidity supports: 4441 – 4444 and 4403 – 4406 (areas to watch for reactions)
2) Trade plan (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): SELL the pullback
✅ Sell zone: 4494 – 4497
SL (guide): above the zone (refine on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4474
TP2: 4441 – 4444
TP3: 4403 – 4406
Logic: This is a clean resistance / pullback area. Selling the reaction is safer than chasing shorts at the lows.
Scenario B: BUY reaction at lower liquidity (scalp only)
If the sell leg extends into support, you can consider a short-term bounce trade:
Buy: 4441 – 4444 (quick reaction zone)
Deeper buy: 4403 – 4406 (better value zone)
Only take buys with clear holding signals on lower timeframes — no catching falling knives.
3) Macro context (news) – why gold is swinging
The sharp move lower suggests markets are re-pricing risk after an extended rally.
US–Israel tensions are elevated, with Trump and Netanyahu reportedly clashing over Gaza, Iran and post-war order — geopolitical risk can trigger fast liquidity-driven swings.
In headline-driven sessions, gold often runs a two-step pattern: liquidity sweep → correction → direction. That’s why I’m sticking to level-based execution and avoiding FOMO.
4) Risk notes
Don’t chase shorts during heavy red candles.
Focus on 4494–4497 for shorts and scale out at the TP levels.
Max risk per trade: 1–2%.
What’s your bias for this week: selling the 4494–4497 pullback, or waiting for 444x/440x to buy a reaction bounce?
XAUUSD (H1) – Monday Trading StrategyLana prioritizes selling setups until a new high is broken.
Quick summary
Technical context: Price has pulled back strongly from the All-Time High, showing short-term weakness.
Daily bias: Sell on rallies, until price breaks and holds above a new high.
Key events: Speech from U.S. President Trump and updates related to U.S.–China trade may increase volatility.
News impact – what to watch
Trump’s speech: Often drives short-term USD sentiment through comments on growth, tariffs, and inflation. Gold may react sharply to headline risk.
U.S.–China trade activity (CCPIT): Any improvement in trade sentiment can support USD in the short term, adding pressure to gold. Rising tensions would favor gold as a safe haven.
Because of this, Lana will focus on price reaction at key zones rather than predicting the news outcome.
Technical analysis (H1)
Gold printed a new All-Time High and then sold off aggressively, signaling profit-taking near the top.
Price is now consolidating within a corrective structure, where selling rallies remains the higher-probability play.
Key zones identified on the chart:
Sell zone: 4529 – 4531
Buy reaction zone: 4498 – 4500 (support)
Trading plan for Monday
Primary scenario – Sell rallies
Sell: 4529 – 4531
This zone is expected to act as resistance during the current correction.
Bias change condition:
Only shift to a bullish continuation if price breaks above the previous high and holds.
Secondary scenario – Short-term buy reaction
Buy: 4498 – 4500
This is considered a scalp-only setup, as the overall intraday bias remains bearish.
Session notes
Asian session may remain slow, while volatility is likely to increase around the scheduled events.
Best trades are expected when price returns to planned zones rather than trading in the middle of the range.
This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is not financial advice.
XAUUSD – Bullish structure intact, Buy pullbackGold remains within a mid-term ascending channel. After a strong bullish impulse, the price is currently in a technical rebalancing phase, not a trend reversal. The recent pullback is viewed as liquidity absorption, preparing for the next expansion.
Structure & Order Flow (MMF / SMC)
Overall market structure stays Higher High – Higher Low.
Price has reacted clearly from the lower Demand / Order Block, confirming buyer presence.
Buy-side liquidity remains above, acting as the next upside magnet.
Key Technical Levels
Primary BUY Zone: 4,485 – 4,490
Secondary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,483 (OB + trendline confluence)
Resistance / Target 1: 4,520
Target 2 (Liquidity Zone): 4,560 – 4,590
Trading Scenarios
Primary Scenario:
Wait for the price to pull back into BUY zones, look for reaction / minor BOS, then follow the bullish trend.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price holds above 4,500 and breaks strongly above 4,520, wait for a retest to continue BUY positions.
Invalidation:
A clear H1 close below 4,480 invalidates the bullish setup and requires reassessment.
Summary
The dominant bias remains bullish continuation. Best strategy is to buy on pullbacks, stay patient, and avoid chasing price at premium levels.
The Day Gold Taught Me the Cost of Overconfidence :))Hello Traders!
There was a time when I thought I had gold figured out.
My analysis was clean, levels were respected many times before, and the setup looked almost perfect. I felt confident, maybe a little too confident.
That day, gold didn’t just move against me.
It taught me a lesson I still remember every time I place a trade.
The Setup Was Right, The Mindset Was Not
On paper, everything made sense. Structure was clear, direction aligned, and risk reward looked attractive. I had taken similar trades earlier and they worked well, which made me trust myself more than the market. That confidence slowly turned into overconfidence. I increased my position size, convinced that “this one will work.” Gold had a different plan.
How Overconfidence Shows Up in Trading
Overconfidence is subtle. It doesn’t feel like arrogance.
It feels like certainty.
You stop questioning your bias.
You size bigger because recent trades worked.
You ignore the possibility of being wrong.
That day, I wasn’t trading gold anymore.
I was trading my ego.
The Moment Everything Changed
Price moved slightly against my position. Nothing abnormal, just a normal pullback. But because the position size was heavy, my emotions reacted instantly. I watched every tick, adjusted my stop mentally, and hoped instead of managing. Eventually, the stop was hit, Not because the idea was bad, but because my discipline was gone.
What Gold Taught Me That Day
Gold doesn’t care how confident you feel.
It doesn’t reward ego or past success.
Gold respects risk, not confidence.
Gold tests patience before rewarding conviction.
Gold punishes traders who think they are bigger than the market.
That loss didn’t hurt my account the most.
It hurt my illusion of control.
How I Changed My Trading After That
That day forced me to slow down and reflect.
I stopped increasing size just because I felt confident.
I started treating every trade as independent.
I focused more on execution and less on being right.
Once I did that, consistency started improving naturally.
The Real Cost of Overconfidence
Overconfidence doesn’t just cause losses. It creates bad habits. It makes you break rules quietly, justify mistakes, and repeat them. Gold exposed this side of me very clearly. And honestly, I’m grateful it did.
Rahul’s Tip
Confidence is necessary in trading, but overconfidence is expensive.
If a trade makes you feel “too sure,” pause and reduce size.
Markets reward respect, not certainty.
Conclusion That day, gold reminded me of a simple truth. Trading is not about proving how right you are. It is about managing how wrong you can be.
If this post felt relatable, like it, share your experience in the comments, and follow for more real trading psychology lessons.
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly StrategyBull trend still in control | Buy the pullback at 4430, sell reaction at 4573, target 4685
Weekly strategy snapshot
On H4, gold is still holding a strong bullish structure inside the rising channel. Price has already expanded higher, so next week I’m not chasing — I’m prioritizing a trend buy on pullback into liquidity. Above, the 1.618 Fibonacci zone is a clean area for a reaction sell / profit-taking.
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
H4 structure remains bullish: higher highs + higher lows.
Price is extended after the breakout, so mid-range entries are risky.
The chart clearly marks Sellside Liquidity – Buy 4430 as the key “reload” area.
Upside zones: Sell 4573 (Fibo 1.618) and the extension target 4685.
2) Key Levels for next week
✅ Buy zone (Sellside Liquidity): 4430
✅ Sell reaction (Fibo 1.618): 4573
✅ Extension target: 4685
3) Weekly trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback with the trend
✅ Buy: around 4430 (wait for a liquidity sweep + reaction)
SL (guide): below the 4430 zone (refine on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4530 – 4540
TP2: 4573
TP3: 4685 (if momentum continues)
Logic: After a breakout, price often returns to “collect liquidity” before the next leg higher. 4430 is the cleanest dip-buy location on this structure.
Scenario B: SELL reaction at premium Fibonacci (short-term)
✅ Sell: around 4573
SL (guide): above the zone
TP: back toward value / potentially toward 4430 if a clear correction develops
Logic: 4573 is a premium area where profit-taking often shows up. This is a reaction sell — not a long-term bearish bias.
4) Macro context (from your news) & gold impact
Trump’s comments on tariffs, a sharper reduction in the trade deficit, and strong GDP messaging can keep markets sensitive to USD / yields expectations. That can create sharp intraday swings.
At the same time, policy and geopolitical uncertainty still supports safe-haven demand — which is why the best approach remains: follow the trend, enter at liquidity.
5) Risk notes
Don’t chase at highs.
Only act at the levels: 4430 or 4573.
Max risk per trade: 1–2%.
What’s your bias for next week: buying the 4430 pullback, or waiting for 4573 to sell the reaction?
XAUUSD: Buy the dip or break to 4,587? MMF strategyXAUUSD (2H) – MMF Intraday Outlook
Market Context
Gold remains in a bullish continuation phase after breaking out of the prior accumulation range. Current price action shows a healthy pullback / rebalancing inside an ascending channel — a typical behavior before the next expansion leg, not a reversal signal.
Structure & SMC
Strong bullish impulse → range formation for liquidity reset.
4,485.981 acts as a key Demand / Bullish OB, where buyers previously stepped in.
Liquidity and upside objective are resting near 4,587.447.
Key Levels
BUY Zone (Demand / OB): 4,486
Mid-range / Pivot: ~4,533
Upside Liquidity Target: 4,587
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY (Preferred)
If price pulls back into 4,486 and shows acceptance (wick rejection / bullish close),
Then look for BUY continuation:
TP1: range high / intraday resistance
TP2: 4,587
Invalidation: clean 2H close below 4,486 → stand aside and reassess structure.
Alternative Scenario – Break & Retest BUY
If price holds above balance and breaks higher with strong displacement,
Then wait for a break–retest to join continuation toward 4,587.
Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range.
Macro Backdrop
Ongoing dovish Fed expectations and softer yields continue to support gold.
End-of-month liquidity can cause sharp swings → patience and level-based execution are key.
Summary
Short-term bias remains bullish as long as 4,486 holds.
MMF focus today: buy pullbacks into demand, target 4,587 liquidity.
XAUUSD (H4) – Trading Rising ChannelLana focuses on pullback buys for the week ahead 💛
Weekly overview
Primary trend (H4): Strong bullish structure, price is respecting a clean ascending channel
Current state: Price is trading near ATH and Fibonacci extensions → short-term reactions are possible
Weekly strategy: No FOMO. Lana prefers buying pullbacks at value zones, not chasing highs
Market context
Recent comments from the U.S. highlight strong economic growth and confidence in trade policies. While such statements can influence USD sentiment, gold at year-end is often driven more by liquidity conditions and technical structure than headlines.
With holiday liquidity thinning out, price movements can become sharper and less predictable. That’s why this week Lana stays disciplined and trades strictly based on structure and key levels.
Technical view based on the chart (H4)
On the H4 timeframe, gold is moving smoothly within a rising channel, consistently forming higher lows. The strong impulse leg has already completed its psychological breakout phase, and price is now hovering near the upper area of the channel.
Key points:
Fibonacci extension zones near the top act as psychological resistance, where temporary pullbacks are normal.
The best opportunities remain inside the channel, around value and liquidity zones.
Key levels Lana is watching this week Primary buy zone – Value Area (VL)
Buy: 4482 – 4485
This is a value zone within the rising channel. If price pulls back here and holds structure, continuation to the upside becomes more likely.
Safer buy zone – POC (Volume Profile)
Buy: 4419 – 4422
This POC zone shows heavy prior accumulation. If volatility increases or price corrects deeper, this area offers a more conservative buy opportunity.
Psychological resistance to respect
4603 – 4607: Fibonacci extension & psychological barrier At this zone, a short-term rejection or liquidity grab is possible before the next directional move.
Weekly trading plan (Lana’s approach)
Buy only on pullbacks into planned zones, with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Avoid chasing price near ATH or psychological resistance.
Reduce position size and manage risk carefully during low-liquidity holiday sessions.
Lana’s note 🌿
The trend is strong, but discipline at the entry is everything. If price doesn’t return to my zones, I’m happy to stay patient and wait.
This is Lana’s personal market view, not financial advice. Always manage your own risk. 💛
XAU/USD: Buy now as it accumulates below resistance!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold prices are maintaining a short-term uptrend. After the previous BOS increase, the market is currently accumulating just below the Resistance area, indicating that buyers are still in control but need more liquidity before expanding the range.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The current structure is still Higher High – Higher Low, with no bearish CHoCH.
• Prices are compressing just below the Resistance Zone ~4,518, indicating the possibility of sweeping liquidity in both directions before a breakout.
• Below exists Buy-side Liquidity + FVG, which is a good support area for the trend continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels on the chart
• Resistance Zone: ~4,518
• Buy Liquidity: 4,501 – 4,492
• FVG Buy: ~4,465
• Invalid bullish structure: M30 closes below 4,465
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario 1 – BUY pullback (priority)
• Wait for the price to retrace to 4,501 – 4,492 (Buy Liquidity)
• If there is a price holding reaction → continue to BUY according to the trend
• Targets: 4,518 → 4,540+
• SL: below 4,465
➤ Scenario 2 – BUY deep at FVG
• In case the price sweeps more strongly to ~4,465 (FVG Buy)
• This is the last defense area for buyers in the current structure
• Expect a rebound to the old peak area
➤ Scenario 3 – Break & Continue
• If the price breaks decisively above 4,518 and holds
• Watch for a retest to BUY according to the expanding wave
◆ Summary
• Main bias: Bullish.
• Strategy: Buy the dip, do not SELL without a bearish CHoCH.
• Important observation areas: 4,501 – 4,492 – 4,465.
• Break above 4,518 will open a new upward phase.
XAUUSD (H1) – Trading Buy LiquidityStay bullish with the rising channel, buy the pullback into liquidity
Quick view
Gold is still moving inside a rising channel. After the strong impulsive push, price is now consolidating / compressing. For today, I’m prioritizing BUY setups at liquidity + trendline retests, while keeping a reaction SELL plan at the premium Fibonacci zone above.
Macro context (why volatility can stay elevated)
Trump signing a record number of executive orders and the growing shift of power towards the executive branch increases policy uncertainty (tariffs, federal cuts, geopolitical moves). In uncertain environments, flows often rotate into safe-haven assets like gold. That said, this kind of headline risk can also move the USD sharply, so the best approach is still: trade the levels, not emotions.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Buy zone Liquidity: 4410 – 4413
✅ Buy trendline retest: 4480 – 4483
✅ Sell zone (Fibo 1.618): 4603 – 4606
Today’s trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1) BUY scenario (priority)
A. Trendline retest = best structural entry
Buy: 4480 – 4483
SL: below the zone (guide: 4472–4475, adjust on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4515 – 4520
TP2: 4580 – 4600
B. Deeper liquidity buy (if we get a sweep)
Buy: 4410 – 4413
SL: below the zone (guide: 4402–4405)
TP: 4480 → 4520
Logic: These are the cleanest liquidity areas on the chart. No chasing mid-range — I only act when price returns to the zone and reacts.
2) SELL scenario (reaction only — no chasing)
Sell: 4603 – 4606
SL: 4612
TP1: 4550
TP2: 4483
Logic: The 1.618 premium zone often attracts profit-taking. I only sell if price taps the zone and shows clear weakness on the lower timeframe.
Notes
If price keeps holding the trendline and printing higher lows → BUY bias remains stronger.
If we break the trendline and fail to reclaim it → reduce size and wait for a fresh structure.
Which side are you leaning today: buying the pullback, or waiting for 4603–4606 to sell the reaction?
XAU/USD – Bullish trend, focus on Buying the DipMarket Context
Gold remains in a bullish environment, trading within an ascending structure. The recent pullback appears to be a technical retracement after an impulsive move, not a trend reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a more accommodative Fed continue to weigh on the USD, keeping gold supported on dips. This backdrop favors trend-following BUY strategies rather than aggressive SELLs.
Technical Structure (H1)
Overall structure remains Higher High – Higher Low
Price is holding above the ascending trendline
No confirmed bearish Break of Structure
Current phase = rebalancing / pullback within uptrend
Key Zones on Chart
OBS BUY Zone: 4,483 – 4,475
Deeper Support: 4,457
Near Resistance: 4,515
Upper Resistance / Target: 4,534
Major Supply: 4,566
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation BUY
Wait for price to pull back into the OBS BUY zone (4,483 – 4,475)
Look for bullish reaction / structure hold on lower timeframes
This zone aligns with demand + trend support
Targets
TP1: 4,515
TP2: 4,534
TP3: 4,566 (expect reaction / profit-taking)
Alternative Scenario
If price breaks above 4,534 with acceptance
→ Expect a push toward 4,566, but avoid chasing at premium
Invalidation
A H1 close below 4,457 would weaken the bullish structure and shift bias to neutral.
Summary
Gold remains bullish as long as structure support holds. The priority is to buy pullbacks at key demand zones, manage risk near resistance, and avoid emotional entries at the highs.
XAUUSD – Bullish Channel AnalysisLana stays bullish, waiting for pullbacks to buy 💛
Quick summary
Trend: Clearly bullish, price is moving inside a well-defined rising channel
Timeframe: H1
Current state: Price is near the upper part of the channel, so a psychological reaction near Fibonacci extension is possible
Strategy: No chasing. Lana prefers buying pullbacks into value/liquidity zones
Market context
Gold remains strong into year-end, even as liquidity becomes thinner. The current push higher looks very momentum-driven, and Fibonacci extension areas often act as short-term “reaction zones” before the next directional decision.
On the longer-term side, bold forecasts like Jim Rickards’ view (gold potentially reaching very high levels in 2026) show that bullish sentiment in precious metals is still alive. Still, for Lana, short-term trading must follow structure and zones, not headlines.
Technical view: price inside a rising channel
On the chart, gold is respecting a clean ascending channel, consistently printing higher lows.
Key observations:
The upper Fibonacci extension area around 4603–4607 is a psychological barrier, where a short-term pullback can happen.
The best entries are usually found when price returns to value areas inside the channel, not at the top.
Key levels Lana is watching
Primary buy zone – Value Area (VL)
Buy: 4482 – 4485
This is a value area inside the rising channel. If price pulls back here and structure holds, continuation to the upside becomes more likely.
Deeper buy zone – Liquidity POC
Buy: 4419 – 4422 (POC)
This level shows heavy prior accumulation on the Volume Profile. If year-end liquidity causes a deeper shakeout, this zone becomes a safer area to look for buys.
Trading notes
4603–4607 is a psychological resistance zone — not a place to chase longs.
Only buy when price reaches the planned zone and shows confirmation on the lower timeframe.
With thin liquidity: reduce position size and keep risk tight.
Lana’s note 🌿
The trend is strong, but patience at the right entry matters more than catching every move. Lana follows structure, not emotions.
Why Gold Behaves Differently During Christmas Week – A Lesson!Hello Traders!
If you have traded gold for a few years, you might have noticed something strange around Christmas week.
Your usual setups feel different. Levels don’t react the same way. Moves look random, slow, or suddenly sharp without logic. This is not because your analysis stopped working.
Gold behaves differently during Christmas week because liquidity behaves differently.
Understanding this one concept can save you from unnecessary losses.
What Changes in the Market During Christmas Week
During Christmas week, a large part of institutional traders, banks, and big market participants are either inactive or trading with very light exposure. Volumes drop significantly, and participation becomes uneven.
When fewer large players are active, the market structure changes. Gold still moves, but the quality of moves changes.
I’ve learned to treat this week very differently from normal trading weeks.
Why Low Liquidity Changes Gold’s Behavior
Gold is a highly liquid instrument most of the year, but during holiday weeks, especially Christmas, liquidity becomes thin.
With thin liquidity:
Small orders can move price more than usual
False breakouts become more frequent
Clean follow-through after breakouts reduces
Price starts reacting more to random flows than to strong conviction.
The Common Trap Retail Traders Fall Into
Most retail traders trade Christmas week exactly like any other week. They expect normal volatility, normal reactions, and normal continuation.
What actually happens is different.
Price spikes suddenly, hits stops easily, and then goes quiet again. This creates frustration and confusion, especially for intraday and scalping traders.
I’ve personally learned this the hard way earlier in my trading journey.
Why Gold Can Look “Manipulated” During Holidays
When liquidity is low, price movements feel exaggerated. Stops get hit easily, wicks become longer, and reversals appear sudden.
This makes traders feel like gold is being manipulated.
In reality, it is not manipulation, it is absence of depth. When the market lacks depth, price becomes sensitive.
How I Personally Trade Gold During Christmas Week
Over time, I changed my approach completely for holiday periods.
I reduce position size significantly, even if my analysis is strong.
I avoid aggressive intraday trades and prefer higher timeframe context.
I accept that missing trades is better than forcing trades during low liquidity.
Sometimes, the best trade during Christmas week is no trade.
Why Patience Matters More Than Prediction Here
During Christmas week, prediction matters less than protection. Even correct analysis can fail due to lack of participation.
Gold may move, but moves are often unreliable and short lived. This is where discipline protects capital.
I remind myself every year, markets will still be there next week.
Rahul’s Tip
If gold starts behaving strangely during Christmas week, don’t doubt yourself immediately.
Check liquidity first. Reduce size, reduce expectations, or step aside completely.
Preserving capital during low-quality conditions is also a skill.
Conclusion
Gold does not change its nature during Christmas week. Liquidity changes, and gold simply reacts to that.
When you understand how liquidity affects behavior, you stop forcing trades and start respecting the environment.
If this post helped you understand holiday trading better, like it, share your experience in the comments, and follow for more practical gold trading insights. Happy Merry Christmas to all from @TraderRahulPal :))
XAU/USD: Buy at FVG + Fibo, sell at Upper Liquidity◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold maintains an upward trend with previous BOS movements. After the push to the nearest peak, the price is undergoing a technical correction to rebalance liquidity before choosing the next direction.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The current decline is a pullback, with no bearish CHoCH confirming a reversal.
• The retracement area coincides with FVG + Fibo (0.5–0.618) → potential BUY reaction zone.
• Above exists Liquidity $$$ (Sell) – a target to attract liquidity if the price surges.
◆ Key Levels
• FVG – Fibo BUY: 4,466 – 4,461
• Liquidity SELL: ~4,584
• Intermediate resistance: 4,524
• Invalid bullish: H1/M30 closes below 4,455
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – BUY Pullback (priority)
• Wait for price to retrace to 4,466–4,461
• Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low
• Targets: 4,524 → 4,584
• SL: below 4,455
➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue
• If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles
• Follow the trend, take partial profits at 4,524
➤ Scenario C – SELL Reaction (short-term)
• When price hits Liquidity ~4,584
• Only SELL if a clear rejection appears (wick/engulfing)
◆ Summary
• Main bias: Bullish.
• Strategy: Buy the dip, avoid counter-trend SELL without CHoCH.
• Decision zone: 4,466–4,461 | Target: 4,524 → 4,584.
Bullish Trend Intact, Focus on Buy-the-Dip Market ContextGold continues to trade firmly within an ascending channel, maintaining its bullish momentum after the latest impulsive move. The market is currently in a technical pullback phase, which is considered healthy within an uptrend rather than a sign of reversal.
On the fundamental side, dovish Fed expectations and the outlook for lower interest rates keep pressure on the USD, providing ongoing support for gold. As long as this macro backdrop remains unchanged, downside moves are expected to stay corrective.
Technical Structure (H1)
Bullish market structure remains valid (Higher Highs & Higher Lows)
Price is holding above the ascending trendline
No confirmed bearish break of structure
Overall bias remains bullish continuation
Key Price Zones
Primary BUY Zone: 4,480 – 4,470
(Trendline support + demand zone + structure support)
Deeper Support: 4,444
Upside Targets / Resistance:
4,512 → 4,563
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
If price pulls back into 4,480 – 4,470 and holds on H1
→ Look for BUY setups aligned with the main trend
This zone represents a high-probability area for smart money re-entry
Targets
TP1: 4,512
TP2: 4,563
Scale out near major resistance areas
Alternative Scenario
If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,500
→ Wait for a break & retest before considering continuation BUYs
Avoid chasing price near the upper resistance zone
Invalidation
A H1 close below 4,444 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and require reassessment.
XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Outlook - 23/12/2025XAU/USD Trend: Strong Bullish
Current Price: $4,491.99
Key Levels:
Support: $4,486 / $4,479
Resistance: $4,497 / $4,501 / $4,508
Pivot: $4,490
Strategy:
Buy on dips: $4,486–$4,479 → Target $4,497–$4,501
Breakout buy: Above $4,497 → Target $4,501–$4,508
Sell only if below $4,486
Gold remains bullish; prefer buying on dips or breakouts, keep stops tight near support.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
XAU/USD: Buy on pullback in strong upward trend!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold is in a clear upward trend, demonstrated by a series of consecutive BOS and gradually higher lows/highs. After a strong push, the price is currently consolidating sideways in the premium area, indicating the market is pausing before choosing the next direction.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upward structure remains intact, with no bearish CHoCH appearing.
• The current adjustment area is the Buy Zone – where the price previously created a BOS.
• This sideways movement is rebalancing, often a precursor to the next upward move if support is not broken.
◆ Key Levels
• Buy Zone: 4,476 – 4,464
• Invalid upward: clear break below 4,464
• Upper targets:
▪ 4,531
▪ 4,565
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for a pullback or hold within Buy Zone 4,476 – 4,464
• Condition: candle holds price, does not break structural low
• Targets:
▪ 4,531
▪ 4,565
• SL: below 4,464
➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue
• If price holds above the current area and continues to close bullish candles
• Follow the trend, manage orders partially at target levels
➤ Scenario C – Defensive
• If 4,464 is clearly broken
• Short-term upward structure invalidated → stay out and wait for a new setup
◆ Summary
• Main trend: Strong bullish.
• Priority strategy: BUY with the trend, do not SELL against it.
• Decision area: 4,476 – 4,464.
• Next targets: 4,531 → 4,565.
XAUUSD – 3H Technical AnalysisXAUUSD – 3H Technical Analysis
✅ Lana is waiting for a pullback to enter safer BUY positions 💛
Trend: Strong bullish trend, continuously printing new highs
Timeframe: 3H
Current status: Price is moving vertically with no meaningful correction so far
Strategy: Do not chase price. Wait for a pullback into liquidity zones to look for BUY setups.
Market Context
During today’s Asian session, gold surged aggressively and moved close to the 4,500 level — a price area never seen before. The rally has been extremely steep, with almost no pauses or minor pullbacks, clearly showing that buying pressure is dominating the market.
From a fundamental perspective, expectations of a continued dovish stance from the Fed are weakening the USD. At the same time, escalating geopolitical tensions are strengthening gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. The clean breakout above 4,375–4,380, followed by 4,400, has attracted additional momentum-driven and speculative flows into the bullish trend.
3H Technical Outlook
On the 3H timeframe, the bullish market structure remains very clear, and price continues to respect the rising channel. However, after such an extended and sharp move, entering trades at elevated levels becomes increasingly risky.
From Lana’s perspective, during phases like this, patience is far more important than chasing the market. Waiting for a proper pullback offers better risk-to-reward opportunities.
If buying pressure remains strong after a consolidation or corrective phase, higher upside targets around 4,580 are entirely possible.
Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching
🔹 Near-term BUY zone – Liquidity area
Buy around: 4,415
This is the nearest liquidity zone where price may return to “reload” before continuing higher. Lana will closely monitor price reaction and structure at this level.
🔹 Longer-term BUY zone – Deeper correction
Long-term Buy: 4,38x
If the market delivers a clearer and deeper pullback, this zone becomes a higher-probability area for safer medium-term BUY opportunities.
Trading Notes
Avoid chasing price during periods of excessive volatility
Only enter trades when lower timeframes form a clear structure in line with Dow Theory
Reduce position size and prioritise risk management during highly euphoric market conditions
📌 Follow Lana as we analyse XAUUSD together on a daily basis.
XAU/USD – Strong Bullish Expansion, Focus on Pullback BuysMarket Context
Gold has delivered a strong bullish expansion after breaking out of the previous consolidation range. The impulsive move confirms aggressive buy-side participation, suggesting that the market is now in a trend-continuation phase rather than distribution.
From a macro perspective, expectations around a dovish Fed outlook and future rate cuts continue to weaken the USD, providing a supportive environment for gold. This keeps the broader bias tilted to the upside, with pullbacks viewed as opportunities to reload long positions.
Technical Structure (H1 – Short-Term)
Clear Bullish BOS confirmed after range breakout
Price is holding above prior resistance → flipped to support
Current price action shows rebalancing after impulse
No bearish structure break so far
Key Price Zones
Primary BUY Zone:
4,420 – 4,410
(previous resistance + demand + structure base)
Intermediate Support:
4,433 – 4,432
Upside Liquidity / Resistance:
4,466
4,500
4,540 – 4,550 (sell-side reaction zone)
Trading Plan – MMF Framework
Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback
If price pulls back into 4,420 – 4,410, look for acceptance and bullish reaction
This zone is ideal for trend-following BUY setups
Expect continuation toward higher liquidity levels
Upside objectives:
TP1: 4,466
TP2: 4,500
TP3: 4,540 – 4,550 (possible reaction / partial profit area)
Alternative Scenario
If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,432, wait for a break & hold above 4,466, then look for continuation buys on shallow pullbacks
Avoid chasing price directly into the 4,540+ area
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 close below 4,405 would weaken the short-term bullish structure and suggest a deeper corrective phase.
Summary
Gold is in a strong bullish trend after a clean breakout.
Current moves are rebalancing, not reversal.
Bias remains BUY on pullbacks, targeting higher liquidity while respecting reaction zones above.
XAU/USD: Buy on BOS, FVG + Fibo retracement!◆ Market Context (M30)
Gold has just broken the rising BOS and created a strong push to the short-term peak area of 4,417. After the impulse, the market enters a pullback to rebalance—a common behavior before continuing the main trend.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The rising structure remains valid (HH–HL).
• The FVG + Fibo zone (0.5–0.618) around 4,374 is the preferred area to look for buying pressure.
• The OB below ~4,339 is a deeper support area if the pullback extends.
• No bearish CHoCH yet → prioritize the bullish continuation scenario.
◆ Key Levels
• Nearest peak/resistance: 4,417
• FVG + Fibo (BUY zone): ~4,374
• Deep OB: ~4,339
• Invalid rise: clear break of 4,339
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price to retrace to 4,374 (FVG + Fibo)
• Condition: rejection candle / maintain HL
• Targets:
▪ 4,397
▪ 4,417 (peak)
▪ extend if peak is broken
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If 4,374 is breached
• Monitor OB ~4,339 for buying reaction
• Only BUY with structural confirmation
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue
• If price does not retrace deeply and holds above 4,397
• Follow the trend towards 4,417+
• Avoid FOMO at premium
◆ Summary
• Context: pullback in an uptrend.
• Decision zone: 4,374 → 4,339.
• Upper target: 4,417.
• Prioritize BUY according to structure, manage risk when price is at premium.
XAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacksXAUUSD – Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛
Uptrend confirmed: Lana prioritises Buy on pullbacks 💛
Quick Summary
Trend: Strong bullish, no clear signs of correction
Status: New ATH has been established
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: Focus on Buy setups, waiting for pullbacks into liquidity zones
Market Outlook
Gold is maintaining a very strong bullish momentum and continues to print new highs. When drawing the price channel, price is currently testing the upper boundary, suggesting a potential minor reaction or a short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes.
The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which may act as a short-term technical reaction zone. However, the primary trend remains bullish.
Technical Perspective
After a strong breakout, the market often revisits liquidity or value areas before continuing higher. Lana does not chase price at elevated levels; instead, she prefers waiting for technical pullbacks to enter trades in line with the dominant trend.
Preferred Buy Trading Plan
Buy Scenario 1 – Near-term liquidity zone
Buy: 4371 – 4374
SL: 4165
This zone contains strong liquidity and is suitable for looking for bullish continuation if price pulls back slightly.
Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper pullback zone
Buy zone: 4342 – 4339
SL: 4330
If the market corrects more deeply under year-end liquidity conditions, this is Lana’s preferred zone to look for a safer entry.
Fundamental View
Spot gold has surpassed the 4,400 USD/oz level for the first time, recording a gain of nearly 68% for the year.
The bullish momentum is not limited to gold but has also spread to silver and platinum, supported by:
Expectations of further Fed rate cuts
Strong inflows into ETF funds
Net buying by central banks
Escalating geopolitical tensions
The year 2025 is closing with a very impressive picture for the precious metals sector.
Lana’s Notes 🌿
Strong uptrend → prioritise Buy on pullbacks, avoid FOMO
Always set clear stop-loss levels and reduce position size during high volatility
If price does not return to the planned zones, Lana is comfortable staying on the sidelines






















