XAUUSD (H1) – Liam PlanUptrend intact, but signs of short-term exhaustion | Trade reactions, not impulse
Quick summary
Gold remains in a strong H1 uptrend, continuing to print higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined bullish structure. However, after the recent sharp advance, price is starting to slow near the highs, increasing the likelihood of short-term pullbacks and two-sided price action.
➡️ The broader trend stays bullish, but execution should now be level-driven and reaction-based, not momentum chasing.
Technical view
Price is currently trading at elevated levels relative to recent structure, where prior buying activity has already been absorbed.
Key price areas to watch:
Short-term sell area: 5520 – 5530
Upper resistance area: around 5600
Pullback buy area: 5405 – 5420
Primary buy zone: 5150 – 5155
The current structure favors a pullback and rebalancing phase before any sustained continuation higher.
Trading scenarios
SELL – short-term reaction trades
Look for sell reactions around 5520 – 5530 if price shows weakness.
Downside targets sit near 5420, with further extension possible if the pullback develops.
These sells are tactical and short-term, not calls for a trend reversal.
BUY – aligned with the main trend
Primary scenario
Buy pullbacks into 5405 – 5420 if the area holds.
Targets back toward 5520 and higher.
Deeper scenario
If volatility increases, wait for price to retrace toward 5150 – 5155.
This area offers the best risk-to-reward for trend continuation.
Key notes
Strong trends still correct; patience matters.
Avoid entries in the middle of the range where risk outweighs reward.
Short positions are tactical only while the broader structure remains bullish.
What’s your plan:
selling reactions near 5520 – 5530, or patiently waiting for a pullback into 5405 – 5420 to rejoin the uptrend?
— Liam
Goldtrading
XAUUSD – Bullish trend, focus on Buy pullbacks to 5,700Market Context (M30)
Gold continues to trade in a strong bullish continuation after a clean impulsive leg higher. The recent consolidation above former resistance shows acceptance at higher prices, not exhaustion. This behavior suggests the market is rebalancing liquidity before the next expansion leg.
On the macro side, USD remains under pressure, while safe-haven demand stays firm. Even though bond yields are relatively stable, capital flows continue to favor gold, keeping the upside bias intact.
➡️ Intraday bias: Bullish – trade with the trend, not against it.
Structure & Price Action
• Market structure remains bullish with Higher Highs – Higher Lows
• Previous resistance has flipped into demand and is being respected
• No bearish CHoCH or structural breakdown confirmed
• Current pullbacks are corrective moves within an active uptrend
Key takeaway:
👉 As long as price holds above key demand, pullbacks are opportunities for continuation.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback
Patience is key. Avoid chasing price into extensions.
• BUY Zone 1: 5,502 – 5,480
(Minor demand + short-term rebalancing zone)
• BUY Zone 2: 5,425 – 5,400
(Trendline support + deeper liquidity zone)
➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation.
➡️ No FOMO at highs.
Upside Targets
• TP1: 5,601
• TP2: 5,705 (upper Fibonacci extension / expansion target)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds above 5,601 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join the next continuation leg.
Invalidation
A confirmed M30 close below 5,400 would weaken the bullish structure and require reassessment.
Summary
Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge lies in discipline — buying pullbacks into demand while the trend stays intact, not predicting tops.
➡️ As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
High volatility post sell-off, market rebalancing.Market Context
Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off on H1, breaking the short-term bullish structure after an extended impulsive rally. This type of move typically reflects liquidity distribution and capital rebalancing, common during periods of heightened macro-driven volatility.
From a macro perspective:
USD volatility remains elevated due to rate expectations and upcoming data
Risk sentiment is unstable, with fast capital rotation
Gold remains a safe-haven asset, but no longer trades in a one-directional flow
➡️ Current phase: high risk – avoid FOMO – trade only at key levels
Structure & Price Action (H1)
Previous bullish H1 structure has been invalidated
Price is trading below the rising trendline → short-term trend weakness
Current rebounds are technical pullbacks, not confirmed reversals
Wide intraday range increases the probability of liquidity sweeps on both sides
Key insight:
👉 This is a transition phase. The market needs time to rebuild structure before committing to a directional move.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Primary Bias)
Look for SELL opportunities on corrective rallies into supply zones.
SELL Zone 1: 5,020 – 5,060
(short-term supply + technical pullback)
SELL Zone 2: 5,180 – 5,240
(major supply + confluence with broken trendline)
➡️ Execute SELLs only after clear rejection or failure to hold structure.
Scenario 2 – Buy at Deep Liquidity Zones
BUY setups are considered only at major demand areas with strong reaction.
BUY Zone 1: 4,670 – 4,650
(H1 demand + prior reaction low)
BUY Zone 2: 4,500 – 4,490
(deep liquidity absorption zone)
➡️ No blind bottom picking
➡️ Wait for clear reversal confirmation before entry
Expectations & Targets
Short term: choppy price action and high volatility
Directional clarity comes only after consolidation
Holding above 5,240 opens room for deeper recovery
Losing 4,500 expands the corrective leg
Invalidation
SELL bias invalidated if price holds firmly above 5,240
BUY bias invalidated if H1 closes decisively below 4,490
Summary
Gold is currently in a high-volatility transition phase, where patience and discipline matter more than frequency. The edge is not trading more, but waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones and react with clarity.
➡️ Trade less, trade smarter
➡️ Structure first, entries second
Trump speaks tonight — Gold at decision point.Market Context (H1–H4)
Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but short-term price action has shifted into a decision phase after rejecting ATH. The sharp drop created a displacement leg, followed by a corrective bounce — typical post-event behavior.
Structurally:
HTF trend is still upward (ascending channel intact)
No confirmed HTF bearish reversal yet
Current move looks like rebalancing, not trend failure
Fundamental Context
Trump’s speech tonight is the key volatility trigger
Any geopolitical / USD-impacting rhetoric can cause:
A liquidity sweep before direction
Or a direct continuation if risk-off sentiment returns
Market is likely positioning → expect fake moves before clarity
Technical Breakdown
ATH: recent distribution, not yet reclaimed
FVG (upper): potential reaction zone for sellers if price rallies
Mid Zone (~5090–5120): short-term decision / balance area
Strong Demand (~4980–5000): HTF buy zone, aligns with trendline & prior BOS base
Trading Scenarios (If–Then)
If price holds above 5090–5120 → look for continuation into FVG, then ATH test
If price sweeps below 5090 but reclaims → classic liquidity grab → BUY continuation
If price breaks and holds below 5000 (H1 close) → deeper pullback, bullish bias pauses (not flips yet)
Key Takeaway
This is not the place to chase.
Trade reactions, not headlines.
Let Trump speak → let liquidity show → then follow structure.
Bias: Bullish continuation unless strong demand fails.
XAUUSD – H1 volatility surge | liquidity reset ongoingMarket Context
Gold is entering a high-volatility phase after an extended bullish run. The recent sharp impulse down from the upper zone is not random — it reflects liquidity distribution and aggressive profit-taking near highs, amplified by fast USD flows and event-driven positioning.
In this environment, Gold is no longer trending smoothly. Instead, it is rotating between liquidity zones, creating two-way risk intraday.
➡️ Key mindset: trade reactions at levels, not direction.
Structure & Price Action (H1)
The prior bullish structure has been temporarily broken by a strong bearish impulse.
Price failed to hold above 5,427 – 5,532, confirming this area as active supply / distribution.
The move down shows range expansion, typical after ATH phases.
Current price action suggests rebalancing and liquidity search, not a confirmed macro reversal yet.
Key read:
👉 Above supply = rejection
👉 Below supply = corrective / bearish bias until proven otherwise
Trading Plan – MMF Style
🔴 Primary Scenario – SELL on Pullback (Volatility Play)
While price remains below key supply, selling reactions is favored.
SELL Zone 1: 5,427 – 5,432
(Former demand → supply flip + trendline rejection)
SELL Zone 2: 5,301 – 5,315
(Mid-range supply / corrective retest)
Targets:
TP1: 5,215
TP2: 5,111
TP3: 5,060
Extension: 4,919 (major liquidity pool)
➡️ Only SELL after clear rejection / bearish confirmation.
➡️ No chasing breakdowns.
🟢 Alternative Scenario – BUY at Deep Liquidity
If price sweeps lower liquidity and shows absorption:
BUY Zone: 4,920 – 4,900
(Major demand + liquidity sweep zone)
Reaction targets:
5,060 → 5,215 → 5,300+
➡️ BUY only if structure stabilizes and bullish reaction appears.
Invalidation
A clean H1 close back above 5,432 invalidates the short-term bearish bias and shifts focus back to bullish continuation.
Summary
Gold is transitioning from trend extension to volatility expansion.
This is a market for discipline and level-based execution, not prediction.
MMF principle:
Volatility = opportunity, but only for those who wait for reaction.
Trade the levels. Control risk. Let price confirm.
Gold retraces after surge – trend remains intact.Quick Context
Recent geopolitical uncertainty continues to support safe-haven flows. Gold has already delivered a strong bullish impulse, and the current move looks like a healthy correction, not a reversal.
Technical Snapshot (H1–H4)
Strong bullish impulse already completed
Current price action = controlled retracement
No bearish CHoCH, no structural breakdown
Market is resetting momentum after expansion
This is typical impulse → retrace → continuation behavior.
Key Levels to Watch
Buy Zone: 5,180 – 5,160
Invalidation: H1 close below 5,120
Upside continuation targets:
5,300
5,360
Extension toward 5,440+
If – Then Logic
If price holds above 5,160 → expect continuation higher
If price sweeps into 5,180–5,160 and reacts → buy-the-dip opportunity
Only if H1 closes below 5,120 → bullish bias weakens
Bottom Line
Gold is not reversing — it is reloading.
Pullbacks are part of trend strength.
Wait for reaction, not confirmation at the highs.
GOLD Buy Pullbacks in Bullish TrendMarket Context (M30)
Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish continuation phase, holding firmly inside a well-defined ascending channel. Recent pullbacks are technical retracements for liquidity rebalancing, not signs of distribution or trend exhaustion.
On the macro side, persistent USD weakness, sustained safe-haven demand, and only modest Fed easing expectations keep the broader backdrop supportive for gold. This combination allows upside momentum to remain controlled and constructive rather than emotional.
➡️ Overall bias: Bullish – prioritize BUY setups aligned with the main trend.
Structure & Price Action
M30 structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
Price continues to respect previous demand and key levels, confirming active buyer participation.
No bearish CHoCH has been confirmed.
The current leg is expanding toward higher Fibonacci extensions, reinforcing trend continuation.
Key insight:
👉 As long as structure holds, pullbacks represent opportunity — not risk.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Focus on patience and execution at discounted levels, not chasing price at extensions.
BUY Zone 1: 5,185 – 5,170
(Short-term demand + channel support)
BUY Zone 2: 5,106 – 5,085
(Key level confluence + trendline support)
➡️ Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation.
➡️ Avoid FOMO at extended highs.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 5,250
TP2: 5,309 (Next ATH extension zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds firmly above 5,250 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs.
Invalidation
A confirmed M30 close below 5,044 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment.
Summary
Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion, driven by structure and macro flow. The edge is not calling the top, but buying pullbacks within demand while the trend remains intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation, ATH Expansion Still in PlayGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution.
On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels.
➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking.
Structure & Price Action
H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact.
The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline.
No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective.
Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion.
Key takeaway:
👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback
Focus on patience and structure confirmation.
BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020
(Rebalance area + intraday demand)
BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960
(Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity)
➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold).
➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs.
Upside Targets (ATH Extension):
TP1: 5,106
TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs.
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment.
Summary
Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside.
The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
XAUUSD – Bullish continuation, ATH expansion activeGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution. On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels.
➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking.
Structure & Price Action
H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact.
The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline.
No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective.
Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion.
Key takeaway:
👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback
Focus on patience and structure confirmation.
BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020
(Rebalance area + intraday demand)
BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960
(Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity)
➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold).
➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs.
Upside Targets (ATH Extension):
TP1: 5,106
TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs.
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment.
Summary
Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside. The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
XAUUSD – Weekend Geopolitical Shock → GAP & Continuation Market Context (Why the GAP?)
Over the weekend, geopolitical tensions escalated sharply, triggering a strong risk-off reaction at the start of the week.
Typical market response:
Capital rotates out of risk assets
USD softens amid uncertainty
Gold opens with a bullish GAP on Monday and continues higher
This is not a low-liquidity weekend GAP, but a safe-haven driven GAP, which historically does not need to be filled immediately.
HTF Structure (H1–H4)
Overall structure remains clearly bullish
Multiple bullish BOS are still intact
The latest impulse created a large FVG above equilibrium
Current pullback is technical rebalancing, not a trend reversal
➡️ Market behavior: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation
Key Zones for the Week
Upper FVG / reaction zone: 5,020 – 5,000
Mid FVG (decision zone): 4,988 – 4,960
Lower FVG / strong support: 4,960 – 4,940
HTF Order Block: around 4,910 – 4,900
As long as price holds above 4,960, the bullish structure remains valid.
Weekly Scenarios (If – Then)
Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback & Continuation (Primary Bias)
If price pulls back into 4,988 – 4,960 and shows bullish reaction
FVG is respected → trend continuation
Next upside objectives: 5,040 – 5,080
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Still Corrective)
If price loses 4,960
Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,940 – 4,910 for rebalancing
Only a confirmed H1/H4 close below 4,900 would weaken the bullish structure
Summary
The Monday GAP reflects real defensive capital flows, not technical noise.
With geopolitical risks still elevated, buy-the-dip remains the dominant strategy.
No chasing highs.
No FOMO after the GAP.
Trade the pullback.
React at FVG.
Let structure confirm continuation.
XAUUSD - ATH confirmed, buy pullbacks to 5,100+Gold continues to trade in a strong ATH expansion phase, not a blow-off move. The latest impulsive rally confirms that buyers remain in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed quickly and efficiently. On the macro side, USD weakness persists, safe-haven flows remain active, and the market still prices only modest Fed easing — a combination that continues to support gold at elevated levels.
At this stage, ATHs are no longer resistance — they are areas of acceptance.
Structure & Price Action
Bullish structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs – Higher Lows.
No bearish CHoCH has formed despite the sharp upside extension.
Current consolidation near the highs suggests continuation, not exhaustion.
Pullbacks are corrective and aligned with the ascending trendline and demand zones.
Key insight: ATH is being defended by structure → trend continuation remains the primary bias.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Focus on patience, not chasing price.
BUY Zone 1: 4,984 – 4,970 (Former resistance turned demand + short-term rebalancing)
BUY Zone 2: 4,928 – 4,910 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity absorption)
➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at the highs.
Upside Targets (ATH Extension):
TP1: 5,085
TP2: 5,120+ (extension if momentum sustains)
Alternative Scenario If price holds above 5,085 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs.
Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,910 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment.
Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion, supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge is not predicting the top, but buying pullbacks into demand while the trend is intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
HTF Bullish Context: Buy the Pullback, Not the Market Context
Gold remains in a strong higher-timeframe bullish structure.
Momentum is driven by sustained risk-off flows and persistent demand for safe-haven assets.
In this environment, pullbacks are opportunities, not signs of reversal.
Technical Structure (HTF → LTF Alignment)
Price previously confirmed a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside.
The latest impulsive leg created a clear bullish FVG.
Current price is consolidating below 4,953, signaling a corrective pullback, not distribution.
Structure remains intact as long as price holds above the key demand zone.
Key Levels (Decision Zones)
Current high: 4,953
Discount pullback zone (FVG): 4,906 – 4,887
Deep support / structure low: 4,810
Upside projection (1.618): 5,061
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation
If price reacts and holds above 4,900
FVG is respected → continuation toward 4,953, extension to 5,061
Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback
If price loses 4,900
Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,810
Structure remains bullish unless HTF closes below 4,810
Summary
This is a trend continuation environment.
Chasing highs carries poor risk-reward.
Buy the pullback.
Respect the FVG.
Let structure do the work.
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043Market Context
Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended.
This is continuation behavior, not distribution.
The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish —
but where the dip becomes opportunity.
Technical Structure (H1)
Market has already confirmed bullish BOS
Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below
Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it
Pullback is corrective in nature
This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup.
Key Zones to Watch
Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970
Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940
Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899
Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880
As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary)
If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds
Buyers step in → continuation toward:
5,020
5,043 (1.618 extension)
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative)
If price loses 4,933
Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899
Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure
Summary
Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend.
The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs.
This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
Gold Investors: What to Do When Your Investment Has Multiplied?Hello Traders!
There comes a phase in every Gold investor’s journey that feels like success. You bought Gold much earlier, prices moved in your favour, and today your investment has multiplied. On paper, everything looks perfect. Profits are healthy, confidence is high, and holding feels easy.
But this phase is more dangerous than buying at the bottom.
Not because Gold is weak, but because emotions quietly change once profits become large. Decisions are no longer based on logic alone. They start revolving around fear of losing what you’ve already gained.
Why This Phase Is Emotionally Tricky
When your Gold investment multiplies, the mindset shifts from growth to protection. And protection, if unmanaged, turns into hesitation.
You start watching prices more frequently than before
Small pullbacks feel bigger because profits are involved
The fear of “giving back gains” becomes stronger than logic
This is where many investors either exit too early or hold blindly without a plan.
The Two Common Mistakes Gold Investors Make
Most investors fall into one of these extremes.
Booking full profits too early due to fear
Holding everything without re-evaluating structure
Both decisions come from emotion, not process. Gold doesn’t require extreme actions. It requires balance.
What Smart Investors Actually Do
Instead of reacting, experienced investors reassess. They treat this phase as a new decision point, not a continuation of the past.
They review why they invested in Gold in the first place
They secure partial profits instead of exiting fully
They align remaining holdings with long-term structure
This keeps emotions controlled while allowing participation if the trend continues.
How I Personally Handle This Situation
When Gold gives strong returns, I stop thinking in terms of “profit” and start thinking in terms of position management.
I remove emotional attachment to the entry price
I trail decisions based on structure, not headlines
I respect that trends don’t move forever in one direction
The goal is not to catch the top.
The goal is to avoid emotional mistakes near it.
Rahul’s Tip
When your Gold investment multiplies, don’t ask, “Should I sell or hold?”
Ask, “How do I reduce regret on both sides?” Partial exits and planned holding do that better than emotional all-or-nothing decisions.
Final Thought
Profits don’t end careers.
Poor decisions around profits do.
Gold rewards patience on the way up, and discipline after success.
If this post helped you think clearly about managing profitable Gold investments, drop a like or share your thoughts in the comments.
More real, experience-based lessons coming.
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043 Market Context
Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended.
This is continuation behavior, not distribution.
The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish —
but where the dip becomes opportunity.
Technical Structure (H1)
Market has already confirmed bullish BOS
Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below
Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it
Pullback is corrective in nature
This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup.
Key Zones to Watch
Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970
Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940
Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899
Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880
As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary)
If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds
Buyers step in → continuation toward:
5,020
5,043 (1.618 extension)
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative)
If price loses 4,933
Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899
Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure
Summary
Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend.
The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs.
This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
XAUUSD – Next Week Could Be Gold’s True Breakout MomentOver the past week, the market has shown something very different:
Gold is no longer behaving like a typical safe-haven asset — it is trading as a fully accepted trend at a new price regime.
🔥 Why next week is critical for Gold
USD continues to weaken, with DXY sliding toward multi-month lows → a strong tailwind for gold.
ATHs are being broken without distribution, signaling institutional acceptance rather than emotional FOMO.
Sell pressure at the highs is limited — buyers step in quickly on even shallow pullbacks.
👉 These are classic signs of a trend expansion phase, not a market top.
🧠 Structure perspective (Weekly → H1)
Higher-timeframe structure remains clearly bullish (Higher Highs – Higher Lows).
Recent pullbacks are rebalancing moves, with no confirmed bearish CHoCH.
Weekly demand and IP zones continue to be defended → active smart-money participation.
In simple terms:
The market is no longer asking “Should we buy gold?”
It is asking “Where is the next safe BUY?”
🎯 Primary bias for next week (MMF View)
Priority: BUY pullbacks — not chasing ATHs
Focus on entries at demand / IP zones.
Avoid emotional buys at extension levels; healthy pullbacks are part of strong trends.
The bigger picture:
👉 $5,000 is no longer just psychological — it is being technically priced in.
⚠️ What to watch
Expect volatility around macro events and Fed expectations.
Short-term noise is normal, but only a structural break changes the trend.
🧩 Final takeaway
Gold is entering a phase where:
ATHs are no longer ceilings,
Pullbacks are opportunities,
Patience outweighs prediction.
In strong trends, traders don’t lose because they’re wrong — they lose because they’re impatient.
Next week, the question isn’t “Will gold rise?”
👉 It’s “Can you follow the flow with discipline?”
XAUUSD – ATH now normal, $5,000 target.Market Context – When ATH Is No Longer a Spike
Gold has entered a phase where every pullback is being aggressively bought, signaling strong institutional acceptance of higher prices. The market is no longer reacting emotionally to new highs — instead, ATHs are forming within structure, not as exhaustion.
With:
Persistent safe-haven demand
A cautious Fed outlook
Ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty
➡️ $5,000 is evolving from a psychological level into a realistic technical target.
Structure & Price Action (H1)
Bullish structure remains intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
Current declines are corrective pullbacks, not reversals — no bearish CHoCH confirmed.
Price continues to respect the ascending channel and demand zones, confirming trend continuation.
Key takeaway:
👉 No distribution signs at the top — ATHs are being defended by structure.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Focus on buying pullbacks, not chasing ATH:
BUY Zone 1: 4,837 – 4,782 (Demand + trendline confluence)
BUY Zone 2: 4,713 (Deeper IP / demand zone)
➡️ Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reactions.
➡️ Avoid FOMO at extended levels.
Upside Targets (ATH Continuation):
TP1: 4,919
TP2: 5,027 (Extension zone approaching the $5,000 milestone)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds above 4,919 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs.
Invalidation
H1 close below 4,713 invalidates the bullish structure and requires a full reassessment.
Summary
Gold remains in ATH continuation mode. The optimal strategy is not trying to top-pick, but patiently buying pullbacks in alignment with higher-timeframe flow. At this stage, $5,000 is no longer a question of “if” — only “when.”
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Grab Completed, Buy the DipMarket Context
Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, leaving behind multiple liquidity pockets and imbalance zones below. The current pullback is technical in nature, serving as a rebalancing phase after expansion rather than a trend reversal.
From a macro perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious Fed outlook continue to support Gold, keeping the broader bias tilted to the upside.
Technical Structure (H1 – MMF)
Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
The recent sell-off is a liquidity grab into previous demand zones.
No confirmed bearish CHoCH at this stage.
Price is still holding above the major H1 GAP liquidity zone.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into:
BUY zone 1: 4,759 – 4,729
BUY zone 2 (deep): 4,669 – 4,600
Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure hold.
Avoid FOMO at premium levels.
Upside Targets
TP1: 4,817
TP2: 4,892
TP3: 4,898 (liquidity sweep zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price fails to hold above 4,729 and sweeps deeper liquidity into the GAP H1 zone, wait for re-accumulation signals before re-entering BUYs.
Invalidation
An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the bullish setup and requires a full structure reassessment.
Summary
The broader trend remains bullish. The current move is a corrective pullback into liquidity, offering high-quality buy-the-dip opportunities. Patience and confirmation remain key — let price come to you.
XAUUSD – Trendline broken, focus on Buying liquidityMarket Context
After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling.
Structure & Price Action (H1)
Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase.
No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage.
Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below.
Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price.
Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions.
Key Levels to Watch
Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874
Mid reaction zone: 4,824
Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729
Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount
Look for BUY setups at:
BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729
BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity)
Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding.
Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range.
Upside Targets
TP1: 4,824
TP2: 4,874
TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep)
Alternative Scenario
If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction.
Invalidation
An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias.
Stand aside and reassess overall market structure.
Summary
The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong UptrendMarket Context (News → Flow)
Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session.
Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode:
USD weakens amid political uncertainty
Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades
Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher
Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection.
Technical Structure (H1 – SMC)
Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS
Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel
Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand
No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage
➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play
Key Decision Zones
Upper FVG: 4,765.425
Mid support: 4,727.188
Current impulse high: 4,883.900
These are reaction zones, not chase levels.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation
If price holds above 4,765.425
Bullish structure remains intact
Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance
Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback
If price loses 4,765.425
A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing
Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias
Summary
Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative.
Gold is not reacting emotionally —
it is pricing risk.
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Grab Completed, Focus on Buy the DipMarket Context
Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, leaving behind multiple liquidity pockets and imbalance zones below. The current pullback is technical in nature, serving as a rebalancing phase after expansion rather than a trend reversal.
From a macro perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious Fed outlook continue to support Gold, keeping the broader bias tilted to the upside.
Technical Structure (H1 – MMF)
Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
The recent sell-off is a liquidity grab into previous demand zones.
No confirmed bearish CHoCH at this stage.
Price is still holding above the major H1 GAP liquidity zone.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into:
BUY zone 1: 4,759 – 4,729
BUY zone 2 (deep): 4,669 – 4,600
Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure hold.
Avoid FOMO at premium levels.
Upside Targets
TP1: 4,817
TP2: 4,892
TP3: 4,898 (liquidity sweep zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price fails to hold above 4,729 and sweeps deeper liquidity into the GAP H1 zone, wait for re-accumulation signals before re-entering BUYs.
Invalidation
An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the bullish setup and requires a full structure reassessment.
Summary
The broader trend remains bullish. The current move is a corrective pullback into liquidity, offering high-quality buy-the-dip opportunities. Patience and confirmation remain key — let price come to you.
Greenland Tension Escalates – Gold Finds Its N Market Context (News → Capital Flow)
Escalating tensions around the “Greenland purchase” narrative are increasing geopolitical risk.
Markets are responding in a familiar pattern:
USD weakens as political uncertainty rises
Equities face corrective pressure amid risk-off sentiment
Safe-haven flows return to Gold, supporting further upside
In this environment, Gold is not rising on technicals alone,
but because defensive capital is rotating back into the market.
Technical Structure (H1 – SMC)
Price previously executed a downside Liquidity Sweep
A bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed
The impulsive leg created a clear bullish FVG, signaling supply–demand imbalance
Price is currently holding above the FVG, keeping the bullish structure intact
➡️ A familiar model in play:
Liquidity Sweep → FVG → Continuation
Key Zones (Decision Levels)
Upper FVG: 4,642.447
Lower FVG: 4,622.238
Deeper support (OB): around 4,596.733
These are reaction zones, not FOMO areas.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Continuation (~70%)
If price holds above 4,622.238
The FVG is considered defended
Bullish continuation toward higher levels remains favored
Aligned with USD weakness + risk-off environment
Alternative Scenario – Pullback (~30%)
If price loses 4,622.238
A corrective move toward the OB near 4,596.733 becomes likely
Only an H1 close below the OB would materially weaken the bullish outlook
Summary
Geopolitical headlines are amplifying volatility,
but the final decision lies in price reaction at the FVG.
Gold is not chasing headlines —
it is following capital seeking safety.
Trump Imposes Tariffs on EU – Gold Creates a R Market Context
Trump’s announcement of new tariff measures on EU goods has triggered a strong risk-off wave, pushing capital out of risk assets and into Gold as a safe-haven.
The USD shows mixed reactions, while Gold rallies sharply and forms a rare bullish GAP, clearly reflecting defensive market sentiment.
The key question now is not whether Gold is strong or weak, but:
Will this GAP be filled, or held for trend continuation?
Technical Structure (H1)
The broader structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS).
The latest impulsive move has created a bullish Fair Value Gap (GAP) above the equilibrium zone.
Price is currently holding above the FVG, with no clear acceptance back into lower levels.
➡️ In a geopolitical and trade-risk environment, GAPs are not required to be filled immediately.
Decision Zones
Upper FVG / GAP: 4,634.188
Equilibrium Zone: 4,619.928
Lower Support / GAP Base: 4,596.602
Scenarios (If – Then)
Scenario 1 – GAP Holds & Continuation
If price holds above 4,619.928, the GAP remains protected.
Bullish continuation toward higher levels becomes likely as safe-haven flows persist.
Scenario 2 – Technical GAP Fill
If price loses 4,619.928, a retracement toward 4,596.602 is likely for rebalancing.
Only a clear H1 close below 4,596.602 would confirm a deeper GAP fill.
Summary
Trade-related confrontation is changing price behavior, causing Gold to react more aggressively than usual.
At this stage, the GAP represents the decision point between continuation and correction.
Reaction at the GAP will define the next move.
Trade the reaction, not the headline.






















