XAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market InsightsXAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market Insights
Gold is showing signs of stabilization after recent fluctuations, with price consolidating around the mid-range levels. The chart highlights repeated sequences of structural breaks and shifts, indicating that liquidity has been actively swept on both the buy and sell side.
The latest market move shows a controlled decline, followed by an attempt to absorb selling pressure. Current positioning suggests the possibility of a short-term liquidity grab to the downside, which could fuel a stronger recovery leg in the sessions ahead.
The projected outlook favors a scenario where buyers regain momentum, aiming to retest the upper price zones. If this momentum develops, the market may establish a renewed upward leg in alignment with the broader bullish cycle observed across higher timeframes.
From a macro perspective, gold continues to be supported by demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing global financial uncertainty and shifting monetary policies. This backdrop enhances the probability of gold sustaining its mid-term bullish trajectory despite temporary corrective phases.
Goldtrading
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
Strategic Long-Term Perspective on GoldGold Market Analysis – Report View
Gold has delivered a strong bullish cycle after weeks of accumulation. The past phase showed a contracting range where liquidity was built up and multiple structural shifts occurred, signaling preparation for expansion. Once price broke out of that range in late August, momentum accelerated, leading to a clean and sustained rally into September.
The recent move highlights how market flow continues to favor the upside, with each correction acting as a re-accumulation zone rather than a trend reversal. Institutional order flow remains visible, supporting higher valuations as price respects bullish market structure.
Currently, gold is stabilizing after the sharp leg upward. This pause suggests a phase of healthy consolidation, likely absorbing liquidity before attempting the next impulsive wave higher. Overall sentiment remains constructive, with bullish continuation the dominant narrative unless a major structural shift occurs.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders
Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits.
The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally.
3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause.
Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone.
Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend.
Good luck and happy trading,
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? | Buy strategy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
The probability of a FED -50bps cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while a -25bps scenario is almost certain.
US jobless claims rose sharply → reflecting a weakening labor market, reinforcing expectations of FED easing.
Tonight (21:00): release of Consumer Sentiment & 1Y–5Y Inflation Outlook (University of Michigan) – data that could further impact the Dollar.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Dollar weakness + falling bond yields = Gold remains supported to rise. However, short-term pullbacks may appear before breaking higher levels.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone):
Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier)
Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (high test, short-term reversal risk)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone):
FVG: 3603 – 3601
Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623
Price Structure:
On H1, Gold has repeatedly formed BoS and Equal High (EqH) around 3645 – 3650.
An FVG appears → sign that price may need to fill the liquidity gap before continuing.
Priority scenario: Pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621, then rebound towards 3675 – 3680.
If 3680 breaks successfully → opens the way for new ATH above 3700.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan
✅ Buy (trend-follow priority)
Buy FVG: 3601 – 3603 | SL: 3591 | TP: 3605 – 3610 – 3615 – 3620 – 36xx
Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x
⚡ Sell (short-term scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The dovish wind from the FED continues to push the golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe docking zone for sailors to gather strength before the new voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main course is still heading North. If the 3680 wave breaks, the golden ship will extend its journey to new peaks above 3700.”
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep & Trading Plan📊 Market View
Gold (XAUUSD) is moving under short-term resistance (descending trendline), indicating sellers still dominate in the short term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity zones are clearly stacked at 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586.
👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction.
📈 CPI View – US Session
Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold could bounce sharply from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance.
Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover.
⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly—wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering.
🔑 Key Levels
Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646
React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654
OBS Sell Zone: 3,665
Support / Liquidity Zones:
3,624.36 (Key Zone Support BUY)
3,612.60 (CP/React FIB)
3,599.31 (BUY ZONE)
3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE)
📌 Trading Plan
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648
SL: 3,652
TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610
SL: 3,605
TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ???
🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598
SL: 3,592
TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ???
🛡️ Backup BUY: (If liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x
Hard SL: 3,578
❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t re-enter immediately—CPI volatility can extend the move further.
⚠️ Notes & Risk
Reduce position size near the CPI release.
Wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering trades.
Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early.
An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665.
✅ Summary
Gold may sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on a clean bounce, and hold a backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09 | Captain VincentObserving JPY & USD | Buy still holds dominance
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
This morning there were no major new updates.
The US session tonight (08/09) will also not release big data.
The latest impact on the market is Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY downward and slightly lifted the Dollar.
However, Gold only made a small correction and maintained strong stability.
➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY currently only have indirect influence, not enough to push Gold deeply lower. The main trend is still supported for a bullish rebound.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Captain’s Shield (Main Support):
Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549
Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551
Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575
Storm Breaker (Resistance):
Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – may form a new ATH)
⏩ Price structure remains bullish (continuous BOS). Corrections are mainly liquidity grabs before pushing up to higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx
Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3602 – 3604
SL: 3610
TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH)
Entry: 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship sails steadily as the seas remain calm this morning, with no big news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) together with OB near 3542 is the safe anchorage for sailors riding the bullish trend. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is just a temporary anchor before the bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those who want to ride short-term waves. And if the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , it may be a new wave peak – but the grand journey is still headed North with the bullish sails full of wind.”
XAU/USD – FED, Tariffs & NFP Today | Captain Vincent🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
The probability of a FED rate cut in September has risen to 99.4% (from 96.6%) → almost certain.
FED’s Cook is under fraud investigation , combined with weak prior economic data → further strengthens momentum for Gold.
US–Japan deal : US reduces chip import tariffs to 15%, in return Japan invests 550B USD + purchases 8B USD in agricultural products. Although positive, it does not change the main outlook as markets remain focused on interest rates & inflation.
Trump : Threatens tariffs on all chip/semis companies not entering the US → raises geopolitical concerns.
NFP & Unemployment Rate (UR) tonight at 19:30 → key event, may trigger strong volatility.
⏩ Captain’s Summary:
Capital flow still leans towards BUY Gold thanks to FED rate cut expectations, but short-term shakeouts may occur before/after the news.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
M30 BOS: Gold has just formed a Break of Structure, overall trend remains bullish.
Captain’s Shield (Support): 3484 – 3486 (Main Buy Zone).
Storm Breaker (Resistance): 3575 – 3593 (aligned with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618).
If it breaks 3591 – 3593 → pathway to new ATH 3608 – 3610 or higher.
If it fails at Storm Breaker → price may retest Golden Harbor (3484) before bouncing back.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3484 – 3486
SL: 3478
TP: 3490 → 3493 → 3497 → 3505 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3575 – 3577
SL: 3585
TP: 3570 → 3565 → 3560 → 3555 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Resistance)
Entry: 3591 – 3593
SL: 3600
TP: 3588 → 3585 → 3580 → 3575 → 35xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship sails smoothly as FED is almost certain to cut rates in September. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3484) is the safe anchorage to continue riding the bullish tide. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3575–3593) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main current still carries us North.”
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan Ahead of NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has slowed down after a strong bullish rally and is now consolidating in a sideways range 355x – 354x, waiting for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data to set the next major move.
📊 Macro View:
If NFP comes out better than expected, USD strength could push Gold lower into 352x – 350x zones, filling liquidity gaps before buyers step in.
If NFP is worse than forecast, Gold may break above ATH 357x and test higher liquidity zones near 3594+.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3560 – 3576
3594
🔑 Key Support Levels
3540
3528 – 3514
3502 – 3488 – 3478
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486
🔴 SL: 3480
✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ????
🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526
🔴 SL: 3520
✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ????
🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576
🔴 SL: 3580
✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ????
🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595
🔴 SL: 3600
✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ????
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Gold is building momentum inside the 3540 – 3565 range.
Break below 3540 → correction towards 352x – 350x.
Break above 3565 → retest of 357x – 3595 supply zone.
Best setups are waiting for price reaction near 3515 – 3528 (Buy Zone) or 3576 – 3595 (Sell Zone).
GOLD Daily Plan – Sideway before ADP & NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGAfter yesterday’s strong rally, Gold (XAUUSD) corrected by over 60 Prices, moving back to the VPOC 3537 zone. This pullback indicates a potential short-term ATH near 357x, where SELL positions were shaken out and BUY positions booked profits.
Currently, Gold is consolidating ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K previously, weaker job data could pressure USD and provide upside momentum for Gold.
The 60+ point drop highlights profit-taking by institutions and created liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price into the 353x–354x sideway zone. A clear breakout of this zone will decide today’s trend direction.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3540 – 3548 – 3560 – 3576
🔑 Key Support Levels
3526 – 3515 – 3502 – 3490 – 3476
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
🔵 BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500
🔴 SL: 3494
✔️ TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???
🔵 BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475
🔴 SL: 3470
✔️ TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ???
🔵 SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561
🔴 SL: 3566
✔️ TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ???
🔵 SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576
🔴 SL: 3580
✔️ TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???
📊 MMFLOW TRADING View:
Today’s outlook suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP releases. Sideway accumulation dominates between 353x–354x, but whichever side breaks first will set the day’s direction.
Gold Daily Chart – Ascending Triangle Breakout!Gold has formed a strong ascending triangle pattern on the daily timeframe. The price has successfully broken above the resistance zone, confirming bullish momentum. Such patterns generally indicate continuation of the uptrend, especially when supported by volume and strong price action.
Chart Observation:
As long as price holds above 3,450, the bullish setup remains valid.
A retest of the breakout zone can provide the best risk-to-reward entry opportunity.
Traders should keep an eye on volume confirmation while entering trades.
Note: If levels sustain and setup remains intact, I will share live trade updates in real time. Stay tuned.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
Gold Surges $70+ – Is XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?🔥 Market Update
Gold (XAUUSD) just made a massive rally of more than $70, shaking the entire trading community.
The rise in geopolitical tensions is pushing safe-haven demand to extreme levels, and gold has once again become the most-watched asset worldwide.
For Indian traders, where gold holds not just market value but also cultural importance, this move is a wake-up call – volatility is at its peak, and discipline is key.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Global geopolitical risks → Strong inflows into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD and bond yields are not enough to stop buyers rushing to gold.
📊 Upcoming US PCE data & Fed decisions could bring even bigger swings.
📊 Technical View (H4)
After the sharp rally, gold built a base around CP Zone H4 before breaking out again.
Key Support Levels
3,462 – 3,443 → Must hold to keep the bullish structure intact.
Key Resistance Levels
3,487 – 3,518 → Likely area for pullback or reaction.
A clean break could target 3,536+ next.
📌 Possible Market Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred)
Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and can push towards 3,536.
⚠️ Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
Break below 3,462 → Retest of 3,443 before buyers step back in.
🎯 Trade Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Key Takeaways for Indian Traders
Gold is in a powerful uptrend, driven by global uncertainty.
But after such a sharp move, a technical pullback is very possible.
Best approach now:
✔️ Wait for dip-buying opportunities near strong supports.
✔️ Respect stop loss – capital protection comes first.
✔️ Keep an eye on global news that can spark instant volatility.
This is the kind of market where patience + discipline = survival and profit. 🚀
Gold’s Relentless Rally – A Lesson for Every TraderIn the past week, Gold surged strongly without any meaningful pullback, leaving many traders who were holding sell positions trapped. Without a retracement based on technical analysis, countless accounts went into heavy drawdown – some even facing complete wipeouts.
👉 What happened here?
Markets don’t always follow textbook technicals.
In volatile phases, traders often let losing trades run, ignoring their Stop-Loss.
This “hope mindset” is exactly what destroys capital faster than anything else.
💡 The key lesson for us all:
Risk management is not optional – it’s the foundation of survival in trading. A single trade without an SL may not seem dangerous, but over time, it’s the biggest reason traders lose their hard-earned money.
The market will always be unpredictable. But these are the moments where discipline and patience separate serious traders from those who get punished by the market.
🔑 MMFlow Insight for Indian Traders:
Markets don’t owe us profits. They reward only those who respect risk, stay calm, and stick to their trading rules. Protect your capital first – opportunities will always come.
👉 Stay disciplined. Respect your stop. Trade smart, trade safe.
XAU/USD Price Action Zones & Trade Setup (Aug 20, 2025)Analysis:
The market recently made a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a possible bearish structure.
First Selling Zone (3340 – 3350): Strong resistance area where sellers may push price down.
Second Selling Zone (3350 – 3360): A deeper liquidity grab area for confirmation shorts.
First Buying Area (3308 – 3320): Demand zone where buyers might step in for a short-term bounce.
Second Buying Area (3270 – 3280): Stronger demand, ideal for swing buy opportunities if price dips further.
Price is currently around 3323, hovering near equilibrium, likely to retest selling zones before dropping to buying areas.
📈 Trade Plan:
Sell Entries
🔹 First Short: Around 3340 – 3350 (First Selling Zone).
🔹 Second Short (confirmation): Around 3350 – 3360 (Second Selling Zone).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3320 (First Buying Area)
TP2: 3280 (Second Buying Area)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3365
Buy Entries
🔹 First Buy: Around 3310 – 3320 (First Buying Area) for a small bounce.
🔹 Second Buy (stronger): Around 3270 – 3280 (Second Buying Area).
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 3340 (back to resistance)
TP2: 3355 (liquidity above first selling zone)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3260
XAUUSD – Gold getting ready for a big breakout!Gold is moving exactly as expected: consolidation – breakout – consolidation again. Right now, price is forming a tight triangle pattern, showing strong pressure for the next move.
👉 With both technical setup and global macro headlines creating indecision, the market is waiting for a clear breakout. Once it happens, we can expect a strong trend in either direction.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3337 – 3343 – 3350 – 3356 – 3365
Support: 3325 – 3320 – 3314
📌 Buy Plan
Buy Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3309
TP: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370
📌 Sell Plan
Scalp Sell: 3348 – 3350
SL: 3355
TP: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
Sell Zone: 3365 – 3367
SL: 3372
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340
🎯 MMFLOW Note
The tighter the range, the stronger the breakout.
Always prepare for both bullish & bearish scenarios.
Wait for confirmation at the Key Levels before taking positions.
GOLD Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This WeekGold Sideway Compression | Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This Week
Gold is currently consolidating in a tight range, building up energy for a major BreakOut. After the liquidity sweep at the weekly open, price fluctuated strongly between the 332x – 335x zone, but on the H1 timeframe, the overall trend still remains within a descending channel.
Last week, CPI & PPI data failed to deliver a clear direction. This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting, expected to provide stronger signals for gold’s next move.
⏳ Early to mid-week: with limited impactful news, gold may continue to sideway within the narrow range or maintain downside pressure until FOMC is released.
🔑 Key Market Levels
Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398
Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309
📌 Trading Setup
✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332
SL: 3328
TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
👉 If gold breaks the descending channel around 336x, expect a strong move towards 3383 – 3398.
✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385
SL: 3390
TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350
👉 If gold fails at higher resistance and reverses, liquidity may be swept back into 333x – 331x, with potential extension down to 329x.
⚠️ Summary
Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or Breakdown.
Before FOMC: sideways / bearish bias within H1 channel.
After FOMC: expect a strong Pump or Dump to define the clear weekly trend.
🔥 Keep a close eye on reactions at KeyLevels (333x – 336x – 338x) to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance?XAUUSD – Game of Patience: Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance? | MMFlow Trading
1. Market Context
The week opened with a sharp sell-off in Gold — driven by profit-taking and stop-loss hunting on late-week FOMO BUY positions.
Buying momentum is fading, while sellers are lurking at the ascending channel’s support.
Price is currently reacting at KeyLevel 336x–337x, with H1 candles showing lower wicks → signs of indecision.
2. Technical Outlook
Overall structure: Still within an H1-H4 uptrend channel, but BUY momentum is weakening.
No clear SELL confirmation yet → need a BreakDown from the channel to confirm seller dominance.
Scenario 1: Break the channel → target 335x & 333x zones.
Scenario 2: No break → price may rebound to retest 339x – 340x – 342x resistance levels.
3. Fundamental & Macro View
This week brings major USD economic data: CPI & PPI.
Forecasts lean positive for USD, which could increase downward pressure on Gold.
However, expect false breakouts before/after news releases — risk management is key.
4. MMFlow Trading Plan
BUY SCALP
Entry: 3353 – 3351
SL: 3345
TP: 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380
BUY ZONE
Entry: 3332 – 3330
SL: 3325
TP: 3336 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
SELL SCALP
Entry: 3394 – 3396
SL: 3400
TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360
SELL ZONE
Entry: 3425 – 3427
SL: 3430
TP: 3420 – 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3380
5. Risk Management
Avoid FOMO — wait for clear candle confirmations before entering.
Reduce position size ahead of CPI/PPI events.
Focus on pre-defined key levels, avoid trading in noise zones.
XAUUSD Weekly Plan Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?XAUUSD Weekly Plan – Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?
1. Market Context
Last week, Gold kept moving inside the H2–H4 bullish channel, pushing into the FVG High Zone and approaching the major resistance at 3426–3428 (OBS Sell Zone).
Momentum is fading – candles are compressing, and volume is dropping – signaling potential distribution.
2. Macro Outlook (High-Impact USD Data Ahead)
CPI – Aug 12 → Primary driver.
PPI – Aug 14 → Usually a leading signal for CPI.
Unemployment Claims – Aug 14 → Short-term impact.
Expectations:
CPI & PPI likely better than previous month → USD strength → Gold correction (liquidity sweep to the downside).
Weaker-than-expected CPI/PPI → USD weakness → Gold could spike for one last bullish leg before reversing.
3. Technical Overview
H2 bullish channel top aligns with FVG High Zone → big players’ sell limit & profit-taking area.
Main scenario: Test 3426–3428 → Bearish reaction → Channel breakdown → Retest 3395–3400 (VPOC) → Drop toward liquidity pools below.
4. Key Levels
SELL Zone: 3426 – 3428
SL: 3434
TP: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360
BUY Zone: 3330 – 3328
SL: 3322
TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380
5. Trading Plan
🔹 Primary SELL Setup:
Wait for price to reach 3426–3428 with H1/H2 bearish candle confirmation.
Take profits gradually at each downside target.
🔹 Counter-trend BUY:
Enter only if price sweeps liquidity into 3330–3328 with strong bullish reaction.
6. Trader’s Notes
Gold may still push $30–$40 higher early next week before hitting OBS Sell Zone.
Expect large SELL volume once in this zone (profit-taking + top-picking by big players).
This should be a short-term correction, not a full trend reversal.
Best to SELL from highs and hold after a confirmed channel breakdown.
7. Risk Note
High-impact week → Possible false breaks before/after CPI & PPI.
Avoid oversized positions during news releases.
A break & hold above 3434 with strong volume invalidates SELL scenario → wait for new structure.
📌 Summary:
Bias: SELL from 3426–3428 → Target liquidity pools down to 3360.
Backup Plan: BUY from 3330–3328 if liquidity grab confirmed.
Manage risk tightly, especially during high-volatility events.
— MMFlow Trading
GOLD LONGEntry- 101650-101600
SL- 101200
Target- 102700
Pattern- Gold is making a cup and handle pattern in 1hr TF and is also breaking out of an important resistance zone that 101550. Hence a long trade can be initiated in Gold.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose please take advice before making any decision.
Jai Shree Ram.
GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave – GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave
Gold is currently trading inside a large sideways triangle pattern, with price compressing toward the apex. However, based on recent candle structure and yesterday’s reaction at the key level, there’s strong momentum building for bullish continuation—likely forming a Wave 3 breakout if price can decisively break above the current descending trendline.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
✅ BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 (confluence of CP ZONE + GAP + OBS BUY from yesterday)
📈 Price already reacted with +160 PIPS profit from this zone, confirming buyer control
⛓️ Descending trendline is compressing price – a breakout above it could unleash strong bullish momentum
🔄 SELL ZONE: 3339 – 3341 marked by OBS SELL ZONE + liquidity layer
📰 Fundamental Focus:
Today is Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. With current forecasts pointing toward weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, the dollar could face pressure—creating the perfect scenario for gold to spike higher on BUY-side FOMO.
📌 Trade Plan:
🎯 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274
❌ Stop Loss: 3270
🎯 Take Profits:
3280 – 3284 – 3290 – 3294 – 3300 – 3305 – 3310 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350
⚠️ SELL ZONE (counter-trend): 3339 – 3341
❌ Stop Loss: 3345
🎯 Take Profits:
3335 – 3330 – 3325 – 3320 – 3315 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
📌 Key Notes:
Favor BUY setups in line with the trend—focus on reaction zones outlined on the chart.
If NFP data is bearish for the dollar, wait for strong confluences before entering any SELL, and avoid shorting prematurely against bullish momentum.