Potential Future Outlook for XAUUSD - March 10th, 2024Why We Think the Price Might Drop:
1. The price is hitting a trendline around 2195-2205 .
2. We expect a correction after a big increase in price.
What Might Happen Next:
Overall, it might be a good idea to sell XAUUSD when the price is between 2200-2210 . We're aiming for targets around 2145 and 2085 afterwards.
Goldtrading
Plan Trading Gold for February 27Yesterday, the candle closed with a long red body, indicating a significant price pullback from 25. The price range of approximately 12 points suggests market indecision, waiting for a reaction.
Important news today:
Durable Goods Orders m/m at 20:30 (better for the currency if higher). The most recent occurrence was on January 25th, with negative news causing the price to drop to 7 points and then increase by 14 points from the bottom. On December 22nd, positive news led to a drop of 5 points, followed by a rise of 12 points from the bottom.
CB Consumer Confidence at 22:00 (better for the currency). On December 30th, positive news caused a price surge of 12 points before the release, and after the news, it dropped by 19 points, exhibiting a high volatility. On December 20th, negative news for the currency resulted in a 3-point increase in gold prices followed by a decrease of 7 points.
Today is expected to be highly volatile (with potential fluctuations of 20-25 points throughout the day).
Key buy/sell zones:
Sell zone 01: 44
Sell zone 02: 47-49
Buy zone 01: 24-25
Buy zone 02: 16-18
Scalping orders (close orders before news): Sell at 40, sell at 36, buy at 26.
Wishing everyone a fantastic day and big wins!
U.S. stock futures slide as Treasury yields hit new cycle peakU.S. stock futures fell early Tuesday due to concerns over rising Treasury yields and the ongoing property sector crisis in China. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 43 points (0.13%), reaching 34007, while the S&P 500 increased by 17 points (0.4%) to 4337, and the Nasdaq Composite improved by 60 points (0.45%) to hit 13271.
The 10-year Treasury yield, an important benchmark, reached its highest level since 2007 at nearly 4.57% early Tuesday. This rise is driven by expectations of the Federal Reserve taking a more aggressive stance on interest rates. Some Fed officials have recently suggested the need for rate hikes and maintaining them at higher levels for a while.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned that if inflation isn't controlled, the market might not be prepared for potential interest rate hikes to 7%. The increase in Treasury yields has posed challenges for riskier assets, especially long-duration stocks.
The U.S. dollar index reached its highest point in about ten months, surpassing 106. This is due to higher Treasury yields compared to other countries, which could potentially impact U.S. equities by reducing the competitiveness of multinational companies.
The crisis in China's property sector is also causing global market unease. Shares in China Evergrande plummeted after the company failed to make a debt payment, leading to the arrest of former executives. As a result, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index dropped by 1.4%, reaching its lowest point since November.
Some economic data releases for Tuesday include the S&P Case-Shiller home price index for July at 9 a.m. Eastern, August's new home sales, and September's consumer confidence figures at 10 a.m. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman is also scheduled to deliver a speech at 1:30 p.m.
Gold This Week Overview till 22nd September
Gold prices are expected to trade in a range of 56,000-58,500 rupees per 10 grams this week, with a downside bias. The US Federal Reserve's commitment to a more aggressive monetary policy stance is likely to weigh on gold prices in the near term. However, gold could find some support from a weaker rupee and rising geopolitical tensions.
If gold reaches between 58600-58500 then we can plan long for +900 points
GOLD sideway waiting for positive signsGold price remains well above key short-term support around $1,897, including one-week Fibonacci 38.2%.
Also, setting a solid floor for XAU/USD is a convergence of the 5-DMA and the previous monthly low, around $1,905.
It is worth noting that the one-day 161.8% and 61.8% one-week Fibonacci join S2 one day of the Pivot Point to add strength to the $1,905 support.
Meanwhile, the one-day 61.8% Fibonacci, the Bollinger middle band above the one-hour high and the previous weekly high together limit the Gold Price's immediate upside near $1,920.
In the event that the bulls break through the $1,920 barrier, Gold Price will rally towards the one-week 161.8% Fibonacci match, the one-day R3 of the Pivot Point and the 4-hour 200-SMA, near $1,937. can be excluded.
Gold 03/08 Triple bottom patternThe dollar rose past the Fitch cut, taking support from much stronger-than-expected payrolls data released by ADP. The reading followed data earlier this week that showed some signs of a U.S. manufacturing and construction recovery.
The data spurred bets that the Federal Reserve will have enough economic headroom to hike rates further and keep them there - a scenario that bodes poorly for gold and metal markets.
At the 45m frame, we can see a triple bottom formation. we can hit short, I will place a buy order at the 1931-1934 support zone.
What is your idea? You can comment below. Thanks a lot
Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week? Gold or Nasdaq: What to Short this Week?
For Gold (XAU/USD), the 4-hour chart suggests a neutral-to-bearish stance. While the pair is currently above its moving averages, the 50-day moving average is closely trailing its price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dropping towards a neutral level, indicating a potential pause in buyer activity. If Gold drops below $1,945, there is a risk of prices descending further and retesting their previous lows or the 200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $1,941.
The deciding factor for Gold this week will likely be the US jobs data. The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report on Friday is a significant event, and the precursor jobs data (JOLTS Job report on Tuesday) could also sway traders. The market expects the NFP to show 190K jobs added, more than double the natural US growth rate. A strong jobs figure could influence traders' anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and impact the downside outlook for Gold.
On the other hand, Nasdaq and other major US indices are expected to end July with gains. The Dow Jones has particularly shown impressive growth over the past two weeks. The outperformance of the Dow Jones suggests a possible shift by investors from growth stocks (such as Nasdaq stocks) to value stocks.
Looking at the daily chart, the Nasdaq Composite is now targeting a key resistance level at 14,649. However, there is a possibility of aggressive seller response at that level. On the 4-hour chart, a divergence with the MACD indicates weakening momentum, which is often followed by pullbacks.
Earnings reports from major tech companies, Apple and Amazon, will be crucial for Nasdaq this week. These two giants represent 11.6% of the entire Nasdaq index measured by market cap. Better-than-expected US earnings could potentially prolong the bull run in the market.
GOLD before FOMC - Waiting for a nice BreakNow, the focus is entirely on the minutes of the Fed's June meeting, for any further signals on the direction of US interest rates.
This trend indicates that gold will come under more pressure in the coming months, although expectations of a potential recession in the US have also boosted some safe-haven demand for the yellow metal.
Gold is waiting for a break out of the 1931.5$ price zone to break out to find the target of 1940$ and 1950$ in the near term. If implementing Break out strategy. Pay attention to the nearest resistance around 1924$
SELL GOLD zone at: $1937 - $1940 - $ SL $1945
SELL GOLD zone at: $1925 - $1928 SL - $1932 (small lot)
Based on technical analysis indicators EMA 34, EMA 89 with strong resistance zone $1940 - $1943
XAUUSD (Gold ) Analysis for next week 17 April - 21 AprilWe can see the gold the retesting the yesterday high's again , it may be just a bull trap before dropping to test the HKEX:2000 on the daily bear flag or dropping below that can swing the reversal to supports at TSE:1980 and then $1950. It can form the M here or if it broken can test ath of TSE:2070 which is much less likely as it may go to test TADAWUL:2100 psychological levels . If you see rejection here around TADAWUL:2050 - TSE:2055 , then definitely it may retest at HKEX:2007 or HKEX:2000 today .
Trade accordingly






















