NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 12th September 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25010 to 25023 then we above this bullish then 25038 or 25059 very important levels above this more bullish 25082/91 then wait for 25200?
If NIFTY sustain below 24991 below this bearish then 24944/41 or 24936/32 strong level below this more bearish then 24928/24 then 24915/903 or 24899/95/92 which will fill the gap and may give the spike to last hope level 24868/24847 below then wait
My view :-
My analysis is provided for your study and consideration only. It's important to recognize that this analysis may be incorrect, and effective risk management is essential to safeguard against potential losses.
Regarding the intraday view, there is no clear direction. The market has the potential for either a breakout or profit-booking, suggesting movement in both directions. A clear trend will only emerge once the price moves decisively above or below key support or resistance levels.
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
H
Harmonic Patterns
Part 4 Institutional TradingAdvantages of Option Trading
Leverage: Small premium controls large exposure.
Flexibility: Can profit in any market—up, down, or sideways.
Risk Management: Limited risk for buyers.
Income Generation: Option writing provides steady cash flow.
Risks of Option Trading
Despite advantages, options carry risks:
Time Decay: Options lose value as expiry approaches.
Volatility Risk: Changes in implied volatility can hurt positions.
Liquidity Risk: Some options may not have enough buyers/sellers.
Unlimited Risk for Writers: Option sellers face theoretically unlimited losses.
Options vs Futures
Many confuse options with futures. Key differences:
Futures: Obligation to buy/sell at expiry.
Options: Right, not obligation.
Futures: Unlimited risk both ways.
Options: Buyers’ risk limited to premium.
Part 4 Trading Master ClassParticipants in Option Markets
There are four key participants in option trading:
Buyers of Calls – Bullish traders.
Sellers of Calls (Writers) – Bearish or neutral traders, earning premium.
Buyers of Puts – Bearish traders.
Sellers of Puts (Writers) – Bullish or neutral traders, earning premium.
Each of these participants plays a role in keeping the options market liquid.
Option Pricing: The Greeks
Option pricing is not random—it is influenced by multiple factors, commonly represented by the Greeks:
Delta: Measures how much the option price changes when the underlying asset moves ₹1.
Gamma: Measures how much Delta itself changes when the underlying moves.
Theta: Measures time decay—how much the option loses value daily as expiration approaches.
Vega: Measures sensitivity to volatility changes.
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rate changes.
For traders, Theta and Vega are the most crucial, since time decay and volatility play massive roles in profits and losses.
Part 1 Trading Master ClassIntroduction
In the world of financial markets, traders and investors have many instruments to express their views, manage risks, or speculate on price movements. One of the most fascinating and versatile instruments is the option contract. Options trading, when understood deeply, opens the door to countless strategies—ranging from conservative income generation to high-risk speculative plays with massive upside.
Unlike traditional stock trading, which is relatively straightforward (buy low, sell high), option trading introduces multiple layers of complexity: time decay, volatility, strike prices, premiums, and Greeks. Because of this, beginners often feel intimidated, while experienced traders consider options an art form—something that requires both science and psychology.
This guide will take you step by step into the world of option trading, covering what options are, how they work, key terminology, strategies, risks, advantages, and real-life use cases. By the end, you’ll have a full 360-degree view of this powerful trading instrument.
What Are Options?
An option is a type of financial derivative contract. Its value is derived from an underlying asset such as a stock, index, currency, or commodity.
An option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price (called the strike price) before or on a specified date (called the expiration date).
There are two basic types of options:
Call Option – Gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option – Gives the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
So, if you think the price of a stock will rise, you might buy a call option. If you think it will fall, you might buy a put option.
SENSEX 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
Current Level: 81,548
Day’s Range: ~80,320 – 81,550
52-Week Range: 71,425 – 85,978
⚙ Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Around 43 → neutral to slightly bearish zone
MACD: Negative → mild downward pressure still visible
ADX (14): ~35-40 → moderate trend strength
Stochastic Oscillator: Near overbought zone → possible short-term pullback
Moving Averages:
Short-term (5, 10, 20-day): Mixed
Medium & long-term (50, 100, 200-day): Acting as resistance near highs
📊 Key Levels
Immediate Support: 80,800 – 81,000 zone
Immediate Resistance: 81,600 – 81,800 zone
Breakout Levels:
Above 81,800 → upside momentum could target 82,200+
Below 80,800 → downside may test 80,300 – 80,000
🧠 Summary
Sensex is currently at 81,548, near its resistance zone. Trend is neutral to mildly bullish in the short-term. Sustaining above 81,600–81,800 will confirm strength for further rally. A failure to hold could trigger a pullback toward 80,800–80,300.
BANKNIFTY 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
Level: ~54,670
Day’s Range: 54,402 – 54,757
52-Week Range: 47,703 – 57,628
⚙ Technical Indicators
RSI (14): ~60 → bullish momentum, not overbought yet
MACD: Positive → supports uptrend
Moving Averages:
Short-term (5, 10, 20-day): Bullish signals
Medium-term (50, 100-day): Supportive of trend
Long-term (200-day): Slight resistance near current level
Stochastic Oscillator: In overbought zone → strong momentum but risk of pullback
📊 Support & Resistance
Immediate Support: ~54,400
Immediate Resistance: ~54,750 – 55,000
Pivot Point: ~54,550
🧠 Summary
Bank Nifty is in a bullish short-term trend. Holding above 54,400 keeps momentum positive, while a breakout above 55,000 could open room for more upside. If resistance holds, the index may consolidate or retest lower supports.
NIFTY 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
Trading around 25,005 – 25,010
Day change: about +0.4%
⚙ Technical Indicators
Moving Averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200 day): All showing buy signals → bullish structure
RSI (14): In bullish territory, not overbought → healthy momentum
Stochastic Oscillator: Near overbought zone → indicates strength, but chance of a short pullback
MACD: Positive crossover → supports upward momentum
📊 Support & Resistance
Immediate Resistance: 25,000 – 25,100 zone
Immediate Support: 24,800 – 24,900 zone
If price sustains above 25,100 → next upside levels can open higher (towards 25,200+)
If it breaks below 24,900 → downside could test 24,700 levels
🧠 Summary
Nifty 50 is in a bullish daily trend, currently consolidating near psychological resistance at 25,000. As long as it holds above 24,900, the bullish momentum is intact. A breakout above 25,100 could extend the rally further.
Do you also want me to give the weekly time frame (1W) view for a bigger picture trend?
BTCUSD 1D Time frame📈 Price Action
Previous Close: $113,897.00
Day’s Range: $112,204.00 – $114,451.00
Current Price: $113,897.00
🔧 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (14): 55.39 — Indicates neutral momentum.
MACD: Positive — Suggests upward trend.
Moving Averages:
5-day MA: $112,545.50
20-day MA: $112,519.63
50-day MA: $114,828.28
100-day MA: $109,519.30
200-day MA: $101,144.13
Stochastic Oscillator (14): 67.91% — Indicates bullish momentum.
Average True Range (ATR): $3,177.03 — Suggests moderate volatility.
Directional Movement Index (ADX): 10.23 — Indicates a weak trend.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: $112,000
Immediate Resistance: $115,000
🧠 Trend Analysis
Trend: Neutral to bullish
Momentum: Positive
Volatility: Moderate
Summary: Bitcoin is currently trading near $113,897, showing a neutral to bullish trend with positive momentum. The 50-day moving average is above the current price, indicating potential upward movement. Traders should monitor the support level at $112,000 and resistance at $115,000 for potential breakout opportunities.
WIPRO 1D Time framw📈 Price Action
Previous Close: ₹255.75
Today's Close: ₹256.50
Daily Range: ₹253.00 – ₹257.00
Volume: 804,499 shares (significantly higher than the 50-day average of 369,496 shares)
52-Week Range: ₹228.00 – ₹324.55
🔧 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 63.59 — Indicates bullish momentum.
MACD: Positive — Suggests upward trend.
Moving Averages:
5-day MA: ₹254.50
50-day MA: ₹249.00
200-day MA: ₹265.00
Trend: Bullish, as the stock is trading above short-term moving averages.
Stochastic Oscillator: 76.47% — Indicates overbought conditions, suggesting potential for a pullback.
Average True Range (ATR): ₹0.05 — Indicates low volatility.
📊 Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹253.00
Immediate Resistance: ₹257.00
Pivot Point: ₹255.00
🧠 Trend Analysis
Trend: Bullish
Momentum: Positive
Volatility: Low
Summary: Wipro's stock is exhibiting a bullish trend with positive momentum. The current overbought condition, as indicated by the stochastic oscillator, suggests that the stock may experience a short-term pullback before continuing its upward trajectory. Traders should monitor the support and resistance levels for potential entry and exit points.
KOTAKBANK 1D Time frame📊 Price Action
Previous Close: ₹1,973.30
Day’s Range: ₹1,963.30 – ₹1,985.00
Volume: 1,694,935 shares
VWAP: ₹1,975.06
52-Week Range: ₹1,679.05 – ₹2,301.90
🔧 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): 55.59 — Indicates neutral to bullish momentum.
MACD: 5.67 — Suggests a positive trend.
ADX (14): 37.42 — Confirms a strong trend.
Stochastic RSI: 18.53 — Indicates oversold conditions.
CCI (14): 50.23 — Neutral, with potential for upward movement.
Ultimate Oscillator: 58.25 — Signals bullish momentum.
Rate of Change (ROC): 0.72 — Positive, indicating upward price movement.
Williams %R: -54.58 — Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold.
Bull/Bear Power (13): 13.35 — Indicates buying pressure.
📈 Moving Averages
MA5: ₹1,976.44 — Sell signal.
MA10: ₹1,973.57 — Buy signal.
MA20: ₹1,968.21 — Buy signal.
MA50: ₹1,956.95 — Buy signal.
MA100: ₹1,964.72 — Buy signal.
MA200: ₹1,979.20 — Sell signal.
Summary: Out of 12 moving averages, 8 indicate a buy signal, and 4 indicate a sell signal, suggesting a generally bullish trend.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹1,963
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,985
🧠 Trend Analysis
Trend: Bullish
Momentum: Positive
Volatility: Moderate
Conclusion: Kotak Mahindra Bank's stock is exhibiting a bullish trend with positive momentum and moderate volatility. The technical indicators suggest potential for upward movement, with key support at ₹1,963 and resistance at ₹1,985. Traders may consider these levels for potential entry or exit points.
NIFTY_MID_SELECT 1D Time frameCurrent Level: 13,022.90
Daily Range: 12,967.10 – 13,087.35
52-Week Range: 10,382.55 – 13,537.80
Technical Indicators:
RSI (14): 56.75 – positive momentum
MACD: 9.37 – upward trend
Stochastic Oscillator: 75.03 – strong bullish momentum
Rate of Change (ROC): 2.59 – confirming positive movement
Trend & Levels:
Trading above Supertrend: 13,065.50 – bullish trend
Support: ~13,000 (next support ~12,900)
Resistance: ~13,100 (next target 13,200–13,300)
Summary:
The Nifty Midcap Select Index is showing a bullish trend with strong momentum and potential for further gains if current momentum continues.
SENSEX 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹81,571
Day’s Range: ₹81,500 – ₹81,600
Previous Close: ₹81,425.15
Opening Price: ₹81,504.36
Volume: Moderate
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near short-term resistance.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹81,700 with strong volume could target ₹81,900.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹81,400 may lead to further decline toward ₹81,200.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹81,400 – ₹81,700; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the IT and financial sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
NIFTY 1D Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹25,022.20
Day’s Range: ₹24,973.00 – ₹25,035.00
Previous Close: ₹24,976.10
Opening Price: ₹24,991.00
Volume: Moderate
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near short-term resistance.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹25,050 with strong volume could target ₹25,100.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹24,950 may lead to further decline toward ₹24,900.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹24,950 – ₹25,050; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the IT and financial sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
September 11th Gold AnalysisSeptember 11th Gold Analysis
Waiting for CPI Data to Break the Deadlock
Market Dynamics
Yesterday's gold market exhibited typical pre-data volatility. Following a series of emotional speculation, bulls and bears reached a stalemate, with gold prices fluctuating between $3,618 and $3,657 throughout the day, ultimately closing slightly higher.
This narrow consolidation pattern reflects the market's conflicting sentiment: on the one hand, expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks are supporting gold prices; on the other hand, gold prices are already at historical highs, and further upward momentum requires new catalysts.
Gold has risen over 39% so far this year, an astonishing performance that makes it one of the best-performing asset classes in 2025.
Focus Event: US CPI Data
Today's US August CPI data will serve as a bellwether for the market. Market expectations are for the unadjusted CPI to be 2.9% annualized (previous reading: 2.7%) and 0.3% monthly; the core CPI is expected to be 3.1% annualized and 0.3% monthly.
This data will directly influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its September 17-18 meeting. The market currently places a 100% probability on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but the strength of the CPI data will influence the subsequent policy path.
A strong reading could push gold below the $3,600 support level; conversely, a weak reading could see gold prices test or even break through all-time highs.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold is currently oscillating at a high level, with a tendency toward sideways trading. On the upside, watch for short-term resistance around 3,655-60, while on the downside, focus on support around 3,625-20.
The performance of the previous two trading days suggests that gold bullish sentiment is waning. A break below the 3,620-25 support level could trigger a short-term counterattack by bears, potentially testing support around 3,605-00, and even a pullback to 3,570.
However, such a deep correction would require support from negative fundamental factors. Tonight's US CPI data and the ECB's interest rate decision could contribute to this situation, but the market's current dominant sentiment remains focused on expectations of a Fed rate cut next week.
Trading Strategies and Risk Management
Prior to the data release, gold prices are likely to remain volatile at high levels. Consider adopting a light-weight strategy of buying low and selling high, and then following the market trend after the data is released.
Long: We recommend a light-weight long position in the 3620-3628 area, with a stop-loss below 3615 and a target of 3650-3660.
Short: We recommend a light-weight short position in the 3630-3640 area, with a stop-loss below 3655 and a target of 3620. If the price falls below the 3620 support level, you can increase your short position and target lower support levels.
The market is volatile, especially on trading days with major data releases, when volatility and uncertainty can increase significantly. Investors should respond flexibly based on real-time market conditions, ensure proper risk management, and make prudent decisions.
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can be helpful to you.
BANKNIFTY 4Hour Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹54,731
Day’s Range (4H): ₹54,600 – ₹54,800
Previous Close: ₹54,228
Opening Price (4H): ₹54,350
Volume: Moderate
🔑 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: ₹54,650
Next Support: ₹54,600
Immediate Resistance: ₹54,800
Next Resistance: ₹54,900
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Mildly bullish; trading near short-term resistance.
RSI (14): ~64 – Neutral to slightly bullish.
MACD: Positive → indicates bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate bullish bias.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Sustained move above ₹54,800 may push toward ₹54,900–₹55,000.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹54,650 could lead to retracement toward ₹54,600.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹54,650 – ₹54,800; breakout needed for directional move.
SENSEX 4Hour📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹81,561.00
Day’s Range: ₹81,235.42 – ₹81,643.88
Previous Close: ₹81,101.32
Opening Price (4H): ₹81,504.36
Volume: Approximately 6.16 million shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹81,643.88 with strong volume could target ₹81,917.15.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹81,235.42 may lead to further decline toward ₹81,101.32.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹81,235.42 – ₹81,643.88; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the IT and financial sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
NIFTY 4H Time frame📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹25,010.95
Day’s Range: ₹24,940.15 – ₹25,008.95
Previous Close: ₹24,977.95
Opening Price (4H): ₹24,940.15
Volume: Approximately 6.16 million shares
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹25,008.95 with strong volume could target ₹25,186.00.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹24,940.00 may lead to further decline toward ₹24,871.10.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹24,940.00 – ₹25,008.95; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the IT and financial sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
TATASTEEL 4H 📊 Current Snapshot
Current Price: ₹169.43
Day’s Range: ₹168.46 – ₹170.90
Previous Close: ₹169.43
Opening Price (4H): ₹169.35
📈 Trend & Indicators
Trend: Neutral to mildly bullish; trading near 50-hour and 200-hour moving averages.
RSI (14): Neutral zone.
MACD: Positive → indicating mild bullish momentum.
Moving Averages: Short-term averages indicate neutral to slightly bullish outlook.
🔮 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Break above ₹170.90 with strong volume could target ₹172.50.
Bearish Scenario: Drop below ₹168.50 may lead to further decline toward ₹167.99.
Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between ₹168.50 – ₹170.90; breakout needed for directional move.
📌 Key Factors to Watch
Economic Indicators: Interest rates, inflation, and RBI policy updates.
Sector Performance: Trends in the metals and mining sectors.
Global Cues: Global market trends, US indices, crude oil, and currency movements.
HDFCBANK 1D Time frameCurrent Price Action
HDFCBANK is trading around ₹962–968.
Day’s low is near ₹960 and high is around ₹978.
The stock is consolidating in a tight range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹968 – ₹970
Next Resistance: ₹975 – ₹980
Immediate Support: ₹960
Strong Support: ₹950 – ₹955
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Price is below the 50-day MA (short-term weakness) but above the 200-day MA (long-term trend still intact).
RSI (14-day): Around 40–45 → neutral to slightly weak momentum.
MACD: Negative bias, showing limited upside strength.
📈 Outlook
If HDFCBANK stays above ₹960, a bounce toward ₹970 – ₹975 is possible.
A breakout above ₹975 – ₹980 could turn the trend stronger.
If the stock slips below ₹955 – ₹950, it may head lower toward ₹940 – ₹935.
Current bias: Neutral to slightly bearish until price breaks above resistance.
RELIANCE 1D Time frameCurrent Price Action
Reliance is trading around ₹1,384.
Day’s low is near ₹1,375 and high is near ₹1,385.
Price is consolidating in a narrow band after recent gains.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,385 – ₹1,390
Next Resistance: ₹1,400 – ₹1,410
Immediate Support: ₹1,375
Strong Support: ₹1,360 – ₹1,350
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short- and medium-term averages remain bullish, confirming uptrend strength.
RSI (14-day): Around 58–60 → showing bullish momentum, still not overbought.
MACD: Positive crossover → indicates bullish bias.
📈 Outlook
As long as Reliance holds above ₹1,375, the bias stays bullish.
A breakout above ₹1,390 – ₹1,400 can push the stock toward ₹1,410 – ₹1,420.
If it falls below ₹1,375, it could slip toward ₹1,360 – ₹1,350.
BANKNIFTY 1D Time frame📍 Current Price Action
BankNIFTY is trading around 54,680 – 54,817.
Day’s low is near 54,400, and high is near 54,825.
Index is consolidating near the upper end of the recent range.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: 54,700 – 55,000
Next Resistance: 55,300 – 55,500
Immediate Support: 54,400
Strong Support: 53,800 – 53,500
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages: Short-, medium-, and long-term averages remain in a bullish alignment → trend still positive.
RSI (14-day): Around 60-65 → showing bullish momentum, but not extreme.
MACD: Still positive, indicating bullish momentum, though strength is flattening.
📈 Outlook
As long as BankNIFTY stays above 54,400, the bias remains bullish to neutral.
A breakout above 55,000 could push the index toward 55,300 – 55,500.
A breakdown below 54,400 could trigger a slide toward 53,800 – 53,500.
TCS 1D Time framePrice Action (Daily Chart)
Current price is around ₹3,117 - ₹3,120
Price is consolidating near support zones after a recent upward move.
Candle structure shows buying interest at lower levels, but resistance is capping the upside.
📊 Indicators
Moving Averages (MA):
Short-term MAs (5-day, 10-day) are slightly mixed.
Medium to long MAs (20, 50, 100, 200-day) are in buy zone, showing broader uptrend strength.
RSI (14-day): ~62-65 → indicates mild bullish momentum, not yet in overbought zone.
MACD: Shows positive crossover, momentum favors bulls but losing some strength.
⚖️ Key Levels
Immediate Resistance: ₹3,135 – ₹3,140
Next Resistance: ₹3,170 – ₹3,200
Immediate Support: ₹3,100 – ₹3,110
Strong Support: ₹3,050 – ₹3,000
📈 Outlook
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to slightly bullish as long as price holds above ₹3,100.
A breakout above ₹3,140 may open room toward ₹3,170–₹3,200.
A breakdown below ₹3,100 may drag price to ₹3,050–₹3,000.
Overall trend on daily timeframe is still uptrend, but near resistance, so caution is needed.
How to Close a Losing Trade?Cutting losses is an art, and a losing trader is an artist.
Closing a losing position is an important skill in risk management. When you are in a losing trade, you need to know when to get out and accept the loss. In theory, cutting losses and keeping your losses small is a simple concept, but in practice, it is an art. Here are ten things you need to consider when closing a losing position.
1. Don't trade without a stop-loss strategy. You must know where you will exit before you enter an order.
2. Stop-losses should be placed outside the normal range of price action at a level that could signal that your trading view is wrong.
3. Some traders set stop-losses as a percentage, such as if they are trying to make a profit of +12% on stock trades, they set a stop-loss when the stock falls -4% to create a TP/SL ratio of 3:1.
4. Other traders use time-based stop-losses, if the trade falls but never hits the stop-loss level or reaches the profit target in a set time frame, they will only exit the trade due to no trend and go look for better opportunities.
5. Many traders will exit a trade when they see the market has a spike, even if the price has not hit the stop-loss level.
6. In long-term trend trading, stop-losses must be wide enough to capture a real long-term trend without being stopped out early by noise signals. This is where long-term moving averages such as the 200-day and moving average crossover signals are used to have a wider stop-loss. It is important to have smaller position sizes on potentially more volatile trades and high risk price action.
7. You are trading to make money, not to lose money. Just holding and hoping your losing trades will come back to even so you can exit at breakeven is one of the worst plans.
8. The worst reason to sell a losing position is because of emotion or stress, a trader should always have a rational and quantitative reason to exit a losing trade. If the stop-loss is too tight, you may be shaken out and every trade will easily become a small loss. You have to give trades enough room to develop.
9. Always exit the position when the maximum allowable percentage of your trading capital is lost. Setting your maximum allowable loss percentage at 1% to 2% of your total trading capital based on your stop-loss and position size will reduce the risk of account blowouts and keep your drawdowns small.
10. The basic art of selling a losing trade is knowing the difference between normal volatility and a trend-changing price change.