Harmonic Patterns
Part 10 Trade Like InstitutionsStrike Price, Premium, and Expiry
To understand any option, three elements are critical:
(A) Strike Price
The fixed price at which you can buy (call) or sell (put) the asset.
Example:
Nifty at 22,000
Call option strike: 22,200 CE
Put option strike: 21,800 PE
(B) Premium
The cost of buying the option.
Premium reflects what traders believe about future movement, volatility, and time value.
Higher volatility → higher premium.
(C) Expiry
Options have a limited lifespan. In India, index options expire weekly, and stock options expire monthly.
At expiry, out-of-money options lose all value.
ABCAPITAL 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Key recent data & context
1. The stock recently closed around ₹349.80.
2. Over the past week it has delivered a positive return (roughly +6–7 %).
3. According to a recent technical outlook, immediate support is seen at ≈ ₹320.87, and major support at ≈ ₹316.08. On the upside, immediate resistance is around ≈ ₹333.77, with major resistance at ≈ ₹341.88.
✅ What to Watch — Possible Scenarios
Bullish scenario: If price stays above ~₹333.8 and market sentiment holds up, stock could attempt a move toward ~₹341–342.
Sideways / consolidation: Price may oscillate between ~₹320–₹335 if broader market remains neutral — could be a choppy week.
Bearish scenario: A decisive break below ~₹320.9 (with volume) could drag price toward ~₹316 or lower — a risk point for short‑term holders.
⚠️ Other Technical Notes & Volatility
The stock shows fairly significant volatility: 5‑week range typically ~5.85% for ABCAPITAL.
Broader trend appears positive: moving averages and momentum indicators have been showing strength lately.
KOTAKBANK 1 Week Time Frame 📊 Key context
1. Current price (as of recent trading) is around ₹2,110–₹2,120.
2. 52‑week high: ~ ₹2,301.90, 52‑week low: ~ ₹1,723.75.
3. The stock recently got a lot of attention due to a corporate action: a 1:5 stock split approved this month — which may increase liquidity and interest among retail investors.
Level Type ₹ Price
Support 1 (S1) ~ ₹2,070.90
Support 2 (S2) ~ ₹2,054.00
Support 3 (S3) ~ ₹2,029.50
Resistance 1 (R1) ~ ₹2,112.30
Resistance 2 (R2) ~ ₹2,136.80
Resistance 3 (R3) ~ ₹2,153.70
Interpretation
On the upside, if the stock moves up past ~₹2,112–2,113, it may test higher resistance around ₹2,135–2,155.
On the downside, if there’s weakness and the price breaks below ~₹2,071, support zones at ~₹2,054 and ~₹2,030 become important — if those give way the next pullback could be deeper.
⚠️ What could alter this outlook
If broader market moves (Nifty/Sensex) are weak — banking stocks like Kotak often follow general market sentiment.
Any news about bank’s financials, regulatory environment, or macroeconomic developments can change investor sentiment quickly.
Post stock‑split, there may be increased volatility — as new investors enter, some profit‑booking can also happen
TATATECH 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Key recent data (approx as of last close):
Last traded price: ~ ₹676.75.
Day high / low: ~ ₹679 / ₹670.25.
52‑week high: ~ ₹973.85; 52‑week low: ~ ₹597.
🧮 What this suggests for today (intraday / short‑term only):
If Tata Tech trades above ₹672.7, it could aim for ₹677–684 as short‑term resistance.
A fall below ₹672.7 might push price toward ₹665–661 as support.
₹684–696 could act as a more extended intraday upside zone, if there’s bullish momentum.
🔎 Context & What to Watch Out For
The 52‑week high is still much higher — so in a broader sense, the stock remains far off prior highs.
On short‑term charts, some indicators (e.g. moving‑average crossovers / candle‑pattern heuristics) recently gave bearish / neutral signals.
Volatility and broader market sentiment (especially in the auto / engineering‑services / global tech outsourcing space) can swing prices significantly — so these levels are very approximate.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – November 27, 2025I’m sharing a Bitcoin downside idea as of November 27.
Bitcoin has recently seen a sharp decline, and it’s undeniable that this has gradually increased the possibility of a rebound.
However, when examining the current chart structure closely, the key conditions that, by my standards, would confirm a bullish reversal have not yet been met.
While I expect reversal signals to appear soon and have been observing the chart closely, I’ve identified that, in the current area, short-term downward pressure is actually becoming more prominent. Therefore, I’m sharing a bearish outlook.
The basis for this view is as follows.
First, in the retracement zone of the recent wave, the Fibonacci 0.786 level is acting as strong resistance. This ratio is typically an area near local highs where selling pressure strengthens again, and even if a rebound occurs, it is more likely to be a correction rather than a full trend reversal.
Additionally, the Trend-Based Extension 0.786 level, measured based on the direction of the wave, is also forming resistance. This indicates not just a simple retracement but that structural selling pressure is accumulating within the wave extension. It shows that the current price is still positioned within the continuation of a downward wave.
Lastly, when combining the ratios of the entire wave, a Crab pattern completing at the 1.902 zone is forming validly. The 1.902 zone of the Crab pattern is categorized as an area with a high probability of a reversal at the top, and when multiple patterns and ratios converge at a single point, the reliability of the reversal increases even further.
With these factors operating simultaneously, I assess the current zone as one where short-term downside is more likely than an immediate bullish reversal.
Accordingly, I’ve set the average target at 85,400 USDT, and once the move develops, I expect to decide whether to hold or not at that level.
Premium Chart Patterns Chart patterns provide clues about what buyers and sellers are doing:
Buyers create demand, pushing prices higher.
Sellers create supply, pushing prices lower.
When these forces interact, certain shapes form on the price chart. These shapes—like triangles, flags, head and shoulders, double tops—help traders forecast the next big move.
Patterns can be classified into two major types:
Reversal Patterns – indicate a possible change in trend.
Continuation Patterns – indicate the existing trend is likely to continue.
Understanding both helps traders catch major market moves with good accuracy.
Plan the day - Trade the plan Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pairs, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Buy MCX#MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange) Technical Analysis Summary
Current Market Price : ₹8,051.50
Dow Theory Analysis
The chart perfectly demonstrates **Dow Theory principles** in action:
Bullish Structure
Higher Highs : Clear progression from previous peaks
Higher Lows : Each dip maintains above previous lows
Fresh Higher High : Recent peak establishing new uptrend confirmation
Key Technical Levels
Daily Resistance : 8,339.00
Weekly Resistance : 8,901.50
Previous ATH : 9,115.00
Multiple Pattern Confirmations
1. Flag & Pole Pattern : - Bullish continuation pattern Suggests upward momentum continuation
2. Harmonic Pattern :
- Trading near point B
- Activation Level : 8,148.50
- 1st Target : 9,115 (Previous ATH)
- 2nd Target : 9,964 (Current projection)
Do your own analysis before Initiating any Trades.
DOW Jones is having rounding bottom formation - 8% upside targetDOW Jones is having rounding bottom formation - 8% upside target Possible.
LTP - 47500
Targets - 51300+
Timeframe - Dec-25 End.
Charts are suggesting Bull market run of 8% in next few weeks on Dow Jones - Possibility of some Positive news flows across world to take markets on big upmove in Dec Month.
Happy investing..
Silver today booked 140 pips continuesly buying recommended 48.2Parameters Data
Asset Name Silver COMEX (XAG/USD)
Reason 🟩 US rate cut expectations, weak dollar, aur high industrial demand ke chalte strong breakout.
R:R 🟩 R:R ratio is favorable for T2/T3 targets. / Threshold: Breakout above - & Breakdown below
Current Trade 🟩 BUY Active ⬆️ Target T1 - 53.50 , T2 - 54.49 , T3 - 55.50 , Stop loss - 51.49
Probability 🟩 85% (Strong fundamental & technical alignment.)
Confidence 🟩 26/30 (Massive YTD return aur aaj ki strong closing confirms conviction.)
Price Movement Buy side: 53.50, 54.49, 55.50. If break 51.49 then downside possible towards 51.00, 50.50, 49.50.
FNO Data (OI/PCR) 🟩 OI mein substantial long positions added, indicating continued institutional interest.
Liquidity Zones 🟩 High Liquidity / Price discovery mode near all-time high zone.
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Futures Contract)
Gamma Exposure 🟩 Gamma positive, jo price ko current level se upar ki taraf dhakel raha hai.
Supports 🟩 S1: 51.49 (Previous Close/Major Pivot) | S2: 50.50 (50-Day EMA) | S3: 49.50 (Psychological/Range Lows)
Resistances 🟥 R1: 53.50 (Immediate Technical Supply) | R2: 54.49 (52-Week High/ATH zone) | R3: 55.50
DEMA Levels 🟩 Price 20/50/100/200 DEMA se kaafi upar hai (Structural uptrend intact).
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI (14) \sim 80+ (Overbought, par momentum extremely strong hai).
Cross‑Asset Correlation 🟩 Gold (GC/USD) ke saath strong positive correlation.
COT Positioning 🟩 Commercials ne short-covering ki hai, aur Managed Money net longs badha rahe hain.
Source Ledger 🟩 OANDA, TradingView (Image Data), CME Group, Kitco, Investing.com (Verified & Triangulated).
$ENA Technical Outlook: Major Reversal Signal TriggeredMIL:ENA Technical Outlook: Major Reversal Signal Triggered
ENA has cleanly rebounded from its structural support at $0.24–$0.22, a zone that has historically defined trend inflection. As long as price holds above this base, the bullish probability sharply increases, with a potential multi-fold expansion ahead.
Accumulation Zone: $0.28–$0.24
Targets: $0.50 / $0.80 / $1.34 / $3 / $5
Invalidation: HTF close below $0.19
Notably, ENA has now completed a full 0.0 Fibonacci retracement, an event that rarely occurs and often precedes a fresh all-time high breakout in structurally strong assets.
$0.50–$0.80 remain conservative upside targets; the higher projections depend on investor risk profile and time horizon.
Risk remains limited, while the asymmetry is exceptionally high.
NFA & DYOR
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Call Option Simplified
A call option is useful when you expect the market to go up.
If you buy a call option, you are paying a premium to the seller.
If the price rises above your strike price before expiry, your call option gains value.
Example:
NIFTY trading at 22,000. You buy a 22,000 CE.
If NIFTY goes to 22,300, your call becomes profitable because you have the right to buy at 22,000.
If the market falls instead, you lose only the premium you paid.
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves What Are Options?
Options are derivatives, which means their value is derived from an underlying asset such as stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies. In equity and index markets, options help traders speculate on price movements or protect their existing positions.
An option is essentially a contract that grants the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price (called the strike price) before a specific date (called the expiry).
There are two types:
Call Option – Gives the right to buy
Put Option – Gives the right to sell
Premium Chart PatternsPremium chart patterns are advanced market structures that go beyond basic triangles, flags, and double tops. These patterns are used by experienced traders, institutional desks, and serious technical analysts to catch moves before the majority notices. What makes them “premium” is their reliability, deeper logic, and ability to identify institutional activity, liquidity traps, and major swing reversals.
While basic chart patterns rely on simple visual structures, premium patterns focus on price psychology, volume behavior, liquidity engineering, and market structure transitions. These tools help traders understand why price is moving in a certain direction—not just how it looks.
ETHEREUM ANALYSIS UPDATE:ETHEREUM ANALYSIS UPDATE:
Exactly as projected, CRYPTOCAP:ETH bounced perfectly from the 0.5 FIB retracement at $2,622.
That level has now transformed into a strong structural support, increasing the probability of an upside continuation and a potential run toward a new All-Time High.
But remember 👇
If Ethereum breaks below $2,622 (0.5 FIB), the market will likely hunt liquidity into the 0.618 Golden Zone or the Bullish Order Block before launching toward the $10K macro target.
Big dips = Big accumulation discounts. Stay strategic, not emotional.
1️⃣ $2,622 (0.5) – First Defense ✅
2️⃣ $2,256 (0.618) – Golden Zone
3️⃣ $1,821 (0.786) – Nuclear Support
NFA & DYOR
HDFCAMC 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Current Price & Context
1. Recent quoted price on several platforms is ~ ₹ 2,667 / ₹ 2,670 (on an adjusted basis, after its 1:1 bonus share issue) for HDFCAMC.
2. Historically (pre-bonus) the “old” nominal price was ~ ₹ 5,336–₹ 5,340.
3. The share is currently trading with valuation metrics: high P/E, high P/B (as per screener data) indicating it remains a premium/ high-valuation stock.
🎯 What This Means for Intraday / Short-Term Moves
If the price stays above the pivot (≈ ₹ 2,689), that suggests a short-term bullish bias; watch for a move toward the first resistance near ₹ 2,710–₹ 2,728.
If price slips below support ~₹ 2,652, the next downside targets are ₹ 2,635 then ₹ 2,614 — a break below those could open risk of further slide.
Holding above the pivot + a bounce off support (with volume) may indicate renewed upside momentum; conversely, a breakdown below support zones might suggest weakness.
⚠️ Special Context — Corporate Action Impact
The stock recently went “ex-bonus,” with a 1:1 bonus issue, meaning number of shares doubled and price was adjusted downward — which explains the division between older ₹ 5,300-plus quotes and newer ~₹ 2,600-₹ 2,700 quotes.
Because of this adjustment, comparing current technical levels with older price history needs caution — especially if referencing older support/resistance zones.
CIPLA 1 Day Tiem Frame 📊 Current Snapshot (approx)
Last traded / Current Price (NSE / BSE): ~ ₹ 1,517
Today’s trading range (so far): Low ~ ₹ 1,505; High ~ ₹ 1,520.90
52-week range: Low ~ ₹ 1,335; High ~ ₹ 1,673.
🔹 Daily Pivot & Key Levels for CIPLA
Based on standard daily pivot-point analysis for today.
Level Type Price (approx)
Pivot (central) ₹ ~1,510.13
Support 1 (S1) ~ ₹ 1,497.6
Support 2 (S2) ~ ₹ 1,487.6
Support 3 (S3) ~ ₹ 1,475.1
Resistance 1 (R1) ~ ₹ 1,520.1
Resistance 2 (R2) ~ ₹ 1,532.6
Resistance 3 (R3) ~ ₹ 1,542.6
Central Pivot (CPR range): ~ ₹ 1,508.8 – 1,511.4
🔍 What to Watch — Intraday Scenarios
Bullish bias: If price stays above pivot (~₹ 1,510), look for near-term resistance at ₹ 1,520 → ₹ 1,532 → ₹ 1,542+.
Bearish trigger: If price breaks below S1 (~₹ 1,497), downside may extend toward ₹ 1,487 → ₹ 1,475.
Momentum context: According to recent technical indicator readings, moving averages (5, 10, 20-day) appear in bullish alignment — which suggests the trend is currently upward to neutral.
Volatility range for the day could realistically span ~ ₹ 1,475 – ₹ 1,545, if price tests extremes.
Essential Guide to Support and Resistance 1️⃣ The Importance of Support and Resistance in the Highly Volatile Crypto Market
- The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365 and shows significantly higher volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility creates exceptional profit opportunities but also triggers intense fear and greed, placing substantial psychological pressure on traders.
- Support and resistance act as critical reference points within this chaos, highlighting areas where price is likely to react. Beyond technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of traders. Understanding them is essential for long-term success in crypto trading.
2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Foundation
Support and resistance form where buying and selling pressures clash strongly enough to slow down or halt price movement.
Support:
At this level, buyers perceive the asset as “cheap enough” and are willing to enter, forming a psychological and structural barrier against further decline. Traders previously stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding layered reactions around these levels.
Resistance:
At this level, sellers believe the asset is “expensive enough” and reduce exposure, while trapped traders near the top may sell with a “better late than never” mentality, limiting further upward movement.
※ The Meaning of Breakouts and Fakeouts
- When support breaks, active buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance often invites aggressive buyers, accelerating the trend.
- However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, designed to exploit trader psychology. Avoid jumping in too early without confirmation.
3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Models Explained
📈 Trendlines & Accumulation Zones: Market Structure and Trader Expectations
- Trendlines visually represent collective expectations of future price direction.
- Touching an uptrend line triggers “buy the dip” psychology.
- Touching a downtrend line reinforces the belief that price “cannot move higher.”
- Accumulation Boxes mark areas where buying and selling pressures stabilize. Traders plan around these zones, driven by the mindset of “waiting for the breakout” to catch meaningful moves.
drive.google.com
📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency & Smart Money Footprints
An FVG forms when price moves too quickly through a zone, leaving an unfilled “price gap.” These gaps often represent sudden activity from Smart Money (institutions, whales).
Gap Filling:
Markets naturally avoid leaving inefficiencies unresolved. When price returns to an FVG, the entities responsible for the original move may adjust or reopen positions, creating support or resistance.
Newer traders can observe FVGs as footprints of Smart Money and plan reactions accordingly.
drive.google.com
📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Sentiment & Trend Direction
MAs reflect the average price the market perceives over time. Because MAs are widely monitored, they naturally form psychological support and resistance.
Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Tracks short-term sentiment.
Price below → worry about trend weakening.
Price above → renewed optimism.
Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term sentiment.
Price below 200MA → fear of prolonged downtrend.
Price above 200MA → hope for sustained bullishness.
When acting as support/resistance, MAs reflect strong collective agreement.
drive.google.com
📈 POC (Point of Control) – Volume Profile: Market Consensus & Volume Strength
POC is the price level with the highest trading volume within a given range — the market’s strongest consensus level.
Price below POC:
POC becomes strong resistance.
Buyers stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, strengthening resistance.
Price above POC:
POC turns into solid support.
Buyers believe price should not fall below this level.
POC often reflects the market’s “expected value” and the area where loss-aversion psychology is strongest.
drive.google.com
📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order & Human Expectations
- Fibonacci retracement applies golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting where traders expect reversals and forming support/resistance.
- These levels work not by magic but because many traders plan trades around them — collective behavior creates real reactions.
- Levels like 0.5 and 0.618 carry psychological significance, often seen as optimal buying or selling opportunities.
drive.google.com
📈 CME Gap: Institutional Movement & Mean Reversion Behavior
CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures due to institutional trading hours. When spot price moves over the weekend while futures are closed, gaps form.
Gap Filling:
These gaps represent time periods without institutional activity, encouraging the market to “normalize” abnormal price areas.
Traders commonly expect gaps to be filled eventually, turning them into potential support/resistance zones.
drive.google.com
4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Through Support and Resistance
Even the best tools are useless without psychological discipline.
Confirmation Bias & Stop-Loss Discipline
- Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to failure.
- When support breaks, accept the invalidation and exit decisively.
Overbought/Oversold Psychology & FOMO
- Avoid chasing price upward out of fear of missing out.
- In crashes, resist panic-selling at the bottom.
- Rely on your structured support/resistance rules.
Scaling Into Trades
- Avoid buying everything at one support level—or selling everything at one resistance level.
- Scaling entries across multiple levels increases psychological stability and reduces the impact of misjudgment.
5️⃣ Building a Complete Strategy & Practical Application Tips
Confluence Creates Strongest Levels
When multiple support/resistance signals overlap
(e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG),
these zones become significantly stronger because they reflect collective trader agreement.
Volume Confirms Support/Resistance Strength
High volume validates a level's importance.
A reliable breakout requires strong volume, showing clear market participation and intent.
Develop Your Own Trading Plan
Do not follow every model blindly.
Choose indicators and methods that fit your style, and create clear trading rules.
Discipline with your own system leads to psychological stability and long-term success.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
UPDATE: $ZEC Playing Out EXACTLY As WarnedUPDATE: CRYPTOCAP:ZEC Playing Out EXACTLY As Warned
ZEC tagged the $700 HTF resistance and dumped 35%+ right from the level I highlighted earlier.
The move toward the $100 zone is unfolding step-by-step, exactly what the HTF structure hinted at.
I’m not saying ZEC can’t reclaim $700 and even squeeze toward $1,000 again…
But the risk is extremely elevated up here. Smart money enters where risk is low + reward is high, not at euphoric tops.
This is NOT a short signal.
This is awareness analysis, don’t jump into high-leverage longs blindly in a corrective environment.
My Radar Levels: $259 / $186 / $134
Invalidation : Any HTF candle closing above $760
Stay disciplined. Protect capital. Market always rewards the patient, not the emotional. NFA.






















