DRAGONFLY INCDRAGONFLY INC, as per chart view it formed FALLING WEDGE PATTERN and made breakout with entry level $6.88 with EMA crossover. We can expect the Final target to $13.
Harmonic Patterns
$BCH hasn’t hit a new ATH since 2017: Dead or Utimate Sleeper?SET:BCH hasn’t hit a new ATH since 2017: Dead or the Utimate Sleeper?
SET:BCH ATH: $4,212 (Dec 2017)
CRYPTOCAP:BTC ATHs: $19,800 (Dec 2017), $69,000 (2021), $126,000 (2025)
Observation:
SET:BCH hasn’t touched a new ATH since 2017.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC surged 6x+ after 2017 ATH, but SET:BCH stalled.
Is SET:BCH dead ❓
Key TA Levels:
🔹 Strong accumulation zone: $465 – $375
🔹 Critical support: $375 (holding this is essential)
🔹 Potential upside: $2,000 – $4,000 if momentum returns
Eyes on these levels. SET:BCH could be a sleeper play if it reclaims support.
Pro Tip: Patience + volume confirmation = key before any breakout.
NFA & DYOR
Part 11 Trading Master Class With Experts Option Greeks (Foundation of Option Trading)
Option Greeks control how premiums move. Every trader must understand them.
Delta
Measures directional movement.
CE delta: positive (0 to 1)
PE delta: negative (0 to -1)
Theta
Time decay.
Premium decreases as expiry approaches.
Big threat for option buyers; advantage for sellers.
Vega
Impact of volatility.
High volatility = high premium.
Gamma
Rate of change of delta.
Explains how fast an option becomes reactive to price.
Part 10 Trade Like Institutons Call Option (CE) Explained
A call option benefits from price going UP.
Call Buyer
Pays premium.
Unlimited profit potential.
Loss limited to premium paid.
Call Seller
Receives premium.
Profit limited to premium received.
Loss can be unlimited if price rises sharply.
Example:
You buy Nifty 22000 CE for ₹100.
If Nifty moves to 22100 at expiry, your option becomes ITM (In-the-money).
Intrinsic value = 22100 – 22000 = 100
You break even at 22100.
If Nifty moves to 22200,
Intrinsic value = 200
Profit = 200 – 100 = 100.
Part 8 Trading Master Class With ExpertsStrike Price
The strike price is the pre-decided level at which a call or put buyer can buy or sell the asset.
Example: If Nifty is trading at 22,000, you may choose from strikes like 21900, 22000, 22100, etc.
Expiry
Every option has a validity period. After that, it expires.
In India:
Index options (Nifty, Bank Nifty) have weekly expiries.
Stock options have monthly expiries.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts What Are Options?
Options are derivative instruments whose value is derived from an underlying asset such as Nifty, Bank Nifty, stocks, commodities, or currencies.
An option is a contract between a buyer and seller regarding the future price of an asset within a specific time.
There are two types of options:
Call Option (CE) – Gives the buyer the RIGHT (but not the obligation) to BUY the asset at a fixed price (strike price).
Put Option (PE) – Gives the buyer the RIGHT (but not the obligation) to SELL the asset at a fixed price.
The seller (also called option writer) has the OBLIGATION to fulfill the contract if the buyer exercises the option.
COFORGE HAVING INVERSE H & S There is a inverse head & shoulder pattern formeg in COFORGE, we can see and easily can find in this chart. And not only inverse h&s formed but neckline broken as well may be chance of good buying.
If someone interested to buy or sell please note it is not my buy/sell call. I am trying to show you the pattern only .
Swing Trading and Positional Trading Profits1. Understanding Swing Trading Profits
What is Swing Trading?
Swing trading aims to capture short- to medium-term price swings, typically lasting from a few days to a few weeks. Swing traders operate within broader trends but focus on smaller price movements inside those trends.
The objective is to profit from oscillations, not entire long-term trends.
How Swing Traders Generate Profits
Swing traders earn profits by:
1️⃣ Capturing Retracements and Bounces
Markets rarely move in straight lines. Even in strong uptrends, prices pull back temporarily.
Swing traders buy dips and sell at the next bounce.
Example:
If a stock in an uptrend dips from ₹500 to ₹470 and you buy at ₹470, a bounce to ₹495–₹505 can yield quick profits.
2️⃣ Using Technical Indicators
Swing traders rely heavily on tools like:
Support and resistance zones
Trendlines
Moving Averages (20, 50, 200 EMA)
RSI, MACD, Stochastics
Fibonacci retracement
These indicators help identify high-probability reversal or breakout zones.
3️⃣ Breakout and Breakdown Profits
Swing traders also profit from:
Breakout trades (price crossing resistance)
Breakdown trades (price falling below support)
These movements often lead to rapid price expansion.
4️⃣ Utilizing Momentum
Short-term bursts of momentum—caused by news, earnings, or sector strength—give traders opportunities to capture small but repeated gains.
Profit Characteristics in Swing Trading
🔹 Moderate Profit per Trade
Typical swing trades aim for 3% to 10% per trade depending on volatility.
However, multiple trades per month allow cumulative compounding.
🔹 High Trade Frequency
Most swing traders execute 8–20 trades per month, increasing profit potential.
🔹 Risk and Stop-Loss
Swing trading does involve higher noise and volatility.
SLs are usually small (1.5%–4%), making risk manageable.
🔹 Importance of Timing
Since swings are short-lived, profits depend on:
Entering early at the reversal point
Exiting before momentum fades
A delay of 1–2 days can reduce profitability drastically.
Advantages of Swing Trading for Profit Generation
Faster capital rotation → More opportunities
Lower overnight risk than positional trading
Ideal for volatile markets
Works well with technical analysis
Smaller stop-losses increase risk–reward ratios
When Swing Trading Produces Maximum Profits
Swing trading gives the best results when:
The market is range-bound
The index is consolidating
Stocks move between support and resistance levels
Weekly volatility is strong
During choppy phases, positional trades may get stopped out, but swing traders can profit multiple times in both upward and downward moves.
2. Understanding Positional Trading Profits
What is Positional Trading?
Positional trading is a longer-term approach, where traders hold positions for:
Weeks
Months
Sometimes even a year
Positional traders focus on capturing large directional movements driven by fundamentals, macro trends, sector rotation, or long-term chart patterns.
How Positional Traders Generate Profits
1️⃣ Capturing Major Trends
Instead of small fluctuations, positional traders aim for big moves, often 20%–100% or more.
They enter after confirming a strong trend on:
Weekly charts
Monthly charts
Long-term support breaks or retests
2️⃣ Using Broad Technical and Fundamental Analysis
While swing traders usually rely almost exclusively on charts, positional traders combine:
Fundamental strength (earnings, balance sheet, order book)
Sector analysis
Macro triggers
Long-term chart patterns such as:
Cup and handle
Head and shoulders
Ascending triangles
Bullish or bearish channels
3️⃣ Riding the Trend with Patience
Profits compound over time because:
Stocks need time to form trends
Institutional accumulation happens slowly
Breakouts on weekly/monthly charts have strong follow-through
4️⃣ Limited Trading, Larger Profits
Positional traders may take only 2–6 trades per month, but each has higher profit potential.
5️⃣ Hedging to Protect Capital
Some positional traders hedge using:
Index options
Sector futures
Protective puts
This reduces risk and smoothens long-term profit curves.
Profit Characteristics in Positional Trading
🔹 Larger Profit per Trade
Returns per trade are much higher than swing trading:
20% to 200% depending on the trend
Ideal for wealth building
🔹 Lower Trade Frequency
Because trades are fewer, profits depend heavily on selecting the right stocks.
🔹 Bigger Stop-Loss Levels
Weekly charts require larger SLs—5% to 12% typically—but the reward is much bigger.
🔹 Less Stress
Since traders don’t monitor minute-to-minute fluctuations, positional trading is psychologically easier.
Advantages of Positional Trading for Profit Generation
Compounds capital significantly
Lower slippage and transaction costs
Less screen time required
Captures major market cycles
Ideal when markets are trending strongly
When Positional Trading Produces Maximum Profits
Positional trading performs best during:
Bull runs
Strong sector rotations
Clear upward or downward long-term trends
Major breakouts on weekly/monthly charts
During such phases, swing traders might book profits too early, while positional traders capture the entire move.
Swing vs Positional Trading — Profit Comparison
Feature Swing Trading Positional Trading
Trade Duration Days to weeks Weeks to months
Profit Per Trade 3%–10% 20%–200%
Frequency High Low
Risk Moderate Higher overnight risk
Stop-Loss Small Large
Best Market Condition Range-bound Trending
Capital Rotation Fast Slow
Stress Level Medium Low
Which Style Is Best for You?
Choose Swing Trading if you:
✔ Can monitor markets daily
✔ Prefer faster returns
✔ Are comfortable with technical analysis
✔ Like frequent trading opportunities
Choose Positional Trading if you:
✔ Have a full-time job or limited screen time
✔ Prefer long-term trend riding
✔ Have larger capital
✔ Value stability over frequent trades
Conclusion
Both swing trading and positional trading can be highly profitable—but only when matched with the right trader personality and market conditions. Swing trading provides rapid, repeated gains through short-term price swings, ideal for volatile or sideways markets. Positional trading, on the other hand, aims for larger, long-term profits by capturing major trends and market cycles.
A successful trader often combines both approaches: swing trading during consolidations and positional trading during strong trends. The key lies in disciplined execution, chart analysis, risk management, and adapting strategies as the market evolves.
Open Interest Analysis1. What is Open Interest?
Open Interest refers to the total number of outstanding or open contracts (futures or options) that currently exist in the market. These contracts have not been squared off, exercised, or expired. Unlike volume— which counts total traded contracts for a given session—OI tells you how many active contracts remain open at the end of the trading day.
You can think of OI as the number of "open commitments" between buyers and sellers.
If two parties create a new contract, OI increases by 1.
If they exit or square off, OI decreases by 1.
If contracts are transferred between traders (one enters, one exits), OI remains the same.
This makes OI a direct indicator of market participation and trader conviction.
2. Difference Between Volume and Open Interest
Aspect Volume Open Interest (OI)
Measures Number of contracts traded in a day Total active contracts still open
Reset Reset daily Carry forward until expiry
Shows Activity level for that session Market participation and trend strength
Use Short-term momentum Trend confirmation and sentiment
Both volume and OI together provide a powerful market outlook.
3. How Open Interest is Created and Destroyed
OI Increases When:
A new buyer and a new seller enter the market.
New long and short positions are created.
OI Decreases When:
A buyer and seller close their existing positions.
Squaring off reduces outstanding contracts.
OI Remains Unchanged When:
One trader exits and another takes over the position.
Understanding these mechanics helps traders interpret market signals accurately.
4. Interpreting Open Interest with Price Action
The true power of OI comes when you combine it with price movement. OI alone is not actionable—its interpretation depends heavily on price behavior.
Below are the four essential combinations used in OI analysis:
A. Price Up + OI Up → Fresh Long Build-up (Bullish)
This means traders are entering new long (buy) positions. It shows confidence in upward momentum.
Interpretation:
Strong bullish trend
Buyers aggressively participating
Trend likely to continue
Used for: Swing trades, trend-following trades, and breakout confirmation.
B. Price Down + OI Up → Fresh Short Build-up (Bearish)
When the price falls and OI increases, it signals new short positions being created.
Interpretation:
Strong bearish sentiment
Traders expect further price decline
Downtrend gaining strength
Used for: Short selling strategies, bearish breakouts, continuation trades.
C. Price Up + OI Down → Short Covering (Bullish but Temporary)
As shorts exit their positions, OI declines, leading to a temporary upward price move.
Interpretation:
Rally driven by short covering—not fresh longs
Trend may not sustain
Usually seen before resistance breakouts or reversals
Used for: Intraday trades, profit booking zones, cautious buying.
D. Price Down + OI Down → Long Liquidation (Bearish but Temporary)
Longs square off their positions, reducing OI and causing price to fall.
Interpretation:
Weakness in bullish sentiment
Not necessarily aggressive bearishness
Might lead to consolidation or reversal
Used for: Stop-loss resets, exit signals for long positions.
5. Open Interest in Options Trading
Options (Calls and Puts) provide even deeper insights into market psychology.
Key Concepts:
Call OI shows resistance zones.
Put OI shows support zones.
Change in OI shows if traders are adding or unwinding positions.
A. High Call OI → Resistance Zone
Large Call OI means sellers are confident that price will not exceed that level.
Example: Bank Nifty 48000 CE highest OI = strong resistance.
B. High Put OI → Support Zone
Put writers believe price will not fall below this level.
Example: Nifty 21500 PE highest OI = strong support.
C. PCR (Put–Call Ratio)
PCR = Total Put OI / Total Call OI
This helps measure market sentiment.
PCR > 1 → Bullish (more Put writing)
PCR < 1 → Bearish (more Call writing)
Extreme readings indicate reversals
6. Open Interest and Market Structure
OI acts as a backbone for understanding the structure of trends.
1. In a Strong Uptrend:
Price makes higher highs
OI increasing
More long positions accumulating
2. In a Strong Downtrend:
Price making lower lows
OI rising steadily
Shorts dominating
3. During Consolidation:
Price range-bound
OI rises (indicating buildup for breakout)
Option writers dominate (call & put both increase)
4. During Reversal Signals:
Price moves opposite of OI direction
Divergences form
Indicates weakening trend
7. Open Interest in Futures
For futures traders, OI helps identify:
Trend strength
Reversal chances
Institutional participation
Liquidity zones
Breakout reliability
Futures OI Build-up Types:
Long Build-up
Short Build-up
Long Unwinding
Short Covering
Each type gives a specific trading opportunity.
8. How Institutions Use Open Interest
Smart money (FIIs, prop desks, institutions) uses OI to:
Hedge large portfolios
Accumulate positions silently
Trap retail traders in false breakouts
Control liquidity and volatility
Institutions track OI changes to understand where retail traders are vulnerable.
Example:
If huge Call writing appears before a breakout, it may be a trap to absorb liquidity before moving higher.
9. Open Interest as a Risk Management Tool
OI not only helps predict trends but also helps manage risk:
Avoids trading in low OI contracts (illiquid)
Helps identify expiry-week volatility
Shows where stop-hunts may happen
Indicates where option sellers are positioned
High OI zones act as magnets for price due to hedging flows.
10. How to Use OI for Better Trading Decisions
Step-by-Step Approach:
Look at price trend (up/down/sideways).
Check OI change (increasing/decreasing).
Identify build-up type (long/short/unwinding/covering).
Mark support and resistance using option OI.
Check PCR for sentiment direction.
Use volume + OI + price for confirmation.
Place trades near OI cluster levels for best risk–reward.
11. Limitations of OI Analysis
While OI is powerful, it has limitations:
Does not show whether buyers or sellers are stronger
Can give false signals during low liquidity
Options OI can create misleading levels before expiry
Sudden changes may be due to hedge adjustments, not trend
News-driven markets can invalidate OI-based setups
Therefore, combine OI with price action, volume, and market structure.
12. Conclusion
Open Interest analysis is an essential tool for understanding the psychology and commitment of market participants. By combining OI with price and volume, traders can identify trend strength, potential reversals, support and resistance zones, and institutional activity. Whether analyzing futures or options, OI serves as a reliable indicator for planning trades with precision. While it has limitations, when used with proper risk management and complementary tools, OI analysis significantly enhances trading accuracy and confidence.
Unlocking Market Rotations1. What Are Market Rotations?
Market rotations occur when institutional investors—mutual funds, hedge funds, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds—shift large pools of capital from one sector or asset class to another. These shifts often occur in anticipation of economic changes, earnings trends, or policy actions.
For example:
When interest rates fall, money flows into high-growth tech stocks.
When inflation rises, capital rotates toward commodities and energy.
During recessions, investors favor defensive sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples.
These movements create cycles of strength and weakness across different areas of the market. Traders who understand these cycles can align their portfolios with the strongest momentum and avoid sectors weak in performance.
2. Why Market Rotations Happen
Several major forces drive market rotations:
a. Economic Cycle Changes
The economy moves through phases—expansion, peak, slowdown, recession. Each phase favors different sectors:
Early expansion: cyclicals, autos, banks
Mid expansion: technology, industrials
Late expansion: energy, commodities
Recession: healthcare, utilities, FMCG
As soon as a shift is expected, institutional money rotates accordingly.
b. Interest Rate Policies
Central banks influence liquidity and risk appetite.
Lower interest rates → money flows into growth stocks, real estate, emerging markets.
Higher interest rates → money rotates into banks, value stocks, and bonds.
c. Inflation and Commodity Prices
High inflation drives rotations toward:
energy
metals
agriculture
While low inflation supports:
technology
financials
consumer discretionary
d. Global Events and Sentiment
Geopolitical tensions, elections, pandemics, supply chain disruptions—each triggers a rotation as investors reassess risk.
3. Types of Market Rotations
a. Sector Rotation
The most common form. Money shifts among stock market sectors:
Tech → Energy
Banking → FMCG
Metals → IT
And so on.
Sector rotation indicators often define the strongest opportunities in equity markets.
b. Style Rotation
Money moves between trading styles:
Growth ↔ Value
Large-Cap ↔ Mid-Cap ↔ Small-Cap
Momentum ↔ Defensive
For example, during high interest rate periods, value stocks outperform growth stocks.
c. Asset Class Rotation
Capital flows between different investment classes:
Equities → Bonds
Bonds → Commodities
Commodities → Currencies
Cryptos → Equities
Understanding these movements helps avoid holding assets during drawdowns.
d. Geographic Rotation
Investors rotate money between regions depending on economic and currency strength:
U.S. → India
Europe → Emerging Markets
China → Japan
These cycles can last months or years.
4. Unlocking Market Rotations: How Traders Identify Shifts Early
a. Leading Economic Indicators
Rotations begin before the economic data becomes obvious.
Key indicators include:
PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index)
Inflation prints (CPI/WPI)
GDP trend forecasts
Interest rate projections
Yield curve movements
A flattening yield curve often signals a coming shift from cyclical to defensive.
b. Relative Strength Analysis
RS (Relative Strength) is one of the best tools to identify rotations.
Compare performance of sectors relative to indices:
IT vs. NIFTY
Pharma vs. NIFTY
Small-cap index vs. NIFTY50
If a sector’s RS consistently trends upward, rotation is underway.
c. Intermarket Analysis
Markets are interconnected:
Crude oil rising → energy sector strengthens
USD strengthening → commodities weaken
Yields rising → banks outperform
Studying these relationships helps detect rotation signals.
d. ETF and Sector Index Tracking
Monitoring sector ETFs and indices reveals where money is flowing.
Examples:
NIFTY IT
NIFTY BANK
NIFTY FMCG
NIFTY ENERGY
Price-volume breakouts in these indices signal institutional participation.
e. Institutional Holding Reports
Quarterly holdings (shareholding patterns) show where big funds are moving money.
Consistent increases in certain sectors are strong rotation signals.
5. The Market Rotation Cycle—Step-by-Step Breakdown
A simplified rotation cycle works like this:
1. Early Recovery
Economy stabilizes
Interest rates low
Money moves into banks, autos, real estate
2. Mid Expansion
Growth accelerates
Tech, manufacturing, industrials lead
3. Late Expansion
Inflation rises
Commodities, energy, metals outperform
4. Slowdown Phase
Earnings pressure grows
Investors move to FMCG, utilities, healthcare
5. Recession
Defensive sectors dominate
Cash, bonds, gold outperform
6. Recovery Returns
Cycle restarts.
Understanding the stage helps identify which rotation is likely next.
6. Strategies to Profit from Market Rotations
a. Sector Rotation Trading Strategy
Screen sectors with strongest RS
Identify breakout stocks within those sectors
Hold until RS weakens
Rotate into emerging leading sectors
This keeps you always aligned with institutional flows.
b. Pair Trading Between Strong and Weak Sectors
Example:
Long strongest sector (e.g., Tech)
Short weakest (e.g., Metals)
This reduces market risk while profiting from rotation.
c. Using ETFs for Simple Rotation
If stock picking is difficult, sector ETFs offer easy exposure:
Buy strongest ETF
Sell when RS declines
Move to next outperforming ETF
d. Macro Trend Based Allocation
Create a fixed allocation strategy that adjusts quarterly based on:
inflation
GDP growth
interest rates
earnings cycle
This suits long-term investors.
7. Common Mistakes in Market Rotations
Entering too late after the move has played out
Rotating based on news instead of data
Ignoring macroeconomics
Holding on to underperforming sectors hoping for reversal
Over-diversifying, which reduces ability to benefit from strong rotation cycles
Avoiding these mistakes is crucial for consistent success.
Conclusion
Unlocking market rotations is a powerful way to understand the hidden flow of institutional money. When traders learn to identify these shifts early—using economic indicators, relative strength, intermarket analysis, and sector tracking—they gain an edge most retail traders lack. Market rotations reveal where the market is heading before price alone gives the signal.
By aligning with leading sectors, rotating out of weakening ones, and tracking macro trends, traders can enhance returns, manage risk more effectively, and stay consistently ahead of market cycles.
TATA ELXSI DOUBLE BOTTOM OR A WEAK STRUCTURE 05-12-25 (6)TATA ELXSI appears to be an interesting chart with following
1. A Bullish harmonic pattern completed and new harmonic under construction
2. Double bottom like structure on weekly chart
3. RSI taking support on 40 levels on both weekly and monthly charts
4. Morning star like pattern on daily chart
5. Seems to be a low risk reversal candidate with major supports near 5050 and 4700 levels
Will it fizzle out and gets further weaker or will it reverse its trend.
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to take some position with my own Risk Reward matrix.
CONCOR DOUBLE BOTTOM OR A WEAK CHART 05-12-25 (05)Concor appears to be an interesting chart with following
1. A Bullish harmonic pattern completed and new harmonic under construction
2. Double bottom like structure on weekly chart
3. RSI taking support on 40 levels on both weekly and monthly charts
4. Morning star like pattern on daily chart
5. Seems to be a low risk reversal candidate with major supports near 490 and 470 levels
Lets See How it Evolves.
Disclaimer: NOT A BUY / SELL RECOMMENDATION I am not an expert I just share interesting charts here for educational purpose and not to be taken as buy/sell recommendation. Please seek expert opinion before investing and trading as trading/ investing in market is subject to market risks. I do not hold any position in the stock as on date but I may look to take some position with my own Risk Reward matrix.
TECHM to face resistance at 1550-1560?TF: Daily
CMP: 1545
Harmoic Shark pattern is visible on this script.
PRZ is at 1547 and the price is just around the PRZ.. Am expecting a reversal from hereon.
Invalidation level is break above 1570
General Observation:
Price is trading above 200 DEMA and the Cloud.. Hence, shorting is a risky attempt..
Price broke out from the cloud, but never retested.. It could very well retest the cloud in this PRZ pullback
One can wait for the reversal signal at the PRZ, and also wait for it to mature at the desired 50% zone (1460 levels) and possibly take a long entry (low risk set up) then
In simple price action terms, between 1555 and 1570 the script could face resistance/rejection.
Price had filled the GAP (1510-1540) and trading inside the upper end of the GAP zone.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
NIFTY - Approaching HARMONIC SHARK PRZ at 25920TF: 1 hour
25920 could be the decisive zone and possibly a great entry point too in terms of low risk set up.
Harmonic Shark pattern is visible and the PRZ is at 25920
The hourly 200 EMA is also placed around the same level
So is the Trendline from the September lows.
It also happens to be the demand zone where the price took off quite strongly.
Wait for price action with reversal signs..
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
TTML – Elliott Wave Structure Suggests One More Leg Down Before TTML has been consistently showing sell pressure on every bounce, indicating that the current downtrend is still in control. Based on the Elliott Wave count, the chart structure suggests that Wave (5) may not be fully complete yet.
The ongoing correction hints at more downside pain, with price likely to test the ₹40–₹38 support zone. This area aligns with multiple historical support levels and also fits well with the final leg of the Elliott Wave structure.
If the stock holds this demand zone, a strong reversal toward the ₹150–₹155 region becomes highly probable, marking a potential start of a larger bullish cycle.
Trading Plan (For Investors)
Accumulation Zone: ₹38 (±2)
Stop Loss: ₹35
Target: ₹155
ETH Premium OB & FVG Zones – ChoCh Could Hit at $3,660ETH Premium OB & FVG Zones – ChoCh Could Hit at $3,660
Market remains in a Bearish Structure with steady LH → LL and clean BOS down. The current upward move is just a retracement into premium.
Key Zones:
FVG: $3,250–3,350 – First Reaction Zone for Short Entries
Bearish OB: $3,600–3,660 – Prime Supply Zone for Shorts
Shorting Strategy:
If you are Shorting ETH, these are the best levels to scale in.
Caution:
Any HTF candle closing above $3,660 Bearish OB signals a ChoCh. Exit shorts immediately, Trend flips bullish, opening the path toward new ATH.
Below $3,660 → bearish continuation likely
Above $3,660 → trend flip, bullish momentum expected
Until the OB break happens, bias stays bearish.
NFA & DYOR
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesMargin Requirements: Critical Conditions
Margins are financial requirements that protect the market from defaults.
a) Initial Margin
This is required when the position is opened. It includes:
SPAN margin
Exposure margin
b) Maintenance Margin
Traders must maintain a minimum balance to keep positions open.
c) Additional Margin
If volatility increases, brokers may collect extra margins.
d) Physical Delivery Margin
Mandatory if stock options are taken near expiry.
e) Penalties
Failure to meet margin requirements leads to:
Squaring off of positions
Penalty charges
Blocking of trading account
Understanding margin rules is crucial for safe option trading.
Part 1 Intraday Master ClassUnderstanding Options: Basic Terms
Before going into the rules, you must understand the core terms:
a) Call Option
A call option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy an asset (like Nifty, Bank Nifty, stocks) at a fixed price.
b) Put Option
A put option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell an asset at a fixed price.
c) Strike Price
The price at which the option buyer can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying asset.
d) Premium
The price paid by the option buyer to the option seller (writer). Premium is non-refundable.
e) Expiry Date
The last date on which the option contract is valid. After expiry, the contract becomes worthless.
f) Lot Size
Each option contract is traded in fixed quantities called “lots.” You cannot buy 1 share in options, only lots.
TCS 1 Week Time Frame 🔎 Recent snapshot
According to a recent technical‑analysis update, TCS has support near ₹2,970–₹2,870 and resistance near ₹3,170, ₹3,207, ₹3,270 on the shorter‑term charts.
On a weekly / medium‑term view, some oversold‑indicator signals have been flagged, suggesting the stock could attempt a rebound if support holds.
Analysts’ longer‑term target (12‑month) sits around ₹3,505–₹3,470, implying moderate upside from current levels.
⚠️ What could derail upside
If the stock falls below the lower support of ~₹2,870‑₹2,950, it may test deeper support zones.
Mixed signals from oscillators (some suggest bearish momentum) could limit strong short‑term rallies.
🎯 My take (for 1‑week traders)
TCS seems to be in a consolidation/neutral posture — the next few days could be defined by support‑vs‑resistance play. If you trade short‑term, the ~₹3,030–₹3,170 band defines a likely “play zone.” A decisive move beyond that could hint at short‑term trend direction.
HTF ChoCH Alert: BTC’s Macro Bias Is Still BearishHTF ChoCH Alert: BTC’s Macro Bias Is Still Bearish
BTC is still following clean HTF bearish order-flow (LH → LL → BOS).
The current push up is just a premium retracement, driven by internal liquidity grabs.
Price is reaching for the premium FVG at 99,866–101,184, the next clear draw on liquidity and a prime reversal zone.
Below 107,500 bias stays bearish (Bearish Invalidation / HTF ChoCH)
Expect: BSL sweep → FVG fill → mitigation → sell-side continuation.
ICT view:
Market is simply rebalancing inefficiency before delivering lower.
NFA & DYOR
ETHUSD Complete Price Action Roadmap (Buy, Sell, Pullback Zones)ETHUSD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS
Current Market Condition
Price has created a Higher High (HH) directly inside a major supply zone around 3240–3260.
Strong impulse rally from the LL → HL → HH structure (bullish trend).
Price is now overextended into resistance → likely for a pullback.
🔥 1. SELL SETUP (Rejection from Supply Zone)
Price is already inside a big supply zone (3,240 – 3,260).
📍 Sell Entry
3240 – 3255 (inside the blue supply zone)
🛑 SL (Safe Stop)
3275
🎯 TP Targets
1️⃣ 3196
2️⃣ 3071
3️⃣ 2966
4️⃣ 2885 (demand zone)
🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Breakout + Retest)
Only buy if price closes above 3275.
📍 Buy Entry
Above 3275 + retest of 3250–3260
🛑 SL
3220
🎯 TP
1️⃣ 3340
2️⃣ 3380
3️⃣ 3450
🟢 3. PULLBACK BUY (Best & Safe Buy Zone)
Look for price to retrace into demand areas.
📍 Pullback Buy Zones
Zone A:
3196 – 3170
Very strong FVG + demand
SL: 3140
TP: 3240 → 3275
Zone B (Bigger Pullback):
3071 – 3050
Clean structure support + liquidity level
SL: 3010
TP: 3150 → 3240 → 3300
🔻 4. PULLBACK SELL (If price breaks down)
Only if price breaks 3196 and retests.
📍 Pullback Sell Entry
3190 – 3205 retest
🛑 SL
3230
🎯 TP
1️⃣ 3071
2️⃣ 2966
3️⃣ 2885
🚫 5. NO-TRADE ZONE
3210 – 3240
Reason:
This is the mid-range of supply zone
Candles are mixed
Not safe to buy or sell until rejection or breakout
⭐ FINAL SUMMARY (Keep for Your Chart)
🔥 SELL (Current Best Setup)
Entry: 3240–3255
SL: 3275
TP: 3196 → 3071 → 2966 → 2885
🟢 BUY (Breakout)
Entry: above 3275 (retest 3250–3260)
SL: 3220
TP: 3340 → 3380 → 3450
🟢 PULLBACK BUY
Zone A: 3196–3170 (SL 3140)
Zone B: 3071–3050 (SL 3010)
TP: 3240 → 3275 → 3300
🔻 PULLBACK SELL
If price breaks 3196
Entry: 3190–3205
SL: 3230
TP: 3071 → 2966 → 2885
🚫 NO-TRADE ZONE: 3210–3240
BTC AND ETH. WHAT TO DO NOW?Let's figure it out, overall the market looks long right now, as I wrote here, the highs have been updated, I expect trading on SETH and CRYPTOCAP:BTC (sideways), the main thing is to maintain the current values for confirming longs.
Invalidation of setups:
1) SETH fixed below 2.950
2) CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidated below 89,000
However, it is worth considering the grandfather’s departure from the FED post and what will happen on December 10.
Bank Nifty NSE:BANKNIFTY
Information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Investors are advised to carefully review all materials and consult with a financial advisor considering their own financial situation and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. The disclaimer also often includes statements about no guarantees or warranties regarding the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of the information provided and emphasizes that investments can fluctuate in value and there is a risk of loss
