Simple Trade Setup | HDFCBANK | 30-08-2021NSE:HDFCBANK
Trade Setup for Date 30-08-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tomorrow.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
HDFC
#HDFC potential momentum breakout #HDFC daily momentum bullish reverse divergence with a ranges shift bounce in progress.weekly momentum forming range shift from sideways to bullish.monthly also got back into bull zones.formation of a rounding pattern with potential breakout.
NIFTY ends the week on a high note at 16705NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -27-08-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
16642.55 / 16722.05 / 16565.7 / 16705.2
H-L = 157 points
VIX 13.41 / -0.96%
FII DII: +868 Crores
Likely open: Positive but may get sold into and then recovery is likely.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
NIFTY not only ended the day but also the week at a record high of 16705.2.
It has made a higher high, highest close but with a lower high.
After a flat sort of opening, it was sold in to and then rose sharply and after clearing 16650, it kept climbing gradually through the day.
On the daily as well as the weekly charts, NIFTY has formed nice bullish candles rejecting the lower levels around 16550-600.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
TCS 09
LT 09
BAJAJ FINSERV 07
SBI LIFE 06
HDFC 05
TOTAL 36
The Draggers
INFOSYS 12
HDFC BANK 05
RELIANCE 02
NESTLE 02
M&M 01
TOTAL 19
Lifter - Draggers = +17
The above indicates that a larger base of scrips in the NIFTY family helped it pass the ATH level and close also at a new ATH.
POSITIVES
NIFTY ended the day as well as the week at a new ATH and above 16700.
DIIs have bought significantly at ATH which is a big plus indicating that there is good upside potential in-store in the coming weeks/months.
VIX has cooled down.
39/50 scrips ended in the green.
MARUTI which had been falling consistently ended in a minor positive. This could have a sentimental impact on the other sectoral scrips as well.
NEGATIVES
INFOSYS is showing signs of fatigue in the short term.
RELIANCE as well appears to be losing momentum as it approaches the resistance area around 2250.
BANK NIFTY continues to underperform.
TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 30-8-21
The Nifty baseline moves up to 16500-550. The resistances are not known for now.
BANK NIFTY support base also slides to 35000-35200 and resistance at 35800-36000-36200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
The new SEBI regulations re no leverage come into force from 01 Sep and this could have an impact on Options pricing as more traders may switch to Options from EQUITY intraday trading as the margin benefit gets reduced.
UPSTOX has delayed intraday EQ profit credit from T+1 days to T+2 days to prevent a potential margin shortfall and resultant penalty. If others also follow suit, this could create more pressure on the intraday EQ-only traders to move to Options.
Even when NIFTY is at a new ATH, several scrips look beaten down and far from their ATH. This could be a double-edged sword for the scrips as well as for NIFTY.
The key to further upside in NIFTY is held by RELIANCE, HDFC twins, and BANK NIFTY, which has been under pressure for a long time.
What do you feel?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
29-8-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
Simple Trade Setup |HDFCBANK | 27-08-2021NSE:HDFCBANK
Observations:
1) After breaking neck line of rounding bottom at 1551 level it has been taking support from this neck line.
Please refer below chart : 15min time frame
2) For the short to mid term targets looks till 1634 level.
Please refer below chart.
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Trade Setup for Date 27-08-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tommorrow.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
HDFC Life Insurance View*Support Zone
*In a Range for many Days
*Falling Volumes
If 660 Support Zone break Short Tgt Is 620
if 679 Resistance zone will break then Long TGT Will be 720
*Always Enter With good confirmation & Maintain proper Risk Reward.
******* Knowledge Purpose only ********
I am not a SEBI registered adviser. All the information provided by me are for educational/informational purposes only. There have been no promises, guarantees or warranties suggesting that any trading/investing based on any information, will result in a profit or will not result in a loss.
>> Visit My Ideas Page for Daily Stock Analysis & check my previous stock analysis how accurate they are for Swing and Intraday Trades<<
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC BANK | 23-08-2021NSE:HDFCBANK
Observation:
1) On Daily Time Frame, It made good green candle after such big gap down. And closed above 1510 level as well as it took support from 50DMA.
Please refer Chart below: Daily time frame.
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Trade Setup for Date 23-08-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and target w.r.t price action working near that level on Monday.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
FIIs drag Nifty from around 16600NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -23-08-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
16592.25 / 16592.5 / 16395.7 / 16496.45
H-L = 197
VIX 13.69 / -2.35%
FII DII: +89 Crores
Likely open: Positive with resistance around 16550-600.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
A 150 point gap-up opening in Nifty was immediately sold in to.
Nifty made a higher and a higher low.
Nifty almost retested the lows of the lows of Friday and then made a good recovery of 100 points but could not hold on to 16500 on a closing basis.
A hammer sort of candle has been created on the daily charts.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
TCS 18
BAJAJ FINANCE 12
RELIANCE 11
HCL TECH 10
BAJAJ FINSERV 09
TOTAL 60
The Draggers
ADANI PORTS 8
GRASIM 6
M&M 5
ITC 4
TATAMOTORS 4
TOTAL 27
Lifter - Draggers = +33
The above explains how Nifty managed to close above the P Close of 16450.
POSITIVES
Nifty made a good recovery of 100 points from the lows.
Nifty closed above 16450.
TCS kept climbing higher and RELIANCE is inching up which is helping Nifty.
BANK NIFTY managed to close above 35100.
HDFC twins have held onto their respective important levels of 2700 and 1500.
NEGATIVES
Nifty failed to close above 16500 and a major barrier for the bulls has been lost for now at 16500-600 range.
BANK NIFTY went lower than the Friday lows and was down 800 points from its high for the day.
FIIs have once again sold in excess of 1,000 Crores indicating some more weakness.
TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 23-8-21
The Nifty baseline stays at 16300-350. The resistances are now from 16500 onwards.
BANK NIFTY support base also slides to 34800-35000 and resistance at 35200-35500.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
TATAMOTORS has been experiencing unusual selling pressure and has lost more than 10% since it's high earlier in the month.
MARUTI is witnessing very volatile and choppy moves around 6825-6850 and is unable to hold on to 6900+ levels. Though it fell in the last few minutes, it quickly recovered to close around the FIB level which is causing wild swings.
This indicates that there is something for the 4 wheeler manufacturers that is not known to us.
Even on a 5-minute chart, BANK NIFTY looks better placed than NIFTY.
What do you feel?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
23-8-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
Swing Trading Opportunities for W/B 23-8-21TRADING WATCHLIST FOR W/B 23-08-21
INTENT
This is a new series of periodical posts where I would share the scrips that I come across and find good to keep on my radar for the next trading session/s. The post may not be a daily feature as it depends on whether I am able to find some opportunities.
I will only be sharing the time frame and the scrip name. I will leave the trade basis aside as the intent is to engage the reader in learning the basics of finding good scrips. You can have a look at the charts and place your favorite indicators and check it out if any of these fit your trade plan.
Whenever possible, a corresponding video would also be shared so that the reader can look at the charts and listen to the commentary as and when needed.
ON MY WATCHLIST FOR W/B 23-08-21 --
This is a weekly review of the available opportunities so my time frame for analysis moves from Daily to Weekly and from Hourly to Daily. Here are the likely candidates for the week -
WEEKLY TIME FRAME- FOR LONG POSITIONS
BRITANNIA
COAL INDIA
GRASIM
HDFC
HINDALCO
SHREECEM
BANDHAN BANK
PNB
BBTC
Even though on a weekly basis Nifty has made an ATH close, there are several scrips across sectors that have been beaten down and many are below their 200 DMA, WMA as well.
I read it both ways -
Either
There is scope for Nifty to go up further as these scrips would eventually move up.
Or
Nifty may consolidate or drift until the overall market turns bullish for several leading names as well.
SECTORS LOOKING GOOD FOR LONG POSITIONS-
METALS
GROWTH
FINSERVICES
COMMODITIES
REALTY
During the week, the universe of my stock search is limited to Nifty, Banknifty and my holdings only. I expand the base for the weekly review so you may not see many names appearing here and may see repeats as well.
Ideally, the best candidate would be the one that features in both the lists. I may / may not take these trades as not every opportunity should / can be traded.
I believe that it is better to help someone learn the technique of selecting good scrips than giving tips - in any case, I am not SEBI regd so I do not have the authority as well to do so.
In case you are able to spot the set up and the trade basis, please do share so that together we can learn.
Thank you for your time and Happy Learning,
Umesh
22-08-21
Disclaimer -- This post is shared for learning and educational purposes only and in no way acts as a recommendation. I am not a SEBI regd trader so please either decide your trades / investments on your own or consult your financial advisor before making any trades.
Nifty comes under pressure and closes at 16450NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -20-08-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
16382.5 / 16509.55 / 16376.05 / 16450.5
H-L = 133
VIX 14.02 / +8.6%
FII DII: -2178 Crores
Likely open: Negative to flat
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
A 200+ point gap-down opening in Nifty shook all the scrips.
Nifty made a significantly lower high and a significantly lower low.
It then moved in a narrow range of 100+ points witnessing high volatility and choppy movements.
On daily charts, it appears to have been brutally thrown away from the top though it has made a good recovery from the lows.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
HUL 23
BAJAJ FINANCE 15
NESTLE 13
ASIAN PAINTS 11
BRITANNIA 09
TOTAL 71
The Draggers
JSW STEEL 27
TATA STEEL 21
RELIANCE 18
ICICI BANK 11
SBI 11
TOTAL 88
Lifter - Draggers = -17
The selling appears to be quite intense and that explains the negative closing for the week.
POSITIVES
The sleeping giant HUL woke up and stood firm and helped steady Nifty.
HDFC ended in the green despite extreme selling pressure.
BANK NIFTY managed to end above 35000 make or break level.
NEGATIVES
Nifty failed to close above 16500 and a major barrier for the bulls has been lost for now.
BANK NIFTY fought an intense battle to stay above 35000 and it was hard to for it to even cross 35100 as it was pushed down severely from that area.
FIIs have sold heavily.
VIX is up almost 9%!
TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 23-8-21
The Nifty baseline moves down to 16300-350. The resistances are now from 16500 onwards.
BANK NIFTY support base also slides to 34800-35000 and resistance at 35200-35500.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
FIIs have sold heavily so some more negativity on the cards.
HUL rose sharply and BRITANNIA also did well but ITC did not move much. So there is something in HUL and BRITANNIA that is not applicable to ITC.
BANK NIFTY was struggling hard to cross 35100 and the impact was direct on Nifty. The moves remind me of the slow and choppy moves that we had seen during the last year after the COVID triggered the crash.
Is this a Buy on Dips market?
If one remains stock-specific then yes, it is so - at least for support to resistance-based trades.
What do you feel?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
20-8-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
HDFC Bullish:Flag and Pole Breakout has happened and sustained. Ideally for Flag and Pole Breakout Target 2 is the length of the pole (price) from the Flag. (here it is 2877).
Cup and Handle Breakout has happened and sustained; Safe Traders can watch out for Retest, 2877 is long term Resistance, That seems to be the length of the pole
Please trade at your own risk.
HDFC Pulled Nifty . 7.5% DoneGave a buy call in HDFC on 3 Aug 2021 . Buying price was 2560 . Today's High is 2750. More targets on the way. Ready to break its ATH.
Here is the call given on 3 Aug 2021
Nifty maintains upward trajectory despite oddsNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -16-08-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
16518.4 / 16589.4 / 16480.75 / 16563.05
H-L = 109
VIX 13.46 / +3.62%
FII DII: -588 Crores
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
Nifty closed above 16550 for the first time.
Nifty made a higher high and a higher low.
Nifty seems to be building its base around 16450-500. Dips are being bought in.
16600 appears to be a key hurdle as it has not been able to go closer to that and has turned around before 16590 itself.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
BAJAJ FINANCE 15
RELIANCE 13
HDFC 06
TATA STEEL 05
BAJAJ FINSERV 04
TOTAL 43
The Draggers
INFOSYS 03
SBI 02
MARUTI 02
SHREE CEMENTS 02
LT 02
TOTAL 11
Lifter - Draggers = 32
This explains that the rest of the Nifty members made offsetting or insignificant moves indicating consolidation around their price levels.
POSITIVES
Nifty made yet another ATH and the first close above 16550.
RELIANCE and HDFC twins were well supported by HDFC BANK , HUL, and AXIS BANK.
RELIANCE has closed above the crucial 2155-60 barrier.
NEGATIVES
BANK NIFTY underperformed and dragged Nifty in the process.
Auto heavyweights were under severe pressure - MARUTI and TATA MOTORS.
Despite RELIANCE and HDFC twins doing well, Nifty has not been able to close decisively at a higher level and appears to have hurdles at 16600.
FII turned net sellers again in excess of 1000 Crores.
TRADING RANGE FOR 17-8-21
The nifty baseline will for now be 16300-350, the area from where it rallied on 13-8-21.
BANK NIFTY support base at 35600-800 and resistance at 36200-36500.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
BANKNIFTY range for the day was very narrow. There is something likely to happen in this index during the week.
Profit booking seems to be going on in many scrips or else how can one explain so many reds in the leading indices when one of them is trading at ATH.
What do you feel?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
16-8-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
HDFC ABC pattern #HDFC Completed ABC where wave C= wave A. Some other important reversal areas in case of ALT ABC (1.382/1.618)
HDFC POLE FLAG BREAKOUTHDFC Has give a pole flag breakout and looks bullish , we can expect it soon to reach at it ATH.
follow us for more ideas!!
HDFC: Breakout and RetestHDFC gave a breakout of a Channel consolidation.
Retested the level.
Now continuing the momentum.