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BANK NIFTY rescues NIFTY for a changeNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -08-09-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 17375.75 / 17383.4 / 17254.20 / 17353.5 H-L = 149 points VIX 14.41 / -3.29% FII DII: -802 Crores Likely open: BANK NIFTY holds the key. Based on the numbers looks a flat to a positive open. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS NIFTY played negative today and did not even bother to go past the opening high made and ended the day just below the P Close. In the process, it has not only done a lower high but also made a lower low by drifting towards 17250 and dangerously close it. Soon as Europe opened, the sell-off started and lasted for an hour or so, and then, there was the usual jerks-driven relief rally only to end flat. On the daily charts, it has formed a hammer pattern indicating good bounce from the lower areas. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters KOTAK BANK 03 HDFC BANK 03 ICICI BANK 02 TITAN 02 HUL 01 TOTAL 11 The Draggers NESTLE 04 INFOSYS 04 TCS 04 BAJAJ FINANCE 03 RELIANCE 03 TOTAL 18 Lifter - Draggers = -07 The above is what mattered in the end. It looks like the rest of the scrips had no role to play or it was too insignificant by EOD. POSITIVES NIFTY ended flat and recovered more than 90 points after the sell-off. BANK NIFTY changed the corner and was the savior for NIFTY. Even though the private banks have not contributed significantly, their not being negative helped the indices to maintain their levels. RELIANCE and HDFC recovered well from their respective lows which came in handy in ensuring that NIFTY closes flat. NEGATIVES NIFTY could not go anywhere near 17400. NIFTY breached the recent swing lows and drifted towards 17250. INFOSYS and TCS have been showing continued weakness. MARUTI has been falling yet again after a good recovery a couple of sessions ago. FIIs DIIs remain net sellers. TRADING RANGE FOR 08-09-21 17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY. BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS The price action in INFOSYS appeared to be managed if one looks at the candles for the last 2 hours. There were spikes and sell-off as if 1700 CE writers had a point or two to prove in ending the day below 1700. MARUTI fell more than 1.5% but it seems to have made no impact on NIFTY which is indeed surprising as, at one stage, the fall was close to 100 points. The star of the day was KOTAK BANK as it almost single-handedly changed the tide for NIFTY and therefore BANK NIFTY. The strong up move prompted other banks to also chip in. It now needs to be seen if it can hold on to the momentum possibly created by it being included in the LIC IPO proceedings. Interesting expiry tomorrow - will the God that rings in Auspicious Beginnings help NIFTY close the week at a new ATH? Or will the IT biggies with RELIANCE like to keep dragging NIFTY? Wait and Watch! What do you feel about this? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 08-09-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
What would happen if US markets were non-existent?NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -07-09-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 17401.55 / 17436.5 / 17287.00 / 17362.1 H-L = 149 points VIX 14.9 / -0.34% FII DII: -283 Crores Likely open: Flat to positive if BANK NIFTY turns green. Today’s low is crucial for the short term and for the week as this is a short week with only 2 sessions remaining before the week ends. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS NIFTY crossed 17400 yet again and made a new high at 17436. During the day, it remained very volatile on account of BANK NIFTY and even broke 17300 momentarily and then hit a fresh ATH. However, that was also sold in to and the day ended on a flat note. During the day, NIFTY took support from 200 MA on the 5-minute chart. On the daily charts, NIFTY has formed yet another Doji / Spinning top indicating indecisive approach. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters HDFC 27 RELIANCE 11 BHARTI AIRTEL 06 ITC 04 HDFC BANK 02 TOTAL 50 The Draggers INFOSYS 18 TCS 08 BAJAJ FINANCE 06 ICICI BANK 06 AXIS BANK 06 TOTAL 44 Lifter - Draggers = +06 POSITIVES NIFTY hit a fresh ATH. HDFC made a roaring comeback as a leader and closed above 2800 psycho level. RELIANCE also managed to hold on to the 2400+ levels and closed above the earlier close. HDFC BANK made a good recovery after the morning shake-out and help prevent a further slide in BANK NIFTY. NEGATIVES BANK NIFTY keeps underperforming and is facing the Sell on Rise type of situation. After a smart recovery by INFOSYS yesterday, it almost reversed all the gains impacting TCS as well. NIFTY unable to close in green leave aside above 17400 is not a good sign. FIIs DIIs are both net sellers. TRADING RANGE FOR WB 07-09-21 17000-17200 is the support base. I do not know what the upper levels may be. BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS Despite HDFC BANK bouncing back 20+ points from the lows, BANK NIFTY ended way below the P Close. This is surprising and possibly indicates how important ICICI BANK and AXIS BANK have become for the index. Amidst pressure from BANK NIFTY, NIFTY could not hold 17300 levels also and dipped for a while and then recovered smartly. I am wondering what would happen if US markets were non-existent? Clearly, in the absence of any clues from the big brother, our indices chose to play safe and ended flat to negative. What do you feel about this? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 07-09-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title as well as its contents can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC | 07-09-2021NSE:HDFC Observations: 1)On 1hr time frame, it is making descending triangle pattern, in which it is making lower highs but keep on taking support from 2735-2740 level range. Please refer below chart : 1hr time frame. 2) Also on 1hr time frame, if it continuous to complete double bottom pattern then it will be a good buy once it test the 2780-2782 level range and gets support from it. Please refer below chart : 1hr time frame. ------------------------------------- Trade Setup for Date 07-09-2021: 1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action. 2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand. 3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level. Please refer below chart for levels. Hope I made it easy to understand it. Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
H
by Trading_hawk
12
RELIANCE towers over NIFTY batting 17323NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -03-09-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 17262.45 / 17340.1 / 17212.2 / 17323.6 H-L = +186 points VIX 14.54 / +2.11% FII DII: +1436 Crores Likely open: Positive but there may be selling pressure if BANK NIFTY does not support it. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS A good gap-up opening and then the typical retest of P Close. This is how NIFTY moved in the AM session. Then, NIFTY retested and crossed the opening high and fell again to retest the P Close and recovered smartly to end the day closer to the ATH. On a 5 minute chart, NIFTY looks highly volatile as if we are seeing a BANK NIFTY chart. On the weekly chart, NIFTY shows a strong bullish candle that has not been seen for the last several weeks. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters RELIANCE 63 TITAN 09 INFOSYS 07 IOC 05 EICHER MOTORS 03 TOTAL 87 The Draggers HDFC BANK 10 HDFC 09 HDFC LIFE 06 HUL 05 BHARTI AIRTEL 02 TOTAL 32 Lifter - Draggers = +55 The towering presence of RELIANCE is what changed the fortunes of NIFTY. POSITIVES RELIANCE soared and closed the week in style at a new ATH. INFOSYS restored the 1700 level and is now above its 200 DMA. Despite the negative news, MARUTI closed higher and at one stage looked set to retest 7000. FIIs DIIs are both Net Buyers. NEGATIVES BANK NIFTY continues to underperform. HDFC triplets were on the other side of RELIANCE. They perhaps tried to justify their might. TRADING RANGE FOR WB 06-09-21 17000-17200 is the support base. I do not know what the upper levels may be. BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS The NIFTY rally is now becoming a stock driven rally possibly indicating exhaustion at higher levels and the coming week may see some profit booking. Today it was RELIANCE and next week it could be INFOSYS and HDFC family. It is time to turn cautious until BANK NIFTY closes well above 37200 as the index has the potential to drag NIFTY and upset the party. What do you feel about this? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 03-09-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title as well as its contents can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
Simple Trade Setup | HDFC BANK | 02-09-2021NSE:HDFCBANK Trade Setup for Date 02-09-2021: 1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action. 2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand. 3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tomorrow. Please refer below chart for levels. Hope I made it easy to understand it. Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by Trading_hawk
5
Back to the old tussle - FIIs Vs DIIs and Nifty slipsNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -01-09-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 17185.6 / 17225.75 / 17055.05 / 17076.25 H-L = 170 points VIX 14.19 / -2.27% FII DII: +621 Crores Likely open: Positive and interesting to see how Nifty reacts as this would be the first expiry in the 17000 zones. The big Q is will it hold the key level? CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS NIFTY made yet another high and a higher low as well. The higher high could not be sustained due to intense selling pressure from some of the heavyweights which dragged the index below 17100. The daily charts indicate that there was selling pressure but the volume is not higher than yesterday’s session. This is more of a profit booking drive that has been undertaken by the FIIs who have been consistently buying in the cash market for the last several sessions. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters ASIAN PAINTS 11 NESTLE 09 RELIANCE 07 SBI LIFE 07 AXIS BANK 06 TOTAL 40 The Draggers INFOSYS 25 HDFC 22 TCS 19 BAJAJ FINSERV 14 TATA STEEL 07 TOTAL 87 Lifter - Draggers = -47 Of the 55 negative points, 47 have come per above. This is the might of these scrips. POSITIVES NIFTY hit another ATH above 17200. BANK NIFTY ended above 36500 and ended in the good green despite heavy selling in NIFTY. RELIANCE did not end in red. HDFC BANK more or less held its ground. NEGATIVES IT heavyweights have been witnessing selling pressure for the last few sessions. NIFTY failed to close above the P Close. NIFTY fell close to 17050 and tomorrow is expiry so volatility may be high. DIIs have begun banking gains which led to selling pressure. TRADING RANGE FOR 02-09-21 16950-17250 is the range that I can think of for the week. NIFTY may consolidate between these levels until either is broken on a closing basis. BANK NIFTY support base moves up to 36200-400 and resistance at 36800-37000-37200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS With the change in the lot size of NIFTY from Aug 2021, NIFTY has become more volatile and now with it being above 17000, a 150 point move on either side is also less than 1% move which is what needs to be digested by the traders. It has now started giving the kind of moves that BANK NIFTY used to give. Around March 2020, BANK NIFTY had reached levels around 16500-17000. Today, NIFTY is at 17000+ and we are around 17 months away from those days. This is the power of the stock market. What do you feel about this? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 01-09-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
HDFC - Bullish PatternThe stock has broken out of its resistance level of 2875 today, clubbed with decent volumes. If it sustains above 2875, which should now act as support, it can be bought for target levels of 2895 and 3040. Refer the Fibonacci Retracement tool given in the chart for various support levels which can be utilized for identifying your stop loss basis your risk profile. Please follow us for more trading setups like these. If you have any queries/suggestions related to above pattern, feel free to type below in the comment section. Do show your love by pressing the like if you liked the idea.
HLong
by Yes2Profits
FIIs show their might as NIFTY surges past 17100 with easeNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -31-08-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 16947.5 / 17153.5 / 16915.85 / 17132.2 H-L = 238 points VIX 14.52 / +9.01% FII DII: +1909 Crores Likely open: Positive but profit booking may kick in if Global cues do not support. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS And the surge continued today as well and NIFTY finally sailed past 17000 with relative ease and ended comfortably above 17100. It appeared that it may retest levels below 16900, but then it quickly recovered and then never looked back except for the lunch session quick fall which was bought in ti by the bears. NIFTY is likely to set its own course as it builds its bases in the newer zones. The daily charts indicate a strong bullish candle. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters BAJAJ FINANCE 38 TCS 16 BAJAJ FINSERV 16 HDFC 14 BHARTI AIRTEL 12 TOTAL 96 The Draggers RELIANCE 07 NESTLE 04 TATAMOTORS 02 INDUSIND 01 BPCL 01 TOTAL 15 Lifter - Draggers = +81 The above indicates that a larger base of scrips in the NIFTY family helped it close above 17100. POSITIVES NIFTY crossed 17000 and closed above 17100 with ease. BANK NIFTY finally emerged out of the resistances and soared which helped NIFTY. Broader market participation resulted in NIFTY scaling higher levels with relative ease. FIIs are back with a bang in the buying business and clearly, this had a positive impact on NIFTY. Top 5 NIFTY heavyweights ended the month at their respective ATH which is a great positive. NEGATIVES BANK NIFTY kept underperforming and had a very narrow range for the day. VIX is up 9% as shorters would have been forced to run cover. RELIANCE as usual chose not to participate in the rally and this alone has the potential to be a spoilsport for NIFTY. DIIs have sold heavily indicating that from their viewpoint, the short-term top is nearing or has been reached. TRADING RANGE FOR 01-09-21 At best 17000 base is what I can think of for now. We will need to see how the index moves during the week before deciding on the levels. BANK NIFTY support base stays at 35400-500 and resistance at 35800-36000-36200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS Top 5 heavyweights of NIFTY recorded ATH close on monthly candles. Like RELIANCE, KOTAK BANK also has the tendency to play its own game. Except that today HDFC BANK also joined it and saved BANK NIFTY from slipping from the lower levels. BANK NIFTY has formed a Doji candle on the daily chart with good volumes. It is a sign of caution or a positive move ahead. We will need to wait and watch. As long as HDFC BANK stays positive, it will handle BANK NIFTY on the upside. What do you feel? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 31-8-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT
Simple Trade Setup | HDFCBANK | 30-08-2021NSE:HDFCBANK Trade Setup for Date 30-08-2021: 1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action. 2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand. 3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level tomorrow. Please refer below chart for levels. Hope I made it easy to understand it. Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by Trading_hawk
NIFTY ends the week on a high note at 16705NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -27-08-21 IN SUMMARY O / H / L / C 16642.55 / 16722.05 / 16565.7 / 16705.2 H-L = 157 points VIX 13.41 / -0.96% FII DII: +868 Crores Likely open: Positive but may get sold into and then recovery is likely. CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS NIFTY not only ended the day but also the week at a record high of 16705.2. It has made a higher high, highest close but with a lower high. After a flat sort of opening, it was sold in to and then rose sharply and after clearing 16650, it kept climbing gradually through the day. On the daily as well as the weekly charts, NIFTY has formed nice bullish candles rejecting the lower levels around 16550-600. NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS The Weight Lifters TCS 09 LT 09 BAJAJ FINSERV 07 SBI LIFE 06 HDFC 05 TOTAL 36 The Draggers INFOSYS 12 HDFC BANK 05 RELIANCE 02 NESTLE 02 M&M 01 TOTAL 19 Lifter - Draggers = +17 The above indicates that a larger base of scrips in the NIFTY family helped it pass the ATH level and close also at a new ATH. POSITIVES NIFTY ended the day as well as the week at a new ATH and above 16700. DIIs have bought significantly at ATH which is a big plus indicating that there is good upside potential in-store in the coming weeks/months. VIX has cooled down. 39/50 scrips ended in the green. MARUTI which had been falling consistently ended in a minor positive. This could have a sentimental impact on the other sectoral scrips as well. NEGATIVES INFOSYS is showing signs of fatigue in the short term. RELIANCE as well appears to be losing momentum as it approaches the resistance area around 2250. BANK NIFTY continues to underperform. TRADING RANGE FOR W/B 30-8-21 The Nifty baseline moves up to 16500-550. The resistances are not known for now. BANK NIFTY support base also slides to 35000-35200 and resistance at 35800-36000-36200. INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS The new SEBI regulations re no leverage come into force from 01 Sep and this could have an impact on Options pricing as more traders may switch to Options from EQUITY intraday trading as the margin benefit gets reduced. UPSTOX has delayed intraday EQ profit credit from T+1 days to T+2 days to prevent a potential margin shortfall and resultant penalty. If others also follow suit, this could create more pressure on the intraday EQ-only traders to move to Options. Even when NIFTY is at a new ATH, several scrips look beaten down and far from their ATH. This could be a double-edged sword for the scrips as well as for NIFTY. The key to further upside in NIFTY is held by RELIANCE, HDFC twins, and BANK NIFTY, which has been under pressure for a long time. What do you feel? Thank you, and Happy Money Making! Umesh 29-8-21 P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well. NOTE -- This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
NSE:NIFTY
by AVENUESOFINVESTMENT