HDFCAMC – Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base________________________________________________________________________________📈 HDFCAMC – Bullish Momentum with Short Covering Base
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Momentum Trade Setup with Defined Risk
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🔍 Overall View
Spot Price: ₹5590
Trend: Bullish Bias – Price sustaining above 5500 with momentum
Volatility: IV ~26–29%, relatively stable with mild contraction
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional long with partial risk spreads
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1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 5700 CE @ ₹60.75
Why:
• Long Build-Up (+11.91% OI) with price ↑6.49% = bullish conviction
• Strike just ₹110 above spot → good balance of delta (0.41) and premium
• High TTV (₹89.9 Cr) and stable IV (~26.6%) → institutional activity
• CE 5600 also active, but 5700 is cleaner structure due to fresh longs
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2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Contrarian Trade – if present)
Best PE: Sell 5500 PE @ ₹59.5
Why:
• Short Build-Up on 5500 PE (+118.7% OI), but price ↓45.84% → strong put writing
• Spot comfortably above strike (₹5590), adding margin of safety
• IV stable → theta decay benefits seller
• Acts as support-level hold strategy in case of mild retracement
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3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 5700 CE / Sell 5800 CE
→ ₹60.75 / ₹34.15
Net Debit: ₹26.60
Max Profit: ₹100 (spread width) – ₹26.60 = ₹73.40
Max Loss: ₹26.60
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 2.75 ✅
Lot Size: 150
Total Risk: ₹3,990
Max Profit: ₹11,010
📊 Breakeven Point: ₹5726.60
📉 Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < ₹5550 (invalidates breakout + weakens CE 5700)
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Why:
• Strong Long Build-Up at 5700 CE, resistance only mild at 5800
• High IVs make selling 5800 CE favourable → lowers net debit
• Defined risk with RR ≈ 1:2.75 fits your trade rule
• Market supports bullish continuation over 5600-5650 levels
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📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays
→ Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only
→ Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation
→ Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume
→ Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only
→ Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally ≥ 1:2)(safe = 1:1).
Premium Disclaimer
→ Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference
→ Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
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⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
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HDFCAMC
HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd - Long Setup, Move is ON...#HDFCAMC trading above Resistance of 3844
Next Resistance is at 5237
Support is at 2982
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
HDFCAMC – Strong Bullish Breakout on High Volume📈 HDFCAMC – Strong Bullish Breakout on High Volume
📅 Setup Date: 18.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily
📍 Strategy: Short-Term HNI Swing Setup
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📝 Price Action Summary – HDFCAMC
HDFCAMC has delivered a textbook price action breakout, marked by a wide-range bullish candle on 3x average volume — confirming strong institutional participation. After weeks of tight consolidation and multiple failed attempts near the ₹5,385 resistance zone, the price finally broke out with a clean close near day’s high, indicating minimal selling pressure and clear buyer dominance. The breakout follows a classic compression-before-expansion setup, with the previous range acting as a base for momentum. Importantly, the absence of upper wick, strong follow-through, and volume-backed surge signal genuine strength — not a false breakout. Price has now entered a discovery phase with open space toward ₹5,673–₹5,800. As long as ₹5,385 holds as support, the bulls remain in control, and dip buying remains a high-probability setup. This is a classic case of price action speaking louder than indicators — structure, strength, and story all aligned.
__________________________________________________________________________________Trade Logic – Why This Setup:
Strong Price Structure: The stock has formed a bullish candle backed by a 20-day volume breakout, closing near the highs—indicating strong, sustained demand.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has cleanly broken out from a short-term base formed by multiple candle congestion. It's also trading above the prior resistance level of ₹5,385, confirming breakout strength.
__________________________________________________________________________________ Indicator Confluence: The RSI stands strong at 72, signaling bullish momentum. Additionally, the stock is breaking out of a Bollinger Band squeeze—an early sign of a potential momentum ignition. MACD, CCI, and Stochastic indicators are all aligned in bullish zones across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes.
EMA Alignment: The stock is trading above all major exponential moving averages (9, 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMA), suggesting healthy trend harmony and support at every timeframe.
VWAP Positioning: Current price action remains well above the daily VWAP, indicating buying interest from institutional players and strong demand zones building underneath.
Volume Spike: Today's volume was 1.61 million, compared to the 10-day average of 452,000—more than a 3x surge, confirming strong buyer conviction and institutional participation.
Open Upside Potential: There are no significant supply zones visible until ₹5,800–₹6,000, offering a clear path for price expansion and swing targets.
Sector Tailwinds: The financial services and AMC sector is witnessing renewed traction after positive earnings and improved fund flow trends, supporting broader strength in related counters.
__________________________________________________________________________________ Would I Enter Now?
YES – Enter Now or on Dip
Reason: Price has just cleared a major volume cluster with strong momentum. Waiting too long might mean missing the breakout. The best approach would be:
• Enter 50% now
• Add 50% near ₹5,495–₹5,485 if there’s an intraday dip
__________________________________________________________________________________ 📈 Resistance Zones
• 🔴 R1: 5,591.5 (possibly weak)
• 🔴 R2: 5,673
• 🔴 R3: 5,797
📉 Support Zones
• 🟢 S1: 5,385
• 🟢 S2: 5,261
• 🟢 S3: 5,179
__________________________________________________________________________________ Direction: Buy (Bullish Bias)
Entry Price: ₹5,510 (Current Market Price)
Alternate Entry: On slight dips to ₹5,485–₹5,495 (ideal risk-managed zone)
Stop Loss: ₹5,385
Reason: This is Support 1 and a key VWAP-based level from the recent volume structure. A breach here invalidates the bullish strength.
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:1 | 1:2 | +
__________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ₹5,510
Trend: Strong upward momentum
Volatility: Slightly cooling IV (esp. in puts), but still elevated → good for defined-risk strategies
Ideal Strategy Mix: Naked CE or Call Debit Spread (defined-risk bullish strategy)
1. 🔼 Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best CE: Buy 5400 CE @ ₹197.95
Why: Strong long buildup with rising OI, high volume, and solid delta — indicating institutional interest and momentum-backed directional strength.
__________________________________________________________________________________ 2. 🔽 Bearish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
Best PE: Sell 5200 PE @ ₹26.5
Why: Strong put writing seen with rising OI and price drop, suggesting low downside risk and income potential if bullish trend holds.
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3. ⚙️ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Strategy: Call Debit Spread → Buy 5400 CE + Sell 5600 CE
Net Debit: ₹197.95 - ₹92.6 = ₹105.35
Max Profit: ₹200 (spread) - ₹105.35 = ₹94.65
Max Loss: ₹105.35
Risk:Reward ≈ 1 : 0.9
Lot Size: 150
Total Risk: ₹15,802.5
Max Profit: ₹14,197.5
Why: This call spread is ideal because both the 5400 CE and 5600 CE are showing strong long build-up, indicating that traders expect the price to move higher. The 5600 CE has a sharp 168% jump in open interest with high volume, suggesting it’s a realistic target zone. By using a spread (buying 5400 CE and selling 5600 CE), we reduce the upfront cost and limit losses while still capturing upside. It also protects against time decay if the stock consolidates before moving up.
__________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
STWP is not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
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Caution: This is a result based stock
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HDFC AMC - Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: HDFC AMC ( NSE:HDFCAMC )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹485.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹4684.00 (Daily Closing Basis) (~6.1% Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹4996.90
₹5111.40
₹5228.45
₹5348.45
₹5470.75(Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic trend continuation pattern confirming uptrend
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily, Weekly & Monthly RSI >60 (Bullish zone)
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 887K vs previous day's 431K (Nearly 2x surge)
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear neckline breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:HDFCAMC for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
HDFCAMC - Inverted head and shoulder - Breakouttechnical analysis of the HDFC AMC LTD chart you've shared.
Looking at the price action, potential Inverted head and should pattern forming, which is generally considered a bullish sign.
Here's a simplified breakdown:
Head: Notice the rounded bottom shape that formed roughly between Dec 2024 and early April 2025. This suggests a period of consolidation before a potential upward move.
Handle: After reaching a high around ₹4,607, the price has pulled back and is now consolidating in a smaller downward sloping channel (highlighted by the yellow lines). This pullback is forming the "handle" of the pattern.
Breakout Level: The horizontal line you've drawn around ₹4,705 acts as a resistance or neckline. A sustained break above this level could signal the completion of the cup and handle pattern.
Target: Potential target around ₹5,901. This target is often estimated by measuring the depth of the head and adding it to the breakout level.
In simple terms:
The stock price went down, formed a rounded bottom (the head), then went up and is now taking a small dip (the handle). If it breaks above the ₹4,700 level, it might head towards the ₹5,901 area.
Overall, this chart suggests a potential upward move for HDFC AMC if the cup and handle pattern is confirmed with a breakout above ₹4,700.
Good buying opportunity in HDFCAMCWave 4 is almost finished in HDFCAMC.
We can see that a Flat Correction is getting over here.
Wave C of this Flat Correction is near 127%, where a 50% retracement level of the previous impulse is also present.
This creates a good buying cluster. The stop loss for this trade will be 61.8% (marked in red). As wave 4 will never reach this level, we can assume that this is a pretty valid level at which to put our stop.
This analysis is based on Elliott wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Please always do your own research before you take any trade.
Is this stock potential? How can we trade? HDFC AMC All of the major index and stocks are trading in bearish structure. Market is potentially discounted and we can look for some buy opportunities.
Looking at HDFC AMC stocks, it is still trading in Bullish structure. For any buy setup we would wait for a Change of structure on lower timeframe , mostly on 15 mins.
Look for MSs on 15min and then we can target the daily recent high as future targets.
Trade safe. This is just for educational purposes.
Book Profits - Candidate for ShortsDisclaimer: This Analysis is not to be taken for trading or investment decisions.
Stock has rallied for last year without any break, it has touched previous life time high levels of year 2019.
It has touched the upper band of Regression trend when plotted from beginning
HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd - Long Setup, Move is ON...#HDFCAMC trading above Resistance of 3361
Next Resistance is at 3844
Support is at 2853
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Has HDFCAMC bottomed out?HDFC AMC has been in continuous downtrend from late 2019.
As we can see on the chart, the stock has recently bounced from a support level with good volumes.
The most interesting observation is a positive divergence in RSI during the bounce which might be an indication that stock has bottomed.
On Friday, good buying with high volumes has been observed with a bullish candle, almost a marubozu.
This stock has an immediate resistance at 1950 so it is better to buy the stock at around 1800-1810 levels for a better risk reward.
Kindly trade as per your own analysis. This idea is shared for educational purposes.
HDFC AMC_ Breakout may be possible in near futureDisclaimer: I already have open position which I will exit or not exit (it depend upon how the price react near resistance)
The breakout is yet to happen. If the breakout successful, I'll hold my open positions and/or add more qty. Otherwise I am ready to exit, provided there are some bearish signals.
If the share consolidate for at least 3-4 days, it can move on either direction very very fast.
There is risk involved or you can say one major hurdle in our trade will be "lower highs". Until and unless it crosses the previous "swing highs", it's the point of concern for this trade.
Triangle pattern breakout in HDFC AMC:- Alternative viewElliott Wave Analysis:-
As we said in previous view :-
"if the C wave was broken downside then the triangle may be in reverse and the fall will be the size of the A wave we marked."
2nd View took place and one correction wave was completed.
we may expect a retracement to the level of 2695 - 2720.
else we may expect an impulse move from here and we need to wait and watch the wave formation.
HDFCAMC Fall expectedI am not holding HDFCAMC. You may book profits here
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
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HDFCAMC Is Something Cooking ?Hello Friends,
From last few weeks HDFCAMC is making some unusual moves which indicates that there's something happening. Around 1900 there's some big buying emerged as we can see on the charts. Currently HDFCAMC is trading on 2498.60 NSE.
The pattern is bullish, as the market is witnessing a selling pressure from last many days this particular share is trading on a flat to positive price as visible on charts.
One can buy this script for a longer time as well as a trading opportunity.
"Stop losses can be deep just to avoid the volatility in the market."
Following Trade Positions can be made in HDFCAMC:
1 - In cash the stock can be bought for a target of 2765 in September with a stoploss of 2417
2 - In futures the stock can be bought for a target of 2745 in September with a stoploss of 2407
3- Options CE 2500 September Expiry trading at 55 can be bought for a Target of 175 with a stop loss of 27 INR
Disclaimer - REGISTERED SUB BROKER IN NATIONAL STOCK EXCHANGE.