07 Feb ’24 — Nifty Passes the Fire Test - Stance Upgraded to 🐂Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: ” Nifty is still undecided on the 63mts TF and for that same reason, we wish to start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and then go long if we have a green candle above the 21913 zone. Only if BankNifty lends support we can take out the ATH and there is no better day than the expiry day for such feats.”
4mts chart
The gap-up was much more than expected and we did not live well to that hype anyway. When we have a huge gap and the market starts to close, it accidentally builds momentum for the weaker hand and most of the time the scale tips in their favor. Luckily, the Bears could not capitalize on it today as Nifty fell 192 points ~ 0.87% from the highs, breaking the support of 21913. The recovery was not anything spectacular, Nifty just ended the day above the level of 21913 and for us, that is more than enough to change our stance from Neutral to Bullish.
NiftyIT reminds us of the night watchman in cricket. When there are only a few more overs remaining in a Test match - you send a tail-ender instead of your best batsman. Today when BankNifty started awakening, NiftyIT started giving up. What was the reason NiftyIT ended the day with a loss of -1.25% on an otherwise good GREEN day?
63mts chart
The Inverse Head and Shoulders look perfectly formed and since it is a high-accuracy pattern - we wish to put our weight behind it. The only thing standing in its way was the 21913 resistance, now the next target should be the all-time highs. Our stance for tomorrow is bullish and since these are all games of probabilities we reserve the right to be wrong as would like to keep the 21826 area as a good stop loss.
Head and Shoulders
BTC Analysis: Inverse Head and Shoulders Formation Signals Bulli💎BTC is currently exhibiting signs of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder consolidating for a longer duration. This prolonged consolidation increases the likelihood of a bullish outcome, as selling tends to occur rapidly while bullish movements take time to develop. Moreover, the price has already surpassed the previous resistance level of 43,598, indicating a shift in market sentiment favoring the bulls.
💎Confirmation of this pattern awaits a breakout above the resistance level of 44,478. Such a breakout would create room for further bullish momentum, with potential targets near 46,000 and 47,600.
💎Conversely, a bearish scenario would entail a breakdown below the support level of 41,333. This would invalidate the inverse head and shoulders pattern and potentially form a lower high, increasing the likelihood of a bearish trend. In this scenario, downside targets could be expected at 39,727 and 39,031.
J&KBANK - Reverse Head and Shoulders PatternJammu and Kashmir Bank (J&K Bank) is a Scheduled Commercial Bank and one of the oldest private sector Bank in India, incorporated in 1938. The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Limited offers a range of products and services such as loans, insurance, tax products/planning, savings and deposits, cards, mutual funds and non-resident banking.
Financials:
TTM EPS: 13.10
TTM PE: 5.16
P/B: 1.01
Face Value: 1
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 6,977
Sector PE: 24.03
Book Value Per Share: 66.86
Positives:
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Strong Annual EPS Growth
Good quarterly growth in the recent results
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Company with Low Debt
Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Negatives:
Red Flag: High Interest Payments Compared to Earnings
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
My Opinion: Just like my conviction in PSU Banks, I believe J&K Bank will also give good returns in the coming years.
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION. Thanks.
06 Feb ’24 — Head and Shoulders Inverse forming on BankNifty?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Is BankNifty bearish? - absolutely not. Is it bullish? It's too early to say. One thing is sure - there is some weakness impacting the banks. Are the unsecured loans haunting them? None of the balance sheets from the quarterly results are bleeding - but something is still bothering them. Today was a fine day for the banks to support Nifty’s rally - still, the banks decided to stay on the bench.
4mts chart
One thing is sure, the fall looks like arrested (for now). If Nifty takes out the ATH without the support of the banks again, then it is some indication that the Information Technology players may have taken over as the new torch-bearers. There are exactly 6 NiftyIT companies in Nifty50 as there are 6 banks in BankNifty. NiftyIT weight is 14.18% vs 33% of BankNifty - definitely, BN has lost some ground and IT has gobbled it.
63mts chart
The perfect Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern has not formed yet - we still have 20% of the move remaining. We will closely monitor if BN chooses to follow this path as it is a bullish sign. The first clue came in when BN defended its support at 44542, the 2nd came when 45399 was defended. Tomorrow is the weekly expiry and we hope to see some actions - at present, the OTM strikes are not that juicy - if BN decides to move, we could expect some mispricings to pop in.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs8121.
This stock can fly after breakout!Redington has been forming an inverted head and shoulder pattern from the past 2 years.
A weekly closing above 200 will confirm the breakout which will unlock huge targets for the stock.
This stock has nice fundamentals with a good dividend yield so one can consider this stock for long term investment as well.
Keep this stock in watchlist as the rejection in previous week is due to dividend correction.
Idea shared for educational purposes.
VLS FINANCE STOCKNSE:VLSFINANCE Stock trying to form inverse head & shoulder pattern. Still right shoulder formation is going on. In the first phase, the price of this stock is likely to touch the top of the right shoulder.
Buy sustain above 215 rupees.
Target is 225 to 230 rupees.
Stoploss sustain below 205 rupees.
Natco Pharma- A beautiful pattern mirroring!This will remain as one of my most favourite idea if breakout goes successful.
Trade logic: An inverted head and shoulder breakout is on the cards.
The most exciting and unique observation from this chart is that a similar IHNS breakout happened in 2021. But the breakout failed.
However, the stock again has created an inverted head and shoulder pattern with the same neckline in a much lesser time compared to previous pattern. (4 years then vs 2.5 years now)
Stock has cranked up its volume getting ready for a good breakout. Confirmation above 920.
I wont be surprised if this stock breaches ATH levels if the breakout is successful.
A good pharma stock from investment perspective as well. Keep in watchlist.
Do like, comment and follow for such more ideas!
Head&Shoulders in Mahindra Holidays Mahindra Holidays is forming Head&Shoulders pattern
According to pattern we have targets of
1. Target1 356 (Shoulder target)
2. Target2 310 (Head Target)
3. From almost 3 years it is taking support on 200EMA on Daily TF which is at 348
Note: It is a seasonal stock and gave minimum 10-15% in summer time(mostly takes support and give upmove from Feb end-May)