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Headshoulders

The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates. Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!! Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading: - The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal. - According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with approximately 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit. - More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken. - A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases. - However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%. -The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the break of the neckline, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary. -It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly. In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses. __________________________________________________________________ Head and Shoulders: Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading: -The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways: - Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading. - In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern. - It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal. - The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary. - Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly. In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses. _____________________________________________________________________________ NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
1
NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning! Hello everyone The Wolf of Zurich has detected a possible "head and shoulder" on Nvidia, which would bring the price down to around $42. I have also drawn a trend line that you absolutely must watch! The level to watch is around $98-98 Here, watch your Fibonacci levels as well as your exponential mobile means Have a nice day everyone Some information to know about Nvidia: Nvidia, the world leader in graphics chips and AI, is enjoying a flourishing situation despite a recent drop in its stock price. Here is a summary of its current situation: -Dominant position in the AI ​​market Nvidia occupies a quasi-monopolistic position in the field of chips for artificial intelligence. Its GPUs, especially the H100 series, are essential for the development of cutting-edge AI systems and are selling at high prices around the world. -Stock market performance Despite a recent 9.53% drop in its share price, Nvidia has posted an impressive 120% increase since the beginning of the year and nearly 400% over 3 years. This one-off drop does not seem to worry analysts, who still see significant growth potential. -Technological innovations Nvidia recently presented its new Blackwell GPU architecture, with the B200 and GB200 processors. These chips promise performance multiplied by 5 compared to the previous generation in the field of AI. The company also reassured investors by announcing that it had resolved the production problems initially encountered. -Future Outlook With its dominance in AI training chips and its comprehensive software ecosystem, Nvidia appears well positioned for continued growth. The company continues to innovate and strengthen its position in the AI ​​market, which suggests a positive outlook for the future.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range. 1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$. 2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range. Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$. 3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$ The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels . However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$. Be careful
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
TONCOIN: Possible "Head-Shoulders" under construction?!TONCOIN: Possible "Head-Shoulders" under construction?! Detection of a possible chart pattern "Head-Shoulder" = "SUMMER" in Daily" Monitor the " Nech line", and the Fibonacci and ICHIMOKU levels, as well as the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages on higher time units if necessary. The downside targets are indicated on the chart. We could return to the levels before the "Bull run"!! Following the arrest of Pavel Durov, CEO of the company "Telegram Messenger", this news could accelerate the downward movement sharply! Be careful!!
Short
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
WESTLIFE - 2 Possible Entries with Inverse Head and Shoulder🙌 Welcome to another educational analysis, where we'll discuss the recent breakout of WESTLIFE from an Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern. Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only, and I am not a SEBI registered analyst. 📊 Key Details 🚀 WESTLIFE broke out of the Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern on June 1st with significant volume, reaching an all-time high level. Let's discuss the two possible entries: First entry: Above 852, which is the breakout candle's high. Second entry: At the retest of breakout at neckline . For both entries, ensure the Stop Loss (SL) is placed below the neckline around 800 to manage risk effectively. The first entry is more suitable for aggressive traders, while the second entry provides a safer option for both aggressive and conservative traders. 💡 Technical Terms Explained 💡 Before we proceed, let's clarify some technical terms used in this analysis: 💡 Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern: A reversal chart pattern characterized by three troughs, where the middle trough (the head) is lower than the other two (the shoulders). The neckline connects the highest points of the two shoulders. 💡 Breakout: When the price of a security moves above a certain level of resistance, indicating a potential upward trend continuation or reversal. 💡 Neckline: The resistance line connecting the highest points of the two shoulders in an Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern. It acts as a crucial level to monitor for potential breakouts or breakdowns. Remember: Always conduct your own analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions. 💪 "Success is not the key to happiness. Happiness is the key to success. If you love what you are doing, you will be successful." 💪 💬 Feel free to share your observations and insights in the comments section. Your comments and feedback are greatly appreciated. Don't forget to like this analysis if you found it helpful! 🤝 Thank you for your continuous support, likes, follows, and comments. Your engagement keeps me motivated to consistently provide valuable content. ✅ For more articles and trade setups, follow me on TradingView: in.tradingview.com Remember to conduct thorough research and exercise caution while trading. Happy trading! 📊📈💪
NSE:WESTLIFELong
by AfnanTAjuddin
Head & Shoulder - Trend ReversalHii All... Greetings.... Today I'm sharing with you Daily Charts of Nifty Pvt. Bank, we can see a very clear Head & Shoulder Pattern which has already Formed. Head & Shoulder Pattern is Trend Reversal pattern. I'm currently having bearish view in Nifty Pvt. banks. However on closing basis if upper resistance is breached. The we can consider Failure of Head & Shoulder Pattern. Thanking You Nikhil Choudhary Important Things 1. This is only for educational purposes only. 2. Never over trade. 3. Always keep Stop Loss. 4. Trade in limited quantity. 5. Taking a small loss is better than wiping up your whole capital. I hope you found this idea helpful. Please like and comment. Share with Your Friends. Keep Learning, Happy & Safe Trading Disclaimer – These ideas shared by me to all are my personal analysis / views. Im not a SEBI registered technical analysis.
NSE:NIFTYPVTBANKShort
by NikhilChoudhary2023
Trading Reverse Head & Shoulder PatternWhat is Reverse head & shoulder ? Ans:- The Reverse Head and Shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern that is formed in the stock market when an asset experiences a decline, followed by a moderate recovery, then another decline to a lower level, another recovery to near the original decline, and finally another decline to a level that is lower than the previous decline. The pattern is considered complete when the price rises above the neckline, which is the line connecting the highs of the two recoveries. The pattern is named after its visual appearance, which resembles the human head and shoulders, but in reverse. The three troughs form the shoulders and the head, while the neckline serves as the confirmation point for a reversal. The height of the pattern can be used to estimate the potential upside for the asset once the reversal is confirmed. The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is often seen as a positive sign for the market, indicating a potential end to the downtrend and a shift towards upward momentum. However, it is important to consider other factors such as market sentiment before making a trade based on this pattern. Now how to trade Reverse Head & shoulder pattern? Ans:- To trade this pattern we should follow:- Identifying the pattern: To trade the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern, you first need to identify it on a stock chart. Look for three troughs followed by a neckline that connects the highs of the two recoveries. Confirming the pattern: Once the pattern is identified, you need to confirm it by waiting for the price to rise above the neckline. This is considered the confirmation point and signals the start of a potential upward trend. Setting a target price: The height of the pattern can be used to estimate the potential upside for the asset. Measure the distance between the neckline and the lowest trough and add it to the neckline to determine a target price. Placing a trade: Once the pattern is confirmed and the target price is set, you can place a long (buy) trade. It is recommended to use a stop loss order to protect your trade in case the pattern does not play out as expected. Monitoring the trade: After placing the trade, it is important to monitor the stock price and adjust your stop loss if necessary. Close the trade once the target price is reached or if the stock price drops below the neckline, indicating a potential reversal. It is important to keep in mind that no single pattern or indicator can guarantee success in the stock market. It is also recommended to consider other factors such as market sentiment and technical indicators before making a trade based on the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern. Pros: Sign of a potential trend reversal: The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is often seen as a positive sign for the market, indicating a potential end to the downtrend and a shift towards upward momentum. Estimation of potential upside: The height of the pattern can be used to estimate the potential upside for the asset, allowing traders to set realistic targets and determine their risk-reward ratio. Relatively easy to identify: The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is relatively easy to identify and does not require complex analysis, making it accessible to traders of all levels. Con: No guarantee of success: No single pattern or indicator can guarantee success in the stock market, and the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is no exception. The pattern can be disrupted by external factors such as market sentiment, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. False signals: The pattern is not always reliable, and false signals can occur if the price does not rise above the neckline or if the trend does not continue as expected. Need for confirmation: The pattern is not considered complete until the price rises above the neckline, and traders must wait for this confirmation point before entering a trade. This can lead to missed opportunities or increased risk if the pattern does not play out as expected. In conclusion, The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern in the stock market that is formed by a series of declines and recoveries and, but it should not be relied upon exclusively. It is important to consider other factors and to always manage risk when trading based on this pattern.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by pn202377