Axis bank is forming a good buy scenario.Axis Bank is in slow selling for weeks after a strong rally and now forming a bullish scenario.
It is taking reversal from protection trendline and braking out bearish trendline.
It is also taking support from daily order block.
it is also taking rejection from 21 EMA
All other Higher duration EMAs are synced in upside direction.
Rejection point is forming a cluster of multiple parameters .
All these in combination making it an attractive buying scenario....
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Ictconcepts
Kotak buying scenario........Kotak Mahindra Bank is forming a wonderful scenario in buying side. It is ranging between trend lines for long time and now taking a reversal after a pullback. Below conditions are reflecting the situation of smart money to jump in…….
1. After pullback it is respecting cluster of 50/100 and 200 SMA and formed a rejection candle.
2. There is a daily FVG nested in OB, which is also being respected.
3. RSI is also at mid-level and showing a reversal..
4. We may see some choppy kind of situation for few days and later breakout.
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Weekly analysis BTC with 4R trade ideaLast weeks’ trade has performed well and already moved ~15K points and still going on. Further to this week analysis, we expect good reversal trade from the zone of 89700 to 90385. Still we have ~11k points movement pending to reach to this level. Price would be showing weakness in sell side and reversal pattern. We should patiently wait for entry model and confirmation as price is in sell side.
1. 1D FVG and wick is creating strong cluster of their relevant CE levels.
2. We would see exaction in sell side movement and reversal pattern.
3. RSI will also show oversold or bearish divergence on HTF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
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,
GOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCYGOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCY 💛
Hello everyone 🌸
The gold market (XAUUSD) today is showing many interesting signals as the price continues to test the crucial trendline area. Traders' sentiment is quite cautious at the moment – both buyers and sellers are “squaring off” around the liquidity balance zone.
🔍 Technical Analysis
On the chart, gold is moving within a narrowing triangle price channel – this indicates momentum is accumulating, and when the price breaks in either direction, the subsequent volatility will be very strong ⚡
Currently, the price is reacting around the main trendline, but there is no clear breakout signal yet.
In my personal view, the probability of a decline remains higher, however, further confirmation is needed before entering a trade.
The important point to note is the support area at 3965, which is the key boundary to confirm a clear downtrend.
If the price breaks through this area, the possibility of extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890 is entirely possible.
⚙️ Price Levels to Watch
Currently, the 3990 – 4012 area is short-term resistance, where sellers may reappear.
Meanwhile, the 3965 – 3945 – 3920 areas are the main supports that need close observation.
If the price continues to hold above 3945, the likelihood of a short-term rebound is quite high.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenario
💼 Buy: 3945
⛔ SL: 3938
🎯 TP: 3958 – 3977 – 3992 – 4012
💼 Sell: When the price clearly breaks below support 3965
⛔ SL: Above the breakout area
🎯 Expected TP: extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890
I still prefer to observe the price reaction at the trendline area, and only act when there is clear confirmation — because in a triangle pattern, the patient one will always be the winner 🌙
⚠️ Note & Conclusion
The above analysis reflects only Lucy's personal perspective, based on Trendline – Fibonacci – ICT factors 📊
This is not investment advice.
Please share your views on gold in the comments section 💬
And don't forget to follow Lucy for daily updates on insightful analyses —
where technical analysis merges with market emotions 💫🌸
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE
🪞 1. Overview
🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong.
However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers.
💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline.
If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish.
🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier.
🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💔 MAIN SELL
Entry: 3996 | SL: 4004
TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948
💢 SELL scalping
Entry: 4007 | SL: 4014
TP: 3998 – 3978
💖 REACTIVE BUY
Entry: 3965 | SL: 3957
TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999
🌸 DEEP BUY
Entry: 3941 | SL: 3931
TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066
🔍 4. Price Levels to Note
✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area
✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline
✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions
💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction
⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method.
Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭
If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with daily gold insights and learn more about the Smart Money Concept 🌷✨
Is EUR/USD Setting Up for a Massive Bullish Move?My EUR/USD analysis is a multi-timeframe forecast focusing on key institutional levels. The daily chart provides a long-term perspective, showing the pair in a consolidation phase after a significant downtrend. I've identified a very powerful sell zone from 2020 that represents a major historical resistance level. I expect sellers to enter the market if the price re-approaches this area.
On the 4-hour chart, the focus shifts to the immediate price action. The pair is currently in a tight consolidating range. My strategy is to wait patiently for a clear breakout from this range. I have identified a Green Order Block (OB) and a Buyer Liquidity zone below the current price. My primary thesis is that the price may drop to these levels to grab liquidity before a larger move upwards.
I've outlined two potential bullish scenarios, both of which target the major sell zone. The first (blue arrow) involves a drop to the buyer liquidity zone before the rally, while the second (white arrow) predicts a more direct breakout. A key part of my plan is to look for confirmation on a lower timeframe, such as a change of character, before entering a long position.
In essence, my analysis is a road map for a potential long trade, but it emphasizes patience, confirmation, and a rule-based approach. The core idea is to follow institutional footprints by targeting liquidity zones and trading with the expected direction of smart money. I will not enter a trade until my specific breakout criteria are met, ensuring a high-probability setup.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025)
This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery.
🧠 Narrative Breakdown:
✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount.
✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept.
✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest.
✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Key Points:
BSL Swept above internal range.
RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences.
Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity).
Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low.
DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets.
⚒️ Tools Used:
IPDA Range (20D)
MSS / BoS
Rejection Block (RB.D)
CISD + IFVG
PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL)
📌 Summary:
This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity.
🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe.
🧠 Key Highlights:
Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent.
Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS.
The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone.
Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance:
Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs.
Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone.
Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays.
Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone.
🛠 Tools Applied:
PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI
Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D.
Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts
📌 Bias: Bearish
📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
XAUUSD Intraday Liquidity Flow – Key Intraday Triggers
If price breaks the current low and forms a new low during the NYC session, wait patiently for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) before entering.
Daily High (DH) is not tested yet – potential target for price.
If change in direction with good displacement (forming FVGs): Consider taking profit at Daily High (DH).
OANDA:XAUUSD
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 9, 2025)🧠 Big Picture Context (Daily Timeframe)
🔍 Structure:
The daily structure is in a macro bearish trend, confirmed by a Change of Character (ChoCH) from a previous higher high.
A market structure shift (MSS) occurred, indicating strong bearish intent.
A major Order Block (OB) around 24,300 – 24,800 has acted as strong supply.
Recent price action shows a rejection from 23,000+ levels, creating a new bearish leg.
🔄 Key Observations:
A clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the recent bearish move lies between 22,900 – 23,100, which price may want to revisit.
Price tapped into liquidity pools below previous lows (Sell-side liquidity swept).
Strong reaction up suggests a potential short-term bullish retracement.
🔄 Medium-Term Outlook (4H Chart)
🔍 Structure:
After the sharp bearish move, price made a strong reaction from the 21,800s, suggesting the presence of demand.
A clean PDL (Previous Day Low) sweep followed by BOS (Break of Structure) confirms short-term bullish market structure.
🔄 Current Price Action:
Price filled part of a green FVG (imbalance) and is now retracing from resistance.
The 22,900–23,000 zone contains:
A bearish OB
FVG
VI (Volume Imbalance)
Previous Weekly High (PWH)
→ This confluence makes it a high-probability reversal zone.
📉 Execution Timeframe (1H Chart)
🔍 Structure:
Price has now formed a BOS upwards after taking out liquidity near 21,800 (PDL).
Rally filled lower imbalance (FVG), creating a strong displacement candle and BOS above PDH.
Now consolidating under a supply zone with signs of weakness near 22,550 – 22,700.
🎯 Trade Idea: Sell on Retracement into Premium
📈 Bias: Bearish from premium supply zone.
🛠️ Trade Setup (1H + 4H Confluence):
Type Level/Zone
Entry 22,900 – 23,000 (Red FVG & OB)
Stop Loss Above 23,100 (above OB & VI)
Target 1 22,250 (PDH/imbalance fill)
Target 2 21,800 (PDL sweep area)
Target 3 21,600–21,500 (daily demand zone)
📊 Risk-Reward (Approx):
Risk: ~150 pts (23,100 – 22,950 entry)
Reward: ~400–1,400 pts depending on target
RRR: Minimum 2.5:1 up to 9:1
💡 ICT/SMC Concepts Applied:
Liquidity Sweep: Sell-side liquidity below PDL taken → large move up.
Fair Value Gaps: Price filled FVG and now sits just below another premium FVG.
Order Blocks: Bearish OB around 22,900–23,100 zone expected to act as supply.
PDH/PDL Reactions: Market respected those areas.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Bearish momentum continues on higher TFs despite short-term rally.
🧭 What to Watch For:
If price breaks and holds above 23,100, this setup becomes invalid – it signals deeper retracement or reversal.
Watch volume or strong rejection candles in supply zone to enter with confirmation (ideal on 15M/5M for sniper entry).
Any clean FVGs left behind as price retraces could be rebalanced before dropping.
📌 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic SMC + ICT short setup after price retraced into premium zone following a strong move down. The confluence of OB, FVG, VI, and PDH makes this zone a high-probability turning point. Wait for confirmation and execute with proper risk management.
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 7, 2025) 📊 CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY (from the 4 charts)
From the charts you've given, I’ve identified a few key things:
- NIFTY is in a bullish short-term market structure , but it’s tapping into premium prices in a possible higher timeframe redistribution zone.
- There's a liquidity sweep and inducement pattern near the highs.
- Some FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled.
- Possible reversal sell setup from a 4H or daily bearish order block that aligns with premium pricing in a range.
🧠 Step-by-Step ICT/SMC Analysis
1. Market Structure & Bias
- 1H to 4H Structure: The market was pushing higher, making HHs (higher highs) and HLs (higher lows).
- However, the latest high was taken with a wick, showing signs of a **buy-side liquidity raid rather than strength.
- After the raid, price left a bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) — a classic ICT signature for a reversal.
> 🔎 Interpretation:This is typical SMC inducement : retail traders get trapped buying a breakout, while smart money distributes into those buys and prepares to sell.
2. Key Liquidity Levels
- Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Taken at recent swing high (~NIFTY 22,520 zone)
- Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Resting below recent lows (~22,300 and then ~22,150)
> 🧠 SMC logic: Liquidity was engineered and taken at the highs. Now, the market may seek the **sell-side liquidity** next.
3. Order Blocks & Imbalances
- ✅ A clear Bearish Order Block formed near the 22,500–22,520 level on 1H/4H — this was the last up-candle before the sell-off (and a liquidity sweep).
- ✅ There's a clean FVG (Fair Value Gap) just under this OB — price wicked back into it but failed to close above.
> 🧠 ICT logic: Price fills the imbalance slightly, taps the OB, then rejects — suggesting smart money is selling from this zone.
4. Potential Trade Setup (Sell)
🎯 Trade Idea: Intraday / Swing Short
| Component | Level / Description
|--------------------|-------------------------------------------------|
| Bias | Bearish (short-term retracement expected) |
| Entry | ~22,500–22,520 (OB + FVG confluence zone) |
| Stop Loss | Above 22,570 (above the liquidity sweep wick) |
| TP1 | 22,300 (low of range, internal liquidity) |
| TP2 | 22,150 (external liquidity sweep zone) |
| TP3 (optional) | 22,000 (discount zone of full move) |
| R:R | Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 depending on exit |
🧱 Confluence Checklist
| ICT/SMC Element | Confirmed? | Notes
|----------------------------|------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------|
| Break of Structure | ✅ | Lower high failed to break previous HH with momentum
| Liquidity Sweep | ✅ | Buy-side taken at the top with a wick
| FVG Presence | ✅ | 1H Fair Value Gap post sweep
| Bearish Order Block | ✅ | Confirmed on 1H and 4H
| Displacement | ✅ | Strong sell candle after sweep
| Retracement to OB/FVG | ✅ | Price returns to OB to mitigate orders
| Premium Pricing Zone | ✅ | Above 50% of the full range (using FIB anchoring)
🔄 Scenario Management
- If price rejects OB and sells off, you’re in good hands — standard SMC setup.
- If price closes above 22,570, the OB is invalidated → exit the short.
- If the setup works, scale partial profits at TP1 and trail to TP2/TP3.
📉 It's not a long-term bearish call on NIFTY — it’s a mean-reversion swing targeting liquidity below.
Fibre/EURUSD ready to move higher...Hello traders!
There is so much on the Daily chart of Fibre that points to obvious bullishness of the market that I could not place all of it on the chart. But I have marked what seemed crucial to be seen.
Market has taken smooth lows of 15th, 16th, 17th, & 20th January, 2025 and strongly rejected from 1.02113 . Also, observe how 20th January's daily candle shifted the market structure . We're inside a Bullish breaker on the daily, supported by a daily ifvg (check how the market has respected the consequent encroachment of that gap perfectly).
Things don't end here. DXY has broken the range to the downside with lower draws. Market symmetry is currently missing but Fibre should follow DXY soon.
The draw and the targets for the weekly range have been marked on the chart. Equal highs is the low hanging fruit.
Narrative is paramount when it comes to applying ICT concepts. That takes a lot of practice and time. Having said that, let's discuss when this idea will be marked as failed. 3 PDAs. If 3 PDAs fail on the daily timeframe, I'll not engage the market and wait for more feedback from the market.
Have a wonderful and learning-oriented week.
GLGT.
Looking for sellside in USDJPY...Hello traders!
Yen gave the draw targets as I had previously outlined on X and TradingView & now we're looking for sellside.
As long as price is held below the daily ifvg, I'm bearish.
Already executed a scalp today on the 15 seconds chart in alignment with the said draw.
Not financial advice.
GLGT.
Nifty laying traps... another one for sellers...Hello Traders!
The market is constantly trapping sellers without moving to the downside. Right now, nothing in draw on liquidity is obvious. It, frankly, can go either ways . And what does it mean when we can frame both sides of market using ICT concepts? It means that we have LOW PROBABILITY conditions . I'm sitting on the sidelines until the market gains clarity, favouring buyside delivery.
As long as the invalidation low of 22725 holds, my bias would remain bullish . Once that low is taken, I'm not interested in price and would wait for the market to provide more info.
When it looks that it can go either ways, the market structure gets filthy and PRECISION leaves the chat. WAIT FOR MORE CLARITY . Or gamble . It's absolutely your choice .
Have a safe trading day.
GLGT.
EURGBP TURTLE SOUP The turtle soup strategy identifies potential trading opportunities by looking for patterns where price briefly breaks above or below a short-term high or low before reversing direction. To use this strategy successfully, traders must analyze charts to identify areas of high liquidity, such as order blocks, fair value gaps, and relative equal lows, at different time frames in order to anticipate these reversals.
How would Bitcoin react? Btc/Usdt Chart analysis Bitcoin on Hourly chart is has formed HH & HL (HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW). Trend is definitely bullish but after a massive move every assets goes for a correction. Looking at hourly chart we can see that Bitcoin is trading in range bound and it need to take any side liquidity for any trade to be executed. For buy we would suggest to wait for the ATH (All time high) to be breaken out. So sell side we would suggest to wait for a MSS( Market structure shift). Weekends are usually slower for Crypto market. We will wait for the first Asian session of the day to start and will trade plan accordingly
XAUUSD 4H | Liq. Grab or BOSXAUUSD on 4H chart shows a critical order block. Where liquidity may accumulate. Price could either respect the OB, indicating a bearish reaction and potential displacement lower or break of structure. Leading to a bullish expansion towards new ATH.
Watch for potential mitigation in this zone.
Market structure shift will clarify the next move.






















