Strange Observation between NIFTY and GOLD...Since August 1, 1991: When ever NIFTY and GOLD return are same NIFTY gives handsome return in coming months.
Good examples of above statement are years 2003, 2009, 2013 and 2020.
Since August 1, 1991: NIFTY has given approx 4200% return and GOLD has given approx 2750% return. Difference in return is approx 1450%.
Going by the above observation either NIFTY has to come down or GOLD has to go up (or both) for NIFTY to give handsome return.
NOTE: This is just a strange observation/correlation.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Index
#Nifty | Breakout Confirmed, Now Eyes on Support for Next Move#Nifty Update (Daily):
CMP: 25,891.40
Following our previous update at 25,285, Nifty has decisively broken out above the Symmetrical Triangle pattern and surged to a high of 26,104 today. Price action formed a bearish candle but managed to close positively on the daily chart.
🔄 What to expect next?
A potential retest of breakout levels is likely as profit booking is expected after a strong rally of over 1,500 points from the swing low. Watch the key support zones closely for a possible bounce.
🔽 Support Zones to watch :
25,669 - 25,638
25,449 - 25,424
⚡️ If Nifty holds these levels and reverses, it could set the stage for a renewed upmove aimed at surpassing the all-time high (ATH) at 26,277.
🔼 Resistance Zones to watch :
26,104 (recent high)
26,216 - 26,277 (ATH)
📈 A sustained break above the ATH will confirm continuation toward the symmetrical triangle’s ultimate target near 26,700 .
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #BreakOutRetest | #SymmetricalTriangle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#SENSEX | Cup & Handle Breakout Loading?CMP: 82,600
A classic Cup & Handle pattern is forming on the weekly chart of SENSEX , signaling a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend. A breakout above the neckline could trigger a fresh rally.
Pattern: Cup & Handle (Bullish Continuation)
Breakout Confirmation: Weekly close above handle neckline
Pattern Target: +15% upside → ~96,500
Invalidation: Weekly close below 79,741
📌 Key Zones:
Resistances: 84,059 – 84,100 / 85,978 (All-Time High)
Supports: 82,133 / 81,307 / 80,426
⚠️ Watch for a strong weekly close above the neckline to confirm breakout.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#SENSEX | #BSE | #CupAndHandle | #ChartPattern | #PriceAction
#Nifty Weekly Outlook – Cup & Handle in Focus!CMP: 25,285
Primary Trend: Uptrend (Bullish Bias)
🔽 Support Zones
• 25154 – 25084
• 24858 – 24768
• 24588 (Major swing support)
🔼 Resistance Zones
• Immediate Resistance: 25424 – 25449
• Next Hurdles: 25638 – 25669
• Key Breakout Level: 26179 – 26277.35 (ATH)
Pattern: Cup & Handle ☕️
A classic Cup & Handle pattern is forming on the weekly timeframe , following a strong uptrend, which is a bullish continuation setup.
• 🧭 Neckline breakout (sloping white trendline) is the key trigger.
• 🎯 Target Projection: ~29,500 (~16% upside potential post-breakout)
🔒 Pattern Invalidation Level
• Weekly close below 24,337 negates the pattern.
⏳ Awaiting Breakout Confirmation
• A weekly close above the neckline with solid volume will confirm the breakout .
• Until then, price remains in a healthy consolidation.
✅ Dips into support zones can be used for positioning, with proper risk management.
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #CupAndHandle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Bank Nifty spot 55458.85 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateBank Nifty spot 55458.85 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Minor Gap Down of Tuesday 26th Aug got closure
- Resistance Zone 54975 to 55575 for Bank Nifty Index
- Updated Support Zone 53775 to 54450 for Bank Nifty
- Rising Support Channel seems back in positive action mode
- Resistance Zone seems holding ground and Bank Nifty yet to make a breakout from here
Nifty 50 spot 25327.05 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25327.05 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Rising Support Channel sustained a positive supportive role
- Bullish "W" Double Bottom uptrend momentum yet on strong ground
- Falling Resistance Trendline active and Resistance Channel Breakout sustained
- Updated Resistance Zone 25430 to 25670 for Nifty Index based on current week momentum
- Updated Support Zone at 24875 to 25135 for the Nifty Index gained strength by weekly closure above 25000
Nifty Financial Services Index-Reversal Set-Long Eyes ONLeolaLens SignalPro has triggered a fresh Buy indication on the 15-minute chart after a prolonged downtrend. This signal has emerged near a possible reversal zone, with defined risk and potential reward setup.
Entry: Around 26,660
Stop Loss: 26,599
🎯 Target 1: 26,880
🎯 Target 2: 27,040
🎯 Target 3 (Extended): 27,240
Key Observations:
Price attempting short-term EMA crossover
Favorable risk-reward ratio setup
Chart structure suggests potential for short-term reversal
🛑 Disclaimer:
This chart is shared strictly for educational purposes. This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research and consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BTC ready for continuation of UP move with a reward ratio of 5RSI Profile shows a positive trend for BTCUSD and and risk reward ration is above 5. Also a Bullish triangle pattern seems to reach near complete on BTC Chart. Price is above RSI Point of Control, hence a small SL below POC and target is near the Value area High.
Entry near 105600
Target near 108940
Sl near 104995
RR : 5.16
PS : Above is only for Educational purpose and does not constitute any financial advice. Do your Own Research.
Nifty Breaks Past 25,000: Is a New High on the Horizon?Last week, Nifty broke above the psychological milestone of 25,000, shaking off market doubts and sparking fresh bullish momentum.
◉ Key levels to watch:
The zone between 24,750–24,850 now acts as immediate support, while 23,750–23,850 remains a major support.
This rally wasn't just a technical bounce — it was fuelled by meaningful tailwinds:
● India-Pakistan Ceasefire helped ease geopolitical concerns, calming the nerves of investors.
● Cooling inflation in both India and the U.S. sparked hopes of rate cuts, improving market liquidity.
● Strong corporate earnings from majors like Hero MotoCorp , HCL Tech , and Tata Motors lifted sentiment.
With continued FII inflows , the bullish momentum is expected to persist — potentially pushing Nifty toward its all-time high in the near term.
Nifty Outlook: Range-Bound Week Ahead?📈 Nifty wrapped up the week on a positive note, climbing about 1% and keeping the bullish sentiment alive.
🔍 However, the daily chart reveals some hesitation, as the index struggles to stay above the 24,400 mark.
📊 Looking ahead, Nifty is likely to move sideways between 24,500 and 24,000, with heavy call writing at the top and put writing at the bottom, creating a tight trading range.
⚠️ Adding to the caution, the India VIX closed above 18, hinting at increased market Volatility.
💡 Bottom line: Traders should gear up for a volatile and range-bound week ahead. Stay sharp, stay strategic!
Banking Sector Boost Nifty to New Levels: What’s Coming Next?The Nifty has shown a clear turnaround with a double bottom pattern and has broken past the 23,800 level. This strong move is mostly thanks to the banking sector, especially with great Q4 results from HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank.
The Bank Nifty, now trading just below its all-time high, might struggle near 55,000—a zone that previously triggered a pullback, leading to consolidation in the broader market.
For Nifty, the immediate resistance is seen at the 24,000 level, where significant call writing activity may pose a hurdle. On the downside, a breach below 23,500 could signal a potential reversal, dragging the index into a downtrend once again.
The 1929 Trade Tariff Vs The 2025 Trade Tariff (DOW JONES)Charts are self explanatory.
This is a simple comparison of the 1929 Dow Jones with the 2025 Dow Jones. As you can observe, there are many similarities.
Big Question: Can the Dow Jones again experience a 90% correction, similar to the one between 1929 and 1932 ?
NOTE: This is just an observation/correlation.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
DXY Monthly Analysis: Key Support Holding, Bullish Move Ahead?📊 DXY Monthly Chart Analysis (March 27, 2025)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 104.267, with notable resistance ahead.
Price is consolidating within a key demand zone (~102.5–104) after rejecting higher levels.
Technical Levels:
Support Zone: 100.2–104 (Highlighted in purple)
Resistance Zone: 112.5–114.7 (Highlighted in purple)
Major Resistance: 114.77 (Previous high, acting as a supply zone)
200-MA Support: Located below current price, offering a long-term bullish confluence.
Market Structure:
Price remains in a higher time-frame bullish trend but is experiencing a correction.
The "BOSS" level (Break of Structure) suggests a prior bullish breakout.
If the demand zone holds, a bullish continuation towards 112.5–114.7 is possible.
Projected Move:
A bounce from 102–104 could trigger a rally toward the upper resistance zone (~112.5).
A break below 100.2 could indicate a shift in trend and further downside.
Conclusion:
DXY is at a critical decision point. Holding the current support zone (~102–104) could fuel a bullish continuation toward 112–114, while a breakdown below 100.2 would weaken bullish momentum.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Key Technical Levels & Market OutlookU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Monthly Chart Analysis 📊💵
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently navigating a critical price structure, with key supply and demand zones influencing market direction. Here’s a professional breakdown of the chart’s technical outlook:
📍 Key Technical Insights
✅ Supply & Demand Zones
Supply Zone (Resistance): 109 - 114 📈 – A key area where selling pressure has historically emerged. A decisive breakout above this level could signal further upside potential.
Demand Zone (Support): 100 - 103 📉 – A strong accumulation zone where buyers have stepped in previously. A breakdown below could indicate a shift in market sentiment.
✅ Market Structure & Momentum
A Break of Structure (BOSS) has been identified, signaling a shift in trend dynamics.
The market is currently ranging between major resistance (~109) and support (~100).
✅ 200-Month Moving Average 📊
The long-term moving average (red line) is acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish bias unless decisively breached.
📊 Potential Scenarios
🔹 Bullish Outlook: If DXY maintains support above 100-103 and breaks past 109, the index could aim for 114+ in the coming months. 🚀
🔹 Bearish Risk: A sustained drop below 100 may open the door for further downside towards 95-89, signaling a broader correction. ⚠️
📌 Conclusion
The DXY remains in a consolidation phase, with key inflection points around 103 (support) and 109 (resistance). A breakout or breakdown from this range will determine the next major trend. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential trading opportunities.
Breakdown in NIFTY...Nifty has broken it's channel support line (Lower Channel Level) on weekly closing basis. Nifty's next two support after breakdown are marked with green lines.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NIFTY - Breakdown OR Support...Nifty is third time at it's channel support line (Lower Channel Level). Weekly close below it will confirm breakdown.
Nifty's next two support after breakdown are marked with green lines.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NIFTY 50 I Falling Wedge Pattern + Bulllish Divergence Nifty 50 Index is currently trading within a very important zone in simple words called area of interest Usually consisting of demand or supply zone. This level has acted as a solid base for the index.
The NIFTY 50 index presents a promising opportunity to initiate long positions at these levels (CMP23,000), Aligning well with the risk reward ratio and making it a favourable entry point for traders looking for Taking advantage of the upcoming trend.
The index has shown a pattern of forming lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a downtrend. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a contrasting pattern of higher highs and higher lows. This divergence between price action and RSI suggests a potential shift in momentum and a possibility of a short covering rally.
Adding to this I see a falling wedge pattern which is a bullish signal suggesting an upward price movement which typically appears in a downtrend and often seen as a bullish Reversal pattern.
The analysis holds true when price close above 23,824 - daily timeframe.
While entering on current levels also has good opportunity of risk reward ratio, I suggest looking for a pin bar candle on today's close will Confirm Market picking support from the levels .
Conversely if nifty 50 index continues to recover, We could see a push towards 24,200 and 24,800 Which represent key Resistance areas. A good breakout above these levels likely signal Continuation of bullish trends in the indian markets.
The Nifty 50 Dilemma: Which Way Will the Index Swing?◉ Technical Analysis
● Nifty has formed a Falling Wedge pattern on the daily chart, typically considered a bullish signal.
● Simultaneously, a Three Black Crows candlestick pattern has emerged over the last three sessions, indicating bearish sentiment.
● The bearish pattern is significant as it has formed near the trendline resistance, suggesting a potential pullback toward the 23,000 level.
◉ OI Data Analysis
● The 23,600 level has the highest call writer concentration, acting as immediate resistance.
● The 23,200 level shows the highest put writer accumulation, serving as strong support.
◉ Possible Next Move
● If the index opens with a slight gap-up below 23,600, selling pressure is likely to continue in the coming week.
● Even with a significant gap-up above 23,600, a bearish scenario may persist.
● For a confirmed trend reversal, the index must decisively break and hold above the 23,800 level.
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀
📈 Breakout in Progress:
The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum.
📊 Trend & Structure:
Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend.
Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years.
📉 EMA 200 Support:
The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level.
🔮 Future Projection:
A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels.
Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone)
🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline)
💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
Consumption Boom: Tax Cuts Fuel India's Consumer Stock SurgeRecent trends in the Indian stock market indicate a significant shift from industrials to consumer-oriented stocks, particularly in sectors such as consumer goods, consumer discretionary, and automobiles. This change has been catalysed by the government's recent budget announcement, which included income tax cuts aimed at boosting consumer spending.
◉ Key Insights
● Increased Consumer Spending: The reduction in income tax is expected to enhance disposable income for individuals, thereby accelerating the shift towards consumption stocks. This trend is already visible, with the Nifty India Consumption Index NSE:CNXCONSUMPTION rising over 3% following the budget announcement.
● Impact on Industrial Stocks: Conversely, industrials faced a downturn post-budget, with the BSE Capital Goods Index dropping by 3% and the Infrastructure and Industrials indices falling over 2.5%. This indicates a market sentiment that favours consumer spending over capital expenditure in the short term.
● Bullish Outlook on Specific Sectors: Analysts are optimistic about sectors such as paints, consumer durables (including electric goods), and two-wheeler manufacturers like Bajaj Auto. These stocks are seen as underperformers that stand to benefit significantly from increased consumption.
◉ Government's Strategy
The government's strategy to stimulate consumption rather than focusing solely on capital expenditure marks a notable shift in fiscal policy. The intent is clear: by putting more money in consumers' hands, the government aims to invigorate spending and support economic growth.
◉ Market Predictions
Market participants predict that consumption stocks will lead market rallies in the near to medium term. The expected increase in spending from the middle class could help alleviate slow growth numbers in sectors like automotive and FMCG.
◉ Conclusion
As investors navigate these changes on Dalal Street, it is crucial to consider the implications of government policies on market dynamics. The current environment presents opportunities for those looking to invest in consumer-focused sectors while remaining cautious about industrial stocks in the near future.






















