Volatility Contraction Pattern | Indigo Paints✅The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is a price pattern that indicates a potential breakout.
✅How it works:- A stock's price volatility contracts before a significant price movement, which can result in explosive upward momentum.
💡 Indigo Paints Overview
1️⃣Short-Term Outlook
👉Caution Advised: Current indicators suggest short-term caution for investors .
👉Diwali Impact: Potential boost during the festive season as paint stocks typically gain interest
👉Sector Sentiment: Positive investor sentiment in the paint sector may support demand .
2️⃣Recent Performance
👉Stock High: Reached a 52-week high of ₹1,649.1 on October 21, 2024 .
👉Earnings Report: Strong revenue growth, but EPS missed analyst expectations .
👉Insider Activity: Recent share sales by executives raise concerns .
👉Market Position: Stock increased by 5.28%, outperforming the sector .
3️⃣Long-Term Investment Analysis
⭕️Positive Factors:⭕️
Revenue Growth: Increased 18.47% YoY, indicating strong sales
EPS Improvement: Up 12.59% YoY, showing profitability growth
✅Concerns:
✍️Market Underperformance: Stock returned 16.2% over the past year, below the Sensex's 21.4%
✍️ROCE Decline: Latest ROCE at 23.65%, suggesting potential efficiency issues
📌 Conclusion
Indigo Paints has growth potential due to revenue and EPS increases, but investors should remain cautious about market performance and ROCE trends.
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Indigolong
Indigo Paints cmp 1654.15 by Weekly Chart since listed*Indigo Paints cmp 1654.15 by Weekly Chart since listed*
- Resistance Zone 1640 to 1680 soon to be Support Zone subject to Breakout made
- Weekly basis Support at 1501 > 1351 > 1174 with Resistance at 1770 > 1905 > 2050
- Back to Back repeat Bullish Rounding Bottoms with the current Resistance Zone and soon to act as Support Zone
- Traded Volumes are needed to sustain Breakout attempt over the Resistance Zone soon to be acting as Support Zone
- Price sustaining well above Falling Resistance Trendline and attempting Breakout above Resistance Zone soon to be Support Zone
Indigo Airlines - Launch on results towards 3000
Many stocks have rallied hard after good results in indian markets
Indigo has been in a trading range for close to 2 years without any major triggers
Results, fundamental outlook in terms of crude and travel could be key catalysts
Take a small position before results and a full position right after results if they are good
If results are not great, can still exit at a small loss
Expect this stock to go closer to 3000 in 3-6 months and hence this is a positional stock buy. Can also sell some put credit spreads close to results on elevated implied vols
Indigo 14.2.22INDIGO : LONG 14.2.22
Analysis :
1. Price : HH/HL, near ATH
2. Pattern : W
3. Volume : rising
4. Momentum : GFS
5. Volatility : 15m squeeze opening
6. Trend : bullish (Price and RSI)
7. Trend Strength : +DI / rising
8. Time analysis : nearing full moon 16.2.22 (crossing ATH possible)
Trade Setup : (1HR Chart, Intraday)
CMP : 2265
Entry : 2285
Stop : 2244 (ma)
Points : 41
Target : 2380
Points : 95
RR (P/L) : 95:41 = 2.3:1
Max Loss : 9000
Possible investment scenarios :
CASH :
Number of shares : 220
Investment : 502700
Max Profit : 20,900
Max Loss : 9020
FUTURES : (1Lot only)
Number of shares : 250
Investment : 1,42,000
Max Profit : 23,750
Max Loss : 10,250
Pyramiding (Futures) : Convert to BTST trade from Intraday
In futures you can take 3 lots if you have 5L capital.
1st lot : 2285, SL = 2244
2nd lot : once SL is above 2285
3rd lot : once SL(MA) crosses SL of 2nd lot
Trail SL if prices crosses final target of 2380, this is All Time High
Breakout possible in INDIGO as per weekly chartA good weekly resistance may be broken in INDIGO which can give us further up move towards 2400+ levels.
Weekly Volume is good as well as RSI is around 69 which gives us possibility of further upwards move for some more time.
Once can take a BUY above current levels with SL below 2248.
Broadening Wedge Pattern in INDIGO projected 2370+ targetIn 30 minutes time frame,
INDIGO showing consolidation zone and creating broadening wedge pattern. Currently it's trading near the support level of this pattern. So most chances there have a reversal from this support level. There have 2 possible entry's in this stock as below:
1) Reversal Entry:-
Can take entry near support level with targets upto the resistance level. Possible it will face resistance level near 2260(nearly 100+ points). For this trade can place stop loss below support level. Also, Can hold this trade with trailing stop loss for breakout entry.
2) Breakout Entry:-
Once this stock reached it's resistance level there have chances of breakout. Once this gives breakout can go long for target of 2370+ with stop loss below resistance level.
Disclaimer:
Consider this post as an education purpose. Before taking any trade always consult with your financial advisor. All mentioned patterns and levels are based on probability and previous history. Don't consider it as a surely. Always trade with risk management.
Simple Trade Setup | INDIGO | 29-09-2021 [INTRADAY]NSE:INDIGO
Observations:
1) On Daily Time Frame, we can see that it just closed above 21DMA which is placed at 2018.05 level on daily time frame.
Also it took support from 1985 and closed just at 2023 level. 1985 to 2023 level is very critical zone.
It can bounce back to be bullish from here if it holds above it and takes support from here, otherwise breakdown on this range will make it bearish.
Please refer below chart : Daily Time Frame.
2) On 15 min time frame, we can see the signal of bullish divergence as price is making lower lows while RSI is making higher lows. So if it sustain above 1985-2023 level range then there is good chance for up move.
Please refer below chart : 15min Time Frame.
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Trade Setup for Date 29-09-2021:
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between levels.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respsective level considering how price action works near that level.
Indigo - Expecting More than 100% returns🔴DISCLAIMER
***** It's just for an educational purpose and so you must also follow your own technical analysis before taking up the trade ******
Aggressive traders enter at the breakout and conservative traders may give entry after retracement (Retracement is optional, we cannot expect every stock to take a retest after the breakout, it may also continue to have its bullish pressure after the breakout)
After reaching our targets, trail your stop loss to get maximum profit from the stock in a single trade