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ChumTrades XAUUSD intraday outlookXAUUSD – Intraday Plan (M15) Market Context Price is currently ranging in a very tight consolidation. Momentum is weak → market favors intraday range trading rather than chasing breakouts. Short-term structure remains intact; focus on price reaction at key levels. Daily Strategy Main approach: trade the range, trade the reaction. Buy at predefined support / Fibonacci zones, sell at clear resistance. If a breakout occurs, wait for a retest before following the move. Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Key Buy Zones 4246 – 4244 (Fibo 0.5) 4236 – 4233 (Fibo 0.618) 4210 – 4208 (deep support reaction) ❌ Bullish structure invalidation: M15 close below 4200 Key Sell Zones 4300 – 4305 (psychological resistance) 4310 (Fibonacci extension – reaction sell) Special Notes (Friday) No major economic news today, but it is Friday – end of week. Price action may become choppy and unpredictable, especially during the US session (a pattern seen in recent weeks). Risk management is key: Focus on short-term trades Take profits early Avoid holding positions over the weekend Good luck Bro !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
Will gold stay sideways before the rate announcement?WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO SIDEWAY BEFORE INTEREST RATE ANNOUNCEMENT? WHAT DO YOU THINK 2 projected scenarios THIS WEEK. Scenario 1 – Gold moves sideways below 4,200 until close to FOMC If the price stubbornly stays below 4,200, unable to break through → when FOMC erupts, there's a high chance gold will break through 4,200. Target falls to: 4,000 – 4,050 → this is the beautiful zone to Buy swing The nearest zone 409x might have a reaction, pay attention (this zone is for today before fedfundrate) Scenario 2 – Early week gold strengthens back to 4,200 If early in the week gold recovers well, touching 4,200 → FOMC at this time will become a push to propel gold back up. Near target: 4,360, returning to test the previous peak. THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR: FED'S TONE. A 0.25% reduction is almost certain. But the story lies in what Powell will say. If Powell is HAWKISH like: “Only reducing this time, economy is strong, not considering QE yet…” → This is strong bad news for gold and the entire asset market. Gold drops, coins drop, stocks drop... If the FED softens a bit: Just a little dovish → gold will bounce extremely fast, no time to react. In summary for this week Gold is compressing very strongly around 4,200 FOMC will decide the direction Major volatility will definitely appear Just wait for the price to react before taking action — follow the strategy, follow the discipline. Trade well, everyone.
TVC:GOLD
by Chum_trades
what do you think about today's gold price?Hello Traders, what do you think about today's gold price? Today the market will have news related to Unemployment Benefits, so I expect the trading range to be slightly narrow and liquidity relatively low. Please be more cautious in placing orders and managing capital. Below are the important support – resistance zones I am monitoring today: 🔵 BUY ZONE (Support) 4180 – 4184 4160 – 4165 4150 – 4155 4130 – 4133 ➡️ These are strong support zones – prioritize watching for Buy in the Sideway range. 🔴 SELL ZONE (Resistance) 4240 – 4244 4250 – 4255 ➡️ These are the upper resistance zones – suitable for watching for Sell when the price rebounds to the range. 👀 NEAREST OBSERVATION ZONE 4217 – 4220 ➡️ This is the directional zone, observe price reactions to determine continuation or adjustment forces. 🎯 Trading orientation for the day Personal style: SL10 price – TP10 price. Trade within the Sideway range, Buy low – Sell high. Break any zone, trade that zone, avoid holding orders against the trend. Low liquidity → trade lightly & manage capital tightly. ⚠️ Note: This is a personal trading plan, not investment advice. Please consider it as reference material. Wishing you a successful trading day – enter and win! 💹✨
TVC:GOLD
by Chum_trades
What do you think about gold’s movement today?Hello traders! What do you think about gold’s movement today? Market Context This morning, the Fed Chair delivered a speech without mentioning any economic updates. Despite that, gold still showed a corrective move, indicating that the SELL side remains dominant at the moment. Main Strategy for Today 🔴 Prefer SELL setups Stop selling only if price breaks above 4,246 — a key level defended by sellers. Consider SELL entries at the previous high 4,265. Additional SELL reaction zone to watch: 4,227 – 4,225. BUY on deeper pullbacks Ideal BUY zone: 4,194 – 4,190 BUY zone: 4,209 – 4,206 → Only BUY if strong support reactions or reversal patterns appear. 🎯 Risk Management Stop Loss (SL): 100 pips Take Profit (TP): 100 pips → Maintain consistent risk throughout the session. Do you think gold will continue to face bearish pressure and break lower, or will it bounce from these deeper support zones and regain momentum?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
TRADING PLAN XAUUSD 12/1/2025🔔 Hello everyone! Let’s take a quick look at today’s market context and the trading plan for gold (XAUUSD). 📌 1. Market Context & Fundamentals Gold has broken above the previous descending trendline and is maintaining a bullish structure on the H4 timeframe. Bullish momentum is supported by several macro factors: Expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, as well as rising friction between Japan and China, which increases safe-haven demand. Price may move sideways/pin during the session before continuing its broader uptrend. 2. Main Trading Idea: BUY BIAS ✅ Key BUY Zones 4190 – 4194 4150 – 4153 4105 – 4110 (deeper zone) Nearest zone: 4210 – 4215 ➡️ Each entry targets approximately 100 pips 3. Short-term SELL Reaction Zones (Scalping Only) 4250 – 4256 (recent high) 4294 – 4295 4300 4312 – 4315 ➡️ Sell setups are only for quick scalps, not for holding long. Target ~100 pips 4. Expected Price Scenarios If price pulls back to support → look for BUY setups aligned with the trend. If price reaches strong resistance → only scalp SELL setups, avoid long holding. Overall trend remains bullish, so BUY remains the primary strategy. Summary H4 Trend: Bullish Trading Bias: Mainly BUY – SELL only at key resistance for scalps Macro & geopolitical environment is supportive for gold upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
Automotive Axles - ATH Breakout - Investment Ideas#Automotive Axles Limited - Technical Analysis Current Price: 1,790.80 #Breakout & Retest = Opportunity #Technical Setup Strategy: Swing to Short Term Trade ✅ **ATH Breakout + Retest** - Successfully retested breakout zone ✅ **Higher High Formation** - Clear uptrend structure ✅ **EMAs Sorted** - Bullish alignment confirmed ✅ **Trendline Breakout** - Long-term resistance conquered #Key Levels Support: 1,520 (Tight SL) | 1,504 (Major support) Swing Targets: - T1: 2,078 - T2: 2,189 - T3: 2,284 Short-Term Targets: - T1: 2,546 - T2: 2,800 - T3: 2,933 - Grand T4: 3,125 #tradesetup Entry: Current levels (1,790 - 1,800) Stop Loss: 1,520 (daily closing basis) Risk-Reward: 1:3+ (excellent) Timeframe: 2-6 months Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. #AutomotiveAxles #SwingTrading #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NSE #AutoStocks #ShortTermTrading #StockMarket #ATHBreakout #IndianStocks
NSE:AUTOAXLESLong
by earnwhileulearn
SRF LTD - Short term Investment#SRF Limited - Technical Analysis Current Price: 2,927.30 Quick Overview Strategy: Short to Long Term Investment Pattern: Multi-year consolidation breakout (Jan'21-Feb'25) with successful retest #Technical Setup ✅ Long Consolidation Breakout & Retest - 4-year base broken ✅ Buy on Dips - Current correction = opportunity ✅ Sorted EMAs - All moving averages bullish ✅ Higher Highs - Clean uptrend structure #Key Levels Support: - 2,838 (Immediate) - 2,720 (Strong) - 2,400 (Major - Weekly SL) Targets: - T1: 3,163 - T2: 3,472 - T3: 4,049 Entry Zones: - Primary: 2,850 - 2,950 (Current) - Secondary: 2,720 - 2,800 (on dips) Risk-Reward: 1:2.3 (to final target) #Strategy - Build positions in tranches during dips. Hold for short term for optimal returns. Book partial at ₹3,163, hold core for higher targets. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Markets are subject to risks. Consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. #SRFLimited #LongTermInvesting #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #NSE #ChemicalStocks #PatiencePaysPremium #IndianStockMarket #PositionalTrading
NSE:SRFLong
by earnwhileulearn
BIL - Buy - ATH Breakout#Bhartiya International Limited - Technical Analysis Report Current Price: 879.85 Market Overview Bhartiya International is displaying strong bullish momentum after successfully retesting its 2017 high breakout level. The stock is currently sustaining above recent highs, indicating robust buyer interest and potential for further upside. Technical Setup Swing Trade Configuration: - Entry Zone: Current levels around 880 - Stop Loss: 851.50 (below recent consolidation) - Risk-Reward: Favorable with multiple upside targets Price Targets: - Near-term: 961 / 1018 / 1099 / 1253 - Long-term: 1330 / 1720 Key Technical Observations 1. **2017 High Breakout Retest:** The stock has successfully broken out and retested the 2017 high resistance, which has now converted into support. This is a classic bullish pattern indicating strength. 2. **50-period EMA Support:** Price is sustaining above the 50 EMA, confirming the uptrend remains intact. 3. **Hidden Divergence:** The chart shows hidden divergence on lower timeframes, typically indicating trend continuation - a bullish signal for swing traders. 4. **Higher Highs Formation:** The stock is consistently making higher highs, demonstrating strong momentum and buyer dominance. Trading Strategy The setup favors swing traders looking for medium-term gains. The retracement and previous all-time high methodology suggests a structured approach to profit booking at each target level while maintaining a trailing stop loss. Targets based on Fibonacci retracement, previous retracement patterns, and historical ATH analysis. **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NSE:BILLong
by earnwhileulearn
GOLD broke out of the H4 trendline — real breakout or trap? Hello Traders! 👋 Gold has broken out of the H4 descending trendline, boosted by geopolitical tension and a weaker USD. But the real question is: Is this a true breakout or just FOMO before a drop? Here are the key zones I’ll be watching today: BUY Zones (SL 10 – TP 10) • 4165 – 4155 • 4170 – 4175 • 4140 – 4145 • 4110-4108 • 4099-4096 SELL Reaction Zones (SL 10 – TP 10) • 4200 – 4203 • 4212 – 4215 • 4230-4035 • 4245 – 4247 👉 If price breaks below 4133, the trendline fails → potential sell-continuation setup. 📌 Bias: BUY is the main play — SELL only for short reaction scalps. 💬 What do YOU think — real breakout or classic bull trap? Drop your thoughts below! ❤️ Let’s discuss & grow together!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD BUY OR SELL TODAY?1. Main Market Context for Today Jobless claims came in better than expected → USD strengthens, but gold did not drop — it continued to move sideways → the market is in accumulation and waiting for a breakout. Today’s priority strategy is range trading: Lower range: 4130–4135 Upper range: 4170–4175 Once price breaks clearly out of either range → switch to trend-following (pursuit) trading. 2. Range-Trading Plan (Primary Strategy for Today) (A) Buy at the Lower Range – 413X Zone Buy area: 4130–4135 SL: 100 pips TP: 100 pips Reason: This is the main demand zone and aligns with the ascending trendline shown on your chart. ➡️ Strategy: Wait for price to “sweep” the lows → show confirmation → then take a quick BUY trade. (B) Sell at the Upper Range – 417X Zone Sell area: 4170–4175 Reason: Strong supply zone with repeated reactions. ➡️ Strategy: Wait for a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) → then SELL. 3. Current Reaction Zone – 414X This is the zone price is currently testing. Do not enter immediately; just observe: If price bounces strongly from 414X → target is to retest 417X If 414X breaks → price will likely retest 413X → better BUY entries there. 4. Deeper BUY Zones (If Price Breaks Downward) Here are the levels you mentioned, organized clearly: BUY Zone 4110–4108 4102–4100 4096–4094 → These are deeper liquidity zones below the main range, activated only if gold breaks below 413X. 5. SELL Zones if Price Breaks Upward (Above 417X) SELL Zone 4202–4200 4194–4190 4183–4180 → These are upper supply retest zones, activated only after price breaks above 417X. 🟨 6. Main Scenarios for Today Scenario 1 – Expected Sideway (Highest Probability) Price moves within 413X – 417X, bouncing between the range limits. → Trade the range (scalp/intraday). Scenario 2 – Break Below Range If 4130 breaks → price will head to 4110 → 4100 → 4094 → BUY at deeper zones. Scenario 3 – Break Above Range If 4175 breaks → price will aim for 4183 → 4194 → 4200–4202 → SELL at higher zones. ✅ One-Line Trading Summary Trade primarily within the 413X–417X range (buy low – sell high). If the range breaks, switch to trend-following using the deeper BUY zones or higher SELL zones provided above.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December. Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today. Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising. ✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP 📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry) 4130 – 4136 → Open BUY. → Retest zone after breakout. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone) 4108 – 4113 → Strong BUY zone. → If broken → deeper correction possible. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES) Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...) 4100 – 4102 4092 – 4094 4088 4060 – 4066 → For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips). ❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP) 📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips. 🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area) 4192 – 4195 → Short SELL for quick reaction. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE 2 4200 – 4202 → Psychological resistance → SELL scalp. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension) 4180 – 4187 → Short-term SELL for a small pullback. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts: Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092. Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220. ⚠️ Risk Management Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly. This plan is for reference only, not financial advice. Trade responsibly. Have a good day, guys!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
HOW FAR WILL GOLD RISE? 1. MARKET CONTEXT Yesterday, during the Asian and European sessions, gold prices mainly moved sideways – accumulating within a narrow range. In the U.S. session, gold prices broke strongly through the 413X region and formed: Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (iH&S) The upward structure returns → buyers dominate This indicates that the upward momentum has returned, and the market leans towards continuing to rise if it does not break the important support area. Fundamental factors supporting buyers The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in December. Tonight there is PPI news — an important indicator directly affecting inflation expectations and Fed expectations. → This could be a catalyst for strong volatility in the U.S. session. 2. MAIN TRADING DIRECTION FOR THE DAY ➡️ Prioritize BUY (look to buy) according to the main trend. ➡️ SELL is only reactive – for retracement, not the main trend. 3. POTENTIAL BUY ZONES Beautiful support areas to look for buying opportunities today: 📍 BUY zone 1 – Nearest 413X (early day resistance and yesterday's breakout area) → Beautiful entry area for scalping or buy follow trend. 📍 BUY zone 2 4100 – 4103 → Psychological support & structural confluence area. 📍 BUY zone 3 4088 – 4090 📍 BUY zone 4 4060 – 4065 → Strong support area, look to catch the bottom in case of deep price correction. 4. REACTIVE SELL ZONES (ONLY SELL FOR RETRACEMENT) Only sell when price hits the area — clear rejection signals appear: 📍 SELL zone 1 (nearest) 4180 – 4186 📍 SELL zone 2 4190 – 4195 📍 SELL zone 3 4202 – 4205 Safe SELL conditions: Only sell counter-trend, prioritize scalping. If these areas are strongly broken + H1/H4 candle closes, consider buyers winning, then do not sell anymore. 5. CAPITAL MANAGEMENT – RISK MANAGEMENT SL = 10 points TP = 10 points RR ratio = 1:1.2 Do not hold positions through PPI news if not really sure about the pattern. 6. NOTES ON METHOD Buy orders will dominate the day. Sell only when there is a strong reaction at resistance. Scalping: open orders on smaller timeframes (M1–M5–M15) to optimize Entry. Always wait for price action confirmation (pinbar, engulfing, retest…) before entering orders. 7. SUMMARY Today's tendency is mainly BUY, based on: The return of the upward trend Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern Expectations of a dovish Fed PPI news triggering volatility Wishing everyone an effective trading day — total victory! 🔥💹
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
JSPL: Steeling Up for a Breakout MoveNSE:JINDALSTEL ====================================== 1. Technical Analysis (Chart) ====================================== Trend: Strong Bullish (Higher Highs, Higher Lows). Breakout Zone: ₹1,084. A weekly close above this enters uncharted territory (Blue Sky Zone). Immediate Support: ₹1,002. The trend remains positive as long as the price holds above this. Major Support: ₹770. Best accumulation zone for long-term investors. Price Action: Currently consolidating at the top. A "Red Candle" at resistance suggests minor profit booking before the next leg up. ====================================== 2. Fundamental Analysis (Q2 FY26 Data) ====================================== Recent Earnings: Weak. Net Profit fell ~26% YoY to ₹635 Cr due to higher input costs, though Revenue was stable at ₹13,505 Cr. Valuation: Expensive. Trading at a P/E of ~39x (vs Industry ~20x). The market is pricing in future growth, leaving little room for error. Margins: Compressed to ~17-18% (down from ~24%). Debt: Controlled. Net Debt reduced to ~₹14,156 Cr, showing good balance sheet discipline despite heavy Capex. ====================================== 3. Future Growth (The "Why" to Buy) ====================================== Angul Expansion: Capacity recently jumped from 6 MTPA to ~12.6 MTPA. This volume doubling is the key revenue driver for FY26-27. Product Shift: Moving to Flat Steel (Hot Strip Mill). This commands higher margins than construction steel. Raw Material Security: Owns captive coal mines (Utkal-C), protecting it from global coal price shocks better than peers. 2030 Vision: Aiming for 25 MTPA capacity, targeting to be the world’s largest single-location steel plant. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:JINDALSTELLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.11.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.11.2025 Timeframe: 3 Minutes If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend. When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance. If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways please like and share my idea if you find it helpful 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NSE:NIFTY
by AATHIE
DIXON Technologies - Swing Trade Analysis #Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. - Technical Analysis Report Current Price:15,697.00 Timeframe: Weekly Chart Analysis Market Structure Overview Dixon Technologies is currently trading at 15,697, showing signs of potential #bullish #momentum after a period of #consolidation. The #stock has been forming a significant base pattern following its decline from #all-time highs near 18,177. #Key Technical Levels #Support Zones - Primary Support: 13,800 - 14,311 (Conservative Stoploss zone) - Secondary Support: 13,260 - 13,280 - Critical Support: 12,000 (major psychological level) #Resistance Zones - Immediate Resistance: 16,102 - 16,505 - Key Resistance 1: 17,445 (Target 1) - Key Resistance 2: 19,148 (Target 2) - Major Resistance: 20,866 - 22,000 (Target 3 & 4 zone) #Chart Pattern Analysis The weekly chart reveals a **potential bullish reversal pattern** with the following characteristics: 1. Hidden Divergence: The chart shows hidden bullish divergence on momentum indicators, suggesting underlying strength despite recent price consolidation 2. Consolidation Box: A clear accumulation zone has formed between 13,800 and 16,500 3. Trend Channel: A rising trend channel indicates the potential for continued upward movement toward the 20,000+ zone #Trading Strategies #Aggressive Buy Setup - Entry Zone: 16,505 - 16,102 (on breakout confirmation) - Target Sequence: 17,445 → 19,148 → 20,866 - Stop Loss: Below 15,311 on candle closing basis - Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3+ ratio #Conservative Buy Setup - Entry Zone: 15,697 - 15,311 (current levels) - Target Sequence: 17,445 → 19,148 - Stop Loss: Below 14,311 on candle closing basis (Conservative Stoploss) - Risk-Reward: Approximately 1:2.5 ratio #Momentum Indicators The lower panel indicators suggest: - Recovery from oversold conditions - Building positive momentum - Potential for sustained upward movement if key resistance levels are breached #Fibonacci Levels Key Fibonacci retracement/extension levels marked on the chart: - 1.618 Extension: 20,882 - 1.414 Extension: 19,989 - 1.272 Extension: 19,367 - 1.000 Level: 18,177 #Outlook Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 16,505 with strong volume could trigger momentum toward 17,445 initially, with extended targets at 19,148 and potentially 20,866+. The stock appears to be in an accumulation phase with potential for a significant upside breakout. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above 14,311 on a closing basis would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a retest of 13,260-13,280 support zone. #Risk Management. - Always use stop-loss orders on a candle closing basis - Position sizing should not exceed 2-3% of total portfolio value - Avoid overleveraging in options or futures - Monitor volume confirmation on breakout levels DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. - Past performance is not indicative of future results - Trading and investing in stocks involves substantial risk of loss - All investment decisions should be made based on your own research, risk tolerance, and financial situation - Please consult with a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions - The author/analyst is not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis - Technical analysis has limitations and should be combined with fundamental analysis - Market conditions can change rapidly, and all levels mentioned are subject to change **Trade at your own risk. Always do your own due diligence.** *Analysis created using TradingView charts | Not SEBI Registered Investment Advice*
NSE:DIXONLong
by earnwhileulearn
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO DROP?1. Market Context Yesterday, gold was almost in accumulation throughout the Asian–European session and only broke out strongly in the latter half of the US session. After breaking out of the accumulation zone, the price dropped sharply around 4006 – a crucial key level – and surged strongly from there. However, statements from FED members remain hawkish, affirming the stance of keeping interest rates high for longer and not considering rate cuts yet. This creates -Downward pressure on gold -Cash flow leaning towards USD ------>>Market sentiment prioritises SELL on price recovery ➡️ Conclusion: Today, the main scenario remains SELL following the trend, BUY is only a secondary strategy & short scalp when reaching strong support. 🎯2. Today's Trading Scenario (SL: 10 points TP 10 points. RR ratio:1-2/1:3/1:5) 🔻 Main SELL (priority) SELL Zones: 4050 – 4055 4075 – 4080 4105 – 4110 🟦 Secondary BUY BUY Zones: 3996 – 3994 3965 – 3960 3935 – 3930 3895 – 3890
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
XAU/USD TRADING PLAN 17/11/20251️⃣ CONTEXT Last Friday saw a drop of ~200 points → confirming strong selling pressure. No major news today, expected movement: Wide sideways 4030–4120 Sell bias (priority to sell at high zones) The major trend remains in a down channel, any rise is mainly for unloading. 2️⃣ GENERAL RULES SL: 10 points for all trades TP: 10 points for all trades 3️⃣ SELL ZONES (PRIMARY) 4120–4125 4146–4148 4160–4165 4182–4185 4210–4215 (strongest resistance of the day) 4️⃣ BUY ZONES (RETRACEMENT) 4056–4050 4033–4030 3996–3994 3966 3888 5️⃣ SUMMARY Bias: Sideways → priority to Sell. Sell at resistance zones, Buy at strong support zones. SL/TP adjusted according to RR ratio 1:1, 1:2 Pay attention to appropriate volume
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
UPL Limited approaching Prev ATH - Technical AnalysisUPL Limited - #Breakout Setup After #Accumulation Phase Current Price: 691.07 Good For Swing to Short-term Trading. Technical Summary: UPL is showing a classic accumulation-to-breakout pattern after an extended sideways #consolidation phase. The stock has broken out from a well-defined range with strong volume confirmation and is now positioned for potential upside momentum. Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Breakout Confirmed: Price breaking above 768 resistance zone with volume expansion ✅ Accumulation Phase Complete: Extended consolidation (2024-2025) suggesting smart money accumulation ✅ EMA Alignment: 20/50/100/200 EMAs converging and starting to fan out bullishly ✅ RSI Strength: At 69.18, showing momentum without being overbought ✅ Fibonacci Levels: Currently between 0.236-0.5 retracement, plenty of upside room Price Targets: - Target 1: 938.15 (+35% from current levels) - Target 2: 994.95 (+44%) - Target 3: 1,050+ (Extended target) Support Levels: - Immediate: 676 (0.618 Fib) - Strong: 629 (0.5 Fib + breakout level) - Critical: 607 (20 EMA) Risk-Reward: Favorable at current levels with defined support zones and multiple upside targets. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any security. - Technical analysis is based on historical price patterns and may not predict future performance - Past performance is not indicative of future results - Trading and investing involve substantial risk of loss - Always conduct your own research and due diligence - The author may or may not hold positions in the discussed security - Price targets are projections based on technical levels and not guaranteed outcomes - Market conditions can change rapidly, invalidating technical setups - Use appropriate position sizing and risk management strategies ** Trade at your own risk. You are solely responsible for your trading/investment decisions.** #UPL #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #Accumulation #StockMarket #NSE #SwingTrading #ChemicalSector #FibonacciRetracement #RSI
NSE:UPLLong
by earnwhileulearn
2
XAU/USD OUTLOOK – TODAY 13/11/25 The US House has approved the reopening of the government, now just awaiting President Trump's signature. This means US economic data will gradually be released again, promising a week of strong and unpredictable fluctuations. In terms of technicals, gold maintains an upward trend after breaking the H4 sideway boundary, but signs of overbought conditions and H4 peak divergence are emerging. In smaller time frames (M30 – H1), slight divergence is also beginning to appear, so BUY positions need to be selected carefully, avoiding FOMO. SELL should only be short-term reactive trades. 🎯 Scenario for the day Morning Expecting sideway ~30 points within the 4180 – 4212 range You can WATCH FOR TRADES WITHIN THIS RANGE if the price breaks through 4212, then wait for a retest back to 4205 to buy up. Afternoon Wait for gold to adjust to reasonable BUY zones: 4160 – 4162 4152 – 4148 4123 – 4120 If a strong adjustment occurs: Beautiful BUY at 4070 – 4040 (deep support zone). 🎯 Target increase: 4280 – 4285 4300 – 4305 🎯 Reactive SELL: 4255, 428X, 430X (SL 10 – TP 10) ⚠️ Important Note The overall trend is still uptrend, but attention is needed: H4 shows signs of overbought + peak divergence. M30 – H1 shows slight divergence, indicating the market may have a short adjustment before continuing to rise. BUY should only be entered at beautiful support zones, if a bad candle is seen → close short and exit quickly. SELL is only reactive selling at strong resistance zones, not holding for long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
Astral Ltd – Strong Base, High ExpectationsNSE:ASTRAL 🔹 Fundamental Overview Business Profile: Astral is a leading player in India’s building materials sector, engaged in manufacturing pipes, fittings, adhesives, and bathware products with a strong brand presence and pan-India distribution. Financial Strength: The company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with very low debt (Debt/Equity ~0.04), reflecting conservative financial management. Profitability: Delivers ROE around 14 % and ROA near 10 %, demonstrating healthy operational efficiency. Valuation: The stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E near 80× and P/B above 10×, indicating high investor confidence and growth expectations. Growth Trend: Revenue and profit growth have been modest recently, with single-digit YoY expansion amid a slower construction cycle. Strengths: Industry leadership, strong brand recall, product diversification (plumbing to adhesives), and debt-free operations. Risks: Elevated valuation levels, cyclical exposure to real estate and construction demand, and potential margin pressure from input cost fluctuations. 🔹 Technical Overview Trend Direction: Long-term structure remains bullish, with the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Momentum: RSI around 55, showing neutral momentum — neither overbought nor oversold. Trend Strength: ADX near 18 suggests a weak trend phase; stock may be consolidating before the next directional move. Support Levels: ₹1,420 – ₹1,430 range offers strong support for accumulation. Resistance Levels: ₹1,475 – ₹1,490 is a crucial breakout zone; a close above this range can trigger a fresh rally. 🔹 Investor Takeaway Outlook: Astral combines a debt-free balance sheet, premium brand positioning, and steady market dominance—making it a high-quality compounder in the construction materials space. Investment Horizon: Ideal for long-term investors (2–5 years) seeking exposure to India’s infrastructure and housing growth themes. Risk Profile: Moderate to high—strong company, but entry should be disciplined due to high valuation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:ASTRALLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
“Nifty 50 Intraday Key Levels | Buy & Sell Zones 31th Oct 2025”Want to learn more? Like this post and follow me!” 26240🔴 Above 10m closing Shot Cover Level Strong resistance — short covering likely above this. 26080🟠 Below 10m hold PE By level / Above 10m hold CE by level 25980🟣 Above 10M hold positive trade view Below 10M hold negative trade view Sentiment deciding level — crucial for trend direction. 25818⚫ Above Opening S1 10m Hold CE By level Bullish entry level — CE hold area. 25690🟠 Below Opening R1 10m Hold PE By level Below 10m hold PE By Risky Zone Weak zone — PE may strengthen below this. 25490🟢 Above 10M hold CE By Safe Zone level Safe bullish zone — CE can be held confidently above. 25470🔵 BELOW 10M hold UNWINDING level Breakdown zone — unwinding or heavy selling possible below.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Graphite India: Sparking the Next Electrode UpswingNSE:GRAPHITE Company snapshot India’s largest graphite electrode manufacturer; also produces specialty graphite, impervious graphite equipment, GRP pipes and high-speed steel. Capacity of ~98,000 TPA across plants at Durgapur and Nashik; Germany plant closed. Utilisation stood at ~83% in FY25. Investing in advanced carbon technologies; announced ~25,000 TPA capacity expansion (~123,000 TPA target). Market context Rising share of electric-arc-furnace (EAF) steel globally supports electrode demand. US anti-dumping duty (~93.5%) on Chinese graphite improves non-Chinese producers’ competitive positioning. Valuation & stock stats (Oct 2025) Share price ~₹625; 52-week range ~₹365–₹638. Market cap ~₹122 billion; P/E ~34; P/B ~2.1; dividend yield ~1.8%. Peer: HEG and other electrode-cycle players. Key fundamentals Q1 FY26 results: Total income ~₹789 crore; PAT ~₹145 crore; EBITDA ~₹200 crore. Business mix (FY25): Graphite & Carbon ~89%; Steel ~9%; Others ~2%. Ownership: Promoters ~65% (no pledge); FIIs ~6.6%; MFs ~7.5%; DIIs ~9.6%. Capacity & capex Base electrode capacity ~98,000 TPA; plan to expand by ~25,000 TPA. Expansion capex ~₹600–650 crore; timeline yet to be fully disclosed. Technical view Trend: Price is above 200-day moving average (~₹559); near 52-week high. Support zone: ~₹480–₹510–₹546. Resistance/breakout zone: ~₹630–₹640. Strategy: Positive momentum; consider buying on dips with support around ₹540. Actionable watch-points Electrode price trends and needle-coke spread (core margin driver). Execution of the ~25,000 TPA expansion—schedule, funding, payback. EAF steel cycle developments in India and globally. Policy/anti-dumping updates impacting Chinese graphite supply. Capital allocation: capex vs dividend, progress in advanced carbon tech. Key risks Slowdown in EAF steel or electrode demand; sharp rise in raw-material (needle coke) costs. Reversal of favourable trade or tariff policies. Expansion delays or weaker‐than‐expected product mix shift to lower margin grades. Stance Fundamental: Strong balance sheet, favorable cycle exposure, expansion potential. Technical: Bullish bias ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:GRAPHITELong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
NIFTY 50 – Intraday level 15min TFNIFTY 50 – Gap Resistance Test After Falling Wedge Breakout Timeframe: 15 min 📌 Key Observations: Falling wedge pattern formed over the last few sessions, followed by a clean breakout with rising volume. Price has now rallied toward the gap resistance zone near 24,880–24,900, where supply previously stepped in. 24,750 is acting as immediate support — the level from where the breakout initiated. Next resistance to watch is 25,138, which aligns with a previous structure zone. 📈 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish if: Price sustains above the 24,880–24,900 gap resistance Then potential upside towards 25,050 / 25,138 ⚠️ Caution if: Price gets rejected at the gap resistance Watch for pullback retest around 24,750 🔍 Sentiment: Short-term recovery is in play after a prolonged downtrend, but the current zone is a make-or-break resistance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by misalraj