7th Dec ’23 - Should I change my Nifty stance to neutral?Nifty Today’s Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “As an analyst, it is very difficult to predict when the trend will end, but we need to keep looking. For tomorrow, I prefer to continue with the long bias unless we give up the 20853 in the morning session.”
4mts chart link - click here
The opening candle was explosive, in line opening with a strong fall. See the depth in RED - you will understand from the chart. I was eagerly waiting for it to cross that 20850 level today but that did not happen. Let us try to analyze why we had such a bold opening candle move. Both BankNifty and NiftyIT had a similar opening, so it was not an isolated issue. Some players might have sold off their winners to go light into tomorrow’s RBI meet or it could be a long unwinding out of fear that the markets will fall today due to the US market handout.
From there Nifty climbed back to the 20920 level by 11.03 and then the trade was in a small range till the close. From 14.31 to 14.59. At 13.19, 20850 PE was trading at Rs1.95 when the spot was at 20911 - for me, it appeared damn cheap. Nifty made one more attempt - but it went nowhere.
63mts chart link - click here
The last 4 candles of today had perfect “open = close” values. 3 of them were perfect Dojis - look up the textbook for Doji candles, maybe the example quoted there won't match with the real ones of today. Tomorrow’s RBI’s meet @ 10.00 AM is going to be a decider - no level of technical analysis can predict when there is a news flow expected. I wish to maintain my long stance as of now although it's itching to go neutral.
Intraday
CRUDE OIL Intraday TargetsCRUDE has fallen a lot to the 70 levels. We have seen some relief today
Downside : if breaks the Trendlyne with closing below 70 then we can see the day low and if breaks the the day low then 67.40 is possible
Upside : If 15 minute candle closes above 70.49 then we can see good upside with Targets 71.50 and after that 73.00
DMART Expected to Bounce from 50 DMAAfter a short term downtrend which was on back of little to no volume, DMART has shown some strength from lower levels and is ready for a bounce till previous swing. The overall market is also oversold and needs to stabilize a bit before moving again. DMART has formed a good candle with long tail and strong volume to back it up. The same thing happend after 3rd Oct candle too.
Stop Loss: SL should be below 3,600
Entry: Entries can be made at the open right away
Target: 3,900+
sansera engineering - Swing trade stockStock name: Sansera Engineering.
Current market price is 894.85
This stock has broken out of a 1 month consolidation taking a support from 50 day EMA. Followed by a good volume and positive macd.
Current view is bullish with expected target around 8-10% for swing trading.
#IDEA long trade idea setup (27/11/23)Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of NSE:IDEA on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is in retracing mode
- having retraced more than 50% , price is ready to start moving up again
- i am using the support below for entry not the current range support because the price has some imbalance to be filled and just to be on safer side
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
Intraday 26 April_ Colgate Palmolive_ LONGIntraday Trade setup for 26 April
I have selected 4 stocks for intraday, not all the trades will get executed.
I always place Stop Loss Market Buy/Sell order above or below (for LONG and SHORT) the high/low of the reference candle to make an entry.
Trade should be cancelled if not executed between 9:15 AM till 10 AM. It won't be re-entered.
Entry: 1515.45
SL: 1510
Target: 1526/27
Disclaimer: The analysis or trade setup is of my own. Please do your own analysis before jumping into the trade. I shall not be responsible for the profit/loss in either way.
Intraday 26 April_ GAIL_ LONGIntraday Trade setup for 26 April
I have selected 4 stocks for intraday, not all the trades will get executed.
I always place Stop Loss Market Buy/Sell order above or below (for LONG and SHORT) the high/low of the reference candle to make an entry.
Entry: 130.3
SL: 128.4
Target: 134.1
Disclaimer: The analysis or trade setup is of my own. Please do your own analysis before jumping into the trade. I shall not be responsible for the profit/loss in either way.
Intraday 26 April_ Tech Mahindra_ SHORTIntraday Trade setup for 26 April
I have selected 4 stocks for intraday, not all the trades will get executed.
I always place Stop Loss Market Buy/Sell order above or below (for LONG and SHORT) the high/low of the reference candle to make an entry.
Entry: 947.85
SL: 953.75
Target: 936
Disclaimer: The analysis or trade setup is of my own. Please do your own analysis before jumping into the trade. I shall not be responsible for the profit/loss in either way.
Intraday 26 April_ Ceat Tires_ LONGIntraday Trade setup for 26 April
I have selected 4 stocks for intraday, not all the trades will get executed.
I always place Stop Loss Market Buy order above or below (for LONG and SHORT) the high/low of the reference candle to make an entry.
Entry: 1449
SL: 1434
Target: 1479
Disclaimer: The analysis or trade setup is of my own. Please do your own analysis before jumping into the trade. I shall not be responsible for the profit/loss in either way.
#HCC long trade idea setup 22/11/23Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of HCC on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is on a good bullish trend with efficient price action
- price is currently forming a triangle pattern
- the trendline has been tested 3 times earlier
- the price also tried to break out the equal high static resistance but failed with a wick only
- now if momentum and volume adds up, the price can break past this resistance
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#DISHTV short trade idea setup 21/11/23Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of DISHTV on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price recently broke out of a descending trendline
- it created a lot of imbalance in the process
- the imbalance is essential to get filled
- the price is also making a bearish pattern i.e head & shoulder
- trade when price break the neck of the pattern
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
Aarti Ind - What happens next?It is clear from the chart that the price is near the breakout level of the rectangular channel. My setup is to see it bearish. But have to exit if sustains above 540.
The risk reward is also good in this setup.
Targets are mentioned on the chart. ( If works)
The setup is valid only if it sustains below 540.
It is only for learning and understanding purposes, not a piece of trading advice in any form.
All the best.
Try to maintain patience and calmness while trading, if you consider it to be for the long term.
#IDFC long trade idea setup (counter trend) 18/11/23Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of IDFC on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price faced a sudden downfall due to the RBI negative news
- price broke down the trendline support and has swept all the liquidity from the trendline
swept the liquidity in easy language means sucking the power of trendline and now its baseless
- price has made a huge imbalance which needs to be covered quickly for efficient price action
- take profit is mentioned, don't be greedy as we are counter trend trading
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#JPPOWER long trade idea setup 17/11/23Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of JPPOWER on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
-The price is speculating near the all time high
- price broke a previous minor high with good volume , now retraced successfully
- price already has tapped in my support zone now ready to break past the BSL
- trendline support is also in our confirmation bias
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#YESBANK long trade idea setup 17/11/23Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of YESBANK on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
-the price recently broke out of a series of equal highs
- we are now waiting for a suitable retracement for the trade
- 2 possible support zones, first one is weak and unreliable but it can work out because the stock is accompanied with good volume
- the latter support zone is safer and new traders should use this zone
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
16th Nov ’23 Nifty Postmortem - Almost breaks 19776 resistanceNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 has gained 359pts ~ 1.85% and broken 2 important resistance levels. We almost took out the 19776 resistance today but for a strong red candle @ 14.15.
Nifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr chart, the next target to break will be 19776 which is just 100pts away. Something that is easily possible if SPX holds its ground today. Since most of the market participants are long-only, any upsurge will sweep in more market participants.”
Nifty opened inline and then was steaming ahead, As we discussed yesterday it took out the 19776 with so much ease. The 3 5mts candles between 11.00 to 11.10 showed how the momentum picked up right before the resistance zone which kind of indicated that the rally was not going to slow down. By 13.55 we picked up more pace, quite visible by the FII participation on the BUY side. We hit an intraday high of 19875 by 14.45 and then something unplanned happened. We dropped 153pts in the 25 minutes, we will explain that in detail during the BankNifty Analysis below.
On the 1hr chart, we closed slightly below 19776, the 14.15 hourly candle is well-lit like a beacon. I am still continuing my bullish stance in the hopes that 19776 will get taken out during the forenoon session tomorrow. If not, I will be changing my stance to neutral and will update it via tradingview minds.
Jubilant Foods - Time To WatchAs it is clear from the charts, the price is coming to the lower level of the channel. if bounces from these levels, may go bullish, Expected target may be 520 or even 580.
The setup fails if doesn't sustain above 497 on a closing basis.
This is only for learning and sharing purposes, not trading advice in any form.
All the best.
#USOIL intraday long trade setup Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of USOIL on TVC
the analysis is as follows-
-the price currently broke out of a range of equal highs, this is a good sign of bullish momentum
- the price is retracing right now, either it can take support from the 50% of retracement or respect the support zone i mentioned in chart
- the safer trade would be the latter one, i have marked the take profits also or you can also use pivot point indicator for exit
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#YESBANK LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of YESBANK on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is on a roll right now, making good structure along with new higher highs
- the market was slow today, hoping for a retracement for the price to gear up for the next bullish leg
- it CAN retrace deeper than the zone depicted in the chart if index opens negative tomorrow
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#SUZLON LONG TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of SUZLON on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
-the price recently broke out of a bullish pattern
- its currently respecting a static resistance, which will get break in next trading day
- The price respected the previous high as a resistance, price is building up momentum to break past it
- either trade the breakout of high or when price submits to a support zone of BSL as mentioned or the trendline support
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss