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Gold Trading Strategy on M15 (January 17, 2025)Preliminary Trading Plan: Market Summary: Gold prices are consolidating around $2,790, with potential for short-term corrections despite positive GDP and industrial data from China. However, concerns about China's real estate market and US tariff policies are dampening expectations. Anticipation of Fed rate cuts and weak US data are supporting gold prices, while investors await US housing and industrial production reports for further signals. Technical Support: Following two volatile days driven by news events, gold has rebounded above $2,700 and maintains an upward trajectory. However, it has yet to breach the $2,620 - $2,624 range. The market appears to be cooling compared to the previous days, as indicated by today's trading sessions. Key support levels for capturing the market's uptrend include $2,700 - $2,702 and $2,680 - $2,678. Trading Zones: XAUUSD BUYZONE: 2700 - 2702 Stop Loss (SL): 2697 Take Profit (TP): 2705 - 2708 - 2715 XAUUSD BUYZONE: 2680 - 2678 Stop Loss (SL): 2675 Take Profit (TP): 2683 - 2686 - 2693 - OPEN Wishing everyone an amazing start to the new year!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Briantradefx
NZDUSD → Bearish Momentum Poised to Extend FurtherOANDA:NZDUSD buyers remain skeptical of realizing a bullish scenario at this time, and the price continues to face downward pressure. On the 1-hour timeframe, the price has approached strong support at 0.55, potentially triggering a minor corrective reaction. This correction is likely to be small, as the dollar maintains its upward momentum, bolstered by Trump’s policies that support this scenario in the medium term. From a technical perspective, the price continues to test the 0.5588 support level, with a local descending wedge forming under selling pressure. A retest of the channel resistance is possible before further declines. Resistance Levels: 0.563, 0.567 Support Levels: 0.5588, 0.5511 A break and consolidation below 0.5588 could trigger additional sell-offs in the context of the current local and global downtrend.
Short
by Briantradefx
Gold trading strategy for today !Currently, XAU/USD is fluctuating between the resistance zone at 2,677-2,697 and the support level at 2,660. This reflects a range-bound market, where the price lacks a clear directional trend and reacts strongly at support and resistance levels. Below is a specific strategy for trading under these conditions: 1. Sell Strategy at the Resistance Zone: Rationale: The resistance zone at 2,677-2,697 is a level where sellers could gain strength and push the price down toward the support level. The red arrows on the chart indicate a potential reversal upon reaching this zone. Strategy: Sell Entry: Open a sell position within the 2,675-2,677 range after confirming a bearish reversal signal, such as a double top formation. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss above 2,682 to protect against unexpected breakouts. Take-Profit: Target the support level at 2,660, with the option to take partial profits if the price drops sharply. 2. Buy Strategy at the Support Zone: Rationale: The support zone at 2,660 represents a potential area for strong price recovery, making it a favorable buying opportunity. The green arrows on the chart highlight the expectation of a rebound from this level. Strategy: Buy Entry: Open a buy position near 2,660 after observing bullish reversal signals, such as a strong bullish candle, hammer, or engulfing pattern. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below 2,655 to protect against a breakdown of the support level. Take-Profit: Aim for the resistance level at 2,697, or anticipate a breakout for higher targets. 3. Breakout Strategy: If the price breaks out of the current range, adjust the strategy as follows: Breakout Above Resistance (2,677): Wait for confirmation of a breakout, then enter a buy position targeting higher levels, such as 2,720-2,730, while keeping it below 2,750. Breakout Below Support (2,660): Wait for confirmation of a breakdown, then enter a sell position targeting lower levels, such as 2,640-2,630. Trading Notes: Always wait for confirmation signals before entering trades, especially near critical support and resistance zones. Practice effective risk management, limiting risk to 1-2% of your account balance per trade. Stay updated on fundamental factors, such as economic news, inflation data, or statements from the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED), as these can significantly influence gold prices. This approach provides a balanced strategy for both range trading and breakout scenarios, helping to maximize opportunities while managing risks effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Briantradefx
EUR/USD Technical and Fundamental OutlookAs the week comes to a close, EUR/USD is trading around 1.0575, maintaining its bullish momentum. The pair is moving within an ascending wedge pattern, supported by the EMA 34 and EMA 89, which underscores a steady upward trajectory. From a technical standpoint, the price is holding near the upper boundary of the wedge, with immediate resistance seen at 1.0585. A breakout above this level could pave the way for further upside, targeting the next significant level around 1.0620. This structure signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend if key resistance levels are breached. On the fundamental side, the current uptrend is bolstered by positive sentiment surrounding data from the Eurozone and a weakening demand for the US Dollar. These factors are creating a supportive environment for the Euro, encouraging sustained buying pressure in the pair. Looking ahead, traders should closely monitor the wedge breakout, as it could provide a clearer signal for the pair's trajectory into next week. Whether EUR/USD extends its gains or faces rejection at resistance will largely depend on both technical confirmations and evolving market fundamentals.
Long
by Bo-Samson
GBPUSD todayThe GBP/USD pair remains in a tight range, hovering just below the mid-1.2700s during Friday’s session, as it consolidates its recent three-day rally. This upward movement propelled the pair to its highest level in over three weeks during the previous day. However, traders appear cautious, refraining from placing significant bets ahead of the highly anticipated U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is set to be released later today. The NFP data, a critical barometer for the U.S. labor market, will be closely analyzed for clues regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory. Market participants are eager to see how the data aligns with the Fed’s policy outlook ahead of its December meeting. The report is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping near-term sentiment around the U.S. Dollar (USD) and could provide fresh directional impetus for the GBP/USD pair.
Long
by Bo-Samson
Gold Weakens Further as Market Awaits Fresh CatalystsGood morning, traders! In the early hours of Friday's trading session, gold continues to weaken, losing over 12 pips. This decline reflects a temporary pause from bullish investors as they seek new drivers for upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the chart shows that while long-term bullish momentum remains intact, the current pullback appears to be nearing its conclusion. Support is forming around the $2,566 zone, followed by $2,630. In the short term, gold may experience further declines as the market awaits directional clarity from news expected later in the day. On the other hand, the long-term bullish trend remains a favored bet, with key upside targets marked clearly on the chart. Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable! Don’t forget to leave a like and share your thoughts about the outlook for this precious metal. Cheers!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
3
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure IncreasesEUR/USD marked its second consecutive day of gains, extending its recent breakout above the 1.0500 level in response to the US Dollar's uncertain stance ahead of key US data releases later this week. The 4-hour chart indicates that technical risks remain tilted to the downside, as the pair continues trading below all its moving averages. These averages maintain a bearish slope, creating dynamic resistance around the 1.0560 level. Meanwhile, technical indicators remain within negative territory, lacking clear directional strength. In the short term, and according to the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD appears poised to extend its decline. The pair is trading below the bearish-moving averages, encountering sellers near the EMA 34 and 89 levels. Finally, technical indicators are neutral-to-bearish, positioned below their midlines, supporting the extension of the downtrend without providing a definitive confirmation. Support levels: 1.0465, 1.0420, 1.0370 Resistance levels: 1.0560, 1.0625, 1.0660
Short
by Bo-Samson
XAUUSD todayHello dear friends, it's Samson here! Gold prices continue to consolidate within a familiar range, as the market awaits a fresh catalyst to drive the next decisive move. What’s in store for gold, and what scenarios could unfold? At the moment, sellers have hit the pause button, keeping an eye on key events like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks, U.S. employment data, and the all-important CPI report. These indicators will shape expectations for the Fed's policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting. However, nothing is set in stone, and until clear signals emerge, the market may remain locked in consolidation mode. On the technical front, gold could build bullish momentum to test significant resistance levels amid favorable news. However, if prices break below the critical support at 2636 and sustain that position, a bearish wave could gain traction sooner than anticipated. This is a pivotal moment for XAUUSD, as the market balances between anticipation and action. What’s your take on the current setup? Let’s discuss your thoughts, forecasts, or any questions you have—together, we can navigate these shifting dynamics!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
3
EUR/USD: Bearish Signals Strengthen Near Key ResistanceWhen observing the 4-hour chart, we can see that the EUR/USD pair is hovering near a strong resistance zone (marked in red). This is a region where selling pressure has significantly increased during previous trading sessions, making it difficult for the price to break out. In this context, the signals for a potential bearish trend are becoming increasingly evident. One notable factor is the position of the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines. With the price trading below both moving averages, they are acting as dynamic resistance levels, pushing the price lower each time it attempts to recover. This further reinforces the view that selling pressure continues to dominate the current market. Additionally, the previous downside gap has yet to be filled, which is often a technical indication that bearish pressure remains. As the price approaches the resistance zone of 1.0550 - 1.0560, the likelihood of rejection from this level is high, especially in the absence of strong buying momentum. If the price fails to break through this resistance zone, the possibility of a decline to lower support levels opens up. The nearest support is located at 1.0487, but a more prominent target lies in the 1.0420 - 1.0400 range. This is a critical support zone that could serve as a stopping point if the bearish trend continues. Based on this analysis, a bearish trading strategy should be approached with caution. Traders may consider entering a sell position around the 1.0550 - 1.0560 resistance zone, with take-profit targets at 1.0480 and 1.0420, respectively. A prudent stop-loss level would be above the resistance zone, around 1.0575, to minimize risk. Overall, the market is currently leaning toward a bearish outlook, but waiting for clear reactions at the resistance zone is crucial to ensure trades are executed at optimal levels. This approach provides greater security in a market that remains potentially volatile.
Short
by Bo-Samson
GBP/USD: At a Crossroads - Will the Bears Take Over?Hello, brilliant traders! What’s your take on the current trend of GBP/USD? Let me break it down for you with a detailed analysis on the daily timeframe to give you a broader perspective. At the moment, GBP/USD remains firmly in a long-term downtrend, trading around the 1.269 level. This aligns perfectly with signals from the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both indicating a potential reversal on the horizon. It's clear that key technical levels are coming into play, demanding the market’s full attention. Following the recent corrective rally, GBP/USD appears poised to test resistance near the 1.287 level. This could be a prime opportunity for sellers to step in and drive the pair lower, especially given the prevailing dominance of the long-term bearish trend. The chart analysis I’ve shared illustrates this outlook in more detail. Looking ahead, fundamental factors could further shape the direction of this pair. Hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and robust U.S. economic data may pile additional pressure on GBP/USD, possibly pushing it below the critical 1.225 support level. On the flip side, a dovish tone from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey could cap any upward moves, leaving the pair vulnerable to further downside action. The market is at a pivotal point, and I’d love to hear your thoughts on GBP/USD! Share your insights in the comments below, and let’s discuss where we think this pair is headed next. Wishing you smart trading and plenty of opportunities ahead!
Short
by Bo-Samson
Update XAUUSDSpot gold prices continue to rise as the US dollar weakens, making it more affordable for holders of other currencies to purchase gold. Meanwhile, crude oil prices unexpectedly surged to $70 per barrel, adding upward momentum to gold’s price trend. Another contributing factor is the announcement of martial law in South Korea. This has sparked concerns among financial investors about potential instability in the country, which could impact commodity prices and international currency markets. Consequently, many have increased their gold purchases as a safe-haven asset. These factors are fueling gold prices to climb further today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2600OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!... Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure. Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment. A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bo-Samson
GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating the Approaching ReversalHello dear readers, Today, let's delve into a detailed analysis of the GBP/USD chart to identify key points that might influence our investment decisions in the coming period. The current chart presents some intriguing technical signals that we should monitor closely. Overall Assessment: The 4-hour chart for GBP/USD is showing an upward trend, but the price is currently approaching a significant resistance area. This is a point where many traders might consider taking profits, which could introduce selling pressure at these higher levels. EMA Lines and Current Signals: The price is trading between the EMA 34 and EMA 89, with the EMA 34 approaching from below and possibly providing support if prices start to decline. The intersection of these EMAs could be a crucial signal for identifying a potential change in trend. Potential for Reversal: As the price nears this strong resistance zone, there is a possibility that it will test and possibly retreat from this level. If this occurs, we might see the price execute a pullback towards the nearest support line, formed by the ascending black trendline. Predictions and Strategy: If the price fails below the resistance and the EMA 34 does not hold as support, we could witness a more substantial price drop. The next target could be the lower support level of the ascending channel, where the price may find momentum for a recovery. Personal Insight: Given the current scenario, I would advise investors to closely watch the current resistance area and prepare for the possibility that the price could decline after touching this zone. Stop-loss orders should be cautiously placed to protect capital from potential volatility. For those looking to capitalize on a downward trend, waiting for a reversal confirmation before placing sell orders could be a prudent strategy. Wishing all our readers successful trading and stay tuned to market developments to seize beneficial opportunities.
Short
by Bo-Samson
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Forecast After Short-Term PullbackDear Readers, Today, let’s dive into the technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair and consider the possibility of a pullback scenario before the main downtrend continues. Resistance Zone and Pullback Potential: The strong resistance zone marked in pink on the current chart is the point at which EUR/USD has failed to overcome in recent attempts. This represents strong selling pressure at higher prices. In the short term, a pullback could occur when the price approaches this resistance zone again, attracting investors looking for an opportunity to sell. Support Line and Downtrend: The main support line, drawn in black, has kept the price from falling further since late November. The price has bounced from this support line a few times, but a pullback to the above resistance zone could be just a temporary sign before the main downtrend continues. EMAs and Price Action Prediction: EUR/USD is currently trading between the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, representing a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. A pullback could see the price approach or break above the 34 EMA before selling pressure returns, resulting in a fresh decline. Personal View: After the pullback is complete and the resistance level is not broken, EUR/USD is likely to resume its downtrend. The price could fall to the next support level at 1.04245 and could continue to fall to 1.03838. Traders should consider establishing short positions as the price approaches the resistance, with carefully placed stop-loss orders to protect capital. This could be a good opportunity to ride the long-term downtrend without getting caught in short-term rallies.
Short
by Bo-Samson
Gold --> Interest in this metal is growingGold continues to hold strong as the dollar faces a correction, with liquidity gradually diminishing. Friday’s trading in the US could play a pivotal role in shaping market dynamics. On the H1 timeframe, gold remains firmly within the boundaries of a local bullish channel, driven by the dollar's weakness, which stems largely from the ongoing inflationary environment. Adding to this momentum, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rate policy continues to act as a tailwind for gold prices. However, this factor appears to be taking a backseat for now. Meanwhile, the market spotlight is shifting toward the policies of the new US administration, which are expected to bring significant changes to the global economic landscape. These shifts could push central banks to bolster their gold reserves, potentially igniting a surge in central bank gold trading activity. With the fundamentals aligning for a bullish trend—supported by an ascending channel and strong macroeconomic factors—buying opportunities dominate the strategy. Ideal entries lie around the support zone (aligned with FVG levels) or upon a confirmed breakout above the resistance level. Price targets? Gold's climb toward 2678 and 2694 is drawing closer, signaling an exciting rally ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bo-Samson
4