ITC - SellIn last few days and weeks we are seeing market rewarding companies with good results and gap down or sell in companies coming up results not matching expected results and punishing if negative results or with lower guidance. Not sure what is the guidance but Q4 results are lower as per data in leading news channels. More over in chart as well price is ready for next fall and ITC has not supported the Nifty in last several days. I think its sell in ITC or else book profits in case of a rally due to Nifty spokes and any positive opinion on future guidance. Sell.
ITC
ITC long term [ 6 Months]The stock market is abuzz with the recent bullish run of ITC shares, sparking interest and speculation among investors. This analysis delves into the factors driving this surge and explores potential implications for traders and stakeholders.
EMA 200 - Crossing
Mutual Funds holding - Dec 2023 -9.66% June 2023- 9.17%
Target 1- 455
Target 2- 480
Target 2 - 525
Momentum Swing Idea| ITC LtdITC Ltd
as you all know it stablished in 1910, ITC is the largest cigarette manufacturer and seller in the country. ITC operates in five business segments at present — FMCG Cigarettes, FMCG Others, Hotels, Paperboards, Paper and Packaging, and Agri Business.
Fundamental = strong
Market Cap ₹ 5,23,098 Cr. Current Price ₹ 419 Stock P/E 25.6
ROCE 39.0 % ROE 29.1 % Debt to equity 0.00
Promoter holding 0.00 % Quick ratio 1.73 Current ratio 2.73
Piotroski score 6.00 Profit Var 3Yrs 7.41 % Sales growth 3Years 12.8 %
Return on assets 23.8 %
This is purely technical analysis and perfect 21 day moving average support .Moreover company is in growing and stable phase .keep in radar .
monthly RSI above 55 and its seems to be reversal signals . if market in uptrend move than this stock will be in uncharted territory.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas.
Thanks and comment freely
Long Trade in ITCITC is currently trading at support zone of 400-410 levels & It is consolidating here since 5-7 days.
I am seeing a trading opportunity here.
I am taking long position in ITC march futures at CMP 407.
I will add more position if 402-404 comes.
My stoploss would be 397.
Target would be 425.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purpose. Thanks!
ITC could reward investors from hereonOn every time cycle, ITC has a tendency to form a low and bounce back on upside.
Very few were interested in this stock as it was a major laggard during April 2022.
The recent sharp fall of ITC also made low near this Time cycle date.
Way forward: When Noone seems to be Interested and all Negatives Around, TimeCycle Points towards a Rise from the Ashes 🔥🔥🔥
400 should remain protected on downside.
ITC Looking WeakITC was in the news since so long time, that after years of pressure, it gave a very good breakout and the stock which people use to tease finally skyrocket and touch its all time high mark...
Now it has formed a Inverted Dow in the chart as you can see and it should be slip upto mentioned level but overall it's positive and after retesting the mentioned levels it will again shot up to another high .....
Educational purpose only....
ITC Stock: Navigating Support Zones for Strategic BuysITC is currently trading within the support range of 412 - 406, which was established on April 23rd and has been retested. This range presents a potential buy or accumulation opportunity. In case of a break, consider buying at lower levels, such as 392 and 362, based on the Fibonacci retracement level at 50%.
08 Feb ’24 — Nifty Disappoints, stance reversed to neutral ➡️➡️Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “Our stance for tomorrow is bullish and since these are all games of probabilities we reserve the right to be wrong as would like to keep the 21826 area as a good stop loss.”
4mts chart
Just when we thought things were swinging in our favor, Nifty took a U-turn and is now back in neutral territory. “Disappointing” is not the right word to define today’s price action, after all the markets did what it felt right. Our analysis and positioning are what took the toll today. I ended up booking the highest intraday loss ever since I started trading. To give you a backdrop, we were long overnight and the set-up looked pretty bullish for us. Although we cut losses once the 21826 magic level got hit, our MTM was too deep in the RED for any sort of recovery.
Nifty fell a total of 346 points in the intraday trade today. The support level of 21913 was taken out with so much force (depth of the RED candle) that it felt like kissing goodbyes to this level. The culprit was BankNifty, after the RBI MPC meeting today, despite no major policy decisions - banks started falling, pulling the other stocks along with it. One thing that stood out in the discussion today was the instruction to include the loan processing fees, and other charges to the interest component so that the end customer knows the exact rate he is paying. Why would the bigger banks get spooked by that? Other stocks like NESTLE and ITC were looking weak even before the Governor’s speech.
63mts chart
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has gained only 70pts ~ 0.32%. The gains would have been sizeable and meaningful if not for the rout today. After today’s episode, we drew the double top pattern (M pattern). Since the support level of 21913 is breached, we hope that this pattern holds. Nifty is by no means bearish, unlike BankNifty which slipped into the RED today. If BN continues the southward journey tomorrow, most likely N50 will have to follow suit.
30 Jan ’24 — Nifty Gets a Downgrade after yesterday's upgradeNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “We are changing our stance from neutral to bullish as we had all 6 green candles today. Ideally, the stance change should come only after the 21913 resistance breach — but we are taking a bit of risk here. The pattern played out to be a W (double bottom). We would now look for bullish opportunities and the first target would be 21913. The global macros are not looking good with the war in the Middle East, news from Taiwan, and news from N Korea. Hope our markets will give a strong clue in case the situations escalate.”
4mts chart
It is too early to say if the move today was due to the News impact that said “The US would give a fitting reply to the actions of Iran”. For us, it looked like a technical cool-off. We made the mistake of upgrading Nifty from neutral to bullish yesterday despite getting all 6 green candles. Today, we lost in a similar fashion 5 out of 6 63mts candles in RED. Most importantly we are back at the support level of 21491 where Nifty paused. Interestingly BankNifty did not fall that much, and neither did the NiftyIT - the pain was mostly for RELIANCE, Bajaj Finance, Titan, and ITC.
63mts chart
We are back at square 1, the same support/resistance level of 21491 which we hit on 15th Dec 2023. In the last 1.5 months - we have gone nowhere. Seems like the Foreign Institutional Investors and DIIs took us for a roller coaster ride - and most of the retail traders are throwing up after the ride. After the meltdown today, we are changing the stance from bullish to neutral. Gap-down open is the best way to take out the support. If we break the next target to watch out for will be 21292 followed by 21199.
ITC | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Diversified
Mkt Cap: 570,260 cr
Established in 1910, ITC is the largest cigarette manufacturer and seller in the country. ITC operates in five business segments at present — FMCG Cigarettes, FMCG Others, Hotels, Paperboards, Paper and Packaging, and Agri Business.
TTM PE : 28.25 (High PE)
Sector PE : 30.10
Beta : 0.63
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with good financial performance alongside good to expensive valuation, but lacks price momentum as suggested by technical indicators
8.53% away from 52 week high
Underperformer - ITC up by 4.41% v/s NIFTY 50 up by 9.4% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 7/9 indicates Strong Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
ITC Ltd. - Double Break Out TradeDate : 11-Oct-2023
Rating : Buy
LTP : Rs. 448.25
Target: (1) Rs. 455, --> (2) Rs. 480, --> (3) Rs. 500
SL : Rs. 433
Exit Plan : Follow the 7D/13D EMA cross down on closing basis.
NSE:ITC has given double break outs. From its current short term down trend and from double bottom pattern. Have closed above 20D MA. EMA, MACD and RSI giving bullish sign with RSI giving positive divergence.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market.
Nifty FMCGList of stocks in Nifty FMCG
Britannia Industries Ltd
Colgate Palmolive Ltd
Dabur India Ltd
Emami Ltd
Godrej Consumer Products Ltd
Hindustan Unilever Ltd
Itc Ltd
Jubilant Foodworks Ltd
Marico Ltd
Nestle India Ltd
Procter Gamble Health Ltd
Tata Consumer Products Ltd
United Breweries Ltd
United Spirits Ltd
Varun Beverages Ltd
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com