ITC
When to sell_ ITCNamaste!
I have been tracking ITC for quite some time. Now, I see an upcoming bearish momentum in the coming weeks.
Q: Why am I saying this?
A: Well, all time high of ITC was Rs 367.70. It broke it's multiyear lows (of Rs 178.65) on 09 March 2020. So, it can be a long term pattern of "lower lows and lower highs". This price can be the next lower highs. Profit booking will definitely come at this prices, because there will be many investors who will be exiting "before Rs 367.7 prices". And Nifty did not break Apr 2022 swing highs, it is indicating an upcoming bearish momentum.
Q: When and at what price should I exit?
A: You can place a sell stop order at Rs 329.60, so you lock in your profits. I would suggest positional traders to do this. I repeat, prices must break those levels, so your order gets triggered and you exit.
For investors, they can consider booking/exiting at such prices as well. And they can consider buying it back at Rs 281 levels. I am not right 100% of the time, so only apply this when my points seem logical to you.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Prices may or may not reach mentioned levels, resulting in opportunity loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before applying anything.
Positional_ ITC1. ITC can breakout from current range.
2. Higher Lows indicating a buying pressure.
3. Shrinking "price-range" is indication of momentum.
4. We can expect two targets of 226 and 237.
5. Upcoming result looks matter of caution.
6. SL and Entry will be decided afterwards.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets resulting in financial gains or losses. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
Investment_ ITCTrading and investing are completely different in nature.
In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not.
We buy high and sell even higher.
But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically.
"Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company."
So here I am with a stock named ITC. According to my method of calculating intrinsic value, it is worth around ₹300 a share.
I will start accumulating shares, near Rs 180 levels (strong weekly support). Well, this will not happen overnight. It may take several months.
Some questions answered:-
Q: If it is a fundamentally good company, why the price is not moving up? Does the market doesn’t know anything?
A: Nope. Market knows everything. But, the market generally moves in a direction of “what is expected and what is unexpected”.
Q: So, what’s expected in ITC?
A: Well, it’s a good company, good cashflow, no debt, professionally managed company, etc. When the company performs “as expected”, why should its price move in either direction? Price only moves when unexpected things happen.
Q: Should the people sell the shares who has already bought and invested in it, so that they can buy at a lesser price?
A: Nope. Absolutely not. Investment is not a buy-sell game. It must have long-term view (5 years, 10 years, etc.).
Q: Then what's the solution?
A: Add more shares. Yes. As long as the company is fundamentally strong, buying at dip or discount is best for investing perspective. And this company is giving dividend of Rs 5 approx every year. That translates into at least 2.5 % every year if the current price taken into consideration.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
26th Oct ’23 - Nifty hits the jackpot of 18880 - PostMortemNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Nifty fell a whopping 765pts ~ 3.90% between the last expiry and today. Most importantly it has retraced all its gains from 28th June to close below 18880. We will cover why that is relevant below, but this fall of 4% signals a reversal in trend. Even though VIX is still below 12%, it is showing a tendency to spike, reassuring the bearish sentiment.
Nifty Today’s Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the daily timeframe, the next possible candle that should appear should have its low touching the 18880 level (best case). If Nifty manages to pull this out, it will be an awesome November and December month getting lined up for the Bears. Since Nifty went up from 18880 to 19310 as 3 white soldiers, the return should be nothing less than 3 black crows.”
Nifty50 was quite benevolent today, we set a target of 18880 and Nifty hit that by 10.55. That’s a first - 99 out of 100 days the strategy we set for days like these ends up worthless. A day like today will ensure that 1 day is good enough for the options to go deep in the money.
We had a gap down open of -86pts ~ 0.45% and from there we fell another 193pts ~ 1.02%. The final close was at 18857. The chart may not paint the severity of the move since its on a logarithmic scale - but trust me, the pain was much more. Except for AXIS, ITC and HCLTECH - the cuts were pretty steep for everything else.
On the 1hr chart, the intensity of the first candle is quite obvious. We took out 211 ~1.11% in the first hour itself. The remainder of the day was more or less sideways with a slight bearish intent.
On the daily TF, notice the orange color encircled regions. You can quickly relate what 3 white soldiers and 3 black crows are. Today’s closing ensures we retouched the new ATH set on 01 Dec 2022 & 19 Jun 2023. Further price action should be interesting as the global macros keep on deteriorating. For tomorrow, I wish to maintain my bearish stance and expect Nifty to trade between 18880 and 18762. If we break 18762, my next target would be 18597.
ITC sinks 3% after Q2 resultsITC sinks 3% after Q2 results in sharpest single-day decline in 12 weeks
The festive season, increase in rural wages, and government spending on infrastructure are expected to propel rural demand ahead
Shares of ITC slipped 3 per cent to Rs 437.80 on the BSE in Friday’s intra-day trade on reporting a lower-than-expected rise in consolidated net profit for the September quarter (Q2FY24).
The stock on Friday recorded its sharpest intra-day fall in the past 12 weeks. Earlier, on July 25, 2023, it had declined 3.3 per cent.
ITCAfter huge return in short term people are looking forward to know the next move...
ITC is going to announce its Q2 numbers today.... So here, is the chart of ITC if it break and close above the resistance line, there is upside move possible or if it breaks the trendline and close below it then we can see the a temporary downside....
Reliance Buy Call By Big Bull 🤑🤑👑💸👑Royal Trade👑
Reliance IMPORTANT LEVEL
We buy CALL and my Target in Video
Dont buy any trade without stop loss
This is only level we upload new idea in morning 9.30
Buy when Market Break
The support or Resistance
and wait for the closing and
set stop loss at the
last opening of the candle.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Stock of the year at important junctionNSE:ITC after having a splendid run throughout the year is now at a very important junction. It is a fairly visible H&S (Head & Shoulder) in making but breakdown looks like snowball's chance in hell. Hence that means NSE:ITC can be a good reversal candidate but only after strong close above 456 level. That should lead NSE:ITC towards 500 and then further for new highs. Breakout above 456 may look for a inverted H&S or double bottom breakout. Things are difficult for equity market but the course of this war shall be decided in upcoming days when we will know the participating countries and fronts. One can add NSE:ITC at current levels if they have missed the rally throughout as it is holding on its levels, 432-430 shall act as stop loss. A closing below these levels shall trigger the breakdown of the above-mentioned H&S. We have 2 inside bars in last 4 candles which also indicate accumulation at current levels. It will be very exciting to see which way these positions move. If a breakdown takes place then NSE:ITC will move towards 415-420 levels otherwise this trending stock should remain the contender for more upside this year and further.
ITCITC:- If we get a breakout, we can see upside movement.
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
RELIANCE Buy Call or Put 👑Royal Trend👑👑Royal Trade👑
Reliance IMPORTANT LEVEL
we buy Call and my Traget is 2480
Dont buy any trade without stop loss
This is only level we upload new idea in morning 9.30
Buy when Market Break
The support or Resistance
and wait for the closing and
set stop loss at the
last opening of the candle.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
ITC : Trend analysis, Daily chart Long or Short ITC, One of the ICON of Indian Stock market . It's one of the stocks which is performing exceptionally well in comparison to MNC's like Reliance, TCS etc.
Even after the fall of 10% from the recent highs, the stock is still on undecisive on trend. As there are no strong supports till the price levels of 370 we can expect a another 2-3 months of consolidation till 410. Once if the 410 levels are broken we can buy at 370 levels which is a 25% from all time high. As a high standard stock we can expect another 5-10% fall and then to rise again to new highs irrespective of Indian market giants.
HDFCBANK Intraday Trade By RamajiTradeI hope you guys like my idea
trade was simple program with Price action
Price action describes the characteristics of a security’s price movements. This movement is often analyzed with respect to price changes in the recent past. In simple terms, price action trading is a technique that allows a trader to read the market and make subjective trading decisions based on recent and actual price movements, rather than relying solely on technical indicators.