Learning
Bank Nifty Friday Analysis!~Buyers are still holding Bank nifty but facing big resistance between 44400 to 44500. Buyers can get active if hold above 44500 to 44600 and then breakout will go till 44900.
~Trap Area's 44400 to 44500
~Range at 44170 & 44250 will work as support & Resistance
~Downside if breaks previous day low then support at 43800
~Might be a gap down opening for tomorrow
Note : Do your own analysis before taking any trade or investment..
NTPC long possible?NTPC stock is in a long uptrend & a high probability that the stock will continue the uptrend and going to hit all-time new highs.
1) Long after the BO of conflux area above 240 with a green candle.
2) Previous stock move from the 50 EMA .
3) If RSI also crosses above 60, that's a very high chance of the stock going long .
In case stock rejects the area then wait to touch the 200 EMA levels for right entry.
This is for your educational purpose only.
HDFC BANK at Support levels. #HDFCBANK showing support level. It has returned from this point in the past.( Currently at lower level of the channel). MACD nearing Signal Line. RSI also started showing upward moment after bottoming out.
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Fundamentally , this stock has no red flags at this stage.
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Going by the analysis. HDFC Bank is a good buy at current levels.
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This is not a recommendation to buy, Only for education purpose, Use Discretion.
WELSPUNINDIAScript is facing resistance at 115, attempted to break it multiple times. It also has good volume support . Its just a matter of time before it can cross these level which will then become the new support levels for this script.
The script also created a cup and handle pattern and successfully breaked the earlier resistance of 105 despite negative sentiments.
Learning from trader's mistakes: Turning 37L loss to 1L balance📈 The stock market can be a thrilling but challenging place, especially for new traders. Recently, I had a conversation with a fellow trader who went through a rough patch and sought help to recover from his losses. Let's delve into his experience and extract essential lessons for aspiring traders to navigate the stock market wisely.
📜 The Trader's Story:
On 26 July, I received a message from a trader who felt really down because he lost a lot of money in the stock market. He had started with a good amount, but unfortunately, he ended up losing a massive 37 lakh Indian rupees, leaving him with just 1 lakh rupees now. He was feeling desperate to find a quick solution to recover his losses and offered to pay me for my trading advice.
🚫 Seeking Quick Solutions:
In his desperation, the trader was searching for quick solutions to recover his losses. He hoped that by following my trading calls, he could turn things around and make up for the losses he suffered. However, I knew that seeking quick fixes rarely works in the stock market. It's essential to understand that success takes time, and there are no shortcuts to making a quick fortune.
💭 Setting Realistic Goals:
One of the major problems the trader is facing is setting unrealistic goals. He wanted to turn his 1 lakh rupees into 37 lakh rupees rapidly, which is a very impractical approach. In the stock market, it's crucial to set achievable goals and have patience. Building wealth takes time and consistent effort, not overnight miracles.
🚫 Avoid Blindly Following Others:
A significant mistake the trader made was blindly following others' advice without fully understanding the reasons behind it. He didn't do his own research and simply followed what others suggested. This can be dangerous because not all advice is reliable or suitable for your specific situation. It's crucial to learn about the market and make informed decisions based on your knowledge.
He is repeating this mistake again by asking me to give trading calls
🚫 Chasing Tips and Rumours:
The trader's reliance on trading calls from random sources like telegram groups exposed him to unreliable advice and rumours. It's essential to avoid chasing hot tips or acting on rumours without verification. Successful trading is based on well-researched decisions and a deep understanding of the assets you're investing in.
💼 Stay in Control of Your Account:
Handing over control of his trading account was another big mistake the trader made. When you let someone else trade on your behalf, you lose control over your money and decisions. It's essential to stay in charge of your account and take full responsibility for your trades.
🚫 Trading Without a Plan:
Another significant mistake was trading without a well-defined plan. The trader didn't have clear entry and exit strategies, which led to impulsive decisions. Having a trading plan that outlines your goals, risk tolerance, and trading strategies is crucial for maintaining consistency and discipline in your trading approach.
🚫 Trading with Emotions:
The trader's emotional trading behaviour was a major stumbling block. Emotions like fear, greed, and impatience can cloud judgment and lead to irrational decisions. Keeping emotions in check and following your trading plan objectively is key to making informed choices.
Overtrading: 🔄
The trader's eagerness to recover losses quickly made him overtrade and take unnecessary risks. Overtrading can lead to increased transaction costs and potential losses due to impulsive decision-making. Patience is vital in trading, waiting for the right opportunities instead of rushing into trades.
🎓 Lack of Education and Continuous Learning:
The trader's lack of proper education and continuous learning was evident in his approach. Successful traders never stop learning and improving their skills. Keeping yourself updated on market trends, economic developments, and trading strategies is essential to adapt to dynamic market conditions.
📚 Learning and Practice are Key:
The trader lacked proper knowledge and practice. I stressed the importance of learning about the stock market and practicing with small amounts before risking significant money. Trading is a skill that requires practice to improve.
📉 Ignoring Market Trends and Analysis:
The trader failed to pay attention to market trends and analysis. Successful trading involves studying charts, technical indicators, and fundamental factors that impact the market. Ignoring these critical aspects can result in making uninformed decisions and being ill-prepared for market shifts.
🏁 Final Conclusion:
The trader's journey through significant losses in the stock market provides us with valuable lessons to improve our trading approach. Avoiding quick fixes, setting realistic goals, conducting thorough research, and staying in control of your account are vital for success. Implementing risk management strategies, trading with discipline, and avoiding emotional decisions are essential for consistent profitability. Remember, trading is a journey of continuous learning, and embracing a growth mindset will help you become a successful trader in the long run. Happy trading and may your journey be filled with profitable experiences. Remember, the stock market is a journey, and it's okay to make mistakes as long as you learn from them and keep improving.
👍 If you find this learning article helpful, please like and comment with your observations. Your support keeps me motivated to write consistently. Follow me on TradingView for more articles and trade setups: in.tradingview.com
🚀 Keep improving, stay disciplined
nifty 50 idea -06-juneNifty intrady Idea
Current Price- 18534.10
Resistance -18563, Support- 18511 !!!
UP Target : t1:18631 t2 18679,t3 18700, we can expect after a Break of Resistance $
DOWN Target : t1 : 18483 , T2 18432 , we can expect after Break of Support $
"" Execution only after break and close above or below from resistance or Support 15 minute candle .""
" "Stop Loss above or Below From Resistance Or Support 15 Minute candle ""
Just for learn only
dual top pattern explained in simple form The dual top pattern is a popular technical analysis pattern that can signal a potential trend reversal. This pattern is formed when the price of an asset reaches a resistance level twice and fails to break above it. The two peaks of the pattern look like two mountain tops that are approximately equal in height, with a dip or valley in between them. The neckline of the pattern is drawn by connecting the lows between the two peaks. A breakdown below the neckline is considered a sell signal, as it suggests that the price is likely to continue to decline.
The dual top pattern is an important tool for traders because it can help to identify potential trend reversals. However, it's important to confirm the pattern with other indicators and analysis before making trading decisions. For example, traders might look for other technical signals such as a bearish divergence or a break below a key support level to confirm the dual top pattern. Additionally, traders may use fundamental analysis to gain insight into the underlying factors that are driving the price movement of the asset.
Overall, the dual top pattern is a powerful tool for traders to identify potential trend reversals, but it's important to approach it with caution and to use other analysis techniques to confirm the signal before making trading decisions.
In the below example, a newbie too would be able to learn and practice trend reversal using double top pattern
Dual top pattern = potential trend reversal.
Look for two mountain tops with a valley in between.
The resistance level was reached twice but was not broken
Draw the neckline by connecting lows between the peaks.
A breakdown below the neckline = sell signal.
Remember, the dual top pattern can be a powerful tool for traders to identify potential trend reversals, but it's important to confirm with other indicators and analysis before making trading decisions.
As 'Above' so 'Below' - the harmony of natureIn this real world, there is various philosophy that tries to explain the "As above, so below" harmony is the great law of nature but none can prove this law hence it's still a hypothesis.
The law of nature works on everything and the stock market is not untouched by nature.
I am not here to give a lecture on this law of nature but to prove how this harmony of nature is preserved in the stock market and to share my research work on 'Stock-et' science which is equally difficult as 'Rocket' science.
Many of you have heard of these famous patterns:-
'Head and Shoulder'
'Cup and Handle'
'Rounding Top/Bottom'
'Flag/Pennant'
'Double Top/Bottom'
Do you all observe some correlation among them?
They all are candlestick patterns that either decide reversal or continuation, if this was your observation then probably you are correct but I wasn't indicating this.
Let me explain to you what kind of relationship I was talking about.
How do we estimate the target of these patterns? To the target level, we first measure the depth of the pattern i.e. how deep it's below the breakout level.
As its depth is below so will the height above.
Now, I think you all can draw how this law of nature is respected here in the candlestick pattern or more precisely in the stock market.
Let’s have an example to be more sound:-
The above chart describes how the CUP pattern works following this law of nature.
The stock after the breakout rallied non-stop to attain the e height of +94% which was the depth of the cup pattern.
After attaining the target or say 'equilibrium' stock witnessed a jerk, not before that.
This proves how the market preserves "As above, so below" harmony, the great law of nature.
Still not convinced then look to another example,
This is the vice-versa of the previously explained example, here stock attains the depth of -17% i.e. ' equilibrium' after forming a Head and Shoulder pattern with a height of shoulder +17%.
This proves how the market preserves "As below, so above" harmony, the great law of nature.
Now let's look at this concept with different dimensions i.e. dimensions of mathematics, physics, and chemistry.
Don’t be afraid I'm not going to talk about 'rocket' science but 'stock-et' science.
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In math, we all have read negative and positive cancels out i.e. (-3+3=0) same in candlestick patterns if the stock has a pattern depth of then the pattern target would be +30% to attain '0' or say 'equilibrium'.
In physics, we all have read that negative charges neutralize the positive charge to attain 'equilibrium' same in the stock market.
In chemistry, we all have read that all chemical changes occur in nature to attain 'equilibrium' i.e. two elements share their electrons to attain 'stability' (H2O, here two hydrogen molecules share their 1 electron with 6 electrons of oxygen to attain equilibrium) this same happens in markets all market movements occur to attain 'stability'.
Generally, people have fantasies about 'Rocket' science but we traders have fantasies about 'Stock-et' science.
Please drop comments on whether you have a fantasy for any of the above science.
Also, let me know how many of you believe that the stock market doesn't work on speculation but has its science
let's call it 'Stock-et' science.
WHAT IS OPTION GREEKS ?NSE:BANKNIFTY
Introduction
Option trading is an exciting process and almost every market participant has at least experienced the thrill of trading options, almost all the time with unsatisfactory results.
To avoid such accidents an option trader seeks different tools to trade sucssessfully,
The most important of tools are the Option Greeks and they are usually the first metric looked upon by option traders.
What are Option Greeks?
Options are derivatives of underlying assets ( curd is a derivative of milk, so the change in the quality of milk will result in a change in the quality of the curd derived ) similarly, Greeks are a way to measure the sensitivity of the price of the option to various factors.
The price of the option premium does not always move in conjunction with the price of the underlying asset and it is important to understand the different factors that affect the change in the price of the premium. With the help of the option greeks, a trader will be able to measure the rate of change of different factors affecting the option premium.
# You can check the option greeks by using zerodha option chain or any other trading platform
What is DELTA?
The first Greek is Delta, which quantifies how much an option's price is projected to fluctuate for every $1 that the underlying securities or index changes in price.
For example,A Delta of 0.50 indicates that the option's price will fluctuate 50 point for every 100 point movement in the price of the underlying stock or index.
#Delta for call option ranges between 0 to 1 and for put option ranges between -1 to 0.
>ATM options have a delta of 0.5
>ITM option have a delta of close to 1
>OTM options have a delta of close to 0.
Delta = Change in option premium/ Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
#The following example should help you understand this better –
Nifty is currently trading at 16000
Option Strike = 15900 Call Option
Premium = 150
Delta of the option = + 0.60
Nifty is expected to reach 16200
What is the likely option premium value at 16200 ?
Well, this is fairly easy to calculate. We know the Delta of the option is 0.60, which means for every 1 point change in the underlying the premium is expected to
change by 0.60 points.
We are expecting the underlying to change by 200 points (16200 – 16000), hence the premium is supposed to increase by
= 200*0.60
= 120
the new option premium is expected to trade around 150 + 120 = 270
What ia gamma?
Gamma is used to measure the delta’s change relative to the changes in the price of the underlying asset.
If the price of the underlying asset increases by 1point, the option’s delta will change by the gamma amount.
The gamma value will also range between 0 and 1.
Gamma = Change in an options delta / Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
What is Theta?
The Theta or time decay factor is the rate at which an option loses value as time passes. Theta is expressed in points lost per day when all other conditions remain the same.
theta is always shown as negative number because option value is depriciating as the time is passing.
Theta is the biggest enemy of option buyer cause it reduces the favourable outcome of option buyer by depriciating the option price.
for example,A Theta of -15 indicates that the option premium will lose -15 points for every day that passes by.
if an option is trading at Rs.290/- with a theta of -15 then it will trade at Rs.275/- the following day when other factors remain constant.
Theta = Change in an option premium / Change in time to expiry.
This is the graph of how premium erodes as a time to expiry approaches. This is also called the ‘Time Decay’ graph.
What is Vega ?
It is intended to tell you how much an option’s price should move when the volatility of the underlying security or index increases or decreases. It is the change of an option premium for a given change (typically 1%) in the underlying volatility.
1. Vega measures how the implied volatility (IV) of a stock affects the price of the options on that stock.
2. Volatility is one of the most important factors affecting the value of options.
3.A drop in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to lose value.
4. An increase in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to gain value.
Vega = Change in an option premium / Change in volatility.
What can option Greeks do for you?
1.Help you measure the possibility that an option will expire in the money (Delta).
2.Estimate how much the Delta will change when the stock price changes (Gamma).
3.Get a feel for how much value your option might lose each day as it approaches expiration (Theta).
4.Understand how sensitive an option might be to large price swings in the underlying stock (Vega).
“With the help of Greeks, an options trader can make more analyzed decisions about which options to trade, which strike price to trade and when to trade.
Since there are a variety of market factors that can affect the price of an option in some way, assuming all other factors remain unchanged,
we can use Greeks and determine the impact of each factor when its value changes.”
I Hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Happy Trading!
Thanks to the greatest teacher 'THE MARKET' !!!This publication is dedicated to thanking one of the greatest and strict teacher the ‘Stock Market’.
The lessons of the market not only help one to succeed in the stock market but also helps throughout life.
This 5th September i.e. Teacher’s day let’s have a detailed look at 5 Great Learnings of Stock Market and thank her for these
life-awakening learnings.
-> Discipline: The most important teaching in markets is discipline. As the wording of Jim Rohn states “Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment” stock market develops that bridge.
The market has its way of teaching and punishing, I think all of us had witnessed its punishment whether in form of not keeping stop loss or not following your trade system.
Discipline plays a vital role in an individual’s life. As said by Horace “Rule your mind or it will rule you. ”The disciplined person has the power to rule his mind whereas others lack this ability.
-> Patience: Another gem cultivated by markets in our personality and harvested by us throughout life. One of the familiar names of our school time Benjamin Franklin says “He that can have patience can have what he will.” market first teaches this gem to us then offer us what we wish.
We all have at least once missed taking the real profit by not waiting till the target is achieved but leaving the trade in midway though it was moving in our direction the reason is we lack patience and the market gives profit only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or market will make you fit for it by its own way.
-> Ability to conquer 3 gateways of hell: According to ‘The Bhagavad Gita’ there are 3 gateways to hell i.e. Lust, Greed, and Anger.
The market helps its students in conquering those strong emotions. The beginner in the stock market has a strong lust for making money very quickly and greed for making lots of money without that kind of effort and when he fails in his motive anger gets born in his personality from where degradation or hell starts.
Those few people who still have not left the hands of the market get the knowledge to conquer those emotions throughout their journey in markets.
-> Faith in yourself: One of the famous quotes by Ralph Waldo Emerson is “The best lightning rod for your protection is your own spine.” market strengthen that spine so that we as its student can withstand any kind of storm in our life.
Before taking any trade based on your analysis requires self-belief on the early days people hesitate but later they rely on their analysis because the market has taught them self-belief.
-> Crush your arrogance: Market is popular in crushing the arrogant guy along with this removing any trace of arrogance in his personality. The famous wording says “Close some doors today. Not because of pride, incapacity, or arrogance, but simply because they lead you nowhere.” market as a kind teacher keep a keen eye on her student for arrogance as she knows that as soon as arrogance arises person starts his fall.
All of us had witnessed that whenever we start thinking that we have mastered markets and try to neglect discipline market slaps us badly to awaken us that we are still newbies and still had to learn a lot.
According to me, these 5 are the most valuable learnings of markets but if you have any learning of market much valuable in your life please mention in comments.
Also, comment which subjects teacher in your school life is as strict as the stock market, for me its 2nd language(Hindi) teacher.
Finally great thanks to 'The Market' for these great teachings.
The stock market gives success only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or the market will make you fit for it in its own way.