ETH/USDT Buy Setup – Rounding Bottom RetestEthereum is setting up a high-probability long entry after completing a 4H rounding bottom pattern with a clean retest. This structure often signals exhaustion of sellers and the start of a sustained bullish leg.
Trade Idea
Buy Entry: 4510
Stop Loss: 4400
Target: 1:1.5 RR (approx. 4810)
Why This Setup?
4H Rounding Bottom: Classic reversal + continuation structure.
Retest Confirmation: Price is reacting strongly after trapping late sellers.
Confluence: Trend momentum aligns with bullish bias, supported by higher timeframe structure.
Execution Notes
Risk small and stick to 1–2% max per trade.
If ETH breaks and holds above 4600, momentum could accelerate quickly.
Trail stops if strength builds toward $4800–$4900 zone.
Summary: ETH has trapped sellers at the lows and is retesting a bullish rounding bottom. With clean risk defined at 4400, this 1:1.5 setup offers both safety and upside potential.
Community ideas
XAGUSD Step-by-step entry plan for XAGUSD
1. We have our Daily Point of Interest (POI)
- On the daily a zone that contains:
* a fair value gap (FVG),
* a break of structure (BOS) that previously acted as resistance and is now expected to act as support, and
* support from the 44 SMA.
2. Wait for price to return to the Daily POI
- Only consider the setup if price actually comes back into that daily POI zone.
3. Switch to the 1-hour timeframe to refine the entry
- Look for a shift in structure on the 1-hour (i.e., evidence that momentum is shifting bullish: BOS to the upside, higher highs/higher lows).
4. Confirm a 1-hour fair value gap forms
- The structure shift on 1-hour should create a 1-hour FVG (a short intraday imbalance).
5. Wait for the 1-hour FVG to be filled
- Let price fill that 1-hour FVG (price moves into/through the gap).
6. Look for a bullish confirmation on the filled 1-hour FVG
- After the fill, require a clear bullish formation on 1-hour (examples: bullish engulfing candle, strong demand candle, a higher-low + rejection wick).
7. Enter on the 1-hour bullish confirmation
- Enter when price breaks the confirmation level (e.g., breaks above the local 1-hour high formed by the bullish setup) or on a confirmed bullish candle close per your entry rules.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in HERITGFOOD
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
ASIANPAINT 1D Time frameCurrent View
The stock is trading around ₹2,490-₹2,500, roughly in that band.
Recent price action suggests sideways to slightly negative bias in the short term.
The stock is below many of its medium-to-long term moving averages, but above some short term ones — mixed signals.
⚙️ Indicators & Momentum
RSI is in neutral to slightly weak territory (not deeply oversold, not overbought).
MACD shows bearish pressure in recent periods.
Some oscillators & momentum tools showing mild divergence, meaning upward momentum is not strong.
Short-term moving averages are giving mixed signals: some support, some resistance.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones: ~ ₹2,520-₹2,550 is a resistance range.
Support Zones: ~ ₹2,450-₹2,470 nearer support. More substantial support around ₹2,400-₹2,430.
Nifty -- View & level for 19/09/202517/09/2025 Nifty View
📌 Last Close: 25,239.10
🔻 Support: 25,205
🔺 Resistance: 25,340
💡 View:
As usual, closing trend was positive, so the expectation is for a positive opening.
However, I’m anticipating a slightly weak to flat opening.
👉 In case of a weak opening, it could turn into a buy opportunity with SL @ 25,205 & 25,175.
✅ Strength above 25,270
❌ Weakness below 25,205
⚠️ Cautions near 25,340 & 25,427
⚠️ Note: Stick to levels, follow discipline & use TSL (Trailing Stop Loss) once targets start approaching.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
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Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
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Nifty - CE or PE ?Recap:
💡 View shared on 17th Sep 2025:
Trend is positive & any dip is a buy opportunity.
✅ Strength above 25,350
❌ Weakness below 25,250
⚠️ Cautions near 25,427
Actual on 18th Sep 2025
OHLC
25,441 🎯 BANG ON MATCH with given Resistance of 25,427.00
25,449 🎯 BANG ON MATCH with given Resistance of 25,427.00
25,330 🎯 BANG ON MATCH with given Support of 25,340.00
25,423 🎯 BANG ON MATCH with given Resistance of 25,427.00
19/09/2025 Nifty View
📌 Last Close: 25,423
🔻 Support: 25,330
🔺 Resistance: 25,515 - 25,565
💡 View:
Trend is positive & any dip is a buy opportunity.
✅ Strength above 25,430
❌ Weakness below 25,350
⚠️ Cautions near 25,515 - 25650
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⚠️ Note: Stick to levels, follow discipline & use TSL (Trailing Stop Loss) once targets start approaching.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
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NIFTY Analysis 17 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 am0pening near 25395
Market may open sideways
Sideways move helps to sustain
Watch 25395 level for 1 hour
Sustaining above 25395 is bullish
Above 25395 target 25457
Failure to sustain above 25333 is bearish
Bearish bottleneck pattern may form in 5 min chart
If bearishbn pattern form then downside expected
Downside target is 25263
First support level is 25263
Second support level is 25177
Third support level is 25073
First resistance level is 25395
Next resistance levels are 25457 and 25510
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
NORTHARC : Swing pick#NORTHARC #patterntrading #chartpattern #inverseheadandshoulder #breakoutstock #swingtrade #trendingstock
NORTHARC :
>> Low PE Stock
>> Chart pattern Trading
>> Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern
>> Volumes Building up
>> Stock showing strength
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings.
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th September 2025📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy
🔔 This is a structured intraday setup for Gold. Follow carefully with strict risk management.
✨ Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario)
🔼 Condition to Enter Long:
Wait for a 1-Hour Candle Close above $3692.
Entry is valid only if the candle closes above this level, not just a spike.
💰 Entry Price: Above $3692
🎯 Profit Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: $3707 (Quick scalp level)
2️⃣ Second Target: $3715 (Moderate resistance zone)
3️⃣ Third Target: $3728 (Extended bullish move)
🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Place a protective stop below $3682 (approx. 10 points below breakout level).
✨ Sell Setup (Bearish Scenario)
🔽 Condition to Enter Short:
Wait for a 15-Minute Candle Close below $3642.
Entry is valid only if the candle closes below, not just a wick test.
💰 Entry Price: Below $3642
🎯 Profit Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: $3630 (Initial support break)
2️⃣ Second Target: $3618 (Deeper push)
3️⃣ Third Target: $3605 (Major support zone)
🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Place a protective stop above $3652 (approx. 10 points above breakdown level).
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Always use strict stop-loss to protect capital.
Do not over-leverage; risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Wait for candle close confirmation before entering. Avoid emotional entries.
If first target is achieved, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits.
Trade only when market conditions align with your plan.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This content is shared for educational & informational purposes only.
📌 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before taking trades.
📌 Trading in gold, forex, and commodities carries significant risk of capital loss.
📌 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Poonawalla Fincorp: Is It a Buy for Swing Trading Right Now?When it comes to swing trading, momentum and timing matter as much as fundamentals. One stock that has caught a lot of attention recently is Poonawalla Fincorp. With strong AUM growth, fresh promoter funding, and a breakout move on the charts, traders are asking: Is this the right time to ride the trend? Let’s break it down.
🚀 Fundamental Snapshot
Assets Under Management (AUM) have shot up to ~₹41,000+ crore in Q1 FY26 — that’s over 53% YoY growth.
Asset quality is under control with GNPA ~1.8% and NNPA below 1%.
Promoter infusion of ₹1,500 crore has strengthened the balance sheet, giving it a big growth cushion.
Secured lending focus (57% of the book) reduces risk compared to a purely unsecured book.
On paper, Poonawalla looks like a strong growth NBFC that’s expanding smartly into retail segments while keeping risks in check.
⚠️ The Risks You Can’t Ignore
Profitability swings: Despite AUM growth, quarterly profit numbers have been volatile. In some periods, net profit dipped sharply.
Rich valuation: With a Price-to-Book multiple around 3.7–4×, the stock trades at a premium to peers.
Dilution factor: The promoter’s equity infusion, while positive for growth, can weigh on per-share earnings.
Macro sensitivity: As with any NBFC, rising interest rates or credit defaults could hit margins fast.
So while the growth story is intact, the market has already priced in a lot of good news.
📈 Technical Setup
52-week range: ₹267 (low) – ₹483 (high).
The stock recently touched fresh highs after the capital infusion news, showing strong momentum.
Current price action sits closer to resistance, so chasing blindly could be risky.
Trading levels to watch:
Support zone: ₹440–₹460
Resistance zone / target: ₹480–₹500
Stop loss: Below ₹420 for short-term swing positions
📝 Swing Trade View
If you’re looking at Poonawalla Fincorp purely for a swing trade (2–6 weeks horizon):
Bias: Positive, but only with disciplined risk management.
Best entry: On dips near support levels, not at the very top.
Catalyst: Next quarterly earnings or further updates on loan book quality could fuel another breakout.
✅ Final Word
Poonawalla Fincorp is showing a blend of strong growth fundamentals and bullish momentum. For swing traders, that’s an attractive combo. But with valuations stretched and profitability inconsistent, the stock isn’t without risks.
👉 If you plan to trade it, treat it as a momentum play with strict stop-losses, not a blind long-term hold.
“Consider entering fresh positions if the stock sustains above ₹516, treating it as a breakout level. Traders can also look to accumulate on healthy retracements. Upside targets are set at ₹616, ₹800, and ₹1,000, while a protective stop-loss should be placed near ₹400.”
Gold Trading Inside Channel – Key Support & Resistance Levels!Hello Traders!
Gold is currently moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 30-min chart. Both buyers and sellers are respecting the levels of this channel, giving us clear trading opportunities.
Key Observations
Price has tested the upper channel resistance multiple times, facing rejection near $3,710–$3,720.
The lower channel support around $3,650 has been well respected, creating strong buying reactions.
A minor resistance trendline is now forming, which could temporarily limit upside momentum.
Short-term path suggests: rejection from minor resistance → retest of channel bottom → potential bounce back toward the upper channel.
Trading Plan
Bullish bias remains intact as long as Gold holds above $3,650 channel support.
A bounce from support may target $3,710–$3,720 zone again.
If support breaks, deeper correction may follow.
Rahul’s Tip
Always wait for confirmation near channel edges. Trading inside the channel can be tricky, but respecting support and resistance gives you high-probability setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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Gap Fill - Kotak Mahindra Bank📊 Script: KOTAKBANK
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script will fill gap in near future, we may see some good rally.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2050
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 2176
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 1991
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Buy, Sell or Skip? Read Breakouts and VolumesExplore how to judge breakouts using TradingView's bar replay, leveraging 3-month-old charts and price action principles that apply from 5-min to monthly timeframes. Sharpen your technical edge—educational insights only.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC
📊 Market Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range.
The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS).
Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation.
Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC.
🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective)
Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS.
Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited).
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone).
Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone).
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance / Sell Zones
3,686.88 (Immediate resistance)
3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone)
Support / Buy Zones
3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest)
3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone)
✅ Priority Scenario – BUY
Entry 1
Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest)
SL: 3,661
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 2
Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone)
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
Entry 3
Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity)
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721
🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade)
If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns.
Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears.
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676
⚠️ Risk Management & Notes
Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely.
Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk.
Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells).
Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
18/09, 01:00 (US time): FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings
01:30: Powell’s speech – the key market focus
Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps. However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold
During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675, reflecting caution ahead of the FED
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is making a technical pullback before the FED.
Medium-term trend remains bullish, but patience is needed to wait for better Buy entries.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp)
ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (trendline confluence + old BoS)
Market Structure
Multiple BoS confirm bullish trend
Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717
Break above 3,720 → confirms new ATH
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,656 – 3,657
SL: 3,648
TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,693 – 3,695
SL: 3,705
TP: 3,690 – 3,685 - 3680 - 368x - 36xx
Sell Zone ATH
Entry: 3,717 – 3,720
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,715 – 3,710 – 3,705 - 37xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship toward Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) .
Yet the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the big wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps.
Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the force to propel Gold to new peaks.”
AUDCAD Price Forecast – Structural Shift in MomentumAUD/CAD has recently completed a strong trending phase, characterized by a well-defined upward channel with consistent expansions. The sequence of price action showed clear momentum as each retracement was absorbed and followed by renewed buying interest, maintaining structural order throughout the move.
However, the latest developments reflect a notable shift in behavior. After a prolonged climb, price is showing signs of losing momentum, with market structure shifts (MSS) indicating that control is gradually transitioning. This suggests that the market is entering a phase of rebalancing, where prior bullish momentum may give way to corrective activity.
The projection implies that the pair could be preparing for a deeper adjustment, where short-term liquidity cycles reset positioning before a more sustainable trend emerges. This type of rotation is natural after extended directional moves and often signals the beginning of a new phase rather than immediate continuation.
Overall, AUD/CAD is transitioning from strength into a corrective cycle. While the broader market has proven its ability to trend effectively, near-term behavior suggests that the focus will be on how efficiently the market absorbs this correction before defining the next directional phase.
DEEPAK FERTILIZERTrend Structure:
The stock has been in a primary uptrend (marked with the blue ascending channel).
Recently, it went into a short-term retracement with a downward sloping trendline (white).
Support & Demand Zones:
Strong Bullish Order Block and FVG Discount Zone around the ₹1350 – ₹1400 level, where buyers are stepping in.
Price formed a Triple Bottom at this support, indicating strong demand and rejection of lower prices.
Pattern & Candlestick Structure:
Triple Bottom is a reversal pattern confirming that sellers are unable to push below ₹1350.
Current candles show bullish momentum, reclaiming above the retracement trendline.
Breakout:
Price has broken the short-term retracement trendline on the upside, signaling a potential end to the correction.
Fresh momentum is visible with today’s +3.70% rise, closing near ₹1478.
Volume:
Breakout accompanied with decent volume (296K), strengthening the bullish signal.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
Bullish Bias: The combination of triple bottom support, order block demand zone, and trendline breakout suggests bullish continuation.
Immediate Resistance Levels: ₹1520 – ₹1560 (near-term supply zone).
Major Resistance: ₹1650 – ₹1700 (previous swing highs).
Support Levels: ₹1400 (strong demand zone), followed by ₹1320 if broken.
🔹 Trading View:
Aggressive Traders: Can look for long entries near ₹1450–₹1470 with a stop loss below ₹1400.
Conservative Traders: Wait for a daily close above ₹1520 to confirm strength before entering.
Targets: First target ₹1560, second target ₹1650–₹1700
NATURAL GAS HARMONIC PATTERN
📈 Chart Pattern: Bearish Harmonic (Possibly Bearish Bat or Gartley Variant)
⚠️ Price Structure Breakdown:
A clean XABCD Harmonic Pattern is visible on the 1H timeframe:
🔹 XA Leg: Sharp impulsive rally from ₹229 → ₹281
🔹 AB Leg: Pullback retraced 49% of XA
🔹 BC Leg: Strong recovery to 81.5% of AB
🔹 CD Projection: 1.6x extension of BC, projecting a potential D point near ₹244–248 zone
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Pattern in play: Bearish harmonic indicating upcoming correction phase
🧲 D target zone aligns with previous demand cluster from late August
🔄 Ideal reversal zone between ₹244–248 (Watch for price-action confirmation near D)
🎯 Possible Trade Setup (Anticipated Post Completion at Point D):
📉 Sell NG Futures near ₹244–248 (on reversal confirmation)
🎯 Targets: ₹234 → ₹229
🛑 SL: Above ₹251 (on closing basis)
🧠 Why This Matters:
Harmonic patterns like this, especially with clean Fibonacci alignment, often mark high-probability reversal zones. Combined with volume + divergence filters, this zone could provide a lucrative swing trade setup.