Bitcoin Breakdown Alert!🔻 1. Rising Trendline Broken
BTC violated a major ascending trendline that held for days. After the breakdown, the retest failed, confirming bearish momentum.
This is a classic pattern:
➡️ Breakdown → Retest → Continuation Down
🔺 2. Triple Resistance Rejection
Price tapped the same resistance zone three times and failed each time. This created a triple-top / rising wedge setup — typically bearish
📉 3. Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown
A smaller triangle inside the structure also broke downward, adding multi-timeframe confluence to the bearish move.
🧱 4. Key Levels to Watch
Support:-
$89,000 – $88,500
$86,500 – $85,800
$83,500 – $82,800 (High probability target)
Bullish only if:
BTC reclaims the trendline and closes above $92K → $94K.
Until then, the trend stays short-term bearish.
Community ideas
The Day I Trusted My Setup - And Finally Found Peace in TradingHello Traders!
Every trader remembers the day they finally stopped fighting the market and started trusting their setup.
Not because the setup became perfect, but because the trader stopped panicking, stopped doubting, and stopped reacting emotionally to every candle.
This post is about that mindset shift.
The shift that quietly turns chaos into clarity.
1. The Problem Was Never the Strategy
Most traders have decent setups, but terrible self-control.
They enter early, exit early, or avoid taking the trade completely.
They blame indicators, brokers, markets, everything except their own fear.
The truth is simple:
Your setup doesn’t fail. Your belief in the setup fails first.
2. The Market Became Peaceful the Day My Mind Did
I stopped questioning every candle.
I stopped comparing my trades to others on social media.
I stopped jumping from one strategy to another.
When the mind becomes quiet, the market stops feeling like a threat.
3. One Setup, Repeated Consistently, Is More Powerful Than 10 Indicators
When you trust your setup, you stop looking for confirmation everywhere else.
Your eyes automatically see the same pattern repeat again and again.
You develop confidence, not from winning, but from understanding.
A trader doesn’t need more tools.
A trader needs one tool they fully trust.
4. Peace Comes From Acceptance, Not Prediction
You stop trying to predict the market.
You stop expecting every trade to win.
You start accepting that your job is execution, not perfection.
Peace is not when trades stop losing
Peace is when losses stop scaring you.
5. Trusting the Setup Automatically Improves Discipline
You follow your entry rules without hesitation.
You respect your stop loss without fighting it.
You let profits run because you no longer fear giving them back.
Discipline is the natural outcome of trust.
Rahul’s Tip:
Your setup doesn’t need to be extraordinary, it just needs to match your personality.
Once you stop jumping strategies and commit to one approach fully, trading becomes quieter, calmer, and finally peaceful.
Conclusion:
The day you trust your setup is the day trading stops feeling like a battle.
You stop chasing the market and start flowing with it.
With clarity, discipline, and trust, profitability becomes a byproduct, not a target.
If this post reflects your trading journey, like it, share your experience, and follow for more psychology-based insights!
Glenmark Pharma shows a strong uptrend with periodic correctionsGlenmark Pharma has been moving in a clear weekly uptrend where each strong rise has been followed by a period of consolidation before the next move. This sequence appears three times on the chart, marked as rally and correction phases.
After the most recent rise, price has entered a narrow downward channel. This forms a flag structure, which is a common type of consolidation during an ongoing trend. Volume has reduced during this period, which is normal in this kind of structure.
A break above the upper boundary of this channel may indicate that the consolidation is ending and that the trend is ready to continue. The measured distance of the previous rise has been added on the chart to show a possible future level if the trend resumes.
This idea is based entirely on the repeating structure of rally, pause and continuation that is visible on the weekly time frame.
Follow for more clean charts and structured price action studies.
Delhivery standing by its name!Forming a complex head and shoulder pattern. I have been following this stock for a long time now and i saw when they posted their first quarter of operational profit. Closely tracked its progress over a few quarters and now they have done a full turnaround and achieved profitability and are continuously expanding in the segment. I am counting on this stock to reach its all time high again soon.
VST Tillers"Here’s a quick breakdown of a beautiful daily setup on VST Tillers.
After a strong 75% move earlier, the stock spent months forming a tight re-accumulation base.
Low volatility… higher lows… and price is surfing the 8 and 21 EMAs perfectly.
Last few days?
Super tight candles… almost no volatility… that’s the market telling you something big is brewing.
We also got a clean retest with stronger volume, which shows demand stepping in and weak hands getting shaken out.
The stock is now sitting just below its all-time high — and that’s where the best breakouts happen.
Here’s my plan:
I’ll buy only if the stock breaks above 5775 with strong volume.
If it doesn’t break out… I don’t touch it.
Simple.
Patience is a position.
This is how I approach swing trading."
If you want, I can also:
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 11-12✅ 4H Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ A strong bullish candle breaks multiple resistance levels
Gold surged out of the previous consolidation range with a powerful bullish candle, breaking through the 4247–4250 resistance zone and reaching a high of 4281.
This shows strong participation from major buyers and clearly strengthened bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Moving averages in full bullish alignment
Short-term MAs (MA5/MA10) are sharply turning upward, with price holding firmly above them.
MA20 (around 4210) now acts as an important pullback support.
As long as price stays above MA5/MA10, the structure remains strongly bullish.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands expanding upward, indicating a trending market
Price broke above the upper band and is riding along it — a typical signal of a strong continuation trend.
→ Upside momentum still has room to extend.
📌 H4 Conclusion:
Gold has broken key resistance and shifted into a strong uptrend.
Pullbacks toward 4250–4260 are normal corrections; if support holds, the bullish trend is expected to continue.
📊 1H Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Multiple strong bullish candles followed by high-level consolidation
After breaking resistance, price is consolidating within 4270–4280, forming a high-level range.
This consolidation is considered a bullish continuation pattern, not a topping signal.
2️⃣ Strong short-term support from MA5/MA10
The moving averages form a clear bullish staircase structure:
MA5 support near 4268
MA10 support near 4258
As long as price stays above MA10, the short-term trend remains intact.
3️⃣ Bollinger upper band rising — bullish momentum intact
The upper band continues to move higher, showing that momentum has not weakened.
A break above 4281 may trigger another upward extension.
📌 H1 Conclusion:
The short-term structure is strongly bullish.
Key support sits at 4260–4250; holding this zone keeps the trend intact.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4281 (recent high)
4290–4300 (psychological + structural resistance)
4315 (extension target)
🟢 Support Levels
4268–4260 (MA5/MA10 on the 1H chart)
4250 (previous resistance turned support)
4210–4205 (H4 key structural support)
📌 Trading Strategy Suggestion
🔰 1. Buy on Pullback (Main Strategy)
📍 Consider buying near 4260–4250
🎯 Targets: 4281 / 4290 / 4300
⛔ Stop-loss: below 4244
Why:
Strong uptrend intact
Pullback to support offers a better entry
MAs + Bollinger Bands both support bullish continuation
🔰 2. Breakout Buying (Secondary Strategy)
📍 If price breaks above 4281, you may consider a light breakout entry
🎯 Targets: 4295 / 4310
⛔ Stop-loss: below 4270
Why:
High-level consolidation → bullish accumulation
Breakout often leads to a momentum-driven extension
📌 Summary
Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend:
H4: Breakout of major resistance → uptrend confirmed
H1: High-level consolidation → preparing for another push upward
As long as 4250–4260 holds,
the short-term outlook remains bullish, with buy-the-dip as the preferred strategy.
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in SMCGLOBAL
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Event-Based Trading: A Comprehensive OverviewTypes of Events in Event-Based Trading
Event-based trading revolves around various types of events that can materially impact the value of securities. These events are generally categorized into corporate, economic, political, and market-wide events:
Corporate Events
These include events directly related to individual companies. Key examples include:
Earnings Announcements: Quarterly or annual earnings reports often trigger sharp price movements, especially if results deviate significantly from market expectations.
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): News of a merger, acquisition, or takeover bid can drastically alter a company’s valuation. Traders may buy shares of the target company in anticipation of a takeover premium or short the acquirer if they anticipate integration challenges.
Stock Splits or Buybacks: Companies announcing stock splits or share repurchase programs can influence demand and supply dynamics, creating trading opportunities.
Spin-offs: When a company spins off a subsidiary, traders often analyze relative valuations to exploit potential mispricings.
Economic Events
Economic data releases and policy decisions can move markets significantly:
Interest Rate Announcements: Central bank decisions can influence bond yields, currency valuations, and stock markets.
Inflation Data and Employment Reports: Unexpected deviations from forecasts often lead to volatility in equities, currencies, and commodities.
GDP Growth Reports: Market participants adjust their risk exposure based on economic growth trends.
Political Events
Political developments can have far-reaching effects:
Elections: Outcome predictions or surprises can shift investor sentiment across sectors or entire markets.
Regulatory Changes: Policy shifts in taxation, environmental regulations, or trade agreements can impact specific industries.
Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts, sanctions, or trade wars create sudden market reactions, often in commodities like oil or gold, and in related equities.
Market Events
Market-specific events include phenomena like:
IPO Launches: Newly listed stocks often experience high volatility due to initial market sentiment and institutional interest.
Index Rebalancing: Periodic adjustments of stock indices by benchmark providers can create temporary demand-supply imbalances.
Corporate Governance Changes: Resignations of key executives or board restructuring can influence investor confidence.
Key Principles of Event-Based Trading
Event-based trading relies on a combination of research, anticipation, timing, and risk management. The key principles include:
Anticipation and Analysis
Traders must anticipate which events could lead to profitable opportunities. This requires understanding historical market reactions, industry dynamics, and economic sensitivities. For example, if a central bank is expected to raise interest rates, currency and banking stocks may react predictably.
Volatility Exploitation
Events often create short-term price spikes or drops due to sudden shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Event-based traders seek to enter positions before or immediately after such moves to profit from rapid price changes.
Information Advantage
Traders rely on timely and accurate information. Access to real-time news feeds, earnings reports, economic indicators, and regulatory filings is critical. Some professional event traders use alternative data sources, such as satellite imagery for commodity analysis or shipping data for logistics insights.
Short-Term Focus
While some event-based strategies can be medium-term, most trading revolves around short-term price reactions. Traders often hold positions for hours, days, or weeks, depending on the nature and expected impact of the event.
Risk Management
Event-based trading carries inherent risks due to unpredictable outcomes. Sudden reversals, rumors, or delayed reactions can lead to losses. Traders use stop-loss orders, position sizing, and hedging strategies to protect capital.
Common Event-Based Trading Strategies
Event-driven traders often specialize in particular strategies based on event type and market response:
Merger Arbitrage
Traders exploit the price difference between the current trading price of a target company and the announced acquisition price. For instance, if a company is being acquired for $50 per share, but the stock trades at $47, traders might buy the stock anticipating a convergence to the acquisition price.
Earnings Plays
Traders anticipate stock price movements around earnings releases by analyzing historical earnings surprises and market expectations. They may use options strategies like straddles or strangles to profit from anticipated volatility.
Dividend Capture
Some traders focus on stock price movements around dividend announcements or ex-dividend dates, seeking short-term gains from anticipated adjustments in stock prices.
Regulatory Arbitrage
Traders identify potential winners or losers from regulatory changes. For instance, if a government announces incentives for renewable energy, event-based traders might buy stocks in solar or wind energy companies.
Macro Event Trading
Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical developments create opportunities in forex, bonds, commodities, and equity markets. Traders position themselves to profit from expected market reactions.
Tools and Techniques in Event-Based Trading
Successful event-based trading relies on a combination of analytical, technological, and informational tools:
News and Data Feeds
Real-time information from Bloomberg, Reuters, and other financial data providers allows traders to react swiftly to events.
Event Calendars
Calendars tracking earnings releases, IPOs, mergers, central bank meetings, and economic announcements help traders plan positions in advance.
Options and Derivatives
Options, futures, and other derivatives are often used to hedge risk or enhance returns, especially when anticipating large price swings.
Quantitative Models
Advanced event-based traders use algorithms to model market reactions based on historical data, volatility patterns, and correlations.
Sentiment Analysis
Natural language processing and social media monitoring help gauge market sentiment around corporate and macroeconomic events.
Advantages of Event-Based Trading
Profit Potential: Exploiting short-term mispricings around events can generate substantial returns.
Diverse Opportunities: Multiple event types across sectors and asset classes provide a wide array of trading possibilities.
Leverage Use: Derivatives allow traders to amplify returns on event-driven trades.
Reduced Market Direction Risk: Some strategies, like merger arbitrage, are less dependent on overall market trends.
Challenges and Risks
Despite its potential, event-based trading comes with unique challenges:
Unpredictable Outcomes: Not all events have the expected market impact; surprises can lead to significant losses.
Timing Sensitivity: Missing the optimal entry or exit window can erode potential profits.
High Volatility: Sharp price swings can trigger margin calls and emotional decision-making.
Information Competition: Institutional traders with superior access and algorithms may capture most profitable opportunities.
Regulatory Risks: Insider trading regulations must be strictly followed; trading on non-public material information is illegal.
Conclusion
Event-based trading is a sophisticated strategy that capitalizes on market inefficiencies caused by specific events. Its effectiveness relies on a blend of meticulous research, rapid execution, and robust risk management. By focusing on corporate announcements, economic indicators, political developments, and market-specific events, traders aim to exploit the short-term mispricings that naturally arise in response to new information. While it offers the potential for substantial profits, it also demands expertise, discipline, and technological resources to navigate its inherent risks successfully. In today’s fast-moving markets, event-based trading represents both a challenge and an opportunity for traders willing to act decisively on the information that shapes asset prices.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 12-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 12 DEC 2025
Nifty closed around 25,898, trading between the Opening Support (25,851.80) and the Opening Resistance / Support Zone (25,979–26,015).
The chart shows a clear structure: clean upside potential above 26,015 and downside continuation below 25,812.
Key Levels from Chart:
• Opening Support: 25,851.80
• Last Intraday Support: 25,812
• Opening Resistance / Support Zone: 25,979 – 26,015
• Last Intraday Resistance: 26,093
• Major Resistance / Target: 26,179
• Lower Support: 25,741
Tomorrow’s opening direction relative to 25,979–26,015 will define the day’s trend.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up above 25,980–26,020 places Nifty directly inside or above the resistance zone.
1. If opening is inside 25,979–26,015 (Resistance/Support Zone)
• Do NOT buy immediately — this is a supply zone.
• Wait for a clear breakout above 26,015 and then a retest.
• When retest holds → Long entry becomes high probability.
• Targets: 26,093 → 26,179 (major upside level).
• Partial profit booking recommended near 26,093.
2. If opening is above 26,015
• Momentum is already bullish.
• Wait for a small retracement → If price holds 26,015 → Long toward:
→ 26,093 → 26,140 → 26,179
3. If opening is directly near 26,093 (Last Intraday Resistance)
• Avoid fresh longs — sellers may react.
• If rejection occurs + price drops below 26,015, shorts become valid.
• Downside targets: 25,979 → 25,930.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-ups into resistance zones often trap aggressive buyers. Always demand a breakout + retest to confirm genuine strength.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (around 25,870–25,910)
When the market opens flat, price action around the nearest levels becomes the deciding factor.
1. If price breaks above 25,979 and holds
• A bullish shift begins.
• Long setups activate on retest of 25,979–26,015 zone.
• Targets: 26,093 → 26,179.
2. If price rejects 25,979–26,015
• A short-term pullback is likely.
• Short entries valid toward 25,851 → 25,812.
3. If price remains between 25,851–25,979
• Expect sideways, indecisive movement.
• Avoid trading in this segment until direction becomes clear.
📌 Educational Note:
Flat opens give the highest probability trend days because early structure (higher-low or lower-high) defines bias clearly.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down near 25,800–25,750 brings price toward strong support levels.
1. If price opens at or near 25,851 (Opening Support)
• Avoid shorting immediately.
• Wait for confirmation — if support holds, a reversal long is possible.
• Targets: 25,930 → 25,979.
2. If price opens near 25,812 (Last Intraday Support)
• Very strong reversal zone.
• Look for bullish wick rejection / CHoCH.
• If confirmed → Long toward 25,851 → 25,930 → 25,979.
3. If price opens near 25,741 or breaks below 25,812 with momentum
• Downside continuation likely.
• Short setups activate on retest of 25,812 from below.
• Targets: 25,760 → 25,741 → 25,700.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-downs often attempt to sweep liquidity at support before reversal. Confirmation is more important than prediction.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid first 5 minutes after gap opens — premium swings are unpredictable.
2. Avoid buying far OTM options — IV crush and theta decay work against you.
3. Use price-action-based stop-loss, not premium-based.
4. Limit risk per trade to 1–2% of capital.
5. High IV → Favour option selling;
Low IV → Option buying becomes more effective.
6. Always book partial profits at key levels:
25,979 / 26,015 / 26,093 / 26,179
7. Avoid revenge trading — protect capital first.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias only above 25,979–26,015, with targets at 26,093 → 26,179.
• Sideways zone between 25,851–25,979 — avoid trades unless a breakout occurs.
• Strong downside support zones:
– 25,851
– 25,812
– 25,741
• Breakout + retest is the safest and most reliable setup.
• Follow strict risk control to avoid losses in volatile conditions.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This report is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly — always use your own discretion and risk management.
Nifty 12th Dec OutlookThe last 3 sessions have been strangely quiet. Price barely moved, volume stayed flat, and Nifty just kept hovering inside the same range.
At first glance it looks like typical consolidation…but with everything happening around us, the silence feels a bit more intentional.
Here’s what I’m noticing:
1. Fed cut was priced in, but the market is still digesting the tone
The 25 bps cut wasn’t a surprise. What traders really care about is the Fed’s tone, and that usually takes a day or two to reflect in EM flows like ours. So the muted move here makes sense.
2. Sensex expiry completely distorted intraday behaviour
No one commits serious money on expiry days unless they have to. That explains some of the weird intraday swings and the lack of strong follow-through.
3. The US trade delegation being in India (Dec 10–12) is a bigger factor than people think
Institutions hate uncertainty. If the tone from these meetings affects tariffs, regulations, or market access, it directly impacts exporters and several index-heavy sectors.
So, yes — some funds simply stepped aside until they know what’s happening.
4. Mexico’s unexpected tariff hike (up to 50%) adds another layer
This came out of the blue and hits Indian auto exporters right where it hurts. But… even with that news, Nifty didn’t react violently. That tells me the market is waiting for more clarity, not panicking.
Technical Picture (Daily + 1H): Nothing Broken, Nothing Proven
Price held the 25,700 support beautifully (Fib 0.618)
Price rejected the 25,940–26,050 zone again (Fib 0.382)
Daily RSI bounced from the 50 line, which is normally a bullish behaviour
Volume has been eerily identical for 3 days straight
This is not bullish strength.
This is not bearish weakness.
It’s textbook neutrality until the macro dust settles.
About the Divergences
On the Nifty 1H chart, we had a hidden bearish divergence earlier — but that only signals momentum fatigue, not an immediate fall.
But on GIFT Nifty, we got something more meaningful:
✔ Hidden bullish divergence
✔ Price made a higher low
✔ RSI made a lower low
✔ And then price pushed up strongly
This usually leads to trend continuation, and the futures chart looks clean and confident right now. Not the behaviour of a market preparing for a big dump.
So why is the volume dead?
When multiple moving parts converge — Fed tone, international trade talks, new tariff shocks — institutions don’t gamble.
They stay flat.
They hedge.
They wait.
And the charts show exactly that.
Tomorrow’s Map
If GIFT Nifty stays firm:
→ we likely open slightly green
→ Nifty may try to break the 25,940–26,050 zone
→ A clean close above 26,050 opens 26,120–26,180
If nothing major hits the news:
→ we stay stuck between 25,700 and 25,940
→ the range continues
If negative news comes from trade talks or auto exporters:
→ only then we revisit 25,700
→ and breakdown needs VOLUME, which has been missing
Without volume, bears have no teeth.
My Final Take
The market isn’t weak — it’s cautious.
It isn’t bullish — it’s waiting.
GIFT Nifty looks strong right now, and unless a fresh headline drops overnight, Nifty will likely test the higher end of the range again.
But the real move — the one with conviction — probably comes after Dec 12, once everyone knows where the trade talks and sector implications stand.
Until then, this is not a market to be overly aggressive in either direction.
Gold Looks Prime for All-Time High Breakout📈 Technical Analysis of the Chart
The chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) moving in what appears to be an upward-sloping channel — higher lows are marked by trend-line support.
Price recently revisited the lower boundary (support zone + trendline) and appears to have held firm — a bullish signal (i.e. a “retest & bounce”).
The annotation “POI” (Point of Interest) near that bounce suggests a probable pivot from support → initiating the next leg up.
On the upside, the chart projects a move toward a new all-time high (ATH) — the red horizontal line — implying a breakout of the current consolidation zone.
If gold breaks above current resistance and stays above the channel’s upper boundary, that increase could accelerate with bullish momentum. This aligns with typical breakout + retest strategies often used in gold trading.
Conversely, if price fails to hold this support zone and drops below the trendline, the bullish setup would be invalidated — a risk to watch, especially if sentiment shifts.
Technical conclusion: The chart shows a classic channel-retest setup — if upward momentum continues, a move toward the all-time high is well justified. The current bounce from support provides a favorable entry setup for bulls, with manageable risk if a stop-loss is set just below the channel support.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Gold’s recent strength is driven by expectations of lower interest rates: as a non-yielding asset, gold tends to benefit when rates fall because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases.
A weaker U.S. dollar — often accompanying potential rate cuts — makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, adding further demand support.
Broad economic context: unsteady global growth, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising demand for safe-haven assets help maintain strong gold demand.
Market forecasts remain bullish: some analysts see gold reaching as high as $4,950/oz by 2026, with a more likely base-case target around $4,500/oz — assuming rate cuts and continued macroeconomic uncertainty.
That said, the key risk remains in a potential rebound of the U.S. Dollar or abrupt shift in monetary policy (e.g. fewer rate cuts than expected) — either could undercut gold’s rally.
Fundamental conclusion: The macro backdrop — rate-cut expectations, weak USD, and global uncertainty — strongly supports a continuation of gold’s upward trajectory. If these tailwinds persist, gold’s push toward new highs is fundamentally justified.
✅ What This Setup Means & What to Watch
If bullish scenario plays out
Expect price to challenge the all-time high. A breakout may target or even exceed prior ATHs.
A bounce-and-run scenario may attract momentum traders, fueling further upside.
Key triggers to monitor
Keep an eye on announcements from Federal Reserve: rate-cut decisions or dovish signals accelerate gold demand.
Watch USD strength: a strong dollar could cap gains or reverse the uptrend.
Monitor global risk sentiment — geopolitical events or economic slowdown fears tend to push money into gold.
Risk control considerations
Use the channel support / trendline as a stop-loss anchor. A breakdown below could invalidate the bullish bias.
Consider that strong moves in the dollar or surprising inflation data might compress gold’s upside or spark a pullback.
USDCAD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Looking for shorts on USDCAD. Yesterday grabbed previous day’s high and closed strong bearish, so bias stays down. Asian range is almost done and yesterday’s high is still intact. I’ve got two setups marked — first one is valid but lower probability, second one is cleaner with an FVG. Weekly is in discounted pricing so shorts aren’t perfect, but this is a 15M execution, so I’m not overthinking it. Just waiting for price to tap my zones — if it fails, I take the hit and move on.
Setup Quality : (1st) ⭐⭐⭐, (2nd)⭐⭐⭐⭐
Reclaiming The Breakdown: Descending Triangle To Inverse HnSThis weekly chart of Rico Auto illustrates how structure can evolve over time and why rigid bias around a single pattern can be misleading. Price initially respected a clear descending trendline, forming a classic descending triangle and eventually breaking down below the support zone. Instead of continuing in a straight-line downtrend, the market absorbed that move and began to build a broader basing structure.
Over the following swings, price developed an inverted head and shoulders formation, highlighted here with the white structure, right inside and just below the prior breakdown area. As the pattern matured, price not only reclaimed the prior horizontal zone but also pushed back toward the original red counter-trendline that once acted as dynamic resistance. The same trendline that confirmed the initial triangle breakdown is now being revisited, showing how former breakdown structures can later turn into key decision zones rather than one-way signals.
This chart is shared purely to study how multiple patterns can co-exist and morph on higher timeframes:
-A descending triangle that initially breaks to the downside
-A subsequent inverse head and shoulders basing pattern
-A later reclaim of the old breakdown area and retest of the descending trendline
Disclaimer
This post is for educational and illustrative purposes only and is not investment, trading, or financial advice. Please do your own research and consult a registered financial professional before making any trading or investment decisions.
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on (11/12/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 4213
If price stay below 4240, then next target 4190,4162 and 4146 above that 4270
Plan;If price break 4214-4218 area, and stay below 4214, we will place sell order in gold with target of 4190,4162 and 4146 & stop loss should be placed at 4270
Nifty Analysis for Dec 12, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks and sustains above 25908. Therefore, b is completed at 25695 and now, Nifty will head towards its final wave c of wave y of wave 5 but before that it will retest the breakout level of 25908.
What I’m Watching for Dec 12, 2025 🔍
Sell nifty only intraday if it breaks and sustains below 25965 SL 26038 for a target of 25916-25900-25887.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.






















