Analyze and evaluate the new weekly gold strategy!Hello dear friends, are you curious about the gold price trend this week?
As we enter a new week, gold has been steadily increasing by $10, reaching $2175 in Asian trading session. In the short term, it seems poised for further growth, although it may encounter resistance around the $2185 level.
The monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve in June could significantly impact the trajectory of this precious metal.
Details on the Outlook: A survey on Wall Street reveals mixed expectations: 40% predict higher prices this week, 27% anticipate a decrease, and 33% expect stable trading.
Meanwhile, an online poll on Main Street shows a bullish outlook, with 69% predicting price increases, 25% expecting a decrease, and 16% maintaining a neutral stance on the short-term outlook for gold.
Longsetup
Gold price today: Stable waiting for new news!Gold Update: In the early trading hours in Asia on Monday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) comfortably fluctuated around the $2,100 mark, receiving support from speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by the end of this year. Investors are awaiting the release of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter, which is expected to remain stable at 3.2% and potentially create new momentum. Currently, gold is trading around $2,168, marking a modest increase of 0.15% for the day.
Following the March meeting of the Fed, where they chose to maintain the benchmark interest rate between 5.25% and 5.50% for the fifth consecutive time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a plan to cut interest rates three times in 2024, boosting investor interest in the precious metal and pushing gold prices higher. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of the Fed starting to cut interest rates in the June meeting has increased to 72% from 65% after the interest rate decision.
Personal Information: After the terrorist attack in Russia, the price of gold slightly increased, returning above $2,170. The market appears stable but may face a short-term decline between $2,150 and $2,180.
USDJPY : Price increases continue under limited regime!Hello dear friends, let's discuss and devise our strategy for the new day together!
USD/JPY is witnessing a decline, fluctuating near the 151.00 level, as the Japanese Yen faces significant buying pressure amidst concerns about Japan's potential forex intervention, especially after this exchange rate reached a new high since the beginning of the year at 151.86 last Friday. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's meeting in January further weakened the USD/JPY pair.
From a technical perspective, if USD/JPY continues to trade below the marked resistance level, it may still face pressure and potentially decline further.
GBPUSD continues to bounce back!Hello dear friends! GBPUSD is showing signs of recovery this Monday, bouncing back after a significant drop at the end of last week. The recovery started when it touched the Trendline, although the overall trend is still bearish due to the momentum the US Dollar (USD) has gained from Wall Street activities, despite the declining interest rates that have reinforced the potential recovery of this currency pair.
In the short term, I lean towards a buying strategy, aiming for the resistance level at 1.267. What about you? Do you think now is a good time to buy?
EURUSD: DiscountThe EUR/USD has declined to the 1.0840 level in early Asian trading on Friday. This decline is believed to be due to the strength of the US dollar and higher US Treasury yields. Traders are eagerly awaiting Germany's IFO Business Climate Index on Friday, before Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech.
From a technical analysis perspective, a pattern has formed signaling a downward trend for this currency pair. In theory, the price will break below the support level, creating a false breakout at 1.0835. EUR/USD may continue to adjust downwards within the range of 1.081 - 1.080 by the end of this trading week!
EURUSD: Buy now?Hello everyone, let's find out what's happening with EURUSD today!
Last Friday, EURUSD ended the week with a downward trend. But today, it has found some support at the 1.080 level, causing a slight comeback with the current price hovering around 1.082 as it aims for a recovery towards the Fibonacci target of 0.5 - 0.618.
If it can maintain the 1.080 support level, EURUSD still has a chance to rise. However, we should closely monitor the Fibonacci zone of 0.5 - 0.618 as sellers may push this currency pair down once again within this range.
What do you think? Do you see EURUSD shifting towards an upward trend?
GBPUSD: SELL?Hello dear friends,
Yesterday our GBPUSD experienced a significant downturn. Based on fundamental analysis, GBP/USD extended its losses and formed a 'bearish' candlestick pattern, indicating the potential for further decline. If sellers break through the psychological level of 1.2600, it could pave the way for a level of 1.2500. On the other hand, buyers should reclaim the 1.2700 level and expect some consolidation patterns.
USDJPY: Sell now?Hello dear friends, are you curious about the direction of USDJPY today?
At the beginning of Friday, the USDJPY pair showed a slight decline, pausing its strong upward momentum when encountering resistance near the record high level. The Japanese Yen strengthened after the release of Japan's consumer inflation data. Uncertainty about the future policy steps of the Bank of Japan could hinder further price increases. The modest decline of the US Dollar is causing some pressure, although weaknesses are somewhat contained.
Looking ahead: Technical analysis charts indicate the formation of a double top pattern. In this scenario, the SELL strategy will be prioritized, targeting 150.70 and then 149.21 respectively.
Gold Price Driven by Modest USD StrengthHello everyone! Let's delve into the sparkle of gold prices today!
In the News: Today, gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on its recent rise from the Simple Moving Average 100-hour support level around $2166-$2165. Instead, we are witnessing a decline in Asian trading session this Friday. Despite the Federal Reserve's policy update on Wednesday, investor focus is gradually diminishing as the US dollar strengthens, thanks to optimism about US economic growth. This resurgence, coupled with increasing US Treasury yields and prevalent risk appetite, is putting downward pressure on this traditional safe haven asset.
Personal observation: After reaching a peak at $2222, gold prices plummeted, retreating to the $2170 range. Economic indicators continue to reinforce the US dollar.
Looking ahead: The Fed's stance on maintaining interest rates and ongoing global political tensions may boost gold's upward movement in the near future. However, we should be prepared for a continued downward trend in today's trading session. Stay tuned for a day filled with opportunities or challenges.
HAVELLS loos good for long-term investmentHavells appears promising for long-term investment. While it has been experiencing a correction phase since late 2021, recent developments suggest that this phase may be nearing its end. The stock has exhibited a strong reversal pattern, as depicted in the image. Consequently, it's showing signs of resuming its upward trajectory.
GBPUSD: Price channel not broken yet!The GBP/USD has risen above the 1.2700 level, recovering from a two-week low below 1.2670 on Tuesday. Investors are cautious about taking significant positions ahead of the policy meetings of the Fed and BoE, causing this currency pair to struggle to find a clear direction.
Furthermore, the widespread strength of the US dollar (USD) continues to weigh on this currency pair ahead of the policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). With the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond holding above 4.3% after rising over 5% last week, support for the USD remains strong. As GBP/USD is still trending downwards, further price declines may be imminent!
GOLD- Continuously creating breakthroughs!Hello dear friends,
Are you curious about the price movement of gold today?
Yesterday, gold surprised us with a dramatic increase, jumping from 2155 to 2223 USD, a remarkable gain of 680 pips in just a moment. What could have driven such a strong surge in this precious metal?
News update: The announcement from the Fed about the possibility of interest rate cuts later this year caused the US dollar to plummet. This decline triggered a rush of gold buying from investors, pushing its price up.
Technical analysis: Contrary to expectations of a decrease in gold prices for the day, gold broke through the downward trend line and soared to new highs. The EMA 34 and 89 lines indicated the potential for further upward momentum. The Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 - 0.618 are currently important if gold undergoes a corrective phase before continuing its ascent.
Gold price suddenly dropped todayIn today's trading session, gold experienced a slight decline after surging past the $2200 USD/ounce ceiling. This upward momentum was further fueled by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who stated that the central bank plans to implement three interest rate cuts in 2024.
However, at present, gold has adjusted downwards by 0.3% to $2175 USD/ounce after reaching an all-time high of $2222.39 USD in the previous session.
Contributing to the correction in gold prices, the US Dollar has recovered by 0.8% after hitting its lowest level in a week, making gold more expensive for international buyers.
With these developments, gold may need to undergo further adjustments if it wishes to continue its upward trajectory.
USDJPY : Gentle adjustment!What are your opinions on the USDJPY currency pair?
The value of USD/JPY has surged to its highest level in several years, reaching 151.000 as the Japanese yen weakens and the US dollar strengthens.
This turnaround at such levels is believed to be a result of possible intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). According to MUFG analysts, a yen weaker than 150.000 becomes uncomfortably weak for the BoJ, which could prompt intervention by using its foreign currency reserves to purchase yen.
There is still potential for USDJPY to continue rising, with the possibility of "breaking through the peak of 151.75 if the support around 150.500 remains firmly defended."
EURUSD: On the reboundHello dear friends, let's discuss and plan our strategy for the new day with RKrina!
EUR/USD has successfully surpassed the important barrier of 1.0900, driven by significant downward pressure on the US Dollar following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates and indications of potential rate cuts three times this year.
The 4-hour chart suggests that the current downward momentum may have exhausted. This indicates that the next upward barriers could be at 1.0921, followed by 1.0963 and 1.0998.
The initial support level is at 1.0834, with further supports at 1.0830 and 1.0761.
USDJPY: still rising strongly!Hello everyone, are you curious about the upcoming trend of USDJPY?
USD/JPY hit a year-to-date high near 151.50 early Wednesday, as the Japanese yen fell to a multi-month low following the BoJ's mild interest rate hike on Tuesday. Fed hawkish expectations will strengthen the dollar and further support USD/JPY.
If the pair is breached and successfully clears above the record high of 151.889, the bulls will have more opportunities to push the price to the first level of ignorance at the 1.618 mark of the Fibonacci extension in the theory of DOW theory
GOLD- What changes this weekend, surveyToday's Gold Trading Strategy:
In the current global market, the price of gold has surged to a new all-time high of $2,197 per ounce, representing a significant increase of $40 per ounce since the early morning hours. This marks a new milestone as the highest price ever recorded.
The rapid ascent in gold prices is a result of the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain stable interest rates during its most recent meeting, coupled with indications of a potential 0.75% rate reduction by the end of 2024.
The decrease in the US Dollar Index following the Federal Reserve's announcement has made gold even more appealing to international buyers. Additionally, the decrease in 10-year Treasury yields has lowered the opportunity cost associated with holding gold, further propelling its upward trend.
GBPUSD: Bounces back after a series of losses?The GBP/USD pair gained momentum in the early hours of Thursday's Asian trading session. This increase was driven by the weakening of the US dollar following Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's cautious press conference.
Additionally, the 1.2760 level, representing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest uptrend, is currently seen as the initial support level reinforcing the pair's upward progress. There is a possibility of immediate breakthrough of the resistance level at 1.281, with the goal of reaching the peak at 1.289.
USDJPY: New support support!Hello everyone, today USDJPY continues its recovery streak and is fluctuating around the 147.65 level after receiving some price-boosting momentum from yesterday evening when the USD rebounded and started to recover.
The currency pair has formed a new support level around the 146.75 region. The Japanese Yen (JPY) has struggled to capitalize on modest gains during the day and has declined for the third consecutive day. Therefore, given this situation, we can still expect further price increases for USDJPY.
The two main targets as well as the resistance levels that this currency pair needs to overcome in order to continue its upward movement are 148.65 and 149.35 respectively.
EURUSD : Are there additional discounts?Hello, beloved friends! Let's together explore the heartbeat of the EURUSD market today!
In this calm trading session on Wednesday, EURUSD remains at 1.086, reflecting the closing level from yesterday.
The strength of the US dollar continues to challenge riskier assets, bolstering the US Dollar Index (DXY) and impacting the slight decline of EUR/USD.
From a technical standpoint, the 1.080 level is crucial for sellers as it could signify a deeper correction or a point of recovery for EURUSD after its recent decline.
What is your perspective? Will EURUSD rise or fall in the short term?
Gold price should I buy or sell?Welcome, dear friends, to our exploration of the tranquil waters of the gold market yesterday, where prices gently oscillated around Friday's closing figure of approximately $2159, in a serene anticipation of significant news expected to break on Thursday.
Gold remains ensconced in its downward trend, encased within an unbroken parallel channel that signals the potential for further decline upon reaching the channel's upper boundary.
Amongst whispers, the persistent pressure on this precious metal continues, stemming from expectations that the Fed might maintain higher interest rates for an extended period. Should the support level at $2147 give way, we might witness gold gracefully gliding back into the $212x region.
USDMXN - Sharp Upmove Possible?Currency Pair - USDMXN
I am seeing a good trading opportunity in USDMXN.
Taking long positions here at CMP 16.66200
My SL would be 16.60000
Target I'm expecting is 17.00000
That's 1:7 RR trade.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!