NIFTY Slips Below 25,200 The Nifty closed today at 25,149, down by around 205 points.
It has broken an important support level near 25,330, which could be a warning sign for traders and investors.
The market is showing signs of weakness – key technical indicators like RSI and MACD are also turning negative.
If Nifty slips below 25,000, we might see more downside movement in the coming days.
👉 For now, it’s better to stay cautious.
Long-term investors should wait for stability.
Short-term traders should manage risk and avoid over-trading.
Keep an eye on upcoming Q1 earnings and global market trends.
This is not the time to panic – it’s the time to stay informed and plan smartly.
Caption Highlights (optional for post tags or image text):
Nifty breaks 25,330 support
Watch 25,000 as next key level
Bearish signals on technical charts
Caution advised for traders
Market waiting for fresh cues
M-forex
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY - Overtrading The Silent Killer of ConsistencyTRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 1: Overtrading – The Silent Killer of Consistency
In the dynamic world of forex trading, success doesn't come from doing more — it comes from doing right. Yet many traders, especially full-time traders in India, unknowingly fall into a common psychological trap that slowly erodes both their capital and confidence: Overtrading.
Let’s break it down — what overtrading is, why it happens, and most importantly, how to stop it before it burns through your progress.
🧠 What Is Overtrading in Forex?
Overtrading refers to excessive trading – opening too many positions without clear signals or justification based on your strategy. In most cases, it’s driven by emotion, not logic.
It usually shows up in two forms:
Trading out of boredom or the urge to “do something”
Trying to recover from previous losses (a.k.a. revenge trading)
Over time, this behavior becomes a habit — and like most bad habits in trading, it’s expensive.
⚠️ Signs You Might Be Overtrading
If you answer "yes" to any of these, it’s time to check your discipline:
Do you feel uncomfortable when you’re not in a trade?
Do you enter trades even when your system says “no trade”?
Do you keep switching charts hoping to “find a setup”?
After a losing trade, do you jump right back in to recover?
Have you lost more to fees/spread than actual price movement?
🧩 Why Indian Traders Often Fall Into Overtrading
🔹 The Action Bias
Traders often feel they must "do something" to be productive. In reality, sitting out is a strategy — especially when markets are flat or unclear.
🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily
Many traders in India try to generate consistent income from trading — and assume they must win every day. That pressure leads to forcing trades just to “hit targets.”
🔹 Overconfidence After a Winning Streak
Success leads to confidence — but too much confidence without structure leads to impulsive trading. One good day shouldn’t convince you that you’ve mastered the market.
🔥 Consequences of Overtrading
Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your account — it breaks your mindset.
Capital Depletion: Small losses + transaction costs = big drawdown over time
Mental Burnout: You feel drained, frustrated, and reactive
Lack of System Trust: You abandon good strategies because you never followed them properly
Emotional Instability: You start making decisions based on fear or revenge, not analysis
✅ How to Control Overtrading – Practical Steps
1. Limit the Number of Trades Per Day
Set a clear rule — e.g., “Maximum 3 trades per day.” This forces you to choose the best setups and ignore mediocre ones.
2. Keep a Simple Trading Journal
Write down:
Why you took the trade
Whether it matched your plan
Your emotional state
Reviewing this weekly will reveal patterns you never noticed in real time.
3. Block Out Non-Active Trading Hours
For Indian traders, this might mean avoiding low-volume periods like mid-Asia session. Focus on London or US overlap hours — when liquidity and volatility are high.
4. Understand: Not Trading Is Still Trading
Being flat (no position) is a strategic decision. Markets reward patience, not impatience.
🎯 Final Thoughts
Overtrading is not a technical issue — it’s a mindset issue.
When you feel the urge to “do something,” remind yourself: the best traders don’t trade all the time. They wait, they observe, and they only act when everything aligns.
"The market doesn’t pay you for activity — it pays you for accuracy."
If you want to grow consistently, you must master the art of waiting, filtering, and executing with purpose.
📌 Next in the Series:
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 2: FOMO – How Fear of Missing Out Destroys Good Decisions
Follow this page to get notified when it drops!
Banknifty 1day time frame📊 Current Status (as of today)
Bank Nifty is trading around: ₹56,750 – ₹56,800
It's just below its all-time high, which is around ₹57,628.
The trend is still positive (bullish), but it’s taking a breather after a big rally.
🛡️ Strong Support Zones (Buy on Dip Areas)
These are the price areas where Bank Nifty may bounce back if it falls:
₹55,500 – ₹55,700 → Minor support
₹54,300 – ₹54,500 → Stronger support zone (good for long-term entry)
₹52,500 – ₹53,000 → Very strong base; ideal for adding long-term positions if market corrects
🚀 Resistance Levels (Where Price Might Struggle)
These are areas where it might face selling pressure:
₹57,000 – ₹57,200 → Near-term resistance
₹57,600 – ₹57,800 → All-time high zone
Above ₹58,000 → Fresh breakout, could fly to new levels if crossed with volume
✅ What You Can Do (If You’re a Long-Term Investor)
If you already hold: Stay invested. Trend is still up.
If you want to buy:
Wait for a dip to around ₹54,300–₹55,000 for a safer long-term entry.
Or, buy small now and add more on dips.
Breakout Strategy: If Bank Nifty closes above ₹57,800, it may start a new rally.
📌 Summary in One Line:
“Bank Nifty is near its highs — still bullish, but don’t chase. Buy dips around ₹54,500 or add more only if it breaks above ₹57,800.”
KOTAKBANKKotak Bank has been weak for a while but now it's trying to form a bottom. The stock is not yet in a strong uptrend, but it's showing early signs of a possible recovery.
Good Price to Invest
If you're looking to invest, a good range to start buying is around:
Here are the current daily price levels for Kotak Mahindra Bank (KOTAKBANK) on NSE:
Last traded price: ₹ 2,220.60, up
Today's range: ₹ 2,198.60 – ₹ 2,225.00
52‑week range: ₹ 1,679.05 – ₹ 2,301.90
Intraday Pivot Levels (Approximate)
According to Equity Pandit, today's pivot-based support and resistance likely fall at:
Immediate Supports:
• S1 ≈ ₹ 2,204
• S2 ≈ ₹ 2,188
• S3 ≈ ₹ 2,178
Resistances:
• R1 ≈ ₹ 2,231
• R2 ≈ ₹ 2,241
• R3 ≈ ₹ 2,257
Drilling deeper, a key intraday level is ₹ 2,184:
If the stock closes below ₹ 2,184, the short-term trend could weaken—potential signal to lighten downside risk.
As long as it stays above ₹ 2,184, the positive momentum may hold.
XAUUSD - 1H SHORT (GOLD)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
XAUUSD Analysis – Bearish Pressure ReturnsGold is facing renewed bearish pressure, as the H4 chart shows a failed attempt to break above the resistance FVG zone around $3,339. The overall structure remains bearish, with a likely move toward the $3,264 support zone in the coming sessions.
On the news front, recent U.S. CPI data came in stronger than expected, supporting the USD. Additionally, hawkish comments from Fed officials like Musalem, along with FOMC minutes showing no rush to cut rates, have stalled gold’s upward momentum. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield remains elevated, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
If XAUUSD fails to hold above the $3,300 zone, a move down toward $3,265 is highly probable in the short term.
EURUSD – Failed Breakout, Bearish Momentum Takes OverEURUSD attempted to break out of the upper edge of a consolidation triangle but was swiftly rejected around the 1.17450 region, forming a classic “failed breakout” — a pattern that often precedes strong reversals. The pair is now pulling back and appears to be heading toward the 1.16800 support zone.
On the news front, the market is under pressure from rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates for longer, following stronger-than-expected U.S. job data. This has driven a notable recovery in the U.S. dollar, putting downward pressure on the euro. In this context, EURUSD risks a deeper correction if the 1.1700 support fails to hold. Keep a close eye on price action — this pullback could be the start of a new bearish leg.
USDJPY – Is the Downtrend Taking Shape?On the H4 chart, USDJPY shows signs of weakening as it repeatedly fails to break above the long-term descending trendline. Despite a recent recovery toward the 147.000 level, buying momentum appears to be fading. The price structure suggests the possibility of a false breakout before a reversal toward the 144.300 support zone—an area with multiple unfilled FVGs.
From a news perspective, traders are awaiting today’s upcoming U.S. CPI report. If inflation data comes in hotter than expected, the USD may gain short-term strength. However, a weaker CPI reading could trigger a quick reversal in USDJPY, confirming the bearish setup. The 147.000 level remains the critical zone to watch for any potential rejection or breakout.
Gold Struggles Under Tariff Pressure Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia.
This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth.
In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation.
📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area.
On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment.
🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
Gold Update - July 11th, 2025Gold is holding strong above 3300 on the daily close and today price breakout from the resistance trendline I mentioned yesterday. Also price is staying above the weekly pivot, which shows the bulls are getting more confident.
We're seeing some real momentum building up. The breakout from that trendline resistance is a good sign that buyers are ready to push higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside Targets:
For intra day, watch 3340-45 as the next resistance area
For the bigger timeframe, we need to break and hold above 3355-60. That's the major level that will tell us if this is just a bounce or the start of something bigger.
Downside Support:
If things go wrong, the weekly pivot is our first support to watch
Also keep an eye on this week's low as backup support
Gold is finally picking a direction and it's pointing up. The breakout from the trendline gives us some confidence, but we're still in range on higher TF.
The real test will be if we can push through 3340-45 and then tackle that bigger 3355-60 area. If we can do that, then we might be back in business for the bulls.
EUR/USD Slides as Trade Tensions WeighThe EUR/USD pair extended its steady decline on Thursday, approaching the weekly lows as global financial markets remained under pressure from aggressive U.S. tariff announcements. The U.S. President unveiled new tariffs on copper — a key industrial commodity — and signalled upcoming restrictions on the pharmaceutical sector.
A mix of inflation concerns, supply chain disruptions, and continued strength in the U.S. dollar has put the euro under visible pressure. From a technical standpoint, EUR/USD remains in a downward correction phase after pulling back from multi-year highs, with bearish momentum holding firm.
Unless a surprise emerges from economic data or monetary policy shifts, the short-term bias is likely to remain tilted to the downside.
Gold Finds Support as Tariff Tensions RiseHello everyone! What’s your take on XAUUSD today?
OANDA:XAUUSD is showing a mild recovery, currently trading around $3,323, gaining over 100 pips on the day. Despite this bounce, the short-term structure still leans in favour of the bears.
On July 9th, President Biden announced a 50% tariff on copper and a projected 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following earlier notices of 25–40% tariffs imposed on 14 countries including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Laos, and Malaysia.
This escalation has led to a sharp rise in international copper prices and reignited fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and slower economic growth. As consumers cut back and companies face contract renegotiations, financial risk is spreading across global markets.
In this climate, investors are returning to gold as a safe haven, seeking capital protection in anticipation of broader market instability.
📈 Outlook: Gold prices may continue to rally in the short term if the U.S. unveils further tariff measures or reveals new negotiation drafts in the coming days.
Gold Update - July 10th, 2025Yesterday we have seen breakdown below Monday's low , but bulls again stepped in at the lower levels and pushed gold back above 3300 by the daily close. This was actually a really encouraging sign that buyers are still willing to defend this level.Things are looking a bit better now. Gold is trading above the weekly pivot, which is a positive shift from yesterday's weakness.
What's in the way:
The immediate challenge is that dynamic trendline you can see on the chart
Bulls need to break through this first ....
After that, the next big test is around 3340 this is a high volume area where we've seen plenty of action before.
old is basically stuck in a range between 3280-85 on the bottom and 3335-40 on the top. Right now, there's no clear direction.
We need a decisive break from this range. Until then, we're just watching price bounce between these levels without any real commitment from either buyers or sellers.
EURUSD – Rebounding from supportEURUSD is forming a small rounded bottom after testing the support zone around 1.1670. If this level holds and price breaks above the nearby FVG area, the pair may continue its recovery toward the 1.1820 target, as shown in the projected path.
Fundamentally, the euro is supported by stronger-than-expected Eurozone retail sales and rising inflation expectations ahead of this week’s CPI data (scheduled for July 10–11). Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure due to uncertainty over U.S.–EU trade policy and a lack of clarity from U.S. trade decisions, which favors a EURUSD rebound.
As long as EURUSD holds above 1.1670, the bullish outlook remains valid. However, a break below this zone could send the pair back toward the 1.1600 area.
XAUUSD – Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Amid Trade TensionsGold continues to respect its long-term ascending trendline that started in September 2024. After a corrective move from the $3,450 resistance zone, price has just retested the trendline near $3,060 and bounced strongly — a clear sign that buyers still control the bullish structure.
Fundamentally, gold is supported by two major factors:
The U.S.–14-nation trade conflict, with a tariff deadline set for August 1st, is fueling risk-off sentiment and driving safe-haven demand — pushing gold above $3,300.
The global de-dollarization trend and over $38 billion flowing into gold ETFs in H1 2025 are strengthening gold’s role as a USD alternative.
Looking ahead: If XAUUSD holds above the $3,060 support zone, it may head toward $3,211 and possibly $3,350. The bullish outlook remains intact as long as the trendline is respected.
Bad News Piling Up – EURUSD Under Heavy PressureEURUSD is slipping fast as a wave of negative news hits the Eurozone. Service PMIs in both Germany and France have weakened, signaling a clear slowdown in the region’s economy. This has sharply reduced expectations of further rate hikes from the ECB.
Meanwhile, Fed officials are doubling down on their hawkish tone, stressing that U.S. inflation remains sticky and interest rates may need to stay higher for longer.
The growing policy divergence between the ECB and the Fed is becoming undeniable – and that’s exactly why EURUSD continues to slide.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan 10 july 2025🟣 1. Trend Confirmation Zone (Level: 25,562.00)
Above 25,562.00 → Positive View Active
If Nifty sustains above this level for more than 10 minutes, it indicates bullish momentum. Call Option (CE) traders can stay in the trade or consider new entries.
Below 25,562.00 → Negative View Active
If Nifty stays below this level, bearish momentum is likely. Put Option (PE) trades are favorable.
⚫ 2. Opening Range Levels
Above 25,467.10 (Opening S1) → Hold CE (Call Option)
If the market holds above this after the opening 10-minute candle, you can go long (buy CE).
Below 25,418.00 (Opening R1) → Hold PE (Put Option)
If Nifty breaks this level on the downside, and sustains for 10 mins, it suggests weakness – PE trade is favorable.
🟠 3. Entry-Level Zone
Above 25,682.00 → Entry for CE (Call Option)
Bullish breakout level – good for fresh buying positions if sustained above.
Below 25,682.00 → Risky PE (Put Option) Zone
Aggressive traders may consider short trades, but this is a risky area.
🔴 4. Safe Zone for Positional Traders
Above 25,782.00 → Closing Shot / Cover Level
Indicates overbought or strong bullish continuation – exit PE positions if short.
Below 25,760.00 → Safe Zone for PE
A good place to hold PE (put) positions, as the market is weak below this.
🟠 5. Support Resistance Flip Zone
Above 25,280.00 → CE Hold Level
Support for intraday buyers. A bounce from here can give a CE opportunity.
Below 25,280.00 → PE Hold Level
Breaking this means more downside is likely – favorable for PE.
🟢 6. Strong Support / Breakdown Level
Above 25,158.00 → CE Safe Zone Level
Indicates strong buying support. If held, expect intraday recovery.
Below 25,158.00 → Unwinding Level
Panic selling or unwinding of long positions may start. Avoid CE, prefer PE.
Gold at a Crossroads – Rebound or Breakdown?Gold just faced a sharp sell-off as optimism surged around a potential trade truce. After President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea, the deadline was surprisingly pushed to August 1st, giving countries room to negotiate. That pause eased market fears and triggered a short-term risk-on sentiment.
But the real pressure came from a stronger US Dollar and 10-year Treasury yields hitting a two-week high – a deadly combo for gold, which offers no yield. The shift in capital flow toward safer, interest-bearing assets pushed gold further into the red.
Now, all eyes are on the upcoming Fed minutes and speeches from key officials this week. If the tone is hawkish, gold could lose further ground. But a dovish hint might spark a bounce from the $3,290 support zone.
Gold Price Action Update - July 9th, 2025We have seen that gold retested crucial 3300 support level once again yesterday and managed to bounce back, closing above it by day's end. This suggesting that the bulls were still in control.
but again in eary asian session today Gold broke below 3300 and is now trading under Monday's low(3295-96).This is definitely a shift in momentum that we need to watch carefully.
If we stay below Monday's low (3295-96) and can't reclaim the weekly pivot, more downside pressure possible,
The next logical target /support would be the weekly S1 at 3268.
For any bullish recovery, we NEED to reclaim that weekly pivot at 3316,and 3345 our next major hurdle to overcome,while today's action looks bearish on the shorter timeframes, the daily close is still favoring the bulls for now. This creates an interesting dynamic where we're seeing some short-term weakness within what's still technically a bullish structure.
EURUSD - Sideways Action Sparks Reversal SpeculationHello traders, what are your expectations for EUR/USD?
Today, EUR/USD continues to move sideways around the 1.1800 mark during Thursday’s European session. The pair is showing signs of caution as the US Dollar gains ground amid optimism over a US–Vietnam trade deal.
From a technical perspective, the bullish trend still dominates as the price remains within an upward channel. However, a short-term pullback could be on the horizon, especially with buying momentum fading as EUR/USD approaches the upper boundary of the channel.
What do you think—could a reversal be forming from this zone?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Happy trading, everyone!
EURUSD – Rebounding from Trendline, Targeting 1.18500EURUSD has bounced off the ascending trendline and key support zone around 1.16900. The price action suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend, with the next target near the 1.18500 resistance zone.
The current structure is forming higher lows, indicating bullish momentum. As long as the price holds above 1.16900, the bullish scenario remains valid.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is supported by expectations that the ECB will keep interest rates steady, while the USD faces pressure if the upcoming FOMC minutes strike a less hawkish tone. This creates a favorable backdrop for the EURUSD uptrend.
Caution Prevails as EUR/USD Tests Downtrend LimitsToday, EUR/USD continues to hover around 1.1780, following a mild downtrend amid ongoing economic uncertainty. With a light economic calendar and looming deadlines surrounding U.S. trade tensions—particularly with Europe—traders are steering clear of aggressive positions.
Despite the structurally weak U.S. dollar due to expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates, there is no clear bullish momentum for the euro, largely because of mixed signals from the European Central Bank (ECB).
As long as the pair fails to break through the technical resistance near 1.1760—the upper boundary of the current price channel—sellers maintain the upper hand.
XAUUSD Long Idea – Inverse Head & Shoulders ReversalTechnical Overview:
I’m observing a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern forming on the 4-hour chart:
✅ Left Shoulder: Formed around 3,270
✅ Head: Rejection and reversal near 3,190
✅ Right Shoulder: Higher low around 3,300
✅ Neckline: Approx. 3,350 zone
Price has broken above the neckline area and is currently retesting it as support, which strengthens the bullish case.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry: Current zone near 3,340–3,350 retest
🔹 Targets:
🎯 TP1: ~3,400 (recent structural high)
🎯 TP2: ~3,450–3,460 (major resistance block)
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below the right shoulder area at ~3,290 for risk containment
Rationale:
1. Inverse Head & Shoulders is a classic bullish reversal pattern
2. Break and retest of neckline suggests buyers stepping in
3. Momentum shift confirmed by higher low structure
Potential Path:
I expect price to bounce from the neckline retest and push towards the 3,400 psychological level. If momentum persists, continuation to the 3,450 resistance block is likely.
📊 Risk to Reward Estimate:
Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on target selection
📝 Note:
This analysis is for educational purposes—always manage your risk and validate entries with your own confirmations.






















